model of integrated regional green energy system...indicators 2. preparing and using inquiry forms...

Model of Integrated regional

Green Energy System

Arash Rezaeian

August 2012

1

1 • Problem definition

2 • Theory

3 • Research questions

4 •Methodology

5 • Case Study

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Table of content

• Problem definition

• theory

• Methodology

• Case study

Implementation of sustainable development in local Industrial and Urban area.

Environmentally friendly, socially acceptable, and economically efficient systems.

Increase of production efficiency

Waste and CO2 reduction

Reduction resource consumption

Economic growth

Ref: http://www.greentimes.com.au/lifestyle/sustainable-development.html

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Problem definition

• Problem definition • theory

• Methodology

• Case study

http://www.greentimes.com.au/lifestyle/sustainable-development.html



The need for planning:

successful transition toward sustainable energy systems requires strategies that address all sustainability objectives simultaneously.

Ref: Sustainability Indicators Measuring the Immeasurable? Simon Bell and Stephen Morse London • Sterling,VA Second edition

Problem definition


• theory

• Methodology

• Case study

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On Sustainability in Local Energy Planning , Farhad D. Rad ,Division of Efficient Energy Systems ,Department of Energy Sciences

,Faculty of Engineering ,Lund University ,Sweden

Problem definition


• theory

• Methodology

• Case study

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Ref: On Sustainability in Local Energy Planning , Farhad D. Rad ,Division of Efficient Energy Systems ,Department of Energy Sciences ,Faculty of Engineering ,Lund University ,Sweden

Problem definition


• theory

• Methodology

• Case study

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Problem definition


• theory

• Methodology

• Case study

The United Nations working list of indicators of sustainable development (ISDs) based on Agenda 21 (Rio de Janeiro, June 1992)

Ref: Sustainability Indicators Measuring the Immeasurable? Simon Bell and Stephen Morse London • Sterling,VA Second edition

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List of energy indicators

Environmental indicators


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Economic indicators

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Social indicators

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Problem definition


• theory

• Methodology

• Case study

Formulating Sustainable Energy Indicators would be on of the Most important step toward Sustainable Local Energy System

“Failing to plan is planning to fail” Benjamin Franklin

we need to find measurable indicators that properly reflect (parts of) the aims of all the relevant actors. These

indicators can then be used to assess the impacts of the different technology options. In the literature it is common

to make a distinction between technical, financial, economic, environmental, social, and sometimes also political,

institutional, and cultural aspects or impacts for each of which indicators should be found.

Ref: ANNEX 33 Advanced Local Energy Planning (ALEP) ,A Guidebook

Problem definition


• theory

• Methodology

• Case study

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Research questions:

• what are the optimum value of sustainable indicators in a defined local area?

• What are the relations between sustainable energy indicators and other sustainability indexes for a defined local area?

• Are there any other sustainability indicators which should be considered ?

- Comprehensiveness

- Independence

- Limited number of alternatives

Problem definition


• theory

• Methodology

• Case study

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Proposed Theory: Comparative analysis theory.

To understand the relation between components also compare diferent cases to find special caractristics of each area

The value of energy indicators and why they are different to each other

Multi criteria analysis.

Mathematical programming methods: for finding optimum value of indicators

System dynamics theory: to understand the relation between indicators

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Theory


• Theory • Methodology

• Case study

Methodology 1. studying methods for measuring and determining

indicators 2. Preparing and using inquiry forms to collect and find

the value of indicators in local area 3. Developing an integrated conceptual model for

understanding relation between components of system

4. Using the analytical tools such as system dynamic theory and mathematical programming for analyzing the system

5. Discussion and proposing the results

Methodology


• theory

• Methodology • Case study

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Understanding the interactions between components

Methodology


• theory

• Methodology • Case study

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Case study: SIRI Island

Case study


• theory

• Methodology

• Case study

SIRI Island: • It covers an area of 17.3 km² and the highest point on the

island is 33m above sea level. • The number resident are around 5000 people • It produces 100,000 to 130,000 barrel crude oil per day • Production of natural gas is equal 110 million cubic foot per

day which most of it burns to the air • Industrial complexes: 2 power plant with capacity of 13 MW, 4 oil extraction, 1

desalination Unit, NGL unit and gas compressor unit • Iranian government has decided to change the utility of this

Island to a green and with free commercial premises one

Case study


• theory

• Methodology

• Case study

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Understanding the current energy system

SIRI Reference Energy System (RES)

Case study


• theory

• Methodology

• Case study

Actors in the future plan of Island will be:

- industrial sectors (NIOC)

- Municipality

- Local residents

- Private commercial sector

- Local parties

- Investors

- Iranian military force

Case study


• theory

• Methodology

• Case study

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• the complexity of energy policy and energy strategy issues no model can give answers to all the questions. Rather, it will require several models with different objectives and specifications in order to effectively support the development of energy policies and energy planning .

• Yet no mathematical model is presented with the capability of integrating technical issues with organizational aspects of the planning process.

• models are only applicable for what can be modeled (i.e. the quantifiable aspects), implying that qualitative aspects such as people’s behavior cannot be taken into account .

• At best, models provide a (highly) simplified representation of parts of reality . • They believe most models focus mainly on economic and technical aspects and are

not designed to include the interests of actors other than investors. • In reality, the key actors in decision-making are the different parties involved in the

decision process, who have their own objectives and interests, and normally decisions involve some compromise

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Energy and the social dimension: Conditions for implementation of Sustainability

• Equity: the community provides equitable opportunities and outcomes

for all its members, particularly the poorest and most vulnerable. While equity is listed as a separate principle, it is such a fundamental component that it cannot really be separated from the other principles. Equity is a filter through which all other principles are viewed.

• • Diversity: the community promotes and encourages diversity. • • Interconnectedness: the community provides processes, systems and

structures that promote connectedness within and outside the community at the formal, informal and institutional level.

• • Quality of life: the community ensures that basic needs are met and fosters a good quality of life for all members at the individual, group and community level.

• • Democracy and governance: the community provides democratic processes and open and accountable governance structures (p. 18)

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• Security - individuals and communities have economic

security and have confidence that they live in safe, supportive and healthy environments. People need to feel safe and secure in order to contribute fully to their own well-being or engage fully in community life.

• Adaptability – resiliency for both individuals and communities and the ability to respond appropriately and creatively to change. Adaptability is a process of building upon what already exists, and learning from and building upon experiences from both within and outside the community

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Energy and the institutional dimension

• The social perspective of institutional sustainability deals with the impacts and effects of institutions on social relationships and how they can change the behavior of actors. From a sociological point of view, institutions on the one hand are influenced by actors and their activities, and on the other hand they also considerably influence actors by shaping their interests and behavior.

• Stable institutions play an important role in the cost-benefit assessment of actors since they can contribute to lower transaction costs by creating security .

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good institutional structure can play a key role in facilitation of:

• Adaptation and implementation of energy plans and policies at international, national regional and local levels

• Harmonization and synchronization of future energy strategies at various levels

• Coordination of an effective relationship among actors and stakeholders

• Assessing the quality of energy policies and plan implementation

• Monitoring and evaluation of goal achievements

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planning process

1- Ends: specification of objectives and goals 2- Means: selection of policies, programs, procedures, and practices by which objectives and goals are to be pursued. 3- Resources: determination of the types and amounts of resources required how they are to be generated or acquired, and how they are to be allocated to activities. 4- Implementation: design of decision-making procedures and a way of organizing them so that the plan can be carried out. 5- Control: design of a procedure for anticipating or detecting errors in, or failures of, the plan and for preventing or correcting them on a continuing basis.

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model of integrated regional green energy system...indicators 2. preparing and using inquiry forms...

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