monthly indicators...monthly indicators may 2015 quick facts market overview 2 new listings 3...

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Monthly Indicators May 2015 Quick Facts Market Overview 2 New Listings 3 Pending Sales 4 Closed Sales 5 Days on Market Until Sale 6 Median Sales Price 7 Average Sales Price 8 9 Housing Affordability Index 10 Inventory of Homes for Sale 11 Months Supply of Inventory 12 A RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BY METRO MLS FOR ACTIVITY IN THE 4-COUNTY MILWAUKEE METROPOLITAN AREA Data is refreshed regularly to capture changes in market activity. Figures shown may be different than previously reported. Current as of June 10, 2015. All data from Metro MLS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. + 11.2% Change in Median Sales Price + 2.0% Change in Inventory + 7.0% Change in Closed Sales Percent of List Price Received The U.S. economy has been pretty even so far this year. Usually when new figures are released, they paint a pretty picture worthy of putting above the fireplace in that purchased new home. Recently, some numbers for the first quarter were adjusted to show a slight contraction in the economy. The initial response from Wall Street was unfavorable, but the correction itself is truly a mere blip. Nobody is predicting that the market will take a sudden turn. New Listings in the Milwaukee region decreased 1.3 percent to 2,773. Pending Sales were down 29.8 percent to 1,229. Inventory levels rose 2.0 percent to 8,258 units. Prices continued to gain traction. The Median Sales Price increased 11.2 percent to $195,000. Days on Market was down 17.0 percent to 70 days. Absorption rates were even with last year as Months Supply of Inventory remained flat at 6.1 months. One interesting effect of a weaker-than-expected economy is that the Federal Reserve does not seem ready to raise short-term interest rates during summer, as some had suggested might happen. New projections indicate that rates will remain the same until September at the earliest. The dominant storylines in housing are decidedly not negative these days. Instead, you're more likely to see top sales and luxury living highlighted than the woes of foreclosures and short sales.

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Page 1: Monthly Indicators...Monthly Indicators May 2015 Quick Facts Market Overview 2 New Listings 3 Pending Sales 4 Closed Sales 5 Days on Market Until Sale 6 Median Sales Price 7 Average

Monthly Indicators

May 2015 Quick Facts

Market Overview 2New Listings 3Pending Sales 4Closed Sales 5Days on Market Until Sale 6Median Sales Price 7Average Sales Price 8

9Housing Affordability Index 10Inventory of Homes for Sale 11Months Supply of Inventory 12

A RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BY METRO MLS FOR ACTIVITY IN THE 4-COUNTY MILWAUKEE METROPOLITAN AREA

Data is refreshed regularly to capture changes in market activity. Figures shown may be different than previously reported. Current as of June 10, 2015. All data from Metro MLS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing.

+ 11.2%

Change inMedian Sales Price

+ 2.0%

Change inInventory

+ 7.0%

Change inClosed Sales

Percent of List Price Received

The U.S. economy has been pretty even so far this year. Usually when new figures are released, they paint a pretty picture worthy of putting above the fireplace in that purchased new home. Recently, some numbers for the first quarter were adjusted to show a slight contraction in the economy. The initial response from Wall Street was unfavorable, but the correction itself is truly a mere blip. Nobody is predicting that the market will take a sudden turn.

New Listings in the Milwaukee region decreased 1.3 percent to 2,773. Pending Sales were down 29.8 percent to 1,229. Inventory levels rose 2.0 percent to 8,258 units.

Prices continued to gain traction. The Median Sales Price increased 11.2 percent to $195,000. Days on Market was down 17.0 percent to 70 days. Absorption rates were even with last year as Months Supply of Inventory remained flat at 6.1 months.

One interesting effect of a weaker-than-expected economy is that the Federal Reserve does not seem ready to raise short-term interest rates during summer, as some had suggested might happen. New projections indicate that rates will remain the same until September at the earliest. The dominant storylines in housing are decidedly not negative these days. Instead, you're more likely to see top sales and luxury living highlighted than the woes of foreclosures and short sales.

Page 2: Monthly Indicators...Monthly Indicators May 2015 Quick Facts Market Overview 2 New Listings 3 Pending Sales 4 Closed Sales 5 Days on Market Until Sale 6 Median Sales Price 7 Average

Market Overview Key market metrics for the current month and year-to-date figures.

Key Metrics Historical Sparklines 5-2014 5-2015 + / – YTD 2014 YTD 2015 + / –

6,188 + 8.3%

180

8,095

85 70

183 - 4.8%

--

$193,069 $212,564 + 10.1%

$175,375 $195,000

$232,717 + 13.3%

93.8% 95.2%

Housing Affordability Index

Days on Market Until Sale

Median Sales Price

Average Sales Price

Percent of OriginalList Price Received

$205,396

1,631 1,745 + 7.0% 5,715

New Listings

Pending Sales

Closed Sales

+ 2.8%

1,750 1,229 - 29.8% 6,692 6,547 - 2.2%

11,8012,809 2,773 - 1.3% 11,477

+ 11.2% $164,000 $180,000

+ 1.0%

- 17.0% 91 84 - 7.2%

+ 9.8%

+ 1.5% 92.8% 93.7%

All data comes from Metro MLS. for activity in the 4-County Milwaukee Metropolitan Area. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 2

6.1

169 - 6.1%

+ 2.0%

- 0.0%

8,258

6.1

193

--

-- --

--

--Months Supplyof Homes for Sale

Inventory of Homes for Sale

5-2012 5-2013 5-2014 5-2015

5-2012 5-2013 5-2014 5-2015

5-2012 5-2013 5-2014 5-2015

5-2012 5-2013 5-2014 5-2015

5-2012 5-2013 5-2014 5-2015

5-2012 5-2013 5-2014 5-2015

5-2012 5-2013 5-2014 5-2015

5-2012 5-2013 5-2014 5-2015

5-2012 5-2013 5-2014 5-2015

5-2012 5-2013 5-2014 5-2015

Page 3: Monthly Indicators...Monthly Indicators May 2015 Quick Facts Market Overview 2 New Listings 3 Pending Sales 4 Closed Sales 5 Days on Market Until Sale 6 Median Sales Price 7 Average

New Listings A count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month.

MonthPrior Year

Current Year

+ / –

June 2,498 2,799 +12.0%

July 2,384 2,430 +1.9%

August 2,242 2,192 -2.2%

September 1,987 2,095 +5.4%

October 1,836 1,894 +3.2%

November 1,231 1,252 +1.7%

December 924 928 +0.4%

January 1,671 1,649 -1.3%

February 1,763 1,964 +11.4%

March 2,419 2,631 +8.8%

April 2,815 2,784 -1.1%

May 2,809 2,773 -1.3%

12-Month Avg 2,048 2,116 +3.3%

All data comes from Metro MLS for activity in the 4-County Milwaukee Metropolitan Area. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 3

2,714 2,809 2,773

2013 2014 2015

May

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015

Historical New Listing Activity

11,093 11,477 11,801

2013 2014 2015

Year To Date

+2.8%+3.5% -1.3% +3.5%

Page 4: Monthly Indicators...Monthly Indicators May 2015 Quick Facts Market Overview 2 New Listings 3 Pending Sales 4 Closed Sales 5 Days on Market Until Sale 6 Median Sales Price 7 Average

Pending Sales A count of the properties on which contracts have been accepted in a given month.

MonthPrior Year

Current Year

+ / –

June 1,729 1,788 +3.4%

July 1,638 1,752 +7.0%

August 1,535 1,466 -4.5%

September 1,232 1,345 +9.2%

October 1,220 1,297 +6.3%

November 975 1,063 +9.0%

December 855 940 +9.9%

January 917 945 +3.1%

February 1,037 1,167 +12.5%

March 1,321 1,675 +26.8%

April 1,667 1,531 -8.2%

May 1,750 1,229 -29.8%

12-Month Avg 1,323 1,350 +2.0%

All data comes from Metro MLS for activity in the 4-County Milwaukee Metropolitan Area. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 4

1,8341,750

1,229

2013 2014 2015

May

300

600

900

1,200

1,500

1,800

2,100

1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015

Historical Pending Sales Activity

7,2326,692 6,547

2013 2014 2015

Year To Date

-2.2%-4.6% -29.8% -7.5%

Page 5: Monthly Indicators...Monthly Indicators May 2015 Quick Facts Market Overview 2 New Listings 3 Pending Sales 4 Closed Sales 5 Days on Market Until Sale 6 Median Sales Price 7 Average

Closed Sales A count of the actual sales that have closed in a given month.

MonthPrior Year

Current Year

+ / –

June 1,821 1,874 +2.9%

July 1,877 1,882 +0.3%

August 1,791 1,751 -2.2%

September 1,382 1,438 +4.1%

October 1,319 1,377 +4.4%

November 1,020 1,061 +4.0%

December 1,074 1,155 +7.5%

January 786 773 -1.7%

February 820 781 -4.8%

March 1,136 1,388 +22.2%

April 1,342 1,501 +11.8%

May 1,631 1,745 +7.0%

12-Month Avg 1,333 1,394 +4.6%

All data comes from Metro MLS for activity in the 4-County Milwaukee Metropolitan Area. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 5

1,7701,631

1,745

2013 2014 2015

May

250

500

750

1,000

1,250

1,500

1,750

2,000

2,250

2,500

1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015

Historical Closed Sales Activity

6,2385,715

6,188

2013 2014 2015

Year To Date

+8.3%-7.9% +7.0% -8.4%

Page 6: Monthly Indicators...Monthly Indicators May 2015 Quick Facts Market Overview 2 New Listings 3 Pending Sales 4 Closed Sales 5 Days on Market Until Sale 6 Median Sales Price 7 Average

Days on Market Until Sale Average number of days between when a property is listed and when an offer is accepted in a given month.

MonthPrior Year

Current Year

+ / –

June 83 74 -10.3%

July 77 73 -5.1%

August 81 77 -5.0%

September 77 78 +1.7%

October 82 80 -2.7%

November 84 85 +1.6%

December 91 85 -6.1%

January 92 93 +1.1%

February 97 97 -0.0%

March 98 94 -4.2%

April 87 79 -8.3%

May 85 70 -17.0%

12-Month Avg 85 80 -5.3%

All data comes from Metro MLS for activity in the 4-County Milwaukee Metropolitan Area. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 6

87 85

70

2013 2014 2015

May

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015

Historical Days on Market Until Sale

10091

84

2013 2014 2015

Year To Date

-7.2%-2.0% -17.0% -9.4%

Page 7: Monthly Indicators...Monthly Indicators May 2015 Quick Facts Market Overview 2 New Listings 3 Pending Sales 4 Closed Sales 5 Days on Market Until Sale 6 Median Sales Price 7 Average

Median Sales Price Median price point for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

MonthPrior Year

Current Year

+ / –

June $190,000 $188,000 -1.1%

July $181,900 $189,900 +4.4%

August $180,500 $192,000 +6.4%

September $170,000 $178,000 +4.7%

October $172,000 $183,250 +6.5%

November $163,500 $179,900 +10.0%

December $165,000 $170,000 +3.0%

January $155,000 $158,650 +2.4%

February $150,750 $166,000 +10.1%

March $163,250 $175,000 +7.2%

April $162,050 $186,000 +14.8%

May $175,375 $195,000 +11.2%

12-Month Med $172,000 $183,000 +6.4%

All data comes from Metro MLS for activity in the 4-County Milwaukee Metropolitan Area. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 7

$173,000 $175,375$195,000

2013 2014 2015

May

$135,000

$145,000

$155,000

$165,000

$175,000

$185,000

$195,000

$205,000

$215,000

1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015

Historical Median Sales Price

$161,000 $164,000$180,000

2013 2014 2015

Year To Date

+9.8%+1.4% +11.2% +1.9%

Page 8: Monthly Indicators...Monthly Indicators May 2015 Quick Facts Market Overview 2 New Listings 3 Pending Sales 4 Closed Sales 5 Days on Market Until Sale 6 Median Sales Price 7 Average

Average Sales Price Average sales price for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

MonthPrior Year

Current Year

+ / –

June $227,483 $226,930 -0.2%

July $221,213 $224,786 +1.6%

August $218,853 $226,064 +3.3%

September $207,959 $213,717 +2.8%

October $200,459 $222,171 +10.8%

November $197,428 $220,216 +11.5%

December $203,395 $210,251 +3.4%

January $190,318 $187,808 -1.3%

February $177,371 $196,790 +10.9%

March $189,744 $204,042 +7.5%

April $192,106 $217,892 +13.4%

May $205,396 $232,717 +13.3%

12-Month Avg $206,054 $218,182 +5.9%

All data comes from Metro MLS for activity in the 4-County Milwaukee Metropolitan Area. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 8

$202,321 $205,396

$232,717

2013 2014 2015

May

$170,000

$180,000

$190,000

$200,000

$210,000

$220,000

$230,000

$240,000

$250,000

$260,000

1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015

Historical Average Sales Price

$192,458 $193,069$212,564

2013 2014 2015

Year To Date

+ 10.1%+ 1.5% + 13.3% + 0.3%

Page 9: Monthly Indicators...Monthly Indicators May 2015 Quick Facts Market Overview 2 New Listings 3 Pending Sales 4 Closed Sales 5 Days on Market Until Sale 6 Median Sales Price 7 Average

Percent of Original List Price Received Percentage found when dividing a property’s sales price by its original list price, then taking the average for all properties sold in a given month, not accounting for seller concessions.

MonthPrior Year

Current Year

+ / –

June 94.7% 95.2% +0.5%

July 94.6% 94.7% +0.2%

August 93.6% 94.3% +0.7%

September 93.4% 92.9% -0.5%

October 92.6% 92.8% +0.2%

November 91.9% 92.2% +0.3%

December 91.3% 92.5% +1.3%

January 91.9% 90.9% -1.0%

February 90.5% 92.1% +1.7%

March 92.4% 93.1% +0.7%

April 93.7% 94.9% +1.3%

May 93.8% 95.2% +1.5%

12-Month Avg 93.2% 93.7% +0.6%

All data comes from Metro MLS for activity in the 4-County Milwaukee Metropolitan Area. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 9

94.2% 93.8% 95.2%

2013 2014 2015

May

86%

88%

90%

92%

94%

96%

98%

100%

1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015

Historical Percent of Original List Price Received

92.3% 92.8% 93.7%

2013 2014 2015

Year To Date

+1.0%-0.4% +1.5% +0.5%

Page 10: Monthly Indicators...Monthly Indicators May 2015 Quick Facts Market Overview 2 New Listings 3 Pending Sales 4 Closed Sales 5 Days on Market Until Sale 6 Median Sales Price 7 Average

Housing Affordability Index

MonthPrior Year

Current Year

+ / –

June 159 169 +6.0%

July 167 167 -0.4%

August 166 165 -0.1%

September 178 176 -1.0%

October 176 176 +0.2%

November 188 178 -4.9%

December 187 191 +2.6%

January 198 208 +5.0%

February 204 199 -2.6%

March 190 186 -2.1%

April 190 176 -7.0%

May 180 169 -6.1%

12-Month Avg 182 180 -0.9%

All data comes from Metro MLS for activity in the 4-County Milwaukee Metropolitan Area. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 10

This index measures housing affordability for the region. An index of 120 means the median household income was 120% of what is necessary to qualify for the median-priced home under prevailing interest rates. A higher number means greater affordability.

183 180169

2013 2014 2015

May

90

110

130

150

170

190

210

230

250

1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015

Historical Housing Affordability Index

197 193183

2013 2014 2015

Year To Date

-4.8%-1.7% -6.1% -2.2%

Page 11: Monthly Indicators...Monthly Indicators May 2015 Quick Facts Market Overview 2 New Listings 3 Pending Sales 4 Closed Sales 5 Days on Market Until Sale 6 Median Sales Price 7 Average

Inventory of Homes for Sale The number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of a given month.

MonthPrior Year

Current Year

+ / –

June 8,185 8,432 +3.0%

July 8,224 8,407 +2.2%

August 8,197 8,364 +2.0%

September 8,178 8,217 +0.5%

October 7,841 7,746 -1.2%

November 7,242 7,039 -2.8%

December 6,313 6,021 -4.6%

January 6,364 6,036 -5.2%

February 6,491 6,272 -3.4%

March 6,992 6,639 -5.0%

April 7,598 7,303 -3.9%

May 8,095 8,258 +2.0%

12-Month Avg 7,477 7,395 -1.4%

All data comes from Metro MLS for activity in the 4-County Milwaukee Metropolitan Area. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 11

7,947 8,095 8,258

2013 2014 2015

May

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

11,000

12,000

13,000

14,000

1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015

Historical Inventory of Homes for Sale

+2.0%+1.9%

Page 12: Monthly Indicators...Monthly Indicators May 2015 Quick Facts Market Overview 2 New Listings 3 Pending Sales 4 Closed Sales 5 Days on Market Until Sale 6 Median Sales Price 7 Average

Months Supply of Inventory The inventory of homes for sale at the end of a given month, divided by the average monthly pending sales from the last 12 months.

MonthPrior Year

Current Year

+ / –

June 6.1 6.3 +3.3%

July 6.1 6.3 +3.1%

August 6.0 6.3 +4.1%

September 6.0 6.1 +2.3%

October 5.7 5.7 +0.3%

November 5.3 5.2 -1.9%

December 4.6 4.4 -4.2%

January 4.7 4.4 -5.6%

February 4.8 4.6 -5.4%

March 5.2 4.7 -10.0%

April 5.7 5.2 -8.2%

May 6.1 6.1 -0.0%

12-Month Avg 5.5 5.5 -1.5%

All data comes from Metro MLS for activity in the 4-County Milwaukee Metropolitan Area. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 12

6.1 6.1 6.1

2013 2014 2015

May

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015

Historical Months Supply of Inventory

-0.0%+1.0%