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Mutual Fund Review November 19, 2009 | Mutual Fund Mutual Fund Review February 27, 2015

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Page 1: Mutual Fund Review - Open Online Trading Account | …content.icicidirect.com/mailimages/IDirect_MonthlyMF...ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research Note: Whenever, returns for

Mutual FundReview

October 20 2009 | Mutual Fund October 20 2009 | Mutual Fund October 20 2009 | Mutual Fund

November 19, 2009 | Mutual Fund Mutual Fund Review

February 27, 2015

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ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research

Note: Whenever, returns for the scheme are shown in the report, they are for the growth option of the scheme.

Mutual Fund Review

Equity Markets....................................................................................................2

Debt Markets ......................................................................................................3

MF industry synopsis .........................................................................................4

MF Category Analysis ........................................................................................5

Equity funds ................................................................................................... 5 Equity diversified funds ...................................................................................6 Equity Infrastructure fund................................................................................7 Equity Banking Funds ......................................................................................7 Equity FMCG....................................................................................................7 Equity Pharma Funds.......................................................................................8 Equity Technology Funds................................................................................8

Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) ...................................................................... 9 Balanced funds............................................................................................. 10 Monthly Income Plans (MIP)........................................................................ 10 Arbitrage Funds............................................................................................ 11 Debt funds .................................................................................................... 12

Liquid Funds ..................................................................................................13 Income funds .................................................................................................14 Gilt Funds ...................................................................................................15 Gold ETFs: Global gold price to be volatile amidst central banks action.....16 Model Portfolios ...............................................................................................17

Equity funds model portfolio....................................................................... 17 Debt funds model portfolio ......................................................................... 18

Top Picks...........................................................................................................19

February 27, 2015

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Page 2

Equity Markets Update

The Indian equity markets witnessed some volatility during February 2015 as markets saw some profit booking during the first half of February after hitting all-time levels at the end of January 2015. The markets, however, revived and are trading near all-time levels ahead of the Union Budget

Global equity markets continued their positive momentum in February as well on the back of monetary stimulus announced by the European Central Bank (ECB)

Midcaps and small caps continued their outperformance and were more resilient in the recent volatility as investors continue to look for investment opportunity

On a revised base (2012 instead of earlier 2010), CPI January 2015 came in at 5.11%, softer than market expectation of 5.4%. WPI declined 0.39% as the fuel group index declined 10.6% YoY. Also, the WPI index continued to decline for a fourth consecutive month by ~1%. Core WPI further eased to 0.9%, aided by a drop in global commodity prices

The base revision of the CPI series is a good exercise as it captures the revised consumption pattern. The increase in income levels over the past decade has led to a consumption shift from food to non-food category. The weights of the sub-components within the new CPI basket are now based on the Consumer Expenditure Survey (CES) of 2011-12 against the old basket individual weights based on CES of 2004-05

Outlook

We believe the new CPI will stay on the RBI’s trajectory of January 2016 CPI at 6% on an assumption of a good monsoon and a stable currency. A benign outlook on international commodity prices and commitment of the government to prevent price shocks in seasonal commodities (effective price monitoring of essential commodities, utilisation of food stocks, creation of price stabilisation fund & improvement in the supply chain infrastructure and moderate MSP hikes) give us comfort that inflation may not accelerate at a more rapid pace

The RBI in its sixth bi-monthly monetary policy review re-stated “Also critical would be sustained high quality fiscal consolidation…” Therefore, post the Union Budget 2015, there is a probability the RBI may announce another rate cut as we do not expect the government to move away from its fiscal consolidation roadmap to bring down deficit to 3% of GDP in the next two years

The Union Budget will be keenly watched by the market as it will be the first full Budget to be announced by the Modi government. Market participants will look forward to not only the fiscal numbers for FY16 but more to the medium-term direction of the government’s finances and its intentions on structural reforms

The structural medium to long term outlook for Indian equity market remains positive on lower commodity prices, particularly crude oil, expectations of further rate cuts by RBI and policy announcements by the government to spur investments and, consequently, overall growth

However, given the markets have rallied significantly in the last year, it is better to adopt a staggered investment approach by utilising volatility to build the equity portfolio

Midcaps have outperformed large caps in the last nine months since the formation of the government at the Centre. Therefore, cautions needs to be exercised while investing in it

CNX Nifty: Good show in CY14

5500

6000

6500

7000

7500

8000

8500

9000

Dec-

13Ja

n-14

Feb-

14M

ar-1

4Ap

r-14

May

-14

Jun-

14Ju

l-14

Aug-

14Se

p-14

Oct-1

4N

ov-1

4De

c-14

Jan-

15Fe

b-15

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

Midcap companies on rally

2.4

2.4

2.3

1.0

-0.6-1.0

-0.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.0

BSE 100 BSESensex

BSE 500 BSEMidcap

BSESmallCap

Retu

rn (%

)

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research Returns : 1M (January 20 – February 19, 2015)

…falling commodity prices hit oil & gas and metal companies

9.3

6.4

5.6

4.4

3.8

3.7

2.7

2.4

1.0

-3.0

-0.5

-2.8

-4-202468

10

IT

Real

ity

Cap.

Good

s

Heal

thca

re

FMCG

Con.

Dura

Met

al

Sens

ex

Auto

Oil &

Gas

PSU

Bank

ing

Retu

rn (%

)

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research Returns : 1M (January 20 – February 19, 2015)

Research Analyst

Sachin Jain [email protected] Sheetal Ashar [email protected]

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Page 3

Debt Markets Update

The year 2015 started with a change in the monetary policy stance by the Reserve Bank of India. The RBI in a surprising but long awaited decision cut the repo rate by 25 bps to 7.75% from 8% on January 15, 2015. Consequently, it kept repo rates unchanged in its monetary policy meeting on February 3, 2015

The rate cut in January by the RBI weighs more as it now marks the change of the monetary policy stance and beginning of the easing interest rate cycle. The RBI has repeatedly said that once the policy stance shifts it will be a definitive shift and further actions will be consistent with the new stance

In its monetary policy meeting on February 3, 2015, the RBI cut the SLR by 50 bps, increased the limit under liberalised remittance scheme (LRS) to US$250,000 per person per year, allowed reinvestment of coupon in government security investments by FPIs even though the current limit of US$30 billion is getting fully utilised and introduced minimum investment threshold of three years for FPI investment in corporate bonds in line with the regulation that exists for government bonds

Inflation, both WPI and CPI, eased sharply largely due to the base effect and a fall in crude oil prices. The hawkish stance adopted by the RBI by not resorting to rate cuts despite market pressure also helped to tame inflationary expectations

Foreign institutional investors continue to invest in Indian debt market. They have invested US$4.7 billion in 2015 so far after having invested a record net US$26.25 billion in 2014

Outlook

We believe the new CPI will stay on the RBI’s trajectory of January 2016 CPI at 6% on an assumption of a good monsoon and a stable currency

The RBI in its sixth bi-monthly monetary policy review re-stated “Also critical would be sustained high quality fiscal consolidation…” Therefore, post the Union Budget 2015, there is a probability the RBI may announce another rate cut as we do not expect the government to move away from its fiscal consolidation roadmap to bring down deficit to 3% of GDP in the next two years

We continue to maintain our view of 100 bps repo rate cut by the RBI in calendar year 2015 and, therefore, expect another 50-75 bps rate cut throughout the remainder of the year on the back of a benign outlook on international commodity prices and commitment of the government to prevent price shocks in seasonal commodities

We continue to remain positive on the Indian debt markets as it is well placed to benefit from the structural improvement in macroeconomic data and expect the positive undertone of the debt market to sustain, going forward

The G-Sec funds and long duration income funds have outperformed as a result of the rally in G-Secs. The G-Sec funds and long duration income funds have outperformed as a result of the rally in G-Secs. The results in G-Sec or income funds are more volatile than short-term funds. Historically, higher returns in G-sec or income funds in a particular year are followed by a mediocre return in the following year. Although the current environment still remains conducive for duration funds, returns are likely to moderate in 2015

G-Sec rally as with sharp correction

7.6

8.0

8.4

8.8

9.2

9.6

Oct-1

3Oc

t-13

Nov

-13

Dec-

13Ja

n-14

Feb-

14M

ar-1

4Ap

r-14

May

-14

Jun-

14Ju

l-14

Aug-

14Se

p-14

Oct-1

4N

ov-1

4De

c-14

Jan-

15

Yiel

d (%

)

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

Second half calendar in line with expectation Month Gross

BorrowingRedemption Net Borrowing

October 45,000 19,755 25,245 November 58,000 52,500 5,500 December 56,000 - 56,000 January 55,000 - 55,000 February 26,000 6,430 19,570 March - - - Total 240,000 78,685 161,315

Source: RBI, ICICIdirect.com Research, Figures are in | crore

G-sec yield curve moves down

7.4

7.6

7.8

8.0

8.2

1yr 3yr 5yr 10yr

Yiel

d (%

)

19-Feb-15 20-Jan-15

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

Corporate bond yield curve inverted

8.2

8.3

8.4

8.5

8.6

8.7

1yr 3yr 5yr 10 yr

Yiel

d (%

)

17-Feb-15 20-Jan-15

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

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Page 4

MF industry synopsis Assets under management (AUM) of all schemes put together

registered 31% YoY increase to | 1.18 trillion Net inflows in the MF schemes were to the tune of | 106878 crore in

January 2015 majorly in the liquid funds (| 85848 crore). Equity funds (Equity + ELSS) inflow continued in January to the tune of | 6324 crore

Exhibit 1: Equity AUM pick-up pushes AUM growth

8899

52

8258

60

9032

55

9163

93

8253

30

9453

21

1011

102

1006

452

1012

824

9594

15

1051

343

8339

61

9747

15

1095

653

1012

8249%

12%9% 9%

13%

18%15%

16%20%

32% 32%29%

31%

23%

27%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Oct-1

3

Nov

-13

Dec-

13

Jan-

14

Feb-

14

Mar

-14

Apr-1

4

May

-14

Jun-

14

Jul-1

4

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

| Cr

ore

0

200000

400000

600000

800000

1000000

1200000

Total AUM (RHS) Growth (YoY)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 2: AUM break up January 2015

Equity, 340936, 29%Balanced, 25792, 2%

Other ETFs, 8216, 1%

FOF(Overseas), 2500, 0%Income, 520234, 44%

Money Market, 265358, 22%

Gilt, 11075, 1%

Gold ETFs , 7245, 1%

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 3: HDFC AMC has highest AAUM…ICICI Prudential gains market share

1504

68

1260

69

1367

63

1079

68

8739

0.1

7214

0.6

6364

2.8

3879

6.4

3753

2.1

4791

9.6

1089

90

1024

87

9719

1

8499

8

7435

1

6456

1

4425

8

3575

8

3264

1

4124

8

25000

50000

75000

100000

125000

150000

HDFC

MF

Relia

nce

MF

Ipru

MF

Birla

Sunl

ife M

F

UTI M

F

SBI M

F

Fran

klin

Tem

pelto

nKo

tak

Mah

indr

aDS

PBl

ackR

ock

IDFC

MF

| Cr

Dec-14 Dec-13

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 4: …HDFC, ICICI Prudential highest contributors to increase in AAUM

Others22%

IDFC MF3%DSP BlackRock

MF2%

Kotak Mahindra MF1%

Franklin Tempelton MF

8% SBI MF3%

UTI MF6%

Birla Sunlife MF10%

Ipru MF17%

Reliance MF10%

HDFC MF18%

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Share of equity AUM has been increasing while that of gold ETFs has been losing sheen

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MF Category Analysis

Equity funds Midcap funds continued the rally as sentiments remain upbeat post the

RBI cut in policy rates and likely earnings upgrade post the third quarter results

Banking and infrastructure funds gained led by 25 bps repo rate cut announced by the RBI, signalling a change in its stance

Exhibit 5: Midcap clear winners (Returns as on February19, 2015)

92.5

81.2

81.3

63.1

52.4

54.3

46.6

31.3

31.6

16.9

15.7 22

.1

34.3

20.2 27

.6

25.6

21.1

16.1

8.1 15

.9 26.0

14.6

26.5

17.8

0102030405060708090

100

Mid cap Banking Infrastructure Diversified Pharma Large Cap FMCG Technology

Retu

rns

(%)

1year 3 Year 5year

Source: Crisil Fund Analyser, ICICIdirect.com Research ; Returns over one year are compounded annualised returns

Exhibit 6: Retail investor sentiment strong post April 2014

427 582

-1935-160

2022

7153

10845

5364

794656004963

66516324

-4500-2500-50015003500550075009500

1150013500

Jan-

14

Feb-

14

Mar

-14

Apr-1

4

May

-14

Jun-

14

Jul-1

4

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Net

Inflo

w (

| Cr

)

Net inflow (Equity + ELSS)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 7: Equity AUM soars led by record inflows and marker rally

1754

21

1811

27

1911

97

1922

46

2172

34

2410

24

2516

30

2667

42

2803

97

2971

60

3146

84

3194

78

3409

36

150000200000250000300000350000400000

Jan-

14

Feb-

14

Mar

-14

Apr-1

4

May

-14

Jun-

14

Jul-1

4

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

| Cr

ore

Equity +ELSS

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 8: \Deployment of equity funds

Allocation Banks Software Pharma Auto FinanceConsumer

Durables

Industrial Capital Goods

Construction PetroleumIndustrial Products

| crore 76061 35462 24366 23178 21992 17718 15623 13984 13642 13589

% of total 21.4 10.0 6.6 6.5 6.2 5.0 4.4 3.9 3.8 3.8

Source: Sebi, ICICIdirect.com Research, Sector Classification (as per Amfi)

Cyclicals and high beta funds gained as sentiments

improve on growth prospects post formation of the NDA

government

Exposure to banks and finance stocks together account for

the highest proportion with 27% of the equity assets

followed by technology and pharma

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Page 6

Equity diversified funds

Equity diversified funds, we believe, are the best category of funds to stay invested at the current juncture. Post the healthy returns in CY14, we expect the positive momentum to further strengthen

Near term, there may be some hiccups led by stock specific correction based on how fast the companies are able to capture the benefit of the government reforms. While the Q3FY15 results were muted, management commentary however was neutral to positive.

Market participants will now look forward to Union Budget 2015-16 to be presented on February 28, 2015 for further cues. We expect a cut in the planned expenditure and subsidies and canalise the same towards reviving the capex and investment cycle

Small and midcap companies with healthy balance sheets are expected to emerge as winners as they will have the strength to capture the reforms improvement and achieve fast track growth

We believe midcap and small cap funds will deliver better returns as the pro-growth government at the Centre augurs well for midcap companies to enter a high growth phase and see multiple re ratings

For long term SIPs, one should opt for diversified funds as they invest in both growth as well as value stocks

Though things have already started to look up for market participants, there is a risk of expectations not being met by the new government. A critical evaluation of the government's performance may lead to volatility in the markets. Budget FY16 will set the long term path for reforms implementation

Recommended funds

Large cap Axis Equity Birla Sunlife Frontline Equity ICICI Prudential Focused Bluechip Equity UTI Opportunities Fund

Diversified

Franklin India Prima Plus Fund ICICI Prudential Dynamic Plan Reliance Equity Opportunities

Midcap

HDFC Mid-Cap Opportunities Fund ICICI Prudential Discovery Fund Franklin India Smaller Companies Fund SBI Magnum Global Fund

Small cap

DSPBR Micro Cap Reliance Small Cap SBI Small & Midcap

(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

View Short term: Positive Long-term: Positive

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Equity Infrastructure fund After a clear mandate, the government unveiled its 10-year agenda to

focus on infrastructure, especially in road & railways like the dedicated freight corridor (US$80 billion), Diamond Quadrilateral (Mumbai Ahmedabad bullet train preliminary cost pegged at | 65,000 crore) and Sagar Mala project (| 1 lakh crore project). This lends comfort there will be tangible opportunities in the long run for infrastructure players

Secondly, the government’s progress towards speeding up the decision making process towards low hanging fruits/stuck project worth | 25 lakh crore would not only lead to better execution but also improve the liquidity of various infrastructure projects

Thirdly, the dovish tone from the RBI towards interest rate would also lead to better liquidity and savings on interest outgo for infrastructure

Fourthly, with the RBI's recent action allowing banks to issue long term bonds for infrastructure with benefits such as relaxation of CRR & SLR norms and longer duration of bonds, we believe the pressure to fund infrastructure projects on developers would ease. Hence, cost of funds and strain on cash flow are likely to reduce, going ahead. While the valuation for the infrastructure sector has moved from distressed to reasonable, we still see a significant scope for a re-rating of the sector

Though there has been a sharp run in prices, we believe any correction in stocks should be used as an opportunity to accumulate stocks

Recommended funds

Franklin Build India Fund HDFC Infrastructure Fund ICICI Prudential Infrastructure Fund

Refer to www.icicidirect.com for

details of the fund

Equity Banking Funds A turnaround in sentiment for the banking sector on hopes of an

improvement in the economy has resulted in a sharp appreciation in stock prices. Though the NPA cycle will take a while to recover, multiples may continue to expand. Credit and deposit growth are expected to improve from the current 13-15% range with an increase in capex. We remain positive on the sector with a long term bias

Banking being a relatively high beta sector has delivered higher returns vis-à-vis the broader market in upturns and can be a preferred sector in the current market dynamics

Recommended funds

ICICI Prudential Banking & Financial Services Reliance Banking Fund UTI Thematic - Banking Sector Fund

Refer to www.icicidirect.com for

details of the fund

Equity FMCG For FMCG companies, we expect a steady pick-up in volumes as urban

discretionary demand continues to remain dismal

FMCG companies are expected to witness a significant improvement in operating margin with commodity prices declining sharply

The FMCG sector would be a major beneficiary of GST implementation, which has been reflected in the current premium multiple

We prefer cyclicals over defensive funds among sector funds

Recommended funds

ICICI Prudential FMCG Fund SBI FMCG Fund

Refer to www.icicidirect.com

for details of the fund

Also, we expect increased allocation and support to key

infrastructure segments like roads, ports and airports in the

Union Budget and extension of tax holidays and exemption

time lines for various infra players

View Short-term: Positive Long-term: Positive

View Short-term: Positive Long-term: Positive

View Short-term: Neutral Long-term: Neutral

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Equity Pharma Funds After a prolonged stretch of strong growth trajectory in the last many

quarters, the growth pace for the sector has slowed down in Q3FY15 on account of slowdown in exports due to - 1) high base 2) delay in product approvals 3) volatile in emerging market currencies and 4) regulatory concerns. However, this was on expected lines. Domestic growth, on the other hand, continued to register sound growth albeit on lower base, even though this was still below our expectation.

Despite muted Q3, only a handful of stocks witness correction as most of the managements sounded optimism about the product approval revival in the US. The BSEHC is currently trading at ~21x on FY17EPS, almost 50% premium to the Sensex FY17 PE. Strong visibility on the back of robust product basket and a reasonable base business growth continue to attract buying interest in the healthcare sector despite premium valuations

Recommended funds

Reliance Pharma Fund SBI Pharma Fund UTI-Pharma & Healthcare

Refer to www.icicidirect.com

for details of the fund

Equity Technology Funds

IT companies reported better-than-expected Q3FY15 earnings in a seasonally weak quarter as ramp-ups in new deal wins led to healthy volume growth. Growth for tier-Is in constant currency terms was robust (3.8% vs. 3.7% in Q2FY15 and 2.2% in Q3FY14) led by the US and Europe. However, reported dollar growth was negatively impacted by cross currency (180-240 bps).

Positively, Nasscom guided for 12-14% YoY revenue growth in FY16E, in line with expected 13% in FY15E. This ties in well with the management commentary regarding broad based demand recovery and healthy order bookings

Blended valuations at ~18.5x FY16E earnings are reasonable and sharp sell-offs should be used to accumulate funds given longer-term growth prospects

Recommended funds

ICICI Prudential Technology Fund DSPBR Technology fund

Refer to www.icicidirect.com for

details of the fund

View Short-term: Neutral Long-term: Positive

View Short-term: Neutral Long-term: Positive

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Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) In India, three kinds of ETFs are available: Equity Index ETFs, liquid

ETFs and gold ETFs

An equity index ETF tracks a particular equity index such as the BSE Sensex, NSE Nifty, Nifty Junior, etc

An equity index ETF scores higher than index funds on several grounds. The expense of investing in ETFs is relatively less by 0.50-1.00% in comparison to an index fund. The expense ratio for ETFs is in the range of 0.50-0.75% excluding brokerage while for index funds the expense ratio varies in the range of 1.0-1.5%. However, brokerage (which varies) is applicable on ETFs while there are no entry loads now on index funds

The tracking error, which explains the extent of deviation of returns from the underlying index, is usually low in ETFs as it tracks the equity index on a real time basis whereas it is done only once in a day for index funds

ETFs also provide liquidity as they are traded on stock exchanges and investors may subscribe or redeem them even on an intra-day basis. This is unavailable in index funds, which are subscribed/redeemed only on a closing NAV basis

There are over 400 ETFs traded globally. ETFs are transparent and cost efficient. The decision on which ETF to buy should be largely governed by the decision on getting exposure in that asset class

Volumes are higher only in the Goldman Sachs Benchmark ETFs and tracking error is also lowest at 0.01%. Therefore, it is our top pick for investors wanting Nifty-linked returns

CPSE ETF is a new entry in the Goldman Sachs ETF offering. The ETF invests in selective 10 PSU stocks and has been listed on the exchange since April. It has delivered healthy 45% return since its launch. Also, bonus units at the end of the year will also provide additional benefit

Exhibit 9: CPSE ETF leads higher inflows

-80 -19

3087

-1213

576

-133

211 51

-439

429492773

128

-1500-1000-500

0500

100015002000250030003500

Sep-

13

Oct-1

3

Nov

-13

Dec-

13Ja

n-14

Feb-

14

Mar

-14

Apr-1

4

May

-14

Jun-

14

Jul-1

4

Aug-

14

Sep-

14Oc

t-14

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Net

Inflo

w (

| Cr

)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 10: AUM also sees jump

1371

1378

4528

3704 48

29

5048

5083

5239

4737 54

65 5997 67

02 7056

010002000300040005000600070008000

Jan-

14

Feb-

14

Mar

-14

Apr-1

4

May

-14

Jun-

14

Jul-1

4

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

| Cr

ore

Other ETFs

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Traded volumes should be the major criterion that is used

while deciding on investment in ETFs. Higher volumes

ensure lower spread and better pricing to investors...

Tracking error, though it should be considered, is not the

deciding factor as variation among funds is not huge...

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Balanced funds Balanced funds are hybrid funds. More than 65% of the overall portfolio

is invested in equities. Hence, as per provisions of the Income Tax Act, 1961, any capital gains over one year become tax free. Also, dividends declared by funds are tax free

In case you separately invest 35% of your investible corpus in a debt fund, the same will be subject to higher taxation. However, if the whole corpus is invested in balanced funds, 100% shall have lower taxation applicable as mentioned above

After a sharp rally in equity markets, the funds can be a preferred investment avenue as the debt proportion serves to protect on intermediate relief rallies or the downturn while providing 65% participation on further upsides

Exhibit 11: Marginally better inflow

-116 -1-402

-108 -83185 348 448

20751789

835732

879

-1000

-500

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Jan-

14

Feb-

14

Mar

-14

Apr-1

4

May

-14

Jun-

14

Jul-1

4

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Net

Inflo

w (

| Cr

)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 12: Equity led AUM growth…

1604

7

1619

5

1679

3

1337

0

1472

8

1591

4

1621

7

1729

3

1827

7 2108

0

2276

9

2449

0

2579

2

1300015000170001900021000230002500027000

Jan-

14

Feb-

14

Mar

-14

Apr-1

4

May

-14

Jun-

14

Jul-1

4

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

| Cr

ore

Balanced

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Recommended funds

ICICI Prudential Balanced - Advantage Fund

HDFC Balanced Fund

Tata Balanced Fund

(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

Monthly Income Plans (MIP) An MIP offers investors an option to invest in debt with some

participation in equity, ~10-25% of the portfolio. They are suitable for investors who seek higher return from a debt portfolio and are comfortable taking nominal risk. The debt corpus of the portfolio provides regular income while the equity portion of the fund provides alpha. However, returns can also get eroded by a fall in equities

MIPs can be classified into aggressive MIP and conservative MIP based on its equity allocation. Risk averse investors should invest in MIPs with lower equity allocation to avoid capital erosion

Change in taxation announced in the Union Budget 2014, shall be applicable to MIP funds (refer to debt funds section for details)

Recommended funds

Birla Sun Life MIP II - Savings 5 Plan

ICICI Prudential MIP 25

DSPBR MIP Fund

(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

Investors with a limited investible surplus and a lower risk

appetite but with a willingness to invest in equities can

look to invest in these funds

View Short-term: Positive Long-term: Neutral

View Short-term: Neutral Long-term: Positive

MIP should be a preferred debt investment for funds that need to be parked for over two years

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Arbitrage Funds Arbitrage funds seek to exploit market inefficiencies that get manifested

as mispricing in the cash (stock) and derivative markets

Availability of arbitrage positions depends very much on the market scenario. A directional movement in the broader index attracts speculators in the market and cost of funding makes futures positions biased

Arbitrage funds are classified as equity funds as they invest into equity share and equity derivative instruments. Since these are classified as equity funds for taxation, dividends declared by the funds are tax free. No capital gains will be applicable if they are sold after a year

These funds can be looked upon as an alternative to liquid funds. However, for these funds, returns totally depend on arbitrage opportunities available at a particular point of time and investors should consider reviewing the same before investing. Returns of arbitrage funds are non-linear and, therefore, unsuitable for investors who want consistent return across time period

Arbitrage funds should be used as a liquid investment and should not be a major part of the investor’s portfolio

Availability of arbitrage positions depends very much on the market scenario. Directional movement in the broader index attracts speculators in the market while cost of funding makes future positions biased

In case of positive movement, long build-up in futures puts pricing in an upward bias and creates a window for direct arbitrage positions

On the other hand, negative bias attracts fresh sellers in the market and speculators try to sell the stock much cheaper than theoretical prices. In such situations, reverse arbitrage opportunities arise

On the other hand, a range bound market does not give ample room to create arbitrage positions

Recommended funds

ICICI Prudential Equity - Arbitrage Fund – Regular IDFC Arbitrage Fund - (Regular) Kotak Equity Arbitrage Fund SBI Arbitrage Opportunities Fund

(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

View Short-term: Positive Long-term: Positive

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Debt funds Exhibit 13: Category average returns

8.6 9.0

8.910

.9

10.7

9.3

16.9

14.4

9.6

19.2

15.6

9.5

8.3 8.7 9.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

6 months 1 year 3year%

Income UST Income ST Income LT Gilt Funds Liquid

Source: ACE MF, ICICIdirect.com Research Note : Returns as on February 19, 2015; Returns over one year are compounded annualised returns

Exhibit 14: Deployment of funds: September 2014

CP Bank CD

Bank CD

Bank CD

Corporate Debt

0

5000

0

1000

00

1500

00

2000

00

2500

00

3000

00

3500

00

4000

00

4500

00

5000

00

Less than 90 days

90 days to 182days

182 days to 1 year

1 year and above

Government Securities

CP

Bank CD

Treasury Bills

CBLO

Other Money MarketInvestmentsCorporate Debt

PSU Bonds

Securitised Debt

Bank FD

Source: SEBI, ICICIdirect.com Research Note : Holding as percentage of total AUM

Exhibit 15: G-Sec yield curve

7.5

7.7

7.9

8.1

8.3

8.5

8.7

1yr 3yr 5yr 10yr

Yiel

d (%

)

26-Feb-15 27-Jan-15

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 16: Corporate bond curve

8.2

8.3

8.4

8.5

8.6

8.7

1yr 3yr 5yr 10 yr

Yiel

d (%

)

26-Feb-15 28-Jan-15

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

Short-term (credit opportunities) funds deliver better returns over a longer period and are more consistent performers while a drop in yields to 7.70% led gilt funds to outperform

Mutual fund investments into money market instrument increased. They were especially major lenders under the CBLO

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Liquid Funds Three month CP/CD rates and the call and the CBLO rates inched up

with increased volatility in the last week. Liquid funds pre tax earnings are directly linked to these papers and likely to be higher by 10-15bps on one month annualised basis to 8.15% from 8% as off today.

For less than a year, individuals in the higher tax bracket should opt for dividend option as the dividend distribution tax @ 28.325% is marginally lower. Also, though the tax arbitrage has been reduced, they still earn better pre-tax returns over bank savings (3-4%) and current accounts (0-3%)

Changes in taxation rules announced in Union Budget 2014 are also applicable to liquid funds, which may make them vulnerable to redemption pressures, as post tax returns in less than a three-year period get reduced for individuals falling in the higher tax bracket (30% tax slab) and corporate and returns may, to that extent, be lower

Exhibit 17: Call rates near MSF rate

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

Apr-1

4M

ay-1

4Ju

n-14

Jul-1

4Au

g-14

Sep-

14Oc

t-14

Nov

-14

Dec-

14Ja

n-15

Feb-

15

%

Call rate

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 18: …CP/CD yields range bound

8.0

8.5

9.0

9.5

10.0

Apr-1

4M

ay-1

4Ju

n-14

Jul-1

4Au

g-14

Sep-

14Oc

t-14

Nov

-14

Dec-

14Ja

n-15

Feb-

15

%

3M CD 3M CP

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 19: Redemption may take place on increase in holding period

-962

9

-117

354

1238

75

2201

0

-676

97

25,5

89

-5,8

64

-67,

318

100,

611

-52,

460

7749

4

-50,

786

85,8

48

-200000-160000-120000-80000-40000

04000080000

120000160000

Jan-

14

Feb-

14

Mar

-14

Apr-1

4

May

-14

Jun-

14

Jul-1

4

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Net

Inflo

w (

| Cr

)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 20: AUM above | 2 trillion but may see drop next month

2589

80

2508

22

1332

80

2593

10

2827

00

2159

95

2442

20

2450

35

1845

25

2788

07

2281

49

1784

91

2653

5880000

130000

180000

230000

280000

330000

Jan-

14

Feb-

14

Mar

-14

Apr-1

4

May

-14

Jun-

14

Jul-1

4

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

| Cr

ore

Money Market

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Recommended funds

HDFC Cash Management Fund - Savings Plan SBI Magnum InstaCash Reliance Liquid Fund - Treasury Plan

(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

View Neutral

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Income funds We continue to remain positive on the Indian debt markets as it is well

placed to benefit from the structural improvement in macroeconomic data and expect the positive undertone of the debt market to sustain

The corporate bond market segment continues to be attractive over the medium term, especially with expectations of an improvement in corporate profitability and an improved economic outlook. The credit opportunities funds are better placed due to stable returns and a change in taxation warranting a minimum holding period of three years to avail indexation benefits. RBI had in its monetary policy disallowed FIIs to invest in corporate debt below three year maturities. Which indirectly provides mutual fund to command a higher yield on this papers which will likely benefit the short term bond funds

The Reserve Bank of India signalled the monetary policy stance shifts earlier than market anticipated by announcing a 25 bps repo rate cut post the lower inflation reading. This led to a rally in the bond market with yields easing across the curve.

We prefer credit opportunities fund in the income funds category as an inverted corporate bond curve offers an opportunity in the one to three year corporate bonds segment

Exhibit 21: Third consecutive month of outflow

5905

1295

5

7838

-992

7

1009

6

1307

-10,

080

-12,

696

-10,

567

15,4

46 19,8

44

-1,6

32

12,1

63

-15000

-10000

-5000

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

Jan-

14

Feb-

14

Mar

-14

Apr-1

4

May

-14

Jun-

14

Jul-1

4

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Net

Inflo

ws

(| .C

r)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 22: AUM steady

4319

44

4471

81

4606

71

4580

09

4738

87

4789

82

4716

51

4611

14

4544

95

4759

68

5005

95

5021

54

5202

34

300000350000400000450000500000550000

Jan-

14

Feb-

14

Mar

-14

Apr-1

4

May

-14

Jun-

14

Jul-1

4

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

| Cr

ore

Income

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Recommended funds

Ultra Short Term Funds Birla Sun Life Savings Fund Franklin India Ultra Short Term Bond Fund ICICI Prudential Flexible income

Short Term Funds Birla Sunlife short term fund HDFC Short Term Opportunities Fund ICICI Pru Short Term Plan

Short Term Funds – Credit opportunities Birla Sunlife Medium term Franklin India Short term Plan HDFC Corporate debt opportunities ICICI Prudential Regular Savings

Long term/Dynamic Birla Sunlife income plus ICICI Prudential Dynamic Bond Fund IDFC dynamic bond fund

(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

Union Budget 2015-16 will be closely watched by the

market participants for the fiscal deficit figure. We expect

the government to stick to its fiscal consolidation path of

3.8% of GDP, via spending cuts and reduced subsidies

View Ultra-short term: Positive

Short-term: Positive Long-term: Positive

Ultra-short-term fund returns are attractive on risk adjusted basis Short-term funds will benefit as bond curve reverts to an upward slopping curve. Credit opportunities funds earn the highest accrual and are the best in the category Dynamic bond funds are suitable for all types of investors and for longer duration. They can take exposure to all durations as per the interest rate outlook and switch between G secs and corporate bonds

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Gilt Funds RBI in its sixth bi-monthly policy kept the rates unchanged on lack of

new data post its 25bps repo rate cut. Government securities yield therefore stayed in the range of 7.70%

G-Sec market participant widely expect the government to stick to its fiscal consolidation path of 3.6% of GDP by FY16 in the upcoming Union Budget 2016. The structure of government expenditure and the means of financing the deficit would also be closely watched. We, as well as the market, expect the government to curtail its social expenditure and divert subsidies to more productive sectors to stimulate the capex cycle

On the inflation trajectory, we expect it to stay closer to 5-5.5% for the near term on assumption of a normal monsoon and stable currency. The current easing interest rates cycle is expected to continue with further 50-75 bps rate cut during FY16

The government has stuck to the fiscal deficit target of 4.1% for FY15 and guided for 3.6% in FY16 and 3% in FY17. The guidance for lower fiscal deficit in the next three years is positive for debt markets in the medium-term in terms of G-sec supply

G-sec funds will be less attractive now as the longer holding period (more than three years) will neutralise any capital gains in the near term because of lower accrual income

Recommended funds

Birla Sun Life Gilt Plus - PF Plan - Regular ICICI Prudential LT Gilt Fund - PF Option - Regular

(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund) Exhibit 23: Inflows in to gilt funds as yields take u turn

-135

-937

-377

-373 -318 -211 11

0

-209 13

2 367

814

2090

1813

-1500

-1000

-500

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Jan-

14

Feb-

14

Mar

-14

Apr-1

4

May

-14

Jun-

14

Jul-1

4

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Net

Inflo

w (

| Cr

)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

View Short-term: Neutral Long-term: Neutral

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Gold ETFs: Global gold price to be volatile amidst central banks action

Global gold prices corrected sharply by more than 7% during February 2015 from the highs of above US$1300 per ounce in January as concerns over Greece exiting European Union moderates and demand for safe heaven abates

Indian gold prices followed the global prices and were down 5% from the recent peak of | 28000 per 10 gram during the same period

Overall, global gold prices may be volatile as major central bankers take policy actions to manage their own economy. The US Fed is likely to initiates its interest rate hike this year. Recent macroeconomic data from the US have been upbeat and reinforce the view of an interest rate lift-off in 2015. However, losses may be limited as the easy monetary policy stance by the BoJ and ECB is likely to partially offset monetary tightening by the Fed. An upside risk to prices could stem from any unfavourable geo-political event(s) that would boost the bullion’s safe-haven demand

Gold is supposedly a hedge against inflation and, hence, has a positive correlation with gold prices. Inflationary expectations in the US have reduced in the last two months due to a fall in global crude oil prices and other industrial commodities. In the near term, inflation is likely to remain subdued on weak commodity prices due to concerns over growth in China and Europe. The same may put pressure on gold prices. However, inflation in the medium-term is a risk because of the sustained near zero interest rate policy adopted by the US Federal Reserve since the Lehman crises

Indian gold prices, however, have been trading at a premium due to the 10% custom duty imposed by the Indian government. The improvement in outlook of other asset classes, mainly equity markets, has reduced the attractiveness of Indian gold on a relative basis. Investors should avoid investing in gold from an absolute return perspective and utilise it only as a hedge against uncertainty

Exhibit 24: Outflows for second year….

-36

5

-206

-107

-588

-294

-288

-131

-157

-165

-178 -149

-146

-341

-227

-105

-112

-47

-38

-32

-111

-131

-800

-600

-400

-200

0

200

Apr-1

3

May

-13

Jun-

13

Jul-1

3

Aug-

13

Sep-

13

Oct-1

3

Nov

-13

Dec-

13

Jan-

14

Feb-

14

Mar

-14

Apr-1

4

May

-14

Jun-

14

Jul-1

4

Aug-

14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Net

Inflo

w (

| Cr

)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

After a multi-year bull phase during 2004-12, gold prices

continue to get dragged down. Technically, the violation of

the long term trend line highlights the breach of the decade

long trend of outperformance. From a medium-term

horizon, prices are expected to remain subdued with a

downward bias

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Model Portfolios

Equity funds model portfolio Investors who are wary of investing directly into equities can still get returns almost as good as equity markets through the mutual fund route. We have designed three mutual fund model portfolios, namely, conservative, moderate and aggressive mutual fund portfolios. These portfolios have been designed keeping in mind various key parameters like investment horizon, investment objective, scheme ratings, and fund management. We have changed the mutual funds portfolio in July, to include midcap funds as we believe an improvement in the growth scenario may generate better alpha in midcap stocks over large cap stocks Exhibit 25: Equity model portfolio Particulars Aggressive Moderate ConservativeReview Interval Monthly Monthly QuarterlyRisk Return High Risk- High Return Medium Risk -

Medium ReturnLow Risk - Low Return

Funds Allocation % AllocationFranklin India Prima Plus 20 20 20Birla Sunlife Frontline Equity 20 20 20ICICI Prudential Dynamic Plan - - 20UTI Opportunites Fund - 20 20Reliance Long term Equity 20 - -ICICI Prudential Value Discovery 20 20 20HDFC Midcap Opportunities 20 20Grand Total(a+b) 100 100 100

Source: ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 26: CY14 returns

58% 55%51%

38%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Aggressive Moderate Conservative BSE 100

|

Aggressive Moderate Conservative BSE 100

Source: Crisil Fund Analyser, ICICIdirect.com Research Portfolio inception date : April 15, 2009

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Debt funds model portfolio We have designed three different mutual fund model portfolios for different investment duration namely less than six months, six months to one year and above one year. These portfolios have been designed keeping in mind various key parameters like investment horizon, interest rate scenarios, credit quality of the portfolio and fund management, etc.

Exhibit 27: Debt funds model portfolio

Particulars

0 – 6 months 6months - 1 Year Above 1 Year

Objective LiquidityLiquidity with

moderate return Above FDReview Interval Monthly Monthly Quarterly

Risk ReturnVery Low Risk - Nominal Return

Medium Risk - Medium Return

Low Risk - High Return

Funds AllocationUltra Short term FundsBirla SL Savings Fund 20Franklin India Ultra Short Bond Fund 20ICICI Pru Flexible Income Plan 20Short Term Debt FundsBirla Sunlife Medium Term Plan 20Birla Sunlife Short Term Fund 20 20Birla Sunlife Short Term Opportunites Fund 20Franklin India Short Term Income Fund 20HDFC Medium Term Opportunities Fund 20HDFC Short Term Opportunities Fund 20 20ICICI Prudential Regular Savings 20ICICI Prudential Short Term Fund 20IDFC SSI Short TermSundaram Select Debt 20UTI Short Term FundLong Term/Dynamic Debt FundsIDFC Dynamic Bond fund 20Total 100 100 100

Time Horizon

% Allocation

Source: ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 28: Model portfolio performance : CY14

9.2210.23

11.61

8.8310.18

13.81

0.02.04.06.08.0

10.012.014.016.0

0-6 Months 6Months - 1Year Above 1yr

%

Portfolio Index

Source: Crisil Fund Analyser, , ICICIdirect.com Research

*Index: 0-6 month’s portfolio – Crisil Liquid Fund Index; 6 months-1 year – Crisil Short term Index Above 1 year: Crisil Composite Bond Index

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Top Picks Exhibit 29: Category wise top picks

Category Top Picks

Largecaps Axis Equity Fund

Birla Sunlife Frontline equity Fund

ICICI Pru Focussed Bluechip Equity Fund

UTI Opportunities Fund

Midcaps HDFC Midcap Opportunities Fund

ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund

Franklin India Smaller Companies Fund

SBI Magnum Global Fund

Diversified Franklin India Prima Plus

ICICI Prudential Dynamic Plan

Reliance Equity Opportunities

ELSS Axis Long Term Equity

ICICI Prudential Tax Plan

Franklin India Tax shield

Liquid Funds HDFC Cash Mgmnt Saving Plan

ICIC Pru Liquid Plan

Reliance Liquid Treasury PlanUltra Short Term Birla Sunlife Savings Fund

Franklin India Ultra Short Term Bond Fund

ICICI Pru Flexible Income Plan

Short Term Birla Sunlife Short Term FundHDFC Short Term Opportunities Fund

ICICI Pru Short Term Plan

Credit Opportunities Fund Birla Sunlife Medium Term Plan

Franklin India Short term Plan

ICICI Prudential Regular Savings

Income Funds ICICI Prudenti Dynamic Bond Fund

Birla Sun Life Income Plus - Regular Plan

IDFC Dynamic Bond Fund

Gilts Funds ICICI Pru Gilt Inv. PF Plan

Birla Sunlife Gilt Plus

MIP Birla Sunlife Savings 5

ICICI Prudential MIP 25

DSP Blackrock MIP

Debt

Equity

(Refer www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

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Pankaj Pandey Head – Research [email protected]

ICICIdirect.com Research Desk, ICICI Securities Limited, 1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre, Road No. 7, MIDC, Andheri (East) Mumbai – 400 093

[email protected]

Disclaimer ICICI Securities Ltd. - AMFI Regn. No.: ARN-0845. Registered office of I-Sec is at ICICI Securities Ltd. - ICICI Centre, H. T. Parekh Marg, Churchgate, Mumbai - 400020, India. The selection of the Mutual Funds for the purpose of including in the indicative portfolio does not in any way constitute any recommendation by ICICI Securities Limited (hereinafter referred to as ICICI Securities) with respect to the prospects or performance of these Mutual Funds. The same should also not be considered as solicitation of offer to buy or sell these securities/units. The investor has the discretion to buy all or any of the Mutual Fund units forming part of any of the indicative portfolios on icicidirect.com. Before placing an order to buy the securities/units forming part of the indicative portfolio, the investor has the discretion to deselect any of the securities/units, which he does not wish to buy. Nothing in the indicative portfolio constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to the investor's specific circumstances. The details included in the indicative portfolio are based on information obtained from public sources and sources believed to be reliable, but no independent verification has been made nor is its accuracy or completeness guaranteed. The securities included in the indicative portfolio may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs. This may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgement by any investor. The investor should independently evaluate the investment risks. ICICI Securities and affiliates accept no liabilities for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of this indicative portfolio. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. ICICI Securities may be holding all or any of the securities/units included in the indicative portfolio from time to time. ICICI Securities Limited is not providing the service of Portfolio Management Services (Discretionary or Non Discretionary) to its clients. Mutual fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully. Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them. The information contained herein is strictly confidential and meant solely for the selected recipient and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of ICICI Securities Limited. The contents of this mail are solely for informational purpose and may not be used or considered as an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments or any other product. While due care has been taken in preparing this mail, I-Sec and affiliates accept no liabilities for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of any inaccurate, delayed or incomplete information nor for any actions taken in reliance thereon. This mail/report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject I-Sec and affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction.

Pankaj Pandey Head – Research [email protected]

ICICIdirect.com Research Desk, ICICI Securities Limited, 1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre, Road No. 7, MIDC, Andheri (East) Mumbai – 400 093

[email protected] Disclaimer ANALYST CERTIFICATION We Sachin Jain, CA and Sheetal Ashar, CA Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or Funds. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. Terms & conditions and other disclosures: ICICI Securities Limited (ICICI Securities) AMFI Regn. No.: ARN-0845. Registered office of I-Sec is at ICICI Securities Ltd. - ICICI Centre, H. T. Parekh Marg, Churchgate, Mumbai - 400020, India. ICICI Securities is a full-service, integrated investment banking and is, inter alia, engaged in the business of stock broking and distribution of financial products. ICICI Securities is a wholly-owned subsidiary of ICICI Bank which is India’s largest private sector bank and has its various subsidiaries engaged in businesses of housing finance, asset management, life insurance, general insurance, venture capital fund management, distribution of financial products etc. (“associates”), the details in respect of which are available on www.icicibank.com. ICICI Securities is one of the leading distributors of Mutual Funds and participate in distribution of Mutual Fund Schemes of almost all AMCs in India. The selection of the Mutual Funds for the purpose of including in the indicative portfolio does not in any way constitute any recommendation by ICICI Securities Limited (hereinafter referred to as ICICI Securities) with respect to the prospects or performance of these Mutual Funds. The investor has the discretion to buy all or any of the Mutual Fund units forming part of any of the indicative portfolios on icicidirect.com. Before placing an order to buy the funds forming part of the indicative portfolio, the investor has the discretion to deselect any of the units, which he does not wish to buy. Nothing in the indicative portfolio constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to the investor's specific circumstances. The details included in the indicative portfolio are based on information obtained from public sources and sources believed to be reliable, but no independent verification has been made nor is its accuracy or completeness guaranteed. The funds included in the indicative portfolio may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs. This may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgement by any investor. The investor should independently evaluate the investment risks. 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