mutual fund review
TRANSCRIPT
Mutual FundReview
October 20 2009 | Mutual Fund October 20 2009 | Mutual Fund October 20 2009 | Mutual Fund
November 19, 2009 | Mutual Fund Mutual Fund Review
January 18, 2018
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Note: Whenever, returns for the scheme are shown in the report, they are for the growth option of the scheme.
Mutual Fund Review
Equity Markets ...................................................................................................... 2 Debt Markets ........................................................................................................ 3 MF industry update .............................................................................................. 4 MF industry synopsis ........................................................................................... 5 MF Category Analysis ........................................................................................... 6
Equity funds ....................................................................................................... 6 Equity diversified funds ......................................................................................... 7 Equity infrastructure funds ................................................................................... 8 Equity banking funds ............................................................................................. 8 Equity FMCG Funds ............................................................................................... 9 Equity Pharma funds ............................................................................................. 9 Equity Technology Funds ...................................................................................... 9
Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) ......................................................................... 10 Balanced funds ................................................................................................ 11 Monthly Income Plans (MIP) .......................................................................... 12 Arbitrage Funds ............................................................................................... 12 Debt funds ........................................................................................................ 13
Liquid Funds 14 Income funds ....................................................................................................... 15 Gilt Funds 16 Gold: Outlook anchored to Fed movement ......................................................... 17 Model Portfolios .................................................................................................. 18
Equity funds model portfolio ........................................................................... 18 Debt funds model portfolio .............................................................................. 19
Top Picks ............................................................................................................. 20
January 18, 2018
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Page 2
Equity Markets
Update
Indian headline benchmarks continued to trade in a narrow range near
all-time levels in the last three months since November 2017. However,
broader indices, as represented by midcaps and small caps, continued
their upward trajectory and made new highs almost on a daily basis in
December as well
The year 2017 has been an extremely rewarding one for retail mutual
fund investors. The category average returns of large cap funds, multi
cap funds as well as midcap and small cap funds in 2017 is around
30%, 32% and 41%, respectively
Global equity markets also witnessed a positive momentum in the last
year with most major markets delivering returns in the range of 15-30%.
The same has also supported markets while the market performance of
India is in sync with its global peers
The equity market performance in 2017 has been more well spread with
most sectors except pharma, which underperformed while real estate
(109%) outperformed delivering returns in the range of 30-50%
Corporate earnings in Q2FY18 have not belied expectations and have
led consensus EPS for FY18 and FY19 to remain stable. Retail consumer
focused sectors like automobiles, consumer durables, fast moving
consumer goods (FMCG), media & entertainment, hospitality and retail
posted strong double digit sales growth indicating a revival in
consumer demand. Sectors such as cement also reported better-than-
expected volume growth
Domestic mutual funds were dominant buyers in the CY17, pumping in
more than | 1.18 lakh crore. Investment by mutual funds is backed by
consistent strong inflows by retail investors. Equity oriented funds
averaged ~| 20000 crore of inflows every month in April-December
Outlook
The outlook for the market continues to remain positive. Q2FY18 results
were in line with expectations. They indicated at an earnings recovery,
going forward, that could be far better than widely expected. Results for
Q3FY18 earnings season will benefit from the low base in the
corresponding period last year that was directly impacted by
demonetisation
Relative unattractiveness of other asset classes is likely to continue to
attract inflows into the equity market
Investors who continued their SIP or systematic investment approach
benefited the most from the market rally in 2017. Year 2016 was very
volatile and saw sharp market movements dominated by global markets
and demonetisation. Investors who continued their investment during
this period accumulated funds at lower levels and later benefited from
the rally in recent months. Time and again it has been witnessed that
volatility is a blessing in disguise for long term investors
The overall bias remains positive. However, given the sharp rally in
recent months, it is better to avoid lumpsum investment and continue
with the staggered buying approach
Nifty 50: Markets at all-time highs
7500
8000
8500
9000
9500
10000
10500
11000
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
Sep-1
7
Oct-17
Nov-17
Dec-17
Jan-18
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
Smallcap, midcap indices remain outperformer
10.3
7.1
5.5
4.9
4.5
4.1
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
BS
E S
mall cap
BS
E M
idcap
BS
E 5
00
BS
E 2
00
BS
E 1
00
Sensex
Source: Bloomberg
One month returns till January 12, 2018
Metals, capital goods bounce back, healthcare, IT
recover
16
16
9
7
7
5
3 2 2
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Metals
Real Estate
CG IT
Healthcare
Auto
FM
CG
Oil n G
as
Bankin
g
Source: Bloomberg
One month returns till January 12, 2018
Research Analyst
Sachin Jain
Jaimin Desai
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Page 3
Debt Markets
Update
The Indian fixed income market remained under pressure with G-sec
yields continuing to inch upwards due to concerns arising from rising
inflation, fear of fiscal slippage, rising international crude oil prices and
higher global bond yields
There was increased volatility in mid-January. Bond markets saw a sell
off amid the RBI’s reluctance to provide special dispensation to banks to
spread their MTM losses over longer periods. However, a reduction in
the earlier announced additional borrowing programme by the
government helped ease concerns over fiscal slippage and provided
relief to the market
Yield on the 10-year benchmark crossed 7.2% in November and rose to
7.35% by early January 2018. Yield on the 10-year AAA corporate
bonds moved in tandem with G-sec yields and rose close to 8.1%
before decoupling and dropping back towards 7.8% by mid-January
RBI in its December monetary policy maintained status quo on the repo
rate at 6%, as expected. The monetary policy decision was favoured by
five of the six committee members, with the solitary dissent (Mr
Dholakia) in favour of a policy rate reduction of at least 25 bps
RBI retained its neutral policy stance, with GVA projections at 6.7%.
They marginally raised H2FY18 CPI estimates at 4.3-4.7%. Upside
inflationary risks are from higher oil prices, state’s HRA impact, fiscal
slippages, rising inflation expectations and higher input costs
From a significant surplus, domestic liquidity has continued to decline
on the back of currency leakage, open market sales and MSS. In the
post policy conference, RBI noted that it expects system liquidity to be
neutral by H1FY19. The clarity provided on RBI’s liquidity operations is
welcome. It seems OMO actions would be undertaken in response to
forex flows while OMO sale would not happen to drain liquidity
Outlook
We do not expect a reversal in the interest rate cycle in the near future
and expect RBI to keep repo rates unchanged at 6% during CY18
The recent up move in G-Sec yield with 10-year yield (new series)
moving to around 7.25% is more of a retracement of bullish positioning
as investors adjust from declining rate cycle to a prolonged status quo
phase in benchmark rates
Historically, 10-year G-sec yield spread over repo ranges between 40
bps and 120 bps for most of the period. We believe the current spread
of 125 bps will narrow down once negative sentiments fade. Corporate
bond spread is also likely to be at historic low levels as investors search
for higher accrual in a stable interest rate environment
Short-term accrual debt funds with mix of AAA/AA rated papers and
low expense ratio offer a better investment option
G-sec yields elevated around 7.25% mark
6.0
6.4
6.8
7.2
7.6
Jan-17
Mar-17
May-17
Jul-17
Sep-1
7
Nov-17
Jan-18
Yie
ld (%
)
Source: Bloomberg
G-sec yield curve: Yields flattens for longer
maturities
6.61
7.06
7.26 7.28
6.29
6.62
6.99
7.19
6.0
6.2
6.4
6.6
6.8
7.0
7.2
7.4
1yr 3yr 5yr 10yr
Yie
ld (%
)
12-Jan-18 12-Dec-17
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
AAA corporate bond yield curve flattens for longer
maturities
7.35
7.67
7.86
7.81
7.01
7.38
7.56
7.96
6.4
6.8
7.2
7.6
8.0
1yr 3yr 5yr 10 yr
Yie
ld (%
)
12-Jan-18 12-Dec-17
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Page 4
MF industry update
Amfi recently published a list of stocks based on their average market
cap for the period between July and December 2017. The list ranks
stocks 1-100 as large cap (market cap greater than at least | 29304
crore), 101-250 as midcap (market cap range | 8584 crore-29255 crore)
and 251 and beyond as small cap (market cap below | 8584 crore). As
per Sebi’s October 6 circular on MF scheme categorisation and
rationalisation, MF schemes will have to bring their portfolios in line
with this list by March
The circular says large cap funds need minimum 80% of the corpus in
large cap stocks, midcap funds need to invest minimum 65% of the
corpus in midcap stocks while small cap funds need to invest minimum
65% of the corpus in small cap stocks
We analysed existing funds for compliance in this regard and noted that
midcap funds are some way off the mandated level of 65% holding in
midcap stocks. The holding in midcap stocks is at ~39% with ~38% in
smallcap stocks and ~16% in largecap stocks
Exhibit 1: Midcap funds some way short of Sebi mandated holding in midcap stocks
19.9
17.7
16.4
35.1
37.7
38.7
37.9
37.7
37.9
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17
% o
f M
idcap F
unds A
UM
Large Cap Mid Cap Small Cap
Mandated Midcap holding
Source: ACEMF, ICICIdirect.com Research
A recent Sebi circular now requires all MF schemes to benchmark their
performance against the Total Return Index (TRI) version of their
respective benchmarks. Currently, most MF schemes benchmark their
performance against the Price Return Index (PRI) version. The
difference between the two benchmarks would boil down to dividends
declared by the companies constituting the benchmark. PRI includes
only capital gains while TRI includes capital gains and dividends
declared, which are then assumed to be reinvested. Benchmarking
against TRI is a global best practice. This is a welcome move. The
change comes into effect from February 1, 2018
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Page 5
MF industry synopsis
Total assets managed by mutual funds dropped to ~| 21.4 lakh crore in
December 2017, down ~6.6% from the November figure of | 22.8 lakh
crore. This represents a ~29.8 increase YoY. Of the total MF corpus,
~38% was held by income funds and ~36% by equity and ELSS funds
According to Amfi data, systematic investment plans (SIPs) inflows for
December were at ~| 6200 crore, up from ~| 5900 crore previously.
SIP inflows average ~| 5100 crore per month in FY18 against ~| 3600
crore per month in FY17, a rise of 42%. The trend of rise in SIP inflows
is a welcome one. However, SIP flows as a percentage of inflows into
equity and equity-oriented funds has reduced from ~36% in FY17 to
~25% in FY18. This suggests that while more and more investors are
turning to SIPs as a preferred investment mode (the number of SIP
folios has zoomed 33% in FY18), the majority of equity inflows are
lumpsum in nature
The number of SIP folios has increased from 1.35 crore in March 2017
to 1.88 crore in December 2017. This means that ~40% of SIP folios are
less than a year old
In the trailing 12 months, the mutual fund industry saw a net inflow of
| 4.19 lakh crore. Out of the total net inflow, | 1.46 lakh crore came into
equity and ELSS funds, about 35%
Thus far, inflows into equity and equity oriented flows in FY18 are
averaging ~| 20000 crore per month, nearly double that in FY17.
December saw a net inflow of ~| 21312 crore in equity and equity-
oriented funds
Exhibit 2: Equity, equity-oriented funds receiving ~| 20,000 crore per
month on average, thus far in FY18…
1000000
1200000
1400000
1600000
1800000
2000000
2200000
2400000
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
Sep-1
7
Oct-17
Nov-17
Dec-17
Total AUM
Source: Amfi
Exhibit 3: AUM of Top 10 AMCs
298,442
294,666
236,354
231,722
203,735
148,329
115,391
103,908
83,469
69,138
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
400000
HD
FC
ICICI
Aditya
Birla
Reliance
SB
I
UTI
Kotak
Franklin
DS
P
IDFC
AUM
Source: ACE MF
Exhibit 4: SBI overtakes Franklin Templeton in terms of highest
proportion of equity AUM as percentage of its AUM
51%
49%
46%
44%
40%
38%
37%
35%
33%
25%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
SB
I
Franklin
DS
P
HD
FC
ICICI
Reliance
UTI
Kotak
Aditya B
irla
IDFC
Equity % Debt% Others%
Source: ACE MF. Data as of December 2017
Exhibit 5: Within retail category, equity funds witness significant inflows
in FY17…
-2000
4000
10000
16000
22000
28000
34000
40000
46000
52000
58000
EQ
UITY
BA
LA
NC
ED
OTH
ER
ETFs
ELS
S -
EQ
UITY
GO
LD
ETFs
GILT
FY16
Source: ACE MF. Data as on March 2017
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Page 6
MF Category Analysis
Equity funds
FMCG funds emerged as the best performing category of sector funds.
This category along with infrastructure as well as banking funds
continued to outperform information technology (IT) and pharma funds
by wide margins. Pharma funds dragged once again, returning ~3.6%
In terms of market cap-based funds, midcap funds continued their
dominance over large cap funds. Overall, midcap funds were among
the best performing equity fund categories on a one-year basis
Structural industrywide problems continue to plague pharma and
technology funds. Pharma stocks delivered a muted performance in
Q2FY18 amid persistent pressure over pricing, compliance issues and a
fear of shrinking growth in the large US market. Challenges to
traditional services, H1B visa issues and US government action fears
persisted on overhangs over technology stocks and consequently,
technology funds
Exhibit 6: Midcap funds outperform other categories on one year basis with pharma funds still
under pressure (returns as on January 15, 2018)
S
44.6
44.5
41.9
35.7
34.0
29.7
23.3
3.6
18.9
15.6
15.5
10.2 13.4
10.6
6.1
3.6
25.9
18.2
17.8
12.7
18.2
15.0
16.7
15.7
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Mid cap FMCG Infrastructure Banking Multi cap Large Cap Technology Pharma
Returns (%
)
1 year 3 Year 5 year
Source: Crisil, ICICIdirect.com Research ; Returns over one year are compounded annualised returns
Exhibit 7: Strong inflows continue into equity, ELSS schemes
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
20000
22000
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
Sep-1
7
Oct-17
Nov-17
Dec-17
Net Inflo
w ( | C
r )
Equity + ELSS
Source: Amfi, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 8: Robust inflow in equity funds push up AUM to cross | 7.5 lakh
crore
350000
400000
450000
500000
550000
600000
650000
700000
750000
800000
Dec-1
6
Jan-1
7
Feb-1
7
Mar-
17
Apr-
17
May-1
7
Jun-1
7
Jul-17
Aug-1
7
Sep-1
7
Oct-
17
Nov-1
7
Dec-1
7
| lakh C
rore
Equity +ELSS
Source: Amfi, ICICIdirect.com Research
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Page 7
Equity diversified funds
Equity diversified funds witnessed robust growth over the last three
years, with AUM within each sub-category rising substantially. In the
last three years in FY14-17, the AUM of large cap funds rose 125%,
multi cap funds AUM rose 109% while midcap funds AUM rose 196%
Over this period, while all three sub-categories delivered a strong
performance (Exhibit 8), midcap funds have done exceedingly well and
outperformed. This is reflected in the trend of broader indices
outperforming bellwether indices over this time frame. However, large
cap funds have reversed that trend at some points during the past few
months
Multicap funds are relatively more market cap agnostic and hold
positions in a wider range of companies than pure large cap funds or
pure midcap/small cap funds. Multicap funds generally hold around 50-
60% of their portfolio in large cap stocks and 30-40% in midcap stocks.
They have benefited by capturing a part of the midcap rally during this
period and, thus, outperformed pure large cap funds
In the present market scenario, bottom up stock picking across the
market segment is more important than allocation to a particular
segment or sub sector. Multicap funds offer fund managers flexibility to
allocate funds across all market segment and are, therefore, relatively
better placed
Exhibit 9: Blistering AUM growth across all equity diversified fund sub-categories from 2014
44868
42961
68378
83216
96123
153862
70222
65727 111229
131870
147630
232716
16275
15232
42623
58607
71316
126241
0
30000
60000
90000
120000
150000
180000
210000
240000
270000
300000
Dec 1
2
Dec 1
3
Dec 1
4
Dec 1
5
Dec 1
6
Dec 1
7
|crs
Large Caps Multi Caps Mid Caps
Source: ACE MF
Recommended funds
Large cap
Birla Sunlife Frontline Equity
ICICI Prudential Focused Bluechip Equity
SBI Bluechip Fund
Multi cap
Franklin India Prima Plus Fund
Kotak Select Focus Fund
Motilal Oswal MOSt Focused Multicap 35 Fund
Midcap
HDFC Mid-Cap Opportunities Fund
Franklin India Smaller Companies Fund
L&T Emerging Businesses Fund
(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)
View
Short term: Positive
Long-term: Positive
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Page 8
Equity infrastructure funds
Reduction of GST rates, re-stocking post GST implementation and a
gradual improvement in demand are expected to help building
materials companies post decent topline growth in Q3FY18. For cement
companies, reduction of sand mining issues in a few states coupled
with capacity expansion is expected to perk up growth. Capital goods
companies saw an encouraging pick-up in order inflows in Q3FY18.
This included a few large orders in urban infra (trans harbour link) and
hydrocarbon space (international + domestic markets). Power
generation in April-November 2017 was up 4.3% YoY while in
November 2017 the same was up marginally at ~1.7% YoY
The government recently announced its historic road building
programme to construct 83677 km of roads over the next five years at a
total outlay of | 6.92 lakh crore. This also includes phase 1 of
Bharatmala project, which includes construction of 34800 km of roads
at an investment of | 5.35 lakh crore in the next five years. This
programme could provide a huge fillip to the road awarding activity
over the next few years, which is beneficial for EPC players
A number of infrastructure related government schemes and the
introduction of new regulatory measures are expected to help
organised players in the infrastructure space over the medium to long
term, placing infrastructure and ancillary stocks on an attractive footing
Preferred Picks
Aditya Birla SL Infrastructure Fund Refer
www.icicidirect.com for
details of the fund
L&T Infrastructure Fund
Reliance Diversified Power Sector Fund
Equity banking funds
Owing to demonetisation last year in Q3FY17, the credit growth of the
banking system has increased to 10.6% YoY as on December 22, 2017.
Deposit growth, on the other hand, has fallen to 3.3% YoY. Thus, the
overall credit to deposit ratio (CD ratio) has improved ~100 bps QoQ to
73.6% while the incremental CD ratio has been >100% in Q3FY18.
Slippages for Q3FY18 are expected to remain steady on a QoQ basis. G-
sec yields have risen sharply by 67 bps to 7.32% in Q3FY18 and by 81
bps since early Q1FY18. Thus, treasury gains are seen muted with MTM
losses needing to be provided. Overall NII growth of the sector is
expected to be healthy in Q3FY18 owing to a rise in CD ratio, increased
credit growth and full impact of savings rate cut by most banks
We remain optimistic on the banking sector keeping in mind the
anticipated pick-up in credit offtake. Steady margins and peaking out of
the NPA cycle are expected to further aid profitability. From a long term
point of view, the PSU bank recapitalisation programme is a structural
positive. Finer details about recapitalisation bonds are awaited. The
continued government push on financial inclusion, enhanced
awareness and increased usage of digital or electronic payments will be
positives for the banking industry from an operating cost perspective
Preferred Picks
ICICI Prudential Banking & Financial Services Refer to
www.icicidirect.com for
details of the fund
Reliance Banking Fund
UTI Banking Sector Fund
View
Short-term: Positive
Long-term: Positive
View
Short-term: Positive
Long-term: Positive
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Page 9
Equity FMCG Funds
In terms of Q3FY18 results, defensive sectors like FMCG and
discretionary consumption are expected to report revenue growth on
account of low base of a demonetisation impacted Q3FY17. In the
FMCG space, the positive impact of the low base was accentuated by a
swift recovery in rural demand
We maintain our positive outlook on the FMCG sector backed by the
rural consumption revival led by largely normal monsoons and the
government’s focus on increasing farm incomes. We also expect GST
implementation to eventually provide a big boost to FMCG companies,
particularly those present in personal care and household categories
Equity Pharma funds
In the healthcare space, a slowdown in the US is likely to overshadow
domestic growth, which is expected to grow from a low base. On the
hospital front, growth is likely to be driven by newly commissioned
hospitals and lower base of demonetisation impacted Q3FY17. The past
two quarters have been poor for the pharma sector. Despite faster
clearances for plants, price erosion is borne out by intense competition,
client consolidation in the US and a stronger rupee
However, despite these apprehensions, in the long term, we remain
optimistic about the sector’s prospects on the back of attractive
valuations and earnings momentum pick-up led by incremental product
launches in the US besides normalising Indian formulations growth
Preferred Picks
Reliance Pharma Fund Refer to
www.icicidirect.com
for details of the fund
SBI Pharma Fund
UTI-Pharma & Healthcare
Equity Technology Funds
Tier-1 IT companies are likely to report muted constant currency growth
in Q3FY18 as weak seasonality kicks in the quarter accompanied by the
transformation that the IT industry is going through. Slight rupee
depreciation in the past quarter would positively impact margins.
Subdued corporate results demonstrate the shifting business
environment in the technology sector. Future expectations would be
centred around management guidance
We maintain our neutral stance on the sector as the industry faces
challenges related to US immigration rules and growing protectionism
around the world leading to marginal IT spending by companies. The
industry would continue to witness pricing pressure in its traditional
business, which is currently unable to offset newer revenue streams
from digital areas that enjoys higher margins
Preferred Picks
ICICI Prudential Technology Fund Refer to
www.icicidirect.com for
details of the fund
Preferred Picks
ICICI Prudential FMCG Fund Referwww.icicidirect.com
for details of the fund SBI FMCG Fund
View
Short-term: Neutral
Long-term: Neutral
View
Short-term: Neutral
Long-term: Positive
View
Short-term: Positive
Long-term: Positive
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Page 10
Exchange Traded Funds (ETF)
In India, three kinds of ETFs are available: Equity index ETFs, liquid
ETFs and gold ETFs
An equity index ETF tracks a particular equity index such as the BSE
Sensex, NSE Nifty, Nifty Junior, etc
An equity index ETF scores higher than index funds on several grounds.
The expense of investing in ETFs is relatively less by 0.50-0.75% in
comparison to an index fund. The expense ratio for equity ETFs is in the
range of 0.05-0.25% while for index funds the expense ratio varies in
the range of 0.50-1.25%. However, brokerage (which varies) is
applicable on ETFs while there are no entry loads now on index funds
Tracking error, which explains extent of deviation of returns from the
underlying index, is usually low in ETFs as it tracks the equity index on
a real time basis whereas it is done only once in a day for index funds
ETFs also provide liquidity as they are traded on stock exchanges and
investors may subscribe or redeem them even on an intra-day basis.
This is unavailable in index funds, which are subscribed/redeemed only
on a closing NAV basis
In August 2015, the Labour Ministry decided to invest 5% of
Employees’ Provident Fund Organisation’s (EPFO) incremental corpus
in ETFs. The investment in equities is split between the Nifty ETF (75%)
and Sensex ETFs 25%. EPFO chose two ETF schemes of SBI Mutual
Fund — SBI ETF Nifty and SBI Sensex ETF
In 2016, EPFO hiked the limit from 5% to 10% of its incremental corpus
of investment in equities, which was further increased to 15% of its
incremental corpus in May 2017. This is a positive move since
retirement savings, which are long term in nature, will be invested in
equities that have the potential to generate higher returns. So far, EPFO
has invested a total of ~| 22,000 crore in exchange traded funds as of
April 2017
Over 400 ETFs are traded globally. ETFs are transparent and cost
efficient. The decision on which ETF to buy should be largely governed
by the decision on getting exposure to that asset class
Exhibit 10: ETFs recorded outflows for first time since July 2015
4349
6748
930
3599
456 5841365 1753 1513
1968 1675
12447
-1604-4000
-2000
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
Sep-1
7
Oct-17
Nov-17
Dec-17
Net Inflo
w ( | C
r )
Source: Amfi, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 11: ETF AUMs remain strong
28834
37412
40147
44436
45899
47584
48359
52823
53734
55166
60107
70041
70353
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
Sep-1
7
Oct-17
Nov-17
Dec-17
| C
rore
Other ETFs
Source: Amfi, ICICIdirect.com Research
Traded volumes should be the major criterion that is used
while deciding on investment in ETFs. Higher volumes
ensure lower spread and better pricing to investors...
Tracking error, though it should be considered, is not the
deciding factor as variation among funds is not huge...
..traded volume should be the major criteria to be
considered while deciding on investment in ETFs.
Higher volumes ensure lower spread and better
pricing to investors...
..tracking error though should be considered but is
not the deciding factors as variation among funds
is not huge...
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Page 11
Balanced funds
The balanced funds category continued to receive significant flows,
with the average monthly inflow (net) for 12 months to December 2017
amounting to ~ | 6500 crore
The AUM of balanced funds has witnessed a stellar increase during this
period, more than doubling to | 167385 crore in December 2017 from
| 64954 crore in the year ago period
Over the last two or three years, the balanced space has emerged as
one of the fastest growing equity categories and offers an ideal gateway
for first time retail equity investors. In FY17, balanced funds AUM
growth outpaced all other categories bar non-gold ETFs
Balanced funds are hybrid funds. More than 65% of the overall portfolio
is invested in equities. Hence, as per provisions of the Income Tax Act,
1961, any capital gains over a year become tax free. Also, dividends
declared by funds are tax free in the hands of the investor
In case one separately invests 35% of one’s investible corpus in a debt
fund, the same will be subject to higher taxation. However, if the whole
corpus is invested in balanced funds, 100% shall have lower taxation
applicable as mentioned above. Thus, balanced funds offer the benefit
of equity taxation on debt component
After a sharp rally in equity markets, the funds can be a preferred
investment avenue as the debt proportion serves to protect on
intermediate relief rallies or the downturn while providing minimum
65% participation on further upsides
Exhibit 12: Inflows into balanced funds bounce back after some
moderation in the previous two months
3,947
3,304
4,562
5,952
7,136
7,663
7,458
7,864
8,783
8,141
5,897
7,614
9,756
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
11000
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
Sep-1
7
Oct-17
Nov-17
Dec-17
Net Inflo
w ( | C
r )
Source: Amfi, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 13: YoY 156% growth in AUM of balanced funds
64954
71021
77126
84763
93530
102156
109513
121243
128320
134868
147460
155105
167385
13000
33000
53000
73000
93000
113000
133000
153000
173000
193000
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
Sep-1
7
Oct-17
Nov-17
Dec-17
| C
rore
Balanced
Source: Amfi, ICICIdirect.com Research
Preferred Picks
ICICI Prudential Balanced Fund
HDFC Balanced Fund
Birla Sun Life Balanced 95 Fund
DSP Blackrock Balanced Fund
L&T India Prudence Fund
(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)
Investors with a limited investible surplus and a lower risk
appetite but with a willingness to invest in equities can
look to invest in these funds
View
Short-term: Positive
Long-term: Positive
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Page 12
Monthly Income Plans (MIP)
An MIP offers investors the option to invest in debt with some
participation in equity, ~10-25% of the portfolio. They are suitable for
investors who seek higher returns from a debt portfolio and are
comfortable taking nominal risk. The debt corpus of the portfolio
provides regular income while the equity portion of the fund provides
alpha. However, returns can also get eroded by a fall in equities
MIPs can be classified into aggressive MIP and conservative MIP based
on its equity allocation. Risk averse investors should invest in MIPs with
lower equity allocation to avoid capital erosion
The change in taxation announced in the Union Budget 2014, shall be
applicable to MIP funds (refer debt funds section for details)
Preferred Picks
Aditya Birla Sun Life MIP II - Wealth 25 Plan
ICICI Prudential MIP 25
SBI Magnum MIP Fund
SBI Magnum MIP Floater Fund
(Refer www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)
Arbitrage Funds
Arbitrage funds seek to exploit market inefficiencies that get manifested
as mispricing in the cash (stock) and derivative markets
Availability of arbitrage positions depends very much on the market
scenario. A directional movement in the broader index attracts
speculators in the market while cost of funding makes futures positions
biased
Arbitrage funds are classified as equity funds as they invest into equity
share and equity derivative instruments. Since these are classified as
equity funds for taxation, dividends declared by the funds are tax free.
No capital gains tax will be applicable if they are sold after a year
These funds can be looked upon as an alternative to liquid funds.
However, for these funds, returns totally depend on arbitrage
opportunities available at a particular point of time and investors should
consider reviewing the same before investing. Returns of arbitrage
funds are non-linear and, therefore, unsuitable for investors who want
consistent return across time period
Arbitrage funds should be used as a liquid investment and should not
be a major part of the investor’s portfolio. A range bound market does
not give ample room to create arbitrage positions
Preferred Picks
ICICI Prudential Equity - Arbitrage Fund – Regular
IDFC Arbitrage Fund - (Regular)
Kotak Equity Arbitrage Fund
SBI Arbitrage Opportunities Fund
(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)
View
Short-term: Neutral
Long-term: Positive
View
Short-term: Neutral
Long-term: Neutral
MIP should be a preferred debt investment for funds that
need to be parked for over two years
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Page 13
Debt funds
Exhibit 14: Category average returns
-2.5
1.6
7.2
1.3
3.4
7.1
4.4 5
.4
7.7
5.7
6.2
7.6
6.2
6.2 7
.1
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
6 months 1 year 3year
%
Gilt Funds Income LT Income ST Income UST Liquid
Source: ACE MF, ICICIdirect.com Research
Note : Returns as on January 15, 2018; All returns are compounded annualised
Exhibit 15: G-sec yield curve
6.61
7.06
7.26 7.28
6.29
6.62
6.99
7.19
6.0
6.2
6.4
6.6
6.8
7.0
7.2
7.4
1yr 3yr 5yr 10yr
Yie
ld (%
)
12-Jan-18 12-Dec-17
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 16: Corporate bond curve
7.35
7.67
7.86
7.81
7.01
7.38
7.56
7.96
6.4
6.8
7.2
7.6
8.0
1yr 3yr 5yr 10 yr
Yie
ld (%
)
12-Jan-18 12-Dec-17
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
Benchmark 10 year G-Sec has witnessed yields
hardening to 15 month highs in December
Interest rates moved up secularly across G-Sec and
corporate bond categories
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Page 14
Liquid Funds
Yields on money market instruments viz. less than one year CDs and
CPs in which liquid fund predominantly invest, have spiked over the last
month in the face of reducing liquidity
In an uncertain environment, liquid funds remain well placed to park
money with low volatility
For less than a year, individuals in the higher tax bracket should opt for
dividend option as the dividend distribution tax @ 28.325% is
marginally lower. Also, though the tax arbitrage has reduced, they still
earn better pre-tax returns over bank savings (3-4%) and current
accounts (0-3%)
Changes in taxation rules announced in Union Budget 2014 are also
applicable to liquid funds, as post tax returns in less than a three-year
period get reduced for individuals in the higher tax bracket (30% tax
slab) and for corporate
Exhibit 17: Call rates below repo rate
5
5.4
5.8
6.2
6.6
7
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
Sep-1
7
Oct-17
Nov-17
Dec-17
Jan-18
%
Call rate
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 18: CP/CD yields
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
Sep-1
7
Oct-17
Nov-17
Dec-17
Jan-18
%
3M CD 3M CP
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 19: Flows into liquid funds remain volatile on institutional activity
26,943
10,541
8,227
-15,147
99,403
-64,692
-12,739
-19,511
21,352
4,833
-13,261
77,408
-127,597
-300,000
-260,000
-220,000
-180,000
-140,000
-100,000
-60,000
-20,000
20,000
60,000
100,000
140,000
180,000
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
Sep-1
7
Oct-17
Nov-17
Dec-17
Net Inflo
w ( | C
r )
Source: Amfi, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 20: AUM remains healthy
469675
496696
520020
543541
568770
583557
591377
629456
643926
659182
707989
733166
771134
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
800000
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
Sep-1
7
Oct-17
Nov-17
Dec-17
| la
kh C
rore
Money Market
Source: Amfi, ICICIdirect.com Research
Preferred Picks
HDFC Cash Management Fund - Savings Plan
SBI Magnum InstaCash
Reliance Liquid Fund - Treasury Plan
(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)
View
Neutral
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Page 15
Income funds
Benchmark G-Sec yields continued to be under pressure owing to a
steep rise in crude oil prices, higher inflation data and fears of fiscal
slippage. Bond markets were volatile in mid-January over concerns
regarding RBI’s reluctance to provide special dispensation to banks to
spread treasury losses over a longer period, and thereafter, on
reduction in earlier announced additional borrowing programme. A
pick-up in CPI inflation in December to a 17-month high of 5.21% was
slightly above expectations. It followed consecutively higher inflation
readings from July to November. The December MPC policy document
outlined aspects such as persistence in core & fuel inflation, HRA
implementation by the central government and the uncertainty
surrounding fiscal discipline as some factors influencing its decision to
maintain status quo on rates. Food prices rose in December on the back
of a spike in vegetables and eggs while the percolation effects of HRA
implementation for government employees and crude-led spurts in the
fuel basket were also apparent. The RBI marginally revised upwards its
inflation projection for H2FY18 by 10 bps to 4.3-4.7%
Short-term funds or short term funds with some dynamic allocation to
G-sec should be preferred over pure G-Sec funds or long-term duration
funds. Short-term debt funds remain a stable performing category,
especially in the current volatile environment. Credit funds with
reasonable credit quality should be preferred over an aggressive credit
fund
Exhibit 21: Income funds inflows
-33,1
82
28,5
88
10,8
64
-56,2
47
34,6
47
5,1
24
-20,6
85
60,0
84
8,3
90
-50,0
90
40,8
45
9,3
74
-60,1
51
-80,000
-60,000
-40,000
-20,000
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
Dec-1
6
Feb-1
7
Apr-
17
Jun-1
7
Aug-1
7
Oct-
17
Dec-1
7
Net In
flow
s
(| .
Cr)
Source: Amfi, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 22: AUM remains stable on consistent inflows 748071
783778
794679
743783
780797
792734
778266
845484
858188
809965
855478
867736
808252
400000
500000
600000
700000
800000
900000
Dec-1
6
Jan-1
7
Feb-1
7
Mar-
17
Apr-
17
May-1
7
Jun-1
7
Jul-17
Aug-1
7
Sep-1
7
Oct-
17
Nov-1
7
Dec-1
7
| C
rore
Income
Source: Amfi, ICICIdirect.com Research
Recommended funds
Ultra Short Term Funds
Birla Sun Life Savings Fund
ICICI Prudential Flexible income
Short Term Funds
Birla Sunlife short term fund
HDFC Short Term Fund
ICICI Pru Short Term Plan
Short Term Funds – Credit opportunities
Axis Regular Savings Fund
Aditya Birla Sunlife Medium Term Plan
L&T Short Term Fund
Long term/Dynamic
Birla Sunlife income plus
ICICI Prudential Dynamic Bond Fund
IDFC dynamic bond fund
(Refer www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)
View
Ultra-short term: Neutral
Short-term: Positive
Long-term: Neutral
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Page 16
Gilt Funds
Yield on the benchmark 10-year government bond hardened
appreciably in early January towards the 7.4% mark (new series). Soft
inflation combined with strong institutional flows into debt markets
helped push down benchmark 10-year G-sec yield by ~45-50 points in
May-July. The markets were not enthused by the widely expected rate
cut in August and lower-than-expected dovish RBI commentary in
October. A significant rebound in July-December CPI readings was
followed by a rise in yields by ~85 bps from ~6.50% (early September)
to 7.36% (January 16)
RBI held status quo on policy rates and maintained a neutral stance in
its December 6 policy meet as expected. November’s pick-up in CPI
inflation to a 17 month high of 5.21% was marginally above
expectations. It followed consecutively higher inflation readings from
July to November. The December MPC policy document outlined
aspects such as persistence in core & fuel inflation, HRA implementation
by the central government and uncertainty surrounding fiscal discipline
as some factors influencing its decision to maintain status quo on rates.
Food prices rose in December on the back of a spike in vegetables and
eggs while the percolation effects of HRA implementation for
government employees and crude-led spurts in the fuel basket were
also apparent. The RBI marginally revised upwards its inflation
projection for H2FY18 by 10 bps to 4.3-4.7%
Given how inflation seems to be edging higher post June driven by
higher fuel prices, GST, HRA implementation, unfavourable base effect
in vegetable prices and US Fed rate hike in December, there appears
quite limited scope for yields to soften. Allocation to pure G-sec or
duration funds should be avoided given their historical outperformance
and G-sec yields trading at the lower end of their historical range.
Historically, it has been observed that years of good returns in G-sec
are followed by lower returns
Exhibit 23: Historical trend in return from G-sec indicates, going forward, returns likely to be lower
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Crisil 10 Yr Gilt Index
%
Source: ACE MF
Preferred Picks
Aditya Birla Sun Life Gilt Plus – PF Plan
ICICI Pru LT Gilt Fund – PF Option
(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)
Allocation to pure G-Sec or duration funds should be
avoided given their historical outperformance and G-sec
yield trading at the lower end of its historical range. Crisil
10-year Gilt index has delivered 38% return in the last
three years. It is likely the return will be significantly
decline, going forward
View
Short-term: Neutral
Long-term: Neutral
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Page 17
Gold: Outlook anchored to Fed movement
Global prices picked up after mid-December and continued to rise till
mid-January. Starting from a base of ~US$1280 per ounce
(December1), prices dipped to US$1244 (December 12) before going on
a sustained run towards ~US$1303 per ounce (December 31) and then
beyond it to ~US$1340 per ounce (January 15)
A sharp rupee appreciation in 2017 of ~5.9% against the US dollar
curbed gains in domestic gold prices, limiting them to ~5.2% for the
year against ~13.1% gain in global prices
Federal Reserve’s movement on US interest rates has driven the gold
price outlook in the absence of major concerns on the geopolitical front.
Earlier, the safe haven status of the yellow metal had sparked buying
interest as concerns surrounding North Korea escalated in August
The Fed hiked interest rates by 25 bps as expected in December. This
was the third hike in 2017 as per earlier outlined trajectory. US bond
yields and the US dollar both gained marginally in the days following
the hike decision. These movements could weigh on gold prices as the
metal is denominated in that currency (thus losing value when the
currency appreciates) and does not bear interest (thus suffering from a
higher opportunity cost)
US bond yields hardened towards the 2.4% mark in the run up to the
Fed meeting as expectations surrounding the rate hike gathered pace.
Thereafter, bond yields have move toward 2.5%
Weakness in the US dollar has helped drive gold prices upwards in
recent weeks. The dollar denominated metal gains when the currency
weakens
US inflation remains well below the targeted 2% mark but has seen a
marginal pick-up in recent months. Unemployment is at a multi-year
low. Three hikes are pencilled in for 2018 but decisions would be data
driven
Gold has historically been looked at as a relatively risk-free asset. Its
price movement both in India and globally, is impacted by any actual or
perceived risk build-up on economic, political or natural fronts
Exhibit 24: Gold prices perk up in December
1100
1200
1300
1400
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
Sep-1
7
Oct-17
Nov-17
Dec-17
Jan-18
Price ($/ounce)
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 25: Indian price rise more subdued on YTD basis
26000
28000
30000
32000
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
Sep-1
7
Oct-17
Nov-17
Dec-17
Jan-18
Price (|/10 grams)
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Page 18
Model Portfolios
Equity funds model portfolio
Investors who are wary of investing directly into equities can still get
returns almost as good as equity markets through the mutual fund route.
We have designed three mutual fund model portfolios, namely,
conservative, moderate and aggressive mutual fund portfolios. These
portfolios have been designed keeping in mind various key parameters like
investment horizon, investment objective, scheme ratings, and fund
management.
Exhibit 26: Equity model portfolio
Particulars Aggressive Moderate Conservative
Review Interval Monthly Monthly Quarterly
Risk Return High Risk- High
Return
Medium Risk -
Medium Return
Low Risk - Low
Return
Funds Allocation % Allocation
Franklin India Prima Plus 20 20 20
Birla Sunlife Frontline Equity - 20 20
ICICI Prudential Dynamic Plan - - 20
SBI Bluechip Fund 20 20 20
Kotak Select Focus Fund 20 20 -
HDFC Midcap Opportunities 20 10 -
Franklin India High Growth Companies Fund 20 - -
Birla SL Dynamic Bond Fund - 10 20
Total 100 100 100
Source: ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 27: Model portfolio performance: One year performance (as on December 31, 2017)
33.4%
27.1%
23.8%
32.2%
14%
19%
24%
29%
34%
Aggressive Moderate Conservative BSE 100
%
Aggressive Moderate Conservative BSE 100
Source: Crisil Fund Analyser, ICICIdirect.com Research
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Page 19
Debt funds model portfolio
We have designed three different mutual fund model portfolios for different
investment duration viz. less than six months, six months to one year and
above one year. These portfolios have been designed keeping in mind
various key parameters like investment horizon, interest rate scenarios,
credit quality of the portfolio and fund management, etc.
Exhibit 28: Debt funds model portfolio
Particulars
0 – 6 months 6months - 1 Year Above 1 Year
Objective Liquidity
Liquidity with
moderate return Above FD
Review Interval Monthly Monthly Quarterly
Risk Return
Very Low Risk -
Nominal Return
Medium Risk -
Medium Return
Low Risk - High
Return
Funds Allocation
Ultra Short term Funds
Birla SL Savings Fund 20
ICICI Pru Flexible Income Plan 20
Short Term Debt Funds
Axis Regular Savings Fund 20
Birla Sunlife Short Term Fund 20 20
Birla Sunlife Short Term Opportunites Fund 20 20
Reliance Regular Savings Fund 20
HDFC Short Term Opportunities Fund 20 20
ICICI Prudential Regular Savings 20
ICICI Prudential Short Term Fund 20
IDFC SSI Short Term 20
UTI Short Term Income Fund 20
HDFC Corporate Debt opportunities fund 20
Total 100 100 100
Time Horizon
% Allocation
Source: ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 32: Model portfolio performance: One year performance (as on December 31, 2017)
5.82 5.73
5.34
7.02
5.97
3.54
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
0-6 Months 6Months - 1Year Above 1yr
%
Portfolio Index
Source: Crisil Fund Analyser, ICICIdirect.com Research
*Index: 0-6 month’s portfolio – Crisil Liquid Fund Index; 6 months-1 year – Blended Index with 50% weight to Crisil
Liquid Index, 50% weight to Crisil Short Term Index; Above 1 year: Crisil Short Term Index
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Page 20
Top Picks
Exhibit 33: Category wise top picks
Largecaps Birla Sun life Frontline Equity Fund
ICICI Pru Focused Bluechip Fund
SBI Bluechip Fund
Midcaps HDFC Midcap Opportunities Fund
Franklin India Smaller Companies Fund
L&T Emerging Businesses Fund
Multicaps Franklin India Prima Plus Fund
Kotak Select Focus Fund
Motilal Oswal MOSt Focussed Multicap 35 Fund
ELSS Aditya Birla Tax Relief 96 Fund
Axis Long Term Equity Fund
Reliance Tax Saver Fund
Franklin India Taxshield
Balanced HDFC Balanced Fund
ICICI Pru Balanced Fund
Birla Sun Life Balanced 95 Fund
DSP Blackrock Balanced Fund
L&T India Prudence Fund
Liquid HDFC Cash Mgmnt Saving Plan
ICICI Pru Liquid Plan
Reliance Liquid Treasury Plan
Ultra Short term Birla Sunlife Savings Fund
ICICI Pru Flexible Income Plan
UTI Treasury Advantage Fund-Inst
Short term Birla SL Short term Fund
HDFC Medium Term opportunities Fund
Kotak Banking and PSU Debt Fund
Credit Opportunities Axis Regular Savings Fund
Birla Sun Life Medium Term Plan
L&T Short Term Income Fund
Income Funds ICICI Pru Income Fund
Equity Funds & Equity-oriented Funds
Debt Funds & Debt-oriented Funds
(Refer www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research
Page 21
Pankaj Pandey Head – Research [email protected]
ICICIdirect.com Research Desk,
ICICI Securities Limited,
1st
Floor, Akruti Trade Centre,
Road No. 7, MIDC,
Andheri (East)
Mumbai – 400 093
Disclaimer
ANALYST CERTIFICATION
We, Sachin Jain, CA, and Jaimin Desai, CA, Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect
our views about the subject issuer(s) or Funds. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report.
Terms & conditions and other disclosures:
ICICI Securities Limited (ICICI Securities) AMFI Regn. No.: ARN-0845. ICICI Securities Limited is a SEBI registered Research Analyst with SEBI Registration Number – INH000000990.Registered office of I-
Sec is at ICICI Securities Ltd. - ICICI Centre, H. T. Parekh Marg, Churchgate,Mumbai - 400020, India. ICICI Securities is a full-service, integrated investment banking and is, inter alia, engaged in the
business of stock broking and distribution of financial products. ICICI Securities is a wholly-owned subsidiary of ICICI Bank which is India’s largest private sector bank and has its various subsidiaries
engaged in businesses of housing finance, asset management, life insurance, general insurance, venture capital fund management, distribution of financial products etc. (“associates”), the details in
respect of which are available on www.icicibank.com.
ICICI Securities is one of the leading distributors of Mutual Funds and participate in distribution of Mutual Fund Schemes of almost all AMCs in India.
The selection of the Mutual Funds for the purpose of including in the indicative portfolio does not in any way constitute any recommendation by ICICI Securities Limited (hereinafter referred to as ICICI
Securities) with respect to the prospects or performance of these Mutual Funds. The investor has the discretion to buy all or any of the Mutual Fund units forming part of any of the indicative portfolios
on icicidirect.com. Before placing an order to buy the funds forming part of the indicative portfolio, the investor has the discretion to deselect any of the units, which he does not wish to buy. Nothing in
the indicative portfolio constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to the investor's specific circumstances.
The details included in the indicative portfolio are based on information obtained from public sources and sources believed to be reliable, but no independent verification has been made nor is its
accuracy or completeness guaranteed. The funds included in the indicative portfolio may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own
investment objectives, financial positions and needs.
This may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgement by any investor. The investor should independently evaluate the investment risks. ICICI Securities and affiliates accept
no liabilities for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of this indicative portfolio.
Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. ICICI Securities may be holding all or any of the units included
in the indicative portfolio from time to time as part of our treasury management. ICICI Securities Limited is not providing the service of Portfolio Management Services (Discretionary or Non
Discretionary) to its clients.
Mutual fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.
Kindly note that such research recommended funds in indicative portfolio are not based on individual risk profile of each customer unless a customer has opted for a paid Investment Advisory Service
offered by I-Sec.
Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.
The information contained herein is strictly confidential and meant solely for the selected recipient and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any
other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of ICICI Securities Limited. The contents of this mail are solely for informational purpose and may not be used or
considered as an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments or any other product. While due care has been taken in
preparing this mail, I-Sec and affiliates accept no liabilities for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of any inaccurate, delayed or incomplete information nor for any actions taken in reliance
thereon. This mail/report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where
such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject I-Sec and affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction.
ICICI Securities and/or its associates receive compensation/ commission for distribution of Mutual Funds from various Asset Management Companies (AMCs). ICICI Securities host the details of the
commission rates earned by ICICI Securities from Mutual Fund houses on our website www.icicidirect.com. Hence, ICICI Securities or its associates may have received compensation from AMCs
whose funds are mentioned in the report during the period preceding twelve months from the date of this report for distribution of Mutual Funds or for providing marketing advertising support to these
AMCs. ICICI Securities also provides stock broking services to institutional clients including AMCs. Hence, ICICI Securities may have received brokerage for security transactions done by any of the
above AMCs during the period preceding twelve months from the date of this report.
ICICI Securities encourages independence in research report preparation and strives to minimize conflict in preparation of research report. ICICI Securities or its associates or its analysts did not receive
any compensation or other benefits from the AMCs whose funds are mentioned in the report or third party in connection with preparation of the research report. Accordingly, neither ICICI Securities
nor Research Analysts and their relatives have any material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report.
It is confirmed that Sachin Jain, CA, and Jaimin Desai, CA, Research Analysts of this report have not received any compensation from the Mutual Funds house whose funds are mentioned in the report
in the preceding twelve months.
Compensation of our Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions.
ICICI Securities or is associates may be holding all or any of the units included in the indicative portfolio from time to time as part of our treasury management. Hence, ICICI Securities or its associates
may own 1% or more of the units of the Mutual Funds mentioned in the report as of the last day of the month preceding the publication of the research report.
Research Analysts or their relatives of this report do not own 1% or more of the units of the Mutual Funds mentioned in the report as of the last day of the month preceding the publication of the
research report.
Since associates of ICICI Securities are engaged in various financial service businesses, they might have financial interests or beneficial ownership in various companies/ AMCs including the AMCs
whose funds are mentioned in this report or may have invested in the funds mentioned in this report .
ICICI Securities also distributes Mutual Fund Schemes of ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company which is an ICICI Group Company, scheme details of which might also be appearing in the report
above. However, the transactions are executed at Client's sole discretion and Clients make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs..
It is confirmed that Sachin Jain, Research Analysts do not serve as an officer, director or employee of the AMCs whose funds mentioned in the report.
ICICI Securities may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report.
Neither the Research Analysts nor ICICI Securities have been engaged in market making activity for the companies/funds mentioned in the report.
We submit that no material disciplinary action has been taken on ICICI Securities by any Regulatory Authority impacting Research Analysis activities.
This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such
distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject ICICI Securities and affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction.
The funds
described herein may or may not be eligible for subscription in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are required to inform
themselves of and to observe such restriction.