nasscom gic conclave 2014 - mega change: tomorrow is here - ross dawson, advanced human technologies...
TRANSCRIPT
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
1
Mega Change Tomorrow is Here
Futurist
Strategy advisor
Author
@rossdawson
it’s just
u ne ve n ly
d is tr ib u te d
The future is already here
- William Gibson, author
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
2
Information
Work
Interfaces
Machines
Leadership
Bio
Capital
Organisations
Structure
Information
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
3
Source: Internet World Stats, as of 30 June 2012
More of us connected
%
million
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Oceania
Middle East
Africa
Latin America
North America
Europe
Asia
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200
Internet users
Penetration
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
4
Gigabit for all
Fast mobile everywhere
Source: GSMA/ A.T. Kearney
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
5
Machines overtaking man
Translation anywhere
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
6
Soaring data
Source:
IDC/ EMC
Data from everywhere
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
7
DNA storage
Interfaces
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
8
At your command
Seeing more
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
9
Immersed in virtual reality
Thought interfaces
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
10
Beyond videoconferencing
Interpreting emotions
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
11
Wearable computers
Machines
Flickr credit: switchstyle
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
12
Cognitively challenging tasks
A new generation of robots
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
13
Emotional robots
Delivery anywhere
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
14
Computers as journalists
Bio
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
15
The potential of bio-informatics
Aggregating genetic data
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
16
Life extension
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Men
Women
Age expectancy at birth - Sweden
Capital
Flickr credit: rednuht
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
17
The rise of crowdfunding
Peer-to-peer lending
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
18
The rise of digital currencies
Flickr credit: Grietje Haitsma
Structure
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
19
Transaction costs slide
Matching demand and availability
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
20
Customers as designers
Distributed energy
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
21
3D printed clothes
3D printing houses
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
22
Work
Work can be done anywhere
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
23
Merging human and algorithmic tasks
Predictive modelling on demand
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
24
Free learning for all
Organisations
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
25
Value creation by the crowd
Fluid markets for talent
Flickr credit: Lars Ploughman
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
26
Complete transparency
No managers
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
27
Leadership
The only way
you can control your destiny
is to be more flexible
than your environment
- The Law of Requisite Variety
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
28
Experiment and learn
Governance for transformation
Benefits Risks/ Concerns Risks of NOT
taking action
Productivity and
efficiency
Productivity loss Reduced
competitiveness
Staff satisfaction and
engagement
Loss of control Harder to attract
talented staff
Access to information
and processes
Information reliability Fragmentation of
information
Flexibility in work Systems security Unauthorized use of
technology
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
29
The journey of creating the future
Information
Work
Interfaces
Machines
Leadership
Bio
Capital
Organisations
Structure
Ross Dawson: The New World of Business
NASSCOM GIC Conclave – April 16, 2014
© 2014 Ross Dawson
www.rossdawson.com
30