nbc news-marist poll arkansas may 2014

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Page 1: NBC News-Marist Poll Arkansas May 2014

NBC News/Marist Poll: Arkansas May 2014; Page 1

Screener

Have I reached you on your cell phone or on your regular home phone? REGISTERED VOTERS May 2014

Regular home phone 45Cell 55Total 100

RESIDENTS May 2014Regular home phone 42Cell 58Total 100

Are you registered to vote at your current address in Arkansas? RESIDENTS May 2014

Yes 75No 25Total 100

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president? REGISTERED VOTERS May 2014

Approve 34Disapprove 60Unsure 6Total 100

RESIDENTS May 2014Approve 33Disapprove 57Unsure 9Total 100

Do you consider your permanent home address to be in Arkansas?

HH SELECTION – LANDLINE FRAME ONLY

GENDER GUESS

May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%; Residents: n=1174, MOE +/- 2.9%

May 2014: Residents: n=1174, MOE +/- 2.9%

May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%; Residents: n=1174, MOE +/- 2.9%

NBC News/Marist PollMay 2014

Arkansas Questionnaire

<Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older?

Page 2: NBC News-Marist Poll Arkansas May 2014

NBC News/Marist Poll: Arkansas May 2014; Page 2

REGISTERED VOTERS May 2014Right direction 27Wrong track 69Unsure 4Total 100

RESIDENTS May 2014Right direction 27Wrong track 68Unsure 5Total 100

REGISTERED VOTERS May 2014Tom Cotton, the Republican 40Mark Pryor, the Democrat 51Other 2Undecided 7Total 100

REGISTERED VOTERS May 2014Asa Hutchinson, the Republican 49Mike Ross, the Democrat 42Other 2Undecided 7Total 100

REGISTERED VOTERS May 201418 to 29 1630 to 44 2445 to 59 2860 or older 32Total 100

RESIDENTS May 201418 to 29 2130 to 44 2645 to 59 2760 or older 27Total 100

May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%

May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%; Residents: n=1174, MOE +/- 2.9%

If November's election for U.S. Senate in Arkansas were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are (including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate):

May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%If November's election for Governor in Arkansas were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are (including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate):

All in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things are off on the wrong track?

May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%; Residents: n=1174, MOE +/- 2.9%In which year were you born (recoded into age of respondent)?

Page 3: NBC News-Marist Poll Arkansas May 2014

NBC News/Marist Poll: Arkansas May 2014; Page 3

REGISTERED VOTERS May 2014White 79African American or Black 13Latino or Hispanic 4Other 4Total 100

RESIDENTS May 2014White 78African American or Black 13Latino or Hispanic 5Other 4Total 100

REGISTERED VOTERS May 2014Less than $15,000 a year 16$15,000 to just under $25,000 15$25,000 to just under $50,000 27$50,000 to just under $75,000 18$75,000 to just under $100,000 11$100,000 or more 13Total 100

RESIDENTS May 2014Less than $15,000 a year 18$15,000 to just under $25,000 17$25,000 to just under $50,000 28$50,000 to just under $75,000 16$75,000 to just under $100,000 9$100,000 or more 12Total 100

Which county in Arkansas do you live in (recoded into region)?REGISTERED VOTERS May 2014

East 20North Central 18Pulaski County (Little Rock) 15Northwest 31Southwest 17Total 100

RESIDENTS May 2014East 20North Central 19Pulaski County (Little Rock) 13Northwest 32Southwest 16Total 100

Are you white, black or African-American, Latino or Hispanic, Asian, or Native American? (If not Latino: Are you Hispanic or Latino background, such as Mexican, Dominican, Puerto Rican, Cuban, or some other Spanish background?)

May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%; Residents: n=1174, MOE +/- 2.9%

May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%; Residents: n=1174, MOE +/- 2.9%

Which of the following includes your combined family income before taxes:May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%; Residents: n=1174, MOE +/- 2.9%

Page 4: NBC News-Marist Poll Arkansas May 2014

NBC News/Marist Poll: Arkansas May 2014; Page 4

REGISTERED VOTERS May 2014Democrat 30Republican 23Independent 46Other 1Total 100

REGISTERED VOTERS May 2014Yes 25No 66Unsure 10Total 100

REGISTERED VOTERS May 2014Approve 79Disapprove 13Unsure 9Total 100

RESIDENTS May 2014Approve 74Disapprove 13Unsure 13Total 100

REGISTERED VOTERS May 2014Favorable 50Unfavorable 35Never heard 4Unsure 11Total 100

RESIDENTS May 2014Favorable 46Unfavorable 32Never heard 9Unsure 14Total 100

May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%; Residents: n=1174, MOE +/- 2.9%Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mike Beebe is doing as governor?

May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%; Residents: n=1174, MOE +/- 2.9%Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Mark Pryor?

May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%Do you consider yourself a:

May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Tea Party?

Page 5: NBC News-Marist Poll Arkansas May 2014

NBC News/Marist Poll: Arkansas May 2014; Page 5

REGISTERED VOTERS May 2014Favorable 38Unfavorable 39Never heard 9Unsure 14Total 100

RESIDENTS May 2014Favorable 34Unfavorable 37Never heard 15Unsure 14Total 100

REGISTERED VOTERS May 2014Favorable 68Unfavorable 28Never heard 1Unsure 3Total 100

RESIDENTS May 2014Favorable 70Unfavorable 26Never heard 1Unsure 4Total 100

REGISTERED VOTERS May 2014Strongly think it is a good idea 22Not so strongly think it is a good idea 9Not so strongly think it is a bad idea 6Strongly think it is a bad idea 49Do not have an opinion either way 13Unsure 1Total 100

RESIDENTS May 2014Strongly think it is a good idea 21Not so strongly think it is a good idea 9Not so strongly think it is a bad idea 7Strongly think it is a bad idea 47Do not have an opinion either way 14Unsure 2Total 100

May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%; Residents: n=1174, MOE +/- 2.9%Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Tom Cotton?

May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%; Residents: n=1174, MOE +/- 2.9%Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Bill Clinton?

May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%; Residents: n=1174, MOE +/- 2.9%From what you have heard about the new health care law, do you think it is:

Page 6: NBC News-Marist Poll Arkansas May 2014

NBC News/Marist Poll: Arkansas May 2014; Page 6

REGISTERED VOTERS May 2014Very liberal 4Liberal 13Moderate 33Conservative 38Very conservative 12Total 100

REGISTERED VOTERS May 2014Yes 40No 60Total 100

RESIDENTS May 2014Yes 37No 63Total 100

REGISTERED VOTERS May 2014More than once a week 25Once a week 28Once or twice a month 12Once every 2-3 months 4A few times a year 11Seldom 9Never 11Total 100

RESIDENTS May 2014More than once a week 22Once a week 26Once or twice a month 12Once every 2-3 months 4A few times a year 13Seldom 10Never 13Total 100

Politically speaking, do you consider yourself to be very liberal, liberal, moderate, conservative, or very conservative?

May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%; Residents: n=1174, MOE +/- 2.9%

Aside from weddings and funerals, how often would you say you attend religious services:

May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%

May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%; Residents: n=1174, MOE +/- 2.9%Would you describe yourself as a fundamentalist or an evangelical Christian, or would you not describe yourself that way?

Page 7: NBC News-Marist Poll Arkansas May 2014

NBC News/Marist Poll: Arkansas May 2014; Page 7

REGISTERED VOTERS May 2014Not college graduate 70College graduate 30Total 100

RESIDENTS May 2014Not college graduate 75College graduate 25Total 100

REGISTERED VOTERS May 2014Male 47Female 53Total 100

RESIDENTS May 2014Male 48Female 52Total 100

What is the highest level of school you completed or the highest degree you received (recoded)?May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%; Residents: n=1174, MOE +/- 2.9%

May 2014: Registered voters: n=876, MOE +/- 3.3%; Residents: n=1174, MOE +/- 2.9%Are you male or female?