netflix netflix consultant report november 30, 2011 stephen allen graham haynes zachary konings...
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Netflix Consultant
ReportNovember 30, 2011
Stephen AllenGraham HaynesZachary Konings
Alexis MallettRachel Mitchell
The Firm• Provides users throughout
North America with low cost movie rentals
• Focuses on two major revenue streams: mail order rentals and online streaming
• Under corporate direction from Co-founder Reed Hastings
Netflix – An Overview
Resources• Employee base of 2300 ranging
from employment in distribution centers to corporate positions,
• Little long term debt, corporation is heavily solvent
• 9 U.S patents pertaining to its mail-order business model
• Suppliers includes retail wholesalers with no copyright fees
Corporate Functionality• Reduction in COGS by 2% in 2010,
important driver in Net income’s increase of 5 million to 160.9million
• Unusually simple marketing strategy, uses ads and some mail out techniques
• Laissez faire human resource strategy;
Netflix – Current Situation With over 70% of Netflix’s stock value originating from U.S
subscribers Netflix roughly doubled it’s price, resulting in 800,000 cancellations and a stock devaluation from $300/share to $80/share
Unfavourable consumer perceptions forced Netflix to cancel plans for its’ subsidiary named Quickster
Netflix has expansionary plans for Europe in 2012 and hopes to earn additional revenue to offset losses expected in US market
Recently Netflix’s Research and Development operations have optimised Android applications and are expecting Kindle Fire’s partnership with Netflix to jumpstart revenue streams
Industry & MarketplaceGrowth Trends: The demand for Netflix’s streaming services has increased twelvefold
since 2008 (Reference figure 1.1) Mail out orders have been marginally declining since 2009
(Reference figure 1.1) Annual sales in the traditional rental market have declined by 10-
15% since 2011 If Netflix were to keep its original bundled $7.99 pricing it is likely
that subscriptions by the end of 2012 could reach nearly 30 million
Industry & Marketplace
Demand Schedule:
21 21.5 22 22.5 23 23.5 24 24.5 250
5
10
15
20
Subscriptions(millions)
Pri
ce($
/Month
)
Prior to Price Change Announcement
September 30,2011
Conservative Predictions for December 31,2011
Major Competitors
• A subsidiary of Dish Network
• “Total access” service, jumps into streaming market
• Lower cost membership with more timely releases
• 500,000 new subscribers in the first month
• Membership programs provides free shipping
• Introduced free online streaming in 2011
• Kindle fire is also expected to increase subscriber base
The Broader EnvironmentDemographics: Increased access to pirated media, putting substantial
strains on sales Perception that Netflix’s operations are inherently “Green” by
its natural digital strategy Products appeal to tech savvy age groups
Technology: Introduction of blu-ray players threatens Netflix because it
lacks HD capabilities Netflix lags behind technology of modern LED televisions,
especially in 3-D capability Compatibility of Netflix to many devices like consoles and
Roku and Apple TV
The Broader EnvironmentEconomy: Netflix is a low cost alternative to traditional movie rentals Some lack the confidence to spend on unneeded luxuries Fuel costs translate into high overhead expenditures for
Netflix’s rental by mail services
Political & Legal: Increased concerns about privacy and digital rights, Netflix
kept history of users’ activities The application of The First Sales Doctrine to strictly digital
media in the United States
SWOT AnalysisStrengths
• Constantly updating inventory• Price increase has reduced
overhead costs substantially – reinvestment
• Employee loyalty unparalleled in the industry
• Industry Patents• Popular culture brand
recognition• Progressive and innovative
management
Weaknesses
• Repetitive and annoying Marketing Scheme
• High cost Fixed Assets that may prove inefficient with business plan change
• Dependency on business partners and agreements
SWOT ContinuedOpportunities
• Gaming is an untapped market with huge demand and possibility
• Recessionary consumer behavior
• Bill HR2471 could eliminate a great deal of piracy
• Purchase of television stations archives – small price to pay
• International Expansion to tech-savvy markets - Europe
Threats
• Pressure to pay more for video rights
• First Sales Doctrine• Missing Blu-ray and HD content is a
sticking point• Ease of piracy - streaming and
torrenting• Investor Confidence - Stock prices
from ~$300-60 suggests market instability
• Supplementary Services interfere
Future Steps“And posted in your guidance, are you saying that Netflix will be unprofitable on a global basis
over all of 2012? In response, they think yes.” - VP Netflix Inc.
Dwindling US subscriptions and the possibility of a hugely capital intensive FDI in Europe will quickly corrode and reduce Netflix’s current financial position
Instead Netflix is advised to diversify it’s online product offerings by adding Cloud Video Games and additional premium television series to achieve economies of scope
If such is done then a more stable domestic customer base can be established. Once domestic relations are stabilised and emphasis on capital intensive mail out rentals is reduces Netflix may begin International expansion.
Economies of Scope
Increased Domestic
Profits
International
Expansion