new jersey industry and occupational employment projections 2008-2018

28
New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

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Page 1: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

New Jersey

Industry and Occupational

Employment Projections2008-2018

Page 2: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

Annual Employment Change in New Jersey

1939-2009

Em

plo

ymen

t C

han

ge

(000s)

Page 3: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

For the first time ever, NJ ended a decade with fewer jobs than it started

Em

plo

ymen

t C

han

ge

(000s)

Page 4: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

3 Recessions1 Boom1 Jobless Recovery

Em

plo

ymen

t (0

00s)

3,689,800

3,981,700

=Very little net growth in NJ over last 20 years

About 200,000 jobsOnly 0.26% annual

growth

Page 5: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

US and NJ projections viewed as upper and lower bounds

Em

plo

ymen

t (0

00s)

Page 6: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

Growth in the nation is projected to outpace the state

An

nu

al

Perc

en

t G

row

th

Page 7: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

Goods Producing industries will continue their decline

An

nu

al

Perc

en

t G

row

th

Page 8: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

All growth will occur in Service Providing industries

An

nu

al

Perc

en

t G

row

th

Page 9: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

Growth in Service Providing industries will be offset by declines in Goods Producing industries

Em

plo

ymen

t g

row

th ‘08 –

‘18

Page 10: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

Very slight growth is projected in Goods Producing industries in the nation

Em

plo

ymen

t g

row

th ‘08 –

’18 (

000s)

Page 11: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

Projected growth by major industry group

An

nu

al

Perc

en

t G

row

th

Page 12: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

Goods Producing Industries

An

nu

al

Gro

wth

R

ate

Page 13: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

Deep losses in manufacturing will continue to drive Goods Producing industries downward

Pro

ject

ed

Em

plo

ymen

t C

han

ge 2

00

8-

201

8

Page 14: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

These industries are the largest contributors to the decline in manufacturing

Pro

ject

ed

Em

plo

ymen

t C

han

ge 2

00

8-2

018

Page 15: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

Sharp drop in 2009 will create a long road back to 2006 peak for Construction

Page 16: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

Service Providing Industries

An

nu

al

Gro

wth

Rate

Page 17: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

2008 employment and projected growth by industry

sector

Information and Utilities are

projected to decline by almost 14,000

jobs

Page 18: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

Almost 90% of new jobs will be found in these three industry sectors

Pro

ject

ed

Em

plo

ymen

t C

han

ge 2

00

8-2

018

Page 19: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

Healthcare will continue to grow, but the rate is slowing

Em

plo

ymen

t (0

00s) 2.7%

per year1.4%

per year

Page 20: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

These typically higher paying industries are projected to add at least 2,000 jobs each

Professional & Business ServicesP

roje

cted

Em

plo

ymen

t C

han

ge 2

00

8-2

018

Page 21: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

Occupational Highlights

• 2.8% Employment Growth, 2006-2016

• 121,600 Average Annual Job Openings

• Roughly 8 of every 10 of these openings due to Replacement demand

Page 22: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

Professional and Service occupations will dominate job growth

Major Occupational GroupPro

ject

ed

Em

plo

ymen

t C

han

ge 2

00

8-2

018

Page 23: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

Due to replacement demand, there will be opportunities in all major occupational groups

28,760

28,420

18,090

14,780

12,920

7,920

3,990

3,520

3,160

Page 24: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

Professional occupations are made up of many smaller groups

Page 25: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

Service occupations consist of five occupational groups

Page 26: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

Jobs with higher requirements for entry will grow faster than their lower level counterparts

Percent Growth 2008-2018 Percent Growth 2008-2018

Page 27: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

These high paying occupations are all projected to grow faster than the state average

Percent Growth 2008-2018

$173,800

$154,100

$137,900

$112,900$105,000

$100,200

$96,200

$94,900 $90,100

$87,100

Page 28: New Jersey Industry and Occupational Employment Projections 2008-2018

Questions or Comments?

Contact Jason TimianCall: 609-777-3635

E-mail:[email protected]

On the Web at:www.nj.gov/labor