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Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2016 Transportation Economic and Revenue Forecasts Volume II: Detailed Forecast Tables Adopted November 16, 2016 II-1

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Page 1: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast Council

November 2016 Transportation Economic and Revenue Forecasts

Volume II: Detailed Forecast Tables

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-1

Page 2: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2016

• Motor Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast …………………………….………………………….II-3 • Motor Vehicle Related Revenue Forecast (Licenses, Permits, & Fees) ……………..II-19 • Driver Related Revenue Forecast …………………………………………………………..II-37

• Other Transportation Related Revenue Forecast ………………………………………...II-46

• Washington State Ferries Ridership and Revenue Forecast …………………………...II-55

• Toll Operations and Revenue Forecast ……………………………………………………..II-60

• Federal Funds Forecast ………………………………………………………………………..II-67

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-2

Page 3: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2016

Contact: Brian Calkins, M.S., Agricultural Economics, Washington State Department of Transportation, 360-705-7991, [email protected]

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-3

Page 4: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 1. Washington Motor Fuel Consumption Fiscal Year Forecast November 2016

Current Biennium2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Million GallonsGasoline (November 2016 Forecast) 2,678 2,687 2,663 2,676 2,716 2,757 2,844 2,906 2,966

Annual Percent Change -0.4% 0.3% -0.9% 0.5% 1.5% 1.5% 3.1% 2.2% 2.1%Gasoline (September 2016 Forecast) 2,678 2,687 2,663 2,676 2,716 2,757 2,844 2,903 2,958 Percent Change, November vs. September 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3%

Diesel (November 2016 Forecast) 619 663 647 638 656 663 676 686 684Annual Percent Change -0.4% 7.2% -2.5% -1.4% 3.0% 1.0% 2.0% 1.5% -0.4%

Diesel (September 2016 Forecast) 619 663 647 638 656 663 676 689 697 Percent Change, November vs. September 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.4% -1.9%

Total Motor Fuel (November 2016 Forecast) 3,296 3,350 3,310 3,313 3,373 3,420 3,520 3,592 3,650Annual Percent Change -1.2% 1.6% -1.2% 0.1% 1.8% 1.4% 2.9% 2.1% 1.6%

Total Motor Fuel (September 2016 Forecast) 3,296 3,350 3,310 3,313 3,373 3,420 3,520 3,592 3,654 Percent Change, November vs. September 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1%

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027Million GallonsGasoline (November 2016 Forecast) 2,997 3,021 3,045 3,066 3,081 3,094 3,104 3,106 3,108

Annual Percent Change 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%Gasoline (September 2016 Forecast) 2,992 3,020 3,044 3,052 3,057 3,064 3,070 3,070 3,070 Percent Change, November vs. September 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2%

Diesel (November 2016 Forecast) 691 695 698 701 705 708 713 717 722 Annual Percent Change 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7%

Diesel (September 2016 Forecast) 702 707 710 714 718 722 727 732 737 Percent Change, November vs. September -1.7% -1.6% -1.7% -1.8% -1.9% -1.9% -1.9% -2.0% -2.0%

Total Motor Fuel (November 2016 Forecast) 3,687 3,717 3,744 3,767 3,786 3,802 3,817 3,823 3,830Annual Percent Change 1.0% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2%

Total Motor Fuel (September 2016 Forecast) 3,695 3,727 3,754 3,767 3,775 3,786 3,797 3,802 3,807 Percent Change, November vs. September -0.2% -0.3% -0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6%

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-4

Page 5: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

These will not match biennial totals in Table A.4. because these totals are by month of collection while the Table A.4 biennial comparison tables are by month of distribution.

2009-2011 2009-2011 2011-2013 2011-2013COLLECTIONS Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value PercentGross Fuel Tax $2,489,182,537 $2,489,182,537 $0 0.00% $2,487,855,803 $2,487,855,803 $0 0.00%Gross Gasoline Tax 2,006,933,925 2,006,933,925 0 0.00% 2,006,562,960 2,006,562,960 0 0.00%Gross Special Fuel Tax 482,248,612 482,248,612 0 0.00% 481,292,843 481,292,843 0 0.00%Less: Refunds and Transfers 119,210,104 119,210,104 0 0.00% 146,849,774 146,849,774 0 0.00%Less: Distributions for Local Uses 258,140,031 258,140,031 0 0.00% 254,181,032 254,181,032 0 0.00%Less: Distributions for State Uses 124,983,685 124,983,685 0 0.00% 122,839,482 122,839,482 0 0.00%Less: MVFT Distributions to Cities & Counties 473,644,279 473,644,279 0 0.00% 467,117,757 467,117,757 0 0.00%

Net to Nickel Account 314,293,383 314,293,383 0 0.00% 309,473,181 309,473,181 0 0.00%Net to Transportation Partnership Account 534,299,003 534,299,003 0 0.00% 526,104,655 526,104,655 0 0.00%Net to Connecting Washington Account 0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%Net to Motor Vehicle Fund $664,612,052 $664,612,052 $0 0.00% $661,289,923 $661,289,923 $0 0.00%

Current Biennium2013-2015 2013-2015 2015-2017 2015-2017Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value PercentGross Fuel Tax $2,548,823,093 $2,548,823,093 $0 0.00% $3,288,782,071 $3,287,444,071 $1,338,000 0.04%Gross Gasoline Tax 2,054,012,364 2,054,012,364 0 0.00% 2,663,030,730 2,656,984,230 6,046,500 0.23%Gross Special Fuel Tax 494,810,729 494,810,729 0 0.00% 625,751,341 630,459,741 (4,708,400) -0.75%Less: Refunds and Transfers 137,744,925 137,744,925 0 0.00% 180,117,003 180,706,303 (589,300) -0.33%Less: Distributions for Local Uses 262,027,143 262,027,143 0 0.00% 273,878,036 273,717,436 160,600 0.06%Less: Distributions for State Uses 126,594,948 126,594,948 0 0.00% 138,731,101 138,584,801 146,300 0.11%Less: MVFT Distributions to Cities & Counties 481,404,780 481,404,780 0 0.00% 496,798,945 496,572,145 226,800 0.05%

Net to Nickel Account 319,026,026 319,026,026 0 0.00% 333,454,915 333,259,315 195,600 0.06%Net to Transportation Partnership Account 542,344,560 542,344,560 0 0.00% 566,873,578 566,541,078 332,500 0.06%Net to Connecting Washington Account 0 0 0 0.00% 543,918,269 543,452,769 465,500 0.09%Net to Motor Vehicle Fund $679,680,675 $679,680,675 $0 0.00% $755,010,223 $754,610,423 $399,800 0.05%

2017-2019 2017-2019 2019-2021 2019-2021Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value PercentGross Fuel Tax $3,634,942,200 $3,641,073,200 ($6,131,000) -0.17% $3,687,739,100 $3,697,079,700 ($9,340,600) -0.25%Gross Gasoline Tax 2,948,441,900 2,949,014,500 (572,600) -0.02% 2,998,948,300 2,996,855,000 2,093,300 0.07%Gross Special Fuel Tax 686,500,200 692,058,700 (5,558,500) -0.80% 688,790,800 700,224,700 (11,433,900) -1.63%Less: Refunds and Transfers 200,006,700 200,173,600 (166,900) -0.08% 203,175,000 203,800,000 (625,000) -0.31%Less: Distributions for Local Uses 283,219,600 283,243,000 (23,400) -0.01% 287,514,800 288,271,900 (757,100) -0.26%Less: Distributions for State Uses 146,068,700 146,080,900 (12,200) -0.01% 148,075,300 148,465,200 (389,900) -0.26%Less: MVFT Distributions to Cities & Counties 511,162,500 511,204,500 (42,000) -0.01% 519,134,000 520,502,700 (1,368,700) -0.26%

Net to Nickel Account 344,828,600 344,856,900 (28,300) -0.01% 350,058,000 350,979,800 (921,800) -0.26%Net to Transportation Partnership Account 586,208,900 586,257,100 (48,200) -0.01% 595,099,000 596,666,000 (1,567,000) -0.26%Net to Connecting Washington Account 820,692,000 820,759,500 (67,500) -0.01% 833,138,200 835,331,900 (2,193,700) -0.26%Net to Motor Vehicle Fund $742,754,900 $748,497,900 ($5,743,000) -0.77% $751,544,800 $753,062,200 ($1,517,400) -0.20%

November 2016

Difference Difference

DifferenceDifference

Difference Difference

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial ComparisonBased on Month of Collection

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-5

Page 6: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

These will not match biennial totals in Table A.4. because these totals are by month of collection while the Table A.4 biennial comparison tables are by month of distribution.November 2016

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial ComparisonBased on Month of Collection

2021-2023 2021-2023 2023-2025 2023-2025Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value PercentGross Fuel Tax $3,732,872,300 $3,726,628,000 $6,244,300 0.17% $3,764,866,800 $3,746,588,800 $18,278,000 0.49%Gross Gasoline Tax 3,037,909,400 3,018,639,000 19,270,400 0.64% 3,062,525,000 3,030,484,200 32,040,800 1.06%Gross Special Fuel Tax 694,962,900 707,989,000 (13,026,100) -1.84% 702,341,800 716,104,600 (13,762,800) -1.92%Less: Refunds and Transfers 206,294,400 206,561,800 (267,400) -0.13% 209,207,200 209,172,800 34,400 0.02%Less: Distributions for Local Uses 290,982,900 290,496,600 486,300 0.17% 293,361,800 291,861,700 1,500,100 0.51%Less: Distributions for State Uses 149,663,700 149,413,600 250,100 0.17% 150,693,200 149,922,700 770,500 0.51%Less: MVFT Distributions to Cities & Counties 525,602,100 524,722,500 879,600 0.17% 530,099,000 527,384,600 2,714,400 0.51%

Net to Nickel Account 354,280,600 353,688,500 592,100 0.17% 357,177,000 355,350,500 1,826,500 0.51%Net to Transportation Partnership Account 602,277,300 601,270,800 1,006,500 0.17% 607,201,300 604,096,200 3,105,100 0.51%Net to Connecting Washington Account 843,187,800 841,778,800 1,409,000 0.17% 850,081,300 845,734,300 4,347,000 0.51%Net to Motor Vehicle Fund $760,583,600 $758,695,400 $1,888,200 0.25% $767,045,800 $763,066,100 $3,979,700 0.52%

2025-2027 2025-2027Biennium Biennium

November 2016 September 2016 Value PercentGross Fuel Tax $3,781,297,800 $3,759,094,600 $22,203,200 0.59%Gross Gasoline Tax 3,069,811,400 3,033,025,800 36,785,600 1.21%Gross Special Fuel Tax 711,486,400 726,068,900 (14,582,500) -2.01%Less: Refunds and Transfers 211,786,200 211,619,700 166,500 0.08%Less: Distributions for Local Uses 294,448,400 292,614,100 1,834,300 0.63%Less: Distributions for State Uses 151,095,400 150,154,300 941,100 0.63%Less: MVFT Distributions to Cities & Counties 532,573,700 529,254,000 3,319,700 0.63%

Net to Nickel Account 358,499,800 356,266,700 2,233,100 0.63%Net to Transportation Partnership Account 609,450,000 605,653,700 3,796,300 0.63%Net to Connecting Washington Account 853,229,700 847,914,800 5,314,900 0.63%Net to Motor Vehicle Fund $770,214,400 $765,617,200 $4,597,200 0.60%

Difference

DifferenceDifference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-6

Page 7: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

These fiscal year totals will not match the fiscal year totals in Table A.5. because these totals are by month of collection while

the totals in Table A.5 are by month of distribution.Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

COLLECTIONS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Gross Fuel Tax $1,233,830,267 $1,255,352,270 $1,241,669,496 $1,246,186,307 $1,262,410,554 $1,286,412,539Gross Gasoline Tax 1,001,437,056 1,005,496,870 1,000,283,887 1,006,279,073 1,016,586,332 1,037,426,032Gross Special Fuel Tax 232,393,211 249,855,401 241,385,609 239,907,234 245,824,222 248,986,507Less: Refunds and Transfers 56,915,181 62,294,923 81,115,032 65,734,742 67,069,814 70,675,110Less: Distributions for Local Uses 128,182,384 129,957,647 126,174,971 128,006,061 130,295,229 131,731,915Less: Distributions for State Uses 62,024,650 62,959,034 60,985,435 61,854,046 62,775,213 63,819,735Less: MVFT Distributions to Cities & Counties 235,226,475 238,417,804 231,958,576 235,159,181 239,555,894 241,848,885

Net to Nickel Account 156,065,974 158,227,410 153,621,886 155,851,295 158,638,426 160,387,600Net to Transportation Partnership Account 265,312,280 268,986,723 261,157,329 264,947,326 269,685,451 272,659,109Net to Connecting Washington Account 0 0 0 0 0 0Net to Motor Vehicle Fund $330,103,323 $334,508,728 $326,656,267 $334,633,656 $334,390,527 $345,290,149

Current BienniumFiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Gross Fuel Tax $1,516,105,371 $1,772,676,700 $1,805,459,300 $1,829,482,900 $1,837,252,500 $1,850,486,600Gross Gasoline Tax $1,229,760,030 $1,433,270,700 1,466,933,700 1,481,508,200 1,493,598,100 1,505,350,200Gross Special Fuel Tax 286,345,341 339,406,000 338,525,600 347,974,600 343,654,400 345,136,400Less: Refunds and Transfers 83,974,003 96,143,000 99,383,400 100,623,300 101,179,200 101,995,800Less: Distributions for Local Uses 135,398,336 138,479,700 140,665,200 142,554,400 143,244,300 144,270,500Less: Distributions for State Uses 67,254,201 71,476,900 72,573,800 73,494,900 73,797,300 74,278,000Less: MVFT Distributions to Cities & Counties 246,931,745 249,867,200 253,847,400 257,315,100 258,615,400 260,518,600

Net to Nickel Account 164,851,615 168,603,300 171,264,200 173,564,400 174,404,300 175,653,700Net to Transportation Partnership Account 280,247,878 286,625,700 291,149,300 295,059,600 296,487,500 298,611,500Net to Connecting Washington Account 170,664,869 373,253,400 407,608,800 413,083,200 415,082,300 418,055,900Net to Motor Vehicle Fund $366,782,723 $388,227,500 $368,967,000 $373,787,900 $374,442,100 $377,102,700

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Gross Fuel Tax $1,861,886,700 $1,870,985,600 $1,879,047,100 $1,885,819,700 $1,888,994,000 $1,892,303,800Gross Gasoline Tax 1,515,251,400 1,522,658,000 1,528,879,000 1,533,646,000 1,534,485,800 1,535,325,600Gross Special Fuel Tax 346,635,300 348,327,600 350,168,100 352,173,700 354,508,200 356,978,200Less: Refunds and Transfers 102,781,600 103,512,800 104,247,700 104,959,500 105,575,400 106,210,800Less: Distributions for Local Uses 145,150,700 145,832,200 146,426,200 146,935,600 147,124,600 147,323,800Less: Distributions for State Uses 74,681,100 74,982,600 75,239,300 75,453,900 75,516,300 75,579,100Less: MVFT Distributions to Cities & Counties 262,160,200 263,441,900 264,565,100 265,533,900 265,910,400 266,663,300

Net to Nickel Account 176,725,400 177,555,200 178,278,400 178,898,600 179,128,600 179,371,200Net to Transportation Partnership Account 300,433,300 301,844,000 303,073,500 304,127,800 304,518,800 304,931,200Net to Connecting Washington Account 420,606,500 422,581,300 424,302,600 425,778,700 426,326,200 426,903,500Net to Motor Vehicle Fund $379,348,000 $381,235,600 $382,914,200 $384,131,600 $384,893,600 $385,320,800

Table A. 3. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast By Fiscal YearBased on Month of CollectionNovember 2016

Transportation Revenue Forecast Council

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-7

Page 8: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 4. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Biennial Comparison By Month Of DistributionNovember 2016

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2009 - 2011 2009 - 2011 2011 - 2013 2011 - 2013 2013 - 2015 2013 - 2015

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

GROSS FUEL TAX $2,492,266,015 $2,492,266,015 $0 0.00% $2,483,342,386 $2,483,342,386 $0 0.00% $2,547,174,730 $2,547,174,730 $0 0.00%TOTAL REFUNDS AND TRANSFERS 119,210,104 119,210,104 0 0.00% 146,849,774 146,849,774 0 0.00% 137,744,925 137,744,925 0 0.00%

GROSS GASOLINE TAX 2,011,728,040 2,011,728,040 0 0.00% 2,001,804,928 2,001,804,928 0 0.00% 2,052,487,086 2,052,487,086 0 0.00%Less: Non-Highway Refunds 7,424,541 7,424,541 0 0.00% 12,284,473 12,284,473 0 0.00% 17,937,444 17,937,444 0 0.00%Less: Tribal Reservation Refunds 40,879,967 40,879,967 0 0.00% 51,547,408 51,547,408 0 0.00% 56,251,088 56,251,088 0 0.00%Less: Aeronautics Transfer #039 564,422 564,422 0 0.00% 560,505 560,505 0 0.00% 574,696 574,696 0 0.00%Less: General Fund Transfer #001 1,105,570 1,105,570 0 0.00% 1,336,333 1,336,333 0 0.00% 1,231,553 1,231,553 0 0.00%Less: Marine Transfer #048 and #267 11,742,281 11,742,281 0 0.00% 12,321,392 12,321,392 0 0.00% 12,674,887 12,674,887 0 0.00%Less: Outdoor Recreation Vehicle Transfer #268 and #01B 11,467,159 11,467,159 0 0.00% 11,824,688 11,824,688 0 0.00% 12,110,725 12,110,725 0 0.00%Less: Snowmobile #01M 1,760,311 1,760,311 0 0.00% 1,707,008 1,707,008 0 0.00% 1,351,928 1,351,928 0 0.00%

NET GASOLINE TAX 1,936,783,789 1,936,783,789 0 0.00% 1,910,223,122 1,910,223,122 0 0.00% 1,950,354,766 1,950,354,766 0 0.00%----------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------- ------------------------------------ -------------------------- ---------------------------- -------------------------------------------

GROSS SPECIAL FUEL TAX 480,537,975 480,537,975 0 0.00% 481,537,458 481,537,458 0 0.00% 494,687,644 494,687,644 0 0.00%Less: Non-Highway Refunds 40,315,916 40,315,916 0 0.00% 49,046,331 49,046,331 0 0.00% 27,050,657 27,050,657 0 0.00%Less: Tribal Reservation Refunds 3,949,937 3,949,937 0 0.00% 6,221,637 6,221,637 0 0.00% 8,561,948 8,561,948 0 0.00%

NET SPECIAL FUEL TAX 436,272,123 436,272,123 0 0.00% 426,269,490 426,269,490 0 0.00% 459,075,039 459,075,039 0 0.00%----------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------- ------------------------------------ -------------------------- ---------------------------- -------------------------------------------

TOTAL MOTOR FUEL TAX 2,373,055,912 2,373,055,912 0 0.00% 2,336,492,612 2,336,492,612 0 0.00% 2,409,429,805 2,409,429,805 0 0.00%----------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------- ------------------------------------ -------------------------- ---------------------------- -------------------------------------------

LESS ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES: Department of Licensing #108 15,855,536 15,855,536 0 0.00% 15,443,757 15,443,757 0 0.00% 16,734,342 16,734,342 0 0.00%

TOTAL EXPENSES 15,855,536 15,855,536 0 0.00% 15,443,757 15,443,757 0 0.00% 16,734,342 16,734,342 0 0.00%----------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------- ------------------------------------ -------------------------- ---------------------------- -------------------------------------------

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION 2,357,200,376 2,357,200,376 0 0.00% 2,321,048,855 2,321,048,855 0 0.00% 2,392,695,463 2,392,695,463 0 0.00%1¢ Net for Distribution 62,858,677 62,858,677 0 0.00% 61,894,636 61,894,636 0 0.00% 63,805,212 63,805,212 0 0.00%

DISTRIBUTIONS

STATEGENERAL WSDOT & OTHER AGENCIES

44.387% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(a) #108 641,724,859 641,724,859 0 0.00% 631,882,959 631,882,959 0 0.00% 651,388,051 651,388,051 0 0.00%SPECIAL CATEGORY C

3.2609% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(b) #215 47,144,448 47,144,448 0 0.00% 46,421,410 46,421,410 0 0.00% 47,854,356 47,854,356 0 0.00%TRANSPORTATION 2003 ACCOUNT

100% of 5¢, RCW 46.68.090(3) #550 314,293,383 314,293,383 0 0.00% 309,473,181 309,473,181 0 0.00% 319,026,062 319,026,062 0 0.00%TRANSPORTATION PARTNERSHIP ACCOUNT

83.3334% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(c)(5)(c) and100% of 2¢ and 1.5¢ RCW 46.68.090(6) #09H 534,299,003 534,299,003 0 0.00% 526,104,655 526,104,655 0 0.00% 542,344,560 542,344,560 0 0.00%

CONNECTING WASHINGTON ACCOUNT 100% of 7¢ and 4.9¢ RCW 46.68.090(7) #20H 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%

TOTAL TO STATE 1,537,461,693 1,537,461,693 0 0.00% 1,513,882,205 1,513,882,205 0 0.00% 1,560,613,029 1,560,613,029 0 0.00%----------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------- ------------------------------------ -------------------------- ---------------------------- -------------------------------------------

Plus: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1) #108 7,432,441 7,432,441 0 0.00% 7,318,453 7,318,453 0 0.00% 7,544,360 7,544,360 0 0.00%Plus: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2) #108 1,635,137 1,635,137 0 0.00% 1,610,060 1,610,060 0 0.00% 1,659,759 1,659,759 0 0.00%Plus: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h) 1,047,557 1,047,557 0 0.00% 521,278 521,278 0 0.00% 705,800 705,800 0 0.00%

NET TO STATE 1,547,576,828 1,547,576,828 0 0.00% 1,523,331,995 1,523,331,995 0 0.00% 1,570,522,949 1,570,522,949 0 0.00%

Difference Difference Difference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-8

Page 9: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 4. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Biennial Comparison By Month Of DistributionNovember 2016

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2009 - 2011 2009 - 2011 2011 - 2013 2011 - 2013 2013 - 2015 2013 - 2015

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value PercentDifference Difference Difference

WASHINGTON STATE FERRIESPUGET SOUND FERRY OPERATIONS ACCOUNT #109

2.3283% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(c) $33,661,387 $33,661,387 0 0.00% $33,145,135 $33,145,135 0 0.00% $34,168,265 $34,168,265 0 0.00%Plus: RCW 46.68.080(5), Capron Act Redistributions #109 9,875,996 9,875,996 0 0.00% 9,497,158 9,497,158 0 0.00% 9,753,950 9,753,950 0 0.00%

TOTAL TO FERRY OPERATIONS 43,537,383 43,537,383 0 0.00% 42,642,292 42,642,292 0 0.00% 43,922,215 43,922,215 0 0.00%

PUGET SOUND FERRY CONSTRUCTION ACCOUNT #0992.3726% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(d) #099 34,301,854 34,301,854 0 0.00% 33,775,779 33,775,779 0 0.00% 34,818,377 34,818,377 0 0.00%

TOTAL TO WASHINGTON STATE FERRIES 77,839,237 77,839,237 0 0.00% 76,418,072 76,418,072 0 0.00% 78,740,592 78,740,592 0 0.00%----------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------- ------------------------------------ -------------------------- ---------------------------- -------------------------------------------

TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD7.5597% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(e) #144 109,294,330 109,294,330 0 0.00% 107,618,123 107,618,123 0 0.00% 110,940,101 110,940,101 0 0.00%5.6739% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(f) #144 82,030,385 82,030,385 0 0.00% 80,772,314 80,772,314 0 0.00% 83,265,611 83,265,611 0 0.00%Plus: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account # 08M 1,860,680 1,860,680 0 0.00% 1,832,144 1,832,144 0 0.00% 1,888,699 1,888,699 0 0.00%

TOTAL TO TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD 193,185,395 193,185,395 0 0.00% 190,222,581 190,222,581 0 0.00% 196,094,410 196,094,410 0 0.00%----------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------- ------------------------------------ -------------------------- ---------------------------- -------------------------------------------

CITIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

10.6961% of 23¢ to Cities RCW 46.68.090(2)(g) 154,638,819 154,638,819 0 0.00% 152,267,180 152,267,180 0 0.00% 156,967,394 156,967,394 0 0.00%2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(a) and (5)(a) 31,429,213 31,429,213 0 0.00% 30,947,194 30,947,194 0 0.00% 31,902,479 31,902,479 0 0.00%

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1) (2,791,020) (2,791,020) 0 0.00% (2,748,216) (2,748,216) 0 0.00% (2,833,048) (2,833,048) 0 0.00%Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2) (614,025) (614,025) 0 0.00% (604,607) (604,607) 0 0.00% (623,271) (623,271) 0 0.00%Less: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account #08M (1,860,680) (1,860,680) 0 0.00% (1,832,144) (1,832,144) 0 0.00% (1,888,699) (1,888,699) 0 0.00%

RCW 46.68.110(3)NET TO CITIES 180,802,306 180,802,306 0 0.00% 178,029,407 178,029,407 0 0.00% 183,524,856 183,524,856 0 0.00%

----------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------- ------------------------------------ -------------------------- ---------------------------- -------------------------------------------COUNTIES

REGULAR DISTRIBUTION19.2287% of 23¢ to Counties RCW 46.68.090(2)(h) 277,998,846 277,998,846 0 0.00% 273,735,280 273,735,280 0 0.00% 282,184,996 282,184,996 0 0.00%

2005 DISTRIBUTION8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(b) and (5)(b) 31,429,213 31,429,213 0 0.00% 30,947,194 30,947,194 0 0.00% 31,902,479 31,902,479 0 0.00%

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.120(1) (4,641,421) (4,641,421) 0 0.00% (4,570,237) (4,570,237) 0 0.00% (4,711,312) (4,711,312) 0 0.00%Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.120(3) (1,021,113) (1,021,113) 0 0.00% (1,005,452) (1,005,452) 0 0.00% (1,036,489) (1,036,489) 0 0.00%Less: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h) (1,047,557) (1,047,557) 0 0.00% (521,278) (521,278) 0 0.00% (705,800) (705,800) 0 0.00%

TOTAL AMOUNT ALLOCATED TO COUNTIES 302,717,969 302,717,969 0 0.00% 298,585,507 298,585,507 0 0.00% 307,633,874 307,633,874 0 0.00%Less: Amounts to Ferry Operations, RCW 46.080.68(5) (9,875,996) (9,875,996) 0 0.00% (9,497,158) (9,497,158) 0 0.00% (9,753,950) (9,753,950) 0 0.00%

TOTAL NET TO COUNTIES 292,841,973 292,841,973 0 0.00% 289,088,349 289,088,349 0 0.00% 297,879,924 297,879,924 0 0.00%

REFUNDS TO COUNTIESTo San Juan County RCW 46.68.080(1) Capron Act (4,150,181) (4,150,181) 0 0.00% (4,091,402) (4,091,402) 0 0.00% (4,066,705) (4,066,705) 0 0.00%To Island County RCW 46.68.080(2) Capron Act (8,192,110) (8,192,110) 0 0.00% (7,777,445) (7,777,445) 0 0.00% (8,123,062) (8,123,062) 0 0.00%To Pierce, Skagit, and Whatcom Counties RCW 47.56.725 (1,000,000) (1,000,000) 0 0.00% (1,000,000) (1,000,000) 0 0.00% (1,000,000) (1,000,000) 0 0.00%

NET DISTRIBUTION TO COUNTIES 279,499,682 279,499,682 0 0.00% 276,219,503 276,219,503 0 0.00% 284,690,158 284,690,158 0 0.00%

COUNTY ARTERIAL PRESERVATION1.9565% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(i) #186 28,286,090 28,286,090 0 0.00% 27,852,277 27,852,277 0 0.00% 28,712,027 28,712,027 0 0.00%

----------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------- ------------------------------------ -------------------------- ---------------------------- -------------------------------------------RURAL ARTERIAL PROGRAM

2.5363% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(j) #102 36,668,546 36,668,546 0 0.00% 36,106,174 36,106,174 0 0.00% 37,220,707 37,220,707 0 0.00%----------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------- ------------------------------------ -------------------------- ---------------------------- -------------------------------------------

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION 2,357,200,376 2,357,200,376 0 0.00% 2,321,048,855 2,321,048,855 0 0.00% 2,392,695,463 2,392,695,463 0 0.00%

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-9

Page 10: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 4. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Biennial Comparison By Month Of DistributionNovember 2016

GROSS FUEL TAXTOTAL REFUNDS AND TRANSFERS

GROSS GASOLINE TAXLess: Non-Highway RefundsLess: Tribal Reservation RefundsLess: Aeronautics Transfer #039Less: General Fund Transfer #001Less: Marine Transfer #048 and #267Less: Outdoor Recreation Vehicle Transfer #268 and #01BLess: Snowmobile #01M

NET GASOLINE TAX

GROSS SPECIAL FUEL TAXLess: Non-Highway RefundsLess: Tribal Reservation Refunds

NET SPECIAL FUEL TAX

TOTAL MOTOR FUEL TAX

LESS ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES: Department of Licensing #108

TOTAL EXPENSES

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION1¢ Net for Distribution

DISTRIBUTIONS

STATEGENERAL WSDOT & OTHER AGENCIES

44.387% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(a) #108SPECIAL CATEGORY C

3.2609% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(b) #215TRANSPORTATION 2003 ACCOUNT

100% of 5¢, RCW 46.68.090(3) #550TRANSPORTATION PARTNERSHIP ACCOUNT

83.3334% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(c)(5)(c) and100% of 2¢ and 1.5¢ RCW 46.68.090(6) #09H

CONNECTING WASHINGTON ACCOUNT 100% of 7¢ and 4.9¢ RCW 46.68.090(7) #20H

TOTAL TO STATE

Plus: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1) #108Plus: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2) #108Plus: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)

NET TO STATE

Current BienniumBIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2015 - 2017 2015 - 2017 2017 - 2019 2017 - 2019 2019 - 2021 2019 - 2021

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

$3,248,199,425 $3,246,856,225 $1,343,200 0.04% $3,629,895,500 $3,630,342,300 ($446,800) -0.01% $3,685,585,800 $3,695,317,600 ($9,731,800) -0.26%180,117,003 180,706,303 (589,300) -0.33% 200,006,700 200,173,600 (166,900) -0.08% 203,175,000 203,800,000 (625,000) -0.31%

2,629,338,945 2,623,672,345 5,666,600 0.22% 2,944,255,100 2,939,231,900 5,023,200 0.17% 2,997,048,600 2,995,418,400 1,630,200 0.05%27,587,367 27,540,567 46,800 0.17% 29,442,500 29,392,300 50,200 0.17% 29,970,500 29,954,200 16,300 0.05%72,913,532 73,174,232 (260,700) -0.36% 80,470,100 80,470,100 0 0.00% 81,947,100 81,947,100 0 0.00%

741,820 734,620 7,200 0.98% 824,400 823,000 1,400 0.17% 839,200 838,700 500 0.06%1,276,475 1,235,275 41,200 3.34% 1,624,500 1,648,400 (23,900) -1.45% 1,909,200 2,024,000 (114,800) -5.67%

17,998,545 17,964,045 34,500 0.19% 20,894,100 20,858,400 35,700 0.17% 21,268,700 21,257,100 11,600 0.05%17,451,641 17,309,441 142,200 0.82% 19,985,600 19,950,500 35,100 0.18% 20,342,000 20,330,500 11,500 0.06%

2,149,420 2,129,720 19,700 0.93% 2,209,200 2,206,400 2,800 0.13% 2,178,200 2,171,300 6,900 0.32%

2,489,220,146 2,483,584,446 5,635,700 0.23% 2,788,804,800 2,783,882,700 4,922,100 0.18% 2,838,593,900 2,836,895,400 1,698,500 0.06%-------------------------- -------------------------- --------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- --------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- --------------------------------------

618,860,480 623,183,880 (4,323,400) -0.69% 685,640,300 691,110,400 (5,470,100) -0.79% 688,537,200 699,899,200 (11,362,000) -1.62%29,849,415 30,442,515 (593,100) -1.95% 33,596,300 33,864,400 (268,100) -0.79% 33,738,400 34,295,100 (556,700) -1.62%10,148,789 10,175,889 (27,100) -0.27% 10,960,000 10,960,000 0 0.00% 10,981,900 10,981,900 0 0.00%

578,862,276 582,565,476 (3,703,200) -0.64% 641,084,000 646,285,900 (5,201,900) -0.80% 643,816,900 654,622,200 (10,805,300) -1.65%-------------------------- -------------------------- --------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- --------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- --------------------------------------

3,068,082,422 3,066,149,922 1,932,500 0.06% 3,429,888,700 3,430,168,600 (279,900) -0.01% 3,482,410,800 3,491,517,600 (9,106,800) -0.26%-------------------------- -------------------------- --------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- --------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- --------------------------------------

23,252,538 23,252,538 0 0.00% 22,982,200 22,982,200 0 0.00% 23,837,000 23,837,000 0 0.00%

23,252,538 23,252,538 0 0.00% 22,982,200 22,982,200 0 0.00% 23,837,000 23,837,000 0 0.00%-------------------------- -------------------------- --------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- --------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- --------------------------------------

3,044,829,884 3,042,897,384 1,932,500 0.06% 3,406,906,600 3,407,186,400 (279,800) -0.01% 3,458,573,800 3,467,680,700 (9,106,900) -0.26%66,691,023 66,651,823 39,200 0.06% 68,965,700 68,971,400 (5,700) -0.01% 70,011,600 70,196,000 (184,400) -0.26%

680,848,858 680,449,458 399,400 0.06% 704,071,700 704,129,600 (57,900) -0.01% 714,749,200 716,631,300 (1,882,100) -0.26%

50,018,673 49,989,373 29,300 0.06% 51,724,800 51,729,100 (4,300) -0.01% 52,509,200 52,647,500 (138,300) -0.26%

333,454,915 333,259,315 195,600 0.06% 344,828,600 344,856,900 (28,300) -0.01% 350,058,000 350,979,800 (921,800) -0.26%

566,873,578 566,541,078 332,500 0.06% 586,208,900 586,257,100 (48,200) -0.01% 595,099,000 596,666,000 (1,567,000) -0.26%

543,918,269 543,452,769 465,500 0.09% 820,692,000 820,759,500 (67,500) -0.01% 833,138,200 835,331,900 (2,193,700) -0.26%

2,175,114,293 2,173,691,893 1,422,400 0.07% 2,507,526,100 2,507,732,100 (206,000) -0.01% 2,545,553,800 2,552,256,600 (6,702,800) -0.26%-------------------------- -------------------------- --------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- --------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- --------------------------------------

7,885,527 7,880,927 4,600 0.06% 8,154,600 8,155,200 (600) -0.01% 8,278,200 8,300,000 (21,800) -0.26%1,734,854 1,733,854 1,000 0.06% 1,794,000 1,794,100 (100) -0.01% 1,821,300 1,826,000 (4,700) -0.26%

705,800 705,800 0 0.00% 705,800 705,800 0 0.00% 705,800 705,800 0 0.00%

2,185,440,475 2,184,012,475 1,428,000 0.07% 2,518,180,500 2,518,387,200 (206,700) -0.01% 2,556,359,000 2,563,088,400 (6,729,400) -0.26%

DifferenceDifference Difference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-10

Page 11: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 4. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Biennial Comparison By Month Of DistributionNovember 2016

WASHINGTON STATE FERRIESPUGET SOUND FERRY OPERATIONS ACCOUNT #109

2.3283% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(c) Plus: RCW 46.68.080(5), Capron Act Redistributions #109

TOTAL TO FERRY OPERATIONS

PUGET SOUND FERRY CONSTRUCTION ACCOUNT #0992.3726% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(d) #099

TOTAL TO WASHINGTON STATE FERRIES

TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD7.5597% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(e) #1445.6739% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(f) #144Plus: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account # 08M

TOTAL TO TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD

CITIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

10.6961% of 23¢ to Cities RCW 46.68.090(2)(g)2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(a) and (5)(a)

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2)Less: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account #08M

RCW 46.68.110(3)NET TO CITIES

COUNTIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

19.2287% of 23¢ to Counties RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(b) and (5)(b)

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.120(1)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.120(3)Less: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)

TOTAL AMOUNT ALLOCATED TO COUNTIESLess: Amounts to Ferry Operations, RCW 46.080.68(5)

TOTAL NET TO COUNTIES

REFUNDS TO COUNTIESTo San Juan County RCW 46.68.080(1) Capron ActTo Island County RCW 46.68.080(2) Capron ActTo Pierce, Skagit, and Whatcom Counties RCW 47.56.725

NET DISTRIBUTION TO COUNTIES

COUNTY ARTERIAL PRESERVATION1.9565% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(i) #186

RURAL ARTERIAL PROGRAM 2.5363% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(j) #102

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION

Current BienniumBIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2015 - 2017 2015 - 2017 2017 - 2019 2017 - 2019 2019 - 2021 2019 - 2021

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value PercentDifferenceDifference Difference

$35,713,605 $35,692,705 20,900 0.06% $36,931,800 $36,934,800 (3,000) -0.01% $37,491,800 $37,590,600 (98,800) -0.26%16,605,684 16,530,984 74,700 0.45% 19,777,700 19,779,500 (1,800) -0.01% 19,869,000 19,921,300 (52,300) -0.26%52,319,288 52,223,588 95,700 0.18% 56,709,500 56,714,300 (4,800) -0.01% 57,360,900 57,511,900 (151,000) -0.26%

36,393,139 36,371,739 21,400 0.06% 37,634,400 37,637,500 (3,100) -0.01% 38,205,200 38,305,800 (100,600) -0.26%

88,712,428 88,595,428 117,000 0.13% 94,344,000 94,351,800 (7,800) -0.01% 95,566,100 95,817,700 (251,600) -0.26%-------------------------- -------------------------- --------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- --------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- --------------------------------------

115,957,623 115,889,623 68,000 0.06% 119,912,900 119,922,700 (9,800) -0.01% 121,731,300 122,051,900 (320,600) -0.26%87,031,573 86,980,473 51,100 0.06% 90,000,100 90,007,500 (7,400) -0.01% 91,364,900 91,605,500 (240,600) -0.26%

1,974,155 1,972,955 1,200 0.06% 2,041,400 2,041,600 (200) -0.01% 2,072,400 2,077,800 (5,400) -0.26%

204,963,350 204,843,050 120,300 0.06% 211,954,400 211,971,800 (17,400) -0.01% 215,168,700 215,735,300 (566,600) -0.26%-------------------------- -------------------------- --------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- --------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- --------------------------------------

164,066,691 163,970,391 96,300 0.06% 169,662,800 169,676,700 (13,900) -0.01% 172,235,800 172,689,300 (453,500) -0.26%

33,345,396 33,325,796 19,600 0.06% 34,482,800 34,485,500 (2,700) -0.01% 35,005,700 35,097,800 (92,100) -0.26%

(2,961,132) (2,959,432) (1,700) 0.06% (3,062,200) (3,062,500) 300 -0.01% (3,108,700) (3,116,800) 8,100 -0.26%(651,465) (651,065) (400) 0.06% (673,700) (673,700) 0 0.00% (683,900) (685,700) 1,800 -0.26%

(1,974,155) (1,972,955) (1,200) 0.06% (2,041,400) (2,041,600) 200 -0.01% (2,072,400) (2,077,800) 5,400 -0.26%

191,825,234 191,712,734 112,500 0.06% 198,368,200 198,384,400 (16,200) -0.01% 201,376,500 201,906,700 (530,200) -0.26%-------------------------- -------------------------- --------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- --------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- --------------------------------------

294,947,584 294,774,584 173,000 0.06% 305,007,900 305,033,000 (25,100) -0.01% 309,633,500 310,448,800 (815,300) -0.26%

33,345,396 33,325,796 19,600 0.06% 34,482,800 34,485,500 (2,700) -0.01% 35,005,700 35,097,800 (92,100) -0.26%

(4,924,395) (4,921,495) (2,900) 0.06% (5,092,400) (5,092,800) 400 -0.01% (5,169,600) (5,183,200) 13,600 -0.26%(1,083,389) (1,082,689) (700) 0.06% (1,120,300) (1,120,400) 100 -0.01% (1,137,300) (1,140,300) 3,000 -0.26%

(705,800) (705,800) 0 0.00% (705,800) (705,800) 0 0.00% (705,800) (705,800) 0 0.00%

321,579,395 321,390,295 189,100 0.06% 332,572,100 332,599,500 (27,400) -0.01% 337,626,400 338,517,300 (890,900) -0.26%(16,605,684) (16,530,984) (74,700) 0.45% (19,777,700) (19,779,500) 1,800 -0.01% (19,869,000) (19,921,300) 52,300 -0.26%

304,973,711 304,859,411 114,300 0.04% 312,794,400 312,820,000 (25,600) -0.01% 317,757,400 318,596,000 (838,600) -0.26%

(4,189,488) (4,165,588) (23,900) 0.57% (4,276,000) (4,276,400) 400 -0.01% (4,287,100) (4,298,400) 11,300 -0.26%(8,732,333) (8,705,833) (26,500) 0.30% (9,084,400) (9,085,200) 800 -0.01% (9,134,900) (9,159,000) 24,100 -0.26%(1,800,000) (1,800,000) 0 0.00% (1,800,000) (1,800,000) 0 0.00% (1,800,000) (1,800,000) 0 0.00%

290,251,790 290,187,990 63,800 0.02% 297,633,900 297,658,400 (24,500) -0.01% 302,535,300 303,338,500 (803,200) -0.26%

30,010,581 29,992,981 17,600 0.06% 31,034,200 31,036,800 (2,600) -0.01% 31,504,900 31,587,900 (83,000) -0.26%-------------------------- -------------------------- --------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- --------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- --------------------------------------

38,904,105 38,881,305 22,800 0.06% 40,231,100 40,234,400 (3,300) -0.01% 40,841,200 40,948,700 (107,500) -0.26%-------------------------- -------------------------- --------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- --------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- --------------------------------------

3,044,829,884 3,042,897,384 1,932,500 0.06% 3,406,906,600 3,407,186,400 (279,800) -0.01% 3,458,573,800 3,467,680,700 (9,106,900) -0.26%

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-11

Page 12: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 4. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Biennial Comparison By Month Of DistributionNovember 2016

GROSS FUEL TAXTOTAL REFUNDS AND TRANSFERS

GROSS GASOLINE TAXLess: Non-Highway RefundsLess: Tribal Reservation RefundsLess: Aeronautics Transfer #039Less: General Fund Transfer #001Less: Marine Transfer #048 and #267Less: Outdoor Recreation Vehicle Transfer #268 and #01BLess: Snowmobile #01M

NET GASOLINE TAX

GROSS SPECIAL FUEL TAXLess: Non-Highway RefundsLess: Tribal Reservation Refunds

NET SPECIAL FUEL TAX

TOTAL MOTOR FUEL TAX

LESS ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES: Department of Licensing #108

TOTAL EXPENSES

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION1¢ Net for Distribution

DISTRIBUTIONS

STATEGENERAL WSDOT & OTHER AGENCIES

44.387% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(a) #108SPECIAL CATEGORY C

3.2609% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(b) #215TRANSPORTATION 2003 ACCOUNT

100% of 5¢, RCW 46.68.090(3) #550TRANSPORTATION PARTNERSHIP ACCOUNT

83.3334% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(c)(5)(c) and100% of 2¢ and 1.5¢ RCW 46.68.090(6) #09H

CONNECTING WASHINGTON ACCOUNT 100% of 7¢ and 4.9¢ RCW 46.68.090(7) #20H

TOTAL TO STATE

Plus: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1) #108Plus: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2) #108Plus: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)

NET TO STATE

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2021 - 2023 2021 - 2023 2023 - 2025 2023 - 2025 2025 - 2027 2025 - 2027

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

$3,731,379,600 $3,725,797,400 $5,582,200 0.15% $3,763,983,600 $3,745,903,200 $18,080,400 0.48% $3,780,730,200 $3,758,500,200 $22,230,000 0.59%206,294,400 206,561,800 (267,400) -0.13% 209,207,200 209,172,800 34,400 0.02% 211,786,200 211,619,700 166,500 0.08%

3,036,716,800 3,018,142,400 18,574,400 0.62% 3,062,009,600 3,030,196,000 31,813,600 1.05% 3,069,666,600 3,033,061,200 36,605,400 1.21%30,367,100 30,181,500 185,600 0.61% 30,620,100 30,302,000 318,100 1.05% 30,696,600 30,330,600 366,000 1.21%83,453,800 83,453,800 0 0.00% 85,096,000 85,096,000 0 0.00% 86,806,400 86,806,400 0 0.00%

850,400 845,200 5,200 0.62% 857,400 848,500 8,900 1.05% 859,500 849,300 10,200 1.20%2,222,500 2,313,100 (90,600) -3.92% 2,487,500 2,562,700 (75,200) -2.93% 2,709,100 2,737,600 (28,500) -1.04%

21,550,300 21,418,400 131,900 0.62% 21,729,700 21,504,000 225,700 1.05% 21,784,000 21,524,200 259,800 1.21%20,606,100 20,476,200 129,900 0.63% 20,769,200 20,546,700 222,500 1.08% 20,808,700 20,552,700 256,000 1.25%2,201,900 2,194,600 7,300 0.33% 2,224,700 2,217,500 7,200 0.32% 2,231,600 2,224,300 7,300 0.33%

2,875,464,800 2,857,259,700 18,205,100 0.64% 2,898,224,900 2,867,118,700 31,106,200 1.08% 2,903,770,500 2,868,036,000 35,734,500 1.25%-------------------------- ----------------------------- ------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ -------------------------------------

694,662,800 707,655,000 (12,992,200) -1.84% 701,974,000 715,707,200 (13,733,200) -1.92% 711,063,600 725,439,000 (14,375,400) -1.98%34,038,500 34,675,000 (636,500) -1.84% 34,396,800 35,069,700 (672,900) -1.92% 34,842,100 35,546,500 (704,400) -1.98%11,003,900 11,003,900 0 0.00% 11,025,900 11,025,900 0 0.00% 11,048,000 11,048,000 0 0.00%

649,620,400 661,975,900 (12,355,500) -1.87% 656,551,300 669,611,600 (13,060,300) -1.95% 665,173,500 678,844,500 (13,671,000) -2.01%-------------------------- ----------------------------- ------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- -------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- -------------------------------------

3,525,085,200 3,519,235,600 5,849,600 0.17% 3,554,776,400 3,536,730,400 18,046,000 0.51% 3,568,944,000 3,546,880,500 22,063,500 0.62%-------------------------- ----------------------------- ------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- -------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- -------------------------------------

24,793,000 24,793,000 0 0.00% 25,867,200 25,867,200 0 0.00% 26,965,200 26,965,200 0 0.00%

24,793,000 24,793,000 0 0.00% 25,867,200 25,867,200 0 0.00% 26,965,200 26,965,200 0 0.00%-------------------------- ----------------------------- ------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ -------------------------------------

3,500,292,200 3,494,442,800 5,849,400 0.17% 3,528,909,100 3,510,863,200 18,045,900 0.51% 3,541,978,700 3,519,915,300 22,063,400 0.63%70,856,100 70,737,700 118,400 0.17% 71,435,400 71,070,100 365,300 0.51% 71,699,900 71,253,400 446,500 0.63%

723,370,800 722,161,900 1,208,900 0.17% 729,284,800 725,555,400 3,729,400 0.51% 731,985,700 727,426,100 4,559,600 0.63%

53,142,600 53,053,800 88,800 0.17% 53,577,000 53,303,100 273,900 0.51% 53,775,400 53,440,600 334,800 0.63%

354,280,600 353,688,500 592,100 0.17% 357,177,000 355,350,500 1,826,500 0.51% 358,499,800 356,266,700 2,233,100 0.63%

602,277,300 601,270,800 1,006,500 0.17% 607,201,300 604,096,200 3,105,100 0.51% 609,450,000 605,653,700 3,796,300 0.63%

843,187,800 841,778,800 1,409,000 0.17% 850,081,300 845,734,300 4,347,000 0.51% 853,229,700 847,914,800 5,314,900 0.63%

2,576,259,100 2,571,953,800 4,305,300 0.17% 2,597,321,400 2,584,039,400 13,282,000 0.51% 2,606,940,900 2,590,701,900 16,239,000 0.63%-------------------------- ----------------------------- ------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ -------------------------------------

8,378,000 8,364,000 14,000 0.17% 8,446,500 8,403,400 43,100 0.51% 8,477,900 8,425,100 52,800 0.63%1,843,100 1,840,000 3,100 0.17% 1,858,200 1,848,800 9,400 0.51% 1,865,100 1,853,500 11,600 0.63%

705,800 705,800 0 0.00% 705,800 705,800 0 0.00% 705,800 705,800 0 0.00%

2,587,186,100 2,582,863,800 4,322,300 0.17% 2,608,332,100 2,594,997,300 13,334,800 0.51% 2,617,636,700 2,601,333,300 16,303,400 0.63%

DifferenceDifferenceDifference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-12

Page 13: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 4. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Biennial Comparison By Month Of DistributionNovember 2016

WASHINGTON STATE FERRIESPUGET SOUND FERRY OPERATIONS ACCOUNT #109

2.3283% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(c) Plus: RCW 46.68.080(5), Capron Act Redistributions #109

TOTAL TO FERRY OPERATIONS

PUGET SOUND FERRY CONSTRUCTION ACCOUNT #0992.3726% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(d) #099

TOTAL TO WASHINGTON STATE FERRIES

TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD7.5597% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(e) #1445.6739% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(f) #144Plus: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account # 08M

TOTAL TO TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD

CITIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

10.6961% of 23¢ to Cities RCW 46.68.090(2)(g)2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(a) and (5)(a)

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2)Less: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account #08M

RCW 46.68.110(3)NET TO CITIES

COUNTIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

19.2287% of 23¢ to Counties RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(b) and (5)(b)

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.120(1)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.120(3)Less: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)

TOTAL AMOUNT ALLOCATED TO COUNTIESLess: Amounts to Ferry Operations, RCW 46.080.68(5)

TOTAL NET TO COUNTIES

REFUNDS TO COUNTIESTo San Juan County RCW 46.68.080(1) Capron ActTo Island County RCW 46.68.080(2) Capron ActTo Pierce, Skagit, and Whatcom Counties RCW 47.56.725

NET DISTRIBUTION TO COUNTIES

COUNTY ARTERIAL PRESERVATION1.9565% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(i) #186

RURAL ARTERIAL PROGRAM 2.5363% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(j) #102

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2021 - 2023 2021 - 2023 2023 - 2025 2023 - 2025 2025 - 2027 2025 - 2027

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value PercentDifferenceDifferenceDifference

$37,944,100 $37,880,700 63,400 0.17% $38,254,300 $38,058,700 195,600 0.51% $38,396,000 $38,156,900 239,100 0.63%19,911,000 19,877,700 33,300 0.17% 19,879,600 19,778,000 101,600 0.51% 19,797,500 19,674,200 123,300 0.63%57,855,100 57,758,400 96,700 0.17% 58,134,000 57,836,700 297,300 0.51% 58,193,500 57,830,900 362,600 0.63%

38,666,000 38,601,400 64,600 0.17% 38,982,100 38,782,900 199,200 0.51% 39,126,500 38,882,800 243,700 0.63%

96,521,100 96,359,800 161,300 0.17% 97,116,100 96,619,600 496,500 0.51% 97,320,000 96,713,700 606,300 0.63%-------------------------- ----------------------------- ------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- -------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- -------------------------------------

123,199,700 122,993,800 205,900 0.17% 124,206,900 123,571,800 635,100 0.51% 124,667,000 123,890,400 776,600 0.63%92,467,000 92,312,500 154,500 0.17% 93,223,000 92,746,300 476,700 0.51% 93,568,300 92,985,400 582,900 0.63%2,097,500 2,093,900 3,600 0.17% 2,114,500 2,103,700 10,800 0.51% 2,122,400 2,109,100 13,300 0.63%

217,764,200 217,400,300 363,900 0.17% 219,544,500 218,421,900 1,122,600 0.51% 220,357,700 218,985,000 1,372,700 0.63%-------------------------- ----------------------------- ------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ -------------------------------------

174,313,300 174,022,000 291,300 0.17% 175,738,500 174,839,800 898,700 0.51% 176,389,300 175,290,600 1,098,700 0.63%

35,427,900 35,368,700 59,200 0.17% 35,717,600 35,534,900 182,700 0.51% 35,849,900 35,626,600 223,300 0.63%

(3,146,100) (3,140,900) (5,200) 0.17% (3,171,900) (3,155,600) (16,300) 0.52% (3,183,600) (3,163,800) (19,800) 0.63%(692,200) (691,000) (1,200) 0.17% (697,800) (694,300) (3,500) 0.50% (700,400) (696,100) (4,300) 0.62%

(2,097,500) (2,093,900) (3,600) 0.17% (2,114,500) (2,103,700) (10,800) 0.51% (2,122,400) (2,109,100) (13,300) 0.63%

203,805,600 203,465,000 340,600 0.17% 205,471,800 204,421,000 1,050,800 0.51% 206,232,800 204,948,100 1,284,700 0.63%-------------------------- ----------------------------- ------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ -------------------------------------

313,368,300 312,844,700 523,600 0.17% 315,930,300 314,314,700 1,615,600 0.51% 317,100,400 315,125,100 1,975,300 0.63%

35,427,900 35,368,700 59,200 0.17% 35,717,600 35,534,900 182,700 0.51% 35,849,900 35,626,600 223,300 0.63%

(5,231,900) (5,223,200) (8,700) 0.17% (5,274,700) (5,247,700) (27,000) 0.51% (5,294,200) (5,261,300) (32,900) 0.63%(1,151,100) (1,149,100) (2,000) 0.17% (1,160,400) (1,154,500) (5,900) 0.51% (1,164,800) (1,157,500) (7,300) 0.63%

(705,800) (705,800) 0 0.00% (705,800) (705,800) 0 0.00% (352,900) (352,900) 0 0.00%

341,707,500 341,135,300 572,200 0.17% 344,506,900 342,741,600 1,765,300 0.52% 346,138,300 343,980,000 2,158,300 0.63%(19,911,000) (19,877,700) (33,300) 0.17% (19,879,600) (19,778,000) (101,600) 0.51% (19,797,500) (19,674,200) (123,300) 0.63%

321,796,500 321,257,500 539,000 0.17% 324,627,200 322,963,500 1,663,700 0.52% 326,340,900 324,305,900 2,035,000 0.63%

(4,288,800) (4,281,600) (7,200) 0.17% (4,274,000) (4,252,200) (21,800) 0.51% (4,245,900) (4,219,500) (26,400) 0.63%(9,161,600) (9,146,300) (15,300) 0.17% (9,155,300) (9,108,400) (46,900) 0.51% (9,127,800) (9,071,000) (56,800) 0.63%(1,800,000) (1,800,000) 0 0.00% (1,800,000) (1,800,000) 0 0.00% (1,800,000) (1,800,000) 0 0.00%

306,546,100 306,029,600 516,500 0.17% 309,397,900 307,802,900 1,595,000 0.52% 311,167,200 309,215,500 1,951,700 0.63%

31,884,900 31,831,600 53,300 0.17% 32,145,600 31,981,200 164,400 0.51% 32,264,600 32,063,600 201,000 0.63%-------------------------- ----------------------------- ------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ -------------------------------------

41,333,800 41,264,800 69,000 0.17% 41,671,800 41,458,600 213,200 0.51% 41,826,100 41,565,600 260,500 0.63%-------------------------- ----------------------------- ------------------------------------- -------------------------- ----------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ -------------------------------------

3,500,292,200 3,494,442,800 5,849,400 0.17% 3,528,909,100 3,510,863,200 18,045,900 0.51% 3,541,978,700 3,519,915,300 22,063,400 0.63%

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-13

Page 14: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 5. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue By Month of DistributionFor Fiscal Years November 2016

Current BienniumFiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

GROSS FUEL TAX $1,236,054,567 $1,256,211,448 $1,240,920,444 $1,242,421,942 $1,264,797,056 $1,282,377,674 $1,502,070,725 $1,746,128,700 $1,802,866,100TOTAL REFUNDS AND TRANSFERS 56,915,181 62,294,923 81,115,032 65,734,742 67,069,814 70,675,110 83,974,003 96,143,000 99,383,400

GROSS GASOLINE TAX 1,004,089,897 1,007,638,144 998,450,178 1,003,354,751 1,018,633,203 1,033,853,884 1,213,642,945 1,415,696,000 1,465,214,000Less: Non-Highway Refunds 4,612,448 2,812,093 6,466,057 5,818,416 8,350,184 9,587,260 13,568,267 14,019,100 14,652,100 Less: Tribal Reservation Refunds 18,293,715 22,586,252 26,004,845 25,542,564 26,375,936 29,875,152 33,887,932 39,025,600 40,052,300 Less: Aeronautics Transfer #039 281,931 282,491 279,566 280,939 285,217 289,479 339,820 402,000 410,300 Less: General Fund Transfer #001 514,235 591,335 675,155 661,178 651,075 580,478 572,075 704,400 782,400 Less: Marine Transfer #048 and #267 5,572,865 6,169,416 5,866,033 6,455,359 6,290,507 6,384,380 8,068,445 9,930,100 10,398,000 Less: Outdoor Recreation Vehicle Transfer #268 and #01B 5,715,262 5,751,897 5,868,956 5,955,731 6,022,457 6,088,268 7,813,941 9,637,700 9,946,000 Less: Snowmobile #01M 856,054 904,257 855,166 851,842 743,474 608,453 981,220 1,168,200 1,120,100

NET GASOLINE TAX 968,243,387 968,540,402 952,434,400 957,788,723 969,914,352 980,440,414 1,148,411,246 1,340,808,900 1,387,852,900 ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- -------------------------

GROSS SPECIAL FUEL TAX 231,964,670 248,573,305 242,470,267 239,067,191 246,163,853 248,523,791 288,427,780 330,432,700 337,652,000 Less: Non-Highway Refunds 19,515,201 20,800,715 32,266,807 16,779,524 14,025,763 13,024,894 14,007,215 15,842,200 16,544,900 Less: Tribal Reservation Refunds 1,553,470 2,396,467 2,832,447 3,389,190 4,325,201 4,236,747 4,735,089 5,413,700 5,477,300

NET SPECIAL FUEL TAX 210,896,000 225,376,123 207,371,013 218,898,477 227,812,890 231,262,150 269,685,476 309,176,800 315,629,800

TOTAL MOTOR FUEL TAX 1,179,139,386 1,193,916,525 1,159,805,412 1,176,687,200 1,197,727,241 1,211,702,564 1,418,096,722 1,649,985,700 1,703,482,700 ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- -------------------------

LESS ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES: Department of Licensing #108 8,644,585 7,210,951 7,641,268 7,802,490 7,939,046 8,795,296 11,044,738 12,207,800 11,392,200

TOTAL EXPENSES 8,644,585 7,210,951 7,641,268 7,802,490 7,939,046 8,795,296 11,044,738 12,207,800 11,392,200 ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- -------------------------

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION 1,170,494,801 1,186,705,574 1,152,164,144 1,168,884,710 1,189,788,195 1,202,907,268 1,407,051,984 1,637,777,900 1,692,090,5001¢ Net for Distribution 31,213,195 31,645,482 30,724,377 31,170,259 31,727,685 32,077,527 32,970,323 33,720,700 34,252,800

DISTRIBUTIONS

STATEGENERAL WSDOT & OTHER AGENCIES

44.387% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(a) #108 318,655,817 323,069,042 313,665,474 318,217,485 323,908,256 327,479,795 336,594,358 344,254,500 349,687,600SPECIAL CATEGORY C

3.2609% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(b) #215 23,410,115 23,734,333 23,043,498 23,377,912 23,795,986 24,058,370 24,727,973 25,290,700 25,689,900 TRANSPORTATION 2003 ACCOUNT

100% of 5¢, RCW 46.68.090(3) #550 156,065,974 158,227,410 153,621,886 155,851,295 158,638,426 160,387,636 164,851,615 168,603,300 171,264,200 TRANSPORTATION PARTNERSHIP ACCOUNT

83.3334% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(c)(5)(c) and100% of 2¢ and 1.5¢ RCW 46.68.090(6) #09H 265,312,280 268,986,723 261,157,329 264,947,326 269,685,451 272,659,109 280,247,878 286,625,700 291,149,300

CONNECTING WASHINGTON ACCOUNT100% of 7¢ and 4.9¢ RCW 46.68.090(7) #20H 170,664,869 373,253,400 407,608,800

TOTAL TO STATE 763,444,185 774,017,508 751,488,187 762,394,018 776,028,119 784,584,910 977,086,693 1,198,027,600 1,245,399,900 ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- -------------------------

Plus: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1) #108 3,690,664 3,741,778 3,632,866 3,685,587 3,751,497 3,792,863 3,898,427 3,987,100 4,050,100 Plus: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2) #108 811,946 823,191 799,230 810,829 825,329 834,430 857,654 877,200 891,000 Plus: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h) 524,612 522,945 168,378 352,900 352,900 352,900 352,900 352,900 352,900

NET TO STATE 768,471,407 779,105,422 756,088,660 767,243,334 780,957,846 789,565,103 982,195,675 1,203,244,800 1,250,693,900

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-14

Page 15: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 5. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue By Month of DistributionFor Fiscal Years November 2016

Current BienniumFiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018WASHINGTON STATE FERRIES

PUGET SOUND FERRY OPERATIONS ACCOUNT #1092.3283% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(c) $16,714,947 $16,946,440 $16,453,180 $16,691,954 $16,990,461 $17,177,804 $17,655,905 $18,057,700 $18,342,700Plus: RCW 46.68.080(5), Capron Act Redistributions #109 4,866,611 5,009,385 4,722,526 4,774,632 4,675,031 5,078,918 6,878,484 9,727,200 9,849,500

TOTAL TO FERRY OPERATIONS 21,581,558 21,955,825 21,175,706 21,466,586 21,665,492 22,256,723 24,534,388 27,784,900 28,192,200

PUGET SOUND FERRY CONSTRUCTION ACCOUNT #0992.3726% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(d) #099 17,032,978 17,268,876 16,766,231 17,009,548 17,313,734 17,504,642 17,991,839 18,401,300 18,691,700

TOTAL TO WASHINGTON STATE FERRIES 38,614,536 39,224,701 37,941,937 38,476,134 38,979,227 39,761,365 42,526,228 46,186,200 46,884,000 ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- -------------------------

TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD7.5597% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(e) #144 54,271,349 55,022,981 53,421,427 54,196,695 55,165,910 55,774,191 57,326,523 58,631,100 59,556,500 5.6739% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(f) #144 40,733,125 41,297,259 40,095,220 40,677,094 41,404,534 41,861,077 43,026,173 44,005,400 44,699,900 Plus: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account # 08M 923,942 936,738 909,473 922,671 939,172 949,527 975,955 998,200 1,013,900

TOTAL TO TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD 95,928,417 97,256,978 94,426,120 95,796,461 97,509,615 98,584,795 101,328,650 103,634,700 105,270,300 ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- -------------------------

CITIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

10.6961% of 23¢ to Cities RCW 46.68.090(2)(g) 76,787,674 77,851,145 75,585,132 76,682,048 78,053,374 78,914,021 81,110,391 82,956,300 84,265,500 2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(a) and (5)(a) 15,606,535 15,822,678 15,362,127 15,585,067 15,863,779 16,038,699 16,485,096 16,860,300 17,126,400

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1) (1,385,913) (1,405,107) (1,364,209) (1,384,007) (1,408,757) (1,424,291) (1,463,932) (1,497,200) (1,520,900)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2) (304,901) (309,124) (300,126) (304,481) (309,927) (313,344) (322,065) (329,400) (334,600)Less: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account #08M (923,942) (936,738) (909,473) (922,671) (939,172) (949,527) (975,955) (998,200) (1,013,900)

RCW 46.68.110(3)NET TO CITIES 89,779,453 91,022,854 88,373,452 89,655,955 91,259,297 92,265,558 94,833,534 96,991,700 98,522,500

----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- -------------------------COUNTIES

REGULAR DISTRIBUTION19.2287% of 23¢ to Counties RCW 46.68.090(2)(h) 138,043,506 139,955,340 135,881,661 137,853,618 140,318,892 141,866,104 145,814,584 149,133,000 151,486,700

2005 DISTRIBUTION8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(b) and (5)(b) 15,606,535 15,822,678 15,362,127 15,585,067 15,863,779 16,038,699 16,485,096 16,860,300 17,126,400

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.120(1) (2,304,751) (2,336,670) (2,268,657) (2,301,580) (2,342,740) (2,368,572) (2,434,495) (2,489,900) (2,529,200)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.120(3) (507,045) (514,067) (499,105) (506,348) (515,403) (521,086) (535,589) (547,800) (556,400)Less: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h) (524,612) (522,945) (168,378) (352,900) (352,900) (352,900) (352,900) (352,900) (352,900)

TOTAL AMOUNT ALLOCATED TO COUNTIES 150,313,633 152,404,335 148,307,649 150,277,858 152,971,629 154,662,245 158,976,695 162,602,700 165,174,500 Less: Amounts to Ferry Operations, RCW 46.68.080(5) (4,866,611) (5,009,385) (4,722,526) (4,774,632) (4,675,031) (5,078,918) (6,878,484) (9,727,200) (9,849,500)

TOTAL NET TO COUNTIES 145,447,022 147,394,951 143,585,124 145,503,226 148,296,597 149,583,327 152,098,211 152,875,500 155,325,000

REFUNDS TO COUNTIESTo San Juan County RCW 46.68.080(1) Capron Act (2,033,684) (2,116,497) (2,023,042) (2,068,359) (2,008,715) (2,057,990) (1,999,488) (2,190,000) (2,130,700)To Island County RCW 46.68.080(2) Capron Act (4,048,248) (4,143,862) (3,878,822) (3,898,623) (3,833,794) (4,289,267) (4,305,233) (4,427,100) (4,522,900)To Pierce, Skagit, and Whatcom Counties RCW 47.56.725 (500,000) (500,000) (500,000) (500,000) (500,000) (500,000) (900,000) (900,000) (900,000)

NET DISTRIBUTION TO COUNTIES 138,865,090 140,634,591 137,183,260 139,036,243 141,954,088 142,736,070 144,893,490 145,358,300 147,771,300

COUNTY ARTERIAL PRESERVATION1.9565% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(i) #186 14,045,782 14,240,309 13,825,816 14,026,461 14,277,300 14,434,727 14,836,481 15,174,100 15,413,600

----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- -------------------------RURAL ARTERIAL PROGRAM

2.5363% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(j) #102 18,208,186 18,460,360 17,923,035 18,183,139 18,508,313 18,712,393 19,233,205 19,670,900 19,981,400 ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- -------------------------

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION $1,170,494,801 $1,186,705,574 $1,152,164,144 $1,168,884,710 $1,189,788,195 $1,202,907,268 $1,407,051,984 $1,637,777,900 $1,692,090,500

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-15

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 5. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue By Month of DistributionFor Fiscal Years November 2016

GROSS FUEL TAXTOTAL REFUNDS AND TRANSFERS

GROSS GASOLINE TAXLess: Non-Highway RefundsLess: Tribal Reservation RefundsLess: Aeronautics Transfer #039Less: General Fund Transfer #001Less: Marine Transfer #048 and #267Less: Outdoor Recreation Vehicle Transfer #268 and #01BLess: Snowmobile #01M

NET GASOLINE TAX

GROSS SPECIAL FUEL TAXLess: Non-Highway RefundsLess: Tribal Reservation Refunds

NET SPECIAL FUEL TAX

TOTAL MOTOR FUEL TAX

LESS ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES: Department of Licensing #108

TOTAL EXPENSES

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION1¢ Net for Distribution

DISTRIBUTIONS

STATEGENERAL WSDOT & OTHER AGENCIES

44.387% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(a) #108SPECIAL CATEGORY C

3.2609% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(b) #215TRANSPORTATION 2003 ACCOUNT

100% of 5¢, RCW 46.68.090(3) #550TRANSPORTATION PARTNERSHIP ACCOUNT

83.3334% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(c)(5)(c) and100% of 2¢ and 1.5¢ RCW 46.68.090(6) #09H

CONNECTING WASHINGTON ACCOUNT100% of 7¢ and 4.9¢ RCW 46.68.090(7) #20H

TOTAL TO STATE

Plus: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1) #108Plus: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2) #108Plus: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)

NET TO STATE

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

$1,827,029,400 $1,836,099,200 $1,849,486,600 $1,861,095,600 $1,870,284,000 $1,878,435,000 $1,885,548,600 $1,888,710,200 $1,892,020,000100,623,300 101,179,200 101,995,800 102,781,600 103,512,800 104,247,700 104,959,500 105,575,400 106,210,800

1,479,041,100 1,492,571,600 1,504,477,000 1,514,604,000 1,522,112,800 1,528,436,000 1,533,573,600 1,534,413,400 1,535,253,20014,790,400 14,925,700 15,044,800 15,146,000 15,221,100 15,284,400 15,335,700 15,344,100 15,352,500 40,417,800 40,787,100 41,160,000 41,536,700 41,917,100 42,336,300 42,759,700 43,187,300 43,619,100

414,100 417,900 421,300 424,200 426,200 428,000 429,400 429,600 429,900 842,100 915,300 993,900 1,072,700 1,149,800 1,214,300 1,273,200 1,324,800 1,384,300

10,496,100 10,592,100 10,676,600 10,748,500 10,801,800 10,846,600 10,883,100 10,889,000 10,895,000 10,039,600 10,131,000 10,211,000 10,278,500 10,327,600 10,368,400 10,400,800 10,403,200 10,405,500 1,089,100 1,089,100 1,089,100 1,097,800 1,104,100 1,109,600 1,115,100 1,115,600 1,116,000

1,400,951,900 1,413,713,500 1,424,880,400 1,434,299,700 1,441,165,100 1,446,848,400 1,451,376,500 1,451,719,700 1,452,050,800 ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------

347,988,300 343,527,600 345,009,600 346,491,600 348,171,200 349,999,000 351,975,000 354,296,800 356,766,800 17,051,400 16,832,900 16,905,500 16,978,100 17,060,400 17,150,000 17,246,800 17,360,500 17,481,600 5,482,700 5,488,200 5,493,700 5,499,200 5,504,700 5,510,200 5,515,700 5,521,200 5,526,800

325,454,200 321,206,500 322,610,400 324,014,300 325,606,100 327,338,800 329,212,500 331,415,000 333,758,500

1,726,406,000 1,734,920,000 1,747,490,800 1,758,314,000 1,766,771,200 1,774,187,300 1,780,589,100 1,783,134,800 1,785,809,200 ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------

11,590,000 11,805,100 12,031,900 12,267,000 12,526,000 12,796,500 13,070,700 13,343,700 13,621,500

11,590,000 11,805,100 12,031,900 12,267,000 12,526,000 12,796,500 13,070,700 13,343,700 13,621,500 ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------

1,714,816,100 1,723,114,900 1,735,458,900 1,746,047,000 1,754,245,200 1,761,390,800 1,767,518,300 1,769,791,000 1,772,187,70034,712,900 34,880,900 35,130,700 35,345,100 35,511,000 35,655,700 35,779,700 35,825,700 35,874,200

354,384,100 356,099,100 358,650,100 360,838,300 362,532,500 364,009,200 365,275,600 365,745,200 366,240,500

26,034,900 26,160,900 26,348,300 26,509,100 26,633,500 26,742,000 26,835,000 26,869,500 26,905,900

173,564,400 174,404,300 175,653,700 176,725,400 177,555,200 178,278,400 178,898,600 179,128,600 179,371,200

295,059,600 296,487,500 298,611,500 300,433,300 301,844,000 303,073,500 304,127,800 304,518,800 304,931,200

413,083,200 415,082,300 418,055,900 420,606,500 422,581,300 424,302,600 425,778,700 426,326,200 426,903,500

1,262,126,200 1,268,234,200 1,277,319,600 1,285,112,600 1,291,146,500 1,296,405,700 1,300,915,700 1,302,588,400 1,304,352,500 ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------

4,104,500 4,124,300 4,153,900 4,179,200 4,198,800 4,215,900 4,230,600 4,236,100 4,241,800 903,000 907,400 913,900 919,400 923,700 927,500 930,700 931,900 933,200 352,900 352,900 352,900 352,900 352,900 352,900 352,900 352,900 352,900

1,267,486,600 1,273,618,800 1,282,740,200 1,290,564,100 1,296,622,000 1,301,902,100 1,306,430,000 1,308,109,300 1,309,527,400

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-16

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 5. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue By Month of DistributionFor Fiscal Years November 2016

WASHINGTON STATE FERRIESPUGET SOUND FERRY OPERATIONS ACCOUNT #109

2.3283% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(c) Plus: RCW 46.68.080(5), Capron Act Redistributions #109

TOTAL TO FERRY OPERATIONS

PUGET SOUND FERRY CONSTRUCTION ACCOUNT #0992.3726% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(d) #099

TOTAL TO WASHINGTON STATE FERRIES

TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD7.5597% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(e) #1445.6739% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(f) #144Plus: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account # 08M

TOTAL TO TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD

CITIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

10.6961% of 23¢ to Cities RCW 46.68.090(2)(g)2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(a) and (5)(a)

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2)Less: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account #08M

RCW 46.68.110(3)NET TO CITIES

COUNTIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

19.2287% of 23¢ to Counties RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(b) and (5)(b)

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.120(1)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.120(3)Less: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)

TOTAL AMOUNT ALLOCATED TO COUNTIESLess: Amounts to Ferry Operations, RCW 46.68.080(5)

TOTAL NET TO COUNTIES

REFUNDS TO COUNTIESTo San Juan County RCW 46.68.080(1) Capron ActTo Island County RCW 46.68.080(2) Capron ActTo Pierce, Skagit, and Whatcom Counties RCW 47.56.725

NET DISTRIBUTION TO COUNTIES

COUNTY ARTERIAL PRESERVATION1.9565% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(i) #186

RURAL ARTERIAL PROGRAM 2.5363% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(j) #102

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

$18,589,100 $18,679,000 $18,812,800 $18,927,600 $19,016,500 $19,093,900 $19,160,400 $19,185,000 $19,211,0009,928,200 9,923,000 9,946,000 9,956,700 9,954,300 9,946,100 9,933,500 9,911,800 9,885,700

28,517,300 28,602,000 28,758,900 28,884,300 28,970,800 29,040,100 29,093,900 29,096,800 29,096,700

18,942,700 19,034,400 19,170,800 19,287,700 19,378,300 19,457,200 19,524,900 19,550,000 19,576,500

47,460,000 47,636,400 47,929,700 48,172,000 48,349,100 48,497,300 48,618,800 48,646,800 48,673,200 ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------

60,356,400 60,648,400 61,082,900 61,455,600 61,744,100 61,995,600 62,211,300 62,291,300 62,375,700 45,300,200 45,519,400 45,845,500 46,125,200 46,341,800 46,530,600 46,692,400 46,752,500 46,815,800 1,027,500 1,032,500 1,039,900 1,046,300 1,051,200 1,055,400 1,059,100 1,060,500 1,061,900

106,684,100 107,200,400 107,968,300 108,627,100 109,137,100 109,581,600 109,962,900 110,104,300 110,253,400 ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------

85,397,300 85,810,500 86,425,300 86,952,500 87,360,800 87,716,700 88,021,800 88,135,000 88,254,300

17,356,400 17,440,400 17,565,300 17,672,500 17,755,400 17,827,800 17,889,800 17,912,800 17,937,100

(1,541,300) (1,548,800) (1,559,900) (1,569,400) (1,576,700) (1,583,200) (1,588,700) (1,590,700) (1,592,900)(339,100) (340,700) (343,200) (345,300) (346,900) (348,300) (349,500) (350,000) (350,400)

(1,027,500) (1,032,500) (1,039,900) (1,046,300) (1,051,200) (1,055,400) (1,059,100) (1,060,500) (1,061,900)

99,845,700 100,328,900 101,047,600 101,664,100 102,141,500 102,557,500 102,914,300 103,046,600 103,186,200 ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------

153,521,200 154,264,200 155,369,300 156,317,200 157,051,100 157,690,900 158,239,400 158,442,900 158,657,500

17,356,400 17,440,400 17,565,300 17,672,500 17,755,400 17,827,800 17,889,800 17,912,800 17,937,100

(2,563,200) (2,575,600) (2,594,000) (2,609,800) (2,622,100) (2,632,800) (2,641,900) (2,645,300) (2,648,900)(563,900) (566,600) (570,700) (574,200) (576,900) (579,200) (581,200) (582,000) (582,800)(352,900) (352,900) (352,900) (352,900) (352,900) (352,900) (352,900) (352,900) 0

167,397,600 168,209,400 169,417,000 170,452,800 171,254,700 171,953,700 172,553,200 172,775,500 173,362,800 (9,928,200) (9,923,000) (9,946,000) (9,956,700) (9,954,300) (9,946,100) (9,933,500) (9,911,800) (9,885,700)

157,469,400 158,286,500 159,470,900 160,496,100 161,300,400 162,007,600 162,619,600 162,863,700 163,477,200

(2,145,300) (2,142,000) (2,145,100) (2,145,600) (2,143,200) (2,139,300) (2,134,700) (2,127,000) (2,118,900)(4,561,500) (4,561,200) (4,573,700) (4,580,400) (4,581,200) (4,579,600) (4,575,700) (4,568,700) (4,559,100)

(900,000) (900,000) (900,000) (900,000) (900,000) (900,000) (900,000) (900,000) (900,000)149,862,600 150,683,200 151,852,100 152,870,100 153,676,000 154,388,700 155,009,200 155,268,100 155,899,100

15,620,600 15,696,200 15,808,700 15,905,100 15,979,800 16,044,900 16,100,700 16,121,400 16,143,200 ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------

20,249,700 20,347,700 20,493,500 20,618,500 20,715,300 20,799,700 20,872,100 20,898,900 20,927,200 ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------

$1,714,816,100 $1,723,114,900 $1,735,458,900 $1,746,047,000 $1,754,245,200 $1,761,390,800 $1,767,518,300 $1,769,791,000 $1,772,187,700

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-17

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Transportation Revenue Forecast Council

November 2016

Current Biennium2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Gross Total Fuel Taxes 1,264,797,056 1,282,377,674 1,502,070,725 1,746,128,671 1,802,866,080 1,827,029,379 1,836,099,200 1,849,486,600 1,861,095,600 1,870,284,000 Gross Gasoline Tax 1,018,633,203 1,033,853,884 1,213,642,945 1,415,695,990 1,465,214,042 1,479,041,054 1,492,571,600 1,504,477,000 1,514,604,000 1,522,112,800 Gasoline Tax Transfers 48,718,851 53,413,469 65,231,699 74,887,087 77,361,155 78,089,161 78,858,130 79,596,628 80,304,317 80,947,722

Off Road Vehicle Acct (#268) 3,523,137 3,561,637 4,571,155 5,638,036 5,818,418 5,873,139 5,926,613 5,973,409 6,012,904 6,041,643 Off Road Vehicle Acct (#01B) 2,499,320 2,526,631 3,242,785 3,999,633 4,127,596 4,166,415 4,204,350 4,237,547 4,265,564 4,285,952 Snowmobile Acct (#01M) 743,474 608,453 981,220 1,168,244 1,120,145 1,089,068 1,089,068 1,089,068 1,097,751 1,104,149 Marine Fuel Acct (#267) 6,290,507 6,384,380 8,068,445 9,930,071 10,397,971 10,496,095 10,592,115 10,676,603 10,748,469 10,801,756 Other Gasoline Tax Refunds & Admin Costs 35,662,413 40,332,368 48,368,093 54,151,103 55,897,026 56,464,443 57,045,984 57,620,001 58,179,629 58,714,221

Gasoline Tax Net of Refunds & Transfers 969,914,352 980,440,414 1,148,411,246 1,340,808,903 1,387,852,887 1,400,951,893 1,413,713,470 1,424,880,372 1,434,299,683 1,441,165,078 Gross Special Fuel Tax 246,163,853 248,523,791 288,427,780 330,432,682 337,652,038 347,988,325 343,527,600 345,009,600 346,491,600 348,171,200

Special Fuel Tax Refunds 18,350,963 17,261,641 18,742,304 21,255,886 22,022,214 22,534,170 22,321,077 22,399,183 22,477,295 22,565,094 Special Fuel Tax Net of Refunds & Transfers 227,812,890 231,262,150 269,685,476 309,176,795 315,629,824 325,454,155 321,206,523 322,610,417 324,014,305 325,606,106 Distribution to AccountsGasoline Tax Distributions

Motor Vehicle (#108) 841,448,898 850,664,229 876,584,670 900,477,441 916,237,057 924,897,245 933,365,852 940,777,912 947,041,822 951,630,734 Transportation 2003 Nickel (#550) 128,465,453 129,776,186 133,483,889 137,019,613 139,531,311 140,844,571 142,114,680 143,225,580 144,159,131 144,832,646 Connecting WA (#20H) 138,342,687 303,311,849 332,084,519 335,210,078 338,232,938 340,876,881 343,098,731 344,701,698

Special Fuel Tax DistributionsMotor Vehicle (#108) 197,639,917 200,650,700 205,995,567 207,651,619 208,372,581 214,861,194 212,067,459 213,003,258 213,940,289 215,003,926 Transportation 2003 Nickel (#550) 30,172,973 30,611,450 31,367,726 31,583,658 31,732,912 32,719,811 32,289,664 32,428,154 32,566,277 32,722,539 Connecting WA (#20H) 32,322,183 69,941,519 75,524,330 77,873,150 76,849,400 77,179,005 77,507,739 77,879,642

Other Gasoline & Special Fuel Tax DistributionsSpecial Category C (#215) 23,795,986 24,058,370 24,727,973 25,290,727 25,689,873 26,034,900 26,160,896 26,348,306 26,509,059 26,633,526 Transportation Partnership (#09H) 269,685,451 272,659,109 280,247,878 286,625,695 291,149,315 295,059,588 296,487,524 298,611,488 300,433,334 301,843,956 Puget Sound Ferry Operations (#109) 21,665,492 22,256,723 24,534,388 27,784,909 28,192,248 28,517,282 28,601,979 28,758,877 28,884,267 28,970,772 Puget Sound Ferry Construction (#099) 17,313,734 17,504,642 17,991,839 18,401,294 18,691,709 18,942,747 19,034,420 19,170,778 19,287,740 19,378,302 Transportation Improvement (#144) 96,570,444 97,635,268 101,328,650 103634664.6 105,270,261 106,684,090 107,200,386 107,968,343 108,627,064 109,137,100 Small City Pavement & Sidewalk (#08M) 939,172 949,527 975,955 998,165 1,013,919 1,027,536 1,032,509 1,039,906 1,046,250 1,051,163 County Arterial Preservation (#186) 14,277,300 14,434,727 14,836,481 15174125.76 15,413,609 15,620,621 15,696,217 15,808,660 15,905,110 15,979,789 Rural Arterial Program (#102) 18,508,313 18,712,393 19,233,205 19,670,910 19,981,363 20,249,722 20,347,720 20,493,486 20,618,518 20,715,328

Net Total Fuel Taxes 1,197,727,241 1,211,702,564 1,418,096,722 1,649,985,698 1,703,482,711 1,726,406,048 1,734,919,993 1,747,490,789 1,758,313,989 1,766,771,184

Table A. 6. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast By Fiscal Year Based on Month of Distribution

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-18

Page 19: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Motor Vehicle Related Revenue Forecast Licenses, Permits, and Fees

November 2016

Contact: Thomas L. R. Smith, Ph. D., Washington State Department of Transportation, 360-705-7941, [email protected] Alice Vogel, Washington State Department of Licensing, 360-902-3986, [email protected] Robert A. Plue, Washington State Department of Licensing, 360-902-3643, [email protected] Reinhold Groepler, Ph. D., Washington State Department of Licensing, 360-902-3704, [email protected]

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-19

Page 20: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 1. Washington Motor Vehicle Registration Fiscal Year Forecasts November 2016

Current Biennium2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Motor Vehicle RegistrationsPassenger Cars (November 2016 Forecast) 4,177,994 4,336,866 4,320,265 4,417,563 4,529,669 4,707,553 4,908,456 5,008,400 5,099,100

Annual Percent Change -0.8% 3.8% -0.4% 2.3% 2.5% 3.9% 4.3% 2.0% 1.8%Passenger Cars (September 2016 Forecast) 4,177,994 4,336,866 4,320,265 4,417,563 4,529,669 4,707,553 4,908,456 4,999,600 5,100,200

Percent Change, November vs. September 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%

Trucks (November 2016 Forecast) 1,439,142 1,468,124 1,442,462 1,450,419 1,459,229 1,489,331 1,539,232 1,564,400 1,582,400Annual Percent Change -2.1% 2.0% -1.7% 0.6% 0.6% 2.1% 3.4% 1.6% 1.2%

Trucks (September 2016 Forecast) 1,439,142 1,468,124 1,442,462 1,450,419 1,459,229 1,489,331 1,539,232 1,564,000 1,578,000 Percent Change, November vs. September 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%

Total Cars and Trucks (November 2016 Forecast) 5,617,136 5,804,990 5,762,727 5,867,982 5,988,898 6,196,884 6,447,688 6,572,800 6,681,500Annual Percent Change -1.1% 3.3% -0.7% 1.8% 2.1% 3.5% 4.0% 1.9% 1.7%

Total Cars and Trucks (September 2016 Forecast) 5,617,136 5,804,990 5,762,727 5,867,982 5,988,898 6,196,884 6,447,688 6,563,600 6,678,200 Percent Change, November vs. September 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027Passenger Cars (November 2016 Forecast)

Annual Percent Change 5,204,900 5,308,900 5,407,400 5,477,300 5,548,400 5,620,000 5,695,300 5,771,500 5,845,700Passenger Cars (September 2016 Forecast) 2.1% 2.0% 1.9% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3%

Percent Change, November vs. September 5,210,200 5,316,700 5,417,800 5,487,400 5,558,200 5,629,400 5,702,900 5,777,100 5,849,600-0.1% -0.1% -0.2% -0.2% -0.2% -0.2% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1%

Trucks (November 2016 Forecast)Annual Percent Change 1,595,100 1,602,200 1,603,900 1,606,600 1,613,100 1,620,700 1,629,700 1,640,900 1,653,200

Trucks (September 2016 Forecast) 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% Percent Change, November vs. September 1,584,300 1,588,000 1,589,800 1,594,500 1,601,100 1,608,600 1,617,500 1,628,700 1,640,900

0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7%Total Cars and Trucks (November 2016 Forecast)

Annual Percent Change 6,800,000 6,911,100 7,011,300 7,083,900 7,161,500 7,240,700 7,325,000 7,412,400 7,498,900Total Cars and Trucks (September 2016 Forecast) 1.8% 1.6% 1.4% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2%

Percent Change, November vs. September 6,794,500 6,904,700 7,007,600 7,081,900 7,159,300 7,238,000 7,320,400 7,405,800 7,490,5000.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-20

Page 21: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 2. Vehicle Related Revenue (License, Permits and Fees)Biennial Comparison

November 2016 BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2009-2011 2009 - 2011 2011-2013 2011 - 2013

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value PercentCollected by Department of Licensing:

Registration Fees:Vehicles paying Basic License Fee ($30) $283,660,238 $283,660,238 $0 0.00% $297,302,559 $297,302,559 $0 0.00%Vehicles paying Weight-based Registration Fee (All Trucks) 330,806,838 330,806,838 0 0.00% 345,956,289 345,956,289 0 0.00%Vehicles paying Freight Project Fee (Trucks >10,000 lbs) 0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%Vehicles paying varying fees 1,351,587 1,351,587 0 0.00% 1,345,642 1,345,642 0 0.00%Vehicle Business Licenses 2,909,412 2,909,412 0 0.00% 3,251,541 3,251,541 0 0.00%Personal Trailers 12,972,106 12,972,106 0 0.00% 13,131,620 13,131,620 0 0.00%Intermittent-Use Trailers ($187.50) 0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%

Penalty Fees 5,582,412 5,582,412 0 0.00% 6,298,757 6,298,757 0 0.00%Passenger Vehicle Weight Fees 105,860,240 105,860,240 0 0.00% 110,152,365 110,152,365 0 0.00%Motor Home Weight Fees 10,130,177 10,130,177 0 0.00% 9,852,308 9,852,308 0 0.00%Capacity Fees 71,825 71,825 0 0.00% 68,700 68,700 0 0.00%Transaction Fees 184,729 184,729 0 0.00% 193,150 193,150 0 0.00%Tonnage Permits 1,071,917 1,071,917 0 0.00% 1,083,827 1,083,827 0 0.00%RV Disposal Fee 1,268,565 1,268,565 0 0.00% 1,273,225 1,273,225 0 0.00%Trip Permit Filing Fees (WSDOT) 74,736 74,736 0 0.00% 70,038 70,038 0 0.00%Trip Permit Admin Fees and Surcharge 6,373,983 6,373,983 0 0.00% 6,866,179 6,866,179 0 0.00%Farm Trip Permits 6,544 6,544 0 0.00% 7,307 7,307 0 0.00%Vehicle Inspection Fees 11,041,123 11,041,123 0 0.00% 11,367,493 11,367,493 0 0.00%Safety Inspection Fees 4,417,790 4,417,790 0 0.00% 4,635,726 4,635,726 0 0.00%Other Vehicle Registration Fees 2,285,785 2,285,785 0 0.00% 1,788,470 1,788,470 0 0.00%DOL Services Fee 5,732,620 5,732,620 0 0.00% 5,837,268 5,837,268 0 0.00%License Plate Technology Fee 2,867,975 2,867,975 0 0.00% 2,920,094 2,920,094 0 0.00%Electric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($100) 0 0 0 0.00% 80,083 80,083 0 0.00%Electric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($50) 0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%Original Plate Fee 0 0 0 0.00% 8,407,760 8,407,760 0 0.00%Plate Replacement Fees 26,334,799 26,334,799 0 0.00% 29,610,312 29,610,312 0 0.00%Plate Reflectivity 9,784,002 9,784,002 0 0.00% 10,751,566 10,751,566 0 0.00%Title Fees 19,225,803 19,225,803 0 0.00% 34,464,920 34,464,920 0 0.00%Quick Titles 0 0 0 0.00% 743,729 743,729 0 0.00%IFTA Decals 632,141 632,141 0 0.00% 659,670 659,670 0 0.00%Dealer Plate Fees 1,158,672 1,158,672 0 0.00% 1,147,464 1,147,464 0 0.00%Dealer Temporary Permits (WSP $10 Distribution) 7,975,439 7,975,439 0 0.00% 8,405,150 8,405,150 0 0.00%Filing Fees 2,790,827 2,790,827 0 0.00% 2,992,588 2,992,588 0 0.00%Plate Number Retention Fees 749,480 749,480 0 0.00% 1,468,420 1,468,420 0 0.00%Wheeled All Terrain Vehicles On Road Fee 0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%Title Service Fee $12 (Vehicles & Vessels) 0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%Registration Service Fee $5 (Vehicles & Vessels) 0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%

Total Collected by DOL $857,321,765 $857,321,765 $0 0.00% $922,134,220 $922,134,220 $0 0.00%

Collected by Department of TransportationSpecial Permit Fees $15,430,538 $15,430,538 $0 0.00% $15,918,732 $15,918,732 $0 0.00%Bus Mileage 51,294 51,294 0 0.00% 48,957 48,957 0 0.00%Total Collected by DOT $15,481,832 $15,481,832 $0 0.00% $15,967,689 $15,967,689 $0 0.00%

Total Revenue fromLicenses, Permits, and Fees $872,803,597 $872,803,597 $0 0.00% $938,101,909 $938,101,909 $0 0.00%

Difference Difference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-21

Page 22: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 2. Vehicle Related Revenue (License, Permits and Fees)Biennial Comparison

November 2016 BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2009-2011 2009 - 2011 2011-2013 2011 - 2013

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value PercentDifference Difference

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108 $363,589,121 $363,589,121 $0 0.00% $397,735,253 $397,735,253 $0 0.00%State Patrol-Fund 081 282,304,767 282,304,767 0 0.00% 290,693,384 290,693,384 0 0.00%State Ferries-Fund 109 14,296,892 14,296,892 0 0.00% 14,810,865 14,810,865 0 0.00%Capital Vessel Replacement Account--Fund 18J 0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%RV Disposal Fee-Fund 097 1,268,565 1,268,565 0 0.00% 1,273,225 1,273,225 0 0.00%Multimodal Fund-Fund 2181 124,531,633 124,531,633 0 0.00% 130,193,084 130,193,084 0 0.00%Transportation 2003 (Nickel) Account-Fund 550 31,959,019 31,959,019 0 0.00% 47,433,594 47,433,594 0 0.00%Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09H 40,224,260 40,224,260 0 0.00% 41,281,840 41,281,840 0 0.00%Freight Mobility Multimodal Account-Fund 11E 6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00% 6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00%Rural Arterial Trust Account 102-253 0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%Transportation Improvement Account 144 0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%DOL Services Account-Fund 201 5,761,366 5,761,366 0 0.00% 5,784,947 5,784,947 0 0.00%License Plate Technology Account-Fund 06T 2,867,974 2,867,974 0 0.00% 2,895,717 2,895,717 0 0.00%Multiuse Roadway Safety Account Collections-571 0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%

Total $872,803,597 $872,803,597 $0 0.00% $938,101,909 $938,101,909 $0 0.00%

Transfers2

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108 $363,589,121 $363,589,121 $0 0.00% $397,735,253 $397,735,253 $0 0.00%Capron 4,176,456 4,176,456 0 0.00% 4,249,926 4,249,926 0 0.00%

Balance in Motor Vehicle Fund $359,412,665 $359,412,665 $0 0.00% $393,485,327 $393,485,327 $0 0.00%

Multimodal Account $124,531,633 $124,531,633 $0 0.00% $130,193,084 $130,193,084 $0 0.00%Transportation Infrastructure Account-Fund 094 5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00% 5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00%Regional Mobility Grant Program Account3 40,000,000 40,000,000 0 0.00% 40,000,000 40,000,000 0 0.00%Rural Mobility Grant Program Account3 0 0 0 0.00% 20,000,000 20,000,000 0 0.00%

Balance in Multimodal Account $79,531,633 $79,531,633 $0 0.00% $65,193,084 $65,193,084 $0 0.00%

Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09H $40,224,260 $40,224,260 $0 0.00% $41,281,840 $41,281,840 $0 0.00%Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account-Fund 08M 2,000,000 2,000,000 0 0.00% 2,000,000 2,000,000 0 0.00%Transportation Improvement Account-Fund 144 5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00% 5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00%County Arterial Preservation Account-Fund 186 3,000,000 3,000,000 0 0.00% 3,000,000 3,000,000 0 0.00%Freight Mobility Investment Account-Fund 09E 6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00% 6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00%

Balance in Transportation Partnership Account $24,224,260 $24,224,260 $0 0.00% $25,281,840 $25,281,840 $0 0.00%

Capron DistributionIsland County $2,732,280 $2,732,280 $0 0.00% $2,787,517 $2,787,517 $0 0.00%San Juan County 1,444,177 1,444,177 0 0.00% 1,462,409 1,462,409 0 0.00%

Total $4,176,456 $4,176,456 $0 0.00% $4,249,926 $4,249,926 $0 0.00%

1Multimodal Fund = Penalty Fees, Plate Number Retention Fees, Filing Fees, and a portion of Title Fees, Vehicle Weight Fees

Additional Electric/Plug-in Renewal Fee2Most transfers occur on July 1st of each year. Capron transfers occur monthly. 3Transfer occurs the last day of September, December, March, and June.

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-22

Page 23: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 2. Vehicle Related Revenue (License, Permits and Fees)Biennial Comparison

November 2016

Collected by Department of Licensing:Registration Fees:

Vehicles paying Basic License Fee ($30)Vehicles paying Weight-based Registration Fee (All Trucks)Vehicles paying Freight Project Fee (Trucks >10,000 lbs)Vehicles paying varying feesVehicle Business Licenses Personal TrailersIntermittent-Use Trailers ($187.50)

Penalty FeesPassenger Vehicle Weight FeesMotor Home Weight FeesCapacity FeesTransaction FeesTonnage PermitsRV Disposal FeeTrip Permit Filing Fees (WSDOT)Trip Permit Admin Fees and SurchargeFarm Trip PermitsVehicle Inspection FeesSafety Inspection FeesOther Vehicle Registration FeesDOL Services FeeLicense Plate Technology FeeElectric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($100)Electric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($50)Original Plate FeePlate Replacement FeesPlate ReflectivityTitle FeesQuick TitlesIFTA DecalsDealer Plate FeesDealer Temporary Permits (WSP $10 Distribution)Filing FeesPlate Number Retention FeesWheeled All Terrain Vehicles On Road FeeTitle Service Fee $12 (Vehicles & Vessels)Registration Service Fee $5 (Vehicles & Vessels)

Total Collected by DOL

Collected by Department of TransportationSpecial Permit FeesBus MileageTotal Collected by DOT

Total Revenue fromLicenses, Permits, and Fees

Current BienniumBIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2013-2015 2013 - 2015 2015-2017 2015 - 2017

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

$309,872,759 $309,872,759 $0 0.00% $332,426,417 $331,947,017 $479,400 0.14%361,176,906 361,176,906 0 0.00% 423,736,449 423,490,649 245,800 0.06%

0 0 0 0.00% 11,386,563 11,383,363 3,200 0.03%1,414,823 1,414,823 0 0.00% 1,559,559 1,553,859 5,700 0.37%3,610,982 3,610,982 0 0.00% 3,582,207 3,569,407 12,800 0.36%

13,326,183 13,326,183 0 0.00% 13,480,876 13,314,276 166,600 1.25%0 0 0 0.00% 7,231,900 7,231,900 0 0.00%

8,253,167 8,253,167 0 0.00% 9,382,194 9,366,094 16,100 0.17%116,648,679 116,648,679 0 0.00% 216,770,971 216,636,171 134,800 0.06%

9,989,696 9,989,696 0 0.00% 10,329,939 10,290,839 39,100 0.38%68,525 68,525 0 0.00% 67,825 69,325 (1,500) -2.16%

191,491 191,491 0 0.00% 213,785 211,285 2,500 1.18%1,097,878 1,097,878 0 0.00% 1,084,801 1,086,801 (2,000) -0.18%1,328,384 1,328,384 0 0.00% 1,444,585 1,427,285 17,300 1.21%

70,333 70,333 0 0.00% 64,982 65,982 (1,000) -1.52%7,154,104 7,154,104 0 0.00% 7,538,330 7,555,530 (17,200) -0.23%

6,649 6,649 0 0.00% 6,180 6,180 0 0.00%12,707,208 12,707,208 0 0.00% 14,774,664 14,745,464 29,200 0.20%

4,934,950 4,934,950 0 0.00% 5,562,858 5,562,658 200 0.00%1,922,807 1,922,807 0 0.00% 1,937,730 1,933,130 4,600 0.24%6,122,523 6,122,523 0 0.00% 6,512,938 6,499,238 13,700 0.21%3,062,562 3,062,562 0 0.00% 3,252,497 3,245,597 6,900 0.21%1,017,416 1,017,416 0 0.00% 2,242,058 2,406,258 (164,200) -6.82%

0 0 0 0.00% 600,300 714,000 (113,700) -15.92%26,284,320 26,284,320 0 0.00% 30,845,775 30,820,975 24,800 0.08%30,707,022 30,707,022 0 0.00% 28,071,700 28,415,700 (344,000) -1.21%11,657,289 11,657,289 0 0.00% 12,083,198 12,148,798 (65,600) -0.54%64,602,779 64,602,779 0 0.00% 69,925,087 70,111,087 (186,000) -0.27%

1,816,748 1,816,748 0 0.00% 3,987,628 3,922,428 65,200 1.66%678,544 678,544 0 0.00% 666,687 663,087 3,600 0.54%

1,262,668 1,262,668 0 0.00% 1,310,099 1,313,299 (3,200) -0.24%11,143,460 11,143,460 0 0.00% 15,208,330 15,225,330 (17,000) -0.11%

3,231,523 3,231,523 0 0.00% 3,361,707 3,361,207 500 0.01%1,310,780 1,310,780 0 0.00% 46,880 50,180 (3,300) -6.58%

44,280 44,280 0 0.00% 119,643 119,643 0 0.00%3,003,435 3,003,435 0 0.00% 11,916,479 11,946,479 (30,000) -0.25%6,191,950 6,191,950 0 0.00% 21,586,455 20,989,455 597,000 2.84%

$1,025,912,824 $1,025,912,824 $0 0.00% $1,274,320,376 $1,273,399,876 $920,500 0.07%

$16,153,287 $16,153,287 $0 0.00% $16,437,445 $16,435,045 $2,400 0.01%46,867 46,867 0 0.00% 47,631 49,131 (1,500) -3.05%

$16,200,154 $16,200,154 $0 0.00% $16,485,075 $16,484,175 $900 0.01%

$1,042,112,978 $1,042,112,978 $0 0.00% $1,290,805,451 $1,289,884,051 $921,400 0.07%

DifferenceDifference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-23

Page 24: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 2. Vehicle Related Revenue (License, Permits and Fees)Biennial Comparison

November 2016

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108State Patrol-Fund 081State Ferries-Fund 109Capital Vessel Replacement Account--Fund 18JRV Disposal Fee-Fund 097Multimodal Fund-Fund 2181

Transportation 2003 (Nickel) Account-Fund 550Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HFreight Mobility Multimodal Account-Fund 11ERural Arterial Trust Account 102-253 Transportation Improvement Account 144DOL Services Account-Fund 201License Plate Technology Account-Fund 06TMultiuse Roadway Safety Account Collections-571

Total

Transfers2

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108Capron

Balance in Motor Vehicle Fund

Multimodal AccountTransportation Infrastructure Account-Fund 094Regional Mobility Grant Program Account3

Rural Mobility Grant Program Account3

Balance in Multimodal Account

Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HSmall City Pavement and Sidewalk Account-Fund 08MTransportation Improvement Account-Fund 144County Arterial Preservation Account-Fund 186Freight Mobility Investment Account-Fund 09E

Balance in Transportation Partnership Account

Capron DistributionIsland CountySan Juan County

Total

Current BienniumBIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2013-2015 2013 - 2015 2015-2017 2015 - 2017

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value PercentDifferenceDifference

$428,927,483 $428,927,483 $0 0.00% $497,076,286 $497,090,186 ($13,900) 0.00%310,140,572 310,140,572 0 0.00% 347,030,636 346,631,736 398,900 0.12%

15,797,792 15,797,792 0 0.00% 17,423,726 17,401,826 21,900 0.13%9,195,385 9,195,385 0 0.00% 33,502,934 32,935,934 567,000 1.72%1,328,384 1,328,384 0 0.00% 1,444,585 1,427,285 17,300 1.21%

140,033,710 140,033,710 0 0.00% 242,190,126 242,113,426 76,700 0.03%78,393,466 78,393,466 0 0.00% 84,753,237 84,919,137 (165,900) -0.20%43,066,821 43,066,821 0 0.00% 51,416,243 51,368,243 48,000 0.09%

6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00% 6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00%0 0 0 0.00% 41,300 65,900 (24,600) -37.33%0 0 0 0.00% 41,300 65,900 (24,600) -37.33%

6,122,523 6,122,523 0 0.00% 6,512,938 6,499,238 13,700 0.21%3,062,562 3,062,562 0 0.00% 3,252,497 3,245,597 6,900 0.21%

44,280 44,280 0 0.00% 119,643 119,643 0 0.00%$1,042,112,978 $1,042,112,978 $0 0.00% $1,290,805,451 $1,289,884,051 $921,400 0.07%

$428,927,483 $428,927,483 $0 0.00% $497,076,286 $497,090,086 ($13,800) 0.00%4,484,432 4,484,432 0 0.00% 4,766,649 4,759,549 7,100 0.15%

$424,443,051 $424,443,051 $0 0.00% $492,309,637 $492,330,537 ($20,900) 0.00%

$140,033,710 $140,033,710 $0 0.00% $242,190,126 $242,113,426 $76,700 0.03%5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00% 5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00%

40,000,000 40,000,000 0 0.00% 50,000,000 50,000,000 0 0.00%20,000,000 20,000,000 0 0.00% 20,000,000 20,000,000 0 0.00%

$73,864,725 $73,864,725 $0 0.00% $167,190,126 $167,113,426 $76,700 0.05%

$43,066,821 $43,066,821 $0 0.00% $51,416,243 $51,368,243 $48,000 0.09%2,000,000 2,000,000 0 0.00% 2,000,000 2,000,000 0 0.00%5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00% 5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00%3,000,000 3,000,000 0 0.00% 3,000,000 3,000,000 0 0.00%6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00% 6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00%

$27,066,821 $27,066,821 $0 0.00% $35,416,243 $35,368,243 $48,000 0.14%

$2,982,006 $2,982,006 $0 0.00% $3,189,333 $3,184,733 $4,600 0.14%1,502,426 1,502,426 0 0.00% 1,577,316 1,574,816 2,500 0.16%

$4,484,432 $4,484,432 $0 0.00% $4,766,649 $4,759,549 $7,100 0.15%

1Multimodal Fund = Penalty Fees, Plate Number Retention Fees, Filing Fees, and a portion of Title Fees, Vehicle Weight Fees

Additional Electric/Plug-in Renewal Fee2Most transfers occur on July 1st of each year. Capron transfers occur monthly. 3Transfer occurs the last day of September, December, March, and June.

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-24

Page 25: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 2. Vehicle Related Revenue (License, Permits and Fees)Biennial Comparison

November 2016

Collected by Department of Licensing:Registration Fees:

Vehicles paying Basic License Fee ($30)Vehicles paying Weight-based Registration Fee (All Trucks)Vehicles paying Freight Project Fee (Trucks >10,000 lbs)Vehicles paying varying feesVehicle Business Licenses Personal TrailersIntermittent-Use Trailers ($187.50)

Penalty FeesPassenger Vehicle Weight FeesMotor Home Weight FeesCapacity FeesTransaction FeesTonnage PermitsRV Disposal FeeTrip Permit Filing Fees (WSDOT)Trip Permit Admin Fees and SurchargeFarm Trip PermitsVehicle Inspection FeesSafety Inspection FeesOther Vehicle Registration FeesDOL Services FeeLicense Plate Technology FeeElectric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($100)Electric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($50)Original Plate FeePlate Replacement FeesPlate ReflectivityTitle FeesQuick TitlesIFTA DecalsDealer Plate FeesDealer Temporary Permits (WSP $10 Distribution)Filing FeesPlate Number Retention FeesWheeled All Terrain Vehicles On Road FeeTitle Service Fee $12 (Vehicles & Vessels)Registration Service Fee $5 (Vehicles & Vessels)

Total Collected by DOL

Collected by Department of TransportationSpecial Permit FeesBus MileageTotal Collected by DOT

Total Revenue fromLicenses, Permits, and Fees

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2017-2019 2017 - 2019 2019-2021 2019 - 2021

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

$341,928,000 $342,737,500 ($809,500) -0.24% $355,787,800 $357,411,600 ($1,623,800) -0.45%464,763,000 462,149,800 2,613,200 0.57% 468,987,400 464,434,900 4,552,500 0.98%

22,814,900 22,705,400 109,500 0.48% 23,020,300 22,816,700 203,600 0.89%1,426,300 1,413,800 12,500 0.88% 1,417,700 1,404,500 13,200 0.94%3,362,300 3,353,000 9,300 0.28% 3,347,600 3,337,200 10,400 0.31%

12,183,600 12,660,400 (476,800) -3.77% 14,194,500 14,695,500 (501,000) -3.41%29,953,200 29,953,200 0 0.00% 6,809,900 6,809,900 0 0.00%

9,003,000 9,017,500 (14,500) -0.16% 9,246,300 9,267,600 (21,300) -0.23%314,066,600 314,869,700 (803,100) -0.26% 326,313,200 327,980,900 (1,667,700) -0.51%

10,437,700 10,314,900 122,800 1.19% 10,491,600 10,319,800 171,800 1.66%65,800 68,600 (2,800) -4.08% 65,100 67,900 (2,800) -4.12%

200,000 195,000 5,000 2.56% 200,000 195,000 5,000 2.56%1,091,000 1,095,000 (4,000) -0.37% 1,091,000 1,095,000 (4,000) -0.37%1,412,700 1,403,400 9,300 0.66% 1,475,300 1,453,000 22,300 1.53%

68,000 70,000 (2,000) -2.86% 68,000 70,000 (2,000) -2.86%7,699,200 7,699,300 (100) 0.00% 7,768,600 7,737,000 31,600 0.41%

6,200 6,200 0 0.00% 6,200 6,200 0 0.00%13,906,000 13,932,300 (26,300) -0.19% 14,345,600 14,384,300 (38,700) -0.27%

6,112,300 6,105,500 6,800 0.11% 6,557,100 6,544,400 12,700 0.19%2,224,400 2,228,600 (4,200) -0.19% 2,294,700 2,300,900 (6,200) -0.27%6,716,900 6,747,000 (30,100) -0.45% 6,959,000 7,003,700 (44,700) -0.64%3,358,400 3,373,400 (15,000) -0.44% 3,479,500 3,501,800 (22,300) -0.64%3,378,000 3,578,500 (200,500) -5.60% 5,099,200 5,265,900 (166,700) -3.17%1,689,100 1,789,300 (100,200) -5.60% 2,549,700 2,633,000 (83,300) -3.16%

30,458,900 30,454,600 4,300 0.01% 30,142,800 30,013,200 129,600 0.43%29,453,100 29,956,200 (503,100) -1.68% 30,271,200 30,752,700 (481,500) -1.57%12,261,600 12,364,000 (102,400) -0.83% 12,366,100 12,440,700 (74,600) -0.60%70,438,500 70,842,000 (403,500) -0.57% 70,792,500 71,056,500 (264,000) -0.37%

4,148,200 3,981,800 166,400 4.18% 4,067,500 3,880,800 186,700 4.81%707,400 697,000 10,400 1.49% 713,800 700,400 13,400 1.91%

1,320,000 1,330,400 (10,400) -0.78% 1,320,000 1,330,400 (10,400) -0.78%15,443,000 15,469,000 (26,000) -0.17% 15,267,000 15,131,000 136,000 0.90%

3,441,700 3,425,200 16,500 0.48% 3,472,600 3,441,900 30,700 0.89%59,100 63,600 (4,500) -7.08% 67,400 71,600 (4,200) -5.87%

125,700 125,700 0 0.00% 128,700 128,700 0 0.00%10,717,000 10,778,000 (61,000) -0.57% 10,478,000 10,516,000 (38,000) -0.36%17,453,000 16,330,000 1,123,000 6.88% 17,256,000 15,856,000 1,400,000 8.83%

$1,453,893,800 $1,453,284,800 $609,000 0.04% $1,467,918,700 $1,466,056,200 $1,862,500 0.13%

$17,253,800 $17,171,000 $82,800 0.48% $17,409,300 $17,255,200 $154,100 0.89%48,000 51,000 (3,000) -5.88% 48,000 51,000 (3,000) -5.88%

$17,301,800 $17,222,000 $79,800 0.46% $17,457,300 $17,306,200 $151,100 0.87%

$1,471,195,600 $1,470,506,800 $688,800 0.05% $1,485,376,000 $1,483,362,400 $2,013,600 0.14%

DifferenceDifference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-25

Page 26: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 2. Vehicle Related Revenue (License, Permits and Fees)Biennial Comparison

November 2016

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108State Patrol-Fund 081State Ferries-Fund 109Capital Vessel Replacement Account--Fund 18JRV Disposal Fee-Fund 097Multimodal Fund-Fund 2181

Transportation 2003 (Nickel) Account-Fund 550Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HFreight Mobility Multimodal Account-Fund 11ERural Arterial Trust Account 102-253 Transportation Improvement Account 144DOL Services Account-Fund 201License Plate Technology Account-Fund 06TMultiuse Roadway Safety Account Collections-571

Total

Transfers2

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108Capron

Balance in Motor Vehicle Fund

Multimodal AccountTransportation Infrastructure Account-Fund 094Regional Mobility Grant Program Account3

Rural Mobility Grant Program Account3

Balance in Multimodal Account

Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HSmall City Pavement and Sidewalk Account-Fund 08MTransportation Improvement Account-Fund 144County Arterial Preservation Account-Fund 186Freight Mobility Investment Account-Fund 09E

Balance in Transportation Partnership Account

Capron DistributionIsland CountySan Juan County

Total

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2017-2019 2017 - 2019 2019-2021 2019 - 2021

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value PercentDifferenceDifference

$512,511,100 $510,539,600 $1,971,500 0.39% $502,405,700 $498,452,300 $3,953,400 0.79%408,565,800 408,721,300 (155,500) -0.04% 418,297,700 418,469,800 (172,100) -0.04%

18,564,400 18,560,800 3,600 0.02% 18,995,400 18,991,800 3,600 0.02%28,170,000 27,108,000 1,062,000 3.92% 27,734,000 26,372,000 1,362,000 5.16%

1,412,700 1,403,400 9,300 0.66% 1,475,300 1,453,000 22,300 1.53%339,499,200 341,575,800 (2,076,600) -0.61% 351,614,900 355,062,300 (3,447,400) -0.97%

88,219,800 88,499,000 (279,200) -0.32% 88,975,000 89,056,900 (81,900) -0.09%57,638,200 57,379,200 259,000 0.45% 58,381,000 57,890,300 490,700 0.85%

6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00% 6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00%206,700 236,800 (30,100) -12.71% 464,900 489,900 (25,000) -5.10%206,700 236,800 (30,100) -12.71% 464,900 489,900 (25,000) -5.10%

6,716,900 6,747,000 (30,100) -0.45% 6,959,000 7,003,700 (44,700) -0.64%3,358,400 3,373,400 (15,000) -0.44% 3,479,500 3,501,800 (22,300) -0.64%

125,700 125,700 0 0.00% 128,700 128,700 0 0.00%$1,471,195,600 $1,470,506,800 $688,800 0.05% $1,485,376,000 $1,483,362,400 $2,013,600 0.14%

$512,511,100 $510,539,700 $1,971,400 0.39% $502,405,700 $498,452,500 $3,953,200 0.79%5,034,400 5,046,300 (11,900) -0.24% 5,238,400 5,262,300 (23,900) -0.45%

$507,476,700 $505,493,400 $1,983,300 0.39% $497,167,300 $493,190,100 $3,977,200 0.81%

$339,499,200 $341,575,800 ($2,076,600) -0.61% $351,614,900 $355,062,300 ($3,447,400) -0.97%5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00% 5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00%

50,000,000 50,000,000 0 0.00% 50,000,000 50,000,000 0 0.00%20,000,000 20,000,000 0 0.00% 20,000,000 20,000,000 0 0.00%

$264,499,200 $266,575,800 ($2,076,600) -0.78% $276,614,900 $280,062,300 ($3,447,400) -1.23%

$57,638,200 $57,379,200 $259,000 0.45% $58,381,000 $57,890,300 $490,700 0.85%2,000,000 2,000,000 0 0.00% 2,000,000 2,000,000 0 0.00%5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00% 5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00%3,000,000 3,000,000 0 0.00% 3,000,000 3,000,000 0 0.00%6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00% 6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00%

$41,638,200 $41,379,200 $259,000 0.63% $42,381,000 $41,890,300 $490,700 1.17%

$3,293,600 $3,301,300 ($7,700) -0.23% $3,427,000 $3,442,700 ($15,700) -0.46%1,740,800 1,745,000 (4,200) -0.24% 1,811,400 1,819,700 (8,300) -0.46%

$5,034,400 $5,046,300 ($11,900) -0.24% $5,238,400 $5,262,300 ($23,900) -0.45%

1Multimodal Fund = Penalty Fees, Plate Number Retention Fees, Filing Fees, and a portion of Title Fees, Vehicle Weight Fees

Additional Electric/Plug-in Renewal Fee2Most transfers occur on July 1st of each year. Capron transfers occur monthly. 3Transfer occurs the last day of September, December, March, and June.

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-26

Page 27: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 2. Vehicle Related Revenue (License, Permits and Fees)Biennial Comparison

November 2016

Collected by Department of Licensing:Registration Fees:

Vehicles paying Basic License Fee ($30)Vehicles paying Weight-based Registration Fee (All Trucks)Vehicles paying Freight Project Fee (Trucks >10,000 lbs)Vehicles paying varying feesVehicle Business Licenses Personal TrailersIntermittent-Use Trailers ($187.50)

Penalty FeesPassenger Vehicle Weight FeesMotor Home Weight FeesCapacity FeesTransaction FeesTonnage PermitsRV Disposal FeeTrip Permit Filing Fees (WSDOT)Trip Permit Admin Fees and SurchargeFarm Trip PermitsVehicle Inspection FeesSafety Inspection FeesOther Vehicle Registration FeesDOL Services FeeLicense Plate Technology FeeElectric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($100)Electric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($50)Original Plate FeePlate Replacement FeesPlate ReflectivityTitle FeesQuick TitlesIFTA DecalsDealer Plate FeesDealer Temporary Permits (WSP $10 Distribution)Filing FeesPlate Number Retention FeesWheeled All Terrain Vehicles On Road FeeTitle Service Fee $12 (Vehicles & Vessels)Registration Service Fee $5 (Vehicles & Vessels)

Total Collected by DOL

Collected by Department of TransportationSpecial Permit FeesBus MileageTotal Collected by DOT

Total Revenue fromLicenses, Permits, and Fees

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2021-2023 2021 - 2023 2023-2025 2023 - 2025

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

$365,476,300 $367,647,700 ($2,171,400) -0.59% $374,579,300 $377,194,800 ($2,615,500) -0.69%486,069,700 482,019,900 4,049,800 0.84% 505,876,200 501,703,500 4,172,700 0.83%

23,118,300 22,944,700 173,600 0.76% 23,337,900 23,164,000 173,900 0.75%1,409,500 1,395,600 13,900 1.00% 1,401,900 1,387,400 14,500 1.05%3,347,600 3,337,200 10,400 0.31% 3,347,600 3,337,200 10,400 0.31%

14,924,300 15,450,600 (526,300) -3.41% 15,691,100 16,244,000 (552,900) -3.40%6,950,700 6,950,700 0 0.00% 7,070,700 7,070,700 0 0.00%9,432,900 9,466,200 (33,300) -0.35% 9,620,400 9,661,700 (41,300) -0.43%

393,462,500 396,190,800 (2,728,300) -0.69% 462,255,100 466,089,500 (3,834,400) -0.82%10,538,700 10,324,500 214,200 2.07% 10,585,900 10,329,100 256,800 2.49%

64,500 67,200 (2,700) -4.02% 63,800 66,600 (2,800) -4.20%200,000 195,000 5,000 2.56% 200,000 195,000 5,000 2.56%

1,091,000 1,095,000 (4,000) -0.37% 1,091,000 1,095,000 (4,000) -0.37%1,490,400 1,454,900 35,500 2.44% 1,506,000 1,457,100 48,900 3.36%

68,000 70,000 (2,000) -2.86% 68,000 70,000 (2,000) -2.86%7,801,700 7,780,400 21,300 0.27% 7,875,700 7,854,700 21,000 0.27%

6,200 6,200 0 0.00% 6,200 6,200 0 0.00%14,683,000 14,743,200 (60,200) -0.41% 15,021,900 15,096,400 (74,500) -0.49%

7,034,900 7,024,100 10,800 0.15% 7,563,700 7,552,900 10,800 0.14%2,348,700 2,358,300 (9,600) -0.41% 2,402,900 2,414,800 (11,900) -0.49%7,150,500 7,205,400 (54,900) -0.76% 7,332,800 7,396,100 (63,300) -0.86%3,575,200 3,602,700 (27,500) -0.76% 3,666,400 3,698,000 (31,600) -0.85%8,168,300 8,288,800 (120,500) -1.45% 12,508,100 12,597,800 (89,700) -0.71%4,084,200 4,144,500 (60,300) -1.45% 6,254,100 6,299,000 (44,900) -0.71%

29,811,200 29,739,900 71,300 0.24% 29,869,100 29,819,900 49,200 0.16%30,826,700 31,321,400 (494,700) -1.58% 31,315,000 31,815,400 (500,400) -1.57%12,412,200 12,502,100 (89,900) -0.72% 12,523,600 12,620,200 (96,600) -0.77%71,016,000 71,343,000 (327,000) -0.46% 71,629,500 71,983,500 (354,000) -0.49%

4,012,000 3,850,500 161,500 4.19% 4,037,200 3,875,600 161,600 4.17%714,200 704,400 9,800 1.39% 714,200 711,100 3,100 0.44%

1,320,000 1,330,400 (10,400) -0.78% 1,320,000 1,330,400 (10,400) -0.78%14,963,000 14,919,000 44,000 0.29% 15,029,000 14,987,000 42,000 0.28%

3,487,400 3,461,200 26,200 0.76% 3,520,500 3,494,300 26,200 0.75%69,900 73,500 (3,600) -4.90% 71,700 75,400 (3,700) -4.91%

131,300 131,300 0 0.00% 133,300 133,300 0 0.00%10,509,000 10,557,000 (48,000) -0.45% 10,600,000 10,652,000 (52,000) -0.49%17,768,000 16,272,000 1,496,000 9.19% 18,264,000 16,740,000 1,524,000 9.10%

$1,569,538,100 $1,569,969,000 ($430,900) -0.03% $1,678,353,900 $1,680,219,100 ($1,865,200) -0.11%

$17,483,400 $17,352,000 $131,400 0.76% $17,649,400 $17,517,800 $131,600 0.75%48,000 51,000 (3,000) -5.88% 48,000 51,000 (3,000) -5.88%

$17,531,400 $17,403,000 $128,400 0.74% $17,697,400 $17,568,800 $128,600 0.73%

$1,587,069,500 $1,587,372,000 ($302,500) -0.02% $1,696,051,300 $1,697,787,900 ($1,736,600) -0.10%

DifferenceDifference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-27

Page 28: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 2. Vehicle Related Revenue (License, Permits and Fees)Biennial Comparison

November 2016

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108State Patrol-Fund 081State Ferries-Fund 109Capital Vessel Replacement Account--Fund 18JRV Disposal Fee-Fund 097Multimodal Fund-Fund 2181

Transportation 2003 (Nickel) Account-Fund 550Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HFreight Mobility Multimodal Account-Fund 11ERural Arterial Trust Account 102-253 Transportation Improvement Account 144DOL Services Account-Fund 201License Plate Technology Account-Fund 06TMultiuse Roadway Safety Account Collections-571

Total

Transfers2

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108Capron

Balance in Motor Vehicle Fund

Multimodal AccountTransportation Infrastructure Account-Fund 094Regional Mobility Grant Program Account3

Rural Mobility Grant Program Account3

Balance in Multimodal Account

Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HSmall City Pavement and Sidewalk Account-Fund 08MTransportation Improvement Account-Fund 144County Arterial Preservation Account-Fund 186Freight Mobility Investment Account-Fund 09E

Balance in Transportation Partnership Account

Capron DistributionIsland CountySan Juan County

Total

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2021-2023 2021 - 2023 2023-2025 2023 - 2025

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value PercentDifferenceDifference

$519,297,300 $515,888,200 $3,409,100 0.66% $539,899,900 $536,532,300 $3,367,600 0.63%430,133,200 430,958,400 (825,200) -0.19% 442,580,000 443,735,800 (1,155,800) -0.26%

19,569,200 19,591,600 (22,400) -0.11% 20,162,800 20,198,800 (36,000) -0.18%28,277,000 26,829,000 1,448,000 5.40% 28,864,000 27,392,000 1,472,000 5.37%

1,490,400 1,454,900 35,500 2.44% 1,506,000 1,457,100 48,900 3.36%418,902,600 423,402,700 (4,500,100) -1.06% 487,979,700 493,558,400 (5,578,700) -1.13%

90,245,800 90,401,000 (155,200) -0.17% 91,929,400 92,099,600 (170,200) -0.18%60,446,600 60,020,200 426,400 0.71% 62,844,600 62,407,100 437,500 0.70%

6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00% 6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00%925,200 943,300 (18,100) -1.92% 1,576,200 1,589,700 (13,500) -0.85%925,200 943,300 (18,100) -1.92% 1,576,200 1,589,700 (13,500) -0.85%

7,150,500 7,205,400 (54,900) -0.76% 7,332,800 7,396,100 (63,300) -0.86%3,575,200 3,602,700 (27,500) -0.76% 3,666,400 3,698,000 (31,600) -0.85%

131,300 131,300 0 0.00% 133,300 133,300 0 0.00%$1,587,069,500 $1,587,372,000 ($302,500) -0.02% $1,696,051,300 $1,697,787,900 ($1,736,600) -0.10%

$519,297,300 $510,539,700 $8,757,600 1.72% $539,899,900 $536,532,400 $3,367,500 0.63%5,034,400 5,046,300 (11,900) -0.24% 5,515,100 5,553,600 (38,500) -0.69%

$514,262,900 $505,493,400 $8,769,500 1.73% $534,384,800 $530,978,800 $3,406,000 0.64%

$418,902,600 $423,402,700 ($4,500,100) -1.06% $487,979,700 $493,558,400 ($5,578,700) -1.13%5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00% 5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00%

50,000,000 50,000,000 0 0.00% 50,000,000 50,000,000 0 0.00%20,000,000 20,000,000 0 0.00% 20,000,000 20,000,000 0 0.00%

$343,902,600 $348,402,700 ($4,500,100) -1.29% $412,979,700 $418,558,400 ($5,578,700) -1.33%

$60,446,600 $60,020,200 $426,400 0.71% $62,844,600 $62,407,100 $437,500 0.70%2,000,000 2,000,000 0 0.00% 2,000,000 2,000,000 0 0.00%5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00% 5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00%3,000,000 3,000,000 0 0.00% 3,000,000 3,000,000 0 0.00%6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00% 6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00%

$44,446,600 $44,020,200 $426,400 0.97% $46,844,600 $46,407,100 $437,500 0.94%

$3,520,300 $3,541,300 ($21,000) -0.59% $3,608,000 $3,633,200 ($25,200) -0.69%1,860,800 1,871,800 (11,000) -0.59% 1,907,000 1,920,400 (13,400) -0.70%

$5,381,100 $5,413,100 ($32,000) -0.59% $5,515,100 $5,553,600 ($38,500) -0.69%

1Multimodal Fund = Penalty Fees, Plate Number Retention Fees, Filing Fees, and a portion of Title Fees, Vehicle Weight Fees

Additional Electric/Plug-in Renewal Fee2Most transfers occur on July 1st of each year. Capron transfers occur monthly. 3Transfer occurs the last day of September, December, March, and June.

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-28

Page 29: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 2. Vehicle Related Revenue (License, Permits and Fees)Biennial Comparison

November 2016

Collected by Department of Licensing:Registration Fees:

Vehicles paying Basic License Fee ($30)Vehicles paying Weight-based Registration Fee (All Trucks)Vehicles paying Freight Project Fee (Trucks >10,000 lbs)Vehicles paying varying feesVehicle Business Licenses Personal TrailersIntermittent-Use Trailers ($187.50)

Penalty FeesPassenger Vehicle Weight FeesMotor Home Weight FeesCapacity FeesTransaction FeesTonnage PermitsRV Disposal FeeTrip Permit Filing Fees (WSDOT)Trip Permit Admin Fees and SurchargeFarm Trip PermitsVehicle Inspection FeesSafety Inspection FeesOther Vehicle Registration FeesDOL Services FeeLicense Plate Technology FeeElectric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($100)Electric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($50)Original Plate FeePlate Replacement FeesPlate ReflectivityTitle FeesQuick TitlesIFTA DecalsDealer Plate FeesDealer Temporary Permits (WSP $10 Distribution)Filing FeesPlate Number Retention FeesWheeled All Terrain Vehicles On Road FeeTitle Service Fee $12 (Vehicles & Vessels)Registration Service Fee $5 (Vehicles & Vessels)

Total Collected by DOL

Collected by Department of TransportationSpecial Permit FeesBus MileageTotal Collected by DOT

Total Revenue fromLicenses, Permits, and Fees

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2025-2027 2025-2027

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

$384,054,600 $387,014,500 ($2,959,900) -0.76%512,747,000 508,520,700 4,226,300 0.83%

23,652,100 23,475,900 176,200 0.75%1,394,700 1,379,500 15,200 1.10%3,347,600 3,337,200 10,400 0.31%

16,497,800 17,078,700 (580,900) -3.40%7,186,900 7,186,900 0 0.00%9,822,400 9,869,700 (47,300) -0.48%

474,325,800 478,726,100 (4,400,300) -0.92%10,633,900 10,333,800 300,100 2.90%

63,200 65,900 (2,700) -4.10%200,000 195,000 5,000 2.56%

1,091,000 1,095,000 (4,000) -0.37%1,522,100 1,459,600 62,500 4.28%

68,000 70,000 (2,000) -2.86%7,981,700 7,960,600 21,100 0.27%

6,200 6,200 0 0.00%15,386,800 15,472,400 (85,600) -0.55%

8,145,800 8,134,900 10,900 0.13%2,461,300 2,475,000 (13,700) -0.55%7,521,800 7,591,900 (70,100) -0.92%3,760,900 3,796,000 (35,100) -0.92%

17,325,300 17,419,700 (94,400) -0.54%8,662,700 8,709,900 (47,200) -0.54%

30,155,300 30,110,900 44,400 0.15%31,791,300 32,296,200 (504,900) -1.56%12,678,800 12,778,600 (99,800) -0.78%72,480,000 72,841,500 (361,500) -0.50%

4,052,400 3,895,900 156,500 4.02%714,200 713,000 1,200 0.17%

1,320,000 1,330,400 (10,400) -0.78%15,089,000 15,056,000 33,000 0.22%3,568,000 3,541,500 26,500 0.75%

73,500 77,500 (4,000) -5.16%134,400 134,400 0 0.00%

10,725,000 10,778,000 (53,000) -0.49%18,774,000 17,222,000 1,552,000 9.01%

$1,719,415,500 $1,722,150,800 ($2,735,300) -0.16%

$17,887,000 $17,753,800 $133,200 0.75%48,000 51,000 (3,000) -5.88%

$17,935,000 $17,804,800 $130,200 0.73%

$1,737,350,500 $1,739,955,600 ($2,605,100) -0.15%

Difference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-29

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 2. Vehicle Related Revenue (License, Permits and Fees)Biennial Comparison

November 2016

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108State Patrol-Fund 081State Ferries-Fund 109Capital Vessel Replacement Account--Fund 18JRV Disposal Fee-Fund 097Multimodal Fund-Fund 2181

Transportation 2003 (Nickel) Account-Fund 550Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HFreight Mobility Multimodal Account-Fund 11ERural Arterial Trust Account 102-253 Transportation Improvement Account 144DOL Services Account-Fund 201License Plate Technology Account-Fund 06TMultiuse Roadway Safety Account Collections-571

Total

Transfers2

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108Capron

Balance in Motor Vehicle Fund

Multimodal AccountTransportation Infrastructure Account-Fund 094Regional Mobility Grant Program Account3

Rural Mobility Grant Program Account3

Balance in Multimodal Account

Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HSmall City Pavement and Sidewalk Account-Fund 08MTransportation Improvement Account-Fund 144County Arterial Preservation Account-Fund 186Freight Mobility Investment Account-Fund 09E

Balance in Transportation Partnership Account

Capron DistributionIsland CountySan Juan County

Total

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2025-2027 2025-2027

November 2016 September 2016 Value PercentDifference

$553,899,300 $550,612,000 $3,287,300 0.60%452,512,000 453,942,100 (1,430,100) -0.32%

20,592,800 20,640,100 (47,300) -0.23%29,499,000 28,000,000 1,499,000 5.35%

1,522,100 1,459,600 62,500 4.28%500,441,100 506,549,500 (6,108,400) -1.21%

93,103,200 93,278,400 (175,200) -0.19%63,766,300 63,325,600 440,700 0.70%

6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00%2,298,800 2,313,000 (14,200) -0.61%2,298,800 2,313,000 (14,200) -0.61%7,521,800 7,591,900 (70,100) -0.92%3,760,900 3,796,000 (35,100) -0.92%

134,400 134,400 0 0.00%$1,737,350,500 $1,739,955,600 ($2,605,100) -0.15%

$553,899,300 $550,612,100 $3,287,200 0.60%5,654,600 5,698,200 (43,600) -0.77%

$548,244,700 $544,913,900 $3,330,800 0.61%

$500,441,100 $506,549,500 ($6,108,400) -1.21%5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00%

50,000,000 50,000,000 0 0.00%20,000,000 20,000,000 0 0.00%

$425,441,100 $431,549,500 ($6,108,400) -1.42%

$63,766,300 $63,325,600 $440,700 0.70%2,000,000 2,000,000 0 0.00%5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00%3,000,000 3,000,000 0 0.00%6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00%

$47,766,300 $47,325,600 $440,700 0.93%

$3,699,300 $3,727,800 ($28,500) -0.76%1,955,300 1,970,400 (15,100) -0.77%

$5,654,600 $5,698,200 ($43,600) -0.77%

1Multimodal Fund = Penalty Fees, Plate Number Retention Fees, Filing Fees, and a portion of Title Fees, Vehicle Weight Fees

Additional Electric/Plug-in Renewal Fee2Most transfers occur on July 1st of each year. Capron transfers occur monthly. 3Transfer occurs the last day of September, December, March, and June.

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-30

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 3. Vehicle Related RevenueFiscal Years

November 2016 Current BienniumFiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Collected by Department of Licensing:Registration Fees:

Vehicles paying Basic License Fee ($30) $139,360,165 $144,300,073 $146,683,845 $150,618,714 $151,811,228 $158,061,531 $165,206,517 $167,219,900 $169,291,400Vehicles paying Weight-based Registration Fee (All Trucks) 164,844,180 165,962,658 170,646,890 175,309,399 176,606,648 184,570,258 194,940,949 228,795,500 231,449,600Vehicles paying Freight Project Fee (Trucks >10,000 lbs) 153,663 11,232,900 11,362,100Vehicles paying varying fees 656,707 694,880 695,330 650,312 686,030 728,793 843,259 716,300 714,300 Vehicle Business Licenses 1,405,592 1,503,820 1,624,441 1,627,100 1,709,706 1,901,276 1,857,607 1,724,600 1,688,500 Personal Trailers 6,368,231 6,603,875 6,494,499 6,637,121 6,611,111 6,715,072 6,802,176 6,678,700 5,987,300 Intermittent-Use Trailers ($187.50) 0 7,231,900 15,420,000

Penalty Fees 2,732,941 2,849,471 2,844,998 3,453,759 3,917,330 4,335,837 4,954,894 4,427,300 4,469,000Passenger Vehicle Weight Fees 51,590,006 54,270,234 54,328,138 55,824,227 56,744,706 59,903,973 64,007,471 152,763,500 155,461,500Motor Home Weight Fees 5,041,715 5,088,462 4,920,793 4,931,515 4,948,125 5,041,571 5,135,339 5,194,600 5,211,300Capacity Fees 37,325 34,500 34,850 33,850 34,750 33,775 34,725 33,100 33,000 Transaction Fees 92,752 91,977 94,767 98,383 90,980 100,511 113,785 100,000 100,000 Tonnage Fees 524,871 547,046 542,662 541,165 550,232 547,646 539,301 545,500 545,500 RV Disposal Fee 625,700 642,865 631,198 642,027 653,965 674,419 711,485 733,100 702,200 Trip Permit Filing Fees (WSDOT) 37,069 37,667 33,807 36,231 36,052 34,281 30,982 34,000 34,000 Trip Permit Admin Fees and Surcharge 2,854,372 3,519,611 3,403,584 3,462,595 3,481,782 3,672,322 3,747,630 3,790,700 3,834,300 Farm Trip Permits 3,418 3,126 4,108 3,199 3,256 3,393 3,080 3,100 3,100 Vehicle Inspection Fees 5,492,863 5,548,260 5,606,053 5,761,440 6,006,018 6,701,190 7,955,764 6,818,900 6,894,300 Safety Inspection Fees 2,182,720 2,235,070 2,276,374 2,359,352 2,421,282 2,513,668 2,668,058 2,894,800 3,001,700 Other Vehicle Registration Fees 1,076,742 1,209,043 826,325 962,145 937,231 985,576 847,030 1,090,700 1,102,800 DOL Services Fee 2,813,186 2,919,434 2,888,215 2,949,053 3,016,075 3,106,448 3,219,338 3,293,600 3,327,700 License Plate Technology Fee 1,407,465 1,460,510 1,445,167 1,474,927 1,508,745 1,553,817 1,605,597 1,646,900 1,663,800 Electric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($100) 80,083 386,483 630,933 966,858 1,275,200 1,546,100Additional Electric/Plug-in Renewal Fee ($50) 0 600,300 773,100Original Plate Fee 8,407,760 12,409,837 13,874,483 15,403,375 15,442,400 15,307,300 Plate Replacement Fees 12,821,312 13,513,487 14,068,156 15,542,156 16,180,762 14,526,260 13,941,200 14,130,500 14,628,000 Plate Reflectivity 4,811,418 4,972,584 5,153,316 5,598,250 5,856,759 5,800,530 6,029,598 6,053,600 6,126,700 Title Fees 9,572,100 9,653,703 9,763,600 24,701,320 31,627,180 32,975,599 34,750,087 35,175,000 35,227,500 Quick Titles 174,000 569,729 744,950 1,071,798 1,918,728 2,068,900 2,074,100 IFTA Decals 315,537 316,604 325,667 334,003 332,414 346,130 318,387 348,300 352,300 Dealer Plate Fees 582,302 576,370 571,342 576,122 592,799 669,869 653,699 656,400 660,000 Dealer Temporary Permits (WSP $10 Distribution) 3,852,720 4,122,719 3,943,460 4,461,690 4,868,060 6,275,400 7,534,330 7,674,000 7,718,000 Filing Fees 1,436,485 1,354,342 1,473,803 1,518,785 1,599,266 1,632,257 1,667,207 1,694,500 1,714,000 Plate Number Retention Fees 372,640 376,840 593,820 874,600 898,600 412,180 23,080 23,800 28,600 Wheeled All Terrain Vehicles On Road Fee 10,884 33,396 57,843 61,800 62,500 Title Service Fee $12 (Vehicles & Vessels) 3,003,435 6,138,479 5,778,000 5,502,000Registration Service Fee $5 (Vehicles & Vessels) 6,191,950 11,527,455 10,059,000 9,127,000

Total Collected by DOL 422,912,534 434,409,231 442,093,207 480,041,013 497,283,247 528,629,577 566,308,976 708,011,400 $723,144,600

Collected by Department of TransportationSpecial Permit Fees 7,584,333 7,846,205 7,994,569 7,924,163 7,768,409 8,384,878 7,942,545 8,494,900 $8,592,600Bus Mileage 25,919 25,375 23,226 25,731 21,069 25,798 23,631 24,000 24,000

Total Collected by DOT 7,610,252 7,871,580 8,017,795 7,949,894 7,789,478 8,410,676 7,966,175 8,518,900 $8,616,600

Total Revenue fromLicenses, Permits, and Fees $430,522,786 $442,280,811 $450,111,002 $487,990,907 $505,072,725 $537,040,253 $574,275,151 $716,530,300 $731,761,200

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-31

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 3. Vehicle Related RevenueFiscal Years

November 2016 Current BienniumFiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108 180,740,329 182,848,792 191,189,763 206,545,490 210,550,479 218,377,004 232,775,286 264,301,000 255,195,600State Patrol-Fund 081 138,466,043 143,838,724 143,451,159 147,242,225 151,407,244 158,733,328 166,630,536 180,400,100 202,717,200State Ferries-Fund 109 7,006,254 7,290,638 7,345,085 7,465,780 7,737,963 8,059,829 8,353,226 9,070,500 9,213,300Capital Vessel Replacement Account--Fund 18J 9,195,385 17,665,934 15,837,000 14,629,000RV Disposal Fee-Fund 097 625,700 642,865 631,198 642,027 653,965 674,419 711,485 733,100 702,200Multimodal Fund-Fund 2181 60,795,542 63,736,091 63,641,416 66,551,668 68,408,026 71,625,684 76,386,026 165,804,100 168,355,600Transportation 2003 (Nickel) Account-Fund 550 15,803,703 16,155,316 16,140,977 31,292,617 37,907,044 40,486,422 40,906,737 43,846,500 44,036,200Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09H 19,864,564 20,359,696 20,454,720 20,827,120 20,872,300 22,194,521 22,963,143 28,453,100 28,694,300Freight Mobility Multimodal Account-Fund 11E 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000Rural Arterial Trust Account 102-253 0 41,300 81,900Transportation Improvement Account 144 0 41,300 81,900DOL Services Account-Fund 201 2,813,186 2,948,180 2,835,894 2,949,053 3,016,075 3,106,448 3,219,338 3,293,600 3,327,700License Plate Technology Account-Fund 06T 1,407,465 1,460,509 1,420,790 1,474,927 1,508,745 1,553,817 1,605,597 1,646,900 1,663,800Multiuse Roadway Safety Account Collections-571 10,884 33,396 57,843 61,800 62,500

Total $430,522,786 $442,280,811 $450,111,002 $487,990,907 $505,072,725 $537,040,253 $574,275,151 $716,530,300 $731,761,200

Transfers2

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108 180,740,329 182,848,792 191,189,763 206,545,490 210,550,479 218,377,004 232,775,286 264,301,000 255,195,600Capron 2,051,862 2,124,594 2,032,299 2,217,627 2,235,185 2,249,247 2,304,549 2,462,100 2,492,600Balance 178,688,467 180,724,198 189,157,464 204,327,863 208,315,294 216,127,757 230,470,737 261,838,900 252,703,000

Multimodal Account 60,795,542 63,736,091 63,641,416 66,551,668 68,408,026 71,625,684 76,386,026 165,804,100 168,355,600Transportation Infrastructure Account-Fund 094 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000Regional Mobility Grant Program Account3 20,000,000 20,000,000 20,000,000 20,000,000 20,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 25,000,000 25,000,000Rural Mobility Grant Program Account3 0 0 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000Balance 38,295,542 41,236,091 31,141,416 34,051,668 34,739,041 39,125,684 38,886,026 128,304,100 130,855,600

Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09H 19,864,564 20,359,696 20,454,720 20,827,120 20,872,300 22,194,521 22,963,143 28,453,100 28,694,300Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account-Fund 08M 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000Transportation Improvement Account-Fund 144 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000County Arterial Preservation Account-Fund 186 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000Freight Mobility Investment Account-Fund 09E 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000Balance 11,864,564 12,359,696 12,454,720 12,827,120 12,872,300 14,194,521 14,963,143 20,453,100 20,694,300

Capron DistributionIsland County 1,342,349 1,389,931 1,336,724 1,450,793 1,462,280 1,519,726 1,578,633 1,610,700 1,630,700San Juan County 709,513 734,664 695,576 766,833 772,905 729,521 725,916 851,400 861,900

Total 2,051,862 2,124,594 2,032,299 2,217,627 2,235,185 2,249,247 2,304,549 2,462,100 2,492,600

1Multimodal Fund = Penalty Fees, Plate Number Retention Fees, Filing Fees, and a portion of Title Fees, Vehicle Weight FeesAdditional Electric/Plug-in Renewal Fee

2Most transfers occur on July 1st of each year. Capron transfers occur monthly. 3Transfer occurs the last day of September, December, March, and June.

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-32

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 3. Vehicle Related RevenueFiscal Years

November 2016

Collected by Department of Licensing:Registration Fees:

Vehicles paying Basic License Fee ($30)Vehicles paying Weight-based Registration Fee (All Trucks)Vehicles paying Freight Project Fee (Trucks >10,000 lbs)Vehicles paying varying feesVehicle Business Licenses Personal TrailersIntermittent-Use Trailers ($187.50)

Penalty FeesPassenger Vehicle Weight FeesMotor Home Weight FeesCapacity FeesTransaction FeesTonnage FeesRV Disposal FeeTrip Permit Filing Fees (WSDOT)Trip Permit Admin Fees and SurchargeFarm Trip PermitsVehicle Inspection FeesSafety Inspection FeesOther Vehicle Registration FeesDOL Services FeeLicense Plate Technology FeeElectric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($100)Additional Electric/Plug-in Renewal Fee ($50)Original Plate FeePlate Replacement FeesPlate ReflectivityTitle FeesQuick TitlesIFTA DecalsDealer Plate FeesDealer Temporary Permits (WSP $10 Distribution)Filing FeesPlate Number Retention FeesWheeled All Terrain Vehicles On Road FeeTitle Service Fee $12 (Vehicles & Vessels)Registration Service Fee $5 (Vehicles & Vessels)

Total Collected by DOL

Collected by Department of TransportationSpecial Permit FeesBus Mileage

Total Collected by DOT

Total Revenue fromLicenses, Permits, and Fees

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

$172,636,600 $176,364,600 $179,423,200 $181,619,900 $183,856,400 $186,109,000 $188,470,300 $190,860,700 $193,193,900233,313,400 234,369,300 234,618,100 235,022,600 251,047,100 252,233,700 253,642,500 255,404,300 257,342,700

11,452,800 11,504,100 11,516,200 11,535,900 11,582,400 11,636,700 11,701,200 11,781,700 11,870,400712,000 709,900 707,800 705,700 703,800 701,900 700,000 698,200 696,500

1,673,800 1,673,800 1,673,800 1,673,800 1,673,800 1,673,800 1,673,800 1,673,800 1,673,800 6,196,300 7,008,400 7,186,100 7,368,300 7,556,000 7,747,000 7,944,100 8,146,000 8,351,800

14,533,200 3,386,200 3,423,700 3,459,400 3,491,300 3,517,600 3,553,100 3,579,400 3,607,5004,534,000 4,595,200 4,651,100 4,693,700 4,739,200 4,785,600 4,834,800 4,885,800 4,936,600

158,605,100 161,691,600 164,621,600 166,706,400 226,756,100 229,623,100 232,632,000 235,677,800 238,648,0005,226,400 5,239,600 5,252,000 5,263,500 5,275,200 5,286,900 5,299,000 5,311,100 5,322,800

32,800 32,600 32,500 32,300 32,200 32,000 31,800 31,700 31,500 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 545,500 545,500 545,500 545,500 545,500 545,500 545,500 545,500 545,500 710,500 735,800 739,500 743,300 747,100 751,000 755,000 759,000 763,100

34,000 34,000 34,000 34,000 34,000 34,000 34,000 34,000 34,000 3,864,900 3,882,300 3,886,300 3,893,000 3,908,700 3,927,000 3,948,700 3,975,900 4,005,800

3,100 3,100 3,100 3,100 3,100 3,100 3,100 3,100 3,100 7,011,700 7,122,300 7,223,300 7,300,400 7,382,600 7,466,500 7,555,400 7,647,500 7,739,300 3,110,600 3,221,800 3,335,300 3,454,400 3,580,500 3,712,600 3,851,100 3,996,700 4,149,100 1,121,600 1,139,300 1,155,400 1,167,800 1,180,900 1,194,300 1,208,600 1,223,300 1,238,000 3,389,200 3,450,300 3,508,700 3,552,800 3,597,700 3,642,800 3,690,000 3,737,600 3,784,200 1,694,600 1,725,100 1,754,400 1,776,400 1,798,800 1,821,400 1,845,000 1,868,800 1,892,100 1,831,900 2,254,900 2,844,300 3,613,500 4,554,800 5,646,800 6,861,300 8,086,600 9,238,700

916,000 1,127,500 1,422,200 1,806,800 2,277,400 2,823,400 3,430,700 4,043,300 4,619,40015,151,600 15,119,100 15,023,700 14,921,900 14,889,300 14,919,800 14,949,300 15,021,300 15,134,000 14,825,100 15,062,600 15,208,600 15,347,600 15,479,100 15,596,700 15,718,300 15,837,200 15,954,100

6,134,900 6,178,000 6,188,100 6,196,000 6,216,200 6,246,400 6,277,200 6,316,100 6,362,700 35,211,000 35,373,000 35,419,500 35,455,500 35,560,500 35,730,000 35,899,500 36,112,500 36,367,500

2,074,100 2,053,900 2,013,600 2,003,500 2,008,500 2,016,100 2,021,100 2,023,700 2,028,700 355,100 356,700 357,100 357,100 357,100 357,100 357,100 357,100 357,100 660,000 660,000 660,000 660,000 660,000 660,000 660,000 660,000 660,000

7,725,000 7,689,000 7,578,000 7,485,000 7,478,000 7,503,000 7,526,000 7,538,000 7,551,000 1,727,700 1,735,400 1,737,200 1,740,200 1,747,200 1,755,400 1,765,100 1,777,300 1,790,700

30,500 33,100 34,300 34,700 35,200 35,600 36,100 36,500 37,000 63,200 64,000 64,700 65,300 66,000 66,500 66,800 67,200 67,200

5,215,000 5,237,000 5,241,000 5,247,000 5,262,000 5,287,000 5,313,000 5,344,000 5,381,0008,326,000 8,557,000 8,699,000 8,822,000 8,946,000 9,068,000 9,196,000 9,325,000 9,449,000

$730,749,200 $730,035,900 $737,882,800 $744,408,400 $825,129,700 $834,257,400 $844,096,500 $854,487,800 $864,927,700

$8,661,200 $8,700,100 $8,709,200 $8,724,100 $8,759,300 $8,800,300 $8,849,100 $8,910,000 $8,977,00024,000 24,000 24,000 24,000 24,000 24,000 24,000 24,000 24,000

$8,685,200 $8,724,100 $8,733,200 $8,748,100 $8,783,300 $8,824,300 $8,873,100 $8,934,000 $9,001,000

$739,434,400 $738,760,000 $746,616,000 $753,156,500 $833,913,000 $843,081,700 $852,969,600 $863,421,800 $873,928,700

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-33

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 3. Vehicle Related RevenueFiscal Years

November 2016

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108State Patrol-Fund 081State Ferries-Fund 109Capital Vessel Replacement Account--Fund 18JRV Disposal Fee-Fund 097Multimodal Fund-Fund 2181

Transportation 2003 (Nickel) Account-Fund 550Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HFreight Mobility Multimodal Account-Fund 11ERural Arterial Trust Account 102-253 Transportation Improvement Account 144DOL Services Account-Fund 201License Plate Technology Account-Fund 06TMultiuse Roadway Safety Account Collections-571

Total

Transfers2

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108CapronBalance

Multimodal AccountTransportation Infrastructure Account-Fund 094Regional Mobility Grant Program Account3

Rural Mobility Grant Program Account3

Balance

Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HSmall City Pavement and Sidewalk Account-Fund 08MTransportation Improvement Account-Fund 144County Arterial Preservation Account-Fund 186Freight Mobility Investment Account-Fund 09EBalance

Capron DistributionIsland CountySan Juan County

Total

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

257,315,500 250,355,300 252,050,400 253,901,100 265,396,200 268,320,900 271,579,000 275,135,300 278,764,000205,848,600 207,890,900 210,406,800 212,304,700 217,828,500 220,087,700 222,492,300 224,999,500 227,512,500

9,351,100 9,443,000 9,552,400 9,635,000 9,934,200 10,030,000 10,132,800 10,241,600 10,351,20013,541,000 13,794,000 13,940,000 14,069,000 14,208,000 14,355,000 14,509,000 14,669,000 14,830,000

710,500 735,800 739,500 743,300 747,100 751,000 755,000 759,000 763,100171,143,600 174,322,300 177,292,600 179,400,100 239,502,500 242,445,200 245,534,500 248,679,000 251,762,100

44,183,600 44,437,700 44,537,300 44,639,100 45,606,700 45,841,200 46,088,200 46,384,400 46,718,80028,943,900 29,165,200 29,215,800 29,285,700 31,160,900 31,326,000 31,518,600 31,754,400 32,011,900

3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000124,800 188,200 276,700 392,000 533,200 697,000 879,200 1,063,000 1,235,800124,800 188,200 276,700 392,000 533,200 697,000 879,200 1,063,000 1,235,800

3,389,200 3,450,300 3,508,700 3,552,800 3,597,700 3,642,800 3,690,000 3,737,600 3,784,2001,694,600 1,725,100 1,754,400 1,776,400 1,798,800 1,821,400 1,845,000 1,868,800 1,892,100

63,200 64,000 64,700 65,300 66,000 66,500 66,800 67,200 67,200$739,434,400 $738,760,000 $746,616,000 $753,156,500 $833,913,000 $843,081,700 $852,969,600 $863,421,800 $873,928,700

257,315,500 250,355,300 252,050,400 253,901,100 265,396,200 268,320,900 271,579,000 275,135,300 278,764,0002,541,800 2,596,700 2,641,700 2,492,600 2,541,800 2,740,200 2,774,900 2,810,100 2,844,500

254,773,700 247,758,600 249,408,700 251,408,500 262,854,400 265,580,700 268,804,100 272,325,200 275,919,500

171,143,600 174,322,300 177,292,600 179,400,100 239,502,500 242,445,200 245,534,500 248,679,000 251,762,1002,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000

25,000,000 25,000,000 25,000,000 25,000,000 25,000,000 25,000,000 25,000,000 25,000,000 25,000,00010,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000

133,643,600 136,822,300 139,792,600 141,900,100 202,002,500 204,945,200 208,034,500 211,179,000 214,262,100

28,943,900 29,165,200 29,215,800 29,285,700 31,160,900 31,326,000 31,518,600 31,754,400 32,011,9001,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,0002,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,0001,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,0003,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000

20,943,900 21,165,200 21,215,800 21,285,700 23,160,900 23,326,000 23,518,600 23,754,400 24,011,900

1,662,900 1,698,800 1,728,200 1,749,400 1,770,900 1,792,600 1,815,400 1,838,400 1,860,900878,900 897,900 913,500 924,700 936,100 947,500 959,500 971,700 983,600

2,541,800 2,596,700 2,641,700 2,674,100 2,707,000 2,740,200 2,774,900 2,810,100 2,844,500

1Multimodal Fund = Penalty Fees, Plate Number Retention Fees, Filing Fees, and a portion of Title Fees, Vehicle Weight FeesAdditional Electric/Plug-in Renewal Fee

2Most transfers occur on July 1st of each year. Capron transfers occur monthly. 3Transfer occurs the last day of September, December, March, and June.

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-34

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 4. Vehicle Forecasts November 2016

Current BienniumFiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018Vehicles paying Basic License Fee ($30)

Passenger Car and Cabs 4,177,994 4,336,866 4,320,265 4,417,563 4,529,669 4,707,553 4,908,456 5,008,400 5,099,100 Motorhomes 68,500 68,120 65,506 65,756 65,975 66,913 68,720 69,300 69,500 Travel Trailers 114,873 119,613 118,438 122,657 126,313 132,569 142,484 142,500 132,900 Motorcycles 217,230 231,173 227,534 231,087 229,822 236,384 236,134 237,100 238,300 Other Trailers 62,030 76,509 69,338 83,194 107,205 102,538 115,059 115,400 102,000 Tow Trucks 1,493 1,440 1,394 1,377 1,390 1,351 1,389 1,300 1,300

4,642,120 4,833,721 4,802,475 4,921,634 5,060,374 5,247,308 5,472,242 5,574,000 5,643,100

Vehicles paying Weight-based Registration Fee (Trucks)Trucks 1,439,142 1,468,142 1,442,462 1,447,305 1,459,229 1,489,331 1,539,232 1,564,400 1,582,400 For Hire, Buses, Stages 2,371 2,500 2,615 2,916 3,225 3,591 3,760 3,800 3,900 Comb. Lic. Fee Trailers 61,829 63,805 63,985 65,013 67,337 70,728 76,964 84,800 86,100 Prorate Motor Vehicles 25,560 26,074 25,619 25,760 27,662 28,233 29,179 29,700 30,000

1,528,902 1,560,521 1,534,681 1,540,994 1,557,453 1,591,883 1,649,135 1,682,700 1,702,400

Vehicles paying varying feesRestored and Antiques 8,555 9,281 9,322 9,517 9,631 10,771 10,769 11,300 11,400 Campers 26,857 26,774 25,301 24,810 24,177 23,513 23,358 22,800 22,400 Mopeds 9,130 9,575 9,536 9,309 9,040 8,978 8,671 8,300 8,200 Exempt 6,281 5,651 5,890 7,168 6,404 8,258 8,542 8,100 8,300

50,823 51,281 50,049 50,804 49,252 51,520 51,340 50,500 50,300

Personal Trailers 421,122 440,258 434,186 442,475 440,741 454,511 449,369 445,200 399,200 Intermittent-Use Trailers - - - - - - - 38,600 82,200

Total Highway Vehicles 6,642,968 6,885,783 6,821,393 6,955,909 7,107,822 7,345,224 7,622,088 7,791,000 7,877,100

Off Road Vehicles 95,018 90,772 84,998 83,344 82,244 84,570 84,783 85,900 86,900 Wheeled All Terrain Vehicles - - - - 424 1,910 21,327 29,500 29,900

Snowmobiles 29,704 31,406 28,426 28,239 24,688 20,201 25,148 25,500 24,500 Vintage Snowmobiles 199 259 257 290 286 266 373 400 400 Regular Snowmobiles 29,505 31,147 28,169 27,949 24,402 19,935 24,775 25,100 24,100

Total Registrations 6,767,690 7,007,961 6,934,817 7,067,492 7,215,178 7,451,905 7,732,019 7,902,300 7,988,500

Electric Vehicles 865 1,106 1,875 2,240 3,921 6,318 9,607 13,200 15,500 Plug-in Hybrid Vehicles 1,837 2,300 2,600 Private Motorized Vehicles 5,949,975 6,153,171 6,104,253 6,210,590 6,335,643 6,553,105 6,806,310 6,933,500 7,044,100

(Private Motorized Vehicles= Passenger Cars, Motorhomes, Motorcycles, Tow Trucks, Trucks, Buses, Restored & Antiques,and Mopeds)

Electric/Plug-in Vehicles are those subject to the renewal fee in RCW 46.16.323Electric/Plug-in Hybrid Vehicle counts are subject to revision due to data integrity efforts

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-35

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 4. Vehicle Forecasts November 2016

Vehicles paying Basic License Fee ($30)Passenger Car and CabsMotorhomesTravel TrailersMotorcyclesOther TrailersTow Trucks

Vehicles paying Weight-based Registration F TrucksFor Hire, Buses, StagesComb. Lic. Fee TrailersProrate Motor Vehicles

Vehicles paying varying feesRestored and AntiquesCampersMopedsExempt

Personal TrailersIntermittent-Use Trailers

Total Highway Vehicles

Off Road VehiclesWheeled All Terrain Vehicles

SnowmobilesVintage SnowmobilesRegular Snowmobiles

Total Registrations

Electric VehiclesPlug-in Hybrid VehiclesPrivate Motorized Vehicles

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

5,204,900 5,308,900 5,407,400 5,477,300 5,548,400 5,620,000 5,695,300 5,771,500 5,845,700 69,700 69,900 70,000 70,200 70,300 70,500 70,700 70,800 71,000

135,800 144,100 145,600 147,000 148,500 150,000 151,500 153,100 154,600 239,500 240,700 241,900 243,100 244,300 245,500 246,800 248,000 249,200 103,400 114,000 114,600 115,100 115,700 116,300 116,900 117,400 118,000

1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 5,754,600 5,878,900 5,980,800 6,054,000 6,128,500 6,203,600 6,282,500 6,362,100 6,439,800

1,595,100 1,602,200 1,603,900 1,606,600 1,613,100 1,620,700 1,629,700 1,640,900 1,653,200 4,100 4,100 4,100 4,200 4,200 4,300 4,400 4,500 4,700

87,000 87,500 87,600 87,800 88,300 88,900 89,500 90,300 91,200 30,200 30,400 30,400 30,500 30,600 30,700 30,900 31,100 31,300

1,716,400 1,724,200 1,726,000 1,729,100 1,736,200 1,744,600 1,754,500 1,766,800 1,780,400

11,400 11,500 11,500 11,600 11,600 11,700 11,800 11,800 11,900 21,900 21,500 21,100 20,600 20,200 19,800 19,400 19,000 18,600

8,100 8,000 8,000 7,900 7,800 7,700 7,600 7,600 7,500 8,300 8,300 8,300 8,300 8,300 8,300 8,300 8,300 8,300

49,700 49,300 48,900 48,400 47,900 47,500 47,100 46,700 46,300

413,100 467,200 479,100 491,200 503,700 516,500 529,600 543,100 556,800 77,500 18,100 18,300 18,500 18,600 18,800 19,000 19,100 19,200

8,011,200 8,137,600 8,253,000 8,341,200 8,435,100 8,531,000 8,632,500 8,737,700 8,842,600

87,900 88,900 89,800 90,700 91,700 92,400 92,800 93,300 93,300 30,200 30,500 30,900 31,200 31,500 31,700 31,900 32,000 32,000 23,800 23,800 23,800 24,000 24,200 24,300 24,400 24,400 24,400

500 500 500 500 600 600 600 600 600 23,400 23,300 23,300 23,500 23,600 23,700 23,800 23,800 23,800

8,123,000 8,250,300 8,366,700 8,455,900 8,550,900 8,647,600 8,749,700 8,855,400 8,960,300

18,300 22,500 28,400 36,100 45,500 56,500 68,600 80,900 92,400 3,000 3,600 4,300 5,300 6,400 7,700 9,100 10,400 11,600

7,164,300 7,276,900 7,378,600 7,452,600 7,531,700 7,612,500 7,698,300 7,787,400 7,875,800 (Private Motorized Vehicles= Passenger Cars, Motorhomes, Motorcycles, Tow Trucks, Trucks, Buses, Restored & Antiques,and Mopeds)

Electric/Plug-in Vehicles are those subject to the renewal fee in RCW 46.16.323Electric/Plug-in Hybrid Vehicle counts are subject to revision due to data integrity efforts

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-36

Page 37: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Driver Related Revenue Forecast

November 2016

Contact: Robert A. Plue, Washington State Department of Licensing, 360-902-3643, [email protected] Alice Vogel, Washington State Department of Licensing, 360-902-3986, [email protected] Jean Du, Ph. D., Washington State Department of Licensing, 360-902-3641, [email protected] Reinhold Groepler, Ph. D., Washington State Department of Licensing, 360-902-3704, [email protected]

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-37

Page 38: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable C. 1. Driver Related Forecasts CountsNovember 2016

Current Biennium2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Original Driver Licenses (November 2016 Forecast) 241,210 272,319 241,190 251,053 271,181 285,762 301,950 298,600 294,500Annual Percent Change -0.3% 12.9% -11.4% 4.1% 8.0% 5.4% 5.7% -1.1% -1.4%

Original Driver Licenses (September 2016 Forecast) 241,210 272,319 241,190 251,053 271,181 285,762 301,950 298,600 294,500 Percent Change, November vs. September 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Driver License Renewal/Extension (November 2016 Forecast) 888,010 895,595 835,120 823,386 820,961 964,199 933,722 875,700 874,200Annual Percent Change 14.4% 0.9% -6.8% -1.4% -0.3% 17.4% -3.2% -6.2% -0.2%

Driver License Renewal/Extension (September 2016 Forecast) 888,010 895,595 835,120 823,386 820,961 964,199 933,722 875,700 874,200 Percent Change, November vs. September 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Abstract of Driving Record (ADR) (November 2016 Forecast) 2,971,466 3,113,675 2,938,722 2,572,700 2,538,907 2,365,170 2,262,216 2,097,800 2,097,800Annual Percent Change -4.1% 4.8% -5.6% -12.5% -1.3% -6.8% -4.4% -7.3% 0.0%

Abstract of Driving Record (ADR) (September 2016 Forecast) 2,971,466 3,113,675 2,938,722 2,572,700 2,538,907 2,365,170 2,262,216 2,167,200 2,167,200 Percent Change, November vs. September 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -3.2% -3.2%

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Original Driver Licenses (November 2016 Forecast) 295,300 298,000 302,000 306,200 311,000 315,400 318,500 320,000 321,100Annual Percent Change 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.3%

Original Driver Licenses (September 2016 Forecast) 295,200 297,400 300,900 304,900 309,400 313,500 316,400 317,700 318,700 Percent Change, November vs. September 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8%

Driver License Renewal/Extension (November 2016 Forecast) 800,800 760,900 787,300 805,400 783,200 779,400 766,100 804,700 827,900Annual Percent Change -8.4% -5.0% 3.5% 2.3% -2.8% -0.5% -1.7% 5.0% 2.9%

Driver License Renewal/Extension (September 2016 Forecast) 800,800 756,600 780,400 805,400 783,200 779,400 766,000 801,000 821,800 Percent Change, November vs. September 0.0% 0.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.7%

Abstract of Driving Record (ADR) (November 2016 Forecast) 2,121,300 2,142,300 2,162,100 2,180,800 2,195,000 2,209,500 2,224,400 2,238,600 2,252,700Annual Percent Change 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6%

Abstract of Driving Record (ADR) (September 2016 Forecast) 2,186,500 2,205,300 2,223,900 2,243,300 2,258,000 2,272,700 2,287,700 2,301,800 2,315,700 Percent Change, November vs. September -3.0% -2.9% -2.8% -2.8% -2.8% -2.8% -2.8% -2.7% -2.7%

Note: Caution is advised in year-over-year comparisons for Driver License Renewals as they follow a five-year renewal cycle until FY2015 when most renewals will follow a six-year cycle and some will be in variable extension status (shorter than six-year renewals) during implementation years through FY2019.

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-38

Page 39: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable C. 2. Driver Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2016 BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM

2009-2011 2009 - 2011 2011-2013 2011 - 2013November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

Highway Safety Fund 106Driver License Fees --- 106-254

Driver Licenses 57,428,425$ 57,428,425$ 0 0.00% 68,815,993$ 68,815,993$ 0 0.00%Examinations 16,457,122 16,457,122 0 0.00% 15,895,314 15,895,314 0 0.00%Identicards 7,294,710 7,294,710 0 0.00% 9,978,385 9,978,385 0 0.00%Duplicate Licenses & Identicards 7,513,415 7,513,415 0 0.00% 11,170,093 11,170,093 0 0.00%Reissues 14,210,204 14,210,204 0 0.00% 16,398,917 16,398,917 0 0.00%Commercial Driver Licenses 4,414,960 4,414,960 0 0.00% 8,839,804 8,839,804 0 0.00%Permits 4,782,658 4,782,658 0 0.00% 5,849,273 5,849,273 0 0.00%Hearings 4,203,933 4,203,933 0 0.00% 4,953,963 4,953,963 0 0.00%Enhanced Driver Licenses & Identicards 3,451,410 3,451,410 0 0.00% 2,999,085 2,999,085 0 0.00%Photo Only 2,696,245 2,696,245 0 0.00% 2,563,730 2,563,730 0 0.00%Occupational & Ignition Interlock Licenses 2,503,125 2,503,125 0 0.00% 2,213,825 2,213,825 0 0.00%Miscellaneous Driver Fees 1,801,447 1,801,447 0 0.00% 801,537 801,537 0 0.00%

Total Driver License Fees 126,757,654 126,757,654 0 0.00% 150,479,920 150,479,920 0 0.00%

Copies of Record --- 106-421 32,745,564 32,745,564 0 0.00% 32,804,678 32,804,678 0 0.00%Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue --- 106 4,199,305 4,199,305 0 0.00% 5,260,075 5,260,075 0 0.00%

Total Highway Safety Fund 163,702,524 163,702,524 0 0.00% 188,544,673 188,544,673 0 0.00%

Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082 4,280,025 4,280,025 0 0.00% 4,239,372 4,239,372 0 0.00%

State Patrol Account 081 Copies of Record 30,404,640 30,404,640 0 0.00% 30,081,052 30,081,052 0 0.00%

Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14V 2,594,046 2,594,046 0 0.00% 2,519,293 2,519,293 0 0.00%

Total Revenue 200,981,235$ 200,981,235$ 0 0.00% 225,384,390$ 225,384,390$ 0 0.00%

Forecast of Distributions

Highway Safety Fund 106 163,702,524$ 163,702,524$ 0 0.00% 188,544,673$ 188,544,673$ 0 0.00%Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082 4,280,025 4,280,025 0 0.00% 4,239,372 4,239,372 0 0.00%State Patrol Account 081 30,404,640 30,404,640 0 0.00% 30,081,052 30,081,052 0 0.00%Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14V 2,594,046 2,594,046 0 0.00% 2,519,293 2,519,293 0 0.00%Total 200,981,235$ 200,981,235$ 0 0.00% 225,384,390$ 225,384,390$ 0 0.00%

Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue--106 includes:Motor Vehicle Filing Fees--106-253, Fines & Forfeitures--106-405, Driver License Schools--106-222, Miscellaneous--106-490 & 499

Difference Difference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-39

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable C. 2. Driver Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2016

Highway Safety Fund 106Driver License Fees --- 106-254

Driver LicensesExaminationsIdenticardsDuplicate Licenses & IdenticardsReissuesCommercial Driver LicensesPermitsHearingsEnhanced Driver Licenses & IdenticardsPhoto OnlyOccupational & Ignition Interlock LicensesMiscellaneous Driver Fees

Total Driver License Fees

Copies of Record --- 106-421Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue --- 106

Total Highway Safety Fund

Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082

State Patrol Account 081 Copies of Record

Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14V

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Highway Safety Fund 106Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082State Patrol Account 081Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14VTotal

Current BienniumBIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2013-2015 2013 - 2015 2015-2017 2015 - 2017

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

114,707,261$ 114,707,261$ - 0.00% 122,982,547$ 122,427,557$ 554,990 0.45%20,340,092 20,340,092 - 0.00% 21,486,913 21,332,033 154,880 0.73%15,374,819 15,374,819 - 0.00% 16,513,851 16,513,851 - 0.00%12,983,209 12,983,209 - 0.00% 12,085,962 12,086,882 (920) -0.01%12,867,966 12,867,966 - 0.00% 10,872,328 11,048,068 (175,740) -1.59%8,736,779 8,736,779 - 0.00% 11,540,342 11,560,102 (19,760) -0.17%5,583,938 5,583,938 - 0.00% 6,365,685 6,365,685 - 0.00%4,997,997 4,997,997 - 0.00% 4,193,253 4,337,683 (144,430) -3.33%3,929,193 3,929,193 - 0.00% 10,470,628 10,360,128 110,500 1.07%2,979,627 2,979,627 - 0.00% 2,954,741 2,954,971 (230) -0.01%2,064,550 2,064,550 - 0.00% 1,940,336 1,945,196 (4,860) -0.25%1,680,020 1,680,020 - 0.00% 2,560,227 2,529,597 30,630 1.21%

206,245,451 206,245,451 - 0.00% 223,966,812 223,461,752 505,060 0.23%

35,542,964 35,542,964 - 0.00% 33,001,869 33,497,669 (495,800) -1.48%5,927,500 5,927,500 - 0.00% 5,955,401 5,902,201 53,200 0.90%

247,715,916 247,715,916 - 0.00% 262,924,082 262,861,622 62,460 0.02%

4,394,059 4,394,059 - 0.00% 4,940,997 4,948,497 (7,500) -0.15%

31,920,910 31,920,910 - 0.00% 28,490,862 28,941,962 (451,100) -1.56%

4,361,607 4,361,607 - 0.00% 7,138,158 7,032,918 105,240 1.50%

288,392,492$ 288,392,492$ -$ 0.00% 303,494,099$ 303,784,999$ (290,900)$ -0.10%

247,715,916$ 247,715,916$ -$ 0.00% 262,924,082$ 262,861,622 62,460$ 0.02%4,394,059 4,394,059 0 0.00% 4,940,997 4,948,497 (7,500) -0.15%

31,920,910 31,920,910 0 0.00% 28,490,862 28,941,962 (451,100) -1.56%4,361,607 4,361,607 0 0.00% 7,138,158 7,032,918 105,240 1.50%

288,392,492$ 288,392,492$ -$ 0.00% 303,494,099$ 303,784,999$ (290,900)$ -0.10%

Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue--106 includes:Motor Vehicle Filing Fees--106-253, Fines & Forfeitures--106-405, Driver License Schools--106-222, Miscellaneous--106-490 & 499

Difference Difference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-40

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable C. 2. Driver Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2016

Highway Safety Fund 106Driver License Fees --- 106-254

Driver LicensesExaminationsIdenticardsDuplicate Licenses & IdenticardsReissuesCommercial Driver LicensesPermitsHearingsEnhanced Driver Licenses & IdenticardsPhoto OnlyOccupational & Ignition Interlock LicensesMiscellaneous Driver Fees

Total Driver License Fees

Copies of Record --- 106-421Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue --- 106

Total Highway Safety Fund

Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082

State Patrol Account 081 Copies of Record

Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14V

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Highway Safety Fund 106Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082State Patrol Account 081Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14VTotal

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2017-2019 2017 - 2019 2019-2021 2019 - 2021

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

113,178,550$ 113,171,320$ 7,230 0.01% 116,001,420$ 115,307,160$ 694,260 0.60%20,643,100 20,638,410 4,690 0.02% 20,999,980 20,940,560 59,420 0.28%14,792,960 14,791,290 1,670 0.01% 11,775,120 11,749,530 25,590 0.22%12,029,000 12,026,260 2,740 0.02% 12,236,940 12,202,300 34,640 0.28%10,431,510 10,483,810 (52,300) -0.50% 10,914,280 10,913,040 1,240 0.01%12,579,650 12,585,720 (6,070) -0.05% 8,221,010 8,215,730 5,280 0.06%6,327,560 6,326,140 1,420 0.02% 6,436,940 6,418,680 18,260 0.28%4,075,500 4,365,000 (289,500) -6.63% 4,075,500 4,365,000 (289,500) -6.63%

17,232,500 17,231,200 1,300 0.01% 19,686,400 19,575,900 110,500 0.56%3,031,350 3,030,660 690 0.02% 3,083,760 3,075,020 8,740 0.28%1,971,500 1,971,400 100 0.01% 2,082,700 2,070,200 12,500 0.60%1,497,880 1,501,000 (3,120) -0.21% 1,497,180 1,493,300 3,880 0.26%

217,791,060 218,122,210 (331,150) -0.15% 217,011,230 216,326,420 684,810 0.32%

32,118,900 33,080,500 (961,600) -2.91% 32,728,300 33,619,900 (891,600) -2.65%5,901,900 5,813,500 88,400 1.52% 5,982,100 5,868,900 113,200 1.93%

255,811,860 257,016,210 (1,204,350) -0.47% 255,721,630 255,815,220 (93,590) -0.04%

4,982,000 5,007,100 (25,100) -0.50% 4,531,300 4,546,100 (14,800) -0.33%

27,424,200 28,299,100 (874,900) -3.09% 27,978,700 28,789,900 (811,200) -2.82%

6,537,600 6,494,400 43,200 0.67% 6,537,600 6,494,400 43,200 0.67%

294,755,660$ 296,816,810$ (2,061,150)$ -0.69% 294,769,230$ 295,645,620$ (876,390)$ -0.30%

255,811,860 257,016,210 (1,204,350) -0.47% 255,721,630$ 255,815,220$ (93,590)$ -0.04%4,982,000 5,007,100 (25,100) -0.50% 4,531,300 4,546,100 (14,800) -0.33%

27,424,200 28,299,100 (874,900) -3.09% 27,978,700 28,789,900 (811,200) -2.82%6,537,600 6,494,400 43,200 0.67% 6,537,600 6,494,400 43,200 0.67%

294,755,660$ 296,816,810$ (2,061,150)$ -0.69% 294,769,230$ 295,645,620$ (876,390)$ -0.30%

Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue--106 includes:Motor Vehicle Filing Fees--106-253, Fines & Forfeitures--106-405, Driver License Schools--106-222, Miscellaneous--106-490 & 499

Difference Difference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-41

Page 42: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable C. 2. Driver Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2016

Highway Safety Fund 106Driver License Fees --- 106-254

Driver LicensesExaminationsIdenticardsDuplicate Licenses & IdenticardsReissuesCommercial Driver LicensesPermitsHearingsEnhanced Driver Licenses & IdenticardsPhoto OnlyOccupational & Ignition Interlock LicensesMiscellaneous Driver Fees

Total Driver License Fees

Copies of Record --- 106-421Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue --- 106

Total Highway Safety Fund

Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082

State Patrol Account 081 Copies of Record

Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14V

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Highway Safety Fund 106Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082State Patrol Account 081Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14VTotal

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2021-2023 2021 - 2023 2023-2025 2023 - 2025

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

119,123,630$ 118,213,420$ 910,210 0.77% 117,685,710$ 117,462,150$ 223,560 0.19%21,602,840 21,500,860 101,980 0.47% 22,186,830 22,045,480 141,350 0.64%13,083,520 13,039,040 44,480 0.34% 12,447,580 12,382,020 65,560 0.53%12,588,240 12,528,800 59,440 0.47% 12,928,520 12,846,180 82,340 0.64%11,157,060 11,197,740 (40,680) -0.36% 11,045,610 11,081,040 (35,430) -0.32%12,077,800 12,065,010 12,790 0.11% 11,811,400 11,792,900 18,500 0.16%6,621,740 6,590,380 31,360 0.48% 6,800,740 6,757,260 43,480 0.64%4,075,500 4,365,000 (289,500) -6.63% 4,072,500 4,365,000 (292,500) -6.70%

20,746,600 20,598,300 148,300 0.72% 20,410,600 20,364,100 46,500 0.23%3,172,280 3,157,300 14,980 0.47% 3,258,040 3,237,280 20,760 0.64%2,138,600 2,135,800 2,800 0.13% 2,113,000 2,108,900 4,100 0.19%1,528,930 1,530,550 (1,620) -0.11% 1,514,280 1,515,230 (950) -0.06%

227,916,740 226,922,200 994,540 0.44% 226,274,810 225,957,540 317,270 0.14%

33,238,400 34,135,000 (896,600) -2.63% 33,653,500 34,557,300 (903,800) -2.62%6,016,200 5,910,100 106,100 1.80% 6,032,700 6,028,500 4,200 0.07%

267,171,340 266,967,300 204,040 0.08% 265,961,010 266,543,340 (582,330) -0.22%

5,251,500 5,309,300 (57,800) -1.09% 5,577,000 5,644,700 (67,700) -1.20%

28,442,700 29,258,500 (815,800) -2.79% 28,820,400 29,642,700 (822,300) -2.77%

6,537,600 6,494,400 43,200 0.67% 6,537,600 6,494,400 43,200 0.67%

307,403,140$ 308,029,500$ (626,360)$ -0.20% 306,896,010$ 308,325,140$ (1,429,130)$ -0.46%

267,171,340$ 266,967,300$ 204,040$ 0.08% 265,961,010$ 266,543,340$ (582,330)$ -0.22%5,251,500 5,309,300 (57,800) -1.09% 5,577,000 5,644,700 (67,700) -1.20%

28,442,700 29,258,500 (815,800) -2.79% 28,820,400 29,642,700 (822,300) -2.77%6,537,600 6,494,400 43,200 0.67% 6,537,600 6,494,400 43,200 0.67%

307,403,140$ 308,029,500$ (626,360)$ -0.20% 306,896,010$ 308,325,140$ (1,429,130)$ -0.46%

Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue--106 includes:Motor Vehicle Filing Fees--106-253, Fines & Forfeitures--106-405, Driver License Schools--106-222, Miscellaneous--106-490 & 499

Difference Difference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-42

Page 43: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable C. 2. Driver Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2016

Highway Safety Fund 106Driver License Fees --- 106-254

Driver LicensesExaminationsIdenticardsDuplicate Licenses & IdenticardsReissuesCommercial Driver LicensesPermitsHearingsEnhanced Driver Licenses & IdenticardsPhoto OnlyOccupational & Ignition Interlock LicensesMiscellaneous Driver Fees

Total Driver License Fees

Copies of Record --- 106-421Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue --- 106

Total Highway Safety Fund

Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082

State Patrol Account 081 Copies of Record

Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14V

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Highway Safety Fund 106Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082State Patrol Account 081Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14VTotal

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2025-2027 2025-2027

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

122,776,880$ 121,998,800$ 778,080 0.64%22,436,270 22,273,960 162,310 0.73%12,716,400 12,636,500 79,900 0.63%13,073,880 12,979,320 94,560 0.73%11,442,580 11,434,740 7,840 0.07%9,157,460 9,130,280 27,180 0.30%6,877,190 6,827,310 49,880 0.73%4,072,500 4,365,000 (292,500) -6.70%

21,244,000 21,109,400 134,600 0.64%3,294,670 3,270,830 23,840 0.73%2,204,300 2,190,400 13,900 0.63%1,566,180 1,561,530 4,650 0.30%

230,862,310 229,778,070 1,084,240 0.47%

34,063,600 34,965,300 (901,700) -2.58%6,133,300 6,124,200 9,100 0.15%

271,059,210 270,867,570 191,640 0.07%

5,439,000 5,503,300 (64,300) -1.17%

29,193,500 30,013,800 (820,300) -2.73%

6,537,600 6,494,400 43,200 0.67%

312,229,310$ 312,879,070$ (649,760)$ -0.21%

271,059,210$ 270,867,570$ 191,640$ 0.07%5,439,000 5,503,300 (64,300) -1.17%

29,193,500 30,013,800 (820,300) -2.73%6,537,600 6,494,400 43,200 0.67%

312,229,310$ 312,879,070$ (649,760)$ -0.21%

Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue--106 includes:Motor Vehicle Filing Fees--106-253, Fines & Forfeitures--106-405, Driver License Schools--106-222, Miscellaneous--106-490 & 499

Difference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-43

Page 44: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable C. 3. Driver Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2016

Current BienniumFiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Highway Safety Fund 106Driver License Fees --- 106-254

Driver Licenses 28,230,575$ 29,197,850$ 26,612,848$ 42,203,146$ 49,590,185$ 65,117,076$ 63,181,957$ 59,800,590$ 57,952,220$ Examinations 8,242,080 8,215,042 7,028,000 8,867,314 9,800,275 10,539,817 10,922,213 10,564,700 10,306,930 Identicards 3,410,395 3,884,315 3,614,865 6,363,520 7,332,928 8,041,891 8,280,271 8,233,580 7,871,280 Duplicate Licenses & Identicards 3,908,555 3,604,860 4,887,850 6,282,243 6,417,964 6,565,245 5,998,442 6,087,520 6,005,980 Reissues 6,270,666 7,939,538 8,318,582 8,080,336 6,838,035 6,029,931 5,826,408 5,045,920 5,252,470 Commercial Driver Licenses 1,728,670 2,686,290 4,267,426 4,572,378 4,985,447 3,751,332 5,175,352 6,364,990 6,315,770 Permits 1,415,180 3,367,478 2,880,890 2,968,383 2,933,940 2,649,998 3,177,005 3,188,680 3,159,310 Hearings 2,061,306 2,142,627 2,101,586 2,852,377 2,741,432 2,256,565 2,154,693 2,038,560 2,037,750 Enhanced Driver Licenses & Identicards 1,841,625 1,609,785 1,484,340 1,514,745 1,626,135 2,303,058 3,172,028 7,298,600 8,369,100 Photo Only 1,374,085 1,322,160 1,275,478 1,288,252 1,519,680 1,459,947 1,420,661 1,534,080 1,513,530 Occupational & Ignition Interlock Licenses 1,281,275 1,221,850 1,123,571 1,090,254 1,012,190 1,052,360 964,196 976,140 994,200 Miscellaneous Driver Fees 1,663,689 137,758 697,729 103,808 2,068,856 ($388,836) 1,790,887 769,340 753,990

Total Driver License Fees 61,428,101$ 65,329,553$ 64,293,164$ 86,186,756$ 96,867,067$ 109,378,385$ 112,064,112$ 111,902,700$ 110,532,530$

Copies of Record --- 106-421 15,819,395$ 16,926,169$ 16,095,873$ 16,708,805$ 17,914,419$ 17,628,545$ 17,026,369$ 15,975,500$ 15,975,500$ Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue --- 106 2,106,176 2,093,130 2,448,256 2,811,819 3,019,602 2,907,898 3,037,601 2,917,800 2,968,400

Total Highway Safety Fund 79,353,671$ 84,348,852$ 82,837,293$ 105,707,380$ 117,801,088$ 129,914,828$ 132,128,082$ 130,796,000$ 129,476,430$

Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082 2,070,300$ 2,209,725$ 2,156,930$ 2,082,442$ 2,033,636$ 2,360,423$ 2,482,197$ 2,458,800$ 2,485,300$

State Patrol Account 081 Copies of Record 14,986,271$ 15,418,369$ 14,757,300$ 15,323,752$ 16,546,218$ 15,374,693$ 14,855,162$ 13,635,700$ 13,635,700$

Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14V 1,171,920$ 1,422,126$ 1,150,893$ 1,368,400$ 1,810,267$ 2,551,340$ 3,662,458$ 3,475,700$ 3,268,800$

Total Revenue 97,582,162$ 103,399,073$ 100,902,416$ 124,481,974$ 138,191,209$ 150,201,283$ 153,127,899$ 150,366,200$ 148,866,230$

Forecast of Distributions

Highway Safety Fund 106 79,353,671$ 84,348,852$ 82,837,293$ 105,707,380$ 117,801,088$ 129,914,828$ 132,128,082$ 130,796,000$ 129,476,430$ Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082 2,070,300 2,209,725 2,156,930 2,082,442 2,033,636 2,360,423 2,482,197 2,458,800 2,485,300 State Patrol Account 081 14,986,271 15,418,369 14,757,300 15,323,752 16,546,218 15,374,693 14,855,162 13,635,700 13,635,700 Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14V 1,171,920 1,422,126 1,150,893 1,368,400 1,810,267 2,551,340 3,662,458 3,475,700 3,268,800 Total 97,582,162$ 103,399,073$ 100,902,416$ 124,481,974$ 138,191,209$ 150,201,283$ 153,127,899$ 150,366,200$ 148,866,230$

Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue--106 includes:Motor Vehicle Filing Fees--106-253, Fines & Forfeitures--106-405, Driver License Schools--106-222, Miscellaneous--106-490 & 499

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-44

Page 45: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable C. 3. Driver Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2016

Highway Safety Fund 106Driver License Fees --- 106-254

Driver LicensesExaminationsIdenticardsDuplicate Licenses & IdenticardsReissuesCommercial Driver LicensesPermitsHearingsEnhanced Driver Licenses & IdenticardsPhoto OnlyOccupational & Ignition Interlock LicensesMiscellaneous Driver Fees

Total Driver License Fees

Copies of Record --- 106-421Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue --- 106

Total Highway Safety Fund

Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082

State Patrol Account 081 Copies of Record

Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14V

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Highway Safety Fund 106Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082State Patrol Account 081Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14VTotal

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

55,226,330$ 57,179,170$ 58,822,250$ 60,062,170$ 59,061,460$ 59,115,530$ 58,570,180$ 60,734,500$ 62,042,380$ 10,336,170 10,430,650 10,569,330 10,716,280 10,886,560 11,038,250 11,148,580 11,198,980 11,237,290

6,921,680 5,365,880 6,409,240 6,505,010 6,578,510 6,366,180 6,081,400 6,334,800 6,381,600 6,023,020 6,078,060 6,158,880 6,244,500 6,343,740 6,432,120 6,496,400 6,525,780 6,548,100 5,179,040 5,393,090 5,521,190 5,615,090 5,541,970 5,544,070 5,501,540 5,670,290 5,772,290 6,263,880 3,754,100 4,466,910 6,068,540 6,009,260 5,945,980 5,865,420 4,362,710 4,794,750 3,168,250 3,197,210 3,239,730 3,284,780 3,336,960 3,383,460 3,417,280 3,432,710 3,444,480 2,037,750 2,037,750 2,037,750 2,037,750 2,037,750 2,036,250 2,036,250 2,036,250 2,036,250 8,863,400 9,387,800 10,298,600 10,444,700 10,301,900 10,273,400 10,137,200 10,517,000 10,727,000 1,517,820 1,531,700 1,552,060 1,573,640 1,598,640 1,620,920 1,637,120 1,644,520 1,650,150

977,300 1,026,600 1,056,100 1,077,700 1,060,900 1,061,400 1,051,600 1,090,400 1,113,900 743,890 740,190 756,990 769,240 759,690 759,940 754,340 776,440 789,740

107,258,530$ 106,122,200$ 110,889,030$ 114,399,400$ 113,517,340$ 113,577,500$ 112,697,310$ 114,324,380$ 116,537,930$

16,143,400$ 16,293,400$ 16,434,900$ 16,568,500$ 16,669,900$ 16,773,500$ 16,880,000$ 16,981,400$ 17,082,200$ 2,933,500 2,999,000 2,983,100 3,026,000 2,990,200 3,030,300 3,002,400 3,068,900 3,064,400

126,335,430$ 125,414,600$ 130,307,030$ 133,993,900$ 133,177,440$ 133,381,300$ 132,579,710$ 134,374,680$ 136,684,530$

2,496,700$ 2,061,400$ 2,469,900$ 2,567,100$ 2,684,400$ 2,735,800$ 2,841,200$ 2,553,900$ 2,885,100$

13,788,500$ 13,925,000$ 14,053,700$ 14,175,200$ 14,267,500$ 14,361,800$ 14,458,600$ 14,550,900$ 14,642,600$

3,268,800$ 3,268,800$ 3,268,800$ 3,268,800$ 3,268,800$ 3,268,800$ 3,268,800$ 3,268,800$ 3,268,800$

145,889,430$ 144,669,800$ 150,099,430$ 154,005,000$ 153,398,140$ 153,747,700$ 153,148,310$ 154,748,280$ 157,481,030$

126,335,430$ 125,414,600$ 130,307,030$ 133,993,900$ 133,177,440$ 133,381,300$ 132,579,710$ 134,374,680$ 136,684,530$ 2,496,700 2,061,400 2,469,900 2,567,100 2,684,400 2,735,800 2,841,200 2,553,900 2,885,100

13,788,500 13,925,000 14,053,700 14,175,200 14,267,500 14,361,800 14,458,600 14,550,900 14,642,600 3,268,800 3,268,800 3,268,800 3,268,800 3,268,800 3,268,800 3,268,800 3,268,800 3,268,800

145,889,430$ 144,669,800$ 150,099,430$ 154,005,000$ 153,398,140$ 153,747,700$ 153,148,310$ 154,748,280$ 157,481,030$

Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue--106 includes:Motor Vehicle Filing Fees--106-253, Fines & Forfeitures--106-405, Driver License Schools--106-222, Miscellaneous--106-490 & 499

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-45

Page 46: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Other Transportation Related Revenue Forecast

November 2016

Contact: Vehicle Sales & Rental Car Tax

Lance Carey, Washington State Economic and Revenue Forecast Council, 360-534-1564, [email protected] Business & Other Revenue Claudia Lindahl, Washington State Department of Transportation, 360-705-7454, [email protected] Washington State Patrol Mary Thygesen, Washington State Patrol, 360-596-4046, [email protected]

Aeronautics Revenue Alice Vogel, Washington State Department of Licensing, 360-902-3986, [email protected]

Brian Calkins, M.S., Agricultural Economics, Washington State Department of Transportation, 360-705-7991, [email protected]

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-46

Page 47: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable D. 1. Other Transportation Related Revenue Forecasts Registrations and SalesNovember 2016

Current Biennium2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Aircraft Registrations (November 2016 Forecast) 6,058 6,123 6,326 6,585 6,494 6,518 6,561 6,615 6,665Annual Percent Change 0.7% 1.1% 3.3% 4.1% -1.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8%

Aircraft Registrations (September 2016 Forecast) 6,058 6,123 6,326 6,585 6,494 6,518 6,561 6,604 6,644 Percent Change, November vs. September 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3%

Total U.S. Spending on New Motor Vehicles* (November 2016 Forecast) 305 354 402 448 480 519 551 570 589Annual Percent Change 10.9% 16.2% 13.7% 11.2% 7.2% 8.2% 6.1% 3.5% 3.4%

Total U.S. Spending on New Motor Vehicles* (September 2016 Forecast) 305 354 402 448 480 519 550 563 582 Percent Change, November vs. September 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 1.3% 1.3%

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Aircraft Registrations (November 2016 Forecast) 6,711 6,753 6,792 6,828 6,863 6,898 6,933 6,968 7,003Annual Percent Change 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%

Aircraft Registrations (September 2016 Forecast) 6,682 6,718 6,754 6,789 6,824 6,859 6,894 6,928 6,962 Percent Change, November vs. September 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%

Total U.S. Spending on New Motor Vehicles* (November 2016 Forecast) 612 631 631 638 653 674 693 713 733Annual Percent Change 3.9% 3.0% 0.1% 1.2% 2.3% 3.3% 2.8% 2.8% 2.9%

Total U.S. Spending on New Motor Vehicles* (September 2016 Forecast) 601 612 611 613 626 642 659 677 698 Percent Change, November vs. September 1.8% 3.0% 3.3% 4.2% 4.4% 5.1% 5.3% 5.3% 5.1%

*In Billions of Dollars

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-47

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable D. 2. Other Transportation Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2016

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2009-2011 2009 - 2011 2011-2013 2011 - 2013 Difference

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

Rental Car Sales Tax 44,532,864 44,532,864 0 0.00% 46,711,033 46,711,033 0 0.00%

0.3% of Retail Sales and Use Tax on Motor VehiclesRetail Sales Tax 44,803,514 44,803,514 0 0.00% 52,691,266 52,691,266 0 0.00%Use Tax 9,629,607 9,629,607 0 0.00% 10,636,493 10,636,493 0 0.00%

Total 54,433,121 54,433,121 0 0.00% 63,327,759 63,327,759 0 0.00%

Studded Tire Fee 0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%

DOT Business Related RevenuesSale of Property 6,939,787 6,939,787 0 0.00% 7,076,802 7,076,802 0 0.00%WSP Access 1,310,164 1,310,164 0 0.00% 1,536,796 1,536,796 0 0.00%DOT Services 107,807 107,807 0 0.00% 94,340 94,340 0 0.00%DOT Publications and Documents 397,216 397,216 0 0.00% 240,866 240,866 0 0.00%Filing Fees and legal Services 325,208 325,208 0 0.00% 360,833 360,833 0 0.00%Property Management 2,206,600 2,206,600 0 0.00% 3,492,978 3,492,978 0 0.00%Outdoor Advertising 41,517 41,517 0 0.00% 37,300 37,300 0 0.00%Access Permits (Right of Way) 62,700 62,700 0 0.00% 54,350 54,350 0 0.00%Other Revenues 641,062 641,062 0 0.00% 448,285 448,285 0 0.00%

Total 12,032,061 12,032,061 0 0.00% 13,342,551 13,342,551 0 0.00%

Washington Traffic Safety CommissionSchool Zone Fines 1,986,899 1,986,899 0 0.00% 1,628,551 1,628,551 0 0.00%

Total 1,986,899 1,986,899 0 0.00% 1,628,551 1,628,551 0 0.00%

WSP Business Related RevenuesWSP Access 1,310,164 1,310,164 0 0.00% 1,547,903 1,547,903 0 0.00%WSP Publications and Documents 644,584 644,584 0 0.00% 952,760 952,760 0 0.00%Breathalyzer Test Fines 1,997,789 1,997,789 0 0.00% 2,172,850 2,172,850 0 0.00%DUI Cost Reimbursement 1,270,497 1,270,497 0 0.00% 1,344,520 1,344,520 0 0.00%Terminal Safety Inspection Fee 2,278,639 2,278,639 0 0.00% 2,700,003 2,700,003 0 0.00%Commercial Vehicle Penalties 596,689 596,689 0 0.00% 432,351 432,351 0 0.00%Communication Tower Leases 581,830 581,830 0 0.00% 613,659 613,659 0 0.00%Ignition Interlock Vendors Fee (HSF-Fund 106) 0 0 0 0.00% 767,355 767,355 0 0.00%

Total 8,680,191 8,680,191 0 0.00% 10,531,402 10,531,402 0 0.00%

Aircraft Registrations, Excise and DealersAircraft Fuel Tax - 11¢ per gallon 4,999,074 4,999,074 0 0.00% 5,495,727 5,495,727 0 0.00%Aircraft Registration Fee 180,500 180,500 0 0.00% 244,300 244,300 0 0.00%Aircraft Excise Tax 555,300 555,300 0 0.00% 612,732 612,732 0 0.00%Aircraft Dealers License 8,000 8,000 0 0.00% 6,675 6,675 0 0.00%Aeronautics Transfer (from MV Fund 108-115) 564,400 564,400 0 0.00% 562,539 562,539 0 0.00%

Total 6,307,274 6,307,274 0 0.00% 6,921,973 6,921,973 0 0.00%

Total Revenue 127,972,409 127,972,409 0 0.00% 142,463,268 142,463,268 0 0.00%

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108 11,366,480 11,366,480 0 0.00% 14,295,311 14,295,311 0 0.00%Washington State Patrol Fund-Fund 081 6,725,443 6,725,443 0 0.00% 8,811,287 8,811,287 0 0.00%Highway Safety Fund-Fund 106 0 0 0 0.00% 767,355 767,355 0 0.00%Multimodal Fund-Fund 218 98,965,985 98,965,985 0 0.00% 110,038,792 110,038,792 0 0.00%Aeronautics Account 039 5,807,504 5,807,504 0 0.00% 6,370,514 6,370,514 0 0.00%School Zone Safety Account 780 1,986,899 1,986,899 0 0.00% 1,628,551 1,628,551 0 0.00%General Fund 001 3,120,098 3,120,098 0 0.00% 551,459 551,459 0 0.00%Total 127,972,409 127,972,409 0 0.00% 142,463,268 142,463,268 0 0.00%

Difference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-48

Page 49: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable D. 2. Other Transportation Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2016

Rental Car Sales Tax

0.3% of Retail Sales and Use Tax on Motor VehiclesRetail Sales TaxUse Tax

Total

Studded Tire Fee

DOT Business Related RevenuesSale of PropertyWSP AccessDOT ServicesDOT Publications and DocumentsFiling Fees and legal ServicesProperty ManagementOutdoor AdvertisingAccess Permits (Right of Way)Other Revenues

Total

Washington Traffic Safety CommissionSchool Zone Fines

Total

WSP Business Related RevenuesWSP AccessWSP Publications and DocumentsBreathalyzer Test FinesDUI Cost ReimbursementTerminal Safety Inspection FeeCommercial Vehicle PenaltiesCommunication Tower LeasesIgnition Interlock Vendors Fee (HSF-Fund 106)

Total

Aircraft Registrations, Excise and DealersAircraft Fuel Tax - 11¢ per gallonAircraft Registration FeeAircraft Excise TaxAircraft Dealers LicenseAeronautics Transfer (from MV Fund 108-115)

Total

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108Washington State Patrol Fund-Fund 081Highway Safety Fund-Fund 106Multimodal Fund-Fund 218Aeronautics Account 039School Zone Safety Account 780General Fund 001Total

Current BienniumBIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2013-2015 2013 - 2015 2015-2017 2015 - 2017

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

56,044,468 56,044,468 0 0.00% 65,218,244 64,766,944 451,300 0.70%

65,073,441 65,073,441 0 0.00% 78,851,988 78,761,288 90,700 0.12%12,380,550 12,380,550 0 0.00% 14,499,694 14,606,894 (107,200) -0.73%77,453,990 77,453,990 0 0.00% 93,351,682 93,368,182 (16,500) -0.02%

0 0 0 0.00% 203,000 203,000 0 0.00%

12,190,420 12,190,420 0 0.00% 7,082,221 11,384,221 (4,302,000) -37.79%1,445,787 1,445,787 0 0.00% 1,423,302 1,426,402 (3,100) -0.22%

87,866 87,866 0 0.00% 252,305 247,705 4,600 1.86%193,592 193,592 0 0.00% 236,937 267,937 (31,000) -11.57%371,196 371,196 0 0.00% 354,191 357,691 (3,500) -0.98%

2,973,607 2,973,607 0 0.00% 2,649,126 2,835,626 (186,500) -6.58%277,084 277,084 0 0.00% 474,800 511,367 (36,567) -7.15%47,052 47,052 0 0.00% 68,137 62,820 5,317 8.46%

219,334 219,334 0 0.00% 355,530 369,830 (14,300) -3.87%17,805,937 17,805,937 0 0.00% 12,896,548 17,463,598 (4,567,050) -26.15%

1,227,050 1,227,050 0 0.00% 827,878 928,178 (100,300) -10.81%1,227,050 1,227,050 0 0.00% 827,878 928,178 (100,300) -10.81%

1,445,878 1,445,878 0 0.00% 1,423,302 1,426,402 (3,100) -0.22%1,566,238 1,566,238 0 0.00% 2,709,751 2,709,751 0 0.00%2,838,858 2,838,858 0 0.00% 3,083,985 3,083,985 0 0.00%1,407,291 1,407,291 0 0.00% 1,298,500 1,298,500 0 0.00%2,467,972 2,467,972 0 0.00% 2,583,986 2,583,986 0 0.00%

828,725 828,725 0 0.00% 531,570 531,570 0 0.00%765,612 765,612 0 0.00% 756,777 756,777 0 0.00%

2,267,920 2,267,920 0 0.00% 2,338,200 2,338,200 0 0.00%13,588,494 13,588,494 0 0.00% 14,726,071 14,729,171 (3,100) -0.02%

5,007,235 5,007,235 0 0.00% 3,721,408 3,746,408 (25,000) -0.67%215,680 215,680 0 0.00% 219,199 219,199 0 0.00%692,724 692,724 0 0.00% 710,294 709,694 600 0.08%

5,870 5,870 0 0.00% 5,740 5,740 0 0.00%574,696 574,696 0 0.00% 743,420 734,620 8,800 1.20%

6,496,205 6,496,205 0 0.00% 5,400,061 5,415,661 (15,600) -0.29%

172,616,145 172,616,145 0 0.00% 192,623,485 196,874,735 ($4,251,250) -2.16%

19,372,175 19,372,175 0 0.00% 15,809,299 20,376,349 (4,567,050) -22.41%9,754,336 9,754,336 0 0.00% 9,678,120 9,681,220 (3,100) -0.03%2,267,920 2,267,920 0 0.00% 2,338,200 2,338,200 0 0.00%

133,498,459 133,498,459 0 0.00% 158,569,926 158,135,126 434,800 0.27%5,872,754 5,872,754 0 0.00% 5,400,061 5,415,661 (15,600) -0.29%1,227,050 1,227,050 0 0.00% 827,878 928,178 (100,300) -10.81%

623,451 623,451 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%172,616,145 172,616,145 0 0.00% 192,623,485 196,874,735 (4,251,250) -2.16%

Difference Difference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-49

Page 50: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable D. 2. Other Transportation Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2016

Rental Car Sales Tax

0.3% of Retail Sales and Use Tax on Motor VehiclesRetail Sales TaxUse Tax

Total

Studded Tire Fee

DOT Business Related RevenuesSale of PropertyWSP AccessDOT ServicesDOT Publications and DocumentsFiling Fees and legal ServicesProperty ManagementOutdoor AdvertisingAccess Permits (Right of Way)Other Revenues

Total

Washington Traffic Safety CommissionSchool Zone Fines

Total

WSP Business Related RevenuesWSP AccessWSP Publications and DocumentsBreathalyzer Test FinesDUI Cost ReimbursementTerminal Safety Inspection FeeCommercial Vehicle PenaltiesCommunication Tower LeasesIgnition Interlock Vendors Fee (HSF-Fund 106)

Total

Aircraft Registrations, Excise and DealersAircraft Fuel Tax - 11¢ per gallonAircraft Registration FeeAircraft Excise TaxAircraft Dealers LicenseAeronautics Transfer (from MV Fund 108-115)

Total

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108Washington State Patrol Fund-Fund 081Highway Safety Fund-Fund 106Multimodal Fund-Fund 218Aeronautics Account 039School Zone Safety Account 780General Fund 001Total

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2017-2019 2017 - 2019 2019-2021 2019 - 2021

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

69,517,000 68,661,700 855,300 1.25% 72,270,400 71,329,300 941,100 1.32%

84,876,200 84,500,800 375,400 0.44% 88,524,500 88,095,600 428,900 0.49%15,479,800 15,677,500 (197,700) -1.26% 16,278,600 16,458,100 (179,500) -1.09%

100,356,000 100,178,300 177,700 0.18% 104,803,100 104,553,700 249,400 0.24%

999,000 999,000 0 0.00% 1,023,000 1,023,000 0 0.00%

9,500,000 9,500,000 0 0.00% 6,500,000 6,500,000 0 0.00%1,528,600 1,520,000 8,600 0.57% 1,565,900 1,557,000 8,900 0.57%

87,200 92,400 (5,200) -5.63% 89,800 94,600 (4,800) -5.07%204,800 203,600 1,200 0.59% 211,000 208,600 2,400 1.15%392,400 390,200 2,200 0.56% 404,400 399,800 4,600 1.15%

3,098,600 3,098,600 0 0.00% 3,236,600 3,236,600 0 0.00%508,400 508,400 0 0.00% 508,400 508,400 0 0.00%55,600 55,600 0 0.00% 55,600 55,600 0 0.00%

228,600 228,600 0 0.00% 238,800 238,800 0 0.00%15,604,200 15,597,400 6,800 0.04% 12,810,500 12,799,400 11,100 0.09%

827,800 928,178 (100,378) -10.81% 827,800 928,178 (100,378) -10.81%827,800 928,178 (100,378) -10.81% 827,800 928,178 (100,378) -10.81%

1,528,600 1,520,000 8,600 0.57% 1,565,900 1,557,000 8,900 0.57%2,709,800 2,709,800 0 0.00% 2,709,800 2,709,800 0 0.00%3,084,000 3,084,000 0 0.00% 3,084,000 3,084,000 0 0.00%1,376,000 1,376,000 0 0.00% 1,376,000 1,376,000 0 0.00%2,700,000 2,700,000 0 0.00% 2,700,000 2,700,000 0 0.00%

630,800 630,000 800 0.13% 630,800 630,000 800 0.13%802,900 802,900 0 0.00% 851,800 851,800 0 0.00%

2,348,800 2,348,800 0 0.00% 2,348,800 2,348,800 0 0.00%15,180,900 15,171,500 9,400 0.06% 15,267,100 15,257,400 9,700 0.06%

5,089,300 5,093,600 (4,300) -0.08% 5,163,600 5,168,400 (4,800) -0.09%212,300 208,800 3,500 1.68% 215,000 211,200 3,800 1.80%721,100 718,400 2,700 0.38% 730,300 726,300 4,000 0.55%

5,740 5,740 0 0.00% 5,740 5,740 0 0.00%824,400 823,000 1,400 0.17% 839,200 838,700 500 0.06%

6,852,840 6,849,540 3,300 0.05% 6,953,840 6,950,340 3,500 0.05%

209,337,740 208,385,618 952,122 0.46% 213,955,740 212,841,318 1,114,422 0.52%

19,313,000 19,306,200 6,800 0.04% 16,543,300 16,532,200 11,100 0.07%10,122,300 10,112,900 9,400 0.09% 10,208,500 10,198,800 9,700 0.10%

2,348,800 2,348,800 0 0.00% 2,348,800 2,348,800 0 0.00%169,873,000 168,840,000 1,033,000 0.61% 177,073,500 175,883,000 1,190,500 0.68%

6,852,840 6,849,540 3,300 0.05% 6,953,840 6,950,340 3,500 0.05%827,800 928,178 (100,378) -10.81% 827,800 928,178 (100,378) -10.81%

0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%209,337,740 208,385,618 952,122 0.46% 213,955,740 212,841,318 1,114,422 0.52%

Difference Difference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-50

Page 51: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable D. 2. Other Transportation Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2016

Rental Car Sales Tax

0.3% of Retail Sales and Use Tax on Motor VehiclesRetail Sales TaxUse Tax

Total

Studded Tire Fee

DOT Business Related RevenuesSale of PropertyWSP AccessDOT ServicesDOT Publications and DocumentsFiling Fees and legal ServicesProperty ManagementOutdoor AdvertisingAccess Permits (Right of Way)Other Revenues

Total

Washington Traffic Safety CommissionSchool Zone Fines

Total

WSP Business Related RevenuesWSP AccessWSP Publications and DocumentsBreathalyzer Test FinesDUI Cost ReimbursementTerminal Safety Inspection FeeCommercial Vehicle PenaltiesCommunication Tower LeasesIgnition Interlock Vendors Fee (HSF-Fund 106)

Total

Aircraft Registrations, Excise and DealersAircraft Fuel Tax - 11¢ per gallonAircraft Registration FeeAircraft Excise TaxAircraft Dealers LicenseAeronautics Transfer (from MV Fund 108-115)

Total

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108Washington State Patrol Fund-Fund 081Highway Safety Fund-Fund 106Multimodal Fund-Fund 218Aeronautics Account 039School Zone Safety Account 780General Fund 001Total

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2021-2023 2021 - 2023 2023-2025 2023 - 2025

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

74,959,500 73,895,000 1,064,500 1.44% 77,647,600 76,582,300 1,065,300 1.39%

91,988,400 91,519,900 468,500 0.51% 95,128,600 94,594,600 534,000 0.56%17,028,700 17,187,100 (158,400) -0.92% 17,789,400 17,910,300 (120,900) -0.68%

109,017,100 108,707,000 310,100 0.29% 112,918,000 112,504,900 413,100 0.37%

1,043,000 1,043,000 0 0.00% 1,063,000 1,063,000 0 0.00%

6,500,000 6,500,000 0 0.00% 6,500,000 6,500,000 0 0.00%1,614,200 1,591,000 23,200 1.46% 1,636,500 1,624,400 12,100 0.74%

92,000 96,800 (4,800) -4.96% 94,000 98,800 (4,800) -4.86%216,200 213,200 3,000 1.41% 220,800 217,600 3,200 1.47%414,400 408,600 5,800 1.42% 423,200 417,200 6,000 1.44%

3,391,000 3,391,000 0 0.00% 3,563,600 3,563,600 0 0.00%508,400 508,400 0 0.00% 508,400 508,400 0 0.00%55,600 55,600 0 0.00% 55,600 55,600 0 0.00%

250,200 250,200 0 0.00% 262,800 262,800 0 0.00%13,042,000 13,014,800 27,200 0.21% 13,264,900 13,248,400 16,500 0.12%

827,800 928,178 (100,378) -10.81% 827,800 928,178 (100,378) -10.81%827,800 928,178 (100,378) -10.81% 827,800 928,178 (100,378) -10.81%

1,614,200 1,591,000 23,200 1.46% 1,636,500 1,624,400 12,100 0.74%2,709,800 2,709,800 0 0.00% 2,709,800 2,709,800 0 0.00%3,084,000 3,084,000 0 0.00% 3,084,000 3,084,000 0 0.00%1,376,000 1,376,000 0 0.00% 1,376,000 1,376,000 0 0.00%2,700,000 2,700,000 0 0.00% 2,700,000 2,700,000 0 0.00%

630,800 630,000 800 0.13% 630,800 630,000 800 0.13%903,800 903,800 0 0.00% 959,000 959,000 0 0.00%

2,348,800 2,348,800 0 0.00% 2,348,800 2,348,800 0 0.00%15,367,400 15,343,400 24,000 0.16% 15,444,900 15,432,000 12,900 0.08%

5,211,600 5,216,800 (5,200) -0.10% 5,249,000 5,254,500 (5,500) -0.10%217,400 213,600 3,800 1.78% 219,800 215,700 4,100 1.90%738,100 733,900 4,200 0.57% 745,700 741,500 4,200 0.57%

5,740 5,740 0 0.00% 5,740 5,740 0 0.00%850,400 845,200 5,200 0.62% 857,400 848,500 8,900 1.05%

7,023,240 7,015,240 8,000 0.11% 7,077,640 7,065,940 11,700 0.17%

221,280,040 219,946,618 1,333,422 0.61% 228,243,840 226,824,718 1,419,122 0.63%

16,794,800 16,767,600 27,200 0.16% 17,037,700 17,021,200 16,500 0.10%10,308,800 10,284,800 24,000 0.23% 10,386,300 10,373,400 12,900 0.12%

2,348,800 2,348,800 0 0.00% 2,348,800 2,348,800 0 0.00%183,976,600 182,602,000 1,374,600 0.75% 190,565,600 189,087,200 1,478,400 0.78%

7,023,240 7,015,240 8,000 0.11% 7,077,640 7,065,940 11,700 0.17%827,800 928,178 (100,378) -10.81% 827,800 928,178 (100,378) -10.81%

0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%221,280,040 219,946,618 1,333,422 0.61% 228,243,840 226,824,718 1,419,122 0.63%

DifferenceDifference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-51

Page 52: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable D. 2. Other Transportation Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2016

Rental Car Sales Tax

0.3% of Retail Sales and Use Tax on Motor VehiclesRetail Sales TaxUse Tax

Total

Studded Tire Fee

DOT Business Related RevenuesSale of PropertyWSP AccessDOT ServicesDOT Publications and DocumentsFiling Fees and legal ServicesProperty ManagementOutdoor AdvertisingAccess Permits (Right of Way)Other Revenues

Total

Washington Traffic Safety CommissionSchool Zone Fines

Total

WSP Business Related RevenuesWSP AccessWSP Publications and DocumentsBreathalyzer Test FinesDUI Cost ReimbursementTerminal Safety Inspection FeeCommercial Vehicle PenaltiesCommunication Tower LeasesIgnition Interlock Vendors Fee (HSF-Fund 106)

Total

Aircraft Registrations, Excise and DealersAircraft Fuel Tax - 11¢ per gallonAircraft Registration FeeAircraft Excise TaxAircraft Dealers LicenseAeronautics Transfer (from MV Fund 108-115)

Total

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108Washington State Patrol Fund-Fund 081Highway Safety Fund-Fund 106Multimodal Fund-Fund 218Aeronautics Account 039School Zone Safety Account 780General Fund 001Total

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2025-2027 2025 - 2027

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

80,283,200 79,390,400 892,800 1.12%

98,168,000 97,524,100 643,900 0.66%18,524,800 18,627,900 (103,100) -0.55%

116,692,800 116,152,000 540,800 0.47%

1,068,000 1,068,000 0 0.00%

6,500,000 6,500,000 0 0.00%1,682,400 1,657,800 24,600 1.48%

96,000 100,800 (4,800) -4.76%225,400 222,200 3,200 1.44%432,000 425,800 6,200 1.46%

3,734,400 3,734,400 0 0.00%508,400 508,400 0 0.00%55,600 55,600 0 0.00%

275,400 275,400 0 0.00%13,509,600 13,480,400 29,200 0.22%

827,800 928,178 (100,378) -10.81%827,800 928,178 (100,378) -10.81%

1,682,400 1,657,800 24,600 1.48%2,709,800 2,709,800 0 0.00%3,084,000 3,084,000 0 0.00%1,376,000 1,376,000 0 0.00%2,700,000 2,700,000 0 0.00%

630,800 630,000 800 0.13%1,017,400 1,017,400 0 0.00%2,348,800 2,348,800 0 0.00%

15,549,200 15,523,800 25,400 0.16%

5,264,900 5,270,800 (5,900) -0.11%222,100 217,700 4,400 2.02%753,300 748,800 4,500 0.60%

5,740 5,740 0 0.00%859,500 849,300 10,200 1.20%

7,105,540 7,092,340 13,200 0.19%

235,036,140 233,635,118 1,401,022 0.60%

17,287,400 17,258,200 29,200 0.17%10,490,600 10,465,200 25,400 0.24%2,348,800 2,348,800 0 0.00%

196,976,000 195,542,400 1,433,600 0.73%7,105,540 7,092,340 13,200 0.19%

827,800 928,178 (100,378) -10.81%0 0 0 0.00%

235,036,140 233,635,118 1,401,022 0.60%

Difference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-52

Page 53: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable D. 3. Other Transportation Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2016

Current BienniumFiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Rental Car Sales Tax $21,488,828 $23,044,036 $23,672,092 $23,038,941 $26,826,283 $29,218,185 $31,765,444 $33,452,800 $34,402,500

0.3% of Retail Sales and Use Tax on Motor VehiclesRetail Sales Tax $21,907,395 $22,896,119 $24,929,541 $27,761,725 $31,010,421 $34,063,020 $38,083,588 $40,768,400 $41,985,300Use Tax 4,729,136 4,900,471 5,100,138 5,536,355 5,917,296 6,463,254 7,095,294 7,404,400 7,632,200

Total $26,636,531 $27,796,590 $30,029,679 $33,298,080 $36,927,717 $40,526,274 $45,178,882 $48,172,800 $49,617,500

Studded Tire Fee 203,000 495,000

DOT Business Related RevenuesSale of Property $1,520,954 $5,418,834 $3,577,125 $3,499,677 $5,492,439 $6,697,982 $3,545,121 $3,537,100 $4,750,000WSP Access 655,082 655,082 790,329 746,467 726,202 719,585 710,302 713,000 764,300 DOT Services 55,049 52,758 46,024 48,316 41,407 46,459 226,505 25,800 43,600 DOT Publications and Documents 270,552 126,665 142,555 98,312 139,167 54,425 134,537 102,400 102,400 Filing Fees and legal Services 170,805 154,403 157,033 203,800 184,892 186,304 182,991 171,200 196,200 Property Management 1,041,169 1,165,431 1,417,011 2,075,967 1,554,915 1,418,692 1,322,626 1,326,500 1,549,300 Outdoor Advertising 20,590 20,927 19,490 17,810 18,344 258,740 266,600 208,200 254,200 Access Permits (Right of Way) 37,500 25,200 25,600 28,750 17,780 29,272 32,837 35,300 27,800 Other Revenues 159,045 482,017 94,367 353,919 67,545 151,789 186,630 168,900 114,300

Total $3,930,745 $8,101,316 $6,269,532 $7,073,018 $8,242,690 $9,563,247 $6,608,148 $6,288,400 $7,802,100

Washington Traffic Safety CommissionSchool Zone Fines $990,151 $996,749 $906,281 $722,270 $640,843 $586,207 $468,978 $358,900 $413,900

Total $990,151 $996,749 $906,281 $722,270 $640,843 $586,207 $468,978 $358,900 $413,900

WSP Business Related RevenuesWSP Access $655,082 $655,082 $801,436 $746,467 $726,202 $719,676 $710,302 $713,000 $764,300WSP Publications and Documents 231,625 412,959 453,773 498,988 662,473 903,765 1,354,851 1,354,900 1,354,900 Breathalyzer Test Fines 1,006,302 991,487 932,643 1,240,207 1,335,544 1,503,314 1,541,985 1,542,000 1,542,000 DUI Cost Reimbursement 618,388 652,109 660,319 684,202 700,699 706,592 610,500 688,000 688,000 Terminal Safety Inspection Fee 58,009 2,220,630 1,466,018 1,233,986 1,233,986 1,233,986 1,233,986 1,350,000 1,350,000 Commercial Vehicle Penalties 294,199 302,491 313,845 118,506 264,984 563,741 216,570 315,000 315,400 Communication Tower Leases 252,714 329,115 288,637 325,022 407,409 358,203 372,777 384,000 395,500 Ignition Interlock Vendors Fee (HSF-Fund 106) 0 0 0 767,355 1,082,865 1,185,055 1,163,800 1,174,400 1,174,400

Total $3,116,319 $5,563,872 $4,916,670 $5,614,732 $6,414,162 $7,174,332 $7,204,771 $7,521,300 $7,584,500

Aircraft Registrations, Excise and DealersAircraft Fuel Tax - 11¢ per gallon $2,537,487 $2,461,587 $2,982,569 $2,513,158 $2,459,667 $2,547,568 $1,242,808 $2,478,600 $2,534,600Aircraft Registration Fee 89,600 90,900 120,700 123,600 102,235 113,445 114,199 105,000 105,800 Aircraft Excise Tax 262,700 292,600 301,400 311,332 349,359 343,365 353,694 356,600 359,300 Aircraft Dealers License 4,000 4,000 3,450 3,225 2,775 3,095 2,870 2,870 2,870 Aeronautics Transfer (from MV Fund 108-115) 281,900 282,500 281,600 280,939 285,217 289,479 339,820 403,600 410,300

Total $3,175,687 $3,131,587 $3,689,719 $3,232,254 $3,199,253 $3,296,952 $2,053,391 $3,346,670 $3,412,870

Total Revenue 59,338,260 68,634,150 69,483,973 72,979,295 82,250,949 90,365,197 93,279,615 99,343,870 103,728,370

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108 3,507,288 7,859,192 6,723,305 7,572,006 8,905,163 10,467,012 7,962,999 7,846,300 9,652,000 Washington State Patrol Fund-Fund 081 2,229,612 4,495,832 4,462,898 4,348,389 4,668,824 5,085,512 4,686,120 4,992,000 5,055,200 Highway Safety Fund-Fund 106 0 0 0 767,355 1,082,865 1,185,055 1,163,800 1,174,400 1,174,400 Multimodal Fund-Fund 218 48,125,359 50,840,626 53,701,771 56,337,021 63,754,000 69,744,459 76,944,326 81,625,600 84,020,000Aeronautics Account 039 2,939,257 2,868,247 3,418,459 2,952,055 2,884,830 2,987,924 2,053,391 3,346,670 3,412,870School Zone Safety Account 780 990,151 996,749 906,281 722,270 640,843 586,207 468,978 358,900 413,900General Fund 001 1,546,594 1,573,504 271,260 280,199 314,423 309,028 0 0 0Total $59,338,260 $68,634,150 $69,483,974 $72,979,295 $82,250,949 $90,365,197 $93,279,615 $99,343,870 $103,728,370

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-53

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable D. 3. Other Transportation Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2016

Rental Car Sales Tax

0.3% of Retail Sales and Use Tax on Motor VehiclesRetail Sales TaxUse Tax

Total

Studded Tire Fee

DOT Business Related RevenuesSale of PropertyWSP AccessDOT ServicesDOT Publications and DocumentsFiling Fees and legal ServicesProperty ManagementOutdoor AdvertisingAccess Permits (Right of Way)Other Revenues

Total

Washington Traffic Safety CommissionSchool Zone Fines

Total

WSP Business Related RevenuesWSP AccessWSP Publications and DocumentsBreathalyzer Test FinesDUI Cost ReimbursementTerminal Safety Inspection FeeCommercial Vehicle PenaltiesCommunication Tower LeasesIgnition Interlock Vendors Fee (HSF-Fund 106)

Total

Aircraft Registrations, Excise and DealersAircraft Fuel Tax - 11¢ per gallonAircraft Registration FeeAircraft Excise TaxAircraft Dealers LicenseAeronautics Transfer (from MV Fund 108-115)

Total

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108Washington State Patrol Fund-Fund 081Highway Safety Fund-Fund 106Multimodal Fund-Fund 218Aeronautics Account 039School Zone Safety Account 780General Fund 001Total

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

$35,114,500 $35,796,700 $36,473,700 $37,139,300 $37,820,200 $38,496,400 $39,151,200 $39,801,400 $40,481,800

$42,890,900 $43,811,600 $44,712,900 $45,584,200 $46,404,200 $47,178,600 $47,950,000 $48,698,400 $49,469,6007,847,600 8,047,700 8,230,900 8,419,400 8,609,300 8,802,700 8,986,700 9,169,800 9,355,000

$50,738,500 $51,859,300 $52,943,800 $54,003,600 $55,013,500 $55,981,300 $56,936,700 $57,868,200 $58,824,600

504,000 509,000 514,000 519,000 524,000 529,000 534,000 534,000 534,000

$4,750,000 $3,250,000 $3,250,000 $3,250,000 $3,250,000 $3,250,000 $3,250,000 $3,250,000 $3,250,000764,300 787,400 778,500 807,100 807,100 824,300 812,200 841,200 841,200

43,600 44,900 44,900 46,000 46,000 47,000 47,000 48,000 48,000 102,400 105,500 105,500 108,100 108,100 110,400 110,400 112,700 112,700 196,200 202,200 202,200 207,200 207,200 211,600 211,600 216,000 216,000

1,549,300 1,618,300 1,618,300 1,695,500 1,695,500 1,781,800 1,781,800 1,867,200 1,867,200 254,200 254,200 254,200 254,200 254,200 254,200 254,200 254,200 254,200

27,800 27,800 27,800 27,800 27,800 27,800 27,800 27,800 27,800 114,300 119,400 119,400 125,100 125,100 131,400 131,400 137,700 137,700

$7,802,100 $6,409,700 $6,400,800 $6,521,000 $6,521,000 $6,638,500 $6,626,400 $6,754,800 $6,754,800

$413,900 $413,900 $413,900 $413,900 $413,900 $413,900 $413,900 $413,900 $413,900$413,900 $413,900 $413,900 $413,900 $413,900 $413,900 $413,900 $413,900 $413,900

$764,300 $787,400 $778,500 $807,100 $807,100 $824,300 $812,200 $841,200 $841,2001,354,900 1,354,900 1,354,900 1,354,900 1,354,900 1,354,900 1,354,900 1,354,900 1,354,900 1,542,000 1,542,000 1,542,000 1,542,000 1,542,000 1,542,000 1,542,000 1,542,000 1,542,000

688,000 688,000 688,000 688,000 688,000 688,000 688,000 688,000 688,000 1,350,000 1,350,000 1,350,000 1,350,000 1,350,000 1,350,000 1,350,000 1,350,000 1,350,000

315,400 315,400 315,400 315,400 315,400 315,400 315,400 315,400 315,400 407,400 419,600 432,200 445,200 458,600 472,400 486,600 501,200 516,200

1,174,400 1,174,400 1,174,400 1,174,400 1,174,400 1,174,400 1,174,400 1,174,400 1,174,400 $7,596,400 $7,631,700 $7,635,400 $7,677,000 $7,690,400 $7,721,400 $7,723,500 $7,767,100 $7,782,100

$2,554,700 $2,574,000 $2,589,600 $2,600,700 $2,610,900 $2,620,700 $2,628,300 $2,631,800 $2,633,100106,500 107,200 107,800 108,400 109,000 109,600 110,200 110,800 111,300 361,800 364,100 366,200 368,100 370,000 371,900 373,800 375,700 377,600

2,870 2,870 2,870 2,870 2,870 2,870 2,870 2,870 2,870 414,100 417,900 421,300 424,200 426,200 428,000 429,400 429,600 429,900

$3,439,970 $3,466,070 $3,487,770 $3,504,270 $3,518,970 $3,533,070 $3,544,570 $3,550,770 $3,554,770

105,609,370 106,086,370 107,869,370 109,778,070 111,501,970 113,313,570 114,930,270 116,690,170 118,345,970

9,661,000 8,273,600 8,269,700 8,394,900 8,399,900 8,522,400 8,515,300 8,643,700 8,643,700 5,067,100 5,102,400 5,106,100 5,147,700 5,161,100 5,192,100 5,194,200 5,237,800 5,252,800 1,174,400 1,174,400 1,174,400 1,174,400 1,174,400 1,174,400 1,174,400 1,174,400 1,174,400

85,853,000 87,656,000 89,417,500 91,142,900 92,833,700 94,477,700 96,087,900 97,669,600 99,306,4003,439,970 3,466,070 3,487,770 3,504,270 3,518,970 3,533,070 3,544,570 3,550,770 3,554,770

413,900 413,900 413,900 413,900 413,900 413,900 413,900 413,900 413,9000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

$105,609,370 $106,086,370 $107,869,370 $109,778,070 $111,501,970 $113,313,570 $114,930,270 $116,690,170 $118,345,970

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-54

Page 55: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Washington State Ferries Ridership and Revenue Forecast

November 2016

Contact: Ray Deardorf, Washington State Department of Transportation, 206-515-3491, [email protected]

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-55

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable E. 1. Ferry Ridership Forecasts *November 2016

Current BienniumFerry Ridership FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016¹ FY 2017 FY 2018

Passenger Ridership (November 2016 Forecast) 12,453,226 12,242,320 12,236,081 12,350,126 12,696,936 13,270,874 13,523,385 13,528,000 13,658,000Annual Percent Change –1.0% –1.7% –0.1% +0.9% +2.8% +4.5% +1.9% +0.0% +1.0%

Passenger Ridership (September 2016 Forecast) 12,453,226 12,242,320 12,236,081 12,350,126 12,696,936 13,270,874 13,523,385 13,589,000 13,636,000 Percent Change, November vs. September - - - - - - - –0.4% +0.2%

Vehicle/Driver Ridership (November 2016 Forecast) 10,134,311 9,968,973 9,983,059 10,045,043 10,154,905 10,387,368 10,559,240 10,625,000 10,818,000Annual Percent Change +2.3% –1.6% +0.1% +0.6% +1.1% +2.3% +1.7% +0.6% +1.8%

Vehicle/Driver Ridership (September 2016 Forecast) 10,134,311 9,968,973 9,983,059 10,045,043 10,154,905 10,387,368 10,559,240 10,731,000 10,835,000 Percent Change, November vs. September - - - - - - - –1.0% –0.2%

Total Ridership (November 2016 Forecast) 22,587,537 22,211,000 22,219,000 22,395,000 22,851,841 23,658,000 24,083,000 24,153,000 24,476,000Annual Percent Change +0.5% –1.7% +0.0% +0.8% +2.0% +3.5% +1.8% +0.3% +1.3%

Total Ridership (September 2016 Forecast) 22,587,537 22,211,000 22,219,000 22,395,000 22,851,841 23,658,000 24,083,000 24,320,000 24,471,000 Percent Change, November vs. September - - - - - - - –0.7% +0.0%

Ferry Ridership FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027

Passenger Ridership (November 2016 Forecast) 13,858,000 14,101,000 14,350,000 14,590,000 14,831,000 15,082,000 15,339,000 15,610,000 15,892,000Annual Percent Change +1.5% +1.8% +1.8% +1.7% +1.7% +1.7% +1.7% +1.8% +1.8%

Passenger Ridership (September 2016 Forecast) 13,777,000 13,981,000 14,206,000 14,430,000 14,656,000 14,896,000 15,142,000 15,400,000 15,666,000 Percent Change, November vs. September +0.6% +0.9% +1.0% +1.1% +1.2% +1.2% +1.3% +1.4% +1.4%

Vehicle/Driver Ridership (November 2016 Forecast) 10,947,000 11,019,000 11,101,000 11,173,000 11,244,000 11,321,000 11,422,000 11,537,000 11,626,000Annual Percent Change +1.2% +0.7% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6% +0.7% +0.9% +1.0% +0.8%

Vehicle/Driver Ridership (September 2016 Forecast) 10,925,000 10,995,000 11,042,000 11,098,000 11,171,000 11,221,000 11,293,000 11,373,000 11,445,000 Percent Change, November vs. September +0.2% +0.2% +0.5% +0.7% +0.7% +0.9% +1.1% +1.4% +1.6%

Total Ridership (November 2016 Forecast) 24,805,000 25,120,000 25,451,000 25,763,000 26,075,000 26,403,000 26,761,000 27,147,000 27,518,000Annual Percent Change +1.3% +1.3% +1.3% +1.2% +1.2% +1.3% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4%

Total Ridership (September 2016 Forecast) 24,702,000 24,976,000 25,248,000 25,528,000 25,827,000 26,117,000 26,435,000 26,773,000 27,111,000 Percent Change, November vs. September +0.4% +0.6% +0.8% +0.9% +1.0% +1.1% +1.2% +1.4% +1.5%

* Data is for the Baseline Forecast ("No Fare Increases") Note: Ridership totals may differ from the sum of fare categories due to rounding to the nearest thousand.¹ FY 2016 includes actual ridership through October 2016.

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-56

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable E. 2. Ferries Forecast Biennium Comparison*November 2016

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2009-2011 2009-2011 2011-2013 2011-2013

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

Farebox RevenueFares 294,457,395$ 294,457,395$ -$ 0% 310,961,245$ 310,961,245$ -$ 0%Capital Surcharge - - - 0% 6,171,160 6,171,160 - 0%

Total 294,457,395$ 294,457,395$ -$ 0% 317,132,405$ 317,132,405$ -$ 0%

Miscellaneous RevenueVessel Non-Fare Revenue 1,984,223$ 1,984,223$ -$ 0% 2,366,658$ 2,366,658$ -$ 0%Other Non-Fare Revenue (Terminal) 4,264,587 4,264,587 - 0% 4,599,500 4,599,500 - 0%

Total 6,248,810$ 6,248,810$ -$ 0% 6,966,158$ 6,966,158$ -$ 0%

Total Farebox and Miscellanous RevenueTotal 300,706,205$ 300,706,205$ -$ 0% 324,098,722$ 324,098,722$ -$ 0%

Distribution of RevenueOperating Program-Fund 109 300,706,205$ 300,706,205$ -$ 0% 317,927,562$ 317,927,562$ -$ 0%Capital Vessel Replacement Account-Fund 18J - - - 0% 6,171,160 6,171,160 - 0%

Total 300,706,205$ 300,706,205$ -$ 0% 324,098,722$ 324,098,722$ -$ 0%

Current Biennium¹BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2013-2015 2013-2015 2015-2017 2015-2017

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

Farebox RevenueFares 335,850,839$ 335,850,839$ -$ 0% 359,700,015$ 361,302,015$ (1,602,000)$ –0.4%Capital Surcharge 7,556,778 7,556,778 - 0% 8,022,848 8,072,848 (50,000) –0.6%

Total 343,407,617$ 343,407,617$ -$ 0% 367,722,863$ 369,374,863$ (1,652,000)$ –0.4%

Miscellaneous RevenueVessel Non-Fare Revenue 2,796,993$ 2,796,993$ -$ 0% 3,062,955$ 3,302,193$ (239,238)$ –7.2%Other Non-Fare Revenue (Terminal) 4,695,981 4,695,981 - 0% 5,418,679 5,365,553 53,126 +1.0%

Total 7,492,974$ 7,492,974$ -$ 0% 8,481,634$ 8,667,746$ (186,112)$ –2.1%

Total Farebox and Miscellanous RevenueTotal 350,900,591$ 350,900,591$ -$ 0% 376,204,497$ 378,042,609$ (1,838,112)$ –0.5%

Distribution of RevenueOperating Program-Fund 109 343,343,813$ 343,343,813$ -$ 0% 368,181,649$ 369,969,761$ (1,788,112)$ –0.5%Capital Vessel Replacement Account-Fund 18J 7,556,778 7,556,778 - 0% 8,022,848 8,072,848 (50,000) –0.6%

Total 350,900,591$ 350,900,591$ -$ 0% 376,204,497$ 378,042,609$ (1,838,112)$ –0.5%

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2017-2019 2017-2019 2019-2021 2019-2021

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

Farebox RevenueFares 372,373,000$ 372,240,000$ 133,000$ +0.0% 380,152,000$ 378,002,000$ 2,150,000$ +0.6%Capital Surcharge 8,207,000 8,213,000 (6,000) –0.1% 8,403,000 8,370,000 33,000 +0.4%

Total 380,580,000$ 380,453,000$ 127,000$ +0.0% 388,555,000$ 386,372,000$ 2,183,000$ +0.6%

Miscellaneous RevenueVessel Non-Fare Revenue 2,890,000$ 3,441,000$ (551,000)$ –16.0% 3,068,000$ 3,652,000$ (584,000)$ –16.0%Other Non-Fare Revenue (Terminal) 5,102,000 4,965,000 137,000 +2.8% 5,413,000 5,266,000 147,000 +2.8%

Total 7,992,000$ 8,406,000$ (414,000)$ –4.9% 8,481,000$ 8,918,000$ (437,000)$ –4.9%

Total Farebox and Miscellanous RevenueTotal 388,572,000$ 388,859,000$ (287,000)$ –0.1% 397,036,000$ 395,290,000$ 1,746,000$ +0.4%

Distribution of RevenueOperating Program-Fund 109 380,365,000$ 380,646,000$ (281,000)$ –0.1% 388,633,000$ 386,920,000$ 1,713,000$ +0.4%Capital Vessel Replacement Account-Fund 18J 8,207,000 8,213,000 (6,000) –0.1% 8,403,000 8,370,000 33,000 +0.4%

Total 388,572,000$ 388,859,000$ (287,000)$ –0.1% 397,036,000$ 395,290,000$ 1,746,000$ +0.4%

Difference November 2016 vs. September 2016

Difference November 2016 vs. September 2016

Difference November 2016 vs. September 2016

Difference November 2016 vs. September 2016

Difference November 2016 vs. September 2016

Difference November 2016 vs. September 2016

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-57

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable E. 2. Ferries Forecast Biennium Comparison*November 2016

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2021-2023 2021-2023 2023-2025 2023-2025

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

Farebox RevenueFares 386,896,000$ 383,557,000$ 3,339,000$ +0.9% 394,162,000$ 389,461,000$ 4,701,000$ +1.2%Capital Surcharge 8,587,000 8,532,000 55,000 +0.6% 8,782,000 8,702,000 80,000 +0.9%

Total 395,483,000$ 392,089,000$ 3,394,000$ +0.9% 402,944,000$ 398,163,000$ 4,781,000$ +1.2%

Miscellaneous RevenueVessel Non-Fare Revenue 3,269,000$ 3,891,000$ (622,000)$ –16.0% 3,490,000$ 4,155,000$ (665,000)$ –16.0%Other Non-Fare Revenue (Terminal) 5,768,000 5,613,000 155,000 +2.8% 6,157,000 5,994,000 163,000 +2.7%

Total 9,037,000$ 9,504,000$ (467,000)$ –4.9% 9,647,000$ 10,149,000$ (502,000)$ –4.9%

Total Farebox and Miscellanous RevenueTotal 404,520,000$ 401,593,000$ 2,927,000$ +0.7% 412,591,000$ 408,312,000$ 4,279,000$ +1.0%

Distribution of RevenueOperating Program-Fund 109 395,933,000$ 393,061,000$ 2,872,000$ +0.7% 403,809,000$ 399,610,000$ 4,199,000$ +1.1%Capital Vessel Replacement Account-Fund 18J 8,587,000 8,532,000 55,000 +0.6% 8,782,000 8,702,000 80,000 +0.9%

Total 404,520,000$ 401,593,000$ 2,927,000$ +0.7% 412,591,000$ 408,312,000$ 4,279,000$ +1.0%

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2025-2027 2025-2027

November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

Farebox RevenueFares 402,602,000$ 396,085,000$ 6,517,000$ +1.6%Capital Surcharge 9,002,000 8,890,000 112,000 +1.3%

Total 411,604,000$ 404,975,000$ 6,629,000$ +1.6%

Miscellaneous RevenueVessel Non-Fare Revenue 3,721,000$ 4,432,000$ (711,000)$ –16.0%Other Non-Fare Revenue (Terminal) 6,567,000 6,394,000 173,000 +2.7%

Total 10,288,000$ 10,826,000$ (538,000)$ –5.0%

Total Farebox and Miscellanous RevenueTotal 421,892,000$ 415,801,000$ 6,091,000$ +1.5%

Distribution of RevenueOperating Program-Fund 109 412,890,000$ 406,911,000$ 5,979,000$ +1.5%Capital Vessel Replacement Account-Fund 18J 9,002,000 8,890,000 112,000 +1.3%

Total 421,892,000$ 415,801,000$ 6,091,000$ +1.5%

* Data is for forecast Baseline ("No Fare Increases") ¹ The 2015-2017 Biennium includes actual farebox revenue values through August 2016.

Difference November 2016 vs. September 2016

Difference November 2016 vs. September 2016

Difference November 2016 vs. September 2016

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-58

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable E. 3. Ferries Forecast By Fiscal Year *November 2016

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Farebox RevenueFares 147,009,545$ 147,447,850$ 152,540,403$ 158,420,842$ 163,779,177$ 172,071,662$ Capital Surcharge - - 2,544,970 3,626,191 3,662,690 3,894,088

Total 147,009,545$ 147,447,850$ 155,085,373$ 162,047,033$ 167,441,867$ 175,965,750$

Miscellaneous RevenueVessel Non-Fare Revenue 926,895$ 1,057,328$ 1,128,136$ 1,238,522$ 1,330,000$ 1,466,993$ Other Non-Fare Revenue (Terminal) 2,162,440 2,102,147 2,081,582 2,517,918 2,249,000 2,446,981

Total 3,089,335$ 3,159,475$ 3,209,718$ 3,756,440$ 3,579,000$ 3,913,974$

Total Farebox and Miscellanous RevenueTotal 150,098,880$ 150,607,325$ 158,295,061$ 165,803,662$ 171,020,867$ 179,879,724$

Distribution of RevenueOperating Program-Fund 109 150,098,880$ 150,607,325$ 155,750,091$ 162,177,471$ 167,358,177$ 175,985,636$ Capital Vessel Replacement Account-Fund 18J - - 2,544,970 3,626,191 3,662,690 3,894,088

Total 150,098,880$ 150,607,325$ 158,295,061$ 165,803,662$ 171,020,867$ 179,879,724$

Current BienniumFiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

2016 1 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Farebox RevenueFares 177,437,015$ 182,263,000$ 184,953,000$ 187,420,000$ 189,193,000$ 190,959,000$ Capital Surcharge 4,007,848 4,015,000 4,077,000 4,130,000 4,177,000 4,226,000

Total 181,444,863$ 186,278,000$ 189,030,000$ 191,550,000$ 193,370,000$ 195,185,000$

Miscellaneous RevenueVessel Non-Fare Revenue 1,686,354$ 1,376,601$ 1,424,000$ 1,466,000$ 1,511,000$ 1,557,000$ Other Non-Fare Revenue (Terminal) 2,602,604 2,816,075 2,515,000 2,587,000 2,666,000 2,747,000

Total 4,288,958$ 4,192,676$ 3,939,000$ 4,053,000$ 4,177,000$ 4,304,000$

Total Farebox and Miscellanous RevenueTotal 185,733,821$ 190,470,676$ 192,969,000$ 195,603,000$ 197,547,000$ 199,489,000$

Distribution of RevenueOperating Program-Fund 109 181,725,973$ 186,455,676$ 188,892,000$ 191,473,000$ 193,370,000$ 195,263,000$ Capital Vessel Replacement Account-Fund 18J 4,007,848$ 4,015,000$ 4,077,000 4,130,000 4,177,000 4,226,000

Total 185,733,821$ 190,470,676$ 192,969,000$ 195,603,000$ 197,547,000$ 199,489,000$

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Farebox RevenueFares 192,623,000$ 194,273,000$ 196,045,000$ 198,117,000$ 200,357,000$ 202,245,000$ Capital Surcharge 4,271,000 4,316,000 4,364,000 4,418,000 4,475,000 4,527,000

Total 196,894,000$ 198,589,000$ 200,409,000$ 202,535,000$ 204,832,000$ 206,772,000$

Miscellaneous RevenueVessel Non-Fare Revenue 1,608,000$ 1,661,000$ 1,716,000$ 1,774,000$ 1,832,000$ 1,889,000$ Other Non-Fare Revenue (Terminal) 2,838,000 2,930,000 3,027,000 3,130,000 3,233,000 3,334,000

Total 4,446,000$ 4,591,000$ 4,743,000$ 4,904,000$ 5,065,000$ 5,223,000$

Total Farebox and Miscellanous RevenueTotal 201,340,000$ 203,180,000$ 205,152,000$ 207,439,000$ 209,897,000$ 211,995,000$

Distribution of RevenueOperating Program-Fund 109 197,069,000$ 198,864,000$ 200,788,000$ 203,021,000$ 205,422,000$ 207,468,000$ Capital Vessel Replacement Account-Fund 18J 4,271,000 4,316,000 4,364,000 4,418,000 4,475,000 4,527,000

Total 201,340,000$ 203,180,000$ 205,152,000$ 207,439,000$ 209,897,000$ 211,995,000$

* Data is for forecast Baseline ("No Fare Increases") ¹ FY 2016 includes actual farebox revenue through September 2016.

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-59

Page 60: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Toll Operations and Revenue Forecast

November 2016

Contact: Yanming Yao, Washington State Department of Transportation, (206) 464-1196, [email protected]

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-60

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable F. 1. Toll Operations Forecasts, Fiscal YearNovember 2016

Current Biennium2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Traffic VolumeTacoma Narrows Traffic Volume (November 2016 Forecast) 14,261,331 14,063,498 14,066,929 13,827,983 13,958,692 14,391,928 14,800,360 15,215,000 15,482,000

Annual Percent Change 2.5% -1.4% 0.0% -1.7% 0.9% 3.1% 2.8% 2.8% 1.8%Tacoma Narrows Traffic Volume (September 2016 Forecast) 14,261,331 14,063,498 14,066,929 13,827,983 13,958,692 14,391,928 14,816,000 15,109,000 15,375,000

Percent Change, November vs. September 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1% 0.7% 0.7%

SR 167 HOT Lanes Traffic Volume (November 2016 Forecast) 510,969 640,115 841,154 1,033,471 1,134,609 1,178,638 1,128,750 1,500,000Annual Percent Change 31.5% 25.3% 31.4% 22.9% 9.8% 3.9% -4.2% 32.9%

SR 167 HOT Lanes Traffic Volume (September 2016 Forecast) 510,969 640,115 841,154 1,033,471 1,134,609 1,178,638 1,105,000 1,319,000 Percent Change, November vs. September 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.1% 13.7%

SR 520 Bridge Traffic Volume (November 2016 Forecast) 9,609,173 20,220,601 20,959,574 22,019,770 23,217,000 24,190,000 24,806,000Annual Percent Change 110.4% 3.7% 5.1% 5.4% 4.2% 2.5%

SR 520 Bridge Traffic Volume (September 2016 Forecast) 9,609,173 20,220,601 20,959,574 22,019,770 22,886,000 24,715,000 25,065,000 Percent Change, November vs. September 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% -2.1% -1.0%

I-405 Express Toll Lanes Traffic Volume (November 2016 Forecast) 7,517,562 9,948,000 10,237,000Annual Percent Change 32.3% 2.9%

I-405 Express Toll Lanes Traffic Volume (September 2016 Forecast) 7,375,000 9,031,000 9,293,000 Percent Change, November vs. September 1.9% 10.2% 10.2%

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027Traffic VolumeTacoma Narrows Traffic Volume (November 2016 Forecast) 15,711,000 15,949,000 16,147,000 16,349,000 16,554,000 16,760,000 16,971,000 17,139,000 17,311,000

Annual Percent Change 1.5% 1.5% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 1.0%Tacoma Narrows Traffic Volume (September 2016 Forecast) 15,605,000 15,839,000 16,038,000 16,238,000 16,442,000 16,647,000 16,855,000 17,023,000 17,194,000

Percent Change, November vs. September 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7%

SR 167 HOT Lanes Traffic Volume (November 2016 Forecast)Annual Percent Change

SR 167 HOT Lanes Traffic Volume (September 2016 Forecast) Percent Change, November vs. September

SR 520 Bridge Traffic Volume (November 2016 Forecast) 25,398,000 26,230,000 26,872,000 28,075,000 29,727,000 30,521,000 31,187,000 32,222,000 32,930,000Annual Percent Change 2.4% 3.3% 2.4% 4.5% 5.9% 2.7% 2.2% 3.3% 2.2%

SR 520 Bridge Traffic Volume (September 2016 Forecast) 25,679,000 26,531,000 27,187,000 28,390,000 30,012,000 30,803,000 31,483,000 32,101,000 32,798,000 Percent Change, November vs. September -1.1% -1.1% -1.2% -1.1% -0.9% -0.9% -0.9% 0.4% 0.4%

I-405 Express Toll Lanes Traffic Volume (November 2016 Forecast 10,549,000 10,872,000 11,170,000 11,509,000 11,867,000 12,235,000 12,628,000 13,012,000 13,371,000Annual Percent Change 3.0% 3.1% 2.7% 3.0% 3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 3.0% 2.8%

I-405 Express Toll Lanes Traffic Volume (September 2016 Forecas 9,577,000 9,869,000 10,140,000 10,448,000 10,772,000 11,107,000 11,463,000 11,812,000 12,138,000 Percent Change, November vs. September 10.1% 10.2% 10.2% 10.2% 10.2% 10.2% 10.2% 10.2% 10.2%

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-61

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable F. 2. Toll Operations Forecast Biennium ComparisonNovember 2016

Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium

2009-11 2009-11 2011-13 2011-13 2013-15 2013-15November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder Pass 89,401,837 89,401,837 - 0.00% 65,094,285 65,094,285 - 0.00% 80,109,876 80,109,876 - 0.00%

Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Acounts - Pay By Plate - - - 0.00% 5,964,735 5,964,735 - 0.00% 9,753,211 9,753,211 - 0.00% Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail - - - 0.00% 11,809,330 11,809,330 - 0.00%Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment - - - 0.00% 31,740,853 31,740,853 - 0.00% 37,024,589 37,024,589 - 0.00%

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential 89,401,837 89,401,837 - 0.00% 102,799,873 102,799,873 - 0.00% 138,697,006 138,697,006 - 0.00%

Good To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts - - - 0.00% 252,959 252,959 - 0.00% 478,965 478,965 - 0.00%Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue - - - 0.00% (334,472) (334,472) - 0.00% (7,810,170) (7,810,170) - 0.00%

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue 89,401,837 89,401,837 - 0.00% 102,718,360 102,718,360 - 0.00% 131,365,801 131,365,801 - 0.00%Miscellaneous Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings) 941,222 941,222 - 0.00% 2,252,685 2,252,685 - 0.00% 597,442 597,442 - 0.00%Transponder Sales 1,273,119 1,273,119 - 0.00% 659,875 659,875 - 0.00% 642,323 642,323 - 0.00%Late payment fees plus NSF / statement fees 179,474 179,474 - 0.00% 468,383 468,383 - 0.00% 859,650 859,650 - 0.00%

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & Fees 91,795,652 91,795,652 - 0.00% 106,099,303 106,099,303 - 0.00% 133,465,216 133,465,216 - 0.00%Tacoma Narrows Bridge Other Revenue - - - 0.00% - - - 0.00% - - - 0.00%

Violations 1,082,569 1,082,569 - 0.00% 152,321 152,321 - 0.00% 18,556 18,556 - 0.00%Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue - - - 0.00% 4,310,768 4,310,768 - 0.00% 2,520,226 2,520,226 - 0.00%

Total Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue & Fees 92,878,221$ 92,878,221$ - 0.00% 110,562,392$ 110,562,392$ -$ 0.00% 136,003,998$ 136,003,998$ -$ 0.00%

SR 167 High Occupancy Toll Lanes RevenueAdjusted Gross Toll Revenue 1,101,394 1,101,394 - 0.00% 2,117,536 2,117,536 - 0.00% 2,846,372 2,846,372 - 0.00%Transponder / Shield Sales 146,939 146,939 - 0.00% 58,801 58,801 - 0.00% 81,028 81,028 - 0.00% NSF / statement fees 1,815 1,815 - 0.00% 6,026 6,026 - 0.00% 7,338 7,338 - 0.00%Misc Revenues - - - 0.00% 133,295 133,295 - 0.00% 30,018 30,018 - 0.00%

Total SR 167 Revenue & Fees 1,250,148$ 1,250,148$ -$ 0.00% 2,315,658$ 2,315,658$ -$ 0.00% 2,964,756$ 2,964,756$ -$ 0.00%

SR 520 Bridge Revenue

Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder Pass 57,225,101 57,225,101 - 0.00% 81,249,085 81,249,085 - 0.00%Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By Plate 11,445,086 11,445,086 - 0.00% 23,531,148 23,531,148 - 0.00%Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail 20,687,161 20,687,161 - 0.00% 29,192,123 29,192,123 - 0.00%

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential 89,357,348 89,357,348 - 0.00% 133,972,355 133,972,355 - 0.00%

Good To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts 462,683 462,683* - 0.00% 1,882,249 1,882,249 - 0.00%Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue (8,274,410) (8,274,410) - 0.00% (11,408,859) (11,408,859) - 0.00%

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue 81,545,621 81,545,621 - 0.00% 124,445,745 124,445,745 - 0.00%Miscellaneous Pledged Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings) 2,233,327 2,233,327 - 0.00% 713,727 713,727 - 0.00%Transponder Sales 1,786,613 1,786,613 - 0.00% 1,051,951 1,051,951 - 0.00%Late payment fees plus NSF / statement fees 2,214,213 2,214,213 - 0.00% 3,111,969 3,111,969 - 0.00%Recovered Toll Revenue - - - 0.00% 886,000 886,000 - 0.00%

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & Fees 87,779,774 87,779,774 - 0.00% 130,209,392 130,209,392 - 0.00%Operations and Maintenance Expenditures* (19,540,009) (19,540,009) - 0.00% (24,163,946) (24,163,946) - 0.00%

Total SR 520 Net Toll Revenue Pledged for Debt Service 68,239,765 68,239,765 - 0.00% 106,045,446 106,045,446 - 0.00%SR 520 Other Revenue - - -

Civil Penalties 11,498,741 11,498,741 - 0.00% 13,394,170 13,394,170 - 0.00%Misc Revenues 1,175,641 1,175,641 - 0.00% 517,956 517,956 - 0.00%

Total SR 520 Revenue & Fees 100,454,156$ 100,454,156$ -$ 0.00% 144,121,517$ 144,121,517$ -$ 0.00%

I-405 Express Toll Lanes RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential

Good To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMisc Revenues (interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesI-405 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueTotal I-405 Revenue & Fees

ALL Tolled Facilities RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder Pass 90,503,231 90,503,231 - 0.00% 124,436,922 124,436,922 - 0.00% 164,205,333 164,205,333 - 0.00%Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By Plate - - - 0.00% 17,409,821 17,409,821 - 0.00% 33,284,359 33,284,359 - 0.00%Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail - - - 0.00% 20,687,161 20,687,161 - 0.00% 41,001,453 41,001,453 - 0.00%Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment - - - 0.00% 31,740,853 31,740,853 - 0.00% 37,024,589 37,024,589 - 0.00%

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential 90,503,231 90,503,231 - 0.00% 194,274,757 194,274,757 - 0.00% 275,515,734 275,515,734 - 0.00%Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue 90,503,231 90,503,231 - 0.00% 186,381,517 186,381,517 - 0.00% 258,657,919 258,657,919 - 0.00%

Misc. Revenues (contractual damages, interest earnings) 941,222 941,222 - 0.00% 4,619,307 4,619,307 - 0.00% 1,341,187 1,341,187 - 0.00%Transponder / Shield Sales 1,420,058 1,420,058 - 0.00% 2,505,289 2,505,289 - 0.00% 1,775,301 1,775,301 - 0.00%Late payment fees plus NSF / statement fees 181,289 181,289 - 0.00% 2,688,622 2,688,622 - 0.00% 3,978,957 3,978,957 - 0.00%

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & Fees 93,045,800 93,045,800 - 0.00% 196,194,735 196,194,735 - 0.00% 265,753,364 265,753,364 - 0.00%Violations 1,082,569 1,082,569 - 0.00% 152,321 152,321 - 0.00% 18,556 18,556 - 0.00%Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue - - - 0.00% 15,809,509 15,809,509 - 0.00% 16,800,395 16,800,395 - 0.00%

Misc Non-Pledged Revenues - -$ - 0.00% 1,175,641 1175641 - 0.00% 517,956 517,956 - 0.00%Total Toll Revenue & Fees 94,128,369$ 94,128,369$ - 0.00% 213,332,206$ 213,332,206$ - 0.00% 283,090,271$ 283,090,271$ - 0.00%

*Credit Card Fees, Toll Collection O&M, Facility O&M, Transponder Costs, and Bridge Insurance Premiums

Difference Difference Difference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-62

Page 63: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable F. 2. Toll Operations Forecast Biennium ComparisonNovember 2016

Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder Pass

Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Acounts - Pay By Plate

Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential

Good To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMiscellaneous Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesTacoma Narrows Bridge Other Revenue

ViolationsCivil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue

Total Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue & Fees

SR 167 High Occupancy Toll Lanes RevenueAdjusted Gross Toll RevenueTransponder / Shield Sales NSF / statement feesMisc Revenues

Total SR 167 Revenue & Fees

SR 520 Bridge Revenue

Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential

Good To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMiscellaneous Pledged Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement feesRecovered Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesOperations and Maintenance Expenditures*

Total SR 520 Net Toll Revenue Pledged for Debt ServiceSR 520 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties Misc Revenues

Total SR 520 Revenue & Fees

I-405 Express Toll Lanes RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential

Good To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMisc Revenues (interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesI-405 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueTotal I-405 Revenue & Fees

ALL Tolled Facilities RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialAdjusted Gross Toll Revenue

Misc. Revenues (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder / Shield SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesViolationsCivil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue

Misc Non-Pledged RevenuesTotal Toll Revenue & Fees

Current Biennium

Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium

2015-17 2015-17 2017-19 2017-19 2019-21 2019-21November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

89,688,045 91,258,000 (1,569,955) -1.72% 95,478,000 98,220,000 (2,742,000) -2.79% 100,458,000 102,947,000 (2,489,000) -2.42%

17,350,776 14,954,000 2,396,776 16.03% 17,165,000 14,045,000 3,120,000 22.21% 16,635,000 14,191,000 2,444,000 17.22%

16,397,620 17,223,000 (825,380) -4.79% 16,254,000 16,154,000 100,000 0.62% 16,309,000 16,244,000 65,000 0.40%44,001,665 43,661,000 340,665 0.78% 44,662,000 43,732,000 930,000 2.13% 44,816,000 43,359,000 1,457,000 3.36%

167,438,107 167,096,000 342,107 0.20% 173,559,000 172,151,000 1,408,000 0.82% 178,218,000 176,741,000 1,477,000 0.84%

780,168 696,000 84,168 12.09% 800,000 656,000 144,000 21.95% 776,000 662,000 114,000 17.22%(10,191,545) (10,323,000) 131,455 -1.27% (10,465,000) (9,684,000) (781,000) 8.06% (10,475,000) (9,738,000) (737,000) 7.57%158,026,730 157,469,000 557,730 0.35% 163,894,000 163,123,000 771,000 0.47% 168,519,000 167,665,000 854,000 0.51%

533,915 487,000 46,915 9.63% 181,000 193,000 (12,000) -6.22% 77,000 68000 9,000 13.24%894,694 814,000 80,694 9.91% 923,000 832,000 91,000 10.94% 863,000 644,000 219,000 34.01%786,575 755,000 31,575 4.18% 779,000 765,000 14,000 1.83% 782,000 769,000 13,000 1.69%

160,241,914 159,525,000 716,914 0.45% 165,777,000 164,913,000 864,000 0.52% 170,241,000 169,146,000 1,095,000 0.65%- - - 0.00% - - - 0.00% - - - 0.00%

7,652 6,500 1,152 17.72% - - - 0.00% - 0 - 0.00%3,324,623 3,660,000 (335,377) -9.16% 3,073,000 3,896,000 (823,000) -21.12% 3,083,000 3,998,000 (915,000) -22.89%

163,574,189$ 163,191,500$ 382,689$ 0.23% 168,850,000$ 168,809,000$ 41,000$ 0.02% 173,324,000$ 173,144,000$ 180,000$ 0.10%

3,387,376 3,053,000 334,376 10.95%142,906 60,000 82,906 138.18%

7,256 7,000 256 3.65%73,491 56,000 17,491 0.00%

3,611,028$ 3,176,000$ 435,028$ 13.70%

92,801,085 97,781,000 (4,979,915) -5.09% 109,013,000 114,007,000 (4,994,000) -4.38% 117,534,000 121,323,000 (3,789,000) -3.12%28,509,351 27,189,000 1,320,351 4.86% 28,098,000 25,929,000 2,169,000 8.37% 28,014,000 25,838,000 2,176,000 8.42%35,862,238 34,981,000 881,238 2.52% 39,921,000 38,671,000 1,250,000 3.23% 40,648,000 39,440,000 1,208,000 3.06%

157,172,674 159,951,000 (2,778,326) -1.74% 177,032,000 178,607,000 (1,575,000) -0.88% 186,196,000 186,601,000 (405,000) -0.22%

2,475,010 2,303,000 172,010 7.47% 2,491,000 2,138,000 353,000 16.51% 2,501,000 2,173,000 328,000 15.09%(14,825,865) (14,127,000) (698,865) 4.95% (16,621,000) (15,267,000) (1,354,000) 8.87% (14,997,000) (14,983,000) (14,000) 0.09%144,821,819 148,127,000 (3,305,181) -2.23% 162,902,000 165,478,000 (2,576,000) -1.56% 173,700,000 173,791,000 (91,000) -0.05%

1,341,104 1,165,000 176,104 15.12% 876,000 777,000 99,000 12.74% 1,039,000 960,000 79,000 8.23%1,571,497 1,258,000 313,497 24.92% 1,938,000 790,000 1,148,000 145.32% 1,624,000 792,000 832,000 105.05%2,629,617 2,758,000 (128,383) -4.65% 2,530,000 2,934,000 (404,000) -13.77% 2,727,000 3,076,000 (349,000) -11.35%1,630,000 1,630,000 - 0.00% 1,240,000 2,026,000 (786,000) -38.80% 1,434,000 2,410,000 (976,000) -40.50%

151,994,038 154,938,000 (2,943,962) -1.90% 169,486,000 172,005,000 (2,519,000) -1.46% 180,524,000 181,029,000 (505,000) -0.28%(32,937,581) (34,753,000) 1,815,419 -5.22% (37,653,000) (36,270,000) (1,383,000) 3.81% (38,037,000) (37,408,000) (629,000) 1.68%119,056,458 120,185,000 (1,128,542) -0.94% 131,833,000 135,735,000 (3,902,000) -2.87% 142,487,000 143,621,000 (1,134,000) -0.79%

- - 7,268,520 14,953,000 (7,684,480) -51.39% 7,679,000 16,112,000 (8,433,000) -52.34% 8,152,000 16,722,000 (8,570,000) -51.25%

- - - 0.00% - - - 0.00% - - - 0.00%159,262,558$ 169,891,000$ (10,628,442)$ -6.26% 177,165,000$ 188,117,000$ (10,952,000)$ -5.82% 188,676,000$ 197,751,000$ (9,075,000)$ -4.59%

24,084,014 19,597,000 4,487,014 22.90% 33,797,000 26,061,000 7,736,000 29.68% 40,276,000 29,740,000 10,536,000 35.43%6,009,464 5,037,000 972,464 19.31% 8,385,000 6,374,000 2,011,000 31.55% 10,281,000 7,591,000 2,690,000 35.44%

11,410,987 10,907,000 503,987 4.62% 13,168,000 10,149,000 3,019,000 29.75% 11,624,000 9,443,000 2,181,000 23.10%41,504,466 35,541,000 5,963,466 16.78% 55,350,000 42,584,000 12,766,000 29.98% 62,181,000 46,774,000 15,407,000 32.94%

691,004 676,000 15,004 2.22% 888,000 778,000 110,000 14.14% 996,000 874,000 122,000 13.96%(6,708,762) (6,062,000) (646,762) 10.67% (5,113,000) (5,400,000) 287,000 -5.31% (4,195,000) (5,551,000) 1,356,000 -24.43%35,486,708 30,155,000 5,331,708 17.68% 51,125,000 37,962,000 13,163,000 34.67% 58,982,000 42,097,000 16,885,000 40.11%

358,949 30,000 328,949 1096.50% - - - 0.00% - - - 0.00%2,064,730 1,950,000 114,730 5.88% 803,000 586,000 217,000 37.03% 686,000 473,000 213,000 45.03%

909,488 823,000 86,488 10.51% 1,283,000 1,075,000 208,000 19.35% 1,177,000 1,027,000 150,000 14.61%38,819,874 32,958,000 5,861,874 17.79% 53,211,000 39,623,000 13,588,000 34.29% 60,845,000 43,597,000 17,248,000 39.56%

- - - - 2,712,878 2,306,000 406,878 17.64% 3,401,000 2,873,000 528,000 18.38% 3,109,000 2,763,000 346,000 12.52%

41,532,752$ 35,264,000$ 6,268,752$ 17.78% 56,612,000$ 42,496,000$ 14,116,000$ 33.22% 63,954,000$ 46,360,000$ 17,594,000$ 37.95%

209,960,520 211,689,000 (1,728,480) -0.82% 238,288,000 238,288,000 - 0.00% 258,268,000 254,010,000 4,258,000 1.68%51,869,592 47,180,000 4,689,592 9.94% 53,648,000 46,348,000 7,300,000 15.75% 54,930,000 47,620,000 7,310,000 15.35%63,670,845 63,111,000 559,845 0.89% 69,343,000 64,974,000 4,369,000 6.72% 68,581,000 65,127,000 3,454,000 5.30%44,001,665 43,661,000 340,665 0.78% 44,662,000 43,732,000 930,000 2.13% 44,816,000 43,359,000 1,457,000 3.36%

369,502,623 365,641,000 3,861,623 1.06% 405,941,000 393,342,000 12,599,000 3.20% 426,595,000 410,116,000 16,479,000 4.02%341,722,633 338,804,000 2,918,633 0.86% 377,921,000 366,563,000 11,358,000 3.10% 401,201,000 383,553,000 17,648,000 4.60%

2,307,459 1,738,000 569,459 32.77% 1,057,000 970,000 87,000 8.97% 1,116,000 1,028,000 88,000 8.56%4,673,827 4,082,000 591,827 14.50% 3,664,000 2,208,000 1,456,000 65.94% 3,173,000 1,909,000 1,264,000 66.21%4,332,936 4,343,000 (10,064) -0.23% 4,592,000 4,774,000 (182,000) -3.81% 4,686,000 4,872,000 (186,000) -3.82%

353,036,855 348,967,000 4,069,855 1.17% 387,234,000 374,515,000 12,719,000 3.40% 410,176,000 391,362,000 18,814,000 4.81%7,652 6,500 1,152 17.72% - - - 0.00% - - - 0.00%

14,936,021 22,549,000 (7,612,979) -33.76% 15,393,000 24,907,000 (9,514,000) -38.20% 15,778,000 25,893,000 (10,115,000) -39.06%

- - - 0.00% - - - 0.00% - - - 0.00%367,980,528$ 371,522,500$ (3,541,972) -0.95% 402,627,000$ 399,422,000$ 3,205,000 0.80% 425,954,000$ 417,255,000$ 8,699,000 2.08%

*Credit Card Fees, Toll Collection O&M, Facility O&M, Transponder Costs, and Bridge Insurance Premiums

Difference Difference Difference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-63

Page 64: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable F. 2. Toll Operations Forecast Biennium ComparisonNovember 2016

Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder Pass

Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Acounts - Pay By Plate

Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential

Good To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMiscellaneous Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesTacoma Narrows Bridge Other Revenue

ViolationsCivil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue

Total Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue & Fees

SR 167 High Occupancy Toll Lanes RevenueAdjusted Gross Toll RevenueTransponder / Shield Sales NSF / statement feesMisc Revenues

Total SR 167 Revenue & Fees

SR 520 Bridge Revenue

Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential

Good To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMiscellaneous Pledged Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement feesRecovered Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesOperations and Maintenance Expenditures*

Total SR 520 Net Toll Revenue Pledged for Debt ServiceSR 520 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties Misc Revenues

Total SR 520 Revenue & Fees

I-405 Express Toll Lanes RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential

Good To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMisc Revenues (interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesI-405 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueTotal I-405 Revenue & Fees

ALL Tolled Facilities RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialAdjusted Gross Toll Revenue

Misc. Revenues (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder / Shield SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesViolationsCivil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue

Misc Non-Pledged RevenuesTotal Toll Revenue & Fees

Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium

2021-23 2021-23 2023-25 2023-25 2025-27 2025-27November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent November 2016 September 2016 Value Percent

104,609,000 106,586,000 (1,977,000) -1.85% 108,905,000 110,130,000 (1,225,000) -1.11% 114,232,000 113,569,000 663,000 0.58%

16,349,000 14,394,000 1,955,000 13.58% 16,038,000 14,667,000 1,371,000 9.35% 14,755,000 14,687,000 68,000 0.46%

16,817,000 16,438,000 379,000 2.31% 17,341,000 16,726,000 615,000 3.68% 16,784,000 16,674,000 110,000 0.66%44,726,000 43,548,000 1,178,000 2.71% 44,603,000 43,820,000 783,000 1.79% 44,592,000 44,127,000 465,000 1.05%

182,501,000 180,966,000 1,535,000 0.85% 186,887,000 185,343,000 1,544,000 0.83% 190,363,000 189,057,000 1,306,000 0.69%

763,000 672,000 91,000 13.54% 748,000 685,000 63,000 9.20% 688,000 685,000 3,000 0.44%(10,768,000) (9,854,000) (914,000) 9.28% (11,069,000) (10,027,000) (1,042,000) 10.39% (10,681,000) (9,996,000) (685,000) 6.85%172,496,000 171,784,000 712,000 0.41% 176,566,000 176,001,000 565,000 0.32% 180,370,000 179,746,000 624,000 0.35%

- - - 0.00% - - - 0.00% - - - 0.00%895,000 657,000 238,000 36.23% 954,000 708,000 246,000 34.75% 1,021,000 773,000 248,000 32.08%806,000 778,000 28,000 3.60% 832,000 792,000 40,000 5.05% 804,000 789,000 15,000 1.90%

174,197,000 173,219,000 978,000 0.56% 178,352,000 177,501,000 851,000 0.48% 182,195,000 181,308,000 887,000 0.49%- - - 0.00% - - - 0.00% - - - 0.00%- - - 0.00% - - - 0.00% - - - 0.00%

3,179,000 4,098,000 (919,000) -22.43% 3,278,000 4,198,000 (920,000) -21.92% 3,172,000 4,282,000 (1,110,000) -25.92%177,376,000$ 177,317,000$ 59,000$ 0.03% 181,630,000$ 181,699,000$ (69,000)$ -0.04% 185,367,000$ 185,590,000$ (223,000)$ -0.12%

128,729,000 131,065,000 (2,336,000) -1.78% 138,674,000 139,589,000 (915,000) -0.66% 148,174,000 146,525,000 1,649,000 1.13%28,726,000 27,791,000 935,000 3.36% 28,901,000 29,455,000 (554,000) -1.88% 30,348,000 30,709,000 (361,000) -1.18%42,988,000 41,620,000 1,368,000 3.29% 44,615,000 43,042,000 1,573,000 3.65% 45,522,000 43,275,000 2,247,000 5.19%

200,443,000 200,476,000 (33,000) -0.02% 212,190,000 212,086,000 104,000 0.05% 224,044,000 220,509,000 3,535,000 1.60%

2,592,000 2,364,000 228,000 9.64% 2,624,000 2,524,000 100,000 3.96% 2,732,000 2,632,000 100,000 3.80%(15,147,000) (15,219,000) 72,000 -0.47% (15,635,000) (15,789,000) 154,000 -0.98% (16,037,000) (15,980,000) (57,000) 0.36%187,888,000 187,621,000 267,000 0.14% 199,179,000 198,821,000 358,000 0.18% 210,739,000 207,161,000 3,578,000 1.73%

1,352,000 1,255,000 97,000 7.73% 1,531,000 1,419,000 112,000 7.89% 1,737,000 1,568,000 169,000 10.78%1,778,000 873,000 905,000 103.67% 1,966,000 827,000 1,139,000 137.73% 2,141,000 840,000 1,301,000 154.88%2,967,000 3,351,000 (384,000) -11.46% 3,115,000 3,514,000 (399,000) -11.35% 3,188,000 3,554,000 (366,000) -10.30%1,532,000 2,496,000 (964,000) -38.62% 1,662,000 2,694,000 (1,032,000) -38.31% 1,752,000 2,836,000 (1,084,000) -38.22%

195,517,000 195,596,000 (79,000) -0.04% 207,453,000 207,275,000 178,000 0.09% 219,557,000 215,959,000 3,598,000 1.67%(40,404,000) (38,980,000) (1,424,000) 3.65% (43,523,000) (41,757,000) (1,766,000) 4.23% (46,551,000) (43,866,000) (2,685,000) 6.12%155,113,000 156,616,000 (1,503,000) -0.96% 163,930,000 165,518,000 (1,588,000) -0.96% 173,006,000 172,093,000 913,000 0.53%

- - - 8,887,000 18,182,000 (9,295,000) -51.12% 9,452,000 19,295,000 (9,843,000) -51.01% 9,669,000 19,548,000 (9,879,000) -50.54%

- - - 0.00% - - - 0.00% - - - 0.00%204,404,000$ 213,778,000$ (9,374,000)$ -4.38% 216,905,000.00$ 226,570,000$ (9,665,000)$ -4.27% 229,226,000.00$ 235,507,000$ (6,281,000)$ -2.67%

47,626,000 34,165,000 13,461,000 39.40% 55,319,000 38,552,000 16,767,000 43.49% 64,100,000 43,399,000 20,701,000 47.70%11,906,000 8,541,000 3,365,000 39.40% 13,830,000 9,638,000 4,192,000 43.49% 16,025,000 10,850,000 5,175,000 47.70%11,290,000 8,988,000 2,302,000 25.61% 12,656,000 9,868,000 2,788,000 28.25% 14,179,000 10,818,000 3,361,000 31.07%70,822,000 51,694,000 19,128,000 37.00% 81,805,000 58,058,000 23,747,000 40.90% 94,304,000 65,067,000 29,237,000 44.93%

1,057,000 926,000 131,000 14.15% 1,124,000 985,000 139,000 14.11% 1,193,000 1,046,000 147,000 14.05%(4,025,000) (5,933,000) 1,908,000 -32.16% (4,542,000) (6,664,000) 2,122,000 -31.84% (5,111,000) (7,468,000) 2,357,000 -31.56%67,854,000 46,687,000 21,167,000 45.34% 78,387,000 52,379,000 26,008,000 49.65% 90,386,000 58,645,000 31,741,000 54.12%

- - - 0.00% - - - 0.00% - - - 0.00%737,000 512,000 225,000 43.95% 801,000 575,000 226,000 39.30% 874,000 652,000 222,000 34.05%

1,131,000 980,000 151,000 15.41% 1,201,000 1,022,000 179,000 17.51% 1,274,000 1,086,000 188,000 17.31%69,722,000 48,179,000 21,543,000 44.71% 80,389,000 53,976,000 26,413,000 48.93% 92,534,000 60,383,000 32,151,000 53.25%

- - - - - - 2,976,000 2,655,000 321,000 12.09% 3,125,000 2,791,000 334,000 11.97% 3,349,000 2,989,000 360,000 12.04%

72,698,000$ 50,834,000$ 21,864,000$ 43.01% 83,514,000$ 56,767,000$ 26,747,000$ 47.12% 95,883,000$ 63,372,000$ 32,511,000$ 51.30%

280,964,000 271,816,000 9,148,000 3.37% 302,898,000 288,271,000 14,627,000 5.07% 326,506,000 303,493,000 23,013,000 7.58%56,981,000 50,726,000 6,255,000 12.33% 58,769,000 53,760,000 5,009,000 9.32% 61,128,000 56,246,000 4,882,000 8.68%71,095,000 67,046,000 4,049,000 6.04% 74,612,000 69,636,000 4,976,000 7.15% 76,485,000 70,767,000 5,718,000 8.08%44,726,000 43,548,000 1,178,000 2.71% 44,603,000 43,820,000 783,000 1.79% 44,592,000 44,127,000 465,000 1.05%

453,766,000 433,136,000 20,630,000 4.76% 480,882,000 455,487,000 25,395,000 5.58% 508,711,000 474,633,000 34,078,000 7.18%428,238,000 406,092,000 22,146,000 5.45% 454,132,000 427,201,000 26,931,000 6.30% 481,495,000 445,552,000 35,943,000 8.07%

1,352,000 1,255,000 97,000 7.73% 1,531,000 1,419,000 112,000 7.89% 1,737,000 1,568,000 169,000 10.78%3,410,000 2,042,000 1,368,000 66.99% 3,721,000 2,110,000 1,611,000 76.35% 4,036,000 2,265,000 1,771,000 78.19%4,904,000 5,109,000 (205,000) -4.01% 5,148,000 5,328,000 (180,000) -3.38% 5,266,000 5,429,000 (163,000) -3.00%

437,904,000 414,498,000 23,406,000 5.65% 464,532,000 436,058,000 28,474,000 6.53% 492,534,000 454,814,000 37,720,000 8.29%- - - 0.00% - - - 0.00% - - - 0.00%

16,574,000 27,431,000 (10,857,000) -39.58% 17,517,000 28,978,000 (11,461,000) -39.55% 17,942,000 29,655,000 (11,713,000) -39.50%

- - - 0.00% - - - 0.00% - - - 0.00%454,478,000$ 441,929,000$ 12,549,000 2.84% 482,049,000$ 465,036,000$ 17,013,000 3.66% 510,476,000$ 484,469,000$ 26,007,000 5.37%

*Credit Card Fees, Toll Collection O&M, Facility O&M, Transponder Costs, and Bridge Insurance Premiums

Difference Difference Difference

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-64

Page 65: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable F. 3. Toll Operations Forecast By Fiscal Year November 2016

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder Pass 45,352,938 44,048,899 26,592,178 38,502,107 39,067,185 41,042,691 44,593,045 45,095,000 46,881,000

Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Acounts - Pay By Plate 2,785,519 3,179,216 4,083,428 5,669,783 8,241,776 9,109,000 8,767,000 Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail 5,777,751 6,031,579 7,788,620 8,609,000 8,303,000 Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment 14,725,538 17,015,315 17,725,885 19,298,704 21,863,665 22,138,000 22,285,000

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential 45,352,938 44,048,899 44,103,235 58,696,638 66,654,250 72,042,756 82,487,107 84,951,000 86,236,000

Good To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts 76,298 176,661 212,503 266,462 355,168 425,000 409,000 Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue (76,298) (258,174) (3,727,759) (4,082,411) (4,651,545) (5,540,000) (5,344,000)

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue 45,352,938 44,048,899 44,103,235 58,615,125 63,138,994 68,226,807 78,190,730 79,836,000 81,301,000 Miscellaneous Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings) 404,791 536,431 1,740,308 512,377 371,376 226,066 298,915 235,000 98,000 Transponder Sales 628,920 644,199 352,525 307,350 306,070 336,253 483,694 411,000 460,000 Late payment fees plus NSF / statement fees 103,530 75,944 166,003 302,380 371,407 488,243 373,575 413,000 398,000

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & Fees 46,490,179 45,305,473 46,362,071 59,737,232 64,187,847 69,277,369 79,346,914 80,895,000 82,257,000 Tacoma Narrows Bridge Other Revenue

Violations 593,538 489,031 130,818 21,503 8,894 9,662 7,652 - - Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue 484,505 3,826,263 (649,178) 3,169,404 1,697,623 1,627,000 1,570,000

Total Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue & Fees 47,083,717$ 45,794,504$ 46,977,394$ 63,584,998$ 63,547,563$ 72,456,435$ 81,052,189$ 82,522,000$ 83,827,000$

SR 167 High Occupancy Toll Lanes RevenueAdjusted Gross Toll Revenue 450,204 651,190 975,705 1,141,831 1,176,335 1,670,037 1,387,376 2,000,000 Transponder / Shield Sales 76,426 70,513 24,387 34,414 37,770 43,258 62,906 80,000 NSF / statement fees 662 1,153 2,431 3,595 3,730 3,608 3,256 4,000 Misc Revenues 126,391 6,904 5,865 24,153 33,491 40,000

Total SR 167 Revenue & Fees 527,292$ 722,856$ 1,128,914$ 1,186,744$ 1,223,700$ 1,741,056$ 1,487,028$ 2,124,000$ -$

SR 520 Bridge RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder Pass 18,311,844 38,913,257 40,033,885 41,215,200 43,568,085 49,233,000 53,451,000 Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By Plate 3,074,717 8,370,369 10,536,643 12,994,505 14,623,351 13,886,000 14,208,000 Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail 6,669,076 14,018,085 14,018,619 15,173,503 16,610,238 19,252,000 19,930,000

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential - - 28,055,637 61,301,711 64,589,147 69,383,209 74,801,674 82,371,000 87,589,000 Good To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts (211,991) 674,674 859,732 1,022,517 1,196,010 1,279,000 1,260,000 Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue (1,739,688) (6,534,722) (4,953,361) (6,455,498) (6,644,865) (8,181,000) (8,287,000)

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue - - 26,103,958 55,441,663 60,495,518 63,950,228 69,352,819 75,469,000 80,562,000 Miscellaneous Pledged Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings) 1,996,869 236,458 207,015 506,712 695,104 646,000 429,000 Transponder Sales 1,320,036 466,577 500,601 551,350 830,497 741,000 865,000 Late payment fees plus NSF / statement fees 832,811 1,381,402 1,513,251 1,598,718 1,397,617 1,232,000 1,261,000 Recovered Toll Revenue - - - 886,000 815,000 815,000 620,000

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & Fees - - 30,253,674 57,526,100 62,716,385 67,493,007 73,091,038 78,903,000 83,737,000 Operations and Maintenance Expenditures* (9,034,877) (10,505,132) (11,578,168) (12,585,778) (14,317,581) (18,620,000) (18,274,000)

Total SR 520 Net Toll Revenue Pledged for Debt Service - - 21,218,797 47,020,968 51,138,217 54,907,229 58,773,458 60,283,000 65,463,000 SR 520 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties 2,343,925 9,154,816 4,460,444 8,933,726 3,635,520 3,633,000 3,819,000 Misc Revenues - 1,175,641 416,235 101,721 - - -

Total SR 520 Revenue & Fees -$ -$ 32,597,599$ 67,856,557$ 67,593,064$ 76,528,453$ 76,726,558$ 82,536,000$ 87,556,000$

I-405 Express Toll Lanes RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder Pass 9,280,014 14,804,000 16,150,000 Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By Plate 2,474,464 3,535,000 4,037,000 Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail 4,271,987 7,139,000 6,634,000

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential - - - - - - 16,026,466 25,478,000 26,821,000

Good To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts 291,004 400,000 437,000 Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue (3,984,762) (2,724,000) (2,560,000)

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue - - - - - - 12,332,708 23,154,000 24,698,000 Misc Revenues (interest earnings) 358,949 Transponder Sales 1,703,730 361,000 364,000 Late payment plus NSF / statement fees 246,488 663,000 653,000

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & Fees - - - - - - 14,641,874 24,178,000 25,715,000 I-405 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue 1,142,878 1,570,000 1,749,000 Total I-405 Revenue & Fees -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ 15,784,752$ 25,748,000$ 27,464,000$

ALL Tolled Facilities RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder Pass 45,803,142 44,700,089 45,879,727 78,557,195 80,277,405 83,927,928 98,828,520 111,132,000 116,482,000 Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By Plate - - 5,860,236 11,549,585 14,620,071 18,664,288 25,339,592 26,530,000 27,012,000 Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail - - 6,669,076 14,018,085 19,796,371 21,205,082 28,670,845 35,000,000 34,867,000 Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment - - 14,725,538 17,015,315 17,725,885 19,298,704 21,863,665 22,138,000 22,285,000

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential 45,803,142 44,700,089 73,134,577 121,140,180 132,419,732 143,096,002 174,702,623 194,800,000 200,646,000 Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue 45,803,142 44,700,089 71,182,898 115,198,619 124,810,847 133,847,072 161,263,633 180,459,000 186,561,000

Misc. Revenues (contractual damages, interest earnings) 404,791 536,431 3,863,568 755,739 584,256 756,931 1,386,459 921,000 527,000 Transponder / Shield Sales 705,346 714,712 1,696,948 808,341 844,441 930,860 3,080,827 1,593,000 1,689,000 Late payment fees plus NSF / statement fees 104,192 77,097 1,001,245 1,687,377 1,888,388 2,090,569 2,020,936 2,312,000 2,312,000

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & Fees 47,017,471 46,028,329 77,744,659 118,450,076 128,127,932 137,625,432 167,751,855 185,285,000 191,089,000 Violations 593,538 489,031 130,818 21,503 8,894 9,662 7,652 - - Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue - - 2,828,430 12,981,079 3,811,266 12,989,129 7,291,021 7,645,000 7,758,000 Misc Non-Pledged Revenues - - - 1,175,641 416,235 101,721 - - -

Total Toll Revenue & Fees 47,611,009 46,517,360 80,703,907 132,628,299 132,364,327 150,725,944 175,050,528 192,930,000 198,847,000 *Credit Card Fees, Toll Collection O&M, Facility O&M, Transponder Costs, and Bridge Insurance Premiums

Current Biennium

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-65

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable F. 3. Toll Operations Forecast By Fiscal Year November 2016

Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder Pass

Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Acounts - Pay By Plate Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential

Good To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMiscellaneous Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesTacoma Narrows Bridge Other Revenue

ViolationsCivil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue

Total Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue & Fees

SR 167 High Occupancy Toll Lanes RevenueAdjusted Gross Toll RevenueTransponder / Shield SalesNSF / statement feesMisc Revenues

Total SR 167 Revenue & Fees

SR 520 Bridge RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialGood To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA DiscountsToll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMiscellaneous Pledged Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement feesRecovered Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesOperations and Maintenance Expenditures*

Total SR 520 Net Toll Revenue Pledged for Debt ServiceSR 520 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties Misc Revenues

Total SR 520 Revenue & Fees

I-405 Express Toll Lanes RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential

Good To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMisc Revenues (interest earnings)Transponder Sales Late payment plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesI-405 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueTotal I-405 Revenue & Fees

ALL Tolled Facilities RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialAdjusted Gross Toll Revenue

Misc. Revenues (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder / Shield SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesViolationsCivil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueMisc Non-Pledged Revenues

Total Toll Revenue & Fees

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

48,597,000 49,719,000 50,739,000 51,777,000 52,832,000 53,906,000 54,999,000 56,832,000 57,400,000 8,398,000 8,352,000 8,283,000 8,212,000 8,137,000 8,059,000 7,979,000 7,341,000 7,414,000 7,951,000 8,092,000 8,217,000 8,344,000 8,473,000 8,604,000 8,737,000 8,350,000 8,434,000

22,377,000 22,417,000 22,399,000 22,376,000 22,350,000 22,319,000 22,284,000 22,185,000 22,407,000 87,323,000 88,580,000 89,638,000 90,709,000 91,792,000 92,888,000 93,999,000 94,708,000 95,655,000

391,000 390,000 386,000 383,000 380,000 376,000 372,000 342,000 346,000 (5,121,000) (5,202,000) (5,273,000) (5,348,000) (5,420,000) (5,496,000) (5,573,000) (5,314,000) (5,367,000) 82,593,000 83,768,000 84,751,000 85,744,000 86,752,000 87,768,000 88,798,000 89,736,000 90,634,000

83,000 55,000 22,000 - - - - - - 463,000 432,000 431,000 439,000 456,000 470,000 484,000 503,000 518,000 381,000 388,000 394,000 400,000 406,000 413,000 419,000 400,000 404,000

83,520,000 84,643,000 85,598,000 86,583,000 87,614,000 88,651,000 89,701,000 90,639,000 91,556,000

- - - - - - - - - 1,503,000 1,530,000 1,553,000 1,577,000 1,602,000 1,626,000 1,652,000 1,578,000 1,594,000

85,023,000$ 86,173,000$ 87,151,000$ 88,160,000$ 89,216,000$ 90,277,000$ 91,353,000$ 92,217,000$ 93,150,000$

-$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

55,562,000 57,865,000 59,669,000 62,646,000 66,083,000 68,237,000 70,437,000 73,243,000 74,931,000 13,890,000 14,017,000 13,997,000 14,220,000 14,506,000 14,474,000 14,427,000 15,001,000 15,347,000 19,991,000 20,264,000 20,384,000 21,009,000 21,979,000 22,255,000 22,360,000 22,706,000 22,816,000 89,443,000 92,146,000 94,050,000 97,875,000 102,568,000 104,966,000 107,224,000 110,950,000 113,094,000 1,231,000 1,248,000 1,253,000 1,276,000 1,316,000 1,316,000 1,308,000 1,351,000 1,381,000

(8,334,000) (7,808,000) (7,189,000) (7,402,000) (7,745,000) (7,804,000) (7,831,000) (7,984,000) (8,053,000) 82,340,000 85,586,000 88,114,000 91,749,000 96,139,000 98,478,000 100,701,000 104,317,000 106,422,000

447,000 483,000 556,000 644,000 708,000 744,000 787,000 839,000 898,000 1,073,000 810,000 814,000 854,000 924,000 964,000 1,002,000 1,047,000 1,094,000 1,269,000 1,332,000 1,395,000 1,445,000 1,522,000 1,552,000 1,563,000 1,586,000 1,602,000

620,000 717,000 717,000 766,000 766,000 831,000 831,000 876,000 876,000 85,749,000 88,928,000 91,596,000 95,458,000 100,059,000 102,569,000 104,884,000 108,665,000 110,892,000

(19,379,000) (19,176,000) (18,861,000) (19,690,000) (20,714,000) (21,419,000) (22,104,000) (22,945,000) (23,606,000) 66,370,000 69,752,000 72,735,000 75,768,000 79,345,000 81,150,000 82,780,000 85,720,000 87,286,000

3,860,000 3,975,000 4,177,000 4,346,000 4,541,000 4,700,000 4,752,000 4,804,000 4,865,000 - - - - - - - - -

89,609,000$ 92,903,000$ 95,773,000$ 99,804,000$ 104,600,000$ 107,269,000$ 109,636,000$ 113,469,000$ 115,757,000$

17,647,000 19,280,000 20,996,000 22,925,000 24,701,000 26,615,000 28,704,000 30,909,000 33,191,000 4,348,000 4,958,000 5,323,000 5,731,000 6,175,000 6,654,000 7,176,000 7,727,000 8,298,000 6,534,000 5,914,000 5,710,000 5,486,000 5,804,000 6,144,000 6,512,000 6,895,000 7,284,000

28,529,000 30,152,000 32,029,000 34,142,000 36,680,000 39,413,000 42,392,000 45,531,000 48,773,000

451,000 491,000 505,000 520,000 537,000 553,000 571,000 588,000 605,000 (2,553,000) (2,201,000) (1,994,000) (1,950,000) (2,075,000) (2,202,000) (2,340,000) (2,483,000) (2,628,000) 26,427,000 28,442,000 30,540,000 32,712,000 35,142,000 37,764,000 40,623,000 43,636,000 46,750,000

439,000 340,000 346,000 360,000 377,000 392,000 409,000 428,000 446,000 630,000 591,000 586,000 558,000 573,000 591,000 610,000 628,000 646,000

27,496,000 29,373,000 31,472,000 33,630,000 36,092,000 38,747,000 41,642,000 44,692,000 47,842,000

1,652,000 1,579,000 1,530,000 1,493,000 1,483,000 1,535,000 1,590,000 1,647,000 1,702,000 29,148,000$ 30,952,000$ 33,002,000$ 35,123,000$ 37,575,000$ 40,282,000$ 43,232,000$ 46,339,000$ 49,544,000$

121,806,000 126,864,000 131,404,000 137,348,000 143,616,000 148,758,000 154,140,000 160,984,000 165,522,000 26,636,000 27,327,000 27,603,000 28,163,000 28,818,000 29,187,000 29,582,000 30,069,000 31,059,000 34,476,000 34,270,000 34,311,000 34,839,000 36,256,000 37,003,000 37,609,000 37,951,000 38,534,000 22,377,000 22,417,000 22,399,000 22,376,000 22,350,000 22,319,000 22,284,000 22,185,000 22,407,000

205,295,000 210,878,000 215,717,000 222,726,000 231,040,000 237,267,000 243,615,000 251,189,000 257,522,000 191,360,000 197,796,000 203,405,000 210,205,000 218,033,000 224,010,000 230,122,000 237,689,000 243,806,000

530,000 538,000 578,000 644,000 708,000 744,000 787,000 839,000 898,000 1,975,000 1,582,000 1,591,000 1,653,000 1,757,000 1,826,000 1,895,000 1,978,000 2,058,000 2,280,000 2,311,000 2,375,000 2,403,000 2,501,000 2,556,000 2,592,000 2,614,000 2,652,000

196,145,000 202,227,000 207,949,000 214,905,000 222,999,000 229,136,000 235,396,000 243,120,000 249,414,000 - - - - - - - - -

7,635,000 7,801,000 7,977,000 8,182,000 8,392,000 8,692,000 8,825,000 8,905,000 9,037,000 - - - - - - - - -

203,780,000 210,028,000 215,926,000 223,087,000 231,391,000 237,828,000 244,221,000 252,025,000 258,451,000 *Credit Card Fees, Toll Collection O&M, Facility O&M, Transponder Costs, and Bridge Insurance Premiums

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-66

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Federal Funds Forecast

November 2016

Contact: Kasi Reeves, Washington State Department of Transportation, 360-705-7935,[email protected]

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-67

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable G.1. Washington Federal Revenue Federal Fiscal Year Forecast November 2016

Current Biennium2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Million DollarsApportionment (November 2016 Forecast) 921.597 723.273 645.245 720.579 737.106 685.906 711.576 744.285 734.167

Annual Percent Change 86.1% -21.5% -10.8% 11.7% 2.3% -6.9% 3.7% 4.6% -1.4%Apportionment (September 2016 Forecast) 921.597 723.273 645.245 720.579 737.106 685.906 686.890 748.820 734.173

Annual Percent Change 86.1% -21.5% -10.8% 11.7% 2.3% -6.9% 0.1% 9.0% -2.0% Percent Change, November vs. September 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.6% -0.6% 0.0%

Obligation Authority (November 2016 Forecast) 832.079 725.595 696.066 717.863 703.314 666.497 697.345 729.400 719.484Annual Percent Change 7.7% -12.8% -4.1% 3.1% -2.0% -5.2% 4.6% 4.6% -1.4%

Obligation Authority (September 2016 Forecast) 832.079 725.595 696.066 717.863 703.314 666.497 673.152 733.844 719.490Annual Percent Change 7.7% -12.8% -4.1% 3.1% -2.0% -5.2% 1.0% 9.0% -2.0%

Percent Change, November vs. September 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.6% -0.6% 0.0%

FFY 2010 - FFY 2015 are reconciled to actual FHWA distributions

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027Million DollarsApportionment (November 2016 Forecast) 750.330 657.913 773.345 778.957 782.715 786.040 788.965 790.252 791.612

Annual Percent Change 2.2% -12.3% 17.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2%Apportionment (September 2016 Forecast) 750.336 636.179 773.332 776.783 778.518 780.618 782.883 783.823 784.828

Annual Percent Change 2.2% -15.2% 21.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% Percent Change, November vs. September 0.0% 3.4% 0.0% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9%

Obligation Authority (November 2016 Forecast) 735.323 752.522 757.878 763.378 767.061 770.319 773.186 774.447 775.780Annual Percent Change 2.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2%

Obligation Authority (September 2016 Forecast) 735.329 752.522 757.865 761.247 762.948 765.006 767.225 768.147 769.131Annual Percent Change 2.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Percent Change, November vs. September 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9%

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-68

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable G. 2. Federal Funds Forecast

Federal Fiscal Year Comparison

November 2016

Federal Funds Forecast - Highways 2013 2013Difference

2014 2014Difference

2015 2015Difference

2016 2016Difference

Washington Apportionment and Obligation Authority Forecast Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent

Federal Aid Highway Core Programs ApportionmentNational Highway Performance Program (NHPP) $363,030,307 $363,030,307 $0 0.0% $359,315,130 $359,315,130 $0 0.0% $373,504,388 $373,504,388 $0 0.0% $379,861,976 $379,108,000 $753,976 0.2%

Surface Transportation Block Grant Program (STBGP) 180,919,498 180,919,498 - 0.0% 184,304,260 $184,304,260 - 0.0% 171,800,293 173,710,248 (1,909,955) -1.1% 189,811,231 189,830,000 (18,769) 0.0% Bridge Program (15% off-system) 22,884,303 22,884,303 - 0.0% 22,930,163 $22,930,163 - 0.0% 22,930,163 22,930,163 - 0.0% 22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% Population Distribution 85,851,073 85,851,073 - 0.0% 85,900,146 $85,900,146 - 0.0% 85,900,146 86,855,125 (954,979) -1.1% 90,319,000 90,319,000 - 0.0% Any Area of the State 59,874,670 59,874,670 - 0.0% 62,969,983 $62,969,983 - 0.0% 62,969,984 63,924,960 (954,976) -1.5% 63,847,000 63,847,000 - 0.0% STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program) 10,426,912 10,426,912 0.0% 10,617,698 $10,617,698 0.0% 10,617,698 12,503,968 (1,886,270) -15.1% 10,848,000 10,848,000 - 0.0% Recreational Trails Program 1,882,535 1,882,535 0.0% 1,886,270 $1,886,270 0.0% 1,886,270 1,886,270 - 0.0% 1,867,000 1,886,000 (19,000) -1.0%Highway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP) 51,308,026 51,308,026 - 0.0% 51,329,757 $51,329,757 - 0.0% 37,140,499 37,140,499 - 0.0% 35,378,961 35,379,000 (39) 0.0%Rail-Highway Crossing Program 4,048,150 4,048,150 - 0.0% 4,063,343 $4,063,343 - 0.0% 4,063,342 4,063,342 - 0.0% 6,433,000 6,433,000 - 0.0%

Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ) 35,448,943 35,448,943 - 0.0% 35,469,204 $35,469,204 - 0.0% 35,469,204 35,469,204 - 0.0% 36,072,942 36,073,000 (58) 0.0%

National Highway Freight Program - - - 0.0% - $0 - 0.0% - - - 0.0% 19,297,411 19,297,000 411 0.0%

Metropolitan Planning (MPO) 6,956,355 6,956,355 - 0.0% 6,960,373 $6,960,373 - 0.0% 6,960,373 6,960,373 - 0.0% 7,292,000 7,292,000 - 0.0%Statewide Planning & Research 12,852,433 12,852,433 - 0.0% 12,862,896 $12,862,896 - 0.0% 12,862,895 12,862,895 - 0.0% 13,497,259 13,478,000 19,259 0.1%

Subtotal Core Programs Apportionment 654,563,712 654,563,712 - 0.0% 654,304,963 654,304,963 - 0.0% 654,304,962 656,214,917 (3,796,225) -0.3% 687,644,780 686,890,000 754,780 0.1%Subtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority 612,017,071 612,017,071 - 0.0% 611,775,140 611,775,140 - 0.0% 606,359,200 606,359,200 - 0.0% 685,170,227 684,418,000 752,227 0.1%

Ferry Boats and Terminals 3,900,000 3,900,000 - 0.0% 21,758,808 $21,758,808 - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%Discretionary and Allocated Programs 62,115,211 62,115,211 - 0.0% 61,041,969 $61,041,969 - 0.0% 29,690,940 29,690,940 - 0.0% 23,931,074 - 23,931,074 0.0%

Total Washington Apportionment 720,578,923 720,578,923 - 0.0% 737,105,740 737,105,740 - 0.0% 683,995,902 685,905,857 (1,909,955) -0.3% 711,575,854 686,890,000 24,685,854 3.6%Total Washington Obligation Authority * 717,862,540 717,862,540 - 0.0% 712,407,857 712,407,857 - 0.0% 666,496,655 666,496,655 - 0.0% 697,345,000 673,152,000 24,193,000 3.6%

Forecast Distributions

New Undistributed Program

National Highway Freight Program Apportionment - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - 19,297,000 (19,297,000) 100.0%

National Highway Freight Program OA - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - 18,043,000 (18,043,000) 100.0%

State ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP) @ 341,249,623 341,249,623 $0 0.0% 337,756,222 337,756,222 $0 0.0% 351,094,125 351,094,125 $0 0.0% 357,070,257 356,362,000 $708,257 0.2%Surface Transportation Block Grant Program 48,554,641 48,554,641 - 0.0% 51,687,632 51,687,632 - 0.0% 52,905,180 54,165,750 (1,260,570) -2.3% 46,933,909 53,455,000 (6,521,091) -12.2% Bridge Program (15% off-system) - - 0.0% - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% Population Distribution - - 0.0% - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

Any Area of the State 46,672,106 46,672,106 - 0.0% 49,801,362 49,801,362 - 0.0% 51,018,910 52,279,480 (1,260,570) -2.4% 45,066,502 51,569,000 (6,502,498) -12.6% STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program) - - 0.0% - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 100.0% Recreational Trails Program 1,882,535 1,882,535 - 0.0% 1,886,270 1,886,270 - 0.0% 1,886,270 1,886,270 - 0.0% 1,867,407 1,886,000 (18,593) -1.0%Highway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP) @ 25,316,675 25,316,675 - 0.0% 25,331,408 25,331,408 - 0.0% 11,142,149 11,142,149 - 0.0% 10,613,688 10,614,000 (312) 0.0%Rail-Highway Crossing 4,048,150 4,048,150 - 0.0% 4,063,343 4,063,343 - 0.0% 4,063,343 4,063,343 - 0.0% 6,433,245 6,433,000 245 0.0%Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality Program (CMAQ) - - 0.0% - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%National Freight Program - - 0.0% - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% 19,297,411 - 19,297,411 0.0%Metropolitan Planning (MPO) - - 0.0% - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%Statewide Planning & Research 12,852,433 12,852,433 - 0.0% 12,862,896 12,862,896 - 0.0% 12,862,895 12,862,895 - 0.0% 13,497,259 13,478,000 19,259 0.1%

Subtotal Core Programs Apportionment 432,021,522 432,021,522 - 0.0% 431,701,501 431,701,501 - 0.0% 432,067,692 433,328,262 (1,260,570) -0.3% 453,845,769 440,342,000 13,485,176 3.1%Subtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority 406,100,231 406,100,231 - 403,640,903 403,640,903 - 400,406,287 400,406,287 - 452,623,748 412,161,000 40,462,748 9.8%

Ferry Boats and Terminals 3,900,000 3,900,000 - 0.0% 20,437,057 20,437,057 - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - Discretionary and Allocated Programs 41,620,923 41,620,923 - 0.0% 59,643,593 59,643,593 - 0.0% 20,303,711 20,303,711 - 0.0% 16,364,912 - 16,364,912 100.0%

Total State Apportionment 477,542,445 477,542,445 - 0.0% 511,782,151 511,782,151 - 0.0% 452,371,403 453,631,973 (1,260,570) -0.3% 470,210,681 440,342,000 29,850,088 6.8%State Obligation Authority * 478,236,074 478,236,074 - 0.0% 504,316,835 504,316,835 - 0.0% 450,631,973 450,631,973 - 0.0% 460,807,000 432,108,000 $28,699,000 6.6%

Local ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP) 21,780,684 21,780,684 - 0.0% 21,558,908 21,558,908 - 0.0% 22,410,263 22,410,263 - 0.0% 22,791,719 22,746,000 $45,719 0.2%Statewide Competitive NHS Program - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - $0 100.0%Surface Transportation Block Grant Program 132,364,857 132,364,857 - 0.0% 132,616,628 132,616,628 - 0.0% 120,781,382 121,430,767 (649,385) -0.5% 142,877,322 136,375,000 6,502,322 4.8% Bridge Program (15% off-system) 22,884,303 22,884,303 - 0.0% 22,930,163 22,930,163 - 0.0% 22,930,163 22,930,163 - 0.0% 22,930,163 22,930,000 163 0.0% Population Distribution 85,851,078 85,851,078 - 0.0% 85,900,146 85,900,146 - 0.0% 85,900,145 86,855,124 (954,979) -1.1% 90,318,879 90,319,000 (121) 0.0% Any Area of the State % 13,202,564 13,202,564 - 0.0% 13,168,621 13,168,621 - 0.0% 11,951,074 11,645,480 305,594 2.6% 18,780,297 12,278,000 6,502,297 53.0% STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program) 10,426,912 10,426,912 - 0.0% 10,617,698 10,617,698 - 0.0% 10,617,698 10,617,698 - 0.0% 10,847,983 10,848,000 (17) 0.0% Recreational Trails Program - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%Highway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP) 25,991,351 25,991,351 - 0.0% 25,998,350 25,998,350 - 0.0% 25,998,350 25,998,350 - 0.0% 24,765,273 24,765,000 273 0.0%

Rail-Highway Crossing - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ) 35,448,943 35,448,943 - 0.0% 35,469,204 35,469,204 - 0.0% 35,469,204 35,469,204 - 0.0% 36,072,942 36,073,000 (58) 0.0%

National Freight Program $0 - - 0.0% $0 - - 0.0% $0 $0 - 0.0% $0 $0 $0 0.0%

Metropolitan Planning (MPO) 6,956,355 6,956,355 - 0.0% 6,960,373 6,960,373 - 0.0% 6,960,373 6,960,373 - 0.0% 7,291,937 7,292,000 (63) 0.0%Statewide Planning & Research #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.0% #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

Subtotal Core Programs Apportionment 222,542,190 222,542,190 - 0.0% 222,603,463 222,603,463 - 0.0% 222,237,270 222,886,655 (649,385) -0.3% 233,799,193 227,251,000 6,548,193 2.9%Subtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority 205,916,840 205,916,840 208,134,238 208,134,238 - 0.0% 205,952,913 205,952,913 232,546,479 212,070,000 20,476,479 9.7%

Ferry Boats and Terminals - - - 0.0% 1,321,751 1,321,751 - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 100.0%Discretionary and Allocated Programs 20,494,288 20,494,288 - 0.0% 1,398,376 1,398,376 - 0.0% 9,387,229 9,387,229 - 0.0% 7,566,162 - 7,566,162 100.0%

Total Local Apportionment 243,036,478 243,036,478 - 0.0% 225,323,590 225,323,590 - 0.0% 231,624,499 232,273,884 (649,385) 0.0% 241,365,355 227,251,000 14,114,355 6.2%Local Obligation Authority * 239,626,466 239,626,466 - 0.0% 208,091,022 208,091,022 - 0.0% 215,864,682 215,864,682 - 0.0% 236,538,000 223,001,000 13,537,000 6.1%

$0Total Washington Apportionment 720,578,923$ 720,578,923$ $0 0.0% 737,105,741$ 737,105,741$ $0 0.0% 683,995,902$ 685,905,857$ ($1,909,955) -0.3% 711,576,036$ 686,890,000$ $24,686,036 3.6%Total Washington Obligation Authority 717,862,540$ 717,862,540$ $0 0.0% 712,407,857$ 712,407,857$ $0 0.0% 666,496,655$ 666,496,655$ $0 0.0% 697,345,000$ 673,152,000$ $24,193,000 3.6%

g p $ $ g p p y between eligible programs per the FHWA 11/7/2016 distributed spreadsheet.

* Obligation Authority includes formula program, redistributed, allocated programs and exempt programs.

% A portion of the STBGP flexible funds, up to $15 million per year, will be added to the local bridge program.@ g j p y g p g p shift letter and is being retruned 100% into the HSIP program.

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-69

Page 70: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable G. 2. Federal Funds Forecast

Federal Fiscal Year Comparison

November 2016

Federal Funds Forecast - HighwaysWashington Apportionment and Obligation Authority Forecast

Federal Aid Highway Core Programs ApportionmentNational Highway Performance Program (NHPP)

Surface Transportation Block Grant Program (STBGP) Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution Any Area of the State STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program) Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP)Rail-Highway Crossing Program

Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ)

National Highway Freight Program

Metropolitan Planning (MPO)Statewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total Washington ApportionmentTotal Washington Obligation Authority *

Forecast Distributions

New Undistributed Program

National Highway Freight Program Apportionment

National Highway Freight Program OA

State ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP) @Surface Transportation Block Grant Program Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution

Any Area of the State STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program) Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP) @Rail-Highway CrossingCongestion Mitigation and Air Quality Program (CMAQ)National Freight ProgramMetropolitan Planning (MPO)Statewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total State ApportionmentState Obligation Authority *

Local ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP)Statewide Competitive NHS ProgramSurface Transportation Block Grant Program Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution Any Area of the State % STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program) Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP)

Rail-Highway CrossingCongestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ)

National Freight Program

Metropolitan Planning (MPO)Statewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total Local ApportionmentLocal Obligation Authority *

Total Washington ApportionmentTotal Washington Obligation Authority

2017 2017Difference

2018 2018Difference

2019 2019Difference

2020 # 2020Difference

Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent

$370,261,000 $387,539,000 ($17,278,000) -4.5% $380,099,000 $394,871,000 ($14,772,000) -3.7% $388,233,000 $403,005,000 ($14,772,000) -3.7% $392,061,000 $324,109,000 $67,952,000 21.0%

193,029,000 194,282,000 (1,253,000) -0.6% 198,421,000 198,421,000 - 0.0% 201,967,000 201,967,000 - 0.0% 110,965,000 183,633,000 (72,668,000) -39.6%22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% 22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% 22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% 482,000 17,852,000 (17,370,000) -97.3%93,753,000 90,319,000 3,434,000 3.8% 98,293,000 90,319,000 7,974,000 8.8% 102,062,000 90,319,000 11,743,000 13.0% 106,390,000 90,319,000 16,071,000 17.8%63,611,000 68,299,000 (4,688,000) -6.9% 64,235,000 72,209,000 (7,974,000) -11.0% 64,012,000 75,755,000 (11,743,000) -15.5% (2,729,000) 64,929,000 (67,658,000) -104.2%10,848,000 10,848,000 - 0.0% 11,077,000 11,077,000 - 0.0% 11,077,000 11,077,000 - 0.0% 4,936,000 8,647,000 (3,711,000) -42.9%1,886,000 1,886,000 - 0.0% 1,886,000 1,886,000 - 0.0% 1,886,000 1,886,000 - 0.0% 1,886,000 1,886,000 - 0.0%

52,974,000 38,467,000 14,507,000 37.7% 53,954,000 39,188,000 14,766,000 37.7% 54,660,000 39,894,000 14,766,000 37.0% 55,469,000 32,066,000 23,403,000 73.0%4,211,000 4,228,000 (17,000) -0.4% 4,319,000 4,319,000 - 0.0% 4,411,000 4,411,000 - 0.0% 4,503,000 4,503,000 - 0.0%

36,636,000 36,873,000 (237,000) -0.6% 37,575,000 37,575,000 - 0.0% 38,262,000 38,262,000 - 0.0% 39,039,000 30,758,000 8,281,000 26.9%

18,339,000 18,458,000 (119,000) -0.6% 20,136,000 20,136,000 - 0.0% 22,653,000 22,653,000 - 0.0% 15,213,000 20,439,000 (5,226,000) -25.6%

7,392,000 7,440,000 (48,000) -0.6% 7,596,000 7,596,000 - 0.0% 7,759,000 7,759,000 - 0.0% 7,940,000 7,940,000 - 0.0%13,714,000 13,804,000 (90,000) -0.7% 14,102,000 14,102,000 - 0.0% 14,420,000 14,420,000 - 0.0% 14,758,000 14,766,000 (8,000) -0.1%

696,556,000 701,091,000 (4,535,000) -0.6% 716,202,000 716,208,000 (6,000) 0.0% 732,365,000 732,371,000 (6,000) 0.0% 639,948,000 618,214,000 21,734,000 3.5%651,313,000 655,553,000 (4,240,000) -0.6% 669,682,000 669,688,000 (6,000) 0.0% 684,795,000 684,801,000 (6,000) 0.0% 701,205,000 701,205,000 - 0.0%

47,729,000 47,729,000 - 0.0% 17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0% 17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0% 17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

744,285,000 748,820,000 (4,535,000) -0.6% 734,167,000 734,173,000 (6,000) 0.0% 750,330,000 750,336,000 (6,000) 0.0% 657,913,000 636,179,000 21,734,000 3.4%729,400,000 733,844,000 (4,444,000) -0.6% 719,484,000 719,490,000 (6,000) 0.0% 735,323,000 735,329,000 (6,000) 0.0% 752,522,000 752,522,000 - 0.0%

- 18,458,000 (18,458,000) 100.0% - 20,136,000 (20,136,000) 100.0% - 22,653,000 (22,653,000) 100.0% - 20,439,000 (20,439,000) 100.0%

- 17,258,000 (17,258,000) 100.0% - 18,827,000 (18,827,000) 100.0% - 21,181,000 (21,181,000) 100.0% - 19,110,000 (19,110,000) 100.0%

337,195,000 364,287,000 ($27,092,000) -7.4% 343,131,000 371,179,000 ($28,048,000) -7.6% 348,682,000 378,825,000 ($30,143,000) -8.0% 353,419,000 304,662,000 $48,757,000 16.0%44,076,000 56,697,000 (12,621,000) -22.3% 44,076,000 59,537,000 (15,461,000) -26.0% 44,076,000 62,097,000 (18,021,000) -29.0% 90,000 54,435,000 (54,345,000) -99.8%

- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

42,190,000 54,811,000 (12,621,000) -23.0% 42,190,000 57,651,000 (15,461,000) -26.8% 42,190,000 60,211,000 (18,021,000) -29.9% (1,796,000) 52,549,000 (54,345,000) -103.4%- - - 100.0% - - - 100.0% - - - 100.0% - - - 100.0%

1,886,000 1,886,000 - 0.0% 1,886,000 1,886,000 - 0.0% 1,886,000 1,886,000 - 0.0% 1,886,000 1,886,000 - 0.0%26,228,000 11,540,000 14,688,000 127.3% 26,522,000 11,756,000 14,766,000 125.6% 26,734,000 11,968,000 14,766,000 123.4% 26,977,000 9,620,000 17,357,000 180.4%4,211,000 4,228,000 (17,000) -0.4% 4,319,000 - 4,319,000 100.0% 4,411,000 - 4,411,000 100.0% 4,503,000 - 4,503,000 100.0%

- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%18,339,000 - 18,339,000 0.0% 20,136,000 - 20,136,000 0.0% 22,653,000 - 22,653,000 0.0% 15,213,000 - 15,213,000 0.0%

- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%13,714,000 13,804,000 (90,000) -0.7% 14,102,000 14,102,000 - 0.0% 14,420,000 14,420,000 - 0.0% 14,758,000 14,766,000 (8,000) -0.1%

443,763,000 450,556,000 (6,793,000) -1.5% 452,286,000 456,574,000 (4,288,000) -0.9% 460,976,000 467,310,000 (6,334,000) -1.4% 414,960,000 383,483,000 31,477,000 8.2%415,892,000 421,716,000 (5,824,000) -1.4% 424,003,000 427,438,000 (3,435,000) -0.8% 432,193,000 437,418,000 (5,225,000) -1.2% 443,885,000 438,452,000 5,433,000 1.2%

43,294,000 43,294,000 - 0.0% 16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0% 16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0% 16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

487,057,000 493,850,000 (6,793,000) -1.4% 468,582,000 472,870,000 (4,288,000) -0.9% 477,272,000 483,606,000 (6,334,000) -1.3% 431,256,000 399,779,000 31,477,000 7.9%477,316,000 484,535,000 (7,219,000) -1.5% 459,211,000 464,013,000 (4,802,000) -1.0% 467,726,000 474,611,000 (6,885,000) -1.5% 493,271,000 476,179,000 17,092,000 3.6%

20,533,000 23,252,000 (2,719,000) -11.7% 14,344,000 23,692,000 (9,348,000) -39.5% 8,608,000 24,180,000 (15,572,000) -64.4% (940,000) 19,447,000 (20,387,000) -104.8%12,533,000 - $12,533,000 100.0% 22,624,000 - $22,624,000 100.0% 30,943,000 - $30,943,000 100.0% 39,066,000 - $39,066,000 100.0%

148,953,000 137,585,000 11,368,000 8.3% 154,345,000 138,884,000 15,461,000 11.1% 157,891,000 139,870,000 18,021,000 12.9% 110,875,000 129,198,000 ($18,323,000) -14.2%22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% 22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% 22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% 482,000 17,852,000 (17,370,000) -97.3%93,753,000 90,319,000 3,434,000 3.8% 98,293,000 90,319,000 7,974,000 8.8% 102,062,000 90,319,000 11,743,000 13.0% 106,390,000 90,319,000 16,071,000 17.8%21,422,000 13,488,000 7,934,000 58.8% 22,045,000 14,558,000 7,487,000 51.4% 21,822,000 15,544,000 6,278,000 40.4% (933,000) 12,380,000 (13,313,000) -107.5%10,848,000 10,848,000 - 0.0% 11,077,000 11,077,000 - 0.0% 11,077,000 11,077,000 - 0.0% 4,936,000 8,647,000 (3,711,000) -42.9%

- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%26,746,000 26,927,000 (181,000) -0.7% 27,432,000 27,432,000 - 0.0% 27,926,000 27,926,000 - 0.0% 28,492,000 22,446,000 6,046,000 26.9%

- - - 0.0% - 4,319,000 (4,319,000) -100.0% - 4,411,000 (4,411,000) -100.0% - 4,503,000 (4,503,000) -100.0%36,636,000 36,873,000 (237,000) -0.6% 37,575,000 37,575,000 - 0.0% 38,262,000 38,262,000 - 0.0% 39,039,000 30,758,000 8,281,000 26.9%

$0 $0 - 0.0% $0 $0 - 0.0% $0 $0 - 0.0% $0 - - 0.0%

7,392,000 7,440,000 (48,000) -0.6% 7,596,000 7,596,000 - 0.0% 7,759,000 7,759,000 - 0.0% 7,940,000 7,940,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

252,793,000 232,077,000 20,716,000 8.9% 263,916,000 239,498,000 24,418,000 10.2% 271,389,000 242,408,000 28,981,000 12.0% 224,472,000 214,292,000 10,180,000 4.8%235,421,000 216,579,000 18,842,000 8.7% 245,679,000 223,423,000 22,256,000 10.0% 252,602,000 226,202,000 26,400,000 11.7% 257,311,000 243,643,000 13,668,000 5.6%

4,435,000 4,435,000 - 0.0% 1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0% 1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0% 1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

257,228,000 236,512,000 20,716,000 8.8% 265,585,000 241,167,000 24,418,000 10.1% 273,058,000 244,077,000 28,981,000 11.9% 226,141,000 215,961,000 10,180,000 4.7%252,084,000 232,051,000 20,033,000 8.6% 260,273,000 236,650,000 23,623,000 10.0% 267,597,000 239,537,000 28,060,000 11.7% 259,251,000 257,233,000 2,018,000 0.8%

$0 $0 $0 $0744,285,000$ 748,820,000$ ($4,535,000) -0.6% 734,167,000$ 734,173,000$ ($6,000) 0.0% 750,330,000$ 750,336,000$ ($6,000) 0.0% 657,397,000$ 636,179,000$ $21,218,000 3.3%729,400,000$ 733,844,000$ ($4,444,000) -0.6% 719,484,000$ 719,490,000$ ($6,000) 0.0% 735,323,000$ 735,329,000$ ($6,000) 0.0% 752,522,000$ 752,522,000$ $0 0.0%

g p $ $ g p p y between eligible programs per the FHWA 11/7/2016 distributed spreadsheet.

* Obligation Authority includes formula program, redistributed, allocated programs and exempt programs.

% A portion of the STBGP flexible funds, up to $15 million per year, will be added to the local bridge program.@ g j p y g p g p letter and is being retruned 100% into the HSIP program.

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-70

Page 71: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable G. 2. Federal Funds Forecast

Federal Fiscal Year Comparison

November 2016

Federal Funds Forecast - HighwaysWashington Apportionment and Obligation Authority Forecast

Federal Aid Highway Core Programs ApportionmentNational Highway Performance Program (NHPP)

Surface Transportation Block Grant Program (STBGP) Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution Any Area of the State STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program) Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP)Rail-Highway Crossing Program

Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ)

National Highway Freight Program

Metropolitan Planning (MPO)Statewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total Washington ApportionmentTotal Washington Obligation Authority *

Forecast Distributions

New Undistributed Program

National Highway Freight Program Apportionment

National Highway Freight Program OA

State ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP) @Surface Transportation Block Grant Program Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution

Any Area of the State STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program) Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP) @Rail-Highway CrossingCongestion Mitigation and Air Quality Program (CMAQ)National Freight ProgramMetropolitan Planning (MPO)Statewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total State ApportionmentState Obligation Authority *

Local ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP)Statewide Competitive NHS ProgramSurface Transportation Block Grant Program Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution Any Area of the State % STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program) Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP)

Rail-Highway CrossingCongestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ)

National Freight Program

Metropolitan Planning (MPO)Statewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total Local ApportionmentLocal Obligation Authority *

Total Washington ApportionmentTotal Washington Obligation Authority

2021 2021Difference

2022 2022Difference

2023 2023Difference

2024 2024Difference

Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent

$399,617,000 $414,380,000 ($14,763,000) -3.6% $403,088,000 $416,662,000 ($13,574,000) -3.3% $405,151,000 $417,615,000 ($12,464,000) -3.0% $406,978,000 $418,769,000 ($11,791,000) -2.8%

207,908,000 207,902,000 6,000 0.0% 209,213,000 $208,615,000 598,000 0.3% 210,246,000 209,092,000 1,154,000 0.6% 211,161,000 $209,669,000 1,492,000 0.7%22,930,000 23,097,000 (167,000) -0.7% 22,930,000 $23,176,000 (246,000) -1.1% 22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% 22,930,000 $22,994,000 (64,000) -0.3%

106,390,000 90,977,000 15,413,000 16.9% 106,390,000 $91,289,000 15,101,000 16.5% 106,390,000 90,319,000 16,071,000 17.8% 106,390,000 $90,568,000 15,822,000 17.5%65,530,000 80,771,000 (15,241,000) -18.9% 66,753,000 $81,048,000 (14,295,000) -17.6% 67,722,000 82,711,000 (14,989,000) -18.1% 68,580,000 $82,939,000 (14,359,000) -17.3%11,158,000 11,157,000 1,000 0.0% 11,228,000 $11,195,000 33,000 0.3% 11,283,000 11,221,000 62,000 0.6% 11,332,000 $11,252,000 80,000 0.7%1,900,000 1,900,000 - 0.0% 1,912,000 $1,907,000 5,000 0.3% 1,921,000 1,911,000 10,000 0.5% 1,929,000 $1,916,000 13,000 0.7%

55,767,000 41,000,000 14,767,000 36.0% 56,025,000 $41,140,000 14,885,000 36.2% 56,229,000 41,234,000 14,995,000 36.4% 56,409,000 $41,348,000 15,061,000 36.4%4,536,000 4,536,000 - 0.0% 4,564,000 $4,552,000 12,000 0.3% 4,587,000 4,562,000 25,000 0.5% 4,607,000 $4,575,000 32,000 0.7%

39,325,000 39,324,000 1,000 0.0% 39,572,000 $39,460,000 112,000 0.3% 39,767,000 39,550,000 217,000 0.5% 39,940,000 $39,659,000 281,000 0.7%

25,355,000 25,354,000 1,000 0.0% 25,513,000 $25,441,000 72,000 0.3% 25,640,000 25,499,000 141,000 0.6% 25,751,000 $25,569,000 182,000 0.7%

7,998,000 7,997,000 1,000 0.0% 8,048,000 $8,024,000 24,000 0.3% 8,088,000 8,042,000 46,000 0.6% 8,123,000 $8,064,000 59,000 0.7%14,874,000 14,874,000 - 0.0% 14,969,000 $14,924,000 45,000 0.3% 15,042,000 14,959,000 83,000 0.6% 15,106,000 $15,000,000 106,000 0.7%

755,380,000 755,367,000 13,000 0.0% 760,992,000 758,818,000 2,174,000 0.3% 764,750,000 760,553,000 4,197,000 0.6% 768,075,000 762,653,000 5,422,000 0.7%706,316,000 706,303,000 13,000 0.0% 711,563,000 709,530,000 2,033,000 0.3% 715,077,000 711,152,000 3,925,000 0.6% 718,186,000 713,116,000 5,070,000 0.7%

17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0% 17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0% 17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0% 17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

773,345,000 773,332,000 13,000 0.0% 778,957,000 776,783,000 2,174,000 0.3% 782,715,000 778,518,000 4,197,000 0.5% 786,040,000 780,618,000 5,422,000 0.7%757,878,000 757,865,000 13,000 0.0% 763,378,000 761,247,000 2,131,000 0.3% 767,061,000 762,948,000 4,113,000 0.5% 770,319,000 765,006,000 5,313,000 0.7%

- 25,354,000 (25,354,000) 100.0% - 25,441,000 (25,441,000) 100.0% - 25,499,000 (25,499,000) 100.0% - 25,569,000 (25,569,000) 100.0%

- 23,706,000 (23,706,000) 100.0% - 23,787,000 (23,787,000) 100.0% - 23,842,000 (23,842,000) 100.0% - 23,907,000 (23,907,000) 100.0%

365,801,000 389,517,000 ($23,716,000) -6.1% 373,820,000 391,662,000 ($17,842,000) -4.6% 376,677,000 392,558,000 ($15,881,000) -4.0% 379,148,000 393,643,000 ($14,495,000) -3.7%44,090,000 65,744,000 (21,654,000) -32.9% 44,102,000 65,970,000 (21,868,000) -33.1% 44,111,000 67,170,000 (23,059,000) -34.3% 44,119,000 67,355,000 (23,236,000) -34.5%

- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

42,190,000 63,844,000 (21,654,000) -33.9% 42,190,000 64,063,000 (21,873,000) -34.1% 42,190,000 65,259,000 (23,069,000) -35.3% 42,190,000 65,439,000 (23,249,000) -35.5%- - - 0.0% - - - 100.0% - - - 100.0% - - - 100.0%

1,900,000 1,900,000 - 0.0% 1,912,000 1,907,000 5,000 0.3% 1,921,000 1,911,000 10,000 0.5% 1,929,000 1,916,000 13,000 0.7%27,066,000 12,300,000 14,766,000 120.0% 27,144,000 12,342,000 14,802,000 119.9% 27,205,000 12,370,000 14,835,000 119.9% 27,259,000 12,404,000 14,855,000 119.8%4,536,000 - 4,536,000 100.0% 4,564,000 - 4,564,000 100.0% 4,587,000 - 4,587,000 100.0% 4,607,000 - 4,607,000 100.0%

- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%25,355,000 - 25,355,000 0.0% 25,513,000 - 25,513,000 0.0% 25,640,000 - 25,640,000 0.0% 25,751,000 - 25,751,000 0.0%

- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%14,874,000 14,874,000 - 0.0% 14,969,000 14,924,000 45,000 0.3% 15,042,000 14,959,000 83,000 0.6% 15,106,000 15,000,000 106,000 0.7%

481,722,000 482,435,000 (713,000) -0.1% 490,112,000 484,898,000 5,219,000 1.1% 493,262,000 487,057,000 6,215,000 1.3% 495,990,000 488,402,000 7,601,000 1.6%451,409,000 451,504,000 (95,000) 0.0% 459,103,000 453,800,000 5,303,000 1.2% 462,028,000 455,784,000 6,244,000 1.4% 464,563,000 457,043,000 7,520,000 1.6%

16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0% 16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0% 16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0% 16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

498,018,000 498,731,000 (713,000) -0.1% 506,408,000 501,194,000 5,219,000 1.0% 509,558,000 503,353,000 6,215,000 1.2% 512,286,000 504,698,000 7,601,000 1.5%488,058,000 489,517,000 (1,459,000) -0.3% 496,280,000 491,933,000 4,347,000 0.9% 499,367,000 494,053,000 5,314,000 1.1% 502,040,000 495,373,000 6,667,000 1.3%

(8,779,000) 24,863,000 (33,642,000) -135.3% (15,987,000) 25,000,000 (40,987,000) -163.9% (18,886,000) 25,057,000 (43,943,000) -175.4% (21,394,000) 25,126,000 (46,520,000) -185.1%42,595,000 - $42,595,000 100.0% 45,255,000 - $45,255,000 100.0% 47,360,000 - $47,360,000 100.0% 49,224,000 - $49,224,000 100.0%

163,817,793 142,158,000 21,659,793 15.2% 165,110,793 142,645,000 22,465,793 15.7% 166,134,798 141,922,000 24,212,798 17.1% 167,041,798 142,314,000 24,727,798 17.4%22,930,000 23,097,000 (167,000) -0.7% 22,930,000 23,176,000 (246,000) -1.1% 22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% 22,930,000 22,994,000 (64,000) -0.3%

106,389,793 90,319,000 16,070,793 17.8% 106,389,793 90,319,000 16,070,793 17.8% 106,389,798 90,319,000 16,070,798 17.8% 106,389,798 90,319,000 16,070,798 17.8%23,340,000 17,585,000 5,755,000 32.7% 24,563,000 17,955,000 6,608,000 36.8% 25,532,000 17,452,000 8,080,000 46.3% 26,390,000 17,749,000 8,641,000 48.7%11,158,000 11,157,000 1,000 0.0% 11,228,000 11,195,000 33,000 0.3% 11,283,000 11,221,000 62,000 0.6% 11,332,000 11,252,000 80,000 0.7%

- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%28,701,000 28,700,000 1,000 0.0% 28,881,000 28,798,000 83,000 0.3% 29,024,000 28,864,000 160,000 0.6% 29,150,000 28,944,000 206,000 0.7%

- 4,536,000 (4,536,000) -100.0% - 4,552,000 (4,552,000) -100.0% - 4,562,000 (4,562,000) -100.0% - 4,575,000 (4,575,000) -100.0%39,325,000 39,324,000 1,000 0.0% 39,572,000 39,460,000 112,000 0.3% 39,767,000 39,550,000 217,000 0.5% 39,940,000 39,659,000 281,000 0.7%

$0 $0 - 0.0% $0 $0 - 0.0% $0 $0 - 0.0% $0 $0 - 0.0%

7,998,000 7,997,000 1,000 0.0% 8,048,000 8,024,000 24,000 0.3% 8,088,000 8,042,000 46,000 0.6% 8,123,000 8,064,000 59,000 0.7%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

273,657,793 247,578,000 26,079,793 10.5% 270,879,793 248,479,000 22,400,793 9.0% 271,487,798 247,997,000 23,490,798 9.5% 272,084,798 248,682,000 23,402,798 9.4%254,907,000 231,093,000 23,814,000 10.3% 252,460,000 231,943,000 20,517,000 8.8% 253,049,000 231,526,000 21,523,000 9.3% 253,623,000 232,166,000 21,457,000 9.2%

1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0% 1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0% 1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0% 1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

275,326,793 249,247,000 26,079,793 10.5% 272,548,793 250,148,000 22,400,793 9.0% 273,156,798 249,666,000 23,490,798 9.4% 273,753,798 250,351,000 23,402,798 9.3%269,820,000 244,642,000 25,178,000 10.3% 267,098,000 245,526,000 21,572,000 8.8% 267,694,000 245,053,000 22,641,000 9.2% 268,279,000 245,726,000 22,553,000 9.2%

$0 $0 $0 $0773,344,793$ 773,332,000$ $12,793 0.0% 778,956,793$ 776,783,000$ $2,173,793 0.3% 782,714,798$ 778,518,000$ $4,196,798 0.5% 786,039,798$ 780,618,000$ $5,421,798 0.7%757,878,000$ 757,865,000$ $13,000 0.0% 763,378,000$ 761,246,000$ $2,132,000 0.3% 767,061,000$ 762,948,000$ $4,113,000 0.5% 770,319,000$ 765,006,000$ $5,313,000 0.7%

g p $ $ g p p y between eligible programs per the FHWA 11/7/2016 distributed spreadsheet.

* Obligation Authority includes formula program, redistributed, allocated programs and exempt programs.

% A portion of the STBGP flexible funds, up to $15 million per year, will be added to the local bridge program.@ g j p y g p g p letter and is being retruned 100% into the HSIP program.

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-71

Page 72: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable G. 2. Federal Funds Forecast

Federal Fiscal Year Comparison

November 2016

Federal Funds Forecast - HighwaysWashington Apportionment and Obligation Authority Forecast

Federal Aid Highway Core Programs ApportionmentNational Highway Performance Program (NHPP)

Surface Transportation Block Grant Program (STBGP) Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution Any Area of the State STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program) Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP)Rail-Highway Crossing Program

Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ)

National Highway Freight Program

Metropolitan Planning (MPO)Statewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total Washington ApportionmentTotal Washington Obligation Authority *

Forecast Distributions

New Undistributed Program

National Highway Freight Program Apportionment

National Highway Freight Program OA

State ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP) @Surface Transportation Block Grant Program Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution

Any Area of the State STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program) Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP) @Rail-Highway CrossingCongestion Mitigation and Air Quality Program (CMAQ)National Freight ProgramMetropolitan Planning (MPO)Statewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total State ApportionmentState Obligation Authority *

Local ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP)Statewide Competitive NHS ProgramSurface Transportation Block Grant Program Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution Any Area of the State % STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program) Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP)

Rail-Highway CrossingCongestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ)

National Freight Program

Metropolitan Planning (MPO)Statewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total Local ApportionmentLocal Obligation Authority *

Total Washington ApportionmentTotal Washington Obligation Authority

2025 2025Difference

2026 2026Difference

2027 2027Difference

Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent

$408,583,000 $420,012,000 ($11,429,000) -2.7% $409,290,000 $420,529,000 ($11,239,000) -2.7% $410,037,000 $421,081,000 ($11,044,000) -2.6%

211,964,000 210,291,000 1,673,000 0.8% 212,318,000 210,550,000 1,768,000 0.8% 212,692,000 210,826,000 1,866,000 0.9%22,930,000 23,062,000 (132,000) -0.6% 22,930,000 23,090,000 (160,000) -0.7% 22,930,000 23,120,000 (190,000) -0.8%

106,390,000 90,837,000 15,553,000 17.1% 106,390,000 90,949,000 15,441,000 17.0% 106,390,000 91,068,000 15,322,000 16.8%69,333,000 83,185,000 (13,852,000) -16.7% 69,665,000 83,288,000 (13,623,000) -16.4% 70,016,000 83,397,000 (13,381,000) -16.0%11,375,000 11,285,000 90,000 0.8% 11,394,000 11,299,000 95,000 0.8% 11,414,000 11,314,000 100,000 0.9%1,936,000 1,922,000 14,000 0.7% 1,939,000 1,924,000 15,000 0.8% 1,942,000 1,927,000 15,000 0.8%

56,568,000 41,471,000 15,097,000 36.4% 56,637,000 41,522,000 15,115,000 36.4% 56,711,000 41,577,000 15,134,000 36.4%4,625,000 4,589,000 36,000 0.8% 4,633,000 4,595,000 38,000 0.8% 4,641,000 4,601,000 40,000 0.9%

40,092,000 39,776,000 316,000 0.8% 40,158,000 39,825,000 333,000 0.8% 40,229,000 39,877,000 352,000 0.9%

25,849,000 25,645,000 204,000 0.8% 25,893,000 25,676,000 217,000 0.8% 25,939,000 25,709,000 230,000 0.9%

8,154,000 8,088,000 66,000 0.8% 8,168,000 8,098,000 70,000 0.9% 8,182,000 8,109,000 73,000 0.9%15,165,000 15,046,000 119,000 0.8% 15,190,000 15,063,000 127,000 0.8% 15,216,000 15,083,000 133,000 0.9%

771,000,000 764,918,000 6,082,000 0.8% 772,287,000 765,858,000 6,429,000 0.8% 773,647,000 766,863,000 6,784,000 0.9%720,921,000 715,234,000 5,687,000 0.8% 722,124,000 716,113,000 6,011,000 0.8% 723,396,000 717,053,000 6,343,000 0.9%

17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0% 17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0% 17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

788,965,000 782,883,000 6,082,000 0.8% 790,252,000 783,823,000 6,429,000 0.8% 791,612,000 784,828,000 6,784,000 0.9%773,186,000 767,225,000 5,961,000 0.8% 774,447,000 768,147,000 6,300,000 0.8% 775,780,000 769,131,000 6,649,000 0.9%

- 25,645,000 (25,645,000) 100.0% - 25,676,000 (25,676,000) 100.0% - 25,709,000 (25,709,000) 100.0%

- 23,978,000 (23,978,000) 100.0% - 24,007,000 (24,007,000) 100.0% - 24,038,000 (24,038,000) 100.0%

381,100,000 394,811,000 ($13,711,000) -3.5% 382,841,000 395,297,000 ($12,456,000) -3.2% 384,369,000 395,816,000 ($11,447,000) -2.9%44,126,000 67,554,000 (23,428,000) -34.7% 44,129,000 67,637,000 (23,508,000) -34.8% 44,132,000 67,727,000 (23,595,000) -34.8%

- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

42,190,000 65,632,000 (23,442,000) -35.7% 42,190,000 65,713,000 (23,523,000) -35.8% 42,190,000 65,800,000 (23,610,000) -35.9%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 100.0%

1,936,000 1,922,000 14,000 0.7% 1,939,000 1,924,000 15,000 0.8% 1,942,000 1,927,000 15,000 0.8%27,307,000 12,441,000 14,866,000 119.5% 27,327,000 12,457,000 14,870,000 119.4% 27,349,000 12,473,000 14,876,000 119.3%4,625,000 - 4,625,000 100.0% 4,633,000 - 4,633,000 100.0% 4,641,000 - 4,641,000 100.0%

- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%25,849,000 - 25,849,000 0.0% 25,893,000 - 25,893,000 0.0% 25,939,000 - 25,939,000 0.0%

- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%15,165,000 15,046,000 119,000 0.8% 15,190,000 15,063,000 127,000 0.8% 15,216,000 15,083,000 133,000 0.9%

498,172,000 489,852,000 8,334,000 1.7% 500,013,000 490,454,000 9,574,000 1.9% 501,646,000 491,099,000 10,562,000 2.1%466,597,000 458,401,000 8,196,000 1.8% 468,286,000 458,964,000 9,322,000 2.0% 469,789,000 459,567,000 10,222,000 2.2%

16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0% 16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0% 16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

514,468,000 506,148,000 8,334,000 1.6% 516,309,000 506,750,000 9,574,000 1.9% 517,942,000 507,395,000 10,562,000 2.1%504,179,000 496,795,000 7,384,000 1.5% 505,983,000 497,388,000 8,595,000 1.7% 507,583,000 498,020,000 9,563,000 1.9%

(23,379,000) 25,201,000 (48,580,000) -192.8% (25,134,000) 25,232,000 (50,366,000) -199.6% (26,677,000) 25,265,000 (51,942,000) -205.6%50,862,000 - $50,862,000 100.0% 51,583,000 - $51,583,000 100.0% 52,345,000 - $52,345,000 100.0%

167,837,798 142,737,000 25,100,798 17.6% 168,188,798 142,913,000 25,275,798 17.7% 168,559,798 143,099,000 25,460,798 17.8%22,930,000 23,062,000 (132,000) -0.6% 22,930,000 23,090,000 (160,000) -0.7% 22,930,000 23,120,000 (190,000) -0.8%

106,389,798 90,319,000 16,070,798 17.8% 106,389,798 90,319,000 16,070,798 17.8% 106,389,798 90,319,000 16,070,798 17.8%27,143,000 18,071,000 9,072,000 50.2% 27,475,000 18,205,000 9,270,000 50.9% 27,826,000 18,346,000 9,480,000 51.7%11,375,000 11,285,000 90,000 0.8% 11,394,000 11,299,000 95,000 0.8% 11,414,000 11,314,000 100,000 0.9%

- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%29,261,000 29,030,000 231,000 0.8% 29,310,000 29,065,000 245,000 0.8% 29,362,000 29,104,000 258,000 0.9%

- 4,589,000 (4,589,000) -100.0% - 4,595,000 (4,595,000) -100.0% - 4,601,000 (4,601,000) -100.0%40,092,000 39,776,000 316,000 0.8% 40,158,000 39,825,000 333,000 0.8% 40,229,000 39,877,000 352,000 0.9%

$0 $0 - 0.0% $0 $0 - 0.0% $0 $0 - 0.0%

8,154,000 8,088,000 66,000 0.8% 8,168,000 8,098,000 70,000 0.9% 8,182,000 8,109,000 73,000 0.9%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

272,827,798 249,421,000 23,406,798 9.4% 272,273,798 249,728,000 22,545,798 9.0% 272,000,798 250,055,000 21,945,798 8.8%254,324,000 232,855,000 21,469,000 9.2% 253,838,000 233,142,000 20,696,000 8.9% 253,607,000 233,448,000 20,159,000 8.6%

1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0% 1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0% 1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

274,496,798 251,090,000 23,406,798 9.3% 273,942,798 251,397,000 22,545,798 9.0% 273,669,798 251,724,000 21,945,798 8.7%269,007,000 246,451,000 22,556,000 9.2% 268,464,000 246,752,000 21,712,000 8.8% 268,197,000 247,073,000 21,124,000 8.5%

$0 $0 $0788,964,798$ 782,883,000$ $6,081,798 0.8% 790,251,798$ 783,823,000$ $6,428,798 0.8% 791,611,798$ 784,828,000$ $6,783,798 0.9%773,186,000$ 767,224,000$ $5,962,000 0.8% 774,447,000$ 768,147,000$ $6,300,000 0.8% 775,780,000$ 769,131,000$ $6,649,000 0.9%

* Obligation Authority includes formula program, redistributed, allocated programs and exempt programs. g p $ $ g p p y

between eligible programs per the FHWA 11/7/2016 distributed spreadsheet.

% A portion of the STBGP flexible funds, up to $15 million per year, will be added to the local bridge program.@ g j p y g p g p letter and is being retruned 100% into the HSIP program.

Adopted November 16, 2016 II-72

Page 73: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable G. 3. Formula Federal Funds Forecast - FTA Federal Fiscal Year ComparisonNovember 2016

Federal Transit Administration (FTA) Forecast - Public Transportation

2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent

Program Program Name5304 Statewide Planning Program 479,306$ 479,306$ -$ 0.0% 494,874$ 494,874$ -$ 0.0% 478,373$ 478,373$ -$ 0.0%5310 Enhanced Mobility for Elderly and Persons with Disabilities 2,650,897 2,650,897 - - 2,671,358 2,671,358 - - 2,666,625 2,666,625 - - 5311(a) Nonurbanized Area Formula Program 12,205,458 12,205,458 - - 12,443,767 12,443,767 - - 12,418,881 12,418,881 - - 5311(b) Rural Transit Assistance Program 199,166 199,166 - - 201,796 201,796 - - 196,494 196,494 - - 5329 State Safety Oversight Program *3 540,094 540,094 - - 548,124 548,124 - - 455,753 455,753 - - 5339 Bus and Bus Facilities Program *4 2,780,804 2,780,804 - - 2,809,844 2,809,844 - - 1,250,000 1,250,000 - -

Totals 18,855,725$ 18,855,725$ -$ 0.0% 19,169,763$ 19,169,763$ -$ 0.0% 17,466,126$ 17,466,126$ -$ 0.0%

2016 2016 2017 2017 2018 2018Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent

Program Program Name5304 Statewide Planning Program 485,066$ 485,066$ -$ 0.0% 495,000$ 495,000$ -$ 0.0% 506,000$ 506,000$ -$ 0.0%5310 Enhanced Mobility for Elderly and Persons with Disabilities 2,716,118 2,716,118 - - 2,770,000 2,770,000 - - 2,828,000 2,828,000 - - 5311(a) Nonurbanized Area Formula Program 12,658,343 12,658,343 - - 12,917,000 12,917,000 - - 13,186,000 13,186,000 - - 5311(b) Rural Transit Assistance Program 200,702 200,702 - - 204,000 204,000 - - 209,000 209,000 - - 5329 State Safety Oversight Program 558,433 558,433 - - 521,000 521,000 - - 532,000 532,000 - - 5339 Bus and Bus Facilities Program 1,750,000 1,750,000 - - 1,530,000 1,530,000 - - 1,562,000 1,562,000 - -

Totals 18,368,662$ 18,368,662$ -$ 0.0% 18,437,000$ 18,437,000$ -$ 0.0% 18,823,000$ 18,823,000$ -$ 0.0%

2019 2019 2020 2020 2021 2021Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent

Program Program Name5304 Statewide Planning Program 516,000$ 516,000$ -$ 0.0% 527,000$ 527,000$ -$ 0.0% 531,000$ 531,000$ -$ 0.0%5310 Enhanced Mobility for Elderly and Persons with Disabilities 2,888,000 2,888,000 - - 2,949,000 2,949,000 - - 2,971,000 2,971,000 - - 5311(a) Nonurbanized Area Formula Program 13,465,000 13,465,000 - - 13,751,000 13,751,000 - - 13,851,000 13,851,000 - - 5311(b) Rural Transit Assistance Program 214,000 214,000 - - 219,000 219,000 - - 220,000 220,000 - - 5329 State Safety Oversight Program 544,000 544,000 - - 555,000 555,000 - - 559,000 559,000 - - 5339 Bus and Bus Facilities Program 1,595,000 1,595,000 - - 1,629,000 1,629,000 - - 1,641,000 1,641,000 - -

Totals 19,222,000$ 19,222,000$ -$ 0.0% 19,630,000$ 19,630,000$ -$ 0.0% 19,773,000$ 19,773,000$ -$ 0.0%

2022 2022 2023 2023 2024 2024Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent

Program Program Name5304 Statewide Planning Program 534,000$ 533,000$ 1,000$ 0.2% 537,000$ 534,000$ 3,000$ 0.6% 539,000$ 536,000$ 3,000$ 0.6%5310 Enhanced Mobility for Elderly and Persons with Disabilities 2,989,000 2,981,000 8,000 0 3,004,000 2,988,000 16,000 0 3,017,000 2,996,000 21,000 0 5311(a) Nonurbanized Area Formula Program 13,938,000 13,898,000 40,000 0 14,007,000 13,930,000 77,000 0 14,068,000 13,968,000 100,000 0 5311(b) Rural Transit Assistance Program 222,000 221,000 1,000 0 223,000 222,000 1,000 0 224,000 222,000 2,000 0 5329 State Safety Oversight Program 563,000 561,000 2,000 0 566,000 562,000 4,000 0 568,000 564,000 4,000 0 5339 Bus and Bus Facilities Program 1,651,000 1,647,000 4,000 0 1,659,000 1,650,000 9,000 0 1,667,000 1,655,000 12,000 0

Totals 19,897,000$ 19,841,000$ 56,000$ 0.3% 19,996,000$ 19,886,000$ 110,000$ 0.6% 20,083,000$ 19,941,000$ 142,000$ 0.7%

2025 2025 2026 2026 2027 2027Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent

Program Program Name5304 Statewide Planning Program 541,000$ 537,000$ 4,000$ 0.7% 542,000$ 538,000$ 4,000$ 0.7% 543,000$ 539,000$ 4,000$ 0.7%5310 Enhanced Mobility for Elderly and Persons with Disabilities 3,029,000 3,005,000 24,000 0 3,034,000 3,008,000 26,000 0 3,039,000 3,012,000 27,000 0 5311(a) Nonurbanized Area Formula Program 14,121,000 14,010,000 111,000 0 14,145,000 14,027,000 118,000 0 14,170,000 14,046,000 124,000 0 5311(b) Rural Transit Assistance Program 225,000 223,000 2,000 0 225,000 223,000 2,000 0 226,000 224,000 2,000 0 5329 State Safety Oversight Program 570,000 566,000 4,000 0 571,000 566,000 5,000 0 572,000 567,000 5,000 0 5339 Bus and Bus Facilities Program 1,673,000 1,660,000 13,000 0 1,676,000 1,662,000 14,000 0 1,679,000 1,664,000 15,000 0

Totals 20,159,000$ 20,001,000$ 158,000$ 0.8% 20,193,000$ 20,024,000$ 169,000$ 0.8% 20,229,000$ 20,052,000$ 177,000$ 0.9%

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Adopted November 16, 2016 II-73

Page 74: November 2016 Transportation Economic and …November 2016 Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Table A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial Comparison Based

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable G. 4. Formula Federal Funds Forecast - FTAFederal Fiscal Year ComparisonNovember 2016

Federal Transit Administration (FTA) Forecast - Washington State Ferries

2013 2013 2014 2014

Program Program Name Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent

5307Urbanized Area Formula Program Grants (Passenger Ferry) 4,505,946$ -$ 4,505,946$ 100% 5,665,929$ -$ 5,665,929$ 100%

5337State of Good Repair Grants (High Intensity Motorbus) 7,058,168 - 7,058,168$ 100% 6,004,655 - 6,004,655$ 100%

Discretionary and Allocated Programs *Totals 11,564,114$ -$ 11,564,114$ 100% 11,670,584$ -$ 11,670,584$ 100%

2015 2015 2016 2016Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent

5307Urbanized Area Formula Program Grants (Passenger Ferry) 5,722,236$ -$ 5,722,236$ 100% 5,206,791$ -$ 5,206,791$ 100%

5337State of Good Repair Grants (High Intensity Motorbus) 5,862,301 - 5,862,301$ 100% 6,780,870 - 6,780,870$ 100%Discretionary and Allocated Programs * 9,529,500

Totals 11,584,537$ -$ 11,584,537$ 100% 21,517,161$ -$ 11,987,661$ 100%

2017 2017 2018 2018Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent

5307Urbanized Area Formula Program Grants (Passenger Ferry) 5,207,000$ -$ 5,207,000$ 100% 5,207,000$ -$ 5,207,000$ 100%

5337State of Good Repair Grants (High Intensity Motorbus) 6,896,000$ -$ 6,896,000$ 100% 7,013,000$ -$ 7,013,000$ 100%

Discretionary and Allocated Programs * 10,000,000$ -$ -$ 100% -$ -$ -$ Totals 22,103,000$ -$ 12,103,000$ 100% 12,220,000$ -$ 12,220,000$ 100%

2019 2019 2020 2020Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent

5307Urbanized Area Formula Program Grants (Passenger Ferry) 5,207,000$ -$ 5,207,000$ 100% 5,207,000$ -$ 5,207,000$ 100%

5337State of Good Repair Grants (High Intensity Motorbus) 7,133,000$ -$ 7,133,000$ 100% 7,254,000$ -$ 7,254,000$ 100%

Discretionary and Allocated Programs * -$ -$ -$ 0% -$ -$ -$ Totals 12,340,000$ -$ 12,340,000$ 100% 12,461,000$ -$ 12,461,000$ 100%

2021 2021 2022 2022Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent

5307Urbanized Area Formula Program Grants (Passenger Ferry) 5,245,000$ -$ 5,245,000$ 100% 5,278,000$ -$ 5,278,000$ 100%

5337State of Good Repair Grants (High Intensity Motorbus) 7,307,000$ -$ 7,307,000$ 100% 7,353,000$ -$ 7,353,000$ 100%

Discretionary and Allocated Programs * -$ -$ -$ 0% -$ -$ -$ Totals 12,552,000$ -$ 12,552,000$ 100% 12,631,000$ -$ 12,631,000$ 100%

2023 2023 2024 2024Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent

5307Urbanized Area Formula Program Grants (Passenger Ferry) 5,304,000$ -$ 5,304,000$ 100% 5,327,000$ -$ 5,327,000$ 100%

5337State of Good Repair Grants (High Intensity Motorbus) 7,389,000$ -$ 7,389,000$ 100% 7,421,000$ -$ 7,421,000$ 100%

Discretionary and Allocated Programs * -$ -$ -$ 0% -$ -$ -$ Totals 12,693,000$ -$ 12,693,000$ 100% 12,748,000$ -$ 12,748,000$ 100%

2025 2025 2026 2026Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent

5307Urbanized Area Formula Program Grants (Passenger Ferry) 5,347,000$ -$ 5,347,000$ 100% 5,356,000$ -$ 5,356,000$ 100%

5337State of Good Repair Grants (High Intensity Motorbus) 7,450,000$ -$ 7,450,000$ 100% 7,462,000$ -$ 7,462,000$ 100%Discretionary and Allocated Programs * -$ -$ -$ 0% -$ -$ -$

Totals 12,797,000$ -$ 12,797,000$ 100% 12,818,000$ -$ 12,818,000$ 100%

2027 2027Nov-16 Sep-16 Value Percent

5307Urbanized Area Formula Program Grants (Passenger Ferry) 5,366,000$ -$ 5,366,000$ 100%

5337State of Good Repair Grants (High Intensity Motorbus) 7,475,000$ -$ 7,475,000$ 100%Discretionary and Allocated Programs * -$ -$ -$ 0%

Totals 12,841,000$ -$ 12,841,000$ 100%

* Discretionary and Allocated Programs include competitive grants, TIGER Grants, emergency relief dollars and other non-formula money.

Difference Novmeber 2016 vs. September 2016

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Adopted November 16, 2016 II-74