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November 2017 Transportation Economic and Revenue Forecasts Transportation Revenue Forecast Council Volume II: Detailed Forecast Tables Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-1 11/28/2017

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Page 1: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

November 2017 Transportation Economic and Revenue Forecasts

Transportation Revenue Forecast Council

Volume II: Detailed Forecast Tables

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-1 11/28/2017

Page 2: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017

• Motor Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast …………………………….………………………….II-3 • Motor Vehicle Related Revenue Forecast (Licenses, Permits, & Fees) ……………..II-19 • Driver Related Revenue Forecast …………………………………………………………..II-37

• Other Transportation Related Revenue Forecast ………………………………………...II-46

• Washington State Ferries Ridership and Revenue Forecast …………………………...II-55

• Toll Operations and Revenue Forecast ……………………………………………………..II-60

• Federal Funds Forecast ………………………………………………………………………..II-67

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-2 11/28/2017

Page 3: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017

Contact: Brian Calkins, M.S., Agricultural Economics, Washington State Department of Transportation, 360-705-7991, [email protected]

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-3 11/28/2017

Page 4: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 1. Washington Motor Fuel Consumption Fiscal Year Forecast November 2017

Current Biennium2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Million GallonsGasoline (November 2017 Forecast) 2,663 2,676 2,716 2,757 2,844 2,887 2,944 2,969 2,995

Annual Percentage Change -0.9% 0.5% 1.5% 1.5% 3.1% 1.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.9%Gasoline (September 2017 Forecast) 2,663 2,676 2,716 2,757 2,844 2,887 2,938 2,961 2,982 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4%

Diesel (November 2017 Forecast) 647 638 656 663 676 675 676 685 688Annual Percentage Change -2.5% -1.4% 3.0% 1.0% 2.0% -0.2% 0.2% 1.2% 0.5%

Diesel (September 2017 Forecast) 647 638 656 663 676 675 676 684 689 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.2%

Total Motor Fuel (November 2017 Forecast) 3,309 3,313 3,373 3,420 3,520 3,562 3,620 3,653 3,683Annual Percentage Change -1.2% 0.1% 1.8% 1.4% 2.9% 1.2% 1.6% 0.9% 0.8%

Total Motor Fuel (September 2017 Forecast) 3,309 3,313 3,373 3,420 3,520 3,562 3,614 3,645 3,672 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3%

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029Million GallonsGasoline (November 2017 Forecast) 3,015 3,036 3,058 3,074 3,088 3,096 3,099 3,101 3,103

Annual Percentage Change 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%Gasoline (September 2017 Forecast) 3,001 3,022 3,044 3,059 3,073 3,082 3,084 3,086 3,088 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%

Diesel (November 2017 Forecast) 691 693 697 700 704 709 713 718 722Annual Percentage Change 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%

Diesel (September 2017 Forecast) 694 696 699 703 707 711 716 720 724 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 -0.3% -0.3% -0.3% -0.3% -0.3% -0.3% -0.3% -0.3% -0.3%

Total Motor Fuel (November 2017 Forecast) 3,706 3,730 3,755 3,774 3,792 3,805 3,812 3,818 3,825Annual Percentage Change 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%

Total Motor Fuel (September 2017 Forecast) 3,695 3,718 3,743 3,762 3,780 3,793 3,799 3,806 3,812 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-4 11/28/2017

Page 5: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

These will not match biennial totals in Table A.4. because these totals are by month of collection while the Table A.4 biennial comparison tables are by month of distribution.

2011-2013 2011-2013 2013-2015 2013-2015COLLECTIONS Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value PercentGross Fuel Tax $2,487,855,803 $2,487,855,803 $0 0.00% $2,548,823,093 $2,548,823,093 $0 0.00%Gross Gasoline Tax $2,006,562,960 2,006,562,960 0 0.00% $2,054,012,364 2,054,012,364 0 0.00%Gross Special Fuel Tax $481,292,843 481,292,843 0 0.00% $494,810,729 494,810,729 0 0.00%Less: Refunds and Transfers $146,849,774 146,849,774 0 0.00% $137,744,925 137,744,925 0 0.00%Less: Distributions for Local Uses $254,181,032 254,181,032 0 0.00% $262,027,143 262,027,143 0 0.00%Less: Distributions for State Uses $122,839,482 122,839,482 0 0.00% $126,594,948 126,594,948 0 0.00%Less: MVFT Distributions to Cities & Counties $467,117,757 467,117,757 0 0.00% $481,404,780 481,404,780 0 0.00%

Net to Nickel Account $309,473,181 309,473,181 0 0.00% $319,026,026 319,026,026 0 0.00%Net to Transportation Partnership Account $526,104,655 526,104,655 0 0.00% $542,344,560 542,344,560 0 0.00%Net to Connecting Washington Account $0 0 0 0.00% $0 0 0 0.00%Net to Motor Vehicle Fund $661,289,923 $661,289,923 $0 0.00% $679,680,675 $679,680,675 $0 0.00%

Current Biennium2015-2017 2015-2017 2017-2019 2017-2019Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value PercentGross Fuel Tax $3,276,978,445 $3,276,978,445 $0 0.00% $3,590,609,200 $3,584,902,600 $5,706,600 0.16%Gross Gasoline Tax $2,650,208,450 2,650,208,450 0 0.00% $2,923,221,200 2,916,340,700 6,880,500 0.24%Gross Special Fuel Tax $626,769,994 626,769,994 0 0.00% $667,388,000 668,561,800 (1,173,800) -0.18%Less: Refunds and Transfers $186,475,810 186,475,810 0 0.00% $208,848,900 208,608,500 240,400 0.12%Less: Distributions for Local Uses $272,229,174 272,229,174 0 0.00% $279,752,700 279,190,700 562,000 0.20%Less: Distributions for State Uses $137,427,204 137,427,204 0 0.00% $143,654,400 142,867,100 787,300 0.55%Less: MVFT Distributions to Cities & Counties $494,272,481 494,272,481 0 0.00% $505,522,800 505,004,800 518,000 0.10%

Net to Nickel Account $331,447,345 331,447,345 0 0.00% $340,607,300 339,923,200 684,100 0.20%Net to Transportation Partnership Account $563,460,752 563,460,752 0 0.00% $579,032,800 577,869,900 1,162,900 0.20%Net to Connecting Washington Account $539,140,290 539,140,290 0 0.00% $810,645,500 809,017,400 1,628,100 0.20%Net to Motor Vehicle Fund $752,525,389 $752,525,389 $0 0.00% $722,544,900 $722,420,900 $124,000 0.02%

2019-2021 2019-2021 2021-2023 2021-2023Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value PercentGross Fuel Tax $3,652,669,400 $3,639,541,400 $13,128,000 0.36% $3,699,357,900 $3,687,308,000 $12,049,900 0.33%Gross Gasoline Tax $2,970,544,400 2,957,000,400 13,544,000 0.46% $3,012,262,200 2,998,075,900 $14,186,300 0.47%Gross Special Fuel Tax $682,125,000 682,541,000 (416,000) -0.06% $687,095,700 689,232,100 ($2,136,400) -0.31%Less: Refunds and Transfers $202,197,800 202,114,700 83,100 0.04% $203,496,000 203,443,100 $52,900 0.03%Less: Distributions for Local Uses $284,994,100 284,065,200 928,900 0.33% $288,744,300 287,745,500 $998,800 0.35%Less: Distributions for State Uses $146,235,600 145,297,200 938,400 0.65% $148,159,900 147,179,600 $980,300 0.67%Less: MVFT Distributions to Cities & Counties $515,117,700 513,898,300 1,219,400 0.24% $521,905,500 520,565,400 $1,340,100 0.26%

Net to Nickel Account $346,989,000 345,858,100 1,130,900 0.33% $351,555,100 350,338,900 $1,216,200 0.35%Net to Transportation Partnership Account $589,881,600 587,959,000 1,922,600 0.33% $597,643,900 595,576,400 $2,067,500 0.35%Net to Connecting Washington Account $825,833,800 823,142,100 2,691,700 0.33% $836,701,100 833,806,500 $2,894,600 0.35%Net to Motor Vehicle Fund $741,419,700 $737,206,900 $4,212,800 0.57% $751,152,100 $748,652,800 $2,499,300 0.33%

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial ComparisonBased on Month of CollectionNovember 2017

Difference Difference

DifferenceDifference

Difference Difference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-5 11/28/2017

Page 6: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

These will not match biennial totals in Table A.4. because these totals are by month of collection while the Table A.4 biennial comparison tables are by month of distribution.

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 2. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast to Forecast Biennial ComparisonBased on Month of CollectionNovember 2017

2023-2025 2023-2025 2025-2027 2025-2027Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value PercentGross Fuel Tax $3,739,157,900 $3,727,144,900 $12,013,000 0.32% $3,763,337,200 $3,751,180,700 $12,156,500 0.32%Gross Gasoline Tax $3,044,805,200 3,030,367,600 14,437,600 0.48% $3,060,558,200 3,045,935,800 14,622,400 0.48%Gross Special Fuel Tax $694,352,600 696,777,300 (2,424,700) -0.35% $702,779,000 705,244,900 (2,465,900) -0.35%Less: Refunds and Transfers $206,481,200 206,460,800 20,400 0.01% $209,070,700 209,067,200 3,500 0.00%Less: Distributions for Local Uses $291,778,800 290,776,000 1,002,800 0.34% $293,562,500 292,542,700 1,019,800 0.35%Less: Distributions for State Uses $149,717,000 148,729,700 987,300 0.66% $150,632,200 149,633,300 998,900 0.67%Less: MVFT Distributions to Cities & Counties $527,397,900 526,055,500 1,342,400 0.26% $530,626,200 529,255,900 1,370,300 0.26%

Net to Nickel Account $355,249,700 354,028,700 1,221,000 0.34% $357,421,400 356,179,700 1,241,700 0.35%Net to Transportation Partnership Account $603,924,800 601,849,000 2,075,800 0.34% $607,616,600 605,505,700 2,110,900 0.35%Net to Connecting Washington Account $845,494,200 842,588,300 2,905,900 0.34% $850,662,800 847,707,700 2,955,100 0.35%Net to Motor Vehicle Fund $759,114,200 $756,657,100 $2,457,100 0.32% $763,744,900 $761,288,500 $2,456,400 0.32%

2027-2029 2027-2029Biennium Biennium

November 2017 September 2017 Value PercentGross Fuel Tax $3,775,378,500 $3,763,172,400 $12,206,100 0.32%Gross Gasoline Tax $3,064,439,600 3,049,862,400 14,577,200 0.48%Gross Special Fuel Tax $710,938,900 713,310,100 (2,371,200) -0.33%Less: Refunds and Transfers $211,398,400 211,384,200 14,200 0.01%Less: Distributions for Local Uses $294,360,800 293,336,400 1,024,400 0.35%Less: Distributions for State Uses $151,041,800 150,039,200 1,002,600 0.67%Less: MVFT Distributions to Cities & Counties $532,071,000 530,693,600 1,377,400 0.26%

Net to Nickel Account $358,393,200 357,145,900 1,247,300 0.35%Net to Transportation Partnership Account $609,268,800 607,148,300 2,120,500 0.35%Net to Connecting Washington Account $852,975,900 850,007,300 2,968,600 0.35%Net to Motor Vehicle Fund $765,868,600 $763,417,400 $2,451,200 0.32%

Difference

DifferenceDifference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-6 11/28/2017

Page 7: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

These fiscal year totals will not match the fiscal year totals in Table A.5. because these totals are by month of collection while

the totals in Table A.5 are by month of distribution.

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year COLLECTIONS 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Gross Fuel Tax $1,241,669,496 $1,246,186,307 $1,262,410,554 $1,286,412,539 $1,516,105,371 $1,760,873,074Gross Gasoline Tax 1,000,283,887 1,006,279,073 1,016,586,332 1,037,426,032 1,229,760,030 1,420,448,421Gross Special Fuel Tax 241,385,609 239,907,234 245,824,222 248,986,507 286,345,341 340,424,653Less: Refunds and Transfers 81,115,032 65,734,742 67,069,814 70,675,110 83,974,003 102,501,807Less: Distributions for Local Uses 126,174,971 128,006,061 130,295,229 131,731,915 135,398,336 136,830,838Less: Distributions for State Uses 60,985,435 61,854,046 62,775,213 63,819,735 67,254,201 70,173,003Less: MVFT Distributions to Cities & Counties 231,958,576 235,159,181 239,555,894 241,848,885 246,931,745 247,340,736

Net to Nickel Account 153,621,886 155,851,295 158,638,426 160,387,600 164,851,615 166,595,730Net to Transportation Partnership Account 261,157,329 264,947,326 269,685,451 272,659,109 280,247,878 283,212,874Net to Connecting Washington Account 0 0 0 0 170,664,869 368,475,421Net to Motor Vehicle Fund $326,656,267 $334,633,656 $334,390,527 $345,290,149 $366,782,723 $385,742,665

Current BienniumFiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Gross Fuel Tax $1,786,039,800 $1,804,569,400 $1,820,847,500 $1,831,821,900 $1,843,627,500 $1,855,730,400Gross Gasoline Tax $1,455,387,600 $1,467,833,600 1,480,264,400 1,490,280,000 1,500,946,200 1,511,316,000Gross Special Fuel Tax 330,652,200 336,735,800 340,583,100 341,541,900 342,681,300 344,414,400Less: Refunds and Transfers 106,132,700 102,716,200 102,220,400 99,977,400 101,343,000 102,153,000Less: Distributions for Local Uses 139,058,000 140,694,700 141,940,600 143,053,500 143,901,200 144,843,100Less: Distributions for State Uses 71,461,400 72,193,000 72,832,300 73,403,300 73,838,300 74,321,600Less: MVFT Distributions to Cities & Counties 251,226,100 254,296,700 256,551,700 258,566,000 260,100,400 261,805,100

Net to Nickel Account 169,307,300 171,300,000 172,817,000 174,172,000 175,204,200 176,350,900Net to Transportation Partnership Account 287,822,600 291,210,200 293,789,100 296,092,500 297,847,200 299,796,700Net to Connecting Washington Account 402,951,400 407,694,100 411,304,500 414,529,300 416,985,900 419,715,200Net to Motor Vehicle Fund $358,080,300 $364,464,600 $369,391,900 $372,027,800 $374,407,300 $376,744,800

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Gross Fuel Tax $1,865,176,300 $1,873,981,600 $1,880,040,400 $1,883,296,800 $1,886,240,200 $1,889,138,300Gross Gasoline Tax 1,518,971,400 1,525,833,800 1,529,760,400 1,530,797,800 1,531,745,800 1,532,693,800Gross Special Fuel Tax 346,204,900 348,147,700 350,280,000 352,499,000 354,494,400 356,444,500Less: Refunds and Transfers 102,881,300 103,599,900 104,248,400 104,822,300 105,401,000 105,997,400Less: Distributions for Local Uses 145,552,800 146,226,000 146,679,000 146,883,500 147,083,400 147,277,400Less: Distributions for State Uses 74,685,800 75,031,200 75,263,600 75,368,600 75,471,100 75,570,700Less: MVFT Distributions to Cities & Counties 263,089,700 264,308,200 265,128,000 265,498,200 265,859,900 266,211,100

Net to Nickel Account 177,215,000 178,034,700 178,586,200 178,835,200 179,078,500 179,314,700Net to Transportation Partnership Account 301,265,700 302,659,100 303,596,700 304,019,900 304,433,600 304,835,200Net to Connecting Washington Account 421,771,700 423,722,500 425,035,100 425,627,700 426,206,800 426,769,100Net to Motor Vehicle Fund $378,714,300 $380,399,900 $381,503,400 $382,241,500 $382,706,000 $383,162,600

Table A. 3. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast By Fiscal YearBased on Month of CollectionNovember 2017

Transportation Revenue Forecast Council

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-7 11/28/2017

Page 8: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 4. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Biennial Comparison By Month Of DistributionNovember 2017

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2011 - 2013 2011 - 2013 2013 - 2015 2013 - 2015

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

GROSS FUEL TAX $2,483,342,386 $2,483,342,386 $0 0.00% $2,547,174,730 $2,547,174,730 $0 0.00%TOTAL REFUNDS AND TRANSFERS 146,849,774 146,849,774 0 0.00% 137,744,925 137,744,925 0 0.00%

GROSS GASOLINE TAX 2,001,804,928 2,001,804,928 0 0.00% 2,052,487,086 2,052,487,086 0 0.00%Less: Non-Highway Refunds 12,284,473 12,284,473 0 0.00% 17,937,444 17,937,444 0 0.00%Less: Tribal Reservation Refunds 51,547,408 51,547,408 0 0.00% 56,251,088 56,251,088 0 0.00%Less: Aeronautics Transfer #039 560,505 560,505 0 0.00% 574,696 574,696 0 0.00%Less: General Fund Transfer #001 1,336,333 1,336,333 0 0.00% 1,231,553 1,231,553 0 0.00%Less: Marine Transfer #048 and #267 12,321,392 12,321,392 0 0.00% 12,674,887 12,674,887 0 0.00%Less: Outdoor Recreation Vehicle Transfer #268 and #01B 11,824,688 11,824,688 0 0.00% 12,110,725 12,110,725 0 0.00%Less: Snowmobile #01M 1,707,008 1,707,008 0 0.00% 1,351,928 1,351,928 0 0.00%

NET GASOLINE TAX 1,910,223,122 1,910,223,122 0 0.00% 1,950,354,766 1,950,354,766 0 0.00%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

GROSS SPECIAL FUEL TAX 481,537,458 481,537,458 0 0.00% 494,687,644 494,687,644 0 0.00%Less: Non-Highway Refunds 49,046,331 49,046,331 0 0.00% 27,050,657 27,050,657 0 0.00%Less: Tribal Reservation Refunds 6,221,637 6,221,637 0 0.00% 8,561,948 8,561,948 0 0.00%

NET SPECIAL FUEL TAX 426,269,490 426,269,490 0 0.00% 459,075,039 459,075,039 0 0.00%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

TOTAL MOTOR FUEL TAX 2,336,492,612 2,336,492,612 0 0.00% 2,409,429,805 2,409,429,805 0 0.00%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

LESS ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES: Department of Licensing #108 15,443,757 15,443,757 0 0.00% 16,734,342 16,734,342 0 0.00%

TOTAL EXPENSES 15,443,757 15,443,757 0 0.00% 16,734,342 16,734,342 0 0.00%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION 2,321,048,855 2,321,048,855 0 0.00% 2,392,695,463 2,392,695,463 0 0.00%1¢ Net for Distribution 61,894,636 61,894,636 0 0.00% 63,805,212 63,805,212 0 0.00%

DISTRIBUTIONS

STATEGENERAL WSDOT & OTHER AGENCIES

44.387% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(a) #108 631,882,959 631,882,959 0 0.00% 651,388,051 651,388,051 0 0.00%SPECIAL CATEGORY C

3.2609% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(b) #215 46,421,410 46,421,410 0 0.00% 47,854,356 47,854,356 0 0.00%TRANSPORTATION 2003 ACCOUNT

100% of 5¢, RCW 46.68.090(3) #550 309,473,181 309,473,181 0 0.00% 319,026,062 319,026,062 0 0.00%TRANSPORTATION PARTNERSHIP ACCOUNT

83.3334% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(c)(5)(c) and100% of 2¢ and 1.5¢ RCW 46.68.090(6) #09H 526,104,655 526,104,655 0 0.00% 542,344,560 542,344,560 0 0.00%

CONNECTING WASHINGTON ACCOUNT 100% of 7¢ and 4.9¢ RCW 46.68.090(7) #20H 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%

TOTAL TO STATE 1,513,882,205 1,513,882,205 0 0.00% 1,560,613,029 1,560,613,029 0 0.00%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

Plus: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1) #108 7,318,453 7,318,453 0 0.00% 7,544,360 7,544,360 0 0.00%Plus: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2) #108 1,610,060 1,610,060 0 0.00% 1,659,759 1,659,759 0 0.00%Plus: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h) 521,278 521,278 0 0.00% 705,800 705,800 0 0.00%

NET TO STATE 1,523,331,995 1,523,331,995 0 0.00% 1,570,522,949 1,570,522,949 0 0.00%WASHINGTON STATE FERRIES

PUGET SOUND FERRY OPERATIONS ACCOUNT #109

Difference Difference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-8 11/28/2017

Page 9: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 4. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Biennial Comparison By Month Of DistributionNovember 2017

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2011 - 2013 2011 - 2013 2013 - 2015 2013 - 2015

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value PercentDifference Difference

2.3283% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(c) $33,145,135 $33,145,135 0 0.00% $34,168,265 $34,168,265 0 0.00%Plus: RCW 46.68.080(5), Capron Act Redistributions #109 9,497,158 9,497,158 0 0.00% 9,753,950 9,753,950 0 0.00%

TOTAL TO FERRY OPERATIONS 42,642,292 42,642,292 0 0.00% 43,922,215 43,922,215 0 0.00%

PUGET SOUND FERRY CONSTRUCTION ACCOUNT #0992.3726% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(d) #099 33,775,779 33,775,779 0 0.00% 34,818,377 34,818,377 0 0.00%

TOTAL TO WASHINGTON STATE FERRIES 76,418,072 76,418,072 0 0.00% 78,740,592 78,740,592 0 0.00%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD7.5597% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(e) #144 107,618,123 107,618,123 0 0.00% 110,940,101 110,940,101 0 0.00%5.6739% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(f) #144 80,772,314 80,772,314 0 0.00% 83,265,611 83,265,611 0 0.00%Plus: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account # 08M 1,832,144 1,832,144 0 0.00% 1,888,699 1,888,699 0 0.00%

TOTAL TO TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD 190,222,581 190,222,581 0 0.00% 196,094,410 196,094,410 0 0.00%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

CITIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

10.6961% of 23¢ to Cities RCW 46.68.090(2)(g) 152,267,180 152,267,180 0 0.00% 156,967,394 156,967,394 0 0.00%2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(a) and (5)(a) 30,947,194 30,947,194 0 0.00% 31,902,479 31,902,479 0 0.00%

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1) (2,748,216) (2,748,216) 0 0.00% (2,833,048) (2,833,048) 0 0.00%Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2) (604,607) (604,607) 0 0.00% (623,271) (623,271) 0 0.00%Less: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account #08M (1,832,144) (1,832,144) 0 0.00% (1,888,699) (1,888,699) 0 0.00%

RCW 46.68.110(3)NET TO CITIES 178,029,407 178,029,407 0 0.00% 183,524,856 183,524,856 0 0.00%

--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------COUNTIES

REGULAR DISTRIBUTION19.2287% of 23¢ to Counties RCW 46.68.090(2)(h) 273,735,280 273,735,280 0 0.00% 282,184,996 282,184,996 0 0.00%

2005 DISTRIBUTION8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(b) and (5)(b) 30,947,194 30,947,194 0 0.00% 31,902,479 31,902,479 0 0.00%

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.120(1) (4,570,237) (4,570,237) 0 0.00% (4,711,312) (4,711,312) 0 0.00%Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.120(3) (1,005,452) (1,005,452) 0 0.00% (1,036,489) (1,036,489) 0 0.00%Less: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h) (521,278) (521,278) 0 0.00% (705,800) (705,800) 0 0.00%

TOTAL AMOUNT ALLOCATED TO COUNTIES 298,585,507 298,585,507 0 0.00% 307,633,874 307,633,874 0 0.00%Less: Amounts to Ferry Operations, RCW 46.68.080(5) (9,497,158) (9,497,158) 0 0.00% (9,753,950) (9,753,950) 0 0.00%

TOTAL NET TO COUNTIES 289,088,349 289,088,349 0 0.00% 297,879,924 297,879,924 0 0.00%

REFUNDS TO COUNTIESTo San Juan County RCW 46.68.080(1) Capron Act (4,091,402) (4,091,402) 0 0.00% (4,066,705) (4,066,705) 0 0.00%To Island County RCW 46.68.080(2) Capron Act (7,777,445) (7,777,445) 0 0.00% (8,123,062) (8,123,062) 0 0.00%To Pierce, Skagit, and Whatcom Counties RCW 47.56.725 (1,000,000) (1,000,000) 0 0.00% (1,000,000) (1,000,000) 0 0.00%

NET DISTRIBUTION TO COUNTIES 276,219,503 276,219,503 0 0.00% 284,690,158 284,690,158 0 0.00%

COUNTY ARTERIAL PRESERVATION1.9565% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(i) #186 27,852,277 27,852,277 0 0.00% 28,712,027 28,712,027 0 0.00%

--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------RURAL ARTERIAL PROGRAM

2.5363% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(j) #102 36,106,174 36,106,174 0 0.00% 37,220,707 37,220,707 0 0.00%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION 2,321,048,855 2,321,048,855 0 0.00% 2,392,695,463 2,392,695,463 0 0.00%

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-9 11/28/2017

Page 10: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 4. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Biennial Comparison By Month Of DistributionNovember 2017

GROSS FUEL TAXTOTAL REFUNDS AND TRANSFERS

GROSS GASOLINE TAXLess: Non-Highway RefundsLess: Tribal Reservation RefundsLess: Aeronautics Transfer #039Less: General Fund Transfer #001Less: Marine Transfer #048 and #267Less: Outdoor Recreation Vehicle Transfer #268 and #01BLess: Snowmobile #01M

NET GASOLINE TAX

GROSS SPECIAL FUEL TAXLess: Non-Highway RefundsLess: Tribal Reservation Refunds

NET SPECIAL FUEL TAX

TOTAL MOTOR FUEL TAX

LESS ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES: Department of Licensing #108

TOTAL EXPENSES

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION1¢ Net for Distribution

DISTRIBUTIONS

STATEGENERAL WSDOT & OTHER AGENCIES

44.387% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(a) #108SPECIAL CATEGORY C

3.2609% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(b) #215TRANSPORTATION 2003 ACCOUNT

100% of 5¢, RCW 46.68.090(3) #550TRANSPORTATION PARTNERSHIP ACCOUNT

83.3334% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(c)(5)(c) and100% of 2¢ and 1.5¢ RCW 46.68.090(6) #09H

CONNECTING WASHINGTON ACCOUNT 100% of 7¢ and 4.9¢ RCW 46.68.090(7) #20H

TOTAL TO STATE

Plus: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1) #108Plus: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2) #108Plus: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)

NET TO STATEWASHINGTON STATE FERRIES

PUGET SOUND FERRY OPERATIONS ACCOUNT #109

Current BienniumBIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2015 - 2017 2015 - 2017 2017 - 2019 2017 - 2019

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

$3,231,876,684 $3,231,876,684 $0 0.00% $3,593,213,900 $3,586,189,300 $7,024,600 0.20%186,475,810 186,475,810 0 0.00% 208,848,900 208,608,500 240,400 0.12%

2,615,533,026 2,615,533,026 0 0.00% 2,921,083,000 2,914,327,100 6,755,900 0.23%42,831,580 42,831,580 0 0.00% 45,258,400 45,164,100 94,300 0.21%68,700,411 68,700,411 0 0.00% 74,542,200 74,542,200 0 0.00%

732,349 732,349 0 0.00% 817,900 816,000 1,900 0.23%1,273,981 1,273,981 0 0.00% 1,513,800 1,480,300 33,500 2.26%

17,907,744 17,907,744 0 0.00% 20,712,700 20,676,400 36,300 0.18%17,140,347 17,140,347 0 0.00% 19,756,600 19,709,600 47,000 0.24%

2,292,330 2,292,330 0 0.00% 2,176,100 2,167,400 8,700 0.40%

2,464,654,283 2,464,654,283 0 0.00% 2,756,305,200 2,749,771,100 6,534,100 0.24%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

616,343,659 616,343,659 0 0.00% 672,130,900 671,862,300 268,600 0.04%25,403,030 25,403,030 0 0.00% 32,934,400 32,915,800 18,600 0.06%10,194,037 10,194,037 0 0.00% 11,136,700 11,136,700 0 0.00%

580,746,591 580,746,591 0 0.00% 628,059,800 627,809,700 250,100 0.04%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

3,045,400,874 3,045,400,874 0 0.00% 3,384,365,100 3,377,580,800 6,784,300 0.20%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

20,405,494 20,405,494 0 0.00% 19,164,200 19,136,100 28,100 0.15%

20,405,494 20,405,494 0 0.00% 19,164,200 19,136,100 28,100 0.15%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

3,024,995,380 3,024,995,380 0 0.00% 3,365,200,800 3,358,444,700 6,756,100 0.20%66,289,469 66,289,469 0 0.00% 68,121,500 67,984,700 136,800 0.20%

676,749,853 676,749,853 0 0.00% 695,452,800 694,056,600 1,396,200 0.20%

49,717,566 49,717,566 0 0.00% 51,091,500 50,989,000 102,500 0.20%

331,447,345 331,447,345 0 0.00% 340,607,300 339,923,500 683,800 0.20%

563,460,752 563,460,752 0 0.00% 579,032,800 577,870,400 1,162,400 0.20%

539,140,290 539,140,290 0 0.00% 810,645,500 809,018,000 1,627,500 0.20%

2,160,515,806 2,160,515,806 0 0.00% 2,476,830,100 2,471,857,500 4,972,600 0.20%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

7,838,100 7,838,100 0 0.00% 8,054,700 8,038,500 16,200 0.20%1,724,382 1,724,382 0 0.00% 1,772,000 1,768,500 3,500 0.20%

705,800 705,800 0 0.00% 705,800 705,800 0 0.00%

2,170,784,088 2,170,784,088 0 0.00% 2,487,362,700 2,482,370,400 4,992,300 0.20%

Difference Difference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-10 11/28/2017

Page 11: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 4. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Biennial Comparison By Month Of DistributionNovember 2017

2.3283% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(c) Plus: RCW 46.68.080(5), Capron Act Redistributions #109

TOTAL TO FERRY OPERATIONS

PUGET SOUND FERRY CONSTRUCTION ACCOUNT #0992.3726% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(d) #099

TOTAL TO WASHINGTON STATE FERRIES

TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD7.5597% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(e) #1445.6739% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(f) #144Plus: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account # 08M

TOTAL TO TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD

CITIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

10.6961% of 23¢ to Cities RCW 46.68.090(2)(g)2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(a) and (5)(a)

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2)Less: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account #08M

RCW 46.68.110(3)NET TO CITIES

COUNTIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

19.2287% of 23¢ to Counties RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(b) and (5)(b)

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.120(1)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.120(3)Less: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)

TOTAL AMOUNT ALLOCATED TO COUNTIESLess: Amounts to Ferry Operations, RCW 46.68.080(5)

TOTAL NET TO COUNTIES

REFUNDS TO COUNTIESTo San Juan County RCW 46.68.080(1) Capron ActTo Island County RCW 46.68.080(2) Capron ActTo Pierce, Skagit, and Whatcom Counties RCW 47.56.725

NET DISTRIBUTION TO COUNTIES

COUNTY ARTERIAL PRESERVATION1.9565% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(i) #186

RURAL ARTERIAL PROGRAM 2.5363% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(j) #102

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION

Current BienniumBIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2015 - 2017 2015 - 2017 2017 - 2019 2017 - 2019

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value PercentDifference Difference

$35,498,607 $35,498,607 0 0.00% $36,479,600 $36,406,400 73,200 0.20%16,037,000 16,037,000 0 0.00% 18,909,300 18,372,600 536,700 2.92%51,535,607 51,535,607 0 0.00% 55,389,000 54,779,000 610,000 1.11%

36,174,031 36,174,031 0 0.00% 37,173,700 37,099,100 74,600 0.20%

87,709,638 87,709,638 0 0.00% 92,562,800 91,878,200 684,600 0.75%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

115,259,555 115,259,555 0 0.00% 118,444,900 118,207,100 237,800 0.20%86,507,558 86,507,558 0 0.00% 88,898,300 88,719,800 178,500 0.20%

1,962,235 1,962,235 0 0.00% 2,016,400 2,012,400 4,000 0.20%

203,729,348 203,729,348 0 0.00% 209,359,700 208,939,400 420,300 0.20%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

163,078,922 163,078,922 0 0.00% 167,585,900 167,249,400 336,500 0.20%

33,144,602 33,144,602 0 0.00% 34,060,600 33,992,200 68,400 0.20%

(2,943,353) (2,943,353) 0 0.00% (3,024,700) (3,018,600) (6,100) 0.20%(647,538) (647,538) 0 0.00% (665,500) (664,100) (1,400) 0.21%

(1,962,235) (1,962,235) 0 0.00% (2,016,400) (2,012,400) (4,000) 0.20%

190,670,398 190,670,398 0 0.00% 195,939,900 195,546,500 393,400 0.20%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

293,171,872 293,171,872 0 0.00% 301,274,200 300,669,200 605,000 0.20%

33,144,602 33,144,602 0 0.00% 34,060,600 33,992,200 68,400 0.20%

(4,894,747) (4,894,747) 0 0.00% (5,030,000) (5,019,900) (10,100) 0.20%(1,076,844) (1,076,844) 0 0.00% (1,106,600) (1,104,400) (2,200) 0.20%

(705,800) (705,800) 0 0.00% (705,800) (705,800) 0 0.00%

319,639,083 319,639,083 0 0.00% 328,492,300 327,831,300 661,000 0.20%(16,037,000) (16,037,000) 0 0.00% (18,909,300) (18,372,600) (536,700) 2.92%

303,602,083 303,602,083 0 0.00% 309,582,900 309,458,700 124,200 0.04%

(4,126,945) (4,126,945) 0 0.00% (4,192,200) (4,104,500) (87,700) 2.14%(8,611,835) (8,611,835) 0 0.00% (8,594,000) (8,306,800) (287,200) 3.46%(1,800,000) (1,800,000) 0 0.00% (1,873,400) (1,836,700) (36,700) 2.00%

289,063,303 289,063,303 0 0.00% 294,923,200 295,210,700 (287,500) -0.10%

29,829,930 29,829,930 0 0.00% 30,654,300 30,592,700 61,600 0.20%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

38,669,896 38,669,896 0 0.00% 39,738,600 39,658,800 79,800 0.20%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

3,024,995,380 3,024,995,384 (3) 0.00% 3,365,200,800 3,358,444,700 6,756,100 0.20%

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-11 11/28/2017

Page 12: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 4. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Biennial Comparison By Month Of DistributionNovember 2017

GROSS FUEL TAXTOTAL REFUNDS AND TRANSFERS

GROSS GASOLINE TAXLess: Non-Highway RefundsLess: Tribal Reservation RefundsLess: Aeronautics Transfer #039Less: General Fund Transfer #001Less: Marine Transfer #048 and #267Less: Outdoor Recreation Vehicle Transfer #268 and #01BLess: Snowmobile #01M

NET GASOLINE TAX

GROSS SPECIAL FUEL TAXLess: Non-Highway RefundsLess: Tribal Reservation Refunds

NET SPECIAL FUEL TAX

TOTAL MOTOR FUEL TAX

LESS ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES: Department of Licensing #108

TOTAL EXPENSES

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION1¢ Net for Distribution

DISTRIBUTIONS

STATEGENERAL WSDOT & OTHER AGENCIES

44.387% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(a) #108SPECIAL CATEGORY C

3.2609% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(b) #215TRANSPORTATION 2003 ACCOUNT

100% of 5¢, RCW 46.68.090(3) #550TRANSPORTATION PARTNERSHIP ACCOUNT

83.3334% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(c)(5)(c) and100% of 2¢ and 1.5¢ RCW 46.68.090(6) #09H

CONNECTING WASHINGTON ACCOUNT 100% of 7¢ and 4.9¢ RCW 46.68.090(7) #20H

TOTAL TO STATE

Plus: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1) #108Plus: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2) #108Plus: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)

NET TO STATEWASHINGTON STATE FERRIES

PUGET SOUND FERRY OPERATIONS ACCOUNT #109

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2019 - 2021 2019 - 2021 2021 - 2023 2021 - 2023

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

$3,650,292,400 $3,639,006,000 $11,286,400 0.31% $3,697,491,200 $3,685,437,600 $12,053,600 0.33%202,197,800 202,114,700 83,100 0.04% 203,496,000 203,443,100 52,900 0.03%

2,968,918,200 2,955,858,300 13,059,900 0.44% 3,010,683,000 2,996,505,200 14,177,800 0.47%35,617,200 35,460,800 156,400 0.44% 34,321,800 34,160,100 161,700 0.47%76,136,000 76,136,000 0 0.00% 77,568,900 77,568,900 0 0.00%

831,300 827,700 3,600 0.43% 843,100 839,100 4,000 0.48%1,685,900 1,859,700 (173,800) -9.35% 1,941,300 2,149,600 (208,300) -9.69%

21,069,100 20,976,400 92,700 0.44% 21,365,500 21,264,800 100,700 0.47%20,150,800 20,059,800 91,000 0.45% 20,442,900 20,343,900 99,000 0.49%

2,161,300 2,161,300 0 0.00% 2,177,700 2,177,700 0 0.00%

2,811,266,600 2,798,376,800 12,889,800 0.46% 2,852,021,900 2,838,001,000 14,020,900 0.49%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

681,374,200 683,147,700 (1,773,500) -0.26% 686,808,200 688,932,400 (2,124,200) -0.31%33,387,300 33,474,300 (87,000) -0.26% 33,653,600 33,757,700 (104,100) -0.31%11,159,000 11,159,000 0 0.00% 11,181,400 11,181,400 0 0.00%

636,827,900 638,514,500 (1,686,600) -0.26% 641,973,300 643,993,400 (2,020,100) -0.31%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

3,448,094,600 3,436,891,400 11,203,200 0.33% 3,493,995,200 3,481,994,500 12,000,700 0.34%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

19,843,200 19,813,900 29,300 0.15% 20,631,100 20,646,600 (15,500) -0.08%

19,843,200 19,813,900 29,300 0.15% 20,631,100 20,646,600 (15,500) -0.08%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

3,428,251,300 3,417,077,500 11,173,800 0.33% 3,473,364,000 3,461,347,900 12,016,100 0.35%69,397,800 69,171,600 226,200 0.33% 70,311,000 70,067,800 243,200 0.35%

708,482,800 706,173,600 2,309,200 0.33% 717,805,800 715,322,600 2,483,200 0.35%

52,048,800 51,879,200 169,600 0.33% 52,733,800 52,551,400 182,400 0.35%

346,989,000 345,858,100 1,130,900 0.33% 351,555,100 350,338,900 1,216,200 0.35%

589,881,600 587,959,000 1,922,600 0.33% 597,643,900 595,576,400 2,067,500 0.35%

825,833,800 823,142,100 2,691,700 0.33% 836,701,100 833,806,500 2,894,600 0.35%

2,523,236,000 2,515,012,000 8,224,000 0.33% 2,556,439,600 2,547,595,600 8,844,000 0.35%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

8,205,600 8,178,900 26,700 0.33% 8,313,600 8,284,800 28,800 0.35%1,805,200 1,799,300 5,900 0.33% 1,829,000 1,822,700 6,300 0.35%

705,800 705,800 0 0.00% 705,800 705,800 0 0.00%

2,533,952,700 2,525,696,000 8,256,700 0.33% 2,567,288,000 2,558,408,800 8,879,200 0.35%

Difference Difference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-12 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 4. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Biennial Comparison By Month Of DistributionNovember 2017

2.3283% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(c) Plus: RCW 46.68.080(5), Capron Act Redistributions #109

TOTAL TO FERRY OPERATIONS

PUGET SOUND FERRY CONSTRUCTION ACCOUNT #0992.3726% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(d) #099

TOTAL TO WASHINGTON STATE FERRIES

TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD7.5597% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(e) #1445.6739% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(f) #144Plus: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account # 08M

TOTAL TO TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD

CITIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

10.6961% of 23¢ to Cities RCW 46.68.090(2)(g)2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(a) and (5)(a)

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2)Less: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account #08M

RCW 46.68.110(3)NET TO CITIES

COUNTIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

19.2287% of 23¢ to Counties RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(b) and (5)(b)

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.120(1)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.120(3)Less: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)

TOTAL AMOUNT ALLOCATED TO COUNTIESLess: Amounts to Ferry Operations, RCW 46.68.080(5)

TOTAL NET TO COUNTIES

REFUNDS TO COUNTIESTo San Juan County RCW 46.68.080(1) Capron ActTo Island County RCW 46.68.080(2) Capron ActTo Pierce, Skagit, and Whatcom Counties RCW 47.56.725

NET DISTRIBUTION TO COUNTIES

COUNTY ARTERIAL PRESERVATION1.9565% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(i) #186

RURAL ARTERIAL PROGRAM 2.5363% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(j) #102

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2019 - 2021 2019 - 2021 2021 - 2023 2021 - 2023

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value PercentDifference Difference

$37,163,100 $37,042,000 121,100 0.33% $37,652,200 $37,521,900 130,300 0.35%19,153,400 18,629,200 524,200 2.81% 19,405,500 18,870,500 535,000 2.84%56,316,500 55,671,200 645,300 1.16% 57,057,600 56,392,500 665,100 1.18%

37,870,300 37,746,800 123,500 0.33% 38,368,600 38,235,800 132,800 0.35%

94,186,800 93,418,000 768,800 0.82% 95,426,100 94,628,200 797,900 0.84%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

120,664,100 120,270,900 393,200 0.33% 122,252,000 121,829,000 423,000 0.35%90,563,900 90,268,800 295,100 0.33% 91,755,700 91,438,200 317,500 0.35%

2,054,200 2,047,500 6,700 0.33% 2,081,200 2,074,100 7,100 0.34%

213,282,300 212,587,100 695,200 0.33% 216,088,900 215,341,300 747,600 0.35%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

170,725,700 170,169,200 556,500 0.33% 172,972,400 172,374,000 598,400 0.35%

34,698,700 34,585,700 113,000 0.33% 35,155,300 35,033,800 121,500 0.35%

(3,081,400) (3,071,400) (10,000) 0.33% (3,121,900) (3,111,100) (10,800) 0.35%(677,900) (675,700) (2,200) 0.33% (686,800) (684,400) (2,400) 0.35%

(2,054,200) (2,047,500) (6,700) 0.33% (2,081,200) (2,074,100) (7,100) 0.34%

199,611,000 198,960,300 650,700 0.33% 202,237,700 201,538,000 699,700 0.35%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

306,918,700 305,918,500 1,000,200 0.33% 310,957,500 309,881,800 1,075,700 0.35%

34,698,700 34,585,700 113,000 0.33% 35,155,300 35,033,800 121,500 0.35%

(5,124,200) (5,107,500) (16,700) 0.33% (5,191,700) (5,173,700) (18,000) 0.35%(1,127,400) (1,123,700) (3,700) 0.33% (1,142,100) (1,138,300) (3,800) 0.33%

(705,800) (705,800) 0 0.00% (705,800) (705,800) 0 0.00%

334,660,200 333,567,100 1,093,100 0.33% 339,073,300 337,897,800 1,175,500 0.35%(19,153,400) (18,629,200) (524,200) 2.81% (19,405,500) (18,870,500) (535,000) 2.84%

315,506,800 314,937,900 568,900 0.18% 319,667,800 319,027,300 640,500 0.20%

(4,192,700) (4,161,100) (31,600) 0.76% (4,247,900) (4,215,000) (32,900) 0.78%(8,745,900) (8,423,400) (322,500) 3.83% (8,861,100) (8,532,500) (328,600) 3.85%(1,873,400) (1,800,000) (73,400) 4.08% (1,873,400) (1,800,000) (73,400) 4.08%

300,694,700 300,553,400 141,300 0.05% 304,685,500 304,479,700 205,800 0.07%

31,228,700 31,126,900 101,800 0.33% 31,639,600 31,530,100 109,500 0.35%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

40,483,100 40,351,200 131,900 0.33% 41,015,800 40,874,000 141,800 0.35%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

3,428,251,300 3,417,077,500 11,173,800 0.33% 3,473,364,000 3,461,347,900 12,016,100 0.35%

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-13 11/28/2017

Page 14: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 4. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Biennial Comparison By Month Of DistributionNovember 2017

GROSS FUEL TAXTOTAL REFUNDS AND TRANSFERS

GROSS GASOLINE TAXLess: Non-Highway RefundsLess: Tribal Reservation RefundsLess: Aeronautics Transfer #039Less: General Fund Transfer #001Less: Marine Transfer #048 and #267Less: Outdoor Recreation Vehicle Transfer #268 and #01BLess: Snowmobile #01M

NET GASOLINE TAX

GROSS SPECIAL FUEL TAXLess: Non-Highway RefundsLess: Tribal Reservation Refunds

NET SPECIAL FUEL TAX

TOTAL MOTOR FUEL TAX

LESS ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES: Department of Licensing #108

TOTAL EXPENSES

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION1¢ Net for Distribution

DISTRIBUTIONS

STATEGENERAL WSDOT & OTHER AGENCIES

44.387% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(a) #108SPECIAL CATEGORY C

3.2609% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(b) #215TRANSPORTATION 2003 ACCOUNT

100% of 5¢, RCW 46.68.090(3) #550TRANSPORTATION PARTNERSHIP ACCOUNT

83.3334% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(c)(5)(c) and100% of 2¢ and 1.5¢ RCW 46.68.090(6) #09H

CONNECTING WASHINGTON ACCOUNT 100% of 7¢ and 4.9¢ RCW 46.68.090(7) #20H

TOTAL TO STATE

Plus: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1) #108Plus: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2) #108Plus: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)

NET TO STATEWASHINGTON STATE FERRIES

PUGET SOUND FERRY OPERATIONS ACCOUNT #109

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2023 - 2025 2023 - 2025 2025 - 2027 2025 - 2027

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

$3,737,851,000 $3,725,846,800 $12,004,200 0.32% $3,762,798,000 $3,750,645,600 $12,152,400 0.32%206,481,200 206,460,800 20,400 0.01% 209,070,700 209,067,200 3,500 0.00%

3,043,830,400 3,029,405,600 14,424,800 0.48% 3,060,379,400 3,045,757,000 14,622,400 0.48%34,699,700 34,535,200 164,500 0.48% 34,888,300 34,721,600 166,700 0.48%79,128,100 79,128,100 0 0.00% 80,718,500 80,718,500 0 0.00%

852,200 848,200 4,000 0.47% 856,900 852,900 4,000 0.47%2,133,800 2,366,500 (232,700) -9.83% 2,280,900 2,533,300 (252,400) -9.96%

21,600,700 21,498,400 102,300 0.48% 21,718,200 21,614,400 103,800 0.48%20,661,900 20,561,000 100,900 0.49% 20,764,600 20,662,200 102,400 0.50%

2,194,100 2,194,100 0 0.00% 2,198,700 2,198,700 0 0.00%

2,882,559,900 2,868,274,200 14,285,700 0.50% 2,896,953,300 2,882,455,500 14,497,800 0.50%--------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------

694,020,600 696,441,200 (2,420,600) -0.35% 702,418,600 704,888,600 (2,470,000) -0.35%34,007,000 34,125,600 (118,600) -0.35% 34,418,500 34,539,500 (121,000) -0.35%11,203,600 11,203,600 0 0.00% 11,226,100 11,226,100 0 0.00%

648,810,000 651,111,900 (2,301,900) -0.35% 656,774,000 659,122,900 (2,348,900) -0.36%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

3,531,369,800 3,519,386,000 11,983,800 0.34% 3,553,727,300 3,541,578,400 12,148,900 0.34%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

21,502,900 21,582,600 (79,700) -0.37% 22,404,400 22,523,100 (118,700) -0.53%

21,502,900 21,582,600 (79,700) -0.37% 22,404,400 22,523,100 (118,700) -0.53%--------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------

3,509,867,000 3,497,803,400 12,063,600 0.34% 3,531,323,000 3,519,055,300 12,267,700 0.35%71,049,900 70,805,800 244,100 0.34% 71,484,200 71,235,900 248,300 0.35%

725,349,600 722,856,400 2,493,200 0.34% 729,783,600 727,248,400 2,535,200 0.35%

53,288,000 53,104,800 183,200 0.34% 53,613,700 53,427,400 186,300 0.35%

355,249,700 354,028,700 1,221,000 0.34% 357,421,400 356,179,700 1,241,700 0.35%

603,924,800 601,849,000 2,075,800 0.34% 607,616,600 605,505,700 2,110,900 0.35%

845,494,200 842,588,300 2,905,900 0.34% 850,662,800 847,707,700 2,955,100 0.35%

2,583,306,200 2,574,427,300 8,878,900 0.34% 2,599,098,100 2,590,069,000 9,029,100 0.35%--------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------

8,401,000 8,372,100 28,900 0.35% 8,452,300 8,423,000 29,300 0.35%1,848,200 1,841,800 6,400 0.35% 1,859,500 1,853,100 6,400 0.35%

705,800 705,800 0 0.00% 705,800 705,800 0 0.00%

2,594,261,300 2,585,347,000 8,914,300 0.34% 2,610,115,700 2,601,050,800 9,064,900 0.35%

DifferenceDifference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-14 11/28/2017

Page 15: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 4. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Biennial Comparison By Month Of DistributionNovember 2017

2.3283% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(c) Plus: RCW 46.68.080(5), Capron Act Redistributions #109

TOTAL TO FERRY OPERATIONS

PUGET SOUND FERRY CONSTRUCTION ACCOUNT #0992.3726% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(d) #099

TOTAL TO WASHINGTON STATE FERRIES

TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD7.5597% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(e) #1445.6739% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(f) #144Plus: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account # 08M

TOTAL TO TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD

CITIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

10.6961% of 23¢ to Cities RCW 46.68.090(2)(g)2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(a) and (5)(a)

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2)Less: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account #08M

RCW 46.68.110(3)NET TO CITIES

COUNTIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

19.2287% of 23¢ to Counties RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(b) and (5)(b)

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.120(1)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.120(3)Less: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)

TOTAL AMOUNT ALLOCATED TO COUNTIESLess: Amounts to Ferry Operations, RCW 46.68.080(5)

TOTAL NET TO COUNTIES

REFUNDS TO COUNTIESTo San Juan County RCW 46.68.080(1) Capron ActTo Island County RCW 46.68.080(2) Capron ActTo Pierce, Skagit, and Whatcom Counties RCW 47.56.725

NET DISTRIBUTION TO COUNTIES

COUNTY ARTERIAL PRESERVATION1.9565% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(i) #186

RURAL ARTERIAL PROGRAM 2.5363% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(j) #102

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2023 - 2025 2023 - 2025 2025 - 2027 2025 - 2027

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value PercentDifferenceDifference

$38,047,800 $37,917,100 130,700 0.34% $38,280,500 $38,147,500 133,000 0.35%19,609,300 19,069,200 540,100 2.83% 19,729,200 19,185,100 544,100 2.84%57,657,200 56,986,400 670,800 1.18% 58,009,600 57,332,600 677,000 1.18%

38,771,800 38,638,500 133,300 0.34% 39,008,800 38,873,300 135,500 0.35%

96,429,100 95,624,900 804,200 0.84% 97,018,500 96,205,900 812,600 0.84%--------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

123,536,700 123,112,100 424,600 0.34% 124,292,000 123,860,100 431,900 0.35%92,719,900 92,401,300 318,600 0.34% 93,286,800 92,962,700 324,100 0.35%

2,103,100 2,096,000 7,100 0.34% 2,116,000 2,108,700 7,300 0.35%

218,359,800 217,609,300 750,500 0.34% 219,694,700 218,931,500 763,200 0.35%--------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------

174,790,100 174,189,400 600,700 0.34% 175,858,700 175,247,700 611,000 0.35%

35,524,800 35,402,700 122,100 0.34% 35,741,900 35,617,800 124,100 0.35%

(3,154,700) (3,143,900) (10,800) 0.34% (3,174,000) (3,163,000) (11,000) 0.35%(694,000) (691,600) (2,400) 0.35% (698,300) (695,900) (2,400) 0.34%

(2,103,100) (2,096,000) (7,100) 0.34% (2,116,000) (2,108,700) (7,300) 0.35%

204,363,100 203,660,700 702,400 0.34% 205,612,400 204,898,100 714,300 0.35%--------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------

314,225,600 313,145,500 1,080,100 0.34% 316,146,400 315,048,100 1,098,300 0.35%

35,524,800 35,402,700 122,100 0.34% 35,741,900 35,617,800 124,100 0.35%

(5,246,300) (5,228,200) (18,100) 0.35% (5,278,300) (5,260,000) (18,300) 0.35%(1,154,200) (1,150,200) (4,000) 0.35% (1,161,200) (1,157,200) (4,000) 0.35%

(705,800) (705,800) 0 0.00% (705,800) (705,800) 0 0.00%

342,644,200 341,464,000 1,180,200 0.35% 344,743,000 343,543,000 1,200,000 0.35%(19,609,300) (19,069,200) (540,100) 2.83% (19,729,200) (19,185,100) (544,100) 2.84%

323,034,800 322,394,700 640,100 0.20% 325,013,900 324,357,900 656,000 0.20%

(4,292,500) (4,259,400) (33,100) 0.78% (4,318,800) (4,285,400) (33,400) 0.78%(8,954,100) (8,622,400) (331,700) 3.85% (9,008,900) (8,674,800) (334,100) 3.85%(1,873,400) (1,800,000) (73,400) 4.08% (1,873,400) (1,800,000) (73,400) 4.08%

307,914,600 307,712,900 201,700 0.07% 309,812,800 309,597,800 215,000 0.07%

31,972,100 31,862,200 109,900 0.34% 32,167,600 32,055,900 111,700 0.35%--------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------

41,446,900 41,304,400 142,500 0.34% 41,700,300 41,555,500 144,800 0.35%--------------------------- --------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------

3,509,867,000 3,497,803,400 12,063,600 0.34% 3,531,323,000 3,519,055,300 12,267,700 0.35%

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-15 11/28/2017

Page 16: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 4. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Biennial Comparison By Month Of DistributionNovember 2017

GROSS FUEL TAXTOTAL REFUNDS AND TRANSFERS

GROSS GASOLINE TAXLess: Non-Highway RefundsLess: Tribal Reservation RefundsLess: Aeronautics Transfer #039Less: General Fund Transfer #001Less: Marine Transfer #048 and #267Less: Outdoor Recreation Vehicle Transfer #268 and #01BLess: Snowmobile #01M

NET GASOLINE TAX

GROSS SPECIAL FUEL TAXLess: Non-Highway RefundsLess: Tribal Reservation Refunds

NET SPECIAL FUEL TAX

TOTAL MOTOR FUEL TAX

LESS ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES: Department of Licensing #108

TOTAL EXPENSES

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION1¢ Net for Distribution

DISTRIBUTIONS

STATEGENERAL WSDOT & OTHER AGENCIES

44.387% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(a) #108SPECIAL CATEGORY C

3.2609% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(b) #215TRANSPORTATION 2003 ACCOUNT

100% of 5¢, RCW 46.68.090(3) #550TRANSPORTATION PARTNERSHIP ACCOUNT

83.3334% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(c)(5)(c) and100% of 2¢ and 1.5¢ RCW 46.68.090(6) #09H

CONNECTING WASHINGTON ACCOUNT 100% of 7¢ and 4.9¢ RCW 46.68.090(7) #20H

TOTAL TO STATE

Plus: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1) #108Plus: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2) #108Plus: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)

NET TO STATEWASHINGTON STATE FERRIES

PUGET SOUND FERRY OPERATIONS ACCOUNT #109

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2027-2029 2027-2029

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

$3,775,642,000 $3,763,440,200 $12,201,800 0.32%211,398,400 211,384,200 14,200 0.01%

3,064,529,000 3,049,956,000 14,573,000 0.48%34,935,600 34,769,500 166,100 0.48%82,340,900 82,340,900 0 0.00%

858,100 853,900 4,200 0.49%2,443,900 2,689,100 (245,200) -9.12%

21,747,600 21,644,100 103,500 0.48%20,780,600 20,678,500 102,100 0.49%

2,199,200 2,199,200 0 0.00%0 0

2,899,223,200 2,884,780,600 14,442,600 0.50%-------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

711,113,000 713,484,200 (2,371,200) -0.33%34,844,500 34,960,700 (116,200) -0.33%11,248,100 11,248,100 0 0.00%

665,020,400 667,275,400 (2,255,000) -0.34%--------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

3,564,243,600 3,552,056,000 12,187,600 0.34%--------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

23,318,400 23,454,200 (135,800) -0.58%

23,318,400 23,454,200 (135,800) -0.58%-------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

3,540,925,200 3,528,601,800 12,323,400 0.35%71,678,600 71,429,200 249,400 0.35%

731,768,000 729,221,300 2,546,700 0.35%

53,759,500 53,572,400 187,100 0.35%

358,393,200 357,145,900 1,247,300 0.35%

609,268,800 607,148,300 2,120,500 0.35%

852,975,900 850,007,300 2,968,600 0.35%

2,606,165,400 2,597,095,300 9,070,100 0.35%-------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

8,475,400 8,445,800 29,600 0.35%1,864,600 1,858,100 6,500 0.35%

705,800 705,800 0 0.00%

2,617,211,100 2,608,104,900 9,106,200 0.35%

Difference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-16 11/28/2017

Page 17: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 4. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Biennial Comparison By Month Of DistributionNovember 2017

2.3283% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(c) Plus: RCW 46.68.080(5), Capron Act Redistributions #109

TOTAL TO FERRY OPERATIONS

PUGET SOUND FERRY CONSTRUCTION ACCOUNT #0992.3726% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(d) #099

TOTAL TO WASHINGTON STATE FERRIES

TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD7.5597% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(e) #1445.6739% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(f) #144Plus: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account # 08M

TOTAL TO TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD

CITIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

10.6961% of 23¢ to Cities RCW 46.68.090(2)(g)2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(a) and (5)(a)

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2)Less: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account #08M

RCW 46.68.110(3)NET TO CITIES

COUNTIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

19.2287% of 23¢ to Counties RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(b) and (5)(b)

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.120(1)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.120(3)Less: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)

TOTAL AMOUNT ALLOCATED TO COUNTIESLess: Amounts to Ferry Operations, RCW 46.68.080(5)

TOTAL NET TO COUNTIES

REFUNDS TO COUNTIESTo San Juan County RCW 46.68.080(1) Capron ActTo Island County RCW 46.68.080(2) Capron ActTo Pierce, Skagit, and Whatcom Counties RCW 47.56.725

NET DISTRIBUTION TO COUNTIES

COUNTY ARTERIAL PRESERVATION1.9565% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(i) #186

RURAL ARTERIAL PROGRAM 2.5363% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(j) #102

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2027-2029 2027-2029

November 2017 September 2017 Value PercentDifference

$38,384,500 $38,251,000 133,500 0.35%19,782,900 19,237,200 545,700 2.84%58,167,400 57,488,200 679,200 1.18%

39,114,900 38,978,800 136,100 0.35%

97,282,300 96,466,900 815,400 0.85%--------------------------- --------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

124,629,900 124,196,100 433,800 0.35%93,540,400 93,214,900 325,500 0.35%

2,121,800 2,114,400 7,400 0.35%

220,292,000 219,525,400 766,600 0.35%-------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

176,336,800 175,723,200 613,600 0.35%

35,839,200 35,714,400 124,800 0.35%

(3,182,700) (3,171,600) (11,100) 0.35%(700,200) (697,700) (2,500) 0.36%

(2,121,800) (2,114,400) (7,400) 0.35%

206,171,500 205,454,000 717,500 0.35%-------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

317,006,000 315,902,700 1,103,300 0.35%

35,839,200 35,714,400 124,800 0.35%

(5,292,700) (5,274,200) (18,500) 0.35%(1,164,400) (1,160,400) (4,000) 0.34%

(705,800) (705,800) 0 0.00%

345,682,400 344,476,800 1,205,600 0.35%(19,782,900) (19,237,200) (545,700) 2.84%

325,899,500 325,239,700 659,800 0.20%

(4,330,500) (4,296,900) (33,600) 0.78%(9,033,400) (8,698,300) (335,100) 3.85%(1,873,400) (1,800,000) (73,400) 4.08%

0 0 0 #DIV/0!

32,255,000 32,142,800 112,200 0.35%-------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

41,813,700 41,668,100 145,600 0.35%-------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------

3,540,925,200 3,528,601,800 12,323,400 0.35%

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-17 11/28/2017

Page 18: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 5. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue By Month of DistributionFor Fiscal Years November 2017

Current BienniumFiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019GROSS FUEL TAX $1,240,920,444 $1,242,421,942 $1,264,797,056 $1,282,377,674 $1,502,070,725 $1,729,805,960 $1,788,397,500 $1,804,816,400TOTAL REFUNDS AND TRANSFERS 81,115,032 65,734,742 67,069,814 70,675,110 83,974,003 102,501,807 106,132,700 102,716,200

GROSS GASOLINE TAX 998,450,178 1,003,354,751 1,018,633,203 1,033,853,884 1,213,642,945 1,401,890,081 1,454,410,800 1,466,672,200Less: Non-Highway Refunds 6,466,057 5,818,416 8,350,184 9,587,260 13,568,267 29,263,314 24,725,000 20,533,400 Less: Tribal Reservation Refunds 26,004,845 25,542,564 26,375,936 29,875,152 33,887,932 34,812,479 37,085,700 37,456,500 Less: Aeronautics Transfer #039 279,566 280,939 285,217 289,479 339,820 392,529 407,200 410,700 Less: General Fund Transfer #001 675,155 661,178 651,075 580,478 572,075 701,907 760,300 753,500 Less: Marine Transfer #048 and #267 5,866,033 6,455,359 6,290,507 6,384,380 8,068,445 9,839,299 10,304,400 10,408,300 Less: Outdoor Recreation Vehicle Transfer #268 and #01B 5,868,956 5,955,731 6,022,457 6,088,268 7,813,941 9,326,407 9,821,600 9,935,000 Less: Snowmobile #01M 855,166 851,842 743,474 608,453 981,220 1,311,110 1,097,500 1,078,600

NET GASOLINE TAX 952,434,400 957,788,723 969,914,352 980,440,414 1,148,411,246 1,316,243,037 1,370,209,000 1,386,096,200 ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- -------------------------

GROSS SPECIAL FUEL TAX 242,470,267 239,067,191 246,163,853 248,523,791 288,427,780 327,915,879 333,986,700 338,144,200 Less: Non-Highway Refunds 32,266,807 16,779,524 14,025,763 13,024,894 14,007,215 11,395,815 16,365,300 16,569,100 Less: Tribal Reservation Refunds 2,832,447 3,389,190 4,325,201 4,236,747 4,735,089 5,458,948 5,565,600 5,571,100

NET SPECIAL FUEL TAX 207,371,013 218,898,477 227,812,890 231,262,150 269,685,476 311,061,116 312,055,800 316,004,000

TOTAL MOTOR FUEL TAX 1,159,805,412 1,176,687,200 1,197,727,241 1,211,702,564 1,418,096,722 1,627,304,153 1,682,264,800 1,702,100,300 ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- -------------------------

LESS ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES: Department of Licensing #108 7,641,268 7,802,490 7,939,046 8,795,296 11,044,738 9,360,756 9,508,400 9,655,800

TOTAL EXPENSES 7,641,268 7,802,490 7,939,046 8,795,296 11,044,738 9,360,756 9,508,400 9,655,800 ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- -------------------------

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION 1,152,164,144 1,168,884,710 1,189,788,195 1,202,907,268 1,407,051,984 1,617,943,397 1,672,756,400 1,692,444,4001¢ Net for Distribution 30,724,377 31,170,259 31,727,685 32,077,527 32,970,323 33,319,146 33,861,500 34,260,000

DISTRIBUTIONS

STATEGENERAL WSDOT & OTHER AGENCIES

44.387% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(a) #108 313,665,474 318,217,485 323,908,256 327,479,795 336,594,358 340,155,495 345,692,000 349,760,800SPECIAL CATEGORY C

3.2609% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(b) #215 23,043,498 23,377,912 23,795,986 24,058,370 24,727,973 24,989,593 25,396,300 25,695,200 TRANSPORTATION 2003 ACCOUNT

100% of 5¢, RCW 46.68.090(3) #550 153,621,886 155,851,295 158,638,426 160,387,636 164,851,615 166,595,730 169,307,300 171,300,000 TRANSPORTATION PARTNERSHIP ACCOUNT

83.3334% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(c)(5)(c) and100% of 2¢ and 1.5¢ RCW 46.68.090(6) #09H 261,157,329 264,947,326 269,685,451 272,659,109 280,247,878 283,212,874 287,822,600 291,210,200

CONNECTING WASHINGTON ACCOUNT100% of 7¢ and 4.9¢ RCW 46.68.090(7) #20H 170,664,869 368,475,421 402,951,400 407,694,100

TOTAL TO STATE 751,488,187 762,394,018 776,028,119 784,584,910 977,086,693 1,183,429,113 1,231,169,700 1,245,660,400 ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- -------------------------

Plus: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1) #108 3,632,866 3,685,587 3,751,497 3,792,863 3,898,427 3,939,672 4,003,800 4,050,900 Plus: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2) #108 799,230 810,829 825,329 834,430 857,654 866,728 880,800 891,200 Plus: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h) 168,378 352,900 352,900 352,900 352,900 352,900 352,900 352,900

NET TO STATE 756,088,660 767,243,334 780,957,846 789,565,103 982,195,675 1,188,588,414 1,236,407,300 1,250,955,400

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-18 11/28/2017

Page 19: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 5. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue By Month of DistributionFor Fiscal Years November 2017

Current BienniumFiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019WASHINGTON STATE FERRIES

PUGET SOUND FERRY OPERATIONS ACCOUNT #1092.3283% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(c) $16,453,180 $16,691,954 $16,990,461 $17,177,804 $17,655,905 $17,842,703 $18,133,100 $18,346,500Plus: RCW 46.68.080(5), Capron Act Redistributions #109 4,722,526 4,774,632 4,675,031 5,078,918 6,878,484 9,158,516 9,453,800 9,455,500

TOTAL TO FERRY OPERATIONS 21,175,706 21,466,586 21,665,492 22,256,723 24,534,388 27,001,219 27,586,900 27,802,100

PUGET SOUND FERRY CONSTRUCTION ACCOUNT #0992.3726% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(d) #099 16,766,231 17,009,548 17,313,734 17,504,642 17,991,839 18,182,191 18,478,100 18,695,600

TOTAL TO WASHINGTON STATE FERRIES 37,941,937 38,476,134 38,979,227 39,761,365 42,526,228 45,183,410 46,065,100 46,497,700 ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- -------------------------

TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD7.5597% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(e) #144 53,421,427 54,196,695 55,165,910 55,774,191 57,326,523 57,933,032 58,876,000 59,568,900 5.6739% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(f) #144 40,095,220 40,677,094 41,404,534 41,861,077 43,026,173 43,481,386 44,189,100 44,709,200 Plus: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account # 08M 909,473 922,671 939,172 949,527 975,955 986,280 1,002,300 1,014,100

TOTAL TO TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD 94,426,120 95,796,461 97,509,615 98,584,795 101,328,650 102,400,698 104,067,400 105,292,300 ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- -------------------------

CITIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

10.6961% of 23¢ to Cities RCW 46.68.090(2)(g) 75,585,132 76,682,048 78,053,374 78,914,021 81,110,391 81,968,531 83,302,700 84,283,200 2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(a) and (5)(a) 15,362,127 15,585,067 15,863,779 16,038,699 16,485,096 16,659,506 16,930,700 17,129,900

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1) (1,364,209) (1,384,007) (1,408,757) (1,424,291) (1,463,932) (1,479,421) (1,503,500) (1,521,200)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2) (300,126) (304,481) (309,927) (313,344) (322,065) (325,473) (330,800) (334,700)Less: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account #08M (909,473) (922,671) (939,172) (949,527) (975,955) (986,280) (1,002,300) (1,014,100)

RCW 46.68.110(3)NET TO CITIES 88,373,452 89,655,955 91,259,297 92,265,558 94,833,534 95,836,864 97,396,800 98,543,100

----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- -------------------------COUNTIES

REGULAR DISTRIBUTION19.2287% of 23¢ to Counties RCW 46.68.090(2)(h) 135,881,661 137,853,618 140,318,892 141,866,104 145,814,584 147,357,289 149,755,800 151,518,400

2005 DISTRIBUTION8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(b) and (5)(b) 15,362,127 15,585,067 15,863,779 16,038,699 16,485,096 16,659,506 16,930,700 17,129,900

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.120(1) (2,268,657) (2,301,580) (2,342,740) (2,368,572) (2,434,495) (2,460,252) (2,500,300) (2,529,700)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.120(3) (499,105) (506,348) (515,403) (521,086) (535,589) (541,255) (550,100) (556,500)Less: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h) (168,378) (352,900) (352,900) (352,900) (352,900) (352,900) (352,900) (352,900)

TOTAL AMOUNT ALLOCATED TO COUNTIES 148,307,649 150,277,858 152,971,629 154,662,245 158,976,695 160,662,388 163,283,200 165,209,100 Less: Amounts to Ferry Operations, RCW 46.68.080(5) (4,722,526) (4,774,632) (4,675,031) (5,078,918) (6,878,484) (9,158,516) (9,453,800) (9,455,500)

TOTAL NET TO COUNTIES 143,585,124 145,503,226 148,296,597 149,583,327 152,098,211 151,503,872 153,829,300 155,753,600

REFUNDS TO COUNTIESTo San Juan County RCW 46.68.080(1) Capron Act (2,023,042) (2,068,359) (2,008,715) (2,057,990) (1,999,488) (2,127,457) (2,122,400) (2,069,800)To Island County RCW 46.68.080(2) Capron Act (3,878,822) (3,898,623) (3,833,794) (4,289,267) (4,305,233) (4,306,602) (4,276,400) (4,317,600)To Pierce, Skagit, and Whatcom Counties RCW 47.56.725 (500,000) (500,000) (500,000) (500,000) (900,000) (900,000) (936,700) (936,700)

NET DISTRIBUTION TO COUNTIES 137,183,260 139,036,243 141,954,088 142,736,070 144,893,490 144,169,812 146,493,800 148,429,400

COUNTY ARTERIAL PRESERVATION1.9565% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(i) #186 13,825,816 14,026,461 14,277,300 14,434,727 14,836,481 14,993,449 15,237,500 15,416,800

----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- -------------------------RURAL ARTERIAL PROGRAM

2.5363% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(j) #102 17,923,035 18,183,139 18,508,313 18,712,393 19,233,205 19,436,691 19,753,100 19,985,500 ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- -------------------------

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION $1,152,164,144 $1,168,884,710 $1,189,788,195 $1,202,907,268 $1,407,051,984 $1,617,943,397 $1,672,756,400 $1,692,444,400

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-19 11/28/2017

Page 20: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 5. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue By Month of DistributionFor Fiscal Years November 2017

GROSS FUEL TAXTOTAL REFUNDS AND TRANSFERS

GROSS GASOLINE TAXLess: Non-Highway RefundsLess: Tribal Reservation RefundsLess: Aeronautics Transfer #039Less: General Fund Transfer #001Less: Marine Transfer #048 and #267Less: Outdoor Recreation Vehicle Transfer #268 and #01BLess: Snowmobile #01M

NET GASOLINE TAX

GROSS SPECIAL FUEL TAXLess: Non-Highway RefundsLess: Tribal Reservation Refunds

NET SPECIAL FUEL TAX

TOTAL MOTOR FUEL TAX

LESS ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES: Department of Licensing #108

TOTAL EXPENSES

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION1¢ Net for Distribution

DISTRIBUTIONS

STATEGENERAL WSDOT & OTHER AGENCIES

44.387% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(a) #108SPECIAL CATEGORY C

3.2609% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(b) #215TRANSPORTATION 2003 ACCOUNT

100% of 5¢, RCW 46.68.090(3) #550TRANSPORTATION PARTNERSHIP ACCOUNT

83.3334% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(c)(5)(c) and100% of 2¢ and 1.5¢ RCW 46.68.090(6) #09H

CONNECTING WASHINGTON ACCOUNT100% of 7¢ and 4.9¢ RCW 46.68.090(7) #20H

TOTAL TO STATE

Plus: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1) #108Plus: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2) #108Plus: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)

NET TO STATE

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

$1,819,479,000 $1,830,813,400 $1,842,570,600 $1,854,920,600 $1,864,405,400 $1,873,445,600 $1,879,768,800 $1,883,029,200102,220,400 99,977,400 101,343,000 102,153,000 102,881,300 103,599,900 104,248,400 104,822,300

1,479,557,600 1,489,360,600 1,500,031,000 1,510,652,000 1,518,358,400 1,525,472,000 1,529,671,000 1,530,708,40019,234,200 16,383,000 17,100,400 17,221,400 17,309,300 17,390,400 17,438,200 17,450,100 37,926,600 38,209,400 38,591,500 38,977,400 39,367,200 39,760,900 40,158,500 40,560,000

414,300 417,000 420,100 423,000 425,100 427,100 428,300 428,600 801,900 884,000 941,000 1,000,300 1,046,500 1,087,300 1,123,600 1,157,300

10,499,800 10,569,300 10,645,100 10,720,400 10,775,100 10,825,600 10,855,400 10,862,800 10,032,200 10,118,600 10,185,900 10,257,000 10,307,700 10,354,200 10,380,300 10,384,300

1,078,600 1,082,700 1,086,800 1,090,900 1,095,000 1,099,100 1,099,100 1,099,600

1,399,570,000 1,411,696,600 1,421,060,300 1,430,961,600 1,438,032,500 1,444,527,400 1,448,187,600 1,448,765,700 ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------

339,921,400 341,452,800 342,539,600 344,268,600 346,047,000 347,973,600 350,097,800 352,320,800 16,656,100 16,731,200 16,784,400 16,869,200 16,956,300 17,050,700 17,154,800 17,263,700

5,576,700 5,582,300 5,587,900 5,593,500 5,599,000 5,604,600 5,610,200 5,615,900

317,688,600 319,139,300 320,167,300 321,806,000 323,491,700 325,318,300 327,332,800 329,441,200

1,717,258,600 1,730,836,000 1,741,227,600 1,752,767,600 1,761,524,100 1,769,845,700 1,775,520,400 1,778,206,900 ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------

9,826,500 10,016,700 10,210,500 10,420,600 10,639,800 10,863,100 11,088,900 11,315,500

9,826,500 10,016,700 10,210,500 10,420,600 10,639,800 10,863,100 11,088,900 11,315,500 ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------

1,707,432,000 1,720,819,300 1,731,017,100 1,742,346,900 1,750,884,400 1,758,982,600 1,764,431,500 1,766,891,50034,563,400 34,834,400 35,040,800 35,270,200 35,443,000 35,606,900 35,717,200 35,767,000

352,858,100 355,624,700 357,732,200 360,073,600 361,838,000 363,511,600 364,637,600 365,146,000

25,922,800 26,126,000 26,280,900 26,452,900 26,582,500 26,705,500 26,788,200 26,825,500

172,817,000 174,172,000 175,204,200 176,350,900 177,215,000 178,034,700 178,586,200 178,835,200

293,789,100 296,092,500 297,847,200 299,796,700 301,265,700 302,659,100 303,596,700 304,019,900

411,304,500 414,529,300 416,985,900 419,715,200 421,771,700 423,722,500 425,035,100 425,627,700

1,256,691,400 1,266,544,600 1,274,050,300 1,282,389,300 1,288,672,900 1,294,633,300 1,298,643,800 1,300,454,300 ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------

4,086,800 4,118,800 4,143,200 4,170,400 4,190,800 4,210,200 4,223,200 4,229,100 899,100 906,100 911,500 917,500 922,000 926,200 929,100 930,400 352,900 352,900 352,900 352,900 352,900 352,900 352,900 352,900

1,262,030,200 1,271,922,500 1,279,458,000 1,287,830,000 1,294,138,600 1,300,122,700 1,304,149,000 1,305,966,700

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-20 11/28/2017

Page 21: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 5. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue By Month of DistributionFor Fiscal Years November 2017

WASHINGTON STATE FERRIESPUGET SOUND FERRY OPERATIONS ACCOUNT #109

2.3283% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(c) Plus: RCW 46.68.080(5), Capron Act Redistributions #109

TOTAL TO FERRY OPERATIONS

PUGET SOUND FERRY CONSTRUCTION ACCOUNT #0992.3726% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(d) #099

TOTAL TO WASHINGTON STATE FERRIES

TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD7.5597% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(e) #1445.6739% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(f) #144Plus: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account # 08M

TOTAL TO TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD

CITIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

10.6961% of 23¢ to Cities RCW 46.68.090(2)(g)2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(a) and (5)(a)

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2)Less: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account #08M

RCW 46.68.110(3)NET TO CITIES

COUNTIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

19.2287% of 23¢ to Counties RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(b) and (5)(b)

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.120(1)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.120(3)Less: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)

TOTAL AMOUNT ALLOCATED TO COUNTIESLess: Amounts to Ferry Operations, RCW 46.68.080(5)

TOTAL NET TO COUNTIES

REFUNDS TO COUNTIESTo San Juan County RCW 46.68.080(1) Capron ActTo Island County RCW 46.68.080(2) Capron ActTo Pierce, Skagit, and Whatcom Counties RCW 47.56.725

NET DISTRIBUTION TO COUNTIESCOUNTY ARTERIAL PRESERVATION

1.9565% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(i) #186

RURAL ARTERIAL PROGRAM 2.5363% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(j) #102

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

$18,509,000 $18,654,100 $18,764,700 $18,887,500 $18,980,000 $19,067,800 $19,126,900 $19,153,6009,539,300 9,614,100 9,671,100 9,734,400 9,782,000 9,827,300 9,857,700 9,871,500

28,048,300 28,268,200 28,435,700 28,621,900 28,762,100 28,895,100 28,984,600 29,025,000

18,861,200 19,009,100 19,121,700 19,246,900 19,341,200 19,430,600 19,490,800 19,518,000

46,909,500 47,277,300 47,557,400 47,868,700 48,103,300 48,325,800 48,475,500 48,543,000 ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------

60,096,500 60,567,600 60,926,600 61,325,400 61,625,800 61,910,900 62,102,700 62,189,300 45,105,100 45,458,800 45,728,200 46,027,500 46,253,000 46,466,900 46,610,900 46,675,900

1,023,100 1,031,100 1,037,200 1,044,000 1,049,100 1,054,000 1,057,300 1,058,700

106,224,700 107,057,600 107,692,000 108,396,900 108,928,000 109,431,800 109,770,800 109,923,900 ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------

85,029,500 85,696,200 86,204,100 86,768,300 87,193,400 87,596,700 87,868,100 87,990,600

17,281,600 17,417,100 17,520,300 17,635,000 17,721,400 17,803,400 17,858,500 17,883,400

(1,534,700) (1,546,700) (1,555,900) (1,566,000) (1,573,700) (1,581,000) (1,585,900) (1,588,100)(337,600) (340,300) (342,300) (344,500) (346,200) (347,800) (348,900) (349,400)

(1,023,100) (1,031,100) (1,037,200) (1,044,000) (1,049,100) (1,054,000) (1,057,300) (1,058,700)

99,415,800 100,195,200 100,789,000 101,448,700 101,945,800 102,417,300 102,734,600 102,877,800 ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------

152,860,100 154,058,600 154,971,600 155,985,900 156,750,300 157,475,300 157,963,100 158,183,300

17,281,600 17,417,100 17,520,300 17,635,000 17,721,400 17,803,400 17,858,500 17,883,400

(2,552,100) (2,572,100) (2,587,400) (2,604,300) (2,617,100) (2,629,200) (2,637,300) (2,641,000)(561,500) (565,900) (569,200) (572,900) (575,800) (578,400) (580,200) (581,000)(352,900) (352,900) (352,900) (352,900) (352,900) (352,900) (352,900) (352,900)

166,675,300 167,984,900 168,982,500 170,090,800 170,926,000 171,718,200 172,251,200 172,491,800 (9,539,300) (9,614,100) (9,671,100) (9,734,400) (9,782,000) (9,827,300) (9,857,700) (9,871,500)

157,136,000 158,370,800 159,311,400 160,356,400 161,143,900 161,890,900 162,393,500 162,620,400

(2,088,200) (2,104,500) (2,117,000) (2,130,900) (2,141,300) (2,151,200) (2,157,900) (2,160,900)(4,355,900) (4,390,000) (4,416,100) (4,445,000) (4,466,700) (4,487,400) (4,501,300) (4,507,600)

(936,700) (936,700) (936,700) (936,700) (936,700) (936,700) (936,700) (936,700)149,755,200 150,939,500 151,841,600 152,843,900 153,599,100 154,315,500 154,797,600 155,015,200

15,553,400 15,675,300 15,768,200 15,871,400 15,949,200 16,022,900 16,072,600 16,095,000 ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------

20,162,500 20,320,600 20,441,000 20,574,800 20,675,600 20,771,300 20,835,600 20,864,700 ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------- ------------------------ ------------------------

$1,707,432,000 $1,720,819,300 $1,731,017,100 $1,742,346,900 $1,750,884,400 $1,758,982,600 $1,764,431,500 $1,766,891,500

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-21 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 5. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue By Month of DistributionFor Fiscal Years November 2017

GROSS FUEL TAXTOTAL REFUNDS AND TRANSFERS

GROSS GASOLINE TAXLess: Non-Highway RefundsLess: Tribal Reservation RefundsLess: Aeronautics Transfer #039Less: General Fund Transfer #001Less: Marine Transfer #048 and #267Less: Outdoor Recreation Vehicle Transfer #268 and #01BLess: Snowmobile #01M

NET GASOLINE TAX

GROSS SPECIAL FUEL TAXLess: Non-Highway RefundsLess: Tribal Reservation Refunds

NET SPECIAL FUEL TAX

TOTAL MOTOR FUEL TAX

LESS ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES: Department of Licensing #108

TOTAL EXPENSES

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION1¢ Net for Distribution

DISTRIBUTIONS

STATEGENERAL WSDOT & OTHER AGENCIES

44.387% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(a) #108SPECIAL CATEGORY C

3.2609% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(b) #215TRANSPORTATION 2003 ACCOUNT

100% of 5¢, RCW 46.68.090(3) #550TRANSPORTATION PARTNERSHIP ACCOUNT

83.3334% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(c)(5)(c) and100% of 2¢ and 1.5¢ RCW 46.68.090(6) #09H

CONNECTING WASHINGTON ACCOUNT100% of 7¢ and 4.9¢ RCW 46.68.090(7) #20H

TOTAL TO STATE

Plus: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1) #108Plus: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2) #108Plus: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)

NET TO STATE

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2028 2029

$1,886,240,200 $1,889,401,800$105,401,000 $105,997,400

$1,531,745,800 $1,532,783,20017,461,900 17,473,700 40,965,600 41,375,300

428,900 429,200 1,195,400 1,248,500

10,870,100 10,877,500 10,388,300 10,392,300

1,099,600 1,099,600

1,449,336,000 1,449,887,200 ------------------------- -------------------------

354,494,400 356,618,600 17,370,200 17,474,300

5,621,000 5,627,100

331,503,200 333,517,200

1,780,839,200 1,783,404,400 ------------------------- -------------------------

11,543,700 11,774,700

11,543,700 11,774,700 ------------------------- -------------------------

1,769,295,500 1,771,629,70035,815,700 35,862,900

365,642,800 366,125,200

26,862,000 26,897,500

179,078,500 179,314,700

304,433,600 304,835,200

426,206,800 426,769,100

1,302,223,700 1,303,941,700 ------------------------- -------------------------

4,234,900 4,240,500 931,700 932,900 352,900 352,900

1,307,743,100 1,309,468,000

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-22 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable A. 5. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue By Month of DistributionFor Fiscal Years November 2017

WASHINGTON STATE FERRIESPUGET SOUND FERRY OPERATIONS ACCOUNT #109

2.3283% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(c) Plus: RCW 46.68.080(5), Capron Act Redistributions #109

TOTAL TO FERRY OPERATIONS

PUGET SOUND FERRY CONSTRUCTION ACCOUNT #0992.3726% of 23¢, RCW 46.68.090(2)(d) #099

TOTAL TO WASHINGTON STATE FERRIES

TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD7.5597% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(e) #1445.6739% of 23¢ to TIA RCW 46.68.090(2)(f) #144Plus: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account # 08M

TOTAL TO TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT BOARD

CITIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

10.6961% of 23¢ to Cities RCW 46.68.090(2)(g)2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(a) and (5)(a)

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.110(1)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.110(2)Less: Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account #08M

RCW 46.68.110(3)NET TO CITIES

COUNTIESREGULAR DISTRIBUTION

19.2287% of 23¢ to Counties RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)2005 DISTRIBUTION

8.3333% of 6¢ RCW 46.68.090(4)(b) and (5)(b)

Less: State Supervision, 1.5%, RCW 46.68.120(1)Less: Studies, 0.33% RCW 46.68.120(3)Less: Withholding CRAB RCW 46.68.090(2)(h)

TOTAL AMOUNT ALLOCATED TO COUNTIESLess: Amounts to Ferry Operations, RCW 46.68.080(5)

TOTAL NET TO COUNTIES

REFUNDS TO COUNTIESTo San Juan County RCW 46.68.080(1) Capron ActTo Island County RCW 46.68.080(2) Capron ActTo Pierce, Skagit, and Whatcom Counties RCW 47.56.725

NET DISTRIBUTION TO COUNTIESCOUNTY ARTERIAL PRESERVATION

1.9565% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(i) #186

RURAL ARTERIAL PROGRAM 2.5363% of 23¢ RCW 46.68.090(2)(j) #102

NET FOR DISTRIBUTION

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2028 2029

$19,179,600 $19,204,9009,884,900 9,898,000

29,064,500 29,102,900

19,544,600 19,570,300

48,609,100 48,673,200 ------------------------- -------------------------

62,273,900 62,356,000 46,739,400 46,801,000

1,060,200 1,061,600

110,073,400 110,218,600 ------------------------- -------------------------

88,110,300 88,226,500

17,907,800 17,931,400

(1,590,300) (1,592,400)(349,900) (350,300)

(1,060,200) (1,061,600)

103,017,800 103,153,700 ------------------------- -------------------------

158,398,500 158,607,500

17,907,800 17,931,400

(2,644,600) (2,648,100)(581,800) (582,600)(352,900) (352,900)

172,727,000 172,955,400 (9,884,900) (9,898,000)

162,842,100 163,057,400

(2,163,800) (2,166,700)(4,513,700) (4,519,700)

(936,700) (936,700)155,227,900 155,434,300

16,116,900 16,138,100 ------------------------- -------------------------

20,893,100 20,920,600 ------------------------- -------------------------

$1,769,295,500 $1,771,629,700

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-23 11/28/2017

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Return to Table of Contents

Transportation Revenue Forecast Council

November 2017

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Gross Total Fuel Taxes 1,264,797,056 1,282,377,674 1,502,070,725 1,729,805,960 1,788,397,514 1,804,816,446 1,819,479,000 1,830,813,400 1,842,570,600 1,854,920,600 1,864,405,400 1,873,445,600 1,879,768,800 1,883,029,200 1,886,240,200 1,889,401,800 Gross Gasoline Tax 1,018,633,203 1,033,853,884 1,213,642,945 1,401,890,081 1,454,410,806 1,466,672,235 1,479,557,583 1,489,360,600 1,500,031,000 1,510,652,000 1,518,358,400 1,525,472,000 1,529,671,000 1,530,708,400 1,531,745,800 1,532,783,200 Gasoline Tax Transfers 48,718,851 53,413,469 65,231,699 85,647,044 84,201,773 80,575,994 79,987,561 77,663,981 78,970,686 79,690,399 80,325,930 80,944,551 81,483,382 81,942,688 82,409,774 82,896,012

Off Road Vehicle Acct (#268) 3,523,137 3,561,637 4,571,155 5,455,948 5,745,646 5,811,959 5,868,858 5,919,397 5,958,752 6,000,335 6,029,984 6,057,191 6,072,471 6,074,816 6,077,142 6,079,468 Off Road Vehicle Acct (#01B) 2,499,320 2,526,631 3,242,785 3,870,459 4,075,971 4,123,014 4,163,378 4,199,230 4,227,149 4,256,648 4,277,681 4,296,982 4,307,821 4,309,485 4,311,135 4,312,785 Snowmobile Acct (#01M) 743,474 608,453 981,220 1,311,110 1,097,521 1,078,557 1,078,557 1,082,670 1,086,783 1,090,896 1,095,009 1,099,122 1,099,122 1,099,579 1,099,579 1,099,579 Marine Fuel Acct (#267) 6,290,507 6,384,380 8,068,445 9,839,299 10,304,428 10,408,319 10,499,761 10,569,328 10,645,051 10,720,424 10,775,113 10,825,595 10,855,393 10,862,755 10,870,117 10,877,479 Other Gasoline Tax Refunds & Admin Costs 35,662,413 40,332,368 48,368,093 65,170,229 62,978,208 59,154,146 58,377,009 55,893,357 57,052,951 57,622,097 58,148,143 58,665,661 59,148,575 59,596,054 60,051,801 60,526,700

Gasoline Tax Net of Refunds & Transfers 969,914,352 980,440,414 1,148,411,246 1,316,243,037 1,370,209,033 1,386,096,241 1,399,570,022 1,411,696,619 1,421,060,314 1,430,961,601 1,438,032,470 1,444,527,449 1,448,187,618 1,448,765,712 1,449,336,026 1,449,887,188 Gross Special Fuel Tax 246,163,853 248,523,791 288,427,780 327,915,879 333,986,708 338,144,212 339,921,417 341,452,800 342,539,600 344,268,600 346,047,000 347,973,600 350,097,800 352,320,800 354,494,400 356,618,600

Special Fuel Tax Refunds 18,350,963 17,261,641 18,742,304 16,854,763 21,930,916 22,140,199 22,232,854 22,313,468 22,372,304 22,462,612 22,555,348 22,655,350 22,765,040 22,879,578 22,991,232 23,101,407 Special Fuel Tax Net of Refunds & Transfers 227,812,890 231,262,150 269,685,476 311,061,116 312,055,792 316,004,012 317,688,563 319,139,332 320,167,296 321,805,988 323,491,652 325,318,250 327,332,760 329,441,222 331,503,168 333,517,193 Distribution to AccountsGasoline Tax Distributions

Motor Vehicle (#108) 841,448,898 850,664,229 876,584,670 883,544,724 904,101,239 914,595,574 923,509,876 931,543,003 937,759,202 944,332,865 949,045,795 953,380,556 955,849,550 956,289,596 956,724,940 957,148,398 Transportation 2003 Nickel (#550) 128,465,453 129,776,186 133,483,889 134,761,285 137,901,714 139,497,239 140,846,197 142,057,283 142,988,495 143,972,999 144,670,614 145,309,732 145,662,150 145,702,993 145,742,925 145,780,707 Connecting WA (#20H) 138,342,687 297,937,028 328,206,080 332,003,428 335,213,949 338,096,333 340,312,617 342,655,737 344,316,061 345,837,162 346,675,917 346,773,123 346,868,161 346,958,083

Special Fuel Tax DistributionsMotor Vehicle (#108) 197,639,917 200,650,700 205,995,567 208,688,278 205,904,812 208,510,526 209,627,221 210,591,611 211,278,346 212,368,662 213,491,569 214,707,928 216,049,531 217,454,470 218,828,961 220,172,148 Transportation 2003 Nickel (#550) 30,172,973 30,611,450 31,367,726 31,834,445 31,405,615 31,802,807 31,970,811 32,114,710 32,215,666 32,377,907 32,544,403 32,724,947 32,924,032 33,132,175 33,335,564 33,534,037 Connecting WA (#20H) 32,322,183 70,538,393 74,745,364 75,690,680 76,090,531 76,433,011 76,673,285 77,059,418 77,455,680 77,885,375 78,359,197 78,854,577 79,338,643 79,811,008

Other Gasoline & Special Fuel Tax DistributionsSpecial Category C (#215) 23,795,986 24,058,370 24,727,973 24,989,593 25,396,336 25,695,247 25,922,793 26,126,043 26,280,869 26,452,883 26,582,501 26,705,451 26,788,177 26,825,526 26,862,024 26,897,463 Transportation Partnership (#09H) 269,685,451 272,659,109 280,247,878 283,212,874 287,822,595 291,210,214 293,789,052 296,092,528 297,847,213 299,796,681 301,265,671 302,659,097 303,596,653 304,019,929 304,433,575 304,835,209 Puget Sound Ferry Operations (#109) 21,665,492 22,256,723 24,534,388 27,001,219 27,586,931 27,802,093 28,048,297 28,268,212 28,435,733 28,621,850 28,762,096 28,895,128 28,984,637 29,025,048 29,064,539 29,102,883 Puget Sound Ferry Construction (#099) 17,313,734 17,504,642 17,991,839 18,182,191 18,478,134 18,695,618 18,861,179 19,009,062 19,121,712 19,246,867 19,341,176 19,430,634 19,490,825 19,517,999 19,544,555 19,570,339 Transportation Improvement (#144) 96,570,444 97,635,268 101,328,650 102,400,698 104,067,425 105,292,280 106,224,705 107,057,568 107,692,006 108,396,871 108,928,011 109,431,829 109,770,819 109,923,862 110,073,423 110,218,641 Small City Pavement & Sidewalk (#08M) 939,172 949,527 975,955 986,280 1,002,334 1,014,131 1,023,112 1,031,133 1,037,244 1,044,033 1,049,149 1,054,001 1,057,266 1,058,740 1,060,181 1,061,580 County Arterial Preservation (#186) 14,277,300 14,434,727 14,836,481 14,993,449 15,237,490 15,416,833 15,553,358 15,675,305 15,768,199 15,871,405 15,949,174 16,022,943 16,072,578 16,094,986 16,116,885 16,138,148 Rural Arterial Program (#102) 18,508,313 18,712,393 19,233,205 19,436,691 19,753,052 19,985,542 20,162,526 20,320,612 20,441,034 20,574,825 20,675,641 20,771,270 20,835,614 20,864,663 20,893,052 20,920,615

Net Total Fuel Taxes 1,197,727,241 1,211,702,564 1,418,096,722 1,627,304,153 1,682,264,824 1,702,100,253 1,717,258,585 1,730,835,950 1,741,227,610 1,752,767,588 1,761,524,122 1,769,845,699 1,775,520,377 1,778,206,934 1,780,839,194 1,783,404,381

Table A. 6. Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Forecast By Fiscal Year Based on Month of Distribution

Current Biennium

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-24 11/28/2017

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Motor Vehicle Related Revenue Forecast Licenses, Permits, and Fees

November 2017

Contact: Ding, David, Washington State Department of Transportation, 360-705-7502, [email protected] Alice Vogel, Washington State Department of Licensing, 360-902-3986, [email protected]

Robert A. Plue, Washington State Department of Licensing, 360-902-3643, [email protected] Reinhold Groepler, Ph. D., Washington State Department of Licensing, 360-902-3704, [email protected]

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-25 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 1. Washington Motor Vehicle Registration Fiscal Year Forecasts November 2017

Current Biennium2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Motor Vehicle RegistrationsPassenger Cars (November 2017 Forecast) 4,320,265 4,417,563 4,529,669 4,707,553 4,908,456 5,060,804 5,125,000 5,235,200 5,356,200

Annual Percent Change -0.4% 2.3% 2.5% 3.9% 4.3% 3.1% 1.3% 2.2% 2.3%Passenger Cars (September 2017 Forecast) 4,320,265 4,417,563 4,529,669 4,707,553 4,908,456 5,060,804 5,140,000 5,257,100 5,379,000

Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.3% -0.4% -0.4%

Trucks (November 2017 Forecast) 1,442,462 1,447,305 1,459,229 1,489,331 1,539,232 1,578,707 1,585,000 1,607,600 1,622,500Annual Percent Change -1.7% 0.3% 0.8% 2.1% 3.4% 2.6% 0.4% 1.4% 0.9%

Trucks (September 2017 Forecast) 1,442,462 1,447,305 1,459,229 1,489,331 1,539,232 1,578,707 1,595,000 1,618,500 1,635,500 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.6% -0.7% -0.8%

Total Cars and Trucks (November 2017 Forecast) 5,762,727 5,864,868 5,988,898 6,196,884 6,447,688 6,639,511 6,710,000 6,842,800 6,978,700Annual Percent Change -0.7% 1.8% 2.1% 3.5% 4.0% 3.0% 1.1% 2.0% 2.0%

Total Cars and Trucks (September 2017 Forecast) 5,762,727 5,864,868 5,988,898 6,196,884 6,447,688 6,639,511 6,735,000 6,875,600 7,014,500 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.4% -0.5% -0.5%

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029Passenger Cars (November 2017 Forecast) 5,468,700 5,548,900 5,627,300 5,704,200 5,782,400 5,862,100 5,940,700 6,018,300 6,095,000

Annual Percent Change 2.1% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3%Passenger Cars (September 2017 Forecast) 5,484,400 5,556,400 5,628,600 5,701,800 5,777,800 5,855,100 5,931,100 6,005,300 6,077,600

Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 -0.3% -0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3%

Trucks (November 2017 Forecast) 1,628,800 1,632,300 1,639,500 1,648,500 1,658,700 1,670,200 1,682,000 1,694,200 1,707,000Annual Percent Change 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8%

Trucks (September 2017 Forecast) 1,645,800 1,648,700 1,655,700 1,664,800 1,675,000 1,686,700 1,698,600 1,710,900 1,723,800 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0%

Total Cars and Trucks (November 2017 Forecast) 7,097,500 7,181,200 7,266,800 7,352,700 7,441,100 7,532,300 7,622,700 7,712,500 7,802,000Annual Percent Change 1.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2%

Total Cars and Trucks (September 2017 Forecast) 7,130,200 7,205,100 7,284,300 7,366,600 7,452,800 7,541,800 7,629,700 7,716,200 7,801,400 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 -0.5% -0.3% -0.2% -0.2% -0.2% -0.1% -0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-26 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 2. Vehicle Related Revenue (License, Permits and Fees)Biennial Comparison

November 2017 BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2011-2013 2011 - 2013 2013-2015 2013 - 2015

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

Collected by Department of Licensing:Registration Fees:

Vehicles paying Basic License Fee ($30) $297,302,559 $297,302,559 $0 0.00% $309,872,759 $309,872,759 $0 0.00%Vehicles paying Weight-based Registration Fee (All Trucks) 345,956,289 345,956,289 0 0.00% 361,176,906 361,176,906 0 0.00%Vehicles paying Freight Project Fee (Trucks >10,000 lbs) 0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%Vehicles paying varying fees 1,345,642 1,345,642 0 0.00% 1,414,823 1,414,823 0 0.00%Vehicle Business Licenses 3,251,541 3,251,541 0 0.00% 3,610,982 3,610,982 0 0.00%Personal Trailers 13,131,620 13,131,620 0 0.00% 13,326,183 13,326,183 0 0.00%Intermittent-Use Trailers ($187.50) 0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%

Penalty Fees 6,298,757 6,298,757 0 0.00% 8,253,167 8,253,167 0 0.00%Passenger Vehicle Weight Fees 110,152,365 110,152,365 0 0.00% 116,648,679 116,648,679 0 0.00%Motor Home Weight Fees 9,852,308 9,852,308 0 0.00% 9,989,696 9,989,696 0 0.00%Capacity Fees 68,700 68,700 0 0.00% 68,525 68,525 0 0.00%Transaction Fees 193,150 193,150 0 0.00% 191,491 191,491 0 0.00%Tonnage Permits 1,083,827 1,083,827 0 0.00% 1,097,878 1,097,878 0 0.00%RV Disposal Fee 1,273,225 1,273,225 0 0.00% 1,328,384 1,328,384 0 0.00%Trip Permit Filing Fees (WSDOT) 70,038 70,038 0 0.00% 70,333 70,333 0 0.00%Trip Permit Admin Fees and Surcharge 6,866,179 6,866,179 0 0.00% 7,154,104 7,154,104 0 0.00%Farm Trip Permits 7,307 7,307 0 0.00% 6,649 6,649 0 0.00%Vehicle Inspection Fees 11,367,493 11,367,493 0 0.00% 12,707,208 12,707,208 0 0.00%Safety Inspection Fees 4,635,726 4,635,726 0 0.00% 4,934,950 4,934,950 0 0.00%Other Vehicle Registration Fees 1,788,470 1,788,470 0 0.00% 1,922,807 1,922,807 0 0.00%DOL Services Fee 5,837,268 5,837,268 0 0.00% 6,122,523 6,122,523 0 0.00%License Plate Technology Fee 2,920,094 2,920,094 0 0.00% 3,062,562 3,062,562 0 0.00%Electric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($100) 80,083 80,083 0 0.00% 1,017,416 1,017,416 0 0.00%Electric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($50) 0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%Original Plate Fee 8,407,760 8,407,760 0 0.00% 26,284,320 26,284,320 0 0.00%Plate Replacement Fees 29,610,312 29,610,312 0 0.00% 30,707,022 30,707,022 0 0.00%Plate Reflectivity 10,751,566 10,751,566 0 0.00% 11,657,289 11,657,289 0 0.00%Title Fees 34,464,920 34,464,920 0 0.00% 64,602,779 64,602,779 0 0.00%Quick Titles 743,729 743,729 0 0.00% 1,816,748 1,816,748 0 0.00%IFTA Decals 659,670 659,670 0 0.00% 678,544 678,544 0 0.00%Dealer Plate Fees 1,147,464 1,147,464 0 0.00% 1,262,668 1,262,668 0 0.00%Dealer Temporary Permits (WSP $10 Distribution) 8,405,150 8,405,150 0 0.00% 11,143,460 11,143,460 0 0.00%Filing Fees 2,992,588 2,992,588 0 0.00% 3,231,523 3,231,523 0 0.00%Plate Number Retention Fees 1,468,420 1,468,420 0 0.00% 1,310,780 1,310,780 0 0.00%Wheeled All Terrain Vehicles On Road Fee 0 0 0 0.00% 44,280 44,280 0 0.00%Title Service Fee $12 (Vehicles & Vessels) 0 0 0 0.00% 3,003,435 3,003,435 0 0.00%Registration Service Fee $5 (Vehicles & Vessels) 0 0 0 0.00% 6,191,950 6,191,950 0 0.00%

Total Collected by DOL $922,134,220 $922,134,220 $0 0.00% $1,025,912,824 $1,025,912,824 $0 0.00%

Collected by Department of TransportationSpecial Permit Fees $15,918,732 $15,918,732 $0 0.00% $16,153,287 $16,153,287 $0 0.00%Bus Mileage 48,957 48,957 0 0.00% 46,867 46,867 0 0.00%Total Collected by DOT $15,967,689 $15,967,689 $0 0.00% $16,200,154 $16,200,154 $0 0.00%

Total Revenue fromLicenses, Permits, and Fees $938,101,909 $938,101,909 $0 0.00% $1,042,112,978 $1,042,112,978 $0 0.00%

DifferenceDifference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-27 11/28/2017

Page 28: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 2. Vehicle Related Revenue (License, Permits and Fees)Biennial Comparison

November 2017 BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2011-2013 2011 - 2013 2013-2015 2013 - 2015

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value PercentDifferenceDifference

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108 $397,735,253 $397,735,253 $0 0.00% $428,927,483 $428,927,483 $0 0.00%State Patrol-Fund 081 290,693,384 290,693,384 0 0.00% 310,140,572 310,140,572 0 0.00%State Ferries-Fund 109 14,810,865 14,810,865 0 0.00% 15,797,792 15,797,792 0 0.00%Capital Vessel Replacement Account--Fund 18J 0 0 0 0.00% 9,195,385 9,195,385 0 0.00%RV Disposal Fee-Fund 097 1,273,225 1,273,225 0 0.00% 1,328,384 1,328,384 0 0.00%Multimodal Fund-Fund 2181 130,193,084 130,193,084 0 0.00% 140,033,710 140,033,710 0 0.00%Transportation 2003 (Nickel) Account-Fund 550 47,433,594 47,433,594 0 0.00% 78,393,466 78,393,466 0 0.00%Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09H 41,281,840 41,281,840 0 0.00% 43,066,821 43,066,821 0 0.00%Freight Mobility Multimodal Account-Fund 11E 6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00% 6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00%Rural Arterial Trust Account 102-253 0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%Transportation Improvement Account 144 0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%DOL Services Account-Fund 201 5,784,947 5,784,947 0 0.00% 6,122,523 6,122,523 0 0.00%License Plate Technology Account-Fund 06T 2,895,717 2,895,717 0 0.00% 3,062,562 3,062,562 0 0.00%Multiuse Roadway Safety Account Collections-571 0 0 0 0.00% 44,280 44,280 0 0.00%

Total $938,101,909 $938,101,909 $0 0.00% $1,042,112,978 $1,042,112,978 $0 0.00%

Transfers2

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108 $397,735,253 $397,735,253 $0 0.00% $428,927,483 $428,927,483 $0 0.00%Capron 4,249,926 4,249,926 0 0.00% 4,484,432 4,484,432 0 0.00%

Balance in Motor Vehicle Fund $393,485,327 $393,485,327 $0 0.00% $424,443,051 $424,443,051 $0 0.00%

Multimodal Account $130,193,084 $130,193,084 $0 0.00% $140,033,710 $140,033,710 $0 0.00%Transportation Infrastructure Account-Fund 094 5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00% 5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00%Regional Mobility Grant Program Account3 40,000,000 40,000,000 0 0.00% 40,000,000 40,000,000 0 0.00%Rural Mobility Grant Program Account3 20,000,000 20,000,000 0 0.00% 20,000,000 20,000,000 0 0.00%

Balance in Multimodal Account $65,193,084 $65,193,084 $0 0.00% $75,493,357 $75,493,357 $0 0.00%

Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09H $41,281,840 $41,281,840 $0 0.00% $43,066,821 $43,066,821 $0 0.00%Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account-Fund 08M 2,000,000 2,000,000 0 0.00% 2,000,000 2,000,000 0 0.00%Transportation Improvement Account-Fund 144 5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00% 5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00%County Arterial Preservation Account-Fund 186 3,000,000 3,000,000 0 0.00% 3,000,000 3,000,000 0 0.00%Freight Mobility Investment Account-Fund 09E 6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00% 6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00%

Balance in Transportation Partnership Account $25,281,840 $25,281,840 $0 0.00% $27,066,821 $27,066,821 $0 0.00%

Capron DistributionIsland County $2,787,517 $2,787,517 $0 0.00% $2,982,006 $2,982,006 $0 0.00%San Juan County 1,462,409 1,462,409 0 0.00% 1,502,426 1,502,426 0 0.00%

Total $4,249,926 $4,249,926 $0 0.00% $4,484,432 $4,484,432 $0 0.00%1Multimodal Fund = Penalty Fees, Plate Number Retention Fees, Filing Fees, and a portion of Title Fees, Vehicle Weight Fees

Additional Electric/Plug-in Renewal Fee2Most transfers occur on July 1st of each year. Capron transfers occur monthly. 3Transfer occurs the last day of September, December, March, and June.

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-28 11/28/2017

Page 29: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 2. Vehicle Related Revenue (License, Permits and Fees)Biennial Comparison

November 2017

Collected by Department of Licensing:Registration Fees:

Vehicles paying Basic License Fee ($30)Vehicles paying Weight-based Registration Fee (All Trucks)Vehicles paying Freight Project Fee (Trucks >10,000 lbs)Vehicles paying varying feesVehicle Business Licenses Personal TrailersIntermittent-Use Trailers ($187.50)

Penalty FeesPassenger Vehicle Weight FeesMotor Home Weight FeesCapacity FeesTransaction FeesTonnage PermitsRV Disposal FeeTrip Permit Filing Fees (WSDOT)Trip Permit Admin Fees and SurchargeFarm Trip PermitsVehicle Inspection FeesSafety Inspection FeesOther Vehicle Registration FeesDOL Services FeeLicense Plate Technology FeeElectric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($100)Electric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($50)Original Plate FeePlate Replacement FeesPlate ReflectivityTitle FeesQuick TitlesIFTA DecalsDealer Plate FeesDealer Temporary Permits (WSP $10 Distribution)Filing FeesPlate Number Retention FeesWheeled All Terrain Vehicles On Road FeeTitle Service Fee $12 (Vehicles & Vessels)Registration Service Fee $5 (Vehicles & Vessels)

Total Collected by DOL

Collected by Department of TransportationSpecial Permit FeesBus MileageTotal Collected by DOT

Total Revenue fromLicenses, Permits, and Fees

Current BienniumBIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2015-2017 2015 - 2017 2017-2019 2017 - 2019

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

$333,629,538 $331,099,017 $2,530,521 0.76% $346,065,700 $347,173,700 ($1,108,000) -0.32%418,361,813 416,566,249 1,795,564 0.43% 452,257,000 451,903,100 353,900 0.08%16,244,221 15,634,463 609,758 3.90% 32,800,700 32,504,800 295,900 0.91%1,984,753 1,999,559 (14,806) -0.74% 2,567,300 2,015,500 551,800 27.38%3,641,760 3,641,807 (47) 0.00% 3,087,600 3,148,700 (61,100) -1.94%

13,334,333 13,391,276 (56,943) -0.43% 13,261,400 13,261,400 0 0.00%22,500 22,500 0 0.00% 412,500 412,500 0 0.00%

10,075,455 10,071,494 3,961 0.04% 9,061,500 9,071,700 (10,200) -0.11%213,919,970 213,632,371 287,599 0.13% 315,431,900 316,519,400 (1,087,500) -0.34%10,248,185 10,254,339 (6,154) -0.06% 10,407,900 10,405,200 2,700 0.03%

70,300 70,325 (25) -0.04% 70,600 70,600 0 0.00%248,259 228,185 20,074 8.80% 240,000 200,000 40,000 20.00%983,607 978,001 5,606 0.57% 1,091,000 1,091,000 0 0.00%

1,431,603 1,425,385 6,218 0.44% 1,467,000 1,477,300 (10,300) -0.70%67,489 67,482 7 0.01% 68,000 68,000 0 0.00%

6,526,766 6,526,730 36 0.00% 6,682,700 5,762,000 920,700 15.98%5,924 5,880 44 0.75% 5,600 5,600 0 0.00%

15,393,042 15,331,164 61,878 0.40% 15,212,300 14,030,100 1,182,200 8.43%5,090,222 5,050,558 39,664 0.79% 5,231,600 5,231,800 (200) 0.00%1,907,043 1,899,730 7,313 0.38% 2,241,300 2,244,200 (2,900) -0.13%6,526,289 6,526,338 (49) 0.00% 6,829,000 6,804,000 25,000 0.37%3,259,073 3,259,097 (24) 0.00% 3,414,600 3,402,000 12,600 0.37%2,290,655 2,290,658 (3) 0.00% 4,281,600 4,497,000 (215,400) -4.79%

660,524 660,500 24 0.00% 2,185,400 2,242,100 (56,700) -2.53%30,387,789 30,387,775 14 0.00% 29,726,800 30,370,500 (643,700) -2.12%28,764,632 28,764,600 32 0.00% 30,698,500 30,012,100 686,400 2.29%12,053,758 12,053,798 (40) 0.00% 12,243,500 12,209,300 34,200 0.28%69,856,017 69,856,027 (10) 0.00% 71,070,000 70,905,000 165,000 0.23%4,008,851 4,008,851 0 0.00% 4,349,000 4,342,000 7,000 0.16%

654,404 664,087 (9,683) -1.46% 679,600 690,000 (10,400) -1.51%1,357,046 1,357,046 0 0.00% 1,313,200 1,340,000 (26,800) -2.00%

15,312,169 15,312,169 0 0.00% 14,516,000 14,536,000 (20,000) -0.14%3,364,240 3,364,240 0 0.00% 3,490,300 3,484,600 5,700 0.16%

45,380 45,380 0 0.00% 59,100 59,400 (300) -0.51%142,929 142,943 (14) -0.01% 186,400 179,400 7,000 3.90%

12,130,552 12,130,579 (27) 0.00% 11,914,000 10,786,000 1,128,000 10.46%22,442,202 22,442,155 47 0.00% 20,757,000 21,054,000 (297,000) -1.41%

$1,266,443,292 $1,261,162,877 $5,280,415 0.42% $1,435,377,500 $1,433,510,100 $1,867,400 0.13%

$16,267,493 $16,267,445 $48 0.00% $16,825,000 $17,449,100 ($624,100) -3.58%45,777 45,777 0 0.00% 48,000 48,000 0 0.00%

$16,313,269 $16,313,275 ($6) 0.00% $16,873,000 $17,497,100 ($624,100) -3.57%

$1,282,756,561 $1,277,476,152 $5,280,409 0.41% $1,452,250,500 $1,451,007,200 $1,243,300 0.09%

DifferenceDifference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-29 11/28/2017

Page 30: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 2. Vehicle Related Revenue (License, Permits and Fees)Biennial Comparison

November 2017

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108State Patrol-Fund 081State Ferries-Fund 109Capital Vessel Replacement Account--Fund 18JRV Disposal Fee-Fund 097Multimodal Fund-Fund 2181

Transportation 2003 (Nickel) Account-Fund 550Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HFreight Mobility Multimodal Account-Fund 11ERural Arterial Trust Account 102-253 Transportation Improvement Account 144DOL Services Account-Fund 201License Plate Technology Account-Fund 06TMultiuse Roadway Safety Account Collections-571

Total

Transfers2

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108Capron

Balance in Motor Vehicle Fund

Multimodal AccountTransportation Infrastructure Account-Fund 094Regional Mobility Grant Program Account3

Rural Mobility Grant Program Account3

Balance in Multimodal Account

Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HSmall City Pavement and Sidewalk Account-Fund 08MTransportation Improvement Account-Fund 144County Arterial Preservation Account-Fund 186Freight Mobility Investment Account-Fund 09E

Balance in Transportation Partnership Account

Capron DistributionIsland CountySan Juan County

Total

Current BienniumBIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2015-2017 2015 - 2017 2017-2019 2017 - 2019

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value PercentDifferenceDifference

$485,187,505 $481,027,487 $4,160,018 0.86% $489,290,300 $487,475,200 $1,815,100 0.37%347,685,873 347,109,136 576,737 0.17% 405,753,800 406,282,200 (528,400) -0.13%17,445,532 17,412,426 33,106 0.19% 18,524,600 18,553,100 (28,500) -0.15%34,572,754 34,572,734 20 0.00% 32,671,000 31,840,000 831,000 2.61%1,431,603 1,425,385 6,218 0.44% 1,467,000 1,477,300 (10,300) -0.70%

244,232,468 244,228,526 3,942 0.00% 340,870,100 341,969,800 (1,099,700) -0.32%84,829,157 84,703,237 125,920 0.15% 89,087,300 88,878,200 209,100 0.24%51,346,238 51,068,843 277,395 0.54% 57,471,800 57,396,800 75,000 0.13%6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00% 6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00%

48,570 0 48,570 100.00% 342,300 374,600 (32,300) -8.62%48,570 0 48,570 100.00% 342,300 374,600 (32,300) -8.62%

6,526,289 6,526,338 (49) 0.00% 6,829,000 6,804,000 25,000 0.37%3,259,073 3,259,097 (24) 0.00% 3,414,600 3,402,000 12,600 0.37%

142,929 142,943 (14) -0.01% 186,400 179,400 7,000 3.90%$1,282,756,561 $1,277,476,152 $5,280,409 0.41% $1,452,250,500 $1,451,007,200 $1,243,300 0.09%

$485,187,507 $481,027,588 $4,159,919 0.86% $489,290,200 $487,475,200 $1,815,000 0.37%5,433,830 4,874,909 558,921 11.47% 6,167,100 5,111,600 1,055,500 20.65%

$479,753,677 $476,152,678 $3,600,999 0.76% $483,123,100 $482,363,600 $759,500 0.16%

$244,232,468 $244,228,526 $3,942 0.00% $340,870,100 $341,969,800 ($1,099,700) -0.32%5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00% 5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00%

50,000,000 50,000,000 0 0.00% 50,000,000 50,000,000 0 0.00%20,000,000 20,000,000 0 0.00% 20,000,000 20,000,000 0 0.00%

$169,232,468 $169,228,526 $3,942 0.00% $265,870,100 $266,969,800 ($1,099,700) -0.41%

$51,346,238 $51,068,843 $277,395 0.54% $57,471,800 $57,396,800 $75,000 0.13%2,000,000 2,000,000 0 0.00% 2,000,000 2,000,000 0 0.00%5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00% 5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00%3,000,000 3,000,000 0 0.00% 3,000,000 3,000,000 0 0.00%6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00% 6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00%

$35,346,238 $35,068,843 $277,395 0.79% $41,471,800 $41,396,800 $75,000 0.18%

$3,580,828 $3,176,533 $404,295 12.73% $4,114,000 $3,344,100 $769,900 23.02%1,725,142 1,570,516 154,626 9.85% 2,053,200 1,767,600 285,600 16.16%

$5,305,970 $4,747,049 $558,921 11.77% $6,167,100 $5,111,600 $1,055,500 20.65%1Multimodal Fund = Penalty Fees, Plate Number Retention Fees, Filing Fees, and a portion of Title Fees, Vehicle Weight Fees

Additional Electric/Plug-in Renewal Fee2Most transfers occur on July 1st of each year. Capron transfers occur monthly. 3Transfer occurs the last day of September, December, March, and June.

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-30 11/28/2017

Page 31: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 2. Vehicle Related Revenue (License, Permits and Fees)Biennial Comparison

November 2017

Collected by Department of Licensing:Registration Fees:

Vehicles paying Basic License Fee ($30)Vehicles paying Weight-based Registration Fee (All Trucks)Vehicles paying Freight Project Fee (Trucks >10,000 lbs)Vehicles paying varying feesVehicle Business Licenses Personal TrailersIntermittent-Use Trailers ($187.50)

Penalty FeesPassenger Vehicle Weight FeesMotor Home Weight FeesCapacity FeesTransaction FeesTonnage PermitsRV Disposal FeeTrip Permit Filing Fees (WSDOT)Trip Permit Admin Fees and SurchargeFarm Trip PermitsVehicle Inspection FeesSafety Inspection FeesOther Vehicle Registration FeesDOL Services FeeLicense Plate Technology FeeElectric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($100)Electric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($50)Original Plate FeePlate Replacement FeesPlate ReflectivityTitle FeesQuick TitlesIFTA DecalsDealer Plate FeesDealer Temporary Permits (WSP $10 Distribution)Filing FeesPlate Number Retention FeesWheeled All Terrain Vehicles On Road FeeTitle Service Fee $12 (Vehicles & Vessels)Registration Service Fee $5 (Vehicles & Vessels)

Total Collected by DOL

Collected by Department of TransportationSpecial Permit FeesBus MileageTotal Collected by DOT

Total Revenue fromLicenses, Permits, and Fees

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2019-2021 2019 - 2021 2021-2023 2021 - 2023

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

$360,434,800 $361,587,000 ($1,152,200) -0.32% $371,322,400 $371,580,500 ($258,100) -0.07%460,783,800 461,540,100 (756,300) -0.16% 479,220,700 480,523,200 (1,302,500) -0.27%33,414,500 33,191,300 223,200 0.67% 33,629,800 33,424,100 205,700 0.62%2,572,800 2,013,600 559,200 27.77% 2,578,800 2,012,300 566,500 28.15%3,056,800 3,113,600 (56,800) -1.82% 3,056,800 3,113,600 (56,800) -1.82%

13,439,200 13,439,200 0 0.00% 14,095,800 14,095,800 0 0.00%858,700 858,700 0 0.00% 1,552,500 1,552,500 0 0.00%

9,331,300 9,346,600 (15,300) -0.16% 9,540,600 9,542,500 (1,900) -0.02%329,218,800 330,351,400 (1,132,600) -0.34% 398,329,800 398,601,200 (271,400) -0.07%10,467,300 10,459,800 7,500 0.07% 10,519,800 10,507,300 12,500 0.12%

69,900 69,900 0 0.00% 69,200 69,200 0 0.00%240,000 200,000 40,000 20.00% 240,000 200,000 40,000 20.00%

1,091,000 1,091,000 0 0.00% 1,091,000 1,091,000 0 0.00%1,463,100 1,472,800 (9,700) -0.66% 1,473,000 1,482,300 (9,300) -0.63%

68,000 68,000 0 0.00% 68,000 68,000 0 0.00%6,805,500 5,883,700 921,800 15.67% 6,848,600 5,925,000 923,600 15.59%

5,600 5,600 0 0.00% 5,800 5,600 200 3.57%15,741,900 14,527,100 1,214,800 8.36% 16,152,400 14,881,000 1,271,400 8.54%5,621,600 5,625,200 (3,600) -0.06% 6,030,500 6,035,000 (4,500) -0.07%2,319,300 2,323,800 (4,500) -0.19% 2,379,700 2,380,400 (700) -0.03%7,032,100 7,059,300 (27,200) -0.39% 7,242,000 7,255,900 (13,900) -0.19%3,516,000 3,529,700 (13,700) -0.39% 3,621,000 3,628,000 (7,000) -0.19%6,576,000 6,683,000 (107,000) -1.60% 10,406,400 10,574,000 (167,600) -1.59%3,356,500 3,342,000 14,500 0.43% 5,311,600 5,287,000 24,600 0.47%

29,631,300 30,051,000 (419,700) -1.40% 29,125,300 29,690,900 (565,600) -1.90%30,741,700 30,257,500 484,200 1.60% 31,106,800 30,569,500 537,300 1.76%12,241,500 12,196,000 45,500 0.37% 12,216,600 12,189,100 27,500 0.23%70,980,000 71,130,000 (150,000) -0.21% 70,995,000 71,310,000 (315,000) -0.44%4,342,000 4,354,000 (12,000) -0.28% 4,344,000 4,365,000 (21,000) -0.48%

692,100 704,600 (12,500) -1.77% 695,000 708,000 (13,000) -1.84%1,308,800 1,323,200 (14,400) -1.09% 1,308,800 1,317,600 (8,800) -0.67%

14,209,000 14,359,000 (150,000) -1.04% 13,884,000 14,146,000 (262,000) -1.85%3,554,500 3,558,200 (3,700) -0.10% 3,577,000 3,583,200 (6,200) -0.17%

69,200 69,200 0 0.00% 72,400 72,400 0 0.00%191,100 183,900 7,200 3.92% 195,260 187,940 7,320 3.89%

11,840,000 10,534,000 1,306,000 12.40% 11,844,000 10,562,000 1,282,000 12.14%20,480,000 20,761,000 (281,000) -1.35% 21,068,000 21,302,000 (234,000) -1.10%

$1,477,766,000 $1,477,264,500 $501,500 0.03% $1,585,218,500 $1,583,839,400 $1,379,100 0.09%

$17,134,300 $17,817,500 ($683,200) -3.83% $17,242,800 $17,942,600 ($699,800) -3.90%48,000 48,000 0 0.00% 48,000 48,000 0 0.00%

$17,182,300 $17,865,500 ($683,200) -3.82% $17,290,800 $17,990,600 ($699,800) -3.89%

$1,494,948,300 $1,495,130,000 ($181,700) -0.01% $1,602,509,300 $1,601,830,000 $679,300 0.04%

DifferenceDifference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-31 11/28/2017

Page 32: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 2. Vehicle Related Revenue (License, Permits and Fees)Biennial Comparison

November 2017

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108State Patrol-Fund 081State Ferries-Fund 109Capital Vessel Replacement Account--Fund 18JRV Disposal Fee-Fund 097Multimodal Fund-Fund 2181

Transportation 2003 (Nickel) Account-Fund 550Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HFreight Mobility Multimodal Account-Fund 11ERural Arterial Trust Account 102-253 Transportation Improvement Account 144DOL Services Account-Fund 201License Plate Technology Account-Fund 06TMultiuse Roadway Safety Account Collections-571

Total

Transfers2

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108Capron

Balance in Motor Vehicle Fund

Multimodal AccountTransportation Infrastructure Account-Fund 094Regional Mobility Grant Program Account3

Rural Mobility Grant Program Account3

Balance in Multimodal Account

Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HSmall City Pavement and Sidewalk Account-Fund 08MTransportation Improvement Account-Fund 144County Arterial Preservation Account-Fund 186Freight Mobility Investment Account-Fund 09E

Balance in Transportation Partnership Account

Capron DistributionIsland CountySan Juan County

Total

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2019-2021 2019 - 2021 2021-2023 2021 - 2023

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value PercentDifferenceDifference

$501,830,600 $500,570,800 $1,259,800 0.25% $520,956,300 $519,967,100 $989,200 0.19%419,329,900 420,291,000 (961,100) -0.23% 432,407,200 432,902,300 (495,100) -0.11%19,139,800 19,186,000 (46,200) -0.24% 19,776,200 19,799,900 (23,700) -0.12%32,320,000 31,295,000 1,025,000 3.28% 32,912,000 31,864,000 1,048,000 3.29%1,463,100 1,472,800 (9,700) -0.66% 1,473,000 1,482,300 (9,300) -0.63%

354,556,100 355,770,300 (1,214,200) -0.34% 423,774,600 424,166,600 (392,000) -0.09%89,650,300 89,758,200 (107,900) -0.12% 90,856,500 91,103,900 (247,400) -0.27%58,546,500 58,608,000 (61,500) -0.10% 60,773,400 60,899,900 (126,500) -0.21%6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00% 6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00%

686,400 702,500 (16,100) -2.29% 1,260,900 1,286,100 (25,200) -1.96%686,400 702,500 (16,100) -2.29% 1,260,900 1,286,100 (25,200) -1.96%

7,032,100 7,059,300 (27,200) -0.39% 7,242,000 7,255,900 (13,900) -0.19%3,516,000 3,529,700 (13,700) -0.39% 3,621,000 3,628,000 (7,000) -0.19%

191,100 183,900 7,200 3.92% 195,300 187,900 7,400 3.94%$1,494,948,300 $1,495,130,000 ($181,700) -0.01% $1,602,509,300 $1,601,830,000 $679,300 0.04%

$501,830,600 $500,570,700 $1,259,900 0.25% $489,290,200 $487,475,200 $1,815,000 0.37%6,423,200 5,323,800 1,099,400 20.65% 6,167,100 5,111,600 1,055,500 20.65%

$495,407,400 $495,246,900 $160,500 0.03% $483,123,100 $482,363,600 $759,500 0.16%

$354,556,100 $355,770,300 ($1,214,200) -0.34% $423,774,600 $424,166,600 ($392,000) -0.09%5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00% 5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00%

50,000,000 50,000,000 0 0.00% 50,000,000 50,000,000 0 0.00%20,000,000 20,000,000 0 0.00% 20,000,000 20,000,000 0 0.00%

$279,556,100 $280,770,300 ($1,214,200) -0.43% $348,774,600 $349,166,600 ($392,000) -0.11%

$58,546,500 $58,608,000 ($61,500) -0.10% $60,773,400 $60,899,900 ($126,500) -0.21%2,000,000 2,000,000 0 0.00% 2,000,000 2,000,000 0 0.00%5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00% 5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00%3,000,000 3,000,000 0 0.00% 3,000,000 3,000,000 0 0.00%6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00% 6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00%

$42,546,500 $42,608,000 ($61,500) -0.14% $44,773,400 $44,899,900 ($126,500) -0.28%

$4,284,800 $3,482,900 $801,900 23.02% $4,414,300 $3,579,200 $835,100 23.33%2,138,400 1,840,900 297,500 16.16% 2,203,000 1,891,800 311,200 16.45%

$6,423,200 $5,323,800 $1,099,400 20.65% $6,617,200 $5,470,900 $1,146,300 20.95%1Multimodal Fund = Penalty Fees, Plate Number Retention Fees, Filing Fees, and a portion of Title Fees, Vehicle Weight Fees

Additional Electric/Plug-in Renewal Fee2Most transfers occur on July 1st of each year. Capron transfers occur monthly. 3Transfer occurs the last day of September, December, March, and June.

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-32 11/28/2017

Page 33: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 2. Vehicle Related Revenue (License, Permits and Fees)Biennial Comparison

November 2017

Collected by Department of Licensing:Registration Fees:

Vehicles paying Basic License Fee ($30)Vehicles paying Weight-based Registration Fee (All Trucks)Vehicles paying Freight Project Fee (Trucks >10,000 lbs)Vehicles paying varying feesVehicle Business Licenses Personal TrailersIntermittent-Use Trailers ($187.50)

Penalty FeesPassenger Vehicle Weight FeesMotor Home Weight FeesCapacity FeesTransaction FeesTonnage PermitsRV Disposal FeeTrip Permit Filing Fees (WSDOT)Trip Permit Admin Fees and SurchargeFarm Trip PermitsVehicle Inspection FeesSafety Inspection FeesOther Vehicle Registration FeesDOL Services FeeLicense Plate Technology FeeElectric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($100)Electric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($50)Original Plate FeePlate Replacement FeesPlate ReflectivityTitle FeesQuick TitlesIFTA DecalsDealer Plate FeesDealer Temporary Permits (WSP $10 Distribution)Filing FeesPlate Number Retention FeesWheeled All Terrain Vehicles On Road FeeTitle Service Fee $12 (Vehicles & Vessels)Registration Service Fee $5 (Vehicles & Vessels)

Total Collected by DOL

Collected by Department of TransportationSpecial Permit FeesBus MileageTotal Collected by DOT

Total Revenue fromLicenses, Permits, and Fees

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2023-2025 2023 - 2025 2025-2027 2025-2027

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

$381,048,700 $380,832,000 $216,700 0.06% $390,965,100 $390,462,400 $502,700 0.13%500,081,400 501,544,300 (1,462,900) -0.29% 507,057,300 508,435,900 (1,378,600) -0.27%33,999,900 33,782,700 217,200 0.64% 34,470,500 34,242,500 228,000 0.67%2,585,500 2,011,700 573,800 28.52% 2,592,700 2,011,400 581,300 28.90%3,056,800 3,113,600 (56,800) -1.82% 3,056,800 3,113,600 (56,800) -1.82%

14,820,700 14,820,700 0 0.00% 15,583,400 15,583,400 0 0.00%2,413,200 2,413,200 0 0.00% 3,140,600 3,140,600 0 0.00%9,741,700 9,735,700 6,000 0.06% 9,952,100 9,941,300 10,800 0.11%

468,593,100 468,316,300 276,800 0.06% 481,223,800 480,571,800 652,000 0.14%10,569,100 10,554,200 14,900 0.14% 10,618,300 10,602,100 16,200 0.15%

68,500 68,500 0 0.00% 67,800 67,800 0 0.00%240,000 200,000 40,000 20.00% 240,000 200,000 40,000 20.00%

1,091,000 1,091,000 0 0.00% 1,091,000 1,091,000 0 0.00%1,487,900 1,496,600 (8,700) -0.58% 1,504,600 1,512,700 (8,100) -0.54%

68,000 68,000 0 0.00% 68,000 68,000 0 0.00%6,922,700 5,988,600 934,100 15.60% 7,016,900 6,070,000 946,900 15.60%

5,800 5,600 200 3.57% 5,800 5,600 200 3.57%16,547,200 15,230,200 1,317,000 8.65% 16,959,900 15,601,700 1,358,200 8.71%6,482,200 6,486,700 (4,500) -0.07% 6,977,900 6,982,400 (4,500) -0.06%2,437,900 2,436,200 1,700 0.07% 2,498,800 2,495,600 3,200 0.13%7,436,000 7,442,100 (6,100) -0.08% 7,633,300 7,634,800 (1,500) -0.02%3,718,000 3,721,000 (3,000) -0.08% 3,816,700 3,817,400 (700) -0.02%

15,820,800 16,081,000 (260,200) -1.62% 21,849,600 22,206,000 (356,400) -1.60%8,075,200 8,041,000 34,200 0.43% 11,152,400 11,103,000 49,400 0.44%

29,399,700 29,869,700 (470,000) -1.57% 29,688,100 30,063,300 (375,200) -1.25%31,625,400 30,988,800 636,600 2.05% 32,049,700 31,410,000 639,700 2.04%12,377,000 12,310,100 66,900 0.54% 12,520,900 12,434,300 86,600 0.70%71,880,000 72,090,000 (210,000) -0.29% 72,780,000 72,885,000 (105,000) -0.14%4,397,000 4,411,000 (14,000) -0.32% 4,451,000 4,460,000 (9,000) -0.20%

695,000 708,000 (13,000) -1.84% 695,000 708,000 (13,000) -1.84%1,308,800 1,317,600 (8,800) -0.67% 1,308,800 1,317,600 (8,800) -0.67%

14,054,000 14,251,000 (197,000) -1.38% 14,246,000 14,370,000 (124,000) -0.86%3,615,700 3,621,700 (6,000) -0.17% 3,664,900 3,670,900 (6,000) -0.16%

73,900 73,900 0 0.00% 75,700 75,700 0 0.00%198,300 190,800 7,500 3.93% 199,600 192,000 7,600 3.96%

11,991,000 10,677,000 1,314,000 12.31% 12,141,000 10,795,000 1,346,000 12.47%21,558,000 21,782,000 (224,000) -1.03% 21,974,000 22,197,000 (223,000) -1.00%

$1,700,484,900 $1,697,772,500 $2,712,400 0.16% $1,745,337,800 $1,741,540,000 $3,797,800 0.22%

$17,429,200 $18,135,000 ($705,800) -3.89% $17,666,300 $18,381,800 ($715,500) -3.89%48,000 48,000 0 0.00% 48,000 48,000 0 0.00%

$17,477,200 $18,183,000 ($705,800) -3.88% $17,714,300 $18,429,800 ($715,500) -3.88%

$1,717,962,100 $1,715,955,500 $2,006,600 0.12% $1,763,052,100 $1,759,969,800 $3,082,300 0.18%

DifferenceDifference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-33 11/28/2017

Page 34: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 2. Vehicle Related Revenue (License, Permits and Fees)Biennial Comparison

November 2017

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108State Patrol-Fund 081State Ferries-Fund 109Capital Vessel Replacement Account--Fund 18JRV Disposal Fee-Fund 097Multimodal Fund-Fund 2181

Transportation 2003 (Nickel) Account-Fund 550Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HFreight Mobility Multimodal Account-Fund 11ERural Arterial Trust Account 102-253 Transportation Improvement Account 144DOL Services Account-Fund 201License Plate Technology Account-Fund 06TMultiuse Roadway Safety Account Collections-571

Total

Transfers2

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108Capron

Balance in Motor Vehicle Fund

Multimodal AccountTransportation Infrastructure Account-Fund 094Regional Mobility Grant Program Account3

Rural Mobility Grant Program Account3

Balance in Multimodal Account

Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HSmall City Pavement and Sidewalk Account-Fund 08MTransportation Improvement Account-Fund 144County Arterial Preservation Account-Fund 186Freight Mobility Investment Account-Fund 09E

Balance in Transportation Partnership Account

Capron DistributionIsland CountySan Juan County

Total

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2023-2025 2023 - 2025 2025-2027 2025-2027

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value PercentDifferenceDifference

$544,763,100 $543,534,900 $1,228,200 0.23% $561,045,400 $559,589,100 $1,456,300 0.26%445,727,300 445,813,700 (86,400) -0.02% 456,177,400 455,941,000 236,400 0.05%20,410,700 20,420,500 (9,800) -0.05% 20,862,000 20,860,800 1,200 0.01%33,549,000 32,459,000 1,090,000 3.36% 34,115,000 32,992,000 1,123,000 3.40%1,487,900 1,496,600 (8,700) -0.58% 1,504,600 1,512,700 (8,100) -0.54%

494,423,700 494,221,800 201,900 0.04% 507,464,800 506,846,800 618,000 0.12%92,796,300 92,981,500 (185,200) -0.20% 94,026,200 94,136,500 (110,300) -0.12%63,305,600 63,449,200 (143,600) -0.23% 64,252,300 64,384,900 (132,600) -0.21%6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00% 6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00%2,073,100 2,112,200 (39,100) -1.85% 2,977,400 3,030,900 (53,500) -1.77%2,073,100 2,112,200 (39,100) -1.85% 2,977,400 3,030,900 (53,500) -1.77%7,436,000 7,442,100 (6,100) -0.08% 7,633,300 7,634,800 (1,500) -0.02%3,718,000 3,721,000 (3,000) -0.08% 3,816,700 3,817,400 (700) -0.02%

198,300 190,800 7,500 3.93% 199,600 192,000 7,600 3.96%$1,717,962,100 $1,715,955,500 $2,006,600 0.12% $1,763,052,100 $1,759,969,800 $3,082,300 0.18%

$544,763,100 $543,535,000 $1,228,100 0.23% $561,045,300 $559,589,100 $1,456,200 0.26%6,790,600 5,607,200 1,183,400 21.11% 6,967,300 5,748,900 1,218,400 21.19%

$537,972,600 $537,927,800 $44,800 0.01% $554,078,000 $553,840,100 $237,900 0.04%

$494,423,700 $494,221,800 $201,900 0.04% $507,464,800 $506,846,800 $618,000 0.12%5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00% 5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00%

50,000,000 50,000,000 0 0.00% 50,000,000 50,000,000 0 0.00%20,000,000 20,000,000 0 0.00% 20,000,000 20,000,000 0 0.00%

$419,423,700 $419,221,800 $201,900 0.05% $432,464,800 $431,846,800 $618,000 0.14%

$63,305,600 $63,449,200 ($143,600) -0.23% $64,252,300 $64,384,900 ($132,600) -0.21%2,000,000 2,000,000 0 0.00% 2,000,000 2,000,000 0 0.00%5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00% 5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00%3,000,000 3,000,000 0 0.00% 3,000,000 3,000,000 0 0.00%6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00% 6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00%

$47,305,600 $47,449,200 ($143,600) -0.30% $48,252,300 $48,384,900 ($132,600) -0.27%

$4,529,800 $3,668,200 $861,600 23.49% $4,647,700 $3,761,000 $886,700 23.58%2,260,700 1,938,900 321,800 16.60% 2,319,500 1,987,900 331,600 16.68%

$6,790,600 $5,607,200 $1,183,400 21.11% $6,967,300 $5,748,900 $1,218,400 21.19%

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-34 11/28/2017

Page 35: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 2. Vehicle Related Revenue (License, Permits and Fees)Biennial Comparison

November 2017

Collected by Department of Licensing:Registration Fees:

Vehicles paying Basic License Fee ($30)Vehicles paying Weight-based Registration Fee (All Trucks)Vehicles paying Freight Project Fee (Trucks >10,000 lbs)Vehicles paying varying feesVehicle Business Licenses Personal TrailersIntermittent-Use Trailers ($187.50)

Penalty FeesPassenger Vehicle Weight FeesMotor Home Weight FeesCapacity FeesTransaction FeesTonnage PermitsRV Disposal FeeTrip Permit Filing Fees (WSDOT)Trip Permit Admin Fees and SurchargeFarm Trip PermitsVehicle Inspection FeesSafety Inspection FeesOther Vehicle Registration FeesDOL Services FeeLicense Plate Technology FeeElectric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($100)Electric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($50)Original Plate FeePlate Replacement FeesPlate ReflectivityTitle FeesQuick TitlesIFTA DecalsDealer Plate FeesDealer Temporary Permits (WSP $10 Distribution)Filing FeesPlate Number Retention FeesWheeled All Terrain Vehicles On Road FeeTitle Service Fee $12 (Vehicles & Vessels)Registration Service Fee $5 (Vehicles & Vessels)

Total Collected by DOL

Collected by Department of TransportationSpecial Permit FeesBus MileageTotal Collected by DOT

Total Revenue fromLicenses, Permits, and Fees

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2027-2029 2027-2029

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

$400,723,500 $399,804,300 $919,200 0.23%514,653,100 515,934,400 (1,281,300) -0.25%34,982,800 34,742,400 240,400 0.69%2,600,400 2,011,800 588,600 29.26%3,056,800 3,113,600 (56,800) -1.82%

16,384,300 16,384,300 0 0.00%3,466,900 3,466,900 0 0.00%

10,162,200 10,144,500 17,700 0.17%493,636,400 492,438,200 1,198,200 0.24%10,665,500 10,647,300 18,200 0.17%

67,200 67,200 0 0.00%240,000 200,000 40,000 20.00%

1,091,000 1,091,000 0 0.00%1,521,700 1,529,600 (7,900) -0.52%

68,000 68,000 0 0.00%7,119,300 6,158,700 960,600 15.60%

5,800 5,600 200 3.57%17,372,300 15,969,100 1,403,200 8.79%7,519,100 7,523,700 (4,600) -0.06%2,559,500 2,554,400 5,100 0.20%7,827,300 7,822,100 5,200 0.07%3,913,800 3,911,000 2,800 0.07%

27,369,600 27,820,000 (450,400) -1.62%13,969,900 13,910,000 59,900 0.43%30,258,600 30,474,000 (215,400) -0.71%32,451,200 31,808,600 642,600 2.02%12,716,100 12,596,800 119,300 0.95%73,980,000 73,905,000 75,000 0.10%4,526,000 4,521,000 5,000 0.11%

695,000 708,000 (13,000) -1.84%1,308,800 1,317,600 (8,800) -0.67%

14,606,000 14,613,000 (7,000) -0.05%3,718,400 3,724,600 (6,200) -0.17%

77,600 77,600 0 0.00%199,600 192,000 7,600 3.96%

12,340,000 10,945,000 1,395,000 12.75%22,437,000 22,659,000 (222,000) -0.98%

$1,790,290,900 $1,784,860,200 $5,430,700 0.30%

$17,924,200 $18,650,300 ($726,100) -3.89%48,000 48,000 0 0.00%

$17,972,200 $18,698,300 ($726,100) -3.88%

$1,808,263,100 $1,803,558,500 $4,704,600 0.26%

Difference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-35 11/28/2017

Page 36: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 2. Vehicle Related Revenue (License, Permits and Fees)Biennial Comparison

November 2017

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108State Patrol-Fund 081State Ferries-Fund 109Capital Vessel Replacement Account--Fund 18JRV Disposal Fee-Fund 097Multimodal Fund-Fund 2181

Transportation 2003 (Nickel) Account-Fund 550Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HFreight Mobility Multimodal Account-Fund 11ERural Arterial Trust Account 102-253 Transportation Improvement Account 144DOL Services Account-Fund 201License Plate Technology Account-Fund 06TMultiuse Roadway Safety Account Collections-571

Total

Transfers2

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108Capron

Balance in Motor Vehicle Fund

Multimodal AccountTransportation Infrastructure Account-Fund 094Regional Mobility Grant Program Account3

Rural Mobility Grant Program Account3

Balance in Multimodal Account

Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HSmall City Pavement and Sidewalk Account-Fund 08MTransportation Improvement Account-Fund 144County Arterial Preservation Account-Fund 186Freight Mobility Investment Account-Fund 09E

Balance in Transportation Partnership Account

Capron DistributionIsland CountySan Juan County

Total

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2027-2029 2027-2029

November 2017 September 2017 Value PercentDifference

$577,111,200 $575,601,600 $1,509,600 0.26%466,823,700 466,114,200 709,500 0.15%21,315,300 21,298,600 16,700 0.08%34,777,000 33,604,000 1,173,000 3.49%1,521,700 1,529,600 (7,900) -0.52%

520,390,200 519,157,200 1,233,000 0.24%95,492,800 95,477,200 15,600 0.02%65,279,700 65,399,800 (120,100) -0.18%6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00%3,805,400 3,725,600 79,800 2.14%3,805,400 3,725,600 79,800 2.14%7,827,300 7,822,100 5,200 0.07%3,913,800 3,911,000 2,800 0.07%

199,600 192,000 7,600 3.96%$1,808,263,100 $1,803,558,500 $4,704,600 0.26%

$577,111,000 $575,601,600 $1,509,400 0.26%7,141,200 5,886,500 1,254,700 21.31%

$569,969,700 $569,715,100 $254,600 0.04%

$520,390,200 $519,157,200 $1,233,000 0.24%5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00%

50,000,000 50,000,000 0 0.00%20,000,000 20,000,000 0 0.00%

$445,390,200 $444,157,200 $1,233,000 0.28%

$65,279,700 $65,399,800 ($120,100) -0.18%2,000,000 2,000,000 0 0.00%5,000,000 5,000,000 0 0.00%3,000,000 3,000,000 0 0.00%6,000,000 6,000,000 0 0.00%

$49,279,700 $49,399,800 ($120,100) -0.24%

$4,763,800 $3,851,000 $912,800 23.70%2,377,500 2,035,500 342,000 16.80%

$7,141,200 $5,886,500 $1,254,700 21.31%1Multimodal Fund = Penalty Fees, Plate Number Retention Fees, Filing Fees, and a portion of Title Fees, Vehicle Weight Fees

Additional Electric/Plug-in Renewal Fee2Most transfers occur on July 1st of each year. Capron transfers occur monthly. 3Transfer occurs the last day of September, December, March, and June.

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-36 11/28/2017

Page 37: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 3. Vehicle Related RevenueFiscal Years

November 2017 Current BienniumFiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Collected by Department of Licensing:Registration Fees:

Vehicles paying Basic License Fee ($30) $146,683,845 $150,618,714 $151,811,228 $158,061,531 $165,206,517 $168,423,021 $171,250,100 $174,815,600Vehicles paying Weight-based Registration Fee (All Trucks) 170,646,890 175,309,399 176,606,648 184,570,258 194,940,949 223,420,864 224,489,100 227,767,900Vehicles paying Freight Project Fee (Trucks >10,000 lbs) 0 0 0 0 153,663 16,090,558 16,282,300 16,518,400Vehicles paying varying fees 695,330 650,312 686,030 728,793 843,259 1,141,494 1,283,000 1,284,300 Vehicle Business Licenses 1,624,441 1,627,100 1,709,706 1,901,276 1,857,607 1,784,153 1,559,200 1,528,400 Personal Trailers 6,494,499 6,637,121 6,611,111 6,715,072 6,802,176 6,532,157 6,624,500 6,636,900 Intermittent-Use Trailers ($187.50) 0 0 0 0 0 22,500 165,000 247,500

Penalty Fees 2,844,998 3,453,759 3,917,330 4,335,837 4,954,894 5,120,561 4,495,700 4,565,800Passenger Vehicle Weight Fees 54,328,138 55,824,227 56,744,706 59,903,973 64,007,471 149,912,499 156,080,900 159,351,000Motor Home Weight Fees 4,920,793 4,931,515 4,948,125 5,041,571 5,135,339 5,112,846 5,195,900 5,212,000Capacity Fees 34,850 33,850 34,750 33,775 34,725 35,575 35,400 35,200 Transaction Fees 94,767 98,383 90,980 100,511 113,785 134,474 120,000 120,000 Tonnage Fees 542,662 541,165 550,232 547,646 539,301 444,306 545,500 545,500 RV Disposal Fee 631,198 642,027 653,965 674,419 711,485 720,118 736,100 730,900 Trip Permit Filing Fees (WSDOT) 33,807 36,231 36,052 34,281 30,982 36,507 34,000 34,000 Trip Permit Admin Fees and Surcharge 3,403,584 3,462,595 3,481,782 3,672,322 3,747,630 2,779,136 3,317,700 3,365,000 Farm Trip Permits 4,108 3,199 3,256 3,393 3,080 2,844 2,800 2,800 Vehicle Inspection Fees 5,606,053 5,761,440 6,006,018 6,701,190 7,955,764 7,437,278 7,537,300 7,675,000 Safety Inspection Fees 2,276,374 2,359,352 2,421,282 2,513,668 2,668,058 2,422,164 2,567,500 2,664,100 Other Vehicle Registration Fees 826,325 962,145 937,231 985,576 847,030 1,060,013 1,110,500 1,130,800 DOL Services Fee 2,888,215 2,949,053 3,016,075 3,106,448 3,219,338 3,306,951 3,408,300 3,420,700 License Plate Technology Fee 1,445,167 1,474,927 1,508,745 1,553,817 1,605,597 1,653,476 1,704,200 1,710,400 Electric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($100) 0 80,083 386,483 630,933 966,858 1,323,797 1,891,200 2,390,400Additional Electric/Plug-in Renewal Fee ($50) 0 0 0 0 0 660,524 965,300 1,220,100Original Plate Fee 0 8,407,760 12,409,837 13,874,483 15,403,375 14,984,414 14,753,400 14,973,400 Plate Replacement Fees 14,068,156 15,542,156 16,180,762 14,526,260 13,941,200 14,823,432 15,417,100 15,281,400 Plate Reflectivity 5,153,316 5,598,250 5,856,759 5,800,530 6,029,598 6,024,160 6,109,900 6,133,600 Title Fees 9,763,600 24,701,320 31,627,180 32,975,599 34,750,087 35,105,930 35,550,000 35,520,000 Quick Titles 174,000 569,729 744,950 1,071,798 1,918,728 2,090,123 2,176,000 2,173,000 IFTA Decals 325,667 334,003 332,414 346,130 318,387 336,017 337,400 342,200 Dealer Plate Fees 571,342 576,122 592,799 669,869 653,699 703,347 658,800 654,400 Dealer Temporary Permits (WSP $10 Distribution) 3,943,460 4,461,690 4,868,060 6,275,400 7,534,330 7,777,839 7,266,000 7,250,000 Filing Fees 1,473,803 1,518,785 1,599,266 1,632,257 1,667,207 1,697,033 1,732,800 1,757,500 Plate Number Retention Fees 593,820 874,600 898,600 412,180 23,080 22,300 28,400 30,700 Wheeled All Terrain Vehicles On Road Fee 0 0 10,884 33,396 57,843 85,086 92,600 93,800 Title Service Fee $12 (Vehicles & Vessels) 3,003,435 6,138,479 5,992,073 5,989,000 5,925,000Registration Service Fee $5 (Vehicles & Vessels) 6,191,950 11,527,455 10,914,747 10,801,000 9,956,000

Total Collected by DOL 442,093,207 480,041,013 497,283,247 528,629,577 566,308,977 700,134,315 712,313,900 723,063,600

Collected by Department of TransportationSpecial Permit Fees 7,994,569 7,924,163 7,768,409 8,384,878 7,942,545 8,324,948 $8,353,000 $8,472,000Bus Mileage 23,226 25,731 21,069 25,798 23,631 22,146 24,000 24,000

Total Collected by DOT 8,017,795 7,949,894 7,789,478 8,410,676 7,966,175 8,347,094 $8,377,000 $8,496,000

Total Revenue fromLicenses, Permits, and Fees $450,111,002 $487,990,907 $505,072,725 $537,040,253 $574,275,152 $708,481,409 $720,690,900 $731,559,600

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-37 11/28/2017

Page 38: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 3. Vehicle Related RevenueFiscal Years

November 2017 Current BienniumFiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108 191,189,763 206,545,490 210,550,479 218,377,004 232,775,287 252,412,218 242,576,400 246,713,900State Patrol-Fund 081 143,451,159 147,242,225 151,407,244 158,733,328 166,630,536 181,055,337 201,026,300 204,727,500State Ferries-Fund 109 7,345,085 7,465,780 7,737,963 8,059,829 8,353,226 9,092,306 9,177,700 9,346,900Capital Vessel Replacement Account--Fund 18J 0 0 0 9,195,385 17,665,934 16,906,820 16,790,000 15,881,000RV Disposal Fee-Fund 097 631,198 642,027 653,965 674,419 711,485 720,118 736,100 730,900Multimodal Fund-Fund 2181 63,641,416 66,551,668 68,408,026 71,625,684 76,386,026 167,846,442 168,918,100 171,952,000Transportation 2003 (Nickel) Account-Fund 550 16,140,977 31,292,617 37,907,044 40,486,422 40,906,737 43,922,420 44,461,300 44,626,000Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09H 20,454,720 20,827,120 20,872,300 22,194,521 22,963,143 28,383,095 28,532,500 28,939,300Freight Mobility Multimodal Account-Fund 11E 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000Rural Arterial Trust Account 102-253 0 0 0 0 0 48,570 133,700 208,600Transportation Improvement Account 144 0 0 0 0 0 48,570 133,700 208,600DOL Services Account-Fund 201 2,835,894 2,949,053 3,016,075 3,106,448 3,219,338 3,306,951 3,408,300 3,420,700License Plate Technology Account-Fund 06T 1,420,790 1,474,927 1,508,745 1,553,817 1,605,597 1,653,476 1,704,200 1,710,400Multiuse Roadway Safety Account Collections-571 0 0 10,884 33,396 57,843 85,086 92,600 93,800

Total $450,111,002 $487,990,907 $505,072,725 $537,040,253 $574,275,152 $708,481,409 $720,690,900 $731,559,600

Transfers2

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108 191,189,763 206,545,490 210,550,479 218,377,004 232,775,288 252,412,219 242,576,300 246,713,900Capron 2,032,299 2,217,627 2,235,185 2,249,247 2,432,409 3,001,421 3,051,800 3,115,300Balance 189,157,464 204,327,863 208,315,294 216,127,757 230,342,878 249,410,799 239,524,500 243,598,600

Multimodal Account 63,641,416 66,551,668 68,408,026 71,625,684 76,386,026 167,846,442 168,918,100 171,952,000Transportation Infrastructure Account-Fund 094 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000Regional Mobility Grant Program Account3 20,000,000 20,000,000 20,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 25,000,000 25,000,000 25,000,000Rural Mobility Grant Program Account3 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000Balance 31,141,416 34,051,668 36,367,673 39,125,684 38,886,026 130,346,442 131,418,100 134,452,000

Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09H 20,454,720 20,827,120 20,872,300 22,194,521 22,963,143 28,383,095 28,532,500 28,939,300Small City Pavement and Sidewalk Account-Fund 08M 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000Transportation Improvement Account-Fund 144 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000County Arterial Preservation Account-Fund 186 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000Freight Mobility Investment Account-Fund 09E 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000Balance 12,454,720 12,827,120 12,872,300 14,194,521 14,963,143 20,383,095 20,532,500 20,939,300

Capron DistributionIsland County 1,336,724 1,450,793 1,462,280 1,519,726 1,578,633 2,002,195 2,035,800 2,078,200San Juan County 695,576 766,833 772,905 729,521 725,916 999,226 1,016,000 1,037,200

Total 2,032,299 2,217,627 2,235,185 2,249,247 2,304,549 3,001,421 3,051,800 3,115,300

1Multimodal Fund = Penalty Fees, Plate Number Retention Fees, Filing Fees, and a portion of Title Fees, Vehicle Weight FeesAdditional Electric/Plug-in Renewal Fee

2Most transfers occur on July 1st of each year. Capron transfers occur monthly. 3Transfer occurs the last day of September, December, March, and June.

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-38 11/28/2017

Page 39: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 3. Vehicle Related RevenueFiscal Years

November 2017

Collected by Department of Licensing:Registration Fees:

Vehicles paying Basic License Fee ($30)Vehicles paying Weight-based Registration Fee (All Trucks)Vehicles paying Freight Project Fee (Trucks >10,000 lbs)Vehicles paying varying feesVehicle Business Licenses Personal TrailersIntermittent-Use Trailers ($187.50)

Penalty FeesPassenger Vehicle Weight FeesMotor Home Weight FeesCapacity FeesTransaction FeesTonnage FeesRV Disposal FeeTrip Permit Filing Fees (WSDOT)Trip Permit Admin Fees and SurchargeFarm Trip PermitsVehicle Inspection FeesSafety Inspection FeesOther Vehicle Registration FeesDOL Services FeeLicense Plate Technology FeeElectric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($100)Additional Electric/Plug-in Renewal Fee ($50)Original Plate FeePlate Replacement FeesPlate ReflectivityTitle FeesQuick TitlesIFTA DecalsDealer Plate FeesDealer Temporary Permits (WSP $10 Distribution)Filing FeesPlate Number Retention FeesWheeled All Terrain Vehicles On Road FeeTitle Service Fee $12 (Vehicles & Vessels)Registration Service Fee $5 (Vehicles & Vessels)

Total Collected by DOL

Collected by Department of TransportationSpecial Permit FeesBus Mileage

Total Collected by DOT

Total Revenue fromLicenses, Permits, and Fees

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

$178,495,300 $181,939,500 $184,438,400 $186,884,000 $189,296,700 $191,752,000 $194,249,100 $196,716,000229,935,700 230,848,100 231,366,300 247,854,400 249,253,100 250,828,300 252,612,000 254,445,30016,674,400 16,740,100 16,777,400 16,852,400 16,946,800 17,053,100 17,173,400 17,297,1001,285,700 1,287,100 1,288,600 1,290,200 1,291,900 1,293,600 1,295,400 1,297,300 1,528,400 1,528,400 1,528,400 1,528,400 1,528,400 1,528,400 1,528,400 1,528,400 6,652,200 6,787,000 6,959,200 7,136,600 7,317,200 7,503,500 7,694,400 7,889,000

358,100 500,600 675,000 877,500 1,096,900 1,316,300 1,513,100 1,627,5004,633,900 4,697,400 4,745,600 4,795,000 4,845,100 4,896,600 4,949,700 5,002,400

162,940,900 166,277,900 168,669,100 229,660,700 232,732,800 235,860,300 239,041,500 242,182,3005,226,800 5,240,500 5,253,600 5,266,200 5,278,400 5,290,700 5,303,100 5,315,200

35,000 34,900 34,700 34,500 34,300 34,200 34,000 33,800 120,000 120,000 120,000 120,000 120,000 120,000 120,000 120,000 545,500 545,500 545,500 545,500 545,500 545,500 545,500 545,500 730,400 732,700 735,100 737,900 741,900 746,000 750,200 754,400 34,000 34,000 34,000 34,000 34,000 34,000 34,000 34,000

3,396,200 3,409,300 3,416,800 3,431,800 3,450,700 3,472,000 3,496,100 3,520,800 2,800 2,800 2,900 2,900 2,900 2,900 2,900 2,900

7,808,600 7,933,300 8,027,700 8,124,700 8,223,000 8,324,200 8,428,300 8,531,600 2,761,600 2,860,000 2,961,500 3,069,000 3,182,000 3,300,200 3,424,200 3,553,700 1,150,500 1,168,800 1,182,700 1,197,000 1,211,500 1,226,400 1,241,800 1,257,000 3,484,800 3,547,300 3,596,700 3,645,300 3,693,500 3,742,500 3,792,200 3,841,100 1,742,400 1,773,600 1,798,300 1,822,700 1,846,800 1,871,200 1,896,100 1,920,600 2,918,400 3,657,600 4,617,600 5,788,800 7,152,000 8,668,800 10,204,800 11,644,8001,489,600 1,866,900 2,356,900 2,954,700 3,650,500 4,424,700 5,208,700 5,943,700

14,908,500 14,722,800 14,568,900 14,556,400 14,656,700 14,743,000 14,815,100 14,873,000 15,420,600 15,321,100 15,457,800 15,649,000 15,757,600 15,867,800 15,972,800 16,076,900 6,149,000 6,092,500 6,090,000 6,126,600 6,168,700 6,208,300 6,244,100 6,276,800

35,520,000 35,460,000 35,430,000 35,565,000 35,820,000 36,060,000 36,285,000 36,495,000 2,173,000 2,169,000 2,168,000 2,176,000 2,191,000 2,206,000 2,219,000 2,232,000

345,400 346,700 347,500 347,500 347,500 347,500 347,500 347,500 654,400 654,400 654,400 654,400 654,400 654,400 654,400 654,400

7,165,000 7,044,000 6,945,000 6,939,000 6,998,000 7,056,000 7,103,000 7,143,000 1,773,800 1,780,700 1,784,600 1,792,400 1,802,300 1,813,400 1,826,000 1,838,900

33,800 35,400 36,100 36,300 36,700 37,200 37,600 38,100 95,000 96,100 97,100 98,160 98,900 99,400 99,800 99,800

5,925,000 5,915,000 5,911,000 5,933,000 5,975,000 6,016,000 6,053,000 6,088,00010,148,000 10,332,000 10,470,000 10,598,000 10,717,000 10,841,000 10,923,000 11,051,000

734,262,800 743,503,200 751,092,500 834,126,000 844,699,600 855,785,300 867,119,100 878,218,700

$8,550,600 $8,583,700 $8,602,500 $8,640,300 $8,687,800 $8,741,400 $8,802,000 $8,864,30024,000 24,000 24,000 24,000 24,000 24,000 24,000 24,000

$8,574,600 $8,607,700 $8,626,500 $8,664,300 $8,711,800 $8,765,400 $8,826,000 $8,888,300

$742,837,400 $752,110,900 $759,719,000 $842,790,300 $853,411,400 $864,550,700 $875,945,100 $887,107,000

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-39 11/28/2017

Page 40: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 3. Vehicle Related RevenueFiscal Years

November 2017

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108State Patrol-Fund 081State Ferries-Fund 109Capital Vessel Replacement Account--Fund 18JRV Disposal Fee-Fund 097Multimodal Fund-Fund 2181

Transportation 2003 (Nickel) Account-Fund 550Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HFreight Mobility Multimodal Account-Fund 11ERural Arterial Trust Account 102-253 Transportation Improvement Account 144DOL Services Account-Fund 201License Plate Technology Account-Fund 06TMultiuse Roadway Safety Account Collections-571

Total

Transfers2

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108CapronBalance

Multimodal AccountTransportation Infrastructure Account-Fund 094Regional Mobility Grant Program Account3

Rural Mobility Grant Program Account3

Balance

Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HSmall City Pavement and Sidewalk Account-Fund 08MTransportation Improvement Account-Fund 144County Arterial Preservation Account-Fund 186Freight Mobility Investment Account-Fund 09EBalance

Capron DistributionIsland CountySan Juan County

Total

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

249,846,400 251,984,200 254,290,800 266,665,500 270,374,400 274,388,700 278,536,800 282,508,600208,184,300 211,145,600 213,303,300 219,103,900 221,583,100 224,144,200 226,781,500 229,395,900

9,503,800 9,636,000 9,731,200 10,045,000 10,150,500 10,260,200 10,374,300 10,487,70016,073,000 16,247,000 16,381,000 16,531,000 16,692,000 16,857,000 16,976,000 17,139,000

730,400 732,700 735,100 737,900 741,900 746,000 750,200 754,400175,599,100 178,957,000 181,359,000 242,415,600 245,595,400 248,828,300 252,112,900 255,351,90044,793,500 44,856,800 44,919,900 45,936,600 46,244,200 46,552,100 46,861,800 47,164,40029,209,100 29,337,400 29,421,400 31,352,000 31,545,100 31,760,500 32,002,100 32,250,2003,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000

287,800 398,600 542,600 718,300 922,800 1,150,300 1,380,700 1,596,700287,800 398,600 542,600 718,300 922,800 1,150,300 1,380,700 1,596,700

3,484,800 3,547,300 3,596,700 3,645,300 3,693,500 3,742,500 3,792,200 3,841,1001,742,400 1,773,600 1,798,300 1,822,700 1,846,800 1,871,200 1,896,100 1,920,600

95,000 96,100 97,100 98,200 98,900 99,400 99,800 99,800$742,837,400 $752,110,900 $759,719,000 $842,790,300 $853,411,400 $864,550,700 $875,945,100 $887,107,000

249,846,500 251,984,100 242,576,300 246,713,900 270,374,400 274,388,700 278,536,800 282,508,5003,180,900 3,242,300 3,051,800 3,115,300 3,373,400 3,417,200 3,461,700 3,505,600

246,665,600 248,741,800 239,524,500 243,598,600 267,001,000 270,971,600 275,075,100 279,002,900

175,599,100 178,957,000 181,359,000 242,415,600 245,595,400 248,828,300 252,112,900 255,351,9002,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000

25,000,000 25,000,000 25,000,000 25,000,000 25,000,000 25,000,000 25,000,000 25,000,00010,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000

138,099,100 141,457,000 143,859,000 204,915,600 208,095,400 211,328,300 214,612,900 217,851,900

29,209,100 29,337,400 29,421,400 31,352,000 31,545,100 31,760,500 32,002,100 32,250,2001,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,0002,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,0001,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,0003,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000

21,209,100 21,337,400 21,421,400 23,352,000 23,545,100 23,760,500 24,002,100 24,250,200

2,121,900 2,162,900 2,192,600 2,221,700 2,250,300 2,279,500 2,309,200 2,338,5001,059,000 1,079,400 1,094,200 1,108,800 1,123,100 1,137,600 1,152,400 1,167,1003,180,900 3,242,300 3,286,800 3,330,400 3,373,400 3,417,200 3,461,700 3,505,600

Additional Electric/Plug-in Renewal Fee2Most transfers occur on July 1st of each year. Capron transfers occur monthly. 3Transfer occurs the last day of September, December, March, and June.

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-40 11/28/2017

Page 41: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 3. Vehicle Related RevenueFiscal Years

November 2017

Collected by Department of Licensing:Registration Fees:

Vehicles paying Basic License Fee ($30)Vehicles paying Weight-based Registration Fee (All Trucks)Vehicles paying Freight Project Fee (Trucks >10,000 lbs)Vehicles paying varying feesVehicle Business Licenses Personal TrailersIntermittent-Use Trailers ($187.50)

Penalty FeesPassenger Vehicle Weight FeesMotor Home Weight FeesCapacity FeesTransaction FeesTonnage FeesRV Disposal FeeTrip Permit Filing Fees (WSDOT)Trip Permit Admin Fees and SurchargeFarm Trip PermitsVehicle Inspection FeesSafety Inspection FeesOther Vehicle Registration FeesDOL Services FeeLicense Plate Technology FeeElectric/Plug-in Vehicle Renewal Fee ($100)Additional Electric/Plug-in Renewal Fee ($50)Original Plate FeePlate Replacement FeesPlate ReflectivityTitle FeesQuick TitlesIFTA DecalsDealer Plate FeesDealer Temporary Permits (WSP $10 Distribution)Filing FeesPlate Number Retention FeesWheeled All Terrain Vehicles On Road FeeTitle Service Fee $12 (Vehicles & Vessels)Registration Service Fee $5 (Vehicles & Vessels)

Total Collected by DOL

Collected by Department of TransportationSpecial Permit FeesBus Mileage

Total Collected by DOT

Total Revenue fromLicenses, Permits, and Fees

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2028 2029

199,156,700$ 201,566,800$ 256,335,900 258,317,20017,424,600 17,558,2001,299,200 1,301,2001,528,400 1,528,4008,090,000 8,294,3001,708,100 1,758,8005,054,900 5,107,300

245,285,700 248,350,7005,327,000 5,338,500

33,700 33,500120,000 120,000545,500 545,500758,700 763,00034,000 34,000

3,546,300 3,573,0002,900 2,900

8,634,700 8,737,6003,688,900 3,830,2001,272,200 1,287,3003,889,600 3,937,7001,944,900 1,968,900

13,017,600 14,352,0006,644,400 7,325,500

15,043,900 15,214,70016,179,100$ 16,272,100$ 6,331,700 6,384,400

36,825,000 37,155,0002,253,000 2,273,000

347,500 347,500654,400 654,400

7,249,000 7,357,0001,852,200 1,866,200

38,600 39,00099,800 99,800

6,143,000 6,197,00011,169,000 11,268,000

889,530,200 900,760,700

8,928,500 8,995,70024,000 24,000

8,952,500$ 9,019,700$

$898,482,700 $909,780,400

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-41 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 3. Vehicle Related RevenueFiscal Years

November 2017

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108State Patrol-Fund 081State Ferries-Fund 109Capital Vessel Replacement Account--Fund 18JRV Disposal Fee-Fund 097Multimodal Fund-Fund 2181

Transportation 2003 (Nickel) Account-Fund 550Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HFreight Mobility Multimodal Account-Fund 11ERural Arterial Trust Account 102-253 Transportation Improvement Account 144DOL Services Account-Fund 201License Plate Technology Account-Fund 06TMultiuse Roadway Safety Account Collections-571

Total

Transfers2

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108CapronBalance

Multimodal AccountTransportation Infrastructure Account-Fund 094Regional Mobility Grant Program Account3

Rural Mobility Grant Program Account3

Balance

Transportation Partnership Account-Fund 09HSmall City Pavement and Sidewalk Account-Fund 08MTransportation Improvement Account-Fund 144County Arterial Preservation Account-Fund 186Freight Mobility Investment Account-Fund 09EBalance

Capron DistributionIsland CountySan Juan County

Total

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2028 2029

286,549,000$ 290,562,200$ 232,072,300 234,751,40010,600,900 10,714,40017,312,000 17,465,000

758,700 763,000258,593,500 261,796,70047,550,700 47,942,10032,506,100 32,773,6003,000,000 3,000,0001,802,600 2,002,8001,802,600 2,002,8003,889,600 3,937,7001,944,900 1,968,900

99,800 99,800$898,482,700 $909,780,400

286,548,900 290,562,1003,549,100 3,592,100

282,999,700 286,970,000

258,593,500 261,796,7002,500,000 2,500,000

25,000,000 25,000,00010,000,000 10,000,000

221,093,500 224,296,700

32,506,100 32,773,6001,000,000 1,000,0002,500,000 2,500,0001,500,000 1,500,0003,000,000 3,000,000

24,506,100 24,773,600

2,367,600 2,396,2001,181,600 1,195,9003,549,100 3,592,100

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-42 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 4. Vehicle Forecasts November 2017

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Vehicles paying Basic License Fee ($30)Passenger Car and Cabs 4,320,265 4,417,563 4,529,669 4,707,553 4,908,456 5,060,804 Motorhomes 65,506 65,756 65,975 66,913 68,720 69,000 Travel Trailers 118,438 122,657 126,313 132,569 142,484 149,700 Motorcycles 227,534 231,087 229,822 236,384 236,134 231,400 Other Trailers 69,338 83,194 107,205 102,538 115,059 129,900 Tow Trucks 1,394 1,377 1,390 1,351 1,389 1,400

4,802,475 4,921,634 5,060,374 5,247,308 5,472,242 5,642,204

Vehicles paying Weight-based Registration Fee (Trucks)Trucks 1,442,462 1,447,305 1,459,229 1,489,331 1,539,232 1,578,707 For Hire, Buses, Stages 2,615 2,916 3,225 3,591 3,760 4,100 Comb. Lic. Fee Trailers 63,985 65,013 67,337 70,728 76,964 84,300 Prorate Motor Vehicles 25,619 25,760 27,662 28,233 29,179 28,600

1,534,681 1,540,994 1,557,453 1,591,883 1,649,135 1,695,707

Vehicles paying varying feesRestored and Antiques 9,322 9,517 9,631 10,771 10,769 20,700 Campers 25,301 24,810 24,177 23,513 23,358 22,600 Mopeds 9,536 9,309 9,040 8,978 8,671 7,800 Exempt 5,890 7,168 6,404 8,258 8,542 9,000

50,049 50,804 49,252 51,520 51,340 60,100

Personal Trailers 434,186 442,475 440,741 454,511 449,369 439,300 Intermittent-Use Trailers - - - - - 100

Total Highway Vehicles 6,387,207 6,513,434 6,667,081 6,890,713 7,622,088 7,837,500

Off Road Vehicles 84,998 83,344 82,244 83,606 84,783 91,400 Wheeled All Terrain Vehicles - - 906 3,875 21,327 37,400

Snowmobiles 28,426 28,239 24,688 20,201 25,148 25,200 Vintage Snowmobiles 257 290 286 266 373 300 Regular Snowmobiles 28,169 27,949 24,402 19,935 24,775 24,900

Total Registrations 6,500,631 6,625,017 6,774,013 6,994,520 7,732,019 7,954,100

Total Electric/Plug-in Hybrid Vehicles 1,875 2,240 4,976 8,047 11,737 14,500 Plug-in Hybrid Vehicles 1,055 1,647 2,130 2,300 Private Motorized Vehicles 6,104,253 6,210,590 6,335,643 6,553,105 6,806,310 7,002,600

(Private Motorized Vehicles= Passenger Cars, Motorhomes, Motorcycles, Tow Trucks, Trucks, Buses, Restored & Antiques,and Mopeds)

Electric/Plug-in Vehicles are those subject to the renewal fee in RCW 46.16.323Electric/Plug-in Hybrid Vehicle counts are subject to revision due to data integrity efforts

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-43 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 4. Vehicle Forecasts November 2017

Vehicles paying Basic License Fee ($30)Passenger Car and CabsMotorhomesTravel TrailersMotorcyclesOther TrailersTow Trucks

Vehicles paying Weight-based Registration F TrucksFor Hire, Buses, StagesComb. Lic. Fee TrailersProrate Motor Vehicles

Vehicles paying varying feesRestored and AntiquesCampersMopedsExempt

Personal TrailersIntermittent-Use Trailers

Total Highway Vehicles

Off Road VehiclesWheeled All Terrain Vehicles

SnowmobilesVintage SnowmobilesRegular Snowmobiles

Total Registrations

Total Electric/Plug-in Hybrid VehiclesPlug-in Hybrid VehiclesPrivate Motorized Vehicles

(Private Motorized Vehicles= Passenger Cars and Mopeds)

Electric/Plug-in Vehicles are those subject to Electric/Plug-in Hybrid Vehicle counts are sub

Current BienniumFiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

5,125,000 5,235,200 5,356,200 5,468,700 5,548,900 5,627,300 5,704,200 5,782,400 69,300 69,500 69,700 69,900 70,000 70,200 70,400 70,500

145,800 144,400 144,400 145,400 146,400 147,500 149,000 150,500 232,600 233,800 234,900 236,100 237,300 238,500 239,700 240,900 134,200 143,000 143,200 143,200 143,900 144,700 145,400 146,100

1,400 1,400 1,400 1,400 1,400 1,400 1,400 1,400 5,708,300 5,827,300 5,949,800 6,064,700 6,147,900 6,229,600 6,310,100 6,391,800

1,585,000 1,607,600 1,622,500 1,628,800 1,632,300 1,639,500 1,648,500 1,658,700 5,000 5,300 5,500 5,600 5,600 5,700 5,900 6,000

96,300 98,100 99,300 99,800 100,100 100,700 101,400 102,300 28,700 29,100 29,400 29,500 29,600 29,700 29,900 30,000

1,715,000 1,740,100 1,756,700 1,763,700 1,767,600 1,775,600 1,785,700 1,797,000

30,000 30,200 30,300 30,500 30,600 30,800 30,900 31,100 20,400 20,000 19,600 19,200 18,800 18,400 18,100 17,700

7,100 7,000 6,900 6,900 6,800 6,700 6,700 6,600 8,800 8,800 8,800 8,800 8,800 8,800 8,800 8,800

66,300 66,000 65,600 65,400 65,000 64,700 64,500 64,200

441,600 442,500 443,500 452,500 463,900 475,800 487,800 500,200 900 1,300 1,900 2,700 3,600 4,700 5,900 7,000

7,932,100 8,077,000 8,217,600 8,348,800 8,448,200 8,550,300 8,653,700 8,760,200

93,700 95,000 96,200 97,300 98,300 99,300 100,000 100,500 47,200 47,900 48,500 49,000 49,500 50,000 50,400 50,700 23,800 23,600 23,600 23,700 23,800 23,900 24,000 24,100

300 300 300 300 300 300 300 400 23,500 23,300 23,300 23,400 23,500 23,500 23,600 23,700

8,049,700 8,195,600 8,337,300 8,469,800 8,570,200 8,673,500 8,777,700 8,884,800

19,700 24,900 30,400 38,100 48,100 60,300 74,500 90,300 2,700 3,100 3,400 3,800 4,200 4,600 5,100 5,500

7,084,100 7,219,000 7,356,900 7,477,200 7,562,600 7,649,800 7,737,400 7,827,600 (Private Motorized Vehicles= Passenger Cars, Motorhomes, Motorcycles, Tow Trucks, Trucks, Buses, Restored & Antiques,and Mopeds)

Electric/Plug-in Vehicles are those subject to the renewal fee in RCW 46.16.323Electric/Plug-in Hybrid Vehicle counts are subject to revision due to data integrity efforts

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-44 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable B. 4. Vehicle Forecasts November 2017

Vehicles paying Basic License Fee ($30)Passenger Car and CabsMotorhomesTravel TrailersMotorcyclesOther TrailersTow Trucks

Vehicles paying Weight-based Registration F TrucksFor Hire, Buses, StagesComb. Lic. Fee TrailersProrate Motor Vehicles

Vehicles paying varying feesRestored and AntiquesCampersMopedsExempt

Personal TrailersIntermittent-Use Trailers

Total Highway Vehicles

Off Road VehiclesWheeled All Terrain Vehicles

SnowmobilesVintage SnowmobilesRegular Snowmobiles

Total Registrations

Total Electric/Plug-in Hybrid VehiclesPlug-in Hybrid VehiclesPrivate Motorized Vehicles

(Private Motorized Vehicles= Passenger Cars and Mopeds)

Electric/Plug-in Vehicles are those subject to Electric/Plug-in Hybrid Vehicle counts are sub

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2026 2027 2028 2029

5,862,100 5,940,700 6,018,300 6,095,000 70,700 70,900 71,000 71,200

152,000 153,500 155,100 156,700 242,100 243,300 244,500 245,700 146,800 147,500 148,300 149,000

1,400 1,400 1,300 1,300 6,475,100 6,557,300 6,638,500 6,718,900

1,670,200 1,682,000 1,694,200 1,707,000 6,200 6,300 6,500 6,700

103,200 104,200 105,200 106,200 30,300 30,500 30,700 30,900

1,809,900 1,823,000 1,836,600 1,850,800

31,200 31,400 31,500 31,700 17,400 17,000 16,700 16,300

6,500 6,500 6,400 6,300 8,800 8,800 8,800 8,800

63,900 63,700 63,400 63,100

513,000 525,900 539,300 553,000 8,100 8,700 9,100 9,400

8,869,800 8,978,500 9,087,000 9,195,300

101,000 101,000 101,000 101,000 50,900 50,900 50,900 50,900 24,100 24,100 24,100 24,100

400 400 400 400 23,700 23,700 23,700 23,700

8,994,800 9,103,600 9,212,100 9,320,300

106,300 121,300 135,600 149,500 5,900 6,200 6,500 6,800

7,920,600 8,012,800 8,104,500 8,195,900 (Private Motorized Vehicles= Passenger Cars, Motorhomes, Motorcycles, Tow Trucks, Trucks, Buses, Restored & Antiques,and Mopeds)

Electric/Plug-in Vehicles are those subject to the renewal fee in RCW 46.16.323Electric/Plug-in Hybrid Vehicle counts are subject to revision due to data integrity efforts

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-45 11/28/2017

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Driver Related Revenue Forecast

November 2017

Contact: Robert A. Plue, Washington State Department of Licensing, 360-902-3643, [email protected] Alice Vogel, Washington State Department of Licensing, 360-902-3986, [email protected] Jean Du, Ph. D., Washington State Department of Licensing, 360-902-3641, [email protected] Reinhold Groepler, Ph. D., Washington State Department of Licensing, 360-902-3704, [email protected]

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-46 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable C. 1. Driver Related Forecasts CountsNovember 2017

Current Biennium2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Original Driver Licenses (November 2017 Forecast) 241,190 251,053 271,181 285,762 301,950 292,930 290,200 292,800 296,500Annual Percent Change -11.4% 4.1% 8.0% 5.4% 5.7% -3.0% -0.9% 0.9% 1.3%

Original Driver Licenses (September 2017 Forecast) 241,190 251,053 271,181 285,762 301,950 292,930 293,700 295,300 298,000 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.2% -0.8% -0.5%

Driver License Renewal/Extension (November 2017 Forecast) 835,120 823,386 820,961 964,199 933,722 893,119 891,600 816,700 805,200Annual Percent Change -6.8% -1.4% -0.3% 17.4% -3.2% -4.3% -0.2% -8.4% -1.4%

Driver License Renewal/Extension (September 2017 Forecast) 835,120 823,386 820,961 964,199 933,722 893,119 891,600 816,700 788,300 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.1%

Abstract of Driving Record (ADR) (November 2017 Forecast) 2,938,722 2,572,700 2,538,907 2,365,200 2,262,200 2,128,600 2,140,000 2,166,100 2,190,500Annual Percent Change -5.6% -12.5% -1.3% -6.8% -4.4% -5.9% 0.5% 1.2% 1.1%

Abstract of Driving Record (ADR) (September 2017 Forecast) 2,938,722 2,572,700 2,538,907 2,365,200 2,262,200 2,128,600 2,128,600 2,152,500 2,173,900 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8%

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Original Driver Licenses (November 2017 Forecast) 300,900 305,300 309,900 314,300 317,600 319,400 321,000 323,600 326,200Annual Percent Change 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8%

Original Driver Licenses (September 2017 Forecast) 301,900 305,900 310,400 314,600 317,800 319,500 320,900 323,300 325,700 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 -0.3% -0.2% -0.2% -0.1% -0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2%

Driver License Renewal/Extension (November 2017 Forecast) 832,500 807,400 798,400 781,700 768,000 837,200 861,300 845,600 842,300Annual Percent Change 3.4% -3.0% -1.1% -2.1% -1.8% 9.0% 2.9% -1.8% -0.4%

Driver License Renewal/Extension (September 2017 Forecast) 821,800 807,300 798,100 784,500 769,800 825,600 854,000 846,000 842,400 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% -0.4% -0.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%

Abstract of Driving Record (ADR) (November 2017 Forecast) 2,213,800 2,236,100 2,252,700 2,268,700 2,284,600 2,300,000 2,315,400 2,330,700 2,344,900Annual Percent Change 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6%

Abstract of Driving Record (ADR) (September 2017 Forecast) 2,194,000 2,213,000 2,227,400 2,242,100 2,257,200 2,271,600 2,285,900 2,299,800 2,312,300 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4%

Note: Caution is advised in year-over-year comparisons for Driver License Renewals as they follow a five-year renewal cycle until FY2015 when most renewals will follow a six-year cycle and some will be in variable extension status (shorter than six-year renewals) during implementation years through FY2019.

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-47 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable C. 2. Driver Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2017 BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM

2011-2013 2011 - 2013 2013-2015 2013 - 2015November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

Highway Safety Fund 106Driver License Fees --- 106-254

Driver Licenses 68,815,993 68,815,993 0 0.00% 114,707,261 114,707,261 - 0.00%Examinations 15,895,314 15,895,314 0 0.00% 20,340,092 20,340,092 - 0.00%Identicards 9,978,385 9,978,385 0 0.00% 15,374,819 15,374,819 - 0.00%Duplicate Licenses & Identicards 11,170,093 11,170,093 0 0.00% 12,983,209 12,983,209 - 0.00%Reissues 16,398,917 16,398,917 0 0.00% 12,867,966 12,867,966 - 0.00%Commercial Driver Licenses 8,839,804 8,839,804 0 0.00% 8,736,779 8,736,779 - 0.00%Permits 5,849,273 5,849,273 0 0.00% 5,583,938 5,583,938 - 0.00%Hearings 4,953,963 4,953,963 0 0.00% 4,997,997 4,997,997 - 0.00%Enhanced Driver Licenses & Identicards 2,999,085 2,999,085 0 0.00% 3,929,193 3,929,193 - 0.00%Photo Only 2,563,730 2,563,730 0 0.00% 2,979,627 2,979,627 - 0.00%Occupational & Ignition Interlock Licenses 2,213,825 2,213,825 0 0.00% 2,064,550 2,064,550 - 0.00%Miscellaneous Driver Fees 801,537 801,537 0 0.00% 1,680,020 1,680,020 - 0.00%

Total Driver License Fees 150,479,920 150,479,920 0 0.00% 206,245,451 206,245,451 - 0.00%

Copies of Record --- 106-421 32,804,678 32,804,678 0 0.00% 35,542,964 35,542,964 - 0.00%Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue --- 106 5,260,075 5,260,075 0 0.00% 5,927,500 5,927,500 - 0.00%

Total Highway Safety Fund 188,544,673 188,544,673 0 0.00% 247,715,916 247,715,916 - 0.00%

Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082 4,239,372 4,239,372 0 0.00% 4,394,059 4,394,059 - 0.00%

State Patrol Account 081 Copies of Record 30,081,052 30,081,052 0 0.00% 31,920,910 31,920,910 - 0.00%

Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14V 2,519,293 2,519,293 0 0.00% 4,361,607 4,361,607 - 0.00%

Total Revenue 225,384,390$ 225,384,390$ 0 0.00% 288,392,492$ 288,392,492$ -$ 0.00%

Forecast of Distributions

Highway Safety Fund 106 188,544,673 188,544,673 - 0.00% 247,715,916 247,715,916 - 0.00%Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082 4,239,372 4,239,372 0 0.00% 4,394,059 4,394,059 0 0.00%State Patrol Account 081 30,081,052 30,081,052 0 0.00% 31,920,910 31,920,910 0 0.00%Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14V 2,519,293 2,519,293 0 0.00% 4,361,607 4,361,607 0 0.00%Total 225,384,390$ 225,384,390$ 0 0.00% 288,392,492$ 288,392,492$ -$ 0.00%

Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue--106 includes:Motor Vehicle Filing Fees--106-253, Fines & Forfeitures--106-405, Driver License Schools--106-222, Miscellaneous--106-490 & 499

Difference Difference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-48 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable C. 2. Driver Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2017

Highway Safety Fund 106Driver License Fees --- 106-254

Driver LicensesExaminationsIdenticardsDuplicate Licenses & IdenticardsReissuesCommercial Driver LicensesPermitsHearingsEnhanced Driver Licenses & IdenticardsPhoto OnlyOccupational & Ignition Interlock LicensesMiscellaneous Driver Fees

Total Driver License Fees

Copies of Record --- 106-421Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue --- 106

Total Highway Safety Fund

Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082

State Patrol Account 081 Copies of Record

Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14V

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Highway Safety Fund 106Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082State Patrol Account 081Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14VTotal

Current BienniumBIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2015-2017 2015 - 2017 2017-2019 2017 - 2019

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

123,793,206 123,793,206 - 0.00% 112,897,400 113,784,230 (886,830) -0.78%21,659,363 21,659,363 - 0.00% 20,334,610 20,486,030 (151,420) -0.74%16,691,549 16,691,549 - 0.00% 14,932,000 14,955,240 (23,240) -0.16%12,150,401 12,150,401 - 0.00% 12,058,550 12,116,120 (57,570) -0.48%11,186,870 11,186,870 - 0.00% 9,623,340 9,745,330 (121,990) -1.25%11,616,367 11,616,367 - 0.00% 12,410,770 12,340,450 70,320 0.57%6,302,735 6,302,735 - 0.00% 6,358,930 6,330,330 28,600 0.45%4,246,273 4,246,273 - 0.00% 4,215,880 4,288,130 (72,250) -1.68%

11,589,110 11,589,050 60 0.00% 11,300,100 11,296,100 4,000 0.04%2,836,218 2,836,218 - 0.00% 2,773,550 2,817,990 (44,440) -1.58%1,912,222 1,912,222 - 0.00% 1,869,010 1,897,600 (28,590) -1.51%1,507,119 1,507,119 - 0.00% 1,435,440 1,460,020 (24,580) -1.68%

225,491,432 225,491,372 60 0.00% 210,209,580 211,517,570 (1,307,990) -0.62%

33,261,335 33,261,335 - 0.00% 33,288,200 33,105,800 182,400 0.55%6,093,935 5,807,046 286,890 4.94% 6,709,200 6,152,400 556,800 9.05%

264,846,702 264,559,752 286,950 0.11% 250,206,980 250,775,770 (568,790) -0.23%

4,858,662 4,858,662 - 0.00% 4,575,200 4,678,500 (103,300) -2.21%

28,647,677 28,647,662 15 0.00% 27,989,700 27,827,400 162,300 0.58%

7,027,823 7,027,823 - 0.00% 6,666,200 6,402,200 264,000 4.12%

305,380,864$ 305,093,899$ 286,965$ 0.09% 289,438,080$ 289,683,870$ (245,790)$ -0.08%

264,846,702 264,559,752 286,950 0.11% 250,206,980 250,775,770 (568,790) -0.23%4,858,662 4,858,662 0 0.00% 4,575,200 4,678,500 (103,300) -2.21%

28,647,677 28,647,662 15 0.00% 27,989,700 27,827,400 162,300 0.58%7,027,823 7,027,823 0 0.00% 6,666,200 6,402,200 264,000 4.12%

305,380,864$ 305,093,899$ 286,965$ 0.09% 289,438,080$ 289,683,870$ (245,790)$ -0.08%

Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue--106 includes:Motor Vehicle Filing Fees--106-253, Fines & Forfeitures--106-405, Driver License Schools--106-222, Miscellaneous--106-490 & 499

Difference Difference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-49 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable C. 2. Driver Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2017

Highway Safety Fund 106Driver License Fees --- 106-254

Driver LicensesExaminationsIdenticardsDuplicate Licenses & IdenticardsReissuesCommercial Driver LicensesPermitsHearingsEnhanced Driver Licenses & IdenticardsPhoto OnlyOccupational & Ignition Interlock LicensesMiscellaneous Driver Fees

Total Driver License Fees

Copies of Record --- 106-421Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue --- 106

Total Highway Safety Fund

Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082

State Patrol Account 081 Copies of Record

Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14V

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Highway Safety Fund 106Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082State Patrol Account 081Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14VTotal

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2019-2021 2019 - 2021 2021-2023 2021 - 2023

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

120,687,890 119,337,260 1,350,630 1.13% 119,932,810 119,967,100 (34,290) -0.03%20,907,070 20,995,180 (88,110) -0.42% 21,532,360 21,567,840 (35,480) -0.16%12,144,930 12,129,880 15,050 0.12% 13,757,700 13,710,850 46,850 0.34%12,188,580 12,239,960 (51,380) -0.42% 12,553,140 12,573,820 (20,680) -0.16%10,709,740 10,607,360 102,380 0.97% 10,685,130 10,685,130 - 0.00%8,039,450 7,995,920 43,530 0.54% 11,889,750 11,834,880 54,870 0.46%6,430,850 6,429,400 1,450 0.02% 6,623,180 6,604,710 18,470 0.28%4,215,000 4,287,760 (72,760) -1.70% 4,215,000 4,287,760 (72,760) -1.70%

16,400,200 16,204,800 195,400 1.21% 18,883,300 18,831,900 51,400 0.27%2,918,220 2,930,520 (12,300) -0.42% 3,005,500 3,010,450 (4,950) -0.16%2,085,500 2,062,100 23,400 1.13% 2,072,400 2,073,000 (600) -0.03%1,502,250 1,488,700 13,550 0.91% 1,494,800 1,494,950 (150) -0.01%

218,229,680 216,708,840 1,520,840 0.70% 226,645,070 226,642,390 2,680 0.00%

33,981,600 33,711,200 270,400 0.80% 34,592,200 34,235,000 357,200 1.04%6,677,400 6,162,300 515,100 8.36% 6,670,000 6,179,500 490,500 7.94%

258,888,680 256,582,340 2,306,340 0.90% 267,907,270 267,056,890 850,380 0.32%

4,337,300 4,327,800 9,500 0.22% 4,955,700 4,955,900 (200) 0.00%

28,628,000 28,391,400 236,600 0.83% 29,177,300 28,862,600 314,700 1.09%

6,508,800 6,343,200 165,600 2.61% 6,508,800 6,343,200 165,600 2.61%

298,362,780$ 295,644,740$ 2,718,040$ 0.92% 308,549,070$ 307,218,590$ 1,330,480$ 0.43%

258,888,680 256,582,340 2,306,340 0.90% 267,907,270 267,056,890 850,380 0.32%4,337,300 4,327,800 9,500 0.22% 4,955,700 4,955,900 (200) 0.00%

28,628,000 28,391,400 236,600 0.83% 29,177,300 28,862,600 314,700 1.09%6,508,800 6,343,200 165,600 2.61% 6,508,800 6,343,200 165,600 2.61%

298,362,780$ 294,245,260$ 4,117,520$ 1.40% 308,549,070$ 307,218,590$ 1,330,480$ 0.43%

Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue--106 includes:Motor Vehicle Filing Fees--106-253, Fines & Forfeitures--106-405, Driver License Schools--106-222, Miscellaneous--106-490 & 499

DifferenceDifference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-50 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable C. 2. Driver Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2017

Highway Safety Fund 106Driver License Fees --- 106-254

Driver LicensesExaminationsIdenticardsDuplicate Licenses & IdenticardsReissuesCommercial Driver LicensesPermitsHearingsEnhanced Driver Licenses & IdenticardsPhoto OnlyOccupational & Ignition Interlock LicensesMiscellaneous Driver Fees

Total Driver License Fees

Copies of Record --- 106-421Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue --- 106

Total Highway Safety Fund

Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082

State Patrol Account 081 Copies of Record

Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14V

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Highway Safety Fund 106Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082State Patrol Account 081Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14VTotal

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2023-2025 2023 - 2025 2025-2027 2025-2027

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

117,801,050 118,082,390 (281,340) -0.24% 126,306,810 125,279,940 1,026,870 0.82%22,114,190 22,135,430 (21,240) -0.10% 22,415,650 22,415,400 250 0.00%13,622,730 13,589,290 33,440 0.25% 13,095,970 13,043,780 52,190 0.40%12,892,320 12,904,720 (12,400) -0.10% 13,068,060 13,067,920 140 0.00%10,527,560 10,545,780 (18,220) -0.17% 11,156,280 11,077,840 78,440 0.71%11,672,920 11,626,540 46,380 0.40% 8,939,100 8,886,060 53,040 0.60%6,802,100 6,778,480 23,620 0.35% 6,894,820 6,864,170 30,650 0.45%4,215,000 4,290,000 (75,000) -1.75% 4,215,000 4,290,000 (75,000) -1.75%

18,584,200 18,537,000 47,200 0.25% 19,652,000 19,425,700 226,300 1.16%3,086,710 3,089,670 (2,960) -0.10% 3,128,790 3,128,760 30 0.00%2,035,600 2,040,500 (4,900) -0.24% 2,182,600 2,164,900 17,700 0.82%1,473,580 1,476,280 (2,700) -0.18% 1,558,030 1,547,730 10,300 0.67%

224,827,960 225,096,080 (268,120) -0.12% 232,613,110 231,192,200 1,420,910 0.61%

35,058,300 34,660,400 397,900 1.15% 35,506,900 35,080,800 426,100 1.21%6,698,600 6,200,200 498,400 8.04% 6,853,400 6,330,200 523,200 8.27%

266,584,860 265,956,680 628,180 0.24% 274,973,410 272,603,200 2,370,210 0.87%

5,082,500 5,053,600 28,900 0.57% 4,938,300 4,953,700 (15,400) -0.31%

29,596,500 29,245,500 351,000 1.20% 30,000,100 29,623,800 376,300 1.27%

6,508,800 6,343,200 165,600 2.61% 6,508,800 6,343,200 165,600 2.61%

307,772,660$ 306,598,980$ 1,173,680$ 0.38% 316,420,610$ 313,523,900$ 2,896,710$ 0.92%

266,584,860 265,956,680 628,180 0.24% 274,973,410 272,603,200 2,370,210 0.87%5,082,500 5,053,600 28,900 0.57% 4,938,300 4,953,700 (15,400) -0.31%

29,596,500 29,245,500 351,000 1.20% 30,000,100 29,623,800 376,300 1.27%6,508,800 6,343,200 165,600 2.61% 6,508,800 6,343,200 165,600 2.61%

307,772,660$ 306,598,980$ 1,173,680$ 0.38% 316,420,610$ 309,294,230$ 7,126,380$ 2.30%

Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue--106 includes:Motor Vehicle Filing Fees--106-253, Fines & Forfeitures--106-405, Driver License Schools--106-222, Miscellaneous--106-490 & 499

Difference Difference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-51 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable C. 2. Driver Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2017

Highway Safety Fund 106Driver License Fees --- 106-254

Driver LicensesExaminationsIdenticardsDuplicate Licenses & IdenticardsReissuesCommercial Driver LicensesPermitsHearingsEnhanced Driver Licenses & IdenticardsPhoto OnlyOccupational & Ignition Interlock LicensesMiscellaneous Driver Fees

Total Driver License Fees

Copies of Record --- 106-421Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue --- 106

Total Highway Safety Fund

Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082

State Patrol Account 081 Copies of Record

Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14V

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Highway Safety Fund 106Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082State Patrol Account 081Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14VTotal

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2027-2029 2027-2029

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

126,238,830 126,218,150 20,680 0.02%22,743,520 22,713,190 30,330 0.13%13,617,140 13,543,700 73,440 0.54%13,259,240 13,241,540 17,700 0.13%11,151,190 11,147,130 4,060 0.04%11,455,440 11,395,510 59,930 0.53%6,995,650 6,955,350 40,300 0.58%4,215,000 4,290,000 (75,000) -1.75%

19,737,300 19,641,700 95,600 0.49%3,174,550 3,170,320 4,230 0.13%2,181,400 2,181,100 300 0.01%1,557,330 1,557,030 300 0.02%

236,326,590 236,054,720 271,870 0.12%

35,942,000 35,476,700 465,300 1.31%6,933,500 6,405,000 528,500 8.25%

279,202,090 277,936,420 1,265,670 0.46%

5,439,400 5,456,000 (16,600) -0.30%

30,391,500 29,980,000 411,500 1.37%

6,508,800 6,343,200 165,600 2.61%

321,541,790$ 319,715,620$ 1,826,170$ 0.57%

279,202,090 277,936,420 1,265,670 0.46%5,439,400 5,456,000 (16,600) -0.30%

30,391,500 29,980,000 411,500 1.37%6,508,800 6,343,200 165,600 2.61%

321,541,790$ 319,715,620$ 1,826,170$ 0.57%

Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue--106 includes:Motor Vehicle Filing Fees--106-253, Fines & Forfeitures--106-405, Driver License Schools--106-222, Miscellaneous--106-490 & 499

Difference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-52 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable C. 3. Driver Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2017

Current BienniumFiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Highway Safety Fund 106Driver License Fees --- 106-254

Driver Licenses 26,612,848 42,203,146 49,590,185 65,117,076 63,181,957 60,611,249 57,440,260 55,457,140 Examinations 7,028,000 8,867,314 9,800,275 10,539,817 10,922,213 10,737,150 10,085,590 10,249,020 Identicards 3,614,865 6,363,520 7,332,928 8,041,891 8,280,271 8,411,278 7,848,760 7,083,240 Duplicate Licenses & Identicards 4,887,850 6,282,243 6,417,964 6,565,245 5,998,442 6,151,959 6,083,470 5,975,080 Reissues 8,318,582 8,080,336 6,838,035 6,029,931 5,826,408 5,360,462 4,680,000 4,943,340 Commercial Driver Licenses 4,267,426 4,572,378 4,985,447 3,751,332 5,175,352 6,441,015 6,258,550 6,152,220 Permits 2,880,890 2,968,383 2,933,940 2,649,998 3,177,005 3,125,730 3,180,860 3,178,070 Hearings 2,101,586 2,852,377 2,741,432 2,256,565 2,154,693 2,091,580 2,108,380 2,107,500 Enhanced Driver Licenses & Identicards 1,484,340 1,514,745 1,626,135 2,303,058 3,172,028 8,417,082 4,637,700 6,662,400 Photo Only 1,275,478 1,288,252 1,519,680 1,459,947 1,420,661 1,415,557 1,342,990 1,430,560 Occupational & Ignition Interlock Licenses 1,123,571 1,090,254 1,012,190 1,052,360 964,196 948,026 926,110 942,900 Miscellaneous Driver Fees 697,729 103,808 2,068,856 (388,836) 1,790,887 (283,768) 708,940 726,500

Total Driver License Fees 64,293,164 86,186,756 96,867,067 109,378,385 112,064,112 113,427,319 105,301,610 104,907,970

Copies of Record --- 106-421 16,095,873 16,708,805 17,914,419 17,628,545 17,026,369 16,234,967 16,557,900 16,730,300 Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue --- 106 2,448,256 2,811,819 3,019,602 2,907,898 3,037,601 3,056,334 3,450,900 3,258,300

Total Highway Safety Fund 82,837,293 105,707,380 117,801,088 129,914,828 132,128,082 132,718,620 125,310,410 124,896,570

Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082 2,156,930 2,082,442 2,033,636 2,360,423 2,482,197 2,376,465 2,296,400 2,278,800

State Patrol Account 081 Copies of Record 14,757,300 15,323,752 16,546,218 15,374,693 14,855,162 13,792,515 13,910,000 14,079,700

Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14V 1,150,893 1,368,400 1,810,267 2,551,340 3,662,458 3,365,365 3,411,800 3,254,400

Total Revenue 100,902,416$ 124,481,974$ 138,191,209$ 150,201,283$ 153,127,899$ 152,252,965$ 144,928,610$ 144,509,470$

Forecast of Distributions

Highway Safety Fund 106 82,837,293 105,707,380 117,801,088 129,914,828 132,128,082 132,718,620 125,310,410 124,896,570 Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082 2,156,930 2,082,442 2,033,636 2,360,423 2,482,197 2,376,465 2,296,400 2,278,800 State Patrol Account 081 14,757,300 15,323,752 16,546,218 15,374,693 14,855,162 13,792,515 13,910,000 14,079,700 Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14V 1,150,893 1,368,400 1,810,267 2,551,340 3,662,458 3,365,365 3,411,800 3,254,400 Total 100,902,416$ 124,481,974$ 138,191,209$ 150,201,283$ 153,127,899$ 152,252,965$ 144,928,610$ 144,509,470$

Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue--106 includes:Motor Vehicle Filing Fees--106-253, Fines & Forfeitures--106-405, Driver License Schools--106-222, Miscellaneous--106-490 & 499

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-53 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable C. 3. Driver Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2017

Highway Safety Fund 106Driver License Fees --- 106-254

Driver LicensesExaminationsIdenticardsDuplicate Licenses & IdenticardsReissuesCommercial Driver LicensesPermitsHearingsEnhanced Driver Licenses & IdenticardsPhoto OnlyOccupational & Ignition Interlock LicensesMiscellaneous Driver Fees

Total Driver License Fees

Copies of Record --- 106-421Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue --- 106

Total Highway Safety Fund

Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082

State Patrol Account 081 Copies of Record

Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14V

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Highway Safety Fund 106Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082State Patrol Account 081Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14VTotal

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

59,487,900 61,199,990 60,082,860 59,849,950 59,183,350 58,617,700 62,459,260 63,847,550 10,376,580 10,530,490 10,684,720 10,847,640 10,999,670 11,114,520 11,179,610 11,236,040 5,490,650 6,654,280 6,850,190 6,907,510 6,885,940 6,736,790 6,401,630 6,694,340 6,049,420 6,139,160 6,229,080 6,324,060 6,412,680 6,479,640 6,517,580 6,550,480 5,307,170 5,402,570 5,351,190 5,333,940 5,284,670 5,242,890 5,526,840 5,629,440 3,686,190 4,353,260 5,932,020 5,957,730 5,822,460 5,850,460 4,239,680 4,699,420 3,191,750 3,239,100 3,286,530 3,336,650 3,383,370 3,418,730 3,438,720 3,456,100 2,107,500 2,107,500 2,107,500 2,107,500 2,107,500 2,107,500 2,107,500 2,107,500 7,628,100 8,772,100 9,452,400 9,430,900 9,344,300 9,239,900 9,704,500 9,947,500 1,448,370 1,469,850 1,491,380 1,514,120 1,535,340 1,551,370 1,560,460 1,568,330 1,028,000 1,057,500 1,038,200 1,034,200 1,022,700 1,012,900 1,079,300 1,103,300

742,650 759,600 748,550 746,250 739,590 733,990 772,140 785,890 106,544,280 111,685,400 113,254,620 113,390,450 112,721,570 112,106,390 114,987,220 117,625,890

16,906,600 17,075,000 17,236,100 17,356,100 17,471,700 17,586,600 17,697,800 17,809,100 3,344,500 3,332,900 3,346,300 3,323,700 3,358,900 3,339,700 3,425,700 3,427,700

126,795,380 132,093,300 133,837,020 134,070,250 133,552,170 133,032,690 136,110,720 138,862,690

1,946,600 2,390,700 2,444,800 2,510,900 2,526,700 2,555,800 2,295,300 2,643,000

14,238,300 14,389,700 14,534,700 14,642,600 14,746,600 14,849,900 14,950,000 15,050,100

3,254,400 3,254,400 3,254,400 3,254,400 3,254,400 3,254,400 3,254,400 3,254,400

146,234,680$ 152,128,100$ 154,070,920$ 154,478,150$ 154,079,870$ 153,692,790$ 156,610,420$ 159,810,190$

126,795,380 132,093,300 133,837,020 134,070,250 133,552,170 133,032,690 136,110,720 138,862,690 1,946,600 2,390,700 2,444,800 2,510,900 2,526,700 2,555,800 2,295,300 2,643,000

14,238,300 14,389,700 14,534,700 14,642,600 14,746,600 14,849,900 14,950,000 15,050,100 3,254,400 3,254,400 3,254,400 3,254,400 3,254,400 3,254,400 3,254,400 3,254,400

146,234,680$ 152,128,100$ 154,070,920$ 154,478,150$ 154,079,870$ 153,692,790$ 156,610,420$ 159,810,190$

Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue--106 includes:Motor Vehicle Filing Fees--106-253, Fines & Forfeitures--106-405, Driver License Schools--106-222, Miscellaneous--106-490 & 499

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-54 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable C. 3. Driver Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2017

Highway Safety Fund 106Driver License Fees --- 106-254

Driver LicensesExaminationsIdenticardsDuplicate Licenses & IdenticardsReissuesCommercial Driver LicensesPermitsHearingsEnhanced Driver Licenses & IdenticardsPhoto OnlyOccupational & Ignition Interlock LicensesMiscellaneous Driver Fees

Total Driver License Fees

Copies of Record --- 106-421Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue --- 106

Total Highway Safety Fund

Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082

State Patrol Account 081 Copies of Record

Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14V

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Highway Safety Fund 106Motorcycle Safety Education Account 082State Patrol Account 081Ignition Interlock Device Revolving Account 14VTotal

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2028 2029

63,136,750 63,102,080 11,325,640 11,417,880 6,780,920 6,836,220 6,602,720 6,656,520 5,576,870 5,574,320 5,738,520 5,716,920 3,483,650 3,512,000 2,107,500 2,107,500 9,866,000 9,871,300 1,580,840 1,593,710 1,091,000 1,090,400

778,840 778,490 118,069,250 118,257,340

17,919,700 18,022,300 3,470,800 3,462,700

139,459,750 139,742,340

2,692,500 2,746,900

15,149,600 15,241,900

3,254,400 3,254,400

160,556,250$ 160,985,540$

139,459,750 139,742,340 2,692,500 2,746,900

15,149,600 15,241,900 3,254,400 3,254,400

160,556,250$ 160,985,540$

Other Highway Safety Fund Revenue--106 includes:Motor Vehicle Filing Fees--106-253, Fines & Forfeitures--106-405, Driver License Schools--106-222, Miscellaneous--106-490 & 499

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-55 11/28/2017

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Contact:Vehicle Sales & Rental Car TaxLance Carey, Washington State Economic and Revenue Forecast Council, 360-534-1564, [email protected] & Other RevenueHeather Jones, Washington State Department of Transportation, 360-705-7944, [email protected] State PatrolMary Thygesen, Washington State Patrol, 360-596-4046, [email protected] Revenue

Alice Vogel, Washington State Department of Licensing, 360-902-3986, [email protected] Calkins, Washington State Department of Transportation, 360-705-7991, [email protected]

Other Transportation Related Revenue Forecast

November 2017

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-56 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable D. 1. Other Transportation Related Revenue Forecasts Registrations and SalesNovember 2017

Current Biennium2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Aircraft Registrations (November 2017 Forecast) 6,326 6,585 6,494 6,518 6,561 6,653 6,707 6,756 6,803Annual Percent Change 0.7% 4.1% -1.4% 0.4% 0.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7%

Aircraft Registrations (September 2017 Forecast) 6,326 6,585 6,494 6,518 6,561 6,518 6,561 6,634 6,685 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.1% 2.2% 1.8% 1.8%

Total U.S. Spending on New Motor Vehicles* (November 2017 Forecast) 402 448 480 519 551 559 565 576 597Annual Percent Change 10.9% 11.2% 7.2% 8.2% 6.1% 1.5% 1.1% 1.9% 3.7%

Total U.S. Spending on New Motor Vehicles* (September 2017 Forecast) 402 448 480 519 551 558 569 581 605 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% -0.7% -0.9% -1.3%

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Aircraft Registrations (November 2017 Forecast) 6,847 6,888 6,927 6,965 7,001 7,038 7,074 7,110 7,145Annual Percent Change 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%

Aircraft Registrations (September 2017 Forecast) 6,754 6,789 6,824 6,859 6,894 6,928 6,962 6,997 7,032 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%

Total U.S. Spending on New Motor Vehicles* (November 2017 Forecast) 601 594 610 633 658 683 707 732 760Annual Percent Change 0.6% -1.2% 2.7% 3.9% 3.9% 3.7% 3.6% 3.6% 3.9%

Total U.S. Spending on New Motor Vehicles* (September 2017 Forecast) 617 606 619 638 655 673 692 713 741 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 -2.6% -2.0% -1.5% -0.7% 0.5% 1.4% 2.2% 2.7% 2.6%

*In Billions of Dollars

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-57 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable D. 2. Other Transportation Related Revenue Forecasts

November 2017BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2011-2013 2011 - 2013 Difference 2013-2015 2013 - 2015

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

Rental Car Sales Tax 46,711,033 46,711,033 0 0.00% 56,044,468 56,044,468 0 0.00%

0.3% of Retail Sales and Use Tax on Motor VehiclesRetail Sales Tax 52,691,266 52,691,266 0 0.00% 65,073,441 65,073,441 0 0.00%Use Tax 10,636,493 10,636,493 0 0.00% 12,380,550 12,380,550 0 0.00%

Total 63,327,759 63,327,759 0 0.00% 77,453,990 77,453,990 0 0.00%

Studded Tire Fee 0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%

DOT Business Related RevenuesSale of Property 7,076,802 7,076,802 0 0.00% 12,190,420 12,190,420 0 0.00%WSP Access 1,536,796 1,536,796 0 0.00% 1,445,787 1,445,787 0 0.00%DOT Services 94,340 94,340 0 0.00% 87,866 87,866 0 0.00%DOT Publications and Documents 240,866 240,866 0 0.00% 193,592 193,592 0 0.00%Filing Fees and legal Services 360,833 360,833 0 0.00% 371,196 371,196 0 0.00%Property Management 3,492,978 3,492,978 0 0.00% 2,973,607 2,973,607 0 0.00%Outdoor Advertising 37,300 37,300 0 0.00% 277,084 277,084 0 0.00%Access Permits (Right of Way) 54,350 54,350 0 0.00% 47,052 47,052 0 0.00%Other Revenues 448,285 448,285 0 0.00% 457,281 457,281 0 0.00%

Total 13,342,551 13,342,551 0 0.00% 18,043,884 18,043,884 0 0.00%

Washington Traffic Safety CommissionSchool Zone Fines 1,628,551 1,628,551 0 0.00% 1,227,050 1,227,050 0 0.00%

Total 1,628,551 1,628,551 0 0.00% 1,227,050 1,227,050 0 0.00%

WSP Business Related RevenuesWSP Access 1,547,903 1,547,903 0 0.00% 1,445,878 1,445,878 0 0.00%WSP Publications and Documents 952,760 952,760 0 0.00% 1,566,238 1,566,238 0 0.00%Breathalyzer Test Fines 2,172,850 2,172,850 0 0.00% 2,838,858 2,838,858 0 0.00%DUI Cost Reimbursement 1,344,520 1,344,520 0 0.00% 1,407,291 1,407,291 0 0.00%Terminal Safety Inspection Fee 2,700,003 2,700,003 0 0.00% 2,467,972 2,467,972 0 0.00%Commercial Vehicle Penalties 432,351 432,351 0 0.00% 828,725 828,725 0 0.00%Communication Tower Leases 613,659 613,659 0 0.00% 765,612 765,612 0 0.00%Ignition Interlock Vendors Fee (HSF-Fund 106) 767,355 767,355 0 0.00% 2,267,920 2,267,920 0 0.00%

Total 10,531,402 10,531,402 0 0.00% 13,588,494 13,588,494 0 0.00%

Aircraft Registrations, Excise and DealersAircraft Fuel Tax - 11¢ per gallon 5,495,727 5,495,727 0 0.00% 5,007,235 5,007,235 0 0.00%Aircraft Registration Fee 244,255 244,255 0 0.00% 215,680 215,680 0 0.00%Aircraft Excise Tax 612,731 612,732 (0) 0.00% 692,724 692,724 0 0.00%Aircraft License Fees (Aircraft Dealers & Specialty Plates) 6,675 6,675 0 0.00% 5,870 5,870 0 0.00%Aeronautics Transfer (from MV Fund 108-115) 562,539 562,539 0 0.00% 574,696 574,696 0 0.00%

Total 6,921,927 6,921,928 (0) 0.00% 6,496,205 6,496,205 0 0.00%

Total Revenue 142,463,223 142,463,223 ($0) 0.00% 172,854,092 172,854,092 0 0.00%

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108 14,295,311 14,295,311 0 0.00% 19,610,122 19,610,122 0 0.00%Washington State Patrol Fund-Fund 081 8,811,287 8,811,287 0 0.00% 9,754,336 9,754,336 0 0.00%Highway Safety Fund-Fund 106 767,355 767,355 0 0.00% 2,267,920 2,267,920 0 0.00%Multimodal Fund-Fund 218 110,038,792 110,038,792 0 0.00% 133,498,459 133,498,459 0 0.00%Aeronautics Account 039 6,370,469 6,370,514 (45) 0.00% 5,872,754 5,872,754 0 0.00%Washington State Aviation Account 21G 0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%School Zone Safety Account 780 1,628,551 1,628,551 0 0.00% 1,227,050 1,227,050 0 0.00%General Fund 001 551,459 551,459 0 0.00% 623,451 623,451 0 0.00%Total 142,463,223 142,463,268 (45) 0.00% 172,854,092 172,854,092 0 0.00%

Difference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-58 11/28/2017

Page 59: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable D. 2. Other Transportation Related Revenue Forecasts

November 2017

Rental Car Sales Tax

0.3% of Retail Sales and Use Tax on Motor VehiclesRetail Sales TaxUse Tax

Total

Studded Tire Fee

DOT Business Related RevenuesSale of PropertyWSP AccessDOT ServicesDOT Publications and DocumentsFiling Fees and legal ServicesProperty ManagementOutdoor AdvertisingAccess Permits (Right of Way)Other Revenues

Total

Washington Traffic Safety CommissionSchool Zone Fines

Total

WSP Business Related RevenuesWSP AccessWSP Publications and DocumentsBreathalyzer Test FinesDUI Cost ReimbursementTerminal Safety Inspection FeeCommercial Vehicle PenaltiesCommunication Tower LeasesIgnition Interlock Vendors Fee (HSF-Fund 106)

Total

Aircraft Registrations, Excise and DealersAircraft Fuel Tax - 11¢ per gallonAircraft Registration FeeAircraft Excise TaxAircraft License Fees (Aircraft Dealers & Specialty Plates)Aeronautics Transfer (from MV Fund 108-115)

Total

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108Washington State Patrol Fund-Fund 081Highway Safety Fund-Fund 106Multimodal Fund-Fund 218Aeronautics Account 039Washington State Aviation Account 21GSchool Zone Safety Account 780General Fund 001Total

Current BienniumBIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2015-2017 2015 - 2017 2017-2019 2017 - 2019

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

64,376,922 64,376,922 0 0.00% 68,912,400 67,581,900 1,330,500 1.97%

79,287,936 79,287,936 0 0.00% 86,724,500 86,710,900 13,600 0.02%14,584,886 14,584,886 0 0.00% 15,631,700 15,756,900 (125,200) -0.79%93,872,822 93,872,822 0 0.00% 102,356,200 102,467,800 (111,600) -0.11%

495,000 495,000 0 0.00% 999,000 999,000 0 0.00%

8,034,021 8,034,021 0 0.00% 10,000,000 10,000,000 0 0.00%1,422,402 1,422,402 0 0.00% 1,422,978 1,465,600 (42,622) -2.91%

106,133 106,133 0 0.00% 96,283 109,400 (13,117) -11.99%191,037 191,037 0 0.00% 176,815 196,800 (19,985) -10.15%370,391 370,391 0 0.00% 371,680 381,600 (9,920) -2.60%

2,286,426 2,286,426 0 0.00% 2,224,600 2,319,000 (94,400) -4.07%428,900 428,900 0 0.00% 385,000 435,008 (50,008) -11.50%

48,137 48,137 0 0.00% 47,500 48,823 (1,323) -2.71%396,076 396,076 0 0.00% 360,200 401,800 (41,600) -10.35%

13,283,522 13,283,522 0 0.00% 15,085,056 15,358,031 (272,975) -1.78%

881,578 881,578 0 0.00% 825,200 825,200 0 0.00%881,578 881,578 0 0.00% 825,200 825,200 0 0.00%

1,422,402 1,422,402 0 0.00% 1,468,700 1,465,600 3,100 0.21%2,944,646 2,944,646 1 0.00% 1,924,000 2,944,600 (1,020,600) -34.66%2,820,601 2,820,601 (0) 0.00% 2,829,800 2,829,800 0 0.00%1,192,594 1,192,594 0 0.00% 1,300,000 1,300,000 0 0.00%2,467,972 2,467,972 0 0.00% 2,700,000 2,700,000 0 0.00%

356,919 356,919 0 0.00% 592,800 592,800 0 0.00%770,540 770,540 0 0.00% 831,700 831,700 0 0.00%

2,429,464 2,429,464 0 0.00% 2,348,600 2,348,600 0 0.00%14,405,138 14,405,138 0 0.00% 13,995,600 15,013,100 (1,017,500) -6.78%

3,661,545 3,661,545 0 0.00% 5,146,100 5,094,600 51,500 1.01%240,794 230,799 9,995 4.33% 256,100 235,800 20,300 8.61%709,590 709,794 (204) -0.03% 720,300 720,100 200 0.03%

5,940 5,940 0 0.00% 233,140 233,140 0 0.00%732,349 732,349 0 0.00% 817,900 816,012 1,888 0.23%

5,350,218 5,340,427 9,791 0.18% 7,173,540 7,099,652 73,888 1.04%

192,661,587 192,651,796 9,792 0.01% 209,346,996 209,344,683 2,314 0.00%

16,719,554 16,719,553 1 0.00% 18,061,456 19,355,031 (1,293,575) -6.68%9,031,028 9,031,029 (0) 0.00% 9,723,000 9,719,900 3,100 0.03%2,429,464 2,429,464 0 0.00% 2,348,600 2,348,600 0 0.00%

158,249,744 158,249,744 0 0.00% 171,268,700 170,049,700 1,219,000 0.72%5,350,218 5,340,427 9,791 0.18% 6,946,540 6,872,652 73,888 1.08%

0 0 0 0.00% 173,600 173,600 0 100.00%881,578 881,578 0 0.00% 825,200 825,200 0 0.00%

0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%192,661,587 192,651,796 9,791 0.01% 209,347,096 209,344,683 2,413 0.00%

Difference Difference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-59 11/28/2017

Page 60: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable D. 2. Other Transportation Related Revenue Forecasts

November 2017

Rental Car Sales Tax

0.3% of Retail Sales and Use Tax on Motor VehiclesRetail Sales TaxUse Tax

Total

Studded Tire Fee

DOT Business Related RevenuesSale of PropertyWSP AccessDOT ServicesDOT Publications and DocumentsFiling Fees and legal ServicesProperty ManagementOutdoor AdvertisingAccess Permits (Right of Way)Other Revenues

Total

Washington Traffic Safety CommissionSchool Zone Fines

Total

WSP Business Related RevenuesWSP AccessWSP Publications and DocumentsBreathalyzer Test FinesDUI Cost ReimbursementTerminal Safety Inspection FeeCommercial Vehicle PenaltiesCommunication Tower LeasesIgnition Interlock Vendors Fee (HSF-Fund 106)

Total

Aircraft Registrations, Excise and DealersAircraft Fuel Tax - 11¢ per gallonAircraft Registration FeeAircraft Excise TaxAircraft License Fees (Aircraft Dealers & Specialty Plates)Aeronautics Transfer (from MV Fund 108-115)

Total

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108Washington State Patrol Fund-Fund 081Highway Safety Fund-Fund 106Multimodal Fund-Fund 218Aeronautics Account 039Washington State Aviation Account 21GSchool Zone Safety Account 780General Fund 001Total

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2019-2021 2019 - 2021 2021-2023 2021 - 2023

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

71,573,600 70,536,600 1,037,000 1.47% 74,437,900 73,394,200 1,043,700 1.42%

90,670,000 90,687,300 (17,300) -0.02% 94,115,200 94,172,700 (57,500) -0.06%16,379,200 16,463,100 (83,900) -0.51% 17,116,000 17,160,500 (44,500) -0.26%

107,049,200 107,150,400 (101,200) -0.09% 111,231,200 111,333,200 (102,000) -0.09%

1,023,000 1,023,000 0 0.00% 1,043,000 1,043,000 0 0.00%

10,000,000 10,000,000 0 0.00% 10,000,000 10,000,000 0 0.00%1,509,600 1,502,200 7,400 0.49% 1,551,600 1,534,200 17,400 1.13%

112,600 112,200 400 0.36% 115,800 114,600 1,200 1.05%202,800 201,800 1,000 0.50% 208,400 206,000 2,400 1.17%393,200 391,200 2,000 0.51% 402,600 399,400 3,200 0.80%

2,442,400 2,361,400 81,000 3.43% 2,539,600 2,416,400 123,200 5.10%458,200 442,964 15,236 3.44% 476,400 453,268 23,132 5.10%

51,400 49,715 1,685 3.39% 53,600 50,872 2,728 5.36%420,400 409,000 11,400 2.79% 432,000 430,600 1,400 0.33%

15,590,600 15,470,480 120,120 0.78% 15,780,000 15,605,339 174,661 1.12%

825,200 825,200 0 0.00% 825,200 825,200 0 0.00%825,200 825,200 0 0.00% 825,200 825,200 0 0.00%

1,509,600 1,502,200 7,400 0.49% 1,551,600 1,534,200 17,400 1.13%1,924,000 2,944,600 (1,020,600) -34.66% 1,924,000 2,944,600 (1,020,600) -34.66%2,829,800 2,829,800 0 0.00% 2,829,800 2,829,800 0 0.00%1,300,000 1,300,000 0 0.00% 1,300,000 1,300,000 0 0.00%2,700,000 2,700,000 0 0.00% 2,700,000 2,700,000 0 0.00%

592,800 592,800 0 0.00% 592,800 592,800 0 0.00%882,400 882,400 0 0.00% 936,000 936,000 0 0.00%

2,348,600 2,348,600 0 0.00% 2,348,600 2,348,600 0 0.00%14,087,200 15,100,400 (1,013,200) -6.71% 14,182,800 15,186,000 (1,003,200) -6.61%

5,265,600 5,239,000 26,600 0.51% 5,378,300 5,351,200 27,100 0.51%259,600 238,700 20,900 8.76% 262,700 241,200 21,500 8.91%730,300 729,300 1,000 0.14% 739,100 737,100 2,000 0.27%312,900 312,900 0 0.00% 336,360 336,360 0 0.00%831,300 827,640 3,660 0.44% 843,100 839,084 4,016 0.48%

7,399,700 7,347,540 52,160 0.71% 7,559,560 7,504,944 54,616 0.73%

217,548,500 217,453,620 94,880 0.04% 225,059,660 224,891,883 167,777 0.07%

18,569,630 19,470,110 (900,480) -4.62% 18,777,510 19,623,449 (845,939) -4.31%9,814,600 9,807,200 7,400 0.08% 9,910,200 9,892,800 17,400 0.18%2,348,600 2,348,600 0 0.00% 2,348,600 2,348,600 0 0.00%

178,622,800 177,687,000 935,800 0.53% 185,669,100 184,727,400 941,700 0.51%7,092,940 7,040,781 52,159 0.74% 7,229,340 7,174,724 54,616 0.76%

299,710 299,710 0 100.00% 299,710 299,710 0 100.00%825,200 825,200 0 0.00% 825,200 825,200 0 0.00%

0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%217,573,480 217,478,601 94,879 0.04% 225,059,660 224,891,883 167,777 0.07%

Difference Difference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-60 11/28/2017

Page 61: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable D. 2. Other Transportation Related Revenue Forecasts

November 2017

Rental Car Sales Tax

0.3% of Retail Sales and Use Tax on Motor VehiclesRetail Sales TaxUse Tax

Total

Studded Tire Fee

DOT Business Related RevenuesSale of PropertyWSP AccessDOT ServicesDOT Publications and DocumentsFiling Fees and legal ServicesProperty ManagementOutdoor AdvertisingAccess Permits (Right of Way)Other Revenues

Total

Washington Traffic Safety CommissionSchool Zone Fines

Total

WSP Business Related RevenuesWSP AccessWSP Publications and DocumentsBreathalyzer Test FinesDUI Cost ReimbursementTerminal Safety Inspection FeeCommercial Vehicle PenaltiesCommunication Tower LeasesIgnition Interlock Vendors Fee (HSF-Fund 106)

Total

Aircraft Registrations, Excise and DealersAircraft Fuel Tax - 11¢ per gallonAircraft Registration FeeAircraft Excise TaxAircraft License Fees (Aircraft Dealers & Specialty Plates)Aeronautics Transfer (from MV Fund 108-115)

Total

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108Washington State Patrol Fund-Fund 081Highway Safety Fund-Fund 106Multimodal Fund-Fund 218Aeronautics Account 039Washington State Aviation Account 21GSchool Zone Safety Account 780General Fund 001Total

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2023-2025 2023 - 2025 2025-2027 2025 - 2027

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

77,296,300 76,375,000 921,300 1.21% 80,180,400 79,334,100 846,300 1.07%

97,280,700 97,216,100 64,600 0.07% 100,324,600 100,183,300 141,300 0.14%17,844,700 17,858,500 (13,800) -0.08% 18,525,900 18,524,200 1,700 0.01%

115,125,400 115,074,600 50,800 0.04% 118,850,500 118,707,500 143,000 0.12%

1,063,000 1,063,000 0 0.00% 1,068,000 1,068,000 0 0.00%

10,000,000 10,000,000 0 0.00% 10,000,000 10,000,000 0 0.00%1,594,800 1,565,800 29,000 1.85% 1,639,200 1,596,000 43,200 2.71%

119,000 117,000 2,000 1.71% 122,400 119,200 3,200 2.68%214,200 210,200 4,000 1.90% 220,200 214,400 5,800 2.71%411,400 407,600 3,800 0.93% 420,000 415,600 4,400 1.06%

2,646,800 2,486,000 160,800 6.47% 2,757,800 2,571,800 186,000 7.23%496,400 466,343 30,057 6.45% 517,200 482,415 34,785 7.21%

55,800 52,339 3,461 6.61% 58,200 54,143 4,057 7.49%444,200 443,022 1,178 0.27% 456,600 458,290 (1,690) -0.37%

15,982,600 15,748,305 234,295 1.49% 16,191,600 15,911,848 279,752 1.76%

825,200 825,200 0 0.00% 825,200 825,200 0 0.00%825,200 825,200 0 0.00% 825,200 825,200 0 0.00%

1,594,800 1,565,800 29,000 1.85% 1,639,200 1,596,000 43,200 2.71%1,924,000 2,944,600 (1,020,600) -34.66% 1,924,000 2,944,600 (1,020,600) -34.66%2,829,800 2,829,800 0 0.00% 2,829,800 2,829,800 0 0.00%1,300,000 1,300,000 0 0.00% 1,300,000 1,300,000 0 0.00%2,700,000 2,700,000 0 0.00% 2,700,000 2,700,000 0 0.00%

592,800 592,800 0 0.00% 592,800 592,800 0 0.00%992,900 992,900 0 0.00% 1,116,400 1,053,400 63,000 5.98%

2,348,600 2,348,600 0 0.00% 2,348,600 2,348,600 0 0.00%14,282,900 15,274,500 (991,600) -6.49% 14,450,800 15,365,200 (914,400) -5.95%

5,436,800 5,409,300 27,500 0.51% 5,463,500 5,435,900 27,600 0.51%265,500 243,600 21,900 8.99% 268,300 246,000 22,300 9.07%747,200 744,700 2,500 0.34% 754,900 752,300 2,600 0.35%318,670 318,670 0 0.00% 297,740 297,740 0 0.00%852,200 848,234 3,966 0.47% 856,900 852,812 4,088 0.48%

7,620,370 7,564,504 55,866 0.74% 7,641,340 7,584,752 56,588 0.75%

232,195,770 231,925,108 270,662 0.12% 239,207,840 238,796,600 411,240 0.17%

18,998,460 19,784,765 (786,305) -3.97% 19,210,600 19,951,448 (740,848) -3.71%10,010,300 9,981,300 29,000 0.29% 10,178,200 10,072,000 106,200 1.05%

2,348,600 2,348,600 0 0.00% 2,348,600 2,348,600 0 0.00%192,421,700 191,449,600 972,100 0.51% 199,031,000 198,041,600 989,400 0.50%

7,307,840 7,251,974 55,866 0.77% 7,349,740 7,293,152 56,588 0.78%283,670 283,670 0 100.00% 264,600 264,600 0 100.00%825,200 825,200 0 0.00% 825,200 825,200 0 0.00%

0 0 0 0.00% 0 0 0 0.00%232,195,770 231,925,109 270,661 0.12% 239,207,940 238,796,600 411,340 0.17%

DifferenceDifference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-61 11/28/2017

Page 62: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable D. 2. Other Transportation Related Revenue Forecasts

November 2017

Rental Car Sales Tax

0.3% of Retail Sales and Use Tax on Motor VehiclesRetail Sales TaxUse Tax

Total

Studded Tire Fee

DOT Business Related RevenuesSale of PropertyWSP AccessDOT ServicesDOT Publications and DocumentsFiling Fees and legal ServicesProperty ManagementOutdoor AdvertisingAccess Permits (Right of Way)Other Revenues

Total

Washington Traffic Safety CommissionSchool Zone Fines

Total

WSP Business Related RevenuesWSP AccessWSP Publications and DocumentsBreathalyzer Test FinesDUI Cost ReimbursementTerminal Safety Inspection FeeCommercial Vehicle PenaltiesCommunication Tower LeasesIgnition Interlock Vendors Fee (HSF-Fund 106)

Total

Aircraft Registrations, Excise and DealersAircraft Fuel Tax - 11¢ per gallonAircraft Registration FeeAircraft Excise TaxAircraft License Fees (Aircraft Dealers & Specialty Plates)Aeronautics Transfer (from MV Fund 108-115)

Total

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108Washington State Patrol Fund-Fund 081Highway Safety Fund-Fund 106Multimodal Fund-Fund 218Aeronautics Account 039Washington State Aviation Account 21GSchool Zone Safety Account 780General Fund 001Total

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2027-2029 2027-2029

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

82,962,100 82,093,000 869,100 1.06%

103,337,400 103,164,900 172,500 0.17%19,201,400 19,185,200 16,200 0.08%

122,538,700 122,350,100 188,600 0.15%

1,068,000 1,068,000 0 0.00%

10,000,000 10,000,000 0 0.00%1,685,000 1,653,600 31,400 1.90%

125,800 123,600 2,200 1.78%226,200 222,000 4,200 1.89%428,600 430,600 (2,000) -0.46%

2,870,400 2,674,600 195,800 7.32%538,400 508,400 30,000 5.90%

60,600 56,310 4,290 7.62%469,200 476,631 (7,431) -1.56%

16,404,200 16,145,742 258,458 1.60%

825,200 825,200 0 0.00%825,200 825,200 0 0.00%

1,685,000 1,625,400 59,600 3.67%1,924,000 2,944,600 (1,020,600) -34.66%2,829,800 2,829,800 0 0.00%1,300,000 1,300,000 0 0.00%2,700,000 2,700,000 0 0.00%

592,800 592,800 0 0.00%1,117,500 1,117,500 0 0.00%2,348,600 2,348,600 0 0.00%

14,497,700 15,458,700 (961,000) -6.22%0

5,459,700 5,432,100 27,600 0.51%271,100 248,400 22,700 9.14%762,500 759,600 2,900 0.38%271,040 270,933 107 0.04%858,100 853,988 4,112 0.48%

7,622,440 7,565,020 57,420 0.76%

245,918,340 245,505,762 412,578 0.17%

19,421,140 20,183,282 (762,142) -3.78%10,225,100 10,165,500 59,600 0.59%

2,348,600 2,348,600 0 0.00%205,500,800 204,443,100 1,057,700 0.52%

7,357,540 7,300,121 57,419 0.79%239,960 239,960 0 100.00%825,200 825,200 0 0.00%

0 0 0 0.00%245,918,340 245,505,763 412,577 0.17%

Difference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-62 11/28/2017

Page 63: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable D. 3. Other Transportation Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2017

Current BienniumFiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Rental Car Sales Tax $23,672,092 $23,038,941 $26,826,283 $29,218,185 $31,765,444 $32,611,479 $34,192,000 $34,720,400 $35,428,900 $36,144,700

0.3% of Retail Sales and Use Tax on Motor VehiclesRetail Sales Tax $24,929,541 $27,761,725 $31,010,421 $34,063,020 $38,083,588 $41,204,348 $42,811,600 $43,912,900 $44,872,300 $45,797,700Use Tax 5,100,138 5,536,355 5,917,296 6,463,254 7,095,294 7,489,592 7,716,400 7,915,300 8,100,200 8,279,000

Total $30,029,679 $33,298,080 $36,927,717 $40,526,274 $45,178,882 $48,693,940 $50,528,100 $51,828,200 $52,972,500 $54,076,700

Studded Tire Fee 491,386 495,000 504,000 509,000 514,000

DOT Business Related RevenuesSale of Property $3,577,125 $3,499,677 $5,492,439 $6,697,982 $3,545,121 $4,488,900 $5,000,000 $5,000,000 $5,000,000 $5,000,000WSP Access 790,329 746,467 726,202 719,585 710,302 712,100 689,266 733,711 754,800 754,800 DOT Services 46,024 48,316 41,407 46,459 58,633 47,500 41,583 54,700 56,300 56,300 DOT Publications and Documents 142,555 98,312 139,167 54,425 134,537 56,500 78,415 98,400 101,400 101,400 Filing Fees and legal Services 157,033 203,800 184,892 186,304 182,991 187,400 180,880 190,800 196,600 196,600 Property Management 1,417,011 2,075,967 1,554,915 1,418,692 1,322,626 963,800 1,065,100 1,159,500 1,221,200 1,221,200 Outdoor Advertising 19,490 17,810 18,344 258,740 266,600 162,300 170,600 214,400 229,100 229,100 Access Permits (Right of Way) 25,600 28,750 17,780 29,272 32,837 15,300 22,700 24,800 25,700 25,700 Other Revenues 94,367 353,919 154,425 302,855 149,488 246,587 162,100 198,100 210,200 210,200

Total $6,269,532 $7,073,018 $8,329,570 $9,714,314 $6,403,135 $6,880,387 $7,410,645 $7,674,411 $7,795,300 $7,795,300

Washington Traffic Safety CommissionSchool Zone Fines 906,281 722,270 640,843 586,207 468,978 412,600 412,600 412,600 412,600 412,600

Total $906,281 $722,270 $640,843 $586,207 $468,978 $412,600 $412,600 $412,600 $412,600 $412,600

WSP Business Related RevenuesWSP Access $801,436 $746,467 $726,202 $719,676 $710,302 $712,100 $733,400 $735,300 $754,800 $754,800WSP Publications and Documents 453,773 498,988 662,473 903,765 1,354,851 1,589,795 962,000 962,000 962,000 962,000 Breathalyzer Test Fines 932,643 1,240,207 1,335,544 1,503,314 1,541,985 1,278,616 1,414,900 1,414,900 1,414,900 1,414,900 DUI Cost Reimbursement 660,319 684,202 700,699 706,592 610,500 582,094 650,000 650,000 650,000 650,000 Terminal Safety Inspection Fee 1,466,018 1,233,986 1,233,986 1,233,986 1,233,986 1,233,986 1,350,000 1,350,000 1,350,000 1,350,000 Commercial Vehicle Penalties 313,845 118,506 264,984 563,741 216,570 140,349 296,400 296,400 296,400 296,400 Communication Tower Leases 288,637 325,022 407,409 358,203 372,777 397,763 409,700 422,000 434,700 447,700 Ignition Interlock Vendors Fee (HSF-Fund 106) 0 767,355 1,082,865 1,185,055 1,163,800 1,265,664 1,174,300 1,174,300 1,174,300 1,174,300

Total $4,916,670 $5,614,732 $6,414,162 $7,174,332 $7,204,771 $7,200,367 $6,990,700 $7,004,900 $7,037,100 $7,050,100

Aircraft Registrations, Excise and DealersAircraft Fuel Tax - 11¢ per gallon $2,982,569 $2,513,158 $2,459,667 $2,547,568 $1,242,808 $2,418,737 $2,568,900 $2,577,200 $2,614,100 $2,651,500Aircraft Registration Fee 120,655 123,600 102,235 113,445 114,199 126,595 127,600 128,500 129,400 130,200 Aircraft Excise Tax 301,400 311,332 349,359 343,365 353,694 355,896 358,800 361,500 364,000 366,300 Aircraft License Fees (Aircraft Dealers & Specialty Plates) 3,450 3,225 2,775 3,095 2,870 3,070 87,070 146,070 153,010 159,890 Aeronautics Transfer (from MV Fund 108-115) 281,600 280,939 285,217 289,479 339,820 392,529 407,200 410,700 414,300 417,000

Total $3,689,673 $3,232,254 $3,199,253 $3,296,952 $2,053,391 $3,296,827 $3,549,570 $3,623,970 $3,674,810 $3,724,890

Total Revenue 69,483,928 72,979,295 82,337,829 90,516,263 93,074,601 99,586,986 103,578,615 105,768,481 107,830,210 109,718,290

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108 6,723,305 7,572,006 8,992,043 10,618,078 7,757,986 8,961,568 8,892,845 9,168,611 9,283,020 9,286,610 Washington State Patrol Fund-Fund 081 4,462,898 4,348,389 4,668,824 5,085,512 4,686,120 4,344,908 4,854,400 4,868,600 4,900,800 4,913,800 Highway Safety Fund-Fund 106 0 767,355 1,082,865 1,185,055 1,163,800 1,265,664 1,174,300 1,174,300 1,174,300 1,174,300 Multimodal Fund-Fund 218 53,701,771 56,337,021 63,754,000 69,744,459 76,944,326 81,305,419 84,720,100 86,548,600 88,401,400 90,221,400Aeronautics Account 039 3,418,414 2,952,055 2,884,830 2,987,924 2,053,391 3,296,827 3,465,570 3,480,970 3,524,870 3,568,070Washington State Aviation Account 21G 0 0 0 0 0 0 58,800 114,800 133,220 141,510School Zone Safety Account 780 906,281 722,270 640,843 586,207 468,978 412,600 412,600 412,600 412,600 412,600General Fund 001 271,260 280,199 314,423 309,028 0 0 0 0 0Total $69,483,929 $72,979,295 $82,337,829 $90,516,263 $93,074,601 $99,586,986 $103,578,615 $105,768,481 $107,830,210 $109,718,290

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-63 11/28/2017

Page 64: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable D. 3. Other Transportation Related Revenue ForecastsNovember 2017

Rental Car Sales Tax

0.3% of Retail Sales and Use Tax on Motor VehiclesRetail Sales TaxUse Tax

Total

Studded Tire Fee

DOT Business Related RevenuesSale of PropertyWSP AccessDOT ServicesDOT Publications and DocumentsFiling Fees and legal ServicesProperty ManagementOutdoor AdvertisingAccess Permits (Right of Way)Other Revenues

Total

Washington Traffic Safety CommissionSchool Zone Fines

Total

WSP Business Related RevenuesWSP AccessWSP Publications and DocumentsBreathalyzer Test FinesDUI Cost ReimbursementTerminal Safety Inspection FeeCommercial Vehicle PenaltiesCommunication Tower LeasesIgnition Interlock Vendors Fee (HSF-Fund 106)

Total

Aircraft Registrations, Excise and DealersAircraft Fuel Tax - 11¢ per gallonAircraft Registration FeeAircraft Excise TaxAircraft License Fees (Aircraft Dealers & Specialty Plates)Aeronautics Transfer (from MV Fund 108-115)

Total

Total Revenue

Forecast of Distributions

Motor Vehicle Fund-Fund 108Washington State Patrol Fund-Fund 081Highway Safety Fund-Fund 106Multimodal Fund-Fund 218Aeronautics Account 039Washington State Aviation Account 21GSchool Zone Safety Account 780General Fund 001Total

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

$36,852,400 $37,585,500 $38,287,400 $39,008,900 $39,732,000 $40,448,400 $41,131,000 $41,831,100

$46,654,400 $47,460,800 $48,258,100 $49,022,600 $49,797,100 $50,527,500 $51,276,500 $52,060,9008,464,700 8,651,300 8,834,900 9,009,800 9,179,900 9,346,000 9,516,400 9,685,000

$55,119,100 $56,112,100 $57,093,000 $58,032,400 $58,977,100 $59,873,500 $60,792,900 $61,745,800

519,000 524,000 529,000 534,000 534,000 534,000 534,000 534,000

$5,000,000 $5,000,000 $5,000,000 $5,000,000 $5,000,000 $5,000,000 $5,000,000 $5,000,000775,800 775,800 797,400 797,400 819,600 819,600 842,500 842,500

57,900 57,900 59,500 59,500 61,200 61,200 62,900 62,900 104,200 104,200 107,100 107,100 110,100 110,100 113,100 113,100 201,300 201,300 205,700 205,700 210,000 210,000 214,300 214,300

1,269,800 1,269,800 1,323,400 1,323,400 1,378,900 1,378,900 1,435,200 1,435,200 238,200 238,200 248,200 248,200 258,600 258,600 269,200 269,200

26,800 26,800 27,900 27,900 29,100 29,100 30,300 30,300 216,000 216,000 222,100 222,100 228,300 228,300 234,600 234,600

$7,890,000 $7,890,000 $7,991,300 $7,991,300 $8,095,800 $8,095,800 $8,202,100 $8,202,100

412,600 412,600 412,600 412,600 412,600 412,600 412,600 412,600$412,600 $412,600 $412,600 $412,600 $412,600 $412,600 $412,600 $412,600

$775,800 $775,800 $797,400 $797,400 $819,600 $819,600 $842,500 $842,500962,000 962,000 962,000 962,000 962,000 962,000 962,000 962,000

1,414,900 1,414,900 1,414,900 1,414,900 1,414,900 1,414,900 1,414,900 1,414,900 650,000 650,000 650,000 650,000 650,000 650,000 650,000 650,000

1,350,000 1,350,000 1,350,000 1,350,000 1,350,000 1,350,000 1,350,000 1,350,000 296,400 296,400 296,400 296,400 296,400 296,400 296,400 296,400 461,100 474,900 489,100 503,800 581,900 534,500 550,449 567,051

1,174,300 1,174,300 1,174,300 1,174,300 1,174,300 1,174,300 1,174,300 1,174,300 $7,084,500 $7,098,300 $7,134,100 $7,148,800 $7,249,100 $7,201,700 $7,240,549 $7,257,151

$2,679,500 $2,698,800 $2,713,500 $2,723,300 $2,730,700 $2,732,800 $2,730,500 $2,729,200131,000 131,700 132,400 133,100 133,800 134,500 135,200 135,900 368,500 370,600 372,600 374,600 376,500 378,400 380,300 382,200 169,190 167,170 161,970 156,700 152,770 144,970 138,370 132,670 420,100 423,000 425,100 427,100 428,300 428,600 428,900 429,200

$3,768,290 $3,791,270 $3,805,570 $3,814,800 $3,822,070 $3,819,270 $3,813,270 $3,809,170

111,645,890 113,413,770 115,252,970 116,942,800 118,822,670 120,385,270 122,126,419 123,791,921

9,386,370 9,391,140 9,497,000 9,501,460 9,605,700 9,604,900 9,710,760 9,710,380 4,948,200 4,962,000 4,997,800 5,012,500 5,112,800 5,065,400 5,104,249 5,120,851 1,174,300 1,174,300 1,174,300 1,174,300 1,174,300 1,174,300 1,174,300 1,174,300

91,971,500 93,697,600 95,380,400 97,041,300 98,709,100 100,321,900 101,923,900 103,576,9003,602,170 3,627,170 3,646,670 3,661,170 3,672,370 3,677,370 3,677,970 3,679,570

150,750 148,960 144,200 139,470 135,800 128,800 122,640 117,320412,600 412,600 412,600 412,600 412,600 412,600 412,600 412,600

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0$111,645,890 $113,413,770 $115,252,970 $116,942,800 $118,822,670 $120,385,270 $122,126,419 $123,791,921

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-64 11/28/2017

Page 65: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Washington State Ferries Ridership and Revenue Forecast

November 2017

Contact: Ray Deardorf, Washington State Department of Transportation, 206-515-3491, [email protected]

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-65 11/28/2017

Page 66: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable E. 1. Ferry Ridership Forecasts *November 2017

Current BienniumFerry Ridership FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019¹ FY 2020

Passenger Ridership (November 2017 Forecast) 12,236,081 12,350,126 12,696,936 13,270,874 13,523,385 13,669,834 13,821,000 13,921,000 14,061,000Annual Percent Change –1.0% +0.9% +2.8% +4.5% +1.9% +1.1% +1.1% +0.7% +1.0%

Passenger Ridership (September 2017 Forecast) 12,236,081 12,350,126 12,696,936 13,270,874 13,523,385 13,669,834 13,861,000 13,900,000 14,043,000 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 - - - - - - –0.3% +0.2% +0.1%

Vehicle/Driver Ridership (November 2017 Forecast) 9,983,059 10,045,043 10,154,905 10,387,368 10,559,240 10,545,000 10,794,000 10,900,000 11,021,000Annual Percent Change +2.3% +0.6% +1.1% +2.3% +1.7% –0.1% +2.4% +1.0% +1.1%

Vehicle/Driver Ridership (September 2017 Forecast) 9,983,059 10,045,043 10,154,905 10,387,368 10,559,240 10,545,000 10,940,000 11,016,000 11,051,000 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 - - - - - - –1.3% –1.1% –0.3%

Total Ridership (November 2017 Forecast) 22,219,140 22,395,169 22,851,841 23,658,242 24,082,625 24,214,569 24,615,000 24,821,000 25,082,000Annual Percent Change +0.5% +0.8% +2.0% +3.5% +1.8% +0.5% +1.7% +0.8% +1.1%

Total Ridership (September 2017 Forecast) 22,219,140 22,395,169 22,851,841 23,658,242 24,082,625 24,214,569 24,801,000 24,916,000 25,094,000 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 - - - - - - –0.7% –0.4% –0.0%

Ferry Ridership FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027 FY 2028 FY 2029

Passenger Ridership (November 2017 Forecast) 14,327,000 14,599,000 14,880,000 15,143,000 15,418,000 15,709,000 16,005,000 16,305,000 16,608,000Annual Percent Change +1.9% +1.9% +1.9% +1.8% +1.8% +1.9% +1.9% +1.9% +1.9%

Passenger Ridership (September 2017 Forecast) 14,266,000 14,503,000 14,763,000 15,008,000 15,265,000 15,535,000 15,808,000 16,082,000 16,358,000 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 +0.4% +0.7% +0.8% +0.9% +1.0% +1.1% +1.2% +1.4% +1.5%

Vehicle/Driver Ridership (November 2017 Forecast) 11,115,000 11,214,000 11,331,000 11,432,000 11,541,000 11,640,000 11,722,000 11,797,000 11,864,000Annual Percent Change +0.9% +0.9% +1.0% +0.9% +1.0% +0.9% +0.7% +0.6% +0.6%

Vehicle/Driver Ridership (September 2017 Forecast) 11,113,000 11,202,000 11,311,000 11,418,000 11,525,000 11,620,000 11,696,000 11,763,000 11,824,000 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 +0.0% +0.1% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.2% +0.2% +0.3% +0.3%

Total Ridership (November 2017 Forecast) 25,442,000 25,813,000 26,211,000 26,575,000 26,959,000 27,349,000 27,727,000 28,102,000 28,472,000Annual Percent Change +1.4% +1.5% +1.5% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.3%

Total Ridership (September 2017 Forecast) 25,379,000 25,705,000 26,074,000 26,426,000 26,790,000 27,155,000 27,504,000 27,845,000 28,182,000 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 +0.2% +0.4% +0.5% +0.6% +0.6% +0.7% +0.8% +0.9% +1.0%

* Data is for the Baseline Forecast ("No Fare Increases") Note: Ridership totals may differ from the sum of fare categories due to rounding to the nearest thousand.¹ FY 2018 includes actual ridership through October 2017.

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-66 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable E. 2. Ferries Forecast Biennium Comparison*November 2017

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2011-2013 2011-2013 2013-2015 2013-2015

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value PercentFarebox Revenue

Fares 310,961,245$ 310,961,245$ -$ 0% 335,850,839$ 335,850,839$ -$ 0%Capital Surcharge 6,171,160$ 6,171,160$ - 0% 7,556,778 7,556,778 - 0%

Total 317,132,405$ 317,132,405$ -$ 0% 343,407,617$ 343,407,617$ -$ 0%

Miscellaneous RevenueVessel Non-Fare Revenue 2,366,658$ 2,366,658$ -$ 0% 2,796,993$ 2,796,993$ -$ 0%Other Non-Fare Revenue (Terminal) 4,599,500$ 4,599,500 - 0% 4,695,981 4,695,981 - 0%

Total 6,966,158$ 6,966,158$ -$ 0% 7,492,974$ 7,492,974$ -$ 0%

Total Farebox and Miscellanous RevenueTotal 324,098,722$ 324,098,722$ -$ 0% 350,900,591$ 350,900,591$ -$ 0%

Distribution of RevenueOperating Program-Fund 109 317,927,562$ 317,927,562$ -$ 0% 343,343,813$ 343,343,813$ -$ 0%Capital Vessel Replacement Account-Fund 18J 6,171,160$ 6,171,160 - 0% 7,556,778 7,556,778 - 0%

Total 324,098,722$ 324,098,722$ -$ 0% 350,900,591$ 350,900,591$ -$ 0%

Current Biennium¹BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2015-2017 2015-2017 2017-2019 2017-2019

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

Farebox RevenueFares 360,388,080$ 360,388,015$ 65$ +0.0% 383,456,000$ 387,121,000$ (3,665,000)$ –0.9%Capital Surcharge 8,030,529 8,030,848 (319) –0.0% 8,227,000$ 8,292,000 (65,000) –0.8%

Total 368,418,609$ 368,418,863$ (254)$ –0.0% 391,683,000$ 395,413,000$ (3,730,000)$ –0.9%

Miscellaneous RevenueVessel Non-Fare Revenue 3,331,910$ 3,331,910$ -$ 0% 3,455,000$ 3,455,000$ -$ 0%Other Non-Fare Revenue (Terminal) 5,481,564 5,481,564 - 0% 5,731,000$ 5,662,000 69,000 +1.2%

Total 8,813,474$ 8,813,474$ -$ 0% 9,186,000$ 9,117,000$ 69,000$ +0.8%

Total Farebox and Miscellanous RevenueTotal 377,232,083$ 377,232,337$ (254)$ –0.0% 400,869,000$ 404,530,000$ (3,661,000)$ –0.9%

Distribution of RevenueOperating Program-Fund 109 369,201,554$ 369,201,489$ 65$ +0.0% 392,642,000$ 396,238,000$ (3,596,000)$ –0.9%Capital Vessel Replacement Account-Fund 18J 8,030,529 8,030,848 (319) –0.0% 8,227,000$ 8,292,000 (65,000) –0.8%

Total 377,232,083$ 377,232,337$ (254)$ –0.0% 400,869,000$ 404,530,000$ (3,661,000)$ –0.9%

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2019-2021 2019-2021 2021-2023 2021-2023

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

Farebox RevenueFares 398,439,000$ 397,748,000$ 691,000$ +0.2% 407,401,000$ 405,029,000$ 2,372,000$ +0.6%Capital Surcharge 8,414,000$ 8,400,000 14,000 +0.2% 8,641,000 8,596,000 45,000 +0.5%

Total 406,853,000$ 406,148,000$ 705,000$ +0.2% 416,042,000$ 413,625,000$ 2,417,000$ +0.6%

Miscellaneous RevenueVessel Non-Fare Revenue 3,670,000$ 3,670,000$ -$ 0% 3,911,000$ 3,911,000$ -$ 0%Other Non-Fare Revenue (Terminal) 5,699,000 5,699,000 - 0% 6,070,000 6,070,000 - 0%

Total 9,369,000$ 9,369,000$ -$ 0% 9,981,000$ 9,981,000$ -$ 0%

Total Farebox and Miscellanous RevenueTotal 416,222,000$ 415,517,000$ 705,000$ +0.2% 426,023,000$ 423,606,000$ 2,417,000$ +0.6%

Distribution of RevenueOperating Program-Fund 109 407,808,000$ 407,117,000$ 691,000$ +0.2% 417,382,000$ 415,010,000$ 2,372,000$ +0.6%Capital Vessel Replacement Account-Fund 18J 8,414,000$ 8,400,000 14,000 +0.2% 8,641,000 8,596,000 45,000 +0.5%

Total 416,222,000$ 415,517,000$ 705,000$ +0.2% 426,023,000$ 423,606,000$ 2,417,000$ +0.6%

Difference November 2017 vs. September 2017

Difference November 2017 vs. September 2017

Difference November 2017 vs. September 2017

Difference November 2017 vs. September 2017

Difference November 2017 vs. September 2017

Difference November 2017 vs. September 2017

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-67 11/28/2017

Page 68: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable E. 2. Ferries Forecast Biennium Comparison*November 2017

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2023-2025 2023-2025 2025-2027 2025-2027

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

Farebox RevenueFares 416,490,000$ 413,725,000$ 2,765,000$ +0.7% 425,219,000$ 421,816,000$ 3,403,000$ +0.8%Capital Surcharge 8,870,000 8,813,000 57,000 +0.6% 9,092,000 9,020,000 72,000 +0.8%

Total 425,360,000$ 422,538,000$ 2,822,000$ +0.7% 434,311,000$ 430,836,000$ 3,475,000$ +0.8%

Miscellaneous RevenueVessel Non-Fare Revenue 4,176,000$ 4,176,000$ -$ 0% 4,454,000$ 4,454,000$ -$ 0%Other Non-Fare Revenue (Terminal) 6,483,000 6,483,000 - 0% 6,916,000 6,916,000 - 0%

Total 10,659,000$ 10,659,000$ -$ 0% 11,370,000$ 11,370,000$ -$ 0%

Total Farebox and Miscellanous RevenueTotal 436,019,000$ 433,197,000$ 2,822,000$ +0.7% 445,681,000$ 442,206,000$ 3,475,000$ +0.8%

Distribution of RevenueOperating Program-Fund 109 427,149,000$ 424,384,000$ 2,765,000$ +0.7% 436,589,000$ 433,186,000$ 3,403,000$ +0.8%Capital Vessel Replacement Account-Fund 18J 8,870,000 8,813,000 57,000 +0.6% 9,092,000 9,020,000 72,000 +0.8%

Total 436,019,000$ 433,197,000$ 2,822,000$ +0.7% 445,681,000$ 442,206,000$ 3,475,000$ +0.8%

BIENNIUM BIENNIUM2027-2029 2027-2029

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

Farebox RevenueFares 433,047,000$ 428,723,000$ 4,324,000$ +1.0%Capital Surcharge 9,297,000 9,203,000 94,000 +1.0%

Total 442,344,000$ 437,926,000$ 4,418,000$ +1.0%

Miscellaneous RevenueVessel Non-Fare Revenue 4,734,000$ 4,734,000$ -$ 0%Other Non-Fare Revenue (Terminal) 7,352,000 7,352,000 - 0%

Total 12,086,000$ 12,086,000$ -$ 0%

Total Farebox and Miscellanous RevenueTotal 454,430,000$ 450,012,000$ 4,418,000$ +1.0%

Distribution of RevenueOperating Program-Fund 109 445,133,000$ 440,809,000$ 4,324,000$ +1.0%Capital Vessel Replacement Account-Fund 18J 9,297,000 9,203,000 94,000 +1.0%

Total 454,430,000$ 450,012,000$ 4,418,000$ +1.0%

* Data is for forecast Baseline ("No Fare Increases") ¹ The 2017-2019 Biennium includes actual farebox revenue values through October 2017.

Difference November 2017 vs. September 2017

Difference November 2017 vs. September 2017

Difference November 2017 vs. September 2017

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-68 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable E. 3. Ferries Forecast By Fiscal Year *November 2017

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Farebox RevenueFares 152,540,403$ 158,420,842$ 163,779,177$ 172,071,662$ 177,437,015$ 182,951,065$ Capital Surcharge 2,544,970 3,626,191 3,662,690 3,894,088 4,007,848 4,022,681

Total 155,085,373$ 162,047,033$ 167,441,867$ 175,965,750$ 181,444,863$ 186,973,746$

Miscellaneous RevenueVessel Non-Fare Revenue 1,128,136$ 1,238,522$ 1,330,000$ 1,466,993$ 1,686,354$ 1,645,556$ Other Non-Fare Revenue (Terminal) 2,081,582 2,517,918 2,249,000 2,446,981 2,602,604 2,878,960

Total 3,209,718$ 3,756,440$ 3,579,000$ 3,913,974$ 4,288,958$ 4,524,516$

Total Farebox and Miscellanous RevenueTotal 158,295,061$ 165,803,662$ 171,020,867$ 179,879,724$ 185,733,821$ 191,498,262$

Distribution of RevenueOperating Program-Fund 109 155,750,091$ 162,177,471$ 167,358,177$ 175,985,636$ 181,725,973$ 187,475,581$ Capital Vessel Replacement Account-Fund 18J 2,544,970 3,626,191 3,662,690 3,894,088 4,007,848 4,022,681

Total 158,295,061$ 165,803,662$ 171,020,867$ 179,879,724$ 185,733,821$ 191,498,262$

Current BienniumFiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Farebox RevenueFares 188,753,000$ 194,703,000$ 198,173,000$ 200,266,000$ 202,509,000$ 204,892,000$ Capital Surcharge 4,092,000 4,135,000 4,180,000 4,234,000 4,290,000 4,351,000

Total 192,845,000$ 198,838,000$ 202,353,000$ 204,500,000$ 206,799,000$ 209,243,000$

Miscellaneous RevenueVessel Non-Fare Revenue 1,702,000$ 1,753,000$ 1,807,000$ 1,863,000$ 1,924,000$ 1,987,000$ Other Non-Fare Revenue (Terminal) 3,006,000 2,725,000 2,807,000 2,892,000 2,986,000 3,084,000

Total 4,708,000$ 4,478,000$ 4,614,000$ 4,755,000$ 4,910,000$ 5,071,000$

Total Farebox and Miscellanous RevenueTotal 197,553,000$ 203,316,000$ 206,967,000$ 209,255,000$ 211,709,000$ 214,314,000$

Distribution of RevenueOperating Program-Fund 109 193,461,000$ 199,181,000$ 202,787,000$ 205,021,000$ 207,419,000$ 209,963,000$ Capital Vessel Replacement Account-Fund 18J 4,092,000 4,135,000 4,180,000 4,234,000 4,290,000 4,351,000

Total 197,553,000$ 203,316,000$ 206,967,000$ 209,255,000$ 211,709,000$ 214,314,000$

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-69 11/28/2017

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Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Farebox RevenueFares 207,094,000$ 209,396,000$ 211,596,000$ 213,623,000$ 215,588,000$ 217,459,000$ Capital Surcharge 4,406,000 4,464,000 4,520,000 4,572,000 4,624,000 4,673,000

Total 211,500,000$ 213,860,000$ 216,116,000$ 218,195,000$ 220,212,000$ 222,132,000$

Miscellaneous RevenueVessel Non-Fare Revenue 2,053,000$ 2,123,000$ 2,193,000$ 2,261,000$ 2,331,000$ 2,403,000$ Other Non-Fare Revenue (Terminal) 3,187,000 3,296,000 3,405,000 3,511,000 3,620,000 3,732,000

Total 5,240,000$ 5,419,000$ 5,598,000$ 5,772,000$ 5,951,000$ 6,135,000$

Total Farebox and Miscellanous RevenueTotal 216,740,000$ 219,279,000$ 221,714,000$ 223,967,000$ 226,163,000$ 228,267,000$

Distribution of RevenueOperating Program-Fund 109 212,334,000$ 214,815,000$ 217,194,000$ 219,395,000$ 221,539,000$ 223,594,000$ Capital Vessel Replacement Account-Fund 18J 4,406,000 4,464,000 4,520,000 4,572,000 4,624,000 4,673,000

Total 216,740,000$ 219,279,000$ 221,714,000$ 223,967,000$ 226,163,000$ 228,267,000$

* Data is for forecast Baseline ("No Fare Increases") ¹ FY 2018 includes actual farebox revenue through October 2017.

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-70 11/28/2017

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Toll Operations and Revenue Forecast

November 2017

Contact: Yanming Yao, Washington State Department of Transportation, (206) 464-1196, [email protected]

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-71 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable F. 1. Toll Operations Forecasts, Fiscal YearNovember 2017

Current Biennium2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Traffic VolumeTacoma Narrows Traffic Volume (November 2017 Forecast) 14,066,929 13,827,983 13,958,692 14,391,928 14,800,360 15,008,723 15,238,000 15,464,000 15,692,000

Annual Percent Change 2.5% -1.7% 0.9% 3.1% 2.8% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%Tacoma Narrows Traffic Volume (September 2017 Forecast) 14,066,929 13,827,983 13,958,692 14,391,928 14,800,360 15,215,000 15,482,000 15,711,000 15,949,000

Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.4% -1.6% -1.6% -1.6%

SR 167 HOT Lanes Traffic Volume (November 2017 Forecast) 841,154 1,033,471 1,134,609 1,178,638 1,128,750 1,479,709 1,683,000 1,811,000Annual Percent Change 31.5% 22.9% 9.8% 3.9% -4.2% 31.1% 13.7% 7.6%

SR 167 HOT Lanes Traffic Volume (September 2017 Forecast) 841,154 1,033,471 1,134,609 1,178,638 1,128,750 1,470,000 1,689,000 1,836,000 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% -0.4% -1.4%

SR 520 Bridge Traffic Volume (November 2017 Forecast) 9,609,173 20,220,601 20,959,574 22,019,770 23,217,000 23,974,779 24,609,000 25,176,000 25,398,000Annual Percent Change 110.4% 3.7% 5.1% 5.4% 3.3% 2.6% 2.3% 0.9%

SR 520 Bridge Traffic Volume (September 2017 Forecast) 9,609,173 20,220,601 20,959,574 22,019,770 23,217,000 24,190,000 24,806,000 25,398,000 26,230,000 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.9% -0.8% -0.9% -3.2%

I-405 Express Toll Lanes Traffic Volume (November 2017 Forecast) 7,517,562 9,633,243 10,132,600 10,719,900 11,310,000Annual Percent Change 28.1% 5.2% 5.8% 5.5%

I-405 Express Toll Lanes Traffic Volume (September 2017 Forecast) 7,517,562 9,500,000 10,237,000 10,549,000 10,872,000 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 0.0% 1.4% -1.0% 1.6% 4.0%

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029Traffic VolumeTacoma Narrows Traffic Volume (November 2017 Forecast) 15,930,000 16,131,000 16,333,000 16,537,000 16,744,000 16,911,000 17,080,000 17,252,000 17,424,000

Annual Percent Change 1.5% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%Tacoma Narrows Traffic Volume (September 2017 Forecast) 16,147,000 16,349,000 16,554,000 16,760,000 16,971,000 17,139,000 17,311,000 17,485,000 17,659,000

Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 -1.3% -1.3% -1.3% -1.3% -1.3% -1.3% -1.3% -1.3% -1.3%

SR 167 HOT Lanes Traffic Volume (November 2017 Forecast)Annual Percent Change

SR 167 HOT Lanes Traffic Volume (September 2017 Forecast) Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017

SR 520 Bridge Traffic Volume (November 2017 Forecast) 26,127,000 26,725,000 27,694,000 29,079,000 29,645,000 30,064,000 31,375,000 32,083,000 32,727,000Annual Percent Change 2.9% 2.3% 3.6% 5.0% 1.9% 1.4% 4.4% 2.3% 2.0%

SR 520 Bridge Traffic Volume (September 2017 Forecast) 26,872,000 28,075,000 29,727,000 30,521,000 31,187,000 32,222,000 32,930,000 33,559,000 33,939,000 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 -2.8% -4.8% -6.8% -4.7% -4.9% -6.7% -4.7% -4.4% -3.6%

I-405 Express Toll Lanes Traffic Volume (November 2017 Forecast) 11,933,000 12,594,000 13,296,000 14,043,000 14,846,000 15,526,000 16,240,000 16,990,000 17,777,000Annual Percent Change 5.5% 5.5% 5.6% 5.6% 5.7% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6%

I-405 Express Toll Lanes Traffic Volume (September 2017 Forecast) 11,170,000 11,509,000 11,867,000 12,235,000 12,628,000 13,012,000 13,371,000 13,755,000 14,150,000 Percentage Change, Nov 2017 vs Sep 2017 6.8% 9.4% 12.0% 14.8% 17.6% 19.3% 21.5% 23.5% 25.6%

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-72 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable F. 2. Toll Operations Forecast Biennium ComparisonNovember 2017

Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium2011-13 2011-13 2013-15 2013-15

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 ValueTacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue

Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder Pass 65,094,285 65,094,285 - 0.00% 80,109,876 80,109,876 - Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Acounts - Pay By Plate 5,964,735 5,964,735 - 0.00% 9,753,211 9,753,211 - Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail - - - 0.00% 11,809,330 11,809,330 - Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment 31,740,853 31,740,853 - 0.00% 37,024,589 37,024,589 -

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential 102,799,873 102,799,873 - 0.00% 138,697,006 138,697,006 - Good To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts 252,959 252,959 - 0.00% 478,965 478,965 - Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue (334,472) (334,472) - 0.00% (7,810,170) (7,810,170) -

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue 102,718,360 102,718,360 - 0.00% 131,365,801 131,365,801 - Miscellaneous Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings) 2,252,685 2,252,685 - 0.00% 597,442 597,442 - Transponder Sales 659,875 659,875 - 0.00% 642,323 642,323 - Late payment fees plus NSF / statement fees 468,383 468,383 - 0.00% 859,650 859,650 -

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & Fees 106,099,303 106,099,303 - 0.00% 133,465,216 133,465,216 - Tacoma Narrows Bridge Other Revenue - - - 0.00% - - -

Violations 152,321 152,321 - 0.00% 18,556 18,556 - Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue 4,310,768 4,310,768 - 0.00% 2,520,226 2,520,226 -

Total Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue & Fees 110,562,392$ 110,562,392$ -$ 0.00% 136,003,998$ 136,003,998$ -$

SR 167 High Occupancy Toll Lanes RevenueAdjusted Gross Toll Revenue 2,117,536 2,117,536 - 0.00% 2,846,372 2,846,372 - Transponder / Shield Sales 58,801 58,801 - 0.00% 81,028 81,028 - NSF / statement fees 6,026 6,026 - 0.00% 7,338 7,338 - Misc Revenues 133,295 133,295 - 0.00% 30,018 30,018 -

Total SR 167 Revenue & Fees 2,315,658$ 2,315,658$ -$ 0.00% 2,964,756$ 2,964,756$ -$

SR 520 Bridge RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder Pass 57,225,101 57,225,101 - 0.00% 81,249,085 81,249,085 - Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By Plate 11,445,086 11,445,086 - 0.00% 23,531,148 23,531,148 - Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail 20,687,161 20,687,161 - 0.00% 29,192,123 29,192,123 -

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential 89,357,348 89,357,348 - 0.00% 133,972,355 133,972,355 - Good To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts 462,683 462,683* - 0.00% 1,882,249 1,882,249 - Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue (8,274,410) (8,274,410) - 0.00% (11,408,859) (11,408,859) -

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue 81,545,621 81,545,621 - 0.00% 124,445,745 124,445,745 - Miscellaneous Pledged Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings) 2,233,327 2,233,327 - 0.00% 713,727 713,727 - Transponder Sales 1,786,613 1,786,613 - 0.00% 1,051,951 1,051,951 - Late payment fees plus NSF / statement fees 2,214,213 2,214,213 - 0.00% 3,111,969 3,111,969 -

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & Fees 87,779,774 87,779,774 - 0.00% 129,323,392 129,323,392 (0) SR 520 Other Revenue - - -

Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue 11,498,741 11,498,741 - 0.00% 14,346,177 14,280,170 66,007 Misc Revenues 1,175,641 1,175,641 - 0.00% 517,956 517,956 -

Total SR 520 Revenue & Fees 100,454,156$ 100,454,156$ -$ 0.00% 144,187,525$ 144,121,517$ 66,007$

Difference Differe

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-73 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable F. 2. Toll Operations Forecast Biennium ComparisonNovember 2017

Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium2011-13 2011-13 2013-15 2013-15

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 ValueDifference Differe

I-405 Express Toll Lanes RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialGood To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMisc Revenues (interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesI-405 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueTotal I-405 Revenue & Fees

ALL Tolled Facilities RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder Pass 124,436,922 124,436,922 - 0.00% 164,205,333 164,205,333 - Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By Plate 17,409,821 17,409,821 - 0.00% 33,284,359 33,284,359 - Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail 20,687,161 20,687,161 - 0.00% 41,001,453 41,001,453 - Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment 31,740,853 31,740,853 - 0.00% 37,024,589 37,024,589 -

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential 194,274,757 194,274,757 - 0.00% 275,515,734 275,515,734 - Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue 186,381,517 186,381,517 - 0.00% 258,657,919 258,657,919 -

Misc. Revenues (contractual damages, interest earnings) 4,619,307 4,619,307 - 0.00% 1,341,187 1,341,187 - Transponder / Shield Sales 2,505,289 2,505,289 - 0.00% 1,775,301 1,775,301 - Late payment fees plus NSF / statement fees 2,688,622 2,688,622 - 0.00% 3,978,957 3,978,957 -

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & Fees 196,194,735 196,194,735 - 0.00% 265,753,364 265,753,364 - Violations 152,321 152,321 - 0.00% 18,556 18,556 - Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue 15,809,509 15,809,509 - 0.00% 16,866,403 16,800,395 66,007 Misc Non-Pledged Revenues 1,175,641 1175641 - 0.00% 517,956 517,956 -

Total Toll Revenue & Fees 213,332,206$ 213,332,206$ - 0.00% 283,156,279$ 283,090,271$ 66,007

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-74 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable F. 2. Toll Operations Forecast Biennium ComparisonNovember 2017

Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder Pass

Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Acounts - Pay By Plate Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialGood To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMiscellaneous Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesTacoma Narrows Bridge Other Revenue

ViolationsCivil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue

Total Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue & FeesSR 167 High Occupancy Toll Lanes Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueTransponder / Shield Sales NSF / statement feesMisc Revenues

Total SR 167 Revenue & Fees

SR 520 Bridge RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialGood To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMiscellaneous Pledged Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesSR 520 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueMisc Revenues

Total SR 520 Revenue & Fees

Current BienniumBiennium Biennium Biennium Biennium2015-17 2015-17 2017-19 2017-19

Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

0.00% 89,000,278 89,688,045 (687,767) -0.77% 92,492,000 95,478,000 (2,986,000) -3.13%0.00% 17,586,676 17,350,776 235,900 1.36% 18,187,000 17,165,000 1,022,000 5.95%0.00% 16,683,845 16,397,620 286,225 1.75% 16,776,000 16,254,000 522,000 3.21%0.00% 43,583,008 44,001,665 (418,657) -0.95% 43,489,000 44,662,000 (1,173,000) -2.63%0.00% 166,853,808 167,438,107 (584,299) -0.35% 170,944,000 173,559,000 (2,615,000) -1.51%0.00% 754,650 780,168 (25,518) -3.27% 848,000 800,000 48,000 6.00%0.00% (9,962,791) (10,191,545) 228,754 -2.24% (10,819,000) (10,465,000) (354,000) 3.38%0.00% 157,645,667 158,026,730 (381,063) -0.24% 160,973,000 163,894,000 (2,921,000) -1.78%0.00% 654,719 533,915 120,804 22.63% 178,000 181,000 (3,000) -1.66%0.00% 966,046 894,694 71,352 7.98% 959,000 923,000 36,000 3.90%0.00% 807,536 786,575 20,961 2.66% 831,000 779,000 52,000 6.68%0.00% 160,073,968 160,241,914 (167,946) -0.10% 162,941,000 165,777,000 (2,836,000) -1.71%0.00% - - - 0.00% - - - 0.00%0.00% 12,233 7,652 4,581 59.87% - - - 0.00%0.00% 2,929,754 3,324,623 (394,869) -11.88% 3,580,000 3,073,000 507,000 16.50%0.00% 163,015,955$ 163,574,189$ (558,234)$ -0.34% 166,521,000$ 168,850,000$ (2,329,000)$ -1.38%

0.00% 4,074,028 3,987,376 86,652 2.17% 7,138,800 6,125,000 1,013,800 16.55%0.00% 145,179 142,906 2,273 1.59% 186,000 158,000 28,000 17.72%0.00% 6,984 6,756 229 3.38% 8,000 8,000 - 0.00%0.00% 74,585 68,491 6,094 8.90% 70,000 53,000 17,000 32.08%0.00% 4,300,776$ 4,205,528$ 95,248$ 2.26% 7,402,800 6,344,000$ 1,058,800$ 16.69%

0.00% 90,345,156 92,801,085 (2,455,929) -2.65% 103,771,000 109,013,000 (5,242,000) -4.81%0.00% 30,633,724 28,509,351 2,124,373 7.45% 34,346,000 28,098,000 6,248,000 22.24%0.00% 35,736,081 35,862,238 (126,158) -0.35% 38,899,000 39,921,000 (1,022,000) -2.56%0.00% 156,714,961 157,172,674 (457,713) -0.29% 177,016,000 177,032,000 (16,000) -0.01%0.00% 2,457,578 2,475,010 (17,432) -0.70% 2,571,000 2,491,000 80,000 3.21%0.00% (14,840,673) (14,825,865) (14,808) 0.10% (16,893,000) (16,621,000) (272,000) 1.64%0.00% 144,331,866 144,821,819 (489,954) -0.34% 162,694,000 162,902,000 (208,000) -0.13%0.00% 4,462,297 1,341,104 3,121,193 232.73% 790,000 876,000 (86,000) -9.82%0.00% 1,682,193 1,571,497 110,696 7.04% 1,687,000 1,938,000 (251,000) -12.95%0.00% 2,534,397 2,629,617 (95,221) -3.62% 2,680,000 2,530,000 150,000 5.93%0.00% 153,010,753 150,364,038 2,646,715 1.76% 167,851,000 168,246,000 (395,000) -0.23%

- 0.46% 6,350,605 8,898,520 (2,547,915) -28.63% 7,468,000 8,919,000 (1,451,000) -16.27%0.00% 304,242 - 304,242 0.00% - - - 0.00%0.05% 159,665,600$ 159,262,558$ 403,042$ 0.25% 175,319,000$ 177,165,000$ (1,846,000)$ -1.04%

ence Difference Difference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-75 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable F. 2. Toll Operations Forecast Biennium ComparisonNovember 2017

I-405 Express Toll Lanes RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialGood To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMisc Revenues (interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesI-405 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueTotal I-405 Revenue & Fees

ALL Tolled Facilities RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialAdjusted Gross Toll Revenue

Misc. Revenues (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder / Shield SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesViolationsCivil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueMisc Non-Pledged Revenues

Total Toll Revenue & Fees

Current BienniumBiennium Biennium Biennium Biennium2015-17 2015-17 2017-19 2017-19

Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percentence Difference Difference

23,642,062 20,959,014 2,683,047 12.80% 29,725,000 33,797,000 (4,072,000) -12.05%6,165,521 5,336,464 829,056 15.54% 7,291,000 8,385,000 (1,094,000) -13.05%9,461,552 12,615,987 (3,154,435) -25.00% 13,966,000 13,168,000 798,000 6.06%

39,269,135 38,911,466 357,669 0.92% 50,982,000 55,350,000 (4,368,000) -7.89%688,839 688,004 835 0.12% 825,000 888,000 (63,000) -7.09%

(6,702,234) (6,544,762) (157,472) 2.41% (6,862,000) (5,113,000) (1,749,000) 34.21%33,255,740 33,054,708 201,032 0.61% 44,945,000 51,125,000 (6,180,000) -12.09%

524,198 488,949 35,249 7.21% - - - 0.00%2,056,444 2,053,730 2,714 0.13% 750,000 803,000 (53,000) -6.60%

784,478 786,488 (2,010) -0.26% 2,059,000 1,283,000 776,000 60.48%36,620,860 36,383,874 236,986 0.65% 47,754,000 53,211,000 (5,457,000) -10.26%

- - 2,412,085 2,542,878 (130,793) -5.14% 2,908,000 3,401,000 (493,000) -14.50%

39,032,945$ 38,926,752$ 106,193$ 0.27% 50,662,000$ 56,612,000$ (5,950,000)$ -10.51%

0.00% 207,061,524 207,435,520 (373,996) -0.18% 233,126,800 244,413,000 (11,286,200) -4.62%0.00% 54,385,921 51,196,592 3,189,329 6.23% 59,824,000 53,648,000 6,176,000 11.51%0.00% 61,881,478 64,875,845 (2,994,367) -4.62% 69,641,000 69,343,000 298,000 0.43%0.00% 43,583,008 44,001,665 (418,657) -0.95% 43,489,000 44,662,000 (1,173,000) -2.63%0.00% 366,911,931 367,509,623 (597,691) -0.16% 406,080,800 412,066,000 (5,985,200) -1.45%0.00% 339,307,301 339,890,633 (583,332) -0.17% 402,023,800 384,046,000 17,977,800 4.68%0.00% 5,715,799 2,432,459 3,283,340 134.98% 1,038,000 1,110,000 (72,000) -6.49%0.00% 4,849,862 4,662,827 187,035 4.01% 3,582,000 3,822,000 (240,000) -6.28%0.00% 4,133,396 4,209,436 (76,040) -1.81% 5,578,000 4,600,000 978,000 21.26%0.00% 354,006,358 351,195,355 2,811,003 0.80% 412,221,800 393,578,000 18,643,800 4.74%0.00% 12,233 7,652 4,581 59.87% - - - 0.00%0.39% 11,692,444 14,766,021 (3,073,577) -20.82% 13,956,000 15,393,000 (1,437,000) -9.34%0.00% 304,242 - 304,242 0.00% - - - 0.00%0.02% 366,015,277$ 365,969,028$ 46,249 0.01% 426,177,800$ 408,971,000$ 17,206,800 4.21%

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-76 11/28/2017

Page 77: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable F. 2. Toll Operations Forecast Biennium ComparisonNovember 2017

Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder Pass

Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Acounts - Pay By Plate Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialGood To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMiscellaneous Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesTacoma Narrows Bridge Other Revenue

ViolationsCivil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue

Total Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue & FeesSR 167 High Occupancy Toll Lanes Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueTransponder / Shield Sales NSF / statement feesMisc Revenues

Total SR 167 Revenue & Fees

SR 520 Bridge RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialGood To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMiscellaneous Pledged Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesSR 520 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueMisc Revenues

Total SR 520 Revenue & Fees

Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium2019-21 2019-21 2021-23 2021-23

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent

98,319,000 100,458,000 (2,139,000) -2.13% 103,321,000 104,609,000 (1,288,000) -1.23%17,266,000 16,635,000 631,000 3.79% 16,339,000 16,349,000 (10,000) -0.06%16,143,000 16,309,000 (166,000) -1.02% 16,303,000 16,817,000 (514,000) -3.06%43,809,000 44,816,000 (1,007,000) -2.25% 43,892,000 44,726,000 (834,000) -1.86%

175,537,000 178,218,000 (2,681,000) -1.50% 179,855,000 182,501,000 (2,646,000) -1.45%805,000 776,000 29,000 3.74% 762,000 763,000 (1,000) -0.13%

(10,402,000) (10,475,000) 73,000 -0.70% (10,461,000) (10,768,000) 307,000 -2.85%165,940,000 168,519,000 (2,579,000) -1.53% 170,156,000 172,496,000 (2,340,000) -1.36%

8,000 77000 (69,000) -89.61% - - - 0.00%873,000 863,000 10,000 1.16% 913,000 895,000 18,000 2.01%801,000 782,000 19,000 2.43% 809,000 806,000 3,000 0.37%

167,622,000 170,241,000 (2,619,000) -1.54% 171,878,000 174,197,000 (2,319,000) -1.33%- - - 0.00% - - - 0.00%- 0 - 0.00% - - - 0.00%

3,057,000 3,083,000 (26,000) -0.84% 3,088,000 3,179,000 (91,000) -2.86%170,679,000$ 173,324,000$ (2,645,000)$ -1.53% 174,966,000$ 177,376,000$ (2,410,000)$ -1.36%

109,215,000 117,534,000 (8,319,000) -7.08% 114,368,000 128,729,000 (14,361,000) -11.16%36,148,000 28,014,000 8,134,000 29.04% 37,853,000 28,726,000 9,127,000 31.77%39,503,000 40,648,000 (1,145,000) -2.82% 40,186,000 42,988,000 (2,802,000) -6.52%

184,866,000 186,196,000 (1,330,000) -0.71% 192,407,000 200,443,000 (8,036,000) -4.01%2,708,000 2,501,000 207,000 8.28% 2,886,000 2,592,000 294,000 11.34%

(14,775,000) (14,997,000) 222,000 -1.48% (14,503,000) (15,147,000) 644,000 -4.25%172,799,000 173,700,000 (901,000) -0.52% 180,790,000 187,888,000 (7,098,000) -3.78%

923,000 1,039,000 (116,000) -11.16% 1,186,000 1,352,000 (166,000) -12.28%1,504,000 1,624,000 (120,000) -7.39% 1,595,000 1,778,000 (183,000) -10.29%2,842,000 2,727,000 115,000 4.22% 2,949,000 2,967,000 (18,000) -0.61%

178,068,000 179,090,000 (1,022,000) -0.57% 186,520,000 193,985,000 (7,465,000) -3.85%- -

8,025,000 9,586,000 (1,561,000) -16.28% 8,436,000 10,419,000 (1,983,000) -19.03%- - - 0.00% - - - 0.00%

186,093,000$ 188,676,000$ (2,583,000)$ -1.37% 194,956,000$ 204,404,000$ (9,448,000)$ -4.62%

DifferenceDifference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-77 11/28/2017

Page 78: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable F. 2. Toll Operations Forecast Biennium ComparisonNovember 2017

I-405 Express Toll Lanes RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialGood To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMisc Revenues (interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesI-405 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueTotal I-405 Revenue & Fees

ALL Tolled Facilities RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialAdjusted Gross Toll Revenue

Misc. Revenues (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder / Shield SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesViolationsCivil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueMisc Non-Pledged Revenues

Total Toll Revenue & Fees

Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium2019-21 2019-21 2021-23 2021-23

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value PercentDifferenceDifference

34,522,000 40,276,000 (5,754,000) -14.29% 40,139,000 47,626,000 (7,487,000) -15.72%8,345,000 10,281,000 (1,936,000) -18.83% 9,563,000 11,906,000 (2,343,000) -19.68%

14,795,000 11,624,000 3,171,000 27.28% 15,626,000 11,290,000 4,336,000 38.41%57,662,000 62,181,000 (4,519,000) -7.27% 65,328,000 70,822,000 (5,494,000) -7.76%

915,000 996,000 (81,000) -8.13% 1,022,000 1,057,000 (35,000) -3.31%(6,274,000) (4,195,000) (2,079,000) 49.56% (6,979,000) (4,025,000) (2,954,000) 73.39%52,303,000 58,982,000 (6,679,000) -11.32% 59,371,000 67,854,000 (8,483,000) -12.50%

- - - 0.00% - - - 0.00%731,000 686,000 45,000 6.56% 823,000 737,000 86,000 11.67%

2,621,000 1,177,000 1,444,000 122.68% 2,833,000 1,131,000 1,702,000 150.49%55,655,000 60,845,000 (5,190,000) -8.53% 63,027,000 69,722,000 (6,695,000) -9.60%

- - - - 4,228,000 3,109,000 1,119,000 35.99% 4,618,000 2,976,000 1,642,000 55.17%

59,883,000$ 63,954,000$ (4,071,000)$ -6.37% 67,645,000$ 72,698,000$ (5,053,000)$ -6.95%

242,056,000 258,268,000 (16,212,000) -6.28% 257,828,000 280,964,000 (23,136,000) -8.23%61,759,000 54,930,000 6,829,000 12.43% 63,755,000 56,981,000 6,774,000 11.89%70,441,000 68,581,000 1,860,000 2.71% 72,115,000 71,095,000 1,020,000 1.43%43,809,000 44,816,000 (1,007,000) -2.25% 43,892,000 44,726,000 (834,000) -1.86%

418,065,000 426,595,000 (8,530,000) -2.00% 437,590,000 453,766,000 (16,176,000) -3.56%391,042,000 401,201,000 (10,159,000) -2.53% 410,317,000 428,238,000 (17,921,000) -4.18%

931,000 1,116,000 (185,000) -16.58% 1,186,000 1,352,000 (166,000) -12.28%3,108,000 3,173,000 (65,000) -2.05% 3,331,000 3,410,000 (79,000) -2.32%6,264,000 4,686,000 1,578,000 33.67% 6,591,000 4,904,000 1,687,000 34.40%

401,345,000 410,176,000 (8,831,000) -2.15% 421,425,000 437,904,000 (16,479,000) -3.76%- - - 0.00% - - - 0.00%

15,310,000 15,778,000 (468,000) -2.97% 16,142,000 16,574,000 (432,000) -2.61%- - - 0.00% - - - 0.00%

416,655,000$ 425,954,000$ (9,299,000) -2.18% 437,567,000$ 454,478,000$ (16,911,000) -3.72%

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-78 11/28/2017

Page 79: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable F. 2. Toll Operations Forecast Biennium ComparisonNovember 2017

Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder Pass

Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Acounts - Pay By Plate Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialGood To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMiscellaneous Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesTacoma Narrows Bridge Other Revenue

ViolationsCivil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue

Total Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue & FeesSR 167 High Occupancy Toll Lanes Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueTransponder / Shield Sales NSF / statement feesMisc Revenues

Total SR 167 Revenue & Fees

SR 520 Bridge RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialGood To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMiscellaneous Pledged Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesSR 520 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueMisc Revenues

Total SR 520 Revenue & Fees

Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium2023-25 2023-25 2025-27 2025-27 2027-2029

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017

108,386,000 108,905,000 (519,000) -0.48% 112,586,000 114,232,000 (1,646,000) -1.44% 114,849,000 15,331,000 16,038,000 (707,000) -4.41% 14,573,000 14,755,000 (182,000) -1.23% 14,866,000 16,437,000 17,341,000 (904,000) -5.21% 16,577,000 16,784,000 (207,000) -1.23% 16,912,000 43,894,000 44,603,000 (709,000) -1.59% 43,990,000 44,592,000 (602,000) -1.35% 44,874,000

184,048,000 186,887,000 (2,839,000) -1.52% 187,726,000 190,363,000 (2,637,000) -1.39% 191,501,000 714,000 748,000 (34,000) -4.55% 679,000 688,000 (9,000) -1.31% 693,000

(10,499,000) (11,069,000) 570,000 -5.15% (10,551,000) (10,681,000) 130,000 -1.22% (10,766,000) 174,263,000 176,566,000 (2,303,000) -1.30% 177,854,000 180,370,000 (2,516,000) -1.39% 181,428,000

- - - 0.00% - - - 0.00% - 965,000 954,000 11,000 1.15% 1,025,000 1,021,000 4,000 0.39% 1,072,000 815,000 832,000 (17,000) -2.04% 822,000 804,000 18,000 2.24% 837,000

176,043,000 178,352,000 (2,309,000) -1.29% 179,701,000 182,195,000 (2,494,000) -1.37% 183,337,000 - - - 0.00% - - - 0.00% - - - - 0.00% - - - 0.00% -

3,114,000 3,278,000 (164,000) -5.00% 3,140,000 3,172,000 (32,000) -1.01% 3,203,000 179,157,000$ 181,630,000$ (2,473,000)$ -1.36% 182,841,000$ 185,367,000$ (2,526,000)$ -1.36% 186,540,000$

122,196,000 138,674,000 (16,478,000) -11.88% 127,814,000 148,174,000 (20,360,000) -13.74% 134,184,000 40,445,000 28,901,000 11,544,000 39.94% 42,303,000 30,348,000 11,955,000 39.39% 44,412,000 41,692,000 44,615,000 (2,923,000) -6.55% 43,013,000 45,522,000 (2,509,000) -5.51% 44,777,000

204,333,000 212,190,000 (7,857,000) -3.70% 213,130,000 224,044,000 (10,914,000) -4.87% 223,373,000 3,136,000 2,624,000 512,000 19.51% 3,289,000 2,732,000 557,000 20.39% 3,473,000

(15,177,000) (15,635,000) 458,000 -2.93% (15,702,000) (16,037,000) 335,000 -2.09% (16,390,000) 192,292,000 199,179,000 (6,887,000) -3.46% 200,717,000 210,739,000 (10,022,000) -4.76% 210,456,000

1,277,000 1,531,000 (254,000) -16.59% 1,384,000 1,737,000 (353,000) -20.32% 1,485,000 1,743,000 1,966,000 (223,000) -11.34% 1,871,000 2,141,000 (270,000) -12.61% 1,960,000 3,078,000 3,115,000 (37,000) -1.19% 3,181,000 3,188,000 (7,000) -0.22% 3,319,000

198,390,000 205,791,000 (7,401,000) -3.60% 207,153,000 217,805,000 (10,652,000) -4.89% 217,220,000 - - -

8,814,000 11,114,000 (2,300,000) -20.69% 9,120,000 11,421,000 (2,301,000) -20.15% 9,501,000 - - - 0.00% - - - 0.00% -

207,204,000$ 216,905,000$ (9,701,000)$ -4.47% 216,273,000$ 229,226,000$ (12,953,000)$ -5.65% 226,721,000$

Difference Difference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-79 11/28/2017

Page 80: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable F. 2. Toll Operations Forecast Biennium ComparisonNovember 2017

I-405 Express Toll Lanes RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialGood To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMisc Revenues (interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesI-405 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueTotal I-405 Revenue & Fees

ALL Tolled Facilities RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialAdjusted Gross Toll Revenue

Misc. Revenues (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder / Shield SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesViolationsCivil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueMisc Non-Pledged Revenues

Total Toll Revenue & Fees

Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium Biennium2023-25 2023-25 2025-27 2025-27 2027-2029

November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017 September 2017 Value Percent November 2017Difference Difference

46,399,000 55,319,000 (8,920,000) -16.12% 52,095,000 64,100,000 (12,005,000) -18.73% 58,342,000 10,938,000 13,830,000 (2,892,000) -20.91% 12,281,000 16,025,000 (3,744,000) -23.36% 13,751,000 16,748,000 12,656,000 4,092,000 32.33% 18,622,000 14,179,000 4,443,000 31.34% 20,641,000 74,085,000 81,805,000 (7,720,000) -9.44% 82,998,000 94,304,000 (11,306,000) -11.99% 92,734,000 1,141,000 1,124,000 17,000 1.51% 1,254,000 1,193,000 61,000 5.11% 1,373,000

(8,132,000) (4,542,000) (3,590,000) 79.04% (9,191,000) (5,111,000) (4,080,000) 79.83% (10,216,000) 67,094,000 78,387,000 (11,293,000) -14.41% 75,061,000 90,386,000 (15,325,000) -16.96% 83,891,000

- - - 0.00% - - - 0.00% - 935,000 801,000 134,000 16.73% 1,052,000 874,000 178,000 20.37% 1,154,000

3,017,000 1,201,000 1,816,000 151.21% 3,312,000 1,274,000 2,038,000 159.97% 3,624,000 71,046,000 80,389,000 (9,343,000) -11.62% 79,425,000 92,534,000 (13,109,000) -14.17% 88,669,000

- - - - - 4,916,000 3,125,000 1,791,000 57.31% 5,406,000 3,349,000 2,057,000 61.42% 5,930,000

75,962,000$ 83,514,000$ (7,552,000)$ -9.04% 84,831,000$ 95,883,000$ (11,052,000)$ -11.53% 94,599,000$

276,981,000 302,898,000 (25,917,000) -8.56% 292,495,000 326,506,000 (34,011,000) -10.42% 307,375,000 66,714,000 58,769,000 7,945,000 13.52% 69,157,000 61,128,000 8,029,000 13.13% 73,029,000 74,877,000 74,612,000 265,000 0.36% 78,212,000 76,485,000 1,727,000 2.26% 82,330,000 43,894,000 44,603,000 (709,000) -1.59% 43,990,000 44,592,000 (602,000) -1.35% 44,874,000

462,466,000 480,882,000 (18,416,000) -3.83% 483,854,000 508,711,000 (24,857,000) -4.89% 507,608,000 433,649,000 454,132,000 (20,483,000) -4.51% 453,632,000 481,495,000 (27,863,000) -5.79% 475,775,000

1,277,000 1,531,000 (254,000) -16.59% 1,384,000 1,737,000 (353,000) -20.32% 1,485,000 3,643,000 3,721,000 (78,000) -2.10% 3,948,000 4,036,000 (88,000) -2.18% 4,186,000 6,910,000 5,148,000 1,762,000 34.23% 7,315,000 5,266,000 2,049,000 38.91% 7,780,000

445,479,000 464,532,000 (19,053,000) -4.10% 466,279,000 492,534,000 (26,255,000) -5.33% 489,226,000 - - - 0.00% - - - 0.00% -

16,844,000 17,517,000 (673,000) -3.84% 17,666,000 17,942,000 (276,000) -1.54% 18,634,000 - - - 0.00% - - - 0.00% -

462,323,000$ 482,049,000$ (19,726,000) -4.09% 483,945,000$ 510,476,000$ (26,531,000) -5.20% 507,860,000$

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-80 11/28/2017

Page 81: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable F. 2. Toll Operations Forecast Biennium ComparisonNovember 2017

Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder Pass

Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Acounts - Pay By Plate Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialGood To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMiscellaneous Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesTacoma Narrows Bridge Other Revenue

ViolationsCivil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue

Total Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue & FeesSR 167 High Occupancy Toll Lanes Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueTransponder / Shield Sales NSF / statement feesMisc Revenues

Total SR 167 Revenue & Fees

SR 520 Bridge RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialGood To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMiscellaneous Pledged Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesSR 520 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueMisc Revenues

Total SR 520 Revenue & Fees

Biennium2027-2029

September 2017 Value Percent

116,528,000 (1,679,000) -1.44%15,051,000 (185,000) -1.23%17,123,000 (211,000) -1.23%45,488,000 (614,000) -1.35%

194,190,000 (2,689,000) -1.38%702,000 (9,000) -1.28%

(10,895,000) 129,000 -1.18%183,997,000 (2,569,000) -1.40%

- - 0.00%1,073,000 (1,000) -0.09%

822,000 15,000 1.82%185,892,000 (2,555,000) -1.37%

- - 0.00%- - 0.00%

3,237,000 (34,000) -1.05%189,129,000$ (2,589,000)$ -1.37%

154,217,000 (20,033,000) -12.99%31,586,000 12,826,000 40.61%45,576,000 (799,000) -1.75%

231,379,000 (8,006,000) -3.46%2,832,000 641,000 22.63%

(16,156,000) (234,000) 1.45%218,055,000 (7,599,000) -3.48%

1,937,000 (452,000) -23.34%2,234,000 (274,000) -12.26%3,216,000 103,000 3.20%

225,442,000 (8,222,000) -3.65%- - 0.00%

11,594,000 (2,093,000) -18.05%- - 0.00%

237,036,000$ (10,315,000)$ -4.35%

Difference

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-81 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable F. 2. Toll Operations Forecast Biennium ComparisonNovember 2017

I-405 Express Toll Lanes RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialGood To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMisc Revenues (interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesI-405 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueTotal I-405 Revenue & Fees

ALL Tolled Facilities RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialAdjusted Gross Toll Revenue

Misc. Revenues (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder / Shield SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesViolationsCivil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueMisc Non-Pledged Revenues

Total Toll Revenue & Fees

Biennium2027-2029

September 2017 Value PercentDifference

74,039,000 (15,697,000) -21.20%18,509,000 (4,758,000) -25.71%15,865,000 4,776,000 30.10%

108,413,000 (15,679,000) -14.46%1,262,000 111,000 8.80%

(5,745,000) (4,471,000) 77.82%103,930,000 (20,039,000) -19.28%

- - 0.00%939,000 215,000 22.90%

1,347,000 2,277,000 169.04%106,216,000 (17,547,000) -16.52%

- 3,577,000 2,353,000 65.78%

109,793,000$ (15,194,000)$ -13.84%

344,784,000 (37,409,000) -10.85%65,146,000 7,883,000 12.10%78,564,000 3,766,000 4.79%45,488,000 (614,000) -1.35%

533,982,000 (26,374,000) -4.94%505,982,000 (30,207,000) -5.97%

1,937,000 (452,000) -23.34%4,246,000 (60,000) -1.41%5,385,000 2,395,000 44.48%

517,550,000 (28,324,000) -5.47%- - 0.00%

18,408,000 226,000 1.23%- - 0.00%

535,958,000$ (28,098,000) -5.24%

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-82 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable F. 3. Toll Operations Forecast By Fiscal Year November 2017

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder Pass 26,592,178 38,502,107 39,067,185 41,042,691 44,593,045 44,407,233 45,542,000 46,950,000 48,501,000 49,818,000

Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Acounts - Pay By Plate 2,785,519 3,179,216 4,083,428 5,669,783 8,241,776 9,344,900 9,198,000 8,989,000 8,737,000 8,529,000 Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail 5,777,751 6,031,579 7,788,620 8,895,225 8,469,000 8,307,000 8,044,000 8,099,000 Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment 14,725,538 17,015,315 17,725,885 19,298,704 21,863,665 21,719,343 21,701,000 21,788,000 21,873,000 21,936,000

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential 44,103,235 58,696,638 66,654,250 72,042,756 82,487,107 84,366,701 84,910,000 86,034,000 87,155,000 88,382,000 Good To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts 76,298 176,661 212,503 266,462 355,168 399,482 429,000 419,000 407,000 398,000 Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue (76,298) (258,174) (3,727,759) (4,082,411) (4,651,545) (5,311,246) (5,463,000) (5,356,000) (5,188,000) (5,214,000)

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue 44,103,235 58,615,125 63,138,994 68,226,807 78,190,730 79,454,937 79,876,000 81,097,000 82,374,000 83,566,000 Miscellaneous Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings) 1,740,308 512,377 371,376 226,066 298,915 355,804 109,000 69,000 8,000 - Transponder Sales 352,525 307,350 306,070 336,253 483,694 482,352 473,000 486,000 438,000 435,000 Late payment fees plus NSF / statement fees 166,003 302,380 371,407 488,243 373,575 433,961 419,000 412,000 399,000 402,000

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & Fees 46,362,071 59,737,232 64,187,847 69,277,369 79,346,914 80,727,054 80,877,000 82,064,000 83,219,000 84,403,000 Tacoma Narrows Bridge Other Revenue

Violations 130,818 21,503 8,894 9,662 7,652 4,581 - - - - Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue 484,505 3,826,263 (649,178) 3,169,404 1,697,623 1,232,131 2,005,000 1,575,000 1,523,000 1,534,000

Total Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue & Fees 46,977,394$ 63,584,998$ 63,547,563$ 72,456,435$ 81,052,189$ 81,963,766$ 82,882,000$ 83,639,000$ 84,742,000$ 85,937,000$

SR 167 High Occupancy Toll Lanes RevenueAdjusted Gross Toll Revenue 975,705 1,141,831 1,176,335 1,670,037 1,387,376 2,686,652 3,417,000 3,721,800 Transponder / Shield Sales 24,387 34,414 37,770 43,258 62,906 82,273 90,000 96,000 NSF / statement fees 2,431 3,595 3,730 3,608 3,256 3,729 4,000 4,000 Misc Revenues 126,391 6,904 5,865 24,153 33,491 41,094 31,000 39,000

Total SR 167 Revenue & Fees 1,128,914$ 1,186,744$ 1,223,700$ 1,741,056$ 1,487,028$ 2,813,748$ 3,542,000$ 3,860,800$ -$ -$

SR 520 Bridge RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder Pass 18,311,844 38,913,257 40,033,885 41,215,200 43,568,085 46,777,071 51,198,000 52,573,000 53,872,000 55,343,000 Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By Plate 3,074,717 8,370,369 10,536,643 12,994,505 14,623,351 16,010,373 16,946,000 17,400,000 17,830,000 18,318,000 Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail 6,669,076 14,018,085 14,018,619 15,173,503 16,610,238 19,125,842 19,192,000 19,707,000 19,627,000 19,876,000

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential 28,055,637 61,301,711 64,589,147 69,383,209 74,801,674 81,913,287 87,336,000 89,680,000 91,329,000 93,537,000 Good To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts (211,991) 674,674 859,732 1,022,517 1,196,010 1,261,568 1,271,000 1,300,000 1,325,000 1,383,000 Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue (1,739,688) (6,534,722) (4,953,361) (6,455,498) (6,644,865) (8,195,808) (8,586,000) (8,307,000) (7,651,000) (7,124,000)

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue 26,103,958 55,441,663 60,495,518 63,950,228 69,352,819 74,979,046 80,021,000 82,673,000 85,003,000 87,796,000 Miscellaneous Pledged Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings) 1,996,869 236,458 207,015 506,712 695,104 3,767,193 391,000 399,000 428,000 495,000 Transponder Sales 1,320,036 466,577 500,601 551,350 830,497 851,696 836,000 851,000 752,000 752,000 Late payment fees plus NSF / statement fees 832,811 1,381,402 1,513,251 1,598,718 1,397,617 1,136,779 1,323,000 1,357,000 1,392,000 1,450,000

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & Fees 30,253,674 57,526,100 62,716,385 66,607,007 72,276,038 80,734,715 82,571,000 85,280,000 87,575,000 90,493,000 SR 520 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue 2,343,925 9,154,816 4,460,444 9,885,733 3,635,520 2,715,085 3,686,000 3,782,000 3,960,000 4,065,000 Misc Revenues - 1,175,641 416,235 101,721 - 304,242 - - - -

Total SR 520 Revenue & Fees 32,597,599$ 67,856,557$ 67,593,064$ 76,594,461$ 75,911,558$ 83,754,042$ 86,257,000$ 89,062,000$ 91,535,000$ 94,558,000$

I-405 Express Toll Lanes RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder Pass 9,280,014 14,362,047 14,310,000 15,415,000 16,613,000 17,909,000 Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By Plate 2,474,464 3,691,056 3,521,000 3,770,000 4,031,000 4,314,000 Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail 4,271,987 5,189,565 6,878,000 7,088,000 7,293,000 7,502,000

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential - - - - 16,026,466 23,242,669 24,709,000 26,273,000 27,937,000 29,725,000 Good To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts 291,004 397,835 401,000 424,000 444,000 471,000 Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue (3,984,762) (2,717,472) (3,665,000) (3,197,000) (3,128,000) (3,146,000)

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue - - - - 12,332,708 20,923,032 21,445,000 23,500,000 25,253,000 27,050,000 Misc Revenues (interest earnings) 358,949 165,249 - - - - Transponder Sales 1,703,730 352,714 365,000 385,000 360,000 371,000 Late payment plus NSF / statement fees 246,488 537,990 842,000 1,217,000 1,273,000 1,348,000

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & Fees - - - - 14,641,874 21,978,986 22,652,000 25,102,000 26,886,000 28,769,000 I-405 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue 1,142,878 1,269,207 953,000 1,955,000 2,054,000 2,174,000 Total I-405 Revenue & Fees -$ -$ -$ -$ 15,784,752$ 23,248,193$ 23,605,000$ 27,057,000$ 28,940,000$ 30,943,000$

ALL Tolled Facilities RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder Pass 45,879,727 78,557,195 80,277,405 83,927,928 98,828,520 108,233,004 114,467,000 118,659,800 118,986,000 123,070,000 Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By Plate 5,860,236 11,549,585 14,620,071 18,664,288 25,339,592 29,046,329 29,665,000 30,159,000 30,598,000 31,161,000 Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail 6,669,076 14,018,085 19,796,371 21,205,082 28,670,845 33,210,633 34,539,000 35,102,000 34,964,000 35,477,000 Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment 14,725,538 17,015,315 17,725,885 19,298,704 21,863,665 21,719,343 21,701,000 21,788,000 21,873,000 21,936,000

Total Gross Toll Revenue Potential 73,134,577 121,140,180 132,419,732 143,096,002 174,702,623 192,209,309 200,372,000 205,708,800 206,421,000 211,644,000 Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue 71,182,898 115,198,619 124,810,847 133,847,072 161,263,633 178,043,668 184,759,000 217,264,800 192,630,000 198,412,000

Misc. Revenues (contractual damages, interest earnings) 3,863,568 755,739 584,256 756,931 1,386,459 4,329,340 531,000 507,000 436,000 495,000 Transponder / Shield Sales 1,696,948 808,341 844,441 930,860 3,080,827 1,769,035 1,764,000 1,818,000 1,550,000 1,558,000 Late payment fees plus NSF / statement fees 1,001,245 1,687,377 1,888,388 2,090,569 2,020,936 2,112,460 2,588,000 2,990,000 3,064,000 3,200,000

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & Fees 77,744,659 118,450,076 128,127,932 137,625,432 167,751,855 186,254,503 189,642,000 222,579,800 197,680,000 203,665,000 Violations 130,818 21,503 8,894 9,662 7,652 4,581 - - - - Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue 2,828,430 12,981,079 3,811,266 13,055,137 6,476,021 5,216,423 6,644,000 7,312,000 7,537,000 7,773,000 Misc Non-Pledged Revenues - 1,175,641 416,235 101,721 - 304,242 - - - -

Total Toll Revenue & Fees 80,703,907$ 132,628,299$ 132,364,327$ 150,791,952$ 174,235,528$ 191,779,749$ 196,286,000$ 229,891,800$ 205,217,000$ 211,438,000$

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-83 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable F. 3. Toll Operations Forecast By Fiscal Year November 2017

Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder Pass

Gross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Acounts - Pay By Plate Gross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialGood To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMiscellaneous Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesTacoma Narrows Bridge Other Revenue

ViolationsCivil Penalties & Recovered Toll Revenue

Total Tacoma Narrows Bridge Revenue & Fees

SR 167 High Occupancy Toll Lanes RevenueAdjusted Gross Toll RevenueTransponder / Shield SalesNSF / statement feesMisc Revenues

Total SR 167 Revenue & Fees

SR 520 Bridge RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialGood To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA DiscountsToll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMiscellaneous Pledged Revenue (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesSR 520 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueMisc Revenues

Total SR 520 Revenue & Fees

I-405 Express Toll Lanes RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialGood To Go! Pay by Plate Fees and STA Discounts Toll Revenue Not Recognized & Unpaid Toll Revenue

Adjusted Gross Toll RevenueMisc Revenues (interest earnings)Transponder Sales Late payment plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesI-405 Other Revenue

Civil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueTotal I-405 Revenue & Fees

ALL Tolled Facilities RevenueGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts -Transponder PassGross Toll Revenue: Good To Go! Prepaid Accounts - Pay By PlateGross Toll Revenue: Pay By Mail Gross Toll Revenue: Toll Booth Payment

Total Gross Toll Revenue PotentialAdjusted Gross Toll Revenue

Misc. Revenues (contractual damages, interest earnings)Transponder / Shield SalesLate payment fees plus NSF / statement fees

Adjusted Gross Toll Revenue & FeesViolationsCivil Penalties & Recovered Toll RevenueMisc Non-Pledged Revenues

Total Toll Revenue & Fees

Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

51,039,000 52,282,000 53,548,000 54,838,000 56,013,000 56,573,000 57,139,000 57,710,000 8,292,000 8,047,000 7,795,000 7,536,000 7,250,000 7,323,000 7,396,000 7,470,000 8,135,000 8,168,000 8,202,000 8,235,000 8,247,000 8,330,000 8,414,000 8,498,000

21,944,000 21,948,000 21,948,000 21,946,000 21,886,000 22,104,000 22,325,000 22,549,000 89,410,000 90,445,000 91,493,000 92,555,000 93,396,000 94,330,000 95,274,000 96,227,000

387,000 375,000 363,000 351,000 338,000 341,000 345,000 348,000 (5,227,000) (5,234,000) (5,245,000) (5,254,000) (5,249,000) (5,302,000) (5,357,000) (5,409,000) 84,570,000 85,586,000 86,611,000 87,652,000 88,485,000 89,369,000 90,262,000 91,166,000

- - - - - - - - 447,000 466,000 475,000 490,000 509,000 516,000 529,000 543,000 404,000 405,000 407,000 408,000 409,000 413,000 417,000 420,000

85,421,000 86,457,000 87,493,000 88,550,000 89,403,000 90,298,000 91,208,000 92,129,000

- - - - - - - - 1,541,000 1,547,000 1,554,000 1,560,000 1,562,000 1,578,000 1,594,000 1,609,000

86,962,000$ 88,004,000$ 89,047,000$ 90,110,000$ 90,965,000$ 91,876,000$ 92,802,000$ 93,738,000$

-$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

56,406,000 57,962,000 60,372,000 61,824,000 62,772,000 65,042,000 66,399,000 67,785,000 18,669,000 19,184,000 19,982,000 20,463,000 20,776,000 21,527,000 21,977,000 22,435,000 19,966,000 20,220,000 20,753,000 20,939,000 21,170,000 21,843,000 22,205,000 22,572,000 95,041,000 97,366,000 101,107,000 103,226,000 104,718,000 108,412,000 110,581,000 112,792,000 1,415,000 1,471,000 1,549,000 1,587,000 1,609,000 1,680,000 1,719,000 1,754,000

(7,187,000) (7,316,000) (7,550,000) (7,627,000) (7,729,000) (7,973,000) (8,128,000) (8,262,000) 89,269,000 91,521,000 95,106,000 97,186,000 98,598,000 102,119,000 104,172,000 106,284,000

571,000 615,000 628,000 649,000 676,000 708,000 734,000 751,000 774,000 821,000 860,000 883,000 912,000 959,000 975,000 985,000

1,464,000 1,485,000 1,530,000 1,548,000 1,569,000 1,612,000 1,645,000 1,674,000 92,078,000 94,442,000 98,124,000 100,266,000 101,755,000 105,398,000 107,526,000 109,694,000

4,201,000 4,235,000 4,373,000 4,441,000 4,522,000 4,598,000 4,718,000 4,783,000 - - - - - - - -

96,279,000$ 98,677,000$ 102,497,000$ 104,707,000$ 106,277,000$ 109,996,000$ 112,244,000$ 114,477,000$

19,311,000 20,828,000 22,471,000 23,928,000 25,312,000 26,783,000 28,343,000 29,999,000 4,618,000 4,945,000 5,297,000 5,641,000 5,967,000 6,314,000 6,680,000 7,071,000 7,710,000 7,916,000 8,126,000 8,622,000 9,074,000 9,548,000 10,055,000 10,586,000

31,639,000 33,689,000 35,894,000 38,191,000 40,353,000 42,645,000 45,078,000 47,656,000 497,000 525,000 555,000 586,000 613,000 641,000 671,000 702,000

(3,367,000) (3,612,000) (3,882,000) (4,250,000) (4,475,000) (4,716,000) (4,973,000) (5,243,000) 28,769,000 30,602,000 32,567,000 34,527,000 36,491,000 38,570,000 40,776,000 43,115,000

- - 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% - - 395,000 428,000 453,000 482,000 513,000 539,000 564,000 590,000

1,398,000 1,435,000 1,473,000 1,544,000 1,619,000 1,693,000 1,771,000 1,853,000 30,562,000 32,465,000 34,493,000 36,553,000 38,623,000 40,802,000 43,111,000 45,558,000

2,277,000 2,341,000 2,406,000 2,510,000 2,641,000 2,765,000 2,896,000 3,034,000 32,839,000$ 34,806,000$ 36,899,000$ 39,063,000$ 41,264,000$ 43,567,000$ 46,007,000$ 48,592,000$

126,756,000 131,072,000 136,391,000 140,590,000 144,097,000 148,398,000 151,881,000 155,494,000 31,579,000 32,176,000 33,074,000 33,640,000 33,993,000 35,164,000 36,053,000 36,976,000 35,811,000 36,304,000 37,081,000 37,796,000 38,491,000 39,721,000 40,674,000 41,656,000 21,944,000 21,948,000 21,948,000 21,946,000 21,886,000 22,104,000 22,325,000 22,549,000

216,090,000 221,500,000 228,494,000 233,972,000 238,467,000 245,387,000 250,933,000 256,675,000 202,608,000 207,709,000 214,284,000 219,365,000 223,574,000 230,058,000 235,210,000 240,565,000

571,000 615,000 628,000 649,000 676,000 708,000 734,000 751,000 1,616,000 1,715,000 1,788,000 1,855,000 1,934,000 2,014,000 2,068,000 2,118,000 3,266,000 3,325,000 3,410,000 3,500,000 3,597,000 3,718,000 3,833,000 3,947,000

208,061,000 213,364,000 220,110,000 225,369,000 229,781,000 236,498,000 241,845,000 247,381,000 - - - - - - - -

8,019,000 8,123,000 8,333,000 8,511,000 8,725,000 8,941,000 9,208,000 9,426,000 - - - - - - - -

216,080,000$ 221,487,000$ 228,443,000$ 233,880,000$ 238,506,000$ 245,439,000$ 251,053,000$ 256,807,000$

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-84 11/28/2017

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Federal Funds Forecast

November 2017

Contact: Kasi Reeves, Washington State Department of Transportation, 360-705-7935,[email protected]

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-85 11/28/2017

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Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable G.1. Washington Federal Revenue Federal Fiscal Year Forecast November 2017

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020Million DollarsApportionment (November 2017 Forecast) 645.245 720.579 737.106 685.906 711.576 773.299 730.730 750.330 657.912

Annual Percentage Change -10.8% 11.7% 2.3% -6.9% 3.7% 8.7% -5.5% 2.7% -12.3%Apportionment (September 2017 Forecast) 645.245 720.579 737.106 685.906 711.576 731.859 734.168 750.330 657.912

Annual Percentage Change -10.8% 11.7% 2.3% -6.9% 3.7% 2.9% 0.3% 2.2% -12.3% Percentage Change, Nov. 2017 vs. Sept. 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% -0.5% 0.0% 0.0%

Obligation Authority (November 2017 Forecast) 696.066 656.215 654.305 701.091 697.345 775.274 716.115 735.323 752.522Annual Percentage Change -4.1% -5.7% -0.3% 7.2% -0.5% 11.2% -7.6% 2.7% 2.3%

Obligation Authority (September 2017 Forecast) 696.066 654.305 654.305 696.556 697.345 729.400 719.485 735.323 752.522Annual Percentage Change -4.1% -6.0% 0.0% 6.5% 0.1% 4.6% -1.4% 2.2% 2.3%

Percentage Change, Nov. 2017 vs. Sept. 2017 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 6.3% -0.5% 0.0% 0.0%

FFY 2010 - FFY 2016 are reconciled to actual FHWA distributions

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029Million DollarsApportionment (November 2017 Forecast) 772.538 778.242 783.333 787.257 791.002 793.592 794.945 796.279 797.574

Annual Percentage Change 17.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%Apportionment (September 2017 Forecast) 772.633 778.179 783.272 787.219 790.953 793.533 794.881 796.215 797.531

Annual Percentage Change 17.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% Percentage Change, Nov. 2017 vs. Sept. 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Obligation Authority (November 2017 Forecast) 757.087 762.677 767.666 771.512 775.182 777.720 779.046 780.353 781.623

Annual Percentage Change 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%Obligation Authority (September 2017 Forecast) 757.180 762.615 767.607 771.475 775.134 777.662 778.983 780.291 781.580

Annual Percentage Change 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% Percentage Change, Nov. 2017 vs. Sept. 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Current Biennium

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-86 11/28/2017

Page 87: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable G. 2. Federal Funds ForecastFederal Fiscal Year ComparisonNovember 2017

Federal Funds Forecast - Highways 2015 2015 Difference 2016 2016 Difference

Washington Apportionment and Obligation Authority Forecast Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent

Federal Aid Highway Core Programs ApportionmentNational Highway Performance Program (NHPP) $373,504,388 $373,504,388 - 0.0% $379,861,976 $379,861,976 - 0.0%Surface Transportation Block Grant Program (STBGP) 171,800,293 171,800,293 - 0.0% 189,811,231 189,811,231 - 0.0% Bridge Program (15% off-system) 22,930,163 22,930,163 - 0.0% 22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% Population Distribution 85,900,146 85,900,146 - 0.0% 90,319,000 90,319,000 - 0.0% Any Area of the State 62,969,984 62,969,984 - 0.0% 63,847,000 63,847,000 - 0.0% STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program) 10,617,698 10,617,698 - 0.0% 10,848,000 10,848,000 - 0.0% Recreational Trails Program 1,886,270 1,886,270 - 0.0% 1,867,000 1,867,000 - 0.0%Highway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP) 37,140,499 37,140,499 - 0.0% 35,378,961 35,378,961 - 0.0%Rail-Highway Crossing Program 4,063,342 4,063,342 - 0.0% 6,433,000 6,433,000 - 0.0%Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ) 35,469,204 35,469,204 - 0.0% 36,072,942 36,072,942 - 0.0%National Highway Freight Program - - - 0.0% 19,297,411 19,297,411 - 0.0%Metropolitan Planning (MPO) 6,960,373 6,960,373 - 0.0% 7,292,000 7,292,000 - 0.0%Statewide Planning & Research 12,862,895 12,862,895 - 0.0% 13,497,259 13,497,259 - 0.0%

Subtotal Core Programs Apportionment 654,304,962 654,304,962 - 0.0% 687,644,780 687,644,780 - 0.0%Subtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority 606,359,200 606,359,200 - 0.0% 685,170,000 685,170,000 - 0.0%

Ferry Boats and Terminals - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%Discretionary and Allocated Programs 29,690,940 29,690,940 - 0.0% 23,931,074 23,931,074 - 0.0%

Total Washington Apportionment 683,995,902 683,995,902 - 0.0% 711,575,854 711,575,854 - 0.0%Total Washington Obligation Authority 666,496,655 666,496,655 - 0.0% 697,345,000 697,345,000 - 0.0%

Forecast Distributions

State ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP) 351,094,125 351,094,125 - 0.0% 357,070,257 357,070,257 - 0.0%Surface Transportation Block Grant Program 52,905,180 52,905,180 - 0.0% 46,933,909 46,933,909 - 0.0% Any Area of the State 51,018,910 51,018,910 - 0.0% 45,066,502 45,066,502 - 0.0% Recreational Trails Program 1,886,270 1,886,270 - 0.0% 1,867,407 1,867,407 - 0.0%Highway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP) 11,142,149 11,142,149 - 0.0% 10,613,688 10,613,688 - 0.0%Rail-Highway Crossing 4,063,343 4,063,343 - 0.0% 6,433,245 6,433,245 - 0.0%National Freight Program - - - 0.0% 19,297,411 19,297,411 - 0.0%Statewide Planning & Research 12,862,895 12,862,895 - 0.0% 13,497,259 13,497,259 - 0.0%

Subtotal Core Programs Apportionment 432,067,692 432,067,692 - 0.0% 453,845,769 453,845,769 - 0.0%Subtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority 400,406,898 400,406,898 - 452,623,748 452,623,748 - 0.0%

Ferry Boats and Terminals - - - 0.0% - - - Discretionary and Allocated Programs 20,303,711 20,303,711 - 0.0% 16,364,912 16,364,912 - 100.0%

Total State Apportionment 452,371,403 452,371,403 - 0.0% 470,210,681 470,210,681 - 0.0%State Obligation Authority 450,631,973 450,631,973 - 0.0% 460,807,000 460,807,000 $0 0.0%

Local ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP) 22,410,263 22,410,263 - 0.0% 22,791,719 22,791,719 - 0.0%Statewide Competitive NHS Program - - - 0.0% - - - 100.0%Surface Transportation Block Grant Program 120,781,382 120,781,382 - 0.0% 142,877,322 142,877,322 - 0.0% Bridge Program (15% off-system) 22,930,163 22,930,163 - 0.0% 22,930,163 22,930,163 - 0.0% Population Distribution 85,900,145 85,900,145 - 0.0% 90,318,879 90,318,879 - 0.0% Any Area of the State 11,951,074 11,951,074 - 0.0% 18,780,297 18,780,297 - 0.0% STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program) 10,617,698 10,617,698 - 0.0% 10,847,983 10,847,983 - 0.0%Highway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP) 25,998,350 25,998,350 - 0.0% 24,765,273 24,765,273 - 0.0%Rail-Highway Crossing - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ) 35,469,204 35,469,204 - 0.0% 36,072,942 36,072,942 - 0.0%Metropolitan Planning (MPO) 6,960,373 6,960,373 - 0.0% 7,291,937 7,291,937 - 0.0%

Subtotal Core Programs Apportionment 222,237,270 222,237,270 - 0.0% 233,799,193 233,799,193 - 0.0%Subtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority 205,952,302 205,952,302 232,546,479 232,546,479 - 0.0%

Ferry Boats and Terminals - - - 0.0% - - - 100.0%Discretionary and Allocated Programs 9,387,229 9,387,229 - 0.0% 7,566,162 7,566,162 - 100.0%

Total Local Apportionment 231,624,499 231,624,499 - 0.0% 241,365,355 241,365,355 - 0.0%Local Obligation Authority 215,864,682 215,864,682 - 0.0% 236,538,000 236,538,000 - 0.0%$

Total Washington Apportionment 683,995,902$ 683,995,902$ - 0.0% 711,576,036$ 711,576,036$ - 0.0%Total Washington Obligation Authority 666,496,655$ 666,496,655$ - 0.0% 697,345,000$ 697,345,000$ - 0.0%

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-87 11/28/2017

Page 88: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable G. 2. Federal Funds ForecastFederal Fiscal Year ComparisonNovember 2017

Federal Funds Forecast - HighwaysWashington Apportionment and Obligation Authority Forecast

Federal Aid Highway Core Programs ApportionmentNational Highway Performance Program (NHPP)Surface Transportation Block Grant Program (STBGP) Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution Any Area of the State STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program) Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP)Rail-Highway Crossing ProgramCongestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ)National Highway Freight ProgramMetropolitan Planning (MPO)Statewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total Washington ApportionmentTotal Washington Obligation Authority

Forecast Distributions

State ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP) Surface Transportation Block Grant Program Any Area of the State Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP) Rail-Highway CrossingNational Freight ProgramStatewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total State ApportionmentState Obligation Authority

Local ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP)Statewide Competitive NHS ProgramSurface Transportation Block Grant Program Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution Any Area of the State STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program)Highway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP)Rail-Highway CrossingCongestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ)Metropolitan Planning (MPO)

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total Local ApportionmentLocal Obligation Authority

Total Washington ApportionmentTotal Washington Obligation Authority

Current Federal Fiscal Year

2017 2017 Difference 2018 2018 Difference

Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent

$371,021,480 $364,937,143 6,084,337 1.7% $377,886,000 $379,710,000 (1,824,000) -0.5%193,028,803 185,959,655 7,069,148 3.8% 197,469,000 198,421,000 (952,000) -0.5%22,930,163 22,930,000 163 0.0% 22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0%93,753,166 93,753,000 166 0.0% 97,788,000 98,293,000 (505,000) -0.5%63,611,221 56,541,655 7,069,566 12.5% 63,788,000 64,235,000 (447,000) -0.7%10,847,983 10,848,000 (17) 0.0% 11,077,000 11,077,000 - 0.0%1,886,270 1,886,000 270 0.0% 1,886,000 1,886,000 - 0.0%

52,973,813 52,974,000 (187) 0.0% 54,017,000 54,344,000 (327,000) -0.6%4,211,178 4,211,000 178 0.0% 4,366,000 4,319,000 47,000 1.1%

36,635,619 36,636,000 (381) 0.0% 37,395,000 37,575,000 (180,000) -0.5%18,339,285 18,339,000 285 0.0% 20,040,000 20,136,000 (96,000) -0.5%7,391,590 7,392,000 (410) 0.0% 7,559,000 7,596,000 (37,000) -0.5%

13,714,265 13,714,000 265 0.0% 14,033,000 14,102,000 (69,000) -0.5%697,316,033 684,162,798 13,153,235 1.9% 712,765,000 716,203,000 (3,438,000) -0.5%679,678,877 651,313,000 28,365,877 4.4% 666,469,000 669,683,000 (3,214,000) -0.5%

30,776,853 47,695,703 (16,918,850) -35.5% 17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0%45,206,427 - 45,206,427 0.0% - - - 0.0%

773,299,313 731,858,501 41,440,812 5.7% 730,730,000 734,168,000 (3,438,000) -0.5%775,274,336 729,400,000 45,874,336 6.3% 716,115,000 719,485,000 (3,370,000) -0.5%

340,158,504 335,044,299 5,114,205 1.5% 341,730,133 341,650,489 79,643 0.0%44,076,159 40,321,027 3,755,132 9.3% 44,076,000 44,076,000 - 0.0%42,189,889 38,435,027 3,754,862 9.8% 42,190,000 42,190,000 - 0.0%1,886,270 1,886,000 270 0.0% 1,886,000 1,886,000 - 0.0%

26,228,144 26,228,000 144 0.0% 26,763,000 26,912,000 (149,000) -0.6%4,211,178 4,211,000 178 0.0% - - - 100.0%

18,339,285 18,339,000 285 0.0% 20,040,000 20,136,000 (96,000) 0.0%13,714,265 13,714,000 265 0.0% 14,033,000 14,102,000 (69,000) -0.5%

446,727,535 437,857,326 8,870,479 2.0% 446,642,133 446,876,489 (234,357) -0.1%423,712,224 417,739,000 5,973,224 1.4% 420,362,000 420,642,000 (280,000) -0.1%

30,776,853 43,294,000 (12,517,147) -28.9% 16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0%55,215,193 - 55,215,193 0.0% - - - 0.0%

532,719,581 481,151,326 51,568,525 10.7% 462,938,133 463,172,489 (234,357) -0.1%522,877,368 479,322,000 43,555,368 9.1% 453,679,000 453,909,000 (230,000) -0.1%

22,410,263 21,284,393 1,125,870 5.3% 22,410,263 22,410,263 - 0.0%8,452,713 8,608,451 (155,738) -1.8% 13,745,604 15,649,248 (1,903,643) -12.2%

148,952,644 145,638,628 3,314,016 2.3% 153,393,000 154,345,000 (952,000) -0.6%22,930,163 22,930,000 163 0.0% 22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0%93,753,166 93,753,000 166 0.0% 97,788,000 98,293,000 (505,000) -0.5%21,421,332 18,107,628 3,313,704 18.3% 21,598,000 22,045,000 (447,000) -2.0%10,847,983 10,848,000 (17) 0.0% 11,077,000 11,077,000 - 0.0%26,745,669 26,746,000 (331) 0.0% 27,254,000 27,432,000 (178,000) -0.6%

- - - 0.0% 4,366,000 4,319,000 47,000 100.0%36,635,619 36,636,000 (381) 0.0% 37,395,000 37,575,000 (180,000) -0.5%7,391,590 7,392,000 (410) 0.0% 7,559,000 7,596,000 (37,000) -0.5%

250,588,498 246,305,472 4,283,026 1.7% 266,122,867 269,326,511 (3,203,643) -1.2%236,870,660 233,574,000 3,296,660 1.4% 246,107,000 249,041,000 (2,934,000) -1.2%

- 4,401,703 (4,401,703) -100.0% 1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0%(10,008,766) - (10,008,766) 0.0% - - - 0.0%240,579,732 250,707,175 (10,127,443) -4.0% 267,791,867 270,995,511 (3,203,643) -1.2%231,626,169 250,077,000 (18,450,831) -7.4% 262,436,000 265,576,000 (3,140,000) -1.2%$ $773,299,313$ 731,858,501$ 41,440,812 5.7% 730,730,000$ 734,168,000$ (3,438,000) -0.5%775,274,336$ 729,399,000$ 45,875,336 6.3% 716,115,000$ 719,485,000$ (3,370,000) -0.5%

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-88 11/28/2017

Page 89: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable G. 2. Federal Funds ForecastFederal Fiscal Year ComparisonNovember 2017

Federal Funds Forecast - HighwaysWashington Apportionment and Obligation Authority Forecast

Federal Aid Highway Core Programs ApportionmentNational Highway Performance Program (NHPP)Surface Transportation Block Grant Program (STBGP) Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution Any Area of the State STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program) Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP)Rail-Highway Crossing ProgramCongestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ)National Highway Freight ProgramMetropolitan Planning (MPO)Statewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total Washington ApportionmentTotal Washington Obligation Authority

Forecast Distributions

State ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP) Surface Transportation Block Grant Program Any Area of the State Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP) Rail-Highway CrossingNational Freight ProgramStatewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total State ApportionmentState Obligation Authority

Local ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP)Statewide Competitive NHS ProgramSurface Transportation Block Grant Program Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution Any Area of the State STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program)Highway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP)Rail-Highway CrossingCongestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ)Metropolitan Planning (MPO)

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total Local ApportionmentLocal Obligation Authority

Total Washington ApportionmentTotal Washington Obligation Authority

2019 2019 Difference 2020 # 2020 Difference

Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent

$387,545,000 $387,545,000 - 0.0% $391,045,000 $391,045,000 - 0.0%201,967,000 201,967,000 - 0.0% 110,965,000 110,965,000 - 0.0%22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% 482,000 482,000 - 0.0%

102,062,000 102,062,000 - 0.0% 106,390,000 106,390,000 - 0.0%64,012,000 64,012,000 - 0.0% (2,729,000) (2,729,000) - 0.0%11,077,000 11,077,000 - 0.0% 4,936,000 4,936,000 - 0.0%1,886,000 1,886,000 - 0.0% 1,886,000 1,886,000 - 0.0%

55,348,000 55,348,000 - 0.0% 56,484,000 56,484,000 - 0.0%4,411,000 4,411,000 - 0.0% 4,503,000 4,503,000 - 0.0%

38,262,000 38,262,000 - 0.0% 39,039,000 39,039,000 - 0.0%22,653,000 22,653,000 - 0.0% 15,213,000 15,213,000 - 0.0%7,759,000 7,759,000 - 0.0% 7,940,000 7,940,000 - 0.0%

14,420,000 14,420,000 - 0.0% 14,758,000 14,758,000 - 0.0%732,365,000 732,365,000 - 0.0% 639,947,000 639,947,000 - 0.0%684,795,000 684,795,000 - 0.0% 701,205,000 701,205,000 - 0.0%

17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0% 17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

750,330,000 750,330,000 - 0.0% 657,912,000 657,912,000 - 0.0%735,323,000 735,323,000 - 0.0% 752,522,000 752,522,000 - 0.0%

341,322,045 341,322,045 - 0.0% 336,689,000 336,689,000 - 0.0%44,076,000 44,076,000 - 0.0% 90,000 90,000 - 0.0%42,190,000 42,190,000 - 0.0% (1,796,000) (1,796,000) - 0.0%1,886,000 1,886,000 - 0.0% 1,886,000 1,886,000 - 0.0%

27,422,000 27,422,000 - 0.0% 27,992,000 27,992,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

22,653,000 22,653,000 - 0.0% 15,213,000 15,213,000 - 0.0%14,420,000 14,420,000 - 0.0% 14,758,000 14,758,000 - 0.0%

449,893,045 449,893,045 - 0.0% 394,742,000 394,742,000 - 0.0%423,784,000 423,784,000 - 0.0% 427,342,000 427,342,000 - 0.0%

16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0% 16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

466,189,045 466,189,045 - 0.0% 411,038,000 411,038,000 - 0.0%456,865,000 456,865,000 - 0.0% 470,147,000 470,147,000 - 0.0%

22,410,263 22,410,263 - 0.0% 22,669,000 22,669,000 - 0.0%23,812,693 23,812,693 - 0.0% 31,528,000 31,528,000 - 0.0%

157,891,000 157,891,000 - 0.0% 110,875,000 110,875,000 - 0.0%22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% 482,000 482,000 - 0.0%

102,062,000 102,062,000 - 0.0% 106,390,000 106,390,000 - 0.0%21,822,000 21,822,000 - 0.0% (933,000) (933,000) - 0.0%11,077,000 11,077,000 - 0.0% 4,936,000 4,936,000 - 0.0%27,926,000 27,926,000 - 0.0% 28,492,000 28,492,000 - 0.0%4,411,000 4,411,000 - 100.0% 4,503,000 4,503,000 - 100.0%

38,262,000 38,262,000 - 0.0% 39,039,000 39,039,000 - 0.0%7,759,000 7,759,000 - 0.0% 7,940,000 7,940,000 - 0.0%

282,471,956 282,471,956 - 0.0% 245,046,000 245,046,000 - 0.0%261,011,000 261,011,000 - 0.0% 273,853,000 273,853,000 - 0.0%

1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0% 1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

284,140,956 284,140,956 - 0.0% 246,715,000 246,715,000 - 0.0%278,458,000 278,458,000 - 0.0% 282,375,000 282,375,000 - 0.0%$ $750,330,000$ 750,330,000$ - 0.0% 657,753,000$ 657,753,000$ - 0.0%735,323,000$ 735,323,000$ - 0.0% 752,522,000$ 752,522,000$ - 0.0%

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-89 11/28/2017

Page 90: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable G. 2. Federal Funds ForecastFederal Fiscal Year ComparisonNovember 2017

Federal Funds Forecast - HighwaysWashington Apportionment and Obligation Authority Forecast

Federal Aid Highway Core Programs ApportionmentNational Highway Performance Program (NHPP)Surface Transportation Block Grant Program (STBGP) Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution Any Area of the State STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program) Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP)Rail-Highway Crossing ProgramCongestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ)National Highway Freight ProgramMetropolitan Planning (MPO)Statewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total Washington ApportionmentTotal Washington Obligation Authority

Forecast Distributions

State ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP) Surface Transportation Block Grant Program Any Area of the State Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP) Rail-Highway CrossingNational Freight ProgramStatewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total State ApportionmentState Obligation Authority

Local ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP)Statewide Competitive NHS ProgramSurface Transportation Block Grant Program Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution Any Area of the State STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program)Highway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP)Rail-Highway CrossingCongestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ)Metropolitan Planning (MPO)

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total Local ApportionmentLocal Obligation Authority

Total Washington ApportionmentTotal Washington Obligation Authority

2021 2021 Difference 2022 2022 Difference

Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent

$398,061,000 $398,111,000 (50,000) 0.0% $401,480,000 $401,448,000 32,000 0.0%207,686,000 207,712,000 (26,000) 0.0% 209,016,000 $208,999,000 17,000 0.0%22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% 22,930,000 $22,930,000 - 0.0%

106,390,000 106,390,000 - 0.0% 106,390,000 $106,390,000 - 0.0%65,322,000 65,347,000 (25,000) 0.0% 66,569,000 $66,553,000 16,000 0.0%11,146,000 11,147,000 (1,000) 0.0% 11,217,000 $11,216,000 1,000 0.0%1,898,000 1,898,000 - 0.0% 1,910,000 $1,910,000 - 0.0%

56,837,000 56,844,000 (7,000) 0.0% 57,202,000 $57,196,000 6,000 0.0%4,531,000 4,532,000 (1,000) 0.0% 4,560,000 $4,560,000 - 0.0%

39,283,000 39,288,000 (5,000) 0.0% 39,535,000 $39,531,000 4,000 0.0%25,327,000 25,331,000 (4,000) 0.0% 25,490,000 $25,488,000 2,000 0.0%7,989,000 7,990,000 (1,000) 0.0% 8,040,000 $8,040,000 - 0.0%

14,859,000 14,860,000 (1,000) 0.0% 14,954,000 $14,952,000 2,000 0.0%754,573,000 754,668,000 (95,000) 0.0% 760,277,000 760,214,000 63,000 0.0%705,561,000 705,650,000 (89,000) 0.0% 710,895,000 710,836,000 59,000 0.0%

17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0% 17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

772,538,000 772,633,000 (95,000) 0.0% 778,242,000 778,179,000 63,000 0.0%757,087,000 757,180,000 (93,000) 0.0% 762,677,000 762,615,000 62,000 0.0%

333,914,100 333,911,125 2,975 0.0% 333,757,400 333,759,725 (2,325) 0.0%44,088,000 44,088,000 - 0.0% 44,100,000 44,100,000 - 0.0%42,190,000 42,190,000 - 0.0% 42,190,000 42,190,000 - 0.0%1,898,000 1,898,000 - 0.0% 1,910,000 1,910,000 - 0.0%

28,167,000 28,171,000 (4,000) 0.0% 28,348,000 28,345,000 3,000 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

25,327,000 25,331,000 (4,000) 0.0% 25,490,000 25,488,000 2,000 0.0%14,859,000 14,860,000 (1,000) 0.0% 14,954,000 14,952,000 2,000 0.0%

446,355,100 446,361,125 (6,025) 0.0% 446,649,400 446,644,725 4,675 0.0%421,212,000 421,220,000 (8,000) 0.0% 421,631,000 421,624,000 7,000 0.0%

16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0% 16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

462,651,100 462,657,125 (6,025) 0.0% 462,945,400 462,940,725 4,675 0.0%453,398,000 453,404,000 (6,000) 0.0% 453,686,000 453,682,000 4,000 0.0%

22,410,263 22,410,263 - 0.0% 22,410,263 22,410,263 - 0.0%41,736,637 41,789,612 (52,975) -0.1% 45,312,337 45,278,012 34,325 0.1%

163,597,793 163,623,793 (26,000) 0.0% 164,915,793 164,898,793 17,000 0.0%22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% 22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0%

106,389,793 106,389,793 - 0.0% 106,389,793 106,389,793 - 0.0%23,132,000 23,157,000 (25,000) -0.1% 24,379,000 24,363,000 16,000 0.1%11,146,000 11,147,000 (1,000) 0.0% 11,217,000 11,216,000 1,000 0.0%28,670,000 28,673,000 (3,000) 0.0% 28,854,000 28,851,000 3,000 0.0%4,531,000 4,532,000 (1,000) 100.0% 4,560,000 4,560,000 - 100.0%

39,283,000 39,288,000 (5,000) 0.0% 39,535,000 39,531,000 4,000 0.0%7,989,000 7,990,000 (1,000) 0.0% 8,040,000 8,040,000 - 0.0%

308,217,693 308,306,668 (88,975) 0.0% 313,627,393 313,569,068 58,325 0.0%284,349,000 284,430,000 (81,000) 0.0% 289,264,000 289,212,000 52,000 0.0%

1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0% 1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

309,886,693 309,975,668 (88,975) 0.0% 315,296,393 315,238,068 58,325 0.0%303,689,000 303,776,000 (87,000) 0.0% 308,991,000 308,933,000 58,000 0.0%$ $772,537,793$ 772,632,793$ (95,000) 0.0% 778,241,793$ 778,178,793$ 63,000 0.0%757,087,000$ 757,180,000$ (93,000) 0.0% 762,677,000$ 762,615,000$ 62,000 0.0%

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-90 11/28/2017

Page 91: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable G. 2. Federal Funds ForecastFederal Fiscal Year ComparisonNovember 2017

Federal Funds Forecast - HighwaysWashington Apportionment and Obligation Authority Forecast

Federal Aid Highway Core Programs ApportionmentNational Highway Performance Program (NHPP)Surface Transportation Block Grant Program (STBGP) Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution Any Area of the State STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program) Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP)Rail-Highway Crossing ProgramCongestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ)National Highway Freight ProgramMetropolitan Planning (MPO)Statewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total Washington ApportionmentTotal Washington Obligation Authority

Forecast Distributions

State ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP) Surface Transportation Block Grant Program Any Area of the State Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP) Rail-Highway CrossingNational Freight ProgramStatewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total State ApportionmentState Obligation Authority

Local ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP)Statewide Competitive NHS ProgramSurface Transportation Block Grant Program Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution Any Area of the State STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program)Highway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP)Rail-Highway CrossingCongestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ)Metropolitan Planning (MPO)

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total Local ApportionmentLocal Obligation Authority

Total Washington ApportionmentTotal Washington Obligation Authority

2023 2023 Difference 2024 2024 Difference

Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent

$404,168,000 $404,138,000 30,000 0.0% $406,240,000 $406,222,000 18,000 0.0%210,416,000 210,399,000 17,000 0.0% 211,495,000 $211,484,000 11,000 0.0%22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% 22,930,000 $22,930,000 - 0.0%

106,390,000 106,390,000 - 0.0% 106,390,000 $106,390,000 - 0.0%67,881,000 67,865,000 16,000 0.0% 68,892,000 $68,882,000 10,000 0.0%11,292,000 11,291,000 1,000 0.0% 11,350,000 $11,349,000 1,000 0.0%1,923,000 1,923,000 - 0.0% 1,933,000 $1,933,000 - 0.0%

57,585,000 57,579,000 6,000 0.0% 57,880,000 $57,876,000 4,000 0.0%4,591,000 4,591,000 - 0.0% 4,615,000 $4,615,000 - 0.0%

39,800,000 39,796,000 4,000 0.0% 40,004,000 $40,001,000 3,000 0.0%25,660,000 25,658,000 2,000 0.0% 25,792,000 $25,791,000 1,000 0.0%8,094,000 8,094,000 - 0.0% 8,135,000 $8,136,000 (1,000) 0.0%

15,054,000 15,052,000 2,000 0.0% 15,131,000 $15,129,000 2,000 0.0%765,368,000 765,307,000 61,000 0.0% 769,292,000 769,254,000 38,000 0.0%715,655,000 715,598,000 57,000 0.0% 719,324,000 719,289,000 35,000 0.0%

17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0% 17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

783,333,000 783,272,000 61,000 0.0% 787,257,000 787,219,000 38,000 0.0%767,666,000 767,607,000 59,000 0.0% 771,512,000 771,475,000 37,000 0.0%

335,309,400 335,311,650 (2,250) 0.0% 333,466,925 333,468,700 (1,775) 0.0%44,113,000 44,113,000 - 0.0% 44,123,000 44,123,000 - 0.0%42,190,000 42,190,000 - 0.0% 42,190,000 42,190,000 - 0.0%1,923,000 1,923,000 - 0.0% 1,933,000 1,933,000 - 0.0%

28,538,000 28,535,000 3,000 0.0% 28,684,000 28,682,000 2,000 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

25,660,000 25,658,000 2,000 0.0% 25,792,000 25,791,000 1,000 0.0%15,054,000 15,052,000 2,000 0.0% 15,131,000 15,129,000 2,000 0.0%

448,674,400 448,669,650 4,750 0.0% 447,196,925 447,193,700 3,225 0.0%423,588,000 423,581,000 7,000 0.0% 422,372,000 422,368,000 4,000 0.0%

16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0% 16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

464,970,400 464,965,650 4,750 0.0% 463,492,925 463,489,700 3,225 0.0%455,671,000 455,667,000 4,000 0.0% 454,223,000 454,220,000 3,000 0.0%

22,410,263 22,410,263 - 0.0% 22,410,263 22,410,263 - 0.0%46,448,337 46,416,087 32,250 0.1% 50,362,812 50,343,037 19,775 0.0%

166,302,789 166,285,798 16,990 0.0% 167,371,789 167,360,798 10,990 0.0%22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% 22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0%

106,389,789 106,389,798 (10) 0.0% 106,389,789 106,389,798 (10) 0.0%25,691,000 25,675,000 16,000 0.1% 26,702,000 26,692,000 10,000 0.0%11,292,000 11,291,000 1,000 0.0% 11,350,000 11,349,000 1,000 0.0%29,047,000 29,044,000 3,000 0.0% 29,196,000 29,194,000 2,000 0.0%4,591,000 4,591,000 - 100.0% 4,615,000 4,615,000 - 100.0%

39,800,000 39,796,000 4,000 0.0% 40,004,000 40,001,000 3,000 0.0%8,094,000 8,094,000 - 0.0% 8,135,000 8,136,000 (1,000) 0.0%

316,693,389 316,637,148 56,240 0.0% 322,094,864 322,060,098 34,765 0.0%292,067,000 292,017,000 50,000 0.0% 296,952,000 296,921,000 31,000 0.0%

1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0% 1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

318,362,389 318,306,148 56,240 0.0% 323,763,864 323,729,098 34,765 0.0%311,995,000 311,940,000 55,000 0.0% 317,289,000 317,255,000 34,000 0.0%$ $783,332,789$ 783,271,798$ 60,990 0.0% 787,256,789$ 787,218,798$ 37,990 0.0%767,666,000$ 767,607,000$ 59,000 0.0% 771,512,000$ 771,475,000$ 37,000 0.0%

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-91 11/28/2017

Page 92: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable G. 2. Federal Funds ForecastFederal Fiscal Year ComparisonNovember 2017

Federal Funds Forecast - HighwaysWashington Apportionment and Obligation Authority Forecast

Federal Aid Highway Core Programs ApportionmentNational Highway Performance Program (NHPP)Surface Transportation Block Grant Program (STBGP) Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution Any Area of the State STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program) Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP)Rail-Highway Crossing ProgramCongestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ)National Highway Freight ProgramMetropolitan Planning (MPO)Statewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total Washington ApportionmentTotal Washington Obligation Authority

Forecast Distributions

State ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP) Surface Transportation Block Grant Program Any Area of the State Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP) Rail-Highway CrossingNational Freight ProgramStatewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total State ApportionmentState Obligation Authority

Local ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP)Statewide Competitive NHS ProgramSurface Transportation Block Grant Program Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution Any Area of the State STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program)Highway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP)Rail-Highway CrossingCongestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ)Metropolitan Planning (MPO)

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total Local ApportionmentLocal Obligation Authority

Total Washington ApportionmentTotal Washington Obligation Authority

2025 2025 Difference 2026 2026 Difference

Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent

$408,218,000 $408,193,000 25,000 0.0% $409,586,000 $409,556,000 30,000 0.0%212,525,000 212,511,000 14,000 0.0% 213,237,000 213,221,000 16,000 0.0%22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% 22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0%

106,390,000 106,390,000 - 0.0% 106,390,000 106,390,000 - 0.0%69,858,000 69,845,000 13,000 0.0% 70,525,000 70,511,000 14,000 0.0%11,405,000 11,404,000 1,000 0.0% 11,443,000 11,442,000 1,000 0.0%1,942,000 1,942,000 - 0.0% 1,949,000 1,948,000 1,000 0.1%

58,162,000 58,158,000 4,000 0.0% 58,356,000 58,352,000 4,000 0.0%4,637,000 4,637,000 - 0.0% 4,653,000 4,652,000 1,000 0.0%

40,199,000 40,195,000 4,000 0.0% 40,333,000 40,329,000 4,000 0.0%25,917,000 25,916,000 1,000 0.0% 26,004,000 26,002,000 2,000 0.0%8,175,000 8,175,000 - 0.0% 8,202,000 8,202,000 - 0.0%

15,204,000 15,203,000 1,000 0.0% 15,256,000 15,254,000 2,000 0.0%773,037,000 772,988,000 49,000 0.0% 775,627,000 775,568,000 59,000 0.0%722,826,000 722,780,000 46,000 0.0% 725,248,000 725,192,000 56,000 0.0%

17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0% 17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

791,002,000 790,953,000 49,000 0.0% 793,592,000 793,533,000 59,000 0.0%775,182,000 775,134,000 48,000 0.0% 777,720,000 777,662,000 58,000 0.0%

333,346,175 333,348,200 (2,025) 0.0% 333,262,725 333,264,950 (2,225) 0.0%44,132,000 44,132,000 - 0.0% 44,139,000 44,138,000 1,000 0.0%42,190,000 42,190,000 - 0.0% 42,190,000 42,190,000 - 0.0%1,942,000 1,942,000 - 0.0% 1,949,000 1,948,000 1,000 0.1%

28,823,000 28,822,000 1,000 0.0% 28,920,000 28,918,000 2,000 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

25,917,000 25,916,000 1,000 0.0% 26,004,000 26,002,000 2,000 0.0%15,204,000 15,203,000 1,000 0.0% 15,256,000 15,254,000 2,000 0.0%

447,422,175 447,421,200 975 0.0% 447,581,725 447,576,950 5,775 0.0%422,678,000 422,675,000 3,000 0.0% 422,894,000 422,886,000 8,000 0.0%

16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0% 16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

463,718,175 463,717,200 975 0.0% 463,877,725 463,872,950 5,775 0.0%454,444,000 454,443,000 1,000 0.0% 454,600,000 454,595,000 5,000 0.0%

22,410,263 22,410,263 - 0.0% 22,410,263 22,410,263 - 0.0%52,461,562 52,434,537 27,025 0.1% 53,913,012 53,880,787 32,225 0.1%

168,392,789 168,378,798 13,990 0.0% 169,097,789 169,082,798 14,990 0.0%22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% 22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0%

106,389,789 106,389,798 (10) 0.0% 106,389,789 106,389,798 (10) 0.0%27,668,000 27,655,000 13,000 0.0% 28,335,000 28,321,000 14,000 0.0%11,405,000 11,404,000 1,000 0.0% 11,443,000 11,442,000 1,000 0.0%29,339,000 29,336,000 3,000 0.0% 29,436,000 29,434,000 2,000 0.0%4,637,000 4,637,000 - 100.0% 4,653,000 4,652,000 1,000 100.0%

40,199,000 40,195,000 4,000 0.0% 40,333,000 40,329,000 4,000 0.0%8,175,000 8,175,000 - 0.0% 8,202,000 8,202,000 - 0.0%

325,614,614 325,566,598 48,015 0.0% 328,045,064 327,990,848 54,215 0.0%300,148,000 300,105,000 43,000 0.0% 302,354,000 302,306,000 48,000 0.0%

1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0% 1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

327,283,614 327,235,598 48,015 0.0% 329,714,064 329,659,848 54,215 0.0%320,738,000 320,691,000 47,000 0.0% 323,120,000 323,067,000 53,000 0.0%$ $791,001,789$ 790,952,798$ 48,990 0.0% 793,591,789$ 793,532,798$ 58,990 0.0%775,182,000$ 775,134,000$ 48,000 0.0% 777,720,000$ 777,662,000$ 58,000 0.0%

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-92 11/28/2017

Page 93: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable G. 2. Federal Funds ForecastFederal Fiscal Year ComparisonNovember 2017

Federal Funds Forecast - HighwaysWashington Apportionment and Obligation Authority Forecast

Federal Aid Highway Core Programs ApportionmentNational Highway Performance Program (NHPP)Surface Transportation Block Grant Program (STBGP) Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution Any Area of the State STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program) Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP)Rail-Highway Crossing ProgramCongestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ)National Highway Freight ProgramMetropolitan Planning (MPO)Statewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total Washington ApportionmentTotal Washington Obligation Authority

Forecast Distributions

State ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP) Surface Transportation Block Grant Program Any Area of the State Recreational Trails ProgramHighway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP) Rail-Highway CrossingNational Freight ProgramStatewide Planning & Research

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total State ApportionmentState Obligation Authority

Local ProgramsFederal Aid Highway Core Programs

National Highway Performance Program (NHPP)Statewide Competitive NHS ProgramSurface Transportation Block Grant Program Bridge Program (15% off-system) Population Distribution Any Area of the State STBGP Set Aside (previously Transportation Alternatives Program)Highway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP)Rail-Highway CrossingCongestion Mitigation and Air Quality Improvement Program (CMAQ)Metropolitan Planning (MPO)

Subtotal Core Programs ApportionmentSubtotal Core Programs Obligation Authority

Ferry Boats and TerminalsDiscretionary and Allocated Programs

Total Local ApportionmentLocal Obligation Authority

Total Washington ApportionmentTotal Washington Obligation Authority

2027 2027 Difference 2028 2028 Difference 2029 2029 Difference

Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent

410,301,000 410,269,000 32,000 0.0% 411,004,000 410,972,000 32,000 0.0% 411,688,000 411,667,000 21,000 0.0%213,610,000 213,591,000 19,000 0.0% 213,976,000 213,957,000 19,000 0.0% 214,332,000 214,318,000 14,000 0.0%22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% 22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% 22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0%

106,390,000 106,390,000 - 0.0% 106,390,000 106,390,000 - 0.0% 106,390,000 106,390,000 - 0.0%70,875,000 70,858,000 17,000 0.0% 71,218,000 71,201,000 17,000 0.0% 71,552,000 71,540,000 12,000 0.0%11,463,000 11,462,000 1,000 0.0% 11,483,000 11,482,000 1,000 0.0% 11,502,000 11,501,000 1,000 0.0%1,952,000 1,951,000 1,000 0.1% 1,955,000 1,954,000 1,000 0.1% 1,958,000 1,957,000 1,000 0.1%

58,458,000 58,453,000 5,000 0.0% 58,559,000 58,554,000 5,000 0.0% 58,656,000 58,653,000 3,000 0.0%4,661,000 4,660,000 1,000 0.0% 4,669,000 4,668,000 1,000 0.0% 4,677,000 4,676,000 1,000 0.0%

40,403,000 40,400,000 3,000 0.0% 40,473,000 40,469,000 4,000 0.0% 40,541,000 40,538,000 3,000 0.0%26,049,000 26,047,000 2,000 0.0% 26,094,000 26,093,000 1,000 0.0% 26,138,000 26,137,000 1,000 0.0%8,216,000 8,216,000 - 0.0% 8,230,000 8,230,000 - 0.0% 8,244,000 8,244,000 - 0.0%

15,282,000 15,280,000 2,000 0.0% 15,309,000 15,307,000 2,000 0.0% 15,333,000 15,333,000 - 0.0%776,980,000 776,916,000 64,000 0.0% 778,314,000 778,250,000 64,000 0.0% 779,609,000 779,566,000 43,000 0.0%726,513,000 726,452,000 61,000 0.0% 727,760,000 727,699,000 61,000 0.0% 728,971,000 728,930,000 41,000 0.0%

17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0% 17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0% 17,965,000 17,965,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

794,945,000 794,881,000 64,000 0.0% 796,279,000 796,215,000 64,000 0.0% 797,574,000 797,531,000 43,000 0.0%779,046,000 778,983,000 63,000 0.0% 780,353,000 780,291,000 62,000 0.0% 781,623,000 781,580,000 43,000 0.0%

333,219,250 333,221,600 (2,350) 0.0% 333,176,250 333,178,625 (2,375) 0.0% 333,135,050 333,135,950 (900) 0.0%44,142,000 44,141,000 1,000 0.0% 44,145,000 44,144,000 1,000 0.0% 44,148,000 44,147,000 1,000 0.0%42,190,000 42,190,000 - 0.0% 42,190,000 42,190,000 - 0.0% 42,190,000 42,190,000 - 0.0%1,952,000 1,951,000 1,000 0.1% 1,955,000 1,954,000 1,000 0.1% 1,958,000 1,957,000 1,000 0.1%

28,971,000 28,968,000 3,000 0.0% 29,020,000 29,017,000 3,000 0.0% 29,069,000 29,067,000 2,000 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

26,049,000 26,047,000 2,000 0.0% 26,094,000 26,093,000 1,000 0.0% 26,138,000 26,137,000 1,000 0.0%15,282,000 15,280,000 2,000 0.0% 15,309,000 15,307,000 2,000 0.0% 15,333,000 15,333,000 - 0.0%

447,663,250 447,657,600 6,650 0.0% 447,744,250 447,739,625 5,625 0.0% 447,823,050 447,819,950 4,100 0.0%423,004,000 422,995,000 9,000 0.0% 423,114,000 423,106,000 8,000 0.0% 423,220,000 423,215,000 5,000 0.0%

16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0% 16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0% 16,296,000 16,296,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

463,959,250 463,953,600 6,650 0.0% 464,040,250 464,035,625 5,625 0.0% 464,119,050 464,115,950 4,100 0.0%454,680,000 454,674,000 6,000 0.0% 454,759,000 454,755,000 4,000 0.0% 454,837,000 454,833,000 4,000 0.0%

22,410,263 22,410,263 - 0.0% 22,410,263 22,410,263 - 0.0% 22,410,263 22,410,263 - 0.0%54,671,487 54,637,137 34,350 0.1% 55,417,487 55,383,112 34,375 0.1% 56,142,687 56,120,787 21,900 0.0%

169,467,789 169,449,798 17,990 0.0% 169,830,789 169,812,798 17,990 0.0% 170,183,789 170,170,798 12,990 0.0%22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% 22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0% 22,930,000 22,930,000 - 0.0%

106,389,789 106,389,798 (10) 0.0% 106,389,789 106,389,798 (10) 0.0% 106,389,789 106,389,798 (10) 0.0%28,685,000 28,668,000 17,000 0.1% 29,028,000 29,011,000 17,000 0.1% 29,362,000 29,350,000 12,000 0.0%11,463,000 11,462,000 1,000 0.0% 11,483,000 11,482,000 1,000 0.0% 11,502,000 11,501,000 1,000 0.0%29,487,000 29,485,000 2,000 0.0% 29,539,000 29,537,000 2,000 0.0% 29,587,000 29,586,000 1,000 0.0%4,661,000 4,660,000 1,000 100.0% 4,669,000 4,668,000 1,000 100.0% 4,677,000 4,676,000 1,000 100.0%

40,403,000 40,400,000 3,000 0.0% 40,473,000 40,469,000 4,000 0.0% 40,541,000 40,538,000 3,000 0.0%8,216,000 8,216,000 - 0.0% 8,230,000 8,230,000 - 0.0% 8,244,000 8,244,000 - 0.0%

329,316,539 329,258,198 58,340 0.0% 330,569,539 330,510,173 59,365 0.0% 331,785,739 331,745,848 39,890 0.0%303,509,000 303,457,000 52,000 0.0% 304,646,000 304,593,000 53,000 0.0% 305,751,000 305,715,000 36,000 0.0%

1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0% 1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0% 1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0%- - - 0.0% - - - 0.0% - - - 0.0%

330,985,539 330,927,198 58,340 0.0% 332,238,539 332,179,173 59,365 0.0% 333,454,739 333,414,848 39,890 0.0%324,366,000 324,309,000 57,000 0.0% 325,594,000 325,536,000 58,000 0.0% 326,786,000 326,747,000 39,000 0.0%$ $ $794,944,789$ 794,880,798$ 63,990 0.0% 796,278,789$ 796,214,798$ 63,990 0.0% 797,573,789$ 797,530,798$ 42,990 0.0%779,046,000$ 778,983,000$ 63,000 0.0% 780,353,000$ 780,291,000$ 62,000 0.0% 781,623,000$ 781,580,000$ 43,000 0.0%

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-93 11/28/2017

Page 94: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable G. 3. Formula Federal Funds Forecast - FTA Federal Fiscal Year ComparisonNovember 2017

Federal Transit Administration (FTA) Forecast - Public Transportation

2015 2015 2016 2016 2017 2017Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent

Program Program Name5304 Statewide Planning Program 478,373$ 478,373$ -$ 0.0% 485,066$ 485,066$ -$ 0.0% 494,961$ 495,000$ (39)$ 0.0%5310 Enhanced Mobility for Elderly and Persons with Disabilities 2,666,625 2,666,625 - - 2,716,118 2,716,118 - - 2,773,508 2,770,000 3,508 0 5311(a) Nonurbanized Area Formula Program 12,418,881 12,418,881 - - 12,658,343 12,658,343 - - 12,847,503 12,917,000 (69,497) (0) 5311(b) Rural Transit Assistance Program 196,494 196,494 - - 200,702 200,702 - - 204,678 204,000 678 0 5329 State Safety Oversight Program *3 455,753 455,753 - - 558,433 558,433 - - 559,445 521,000 38,445 0 5339 Bus and Bus Facilities Program *4 1,250,000 1,250,000 - - 1,750,000 1,750,000 - - 1,750,000 1,530,000 220,000 0

Totals 17,466,126$ 17,466,126$ -$ 0.0% 18,368,662$ 18,368,662$ -$ 0.0% 18,630,095$ 18,437,000$ 193,095$ 1.0%

2018 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent

Program Program Name5304 Statewide Planning Program 506,000$ 506,000$ -$ 0.0% 516,000$ 516,000$ -$ 0.0% 527,000$ 527,000$ -$ 0.0%5310 Enhanced Mobility for Elderly and Persons with Disabilities 2,828,000 2,828,000 - - 2,888,000 2,888,000 - - 2,949,000 2,949,000 - - 5311(a) Nonurbanized Area Formula Program 13,186,000 13,186,000 - - 13,465,000 13,465,000 - - 13,751,000 13,751,000 - - 5311(b) Rural Transit Assistance Program 209,000 209,000 - - 214,000 214,000 - - 219,000 219,000 - - 5329 State Safety Oversight Program 532,000 532,000 - - 544,000 544,000 - - 555,000 555,000 - - 5339 Bus and Bus Facilities Program 1,562,000 1,562,000 - - 1,595,000 1,595,000 - - 1,629,000 1,629,000 - -

Totals 18,823,000$ 18,823,000$ -$ 0.0% 19,222,000$ 19,222,000$ -$ 0.0% 19,630,000$ 19,630,000$ -$ 0.0%

2021 2021 2022 2022 2023 2023Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent Sep-17 Jun-17 Value Percent Sep-17 Jun-17 Value Percent

Program Program Name5304 Statewide Planning Program 531,000$ 531,000$ -$ 0.0% 534,000$ 534,000$ -$ 0.0% 538,000$ 537,000$ 1,000$ 0.2%5310 Enhanced Mobility for Elderly and Persons with Disabilities 2,967,000 2,968,000 (1,000) 0.0% 2,986,000 2,986,000 - 0.0% 3,006,000 3,006,000 - 0.0%5311(a) Nonurbanized Area Formula Program 13,836,000 13,838,000 (2,000) 0.0% 13,925,000 13,924,000 1,000 0.0% 14,018,000 14,017,000 1,000 0.0%5311(b) Rural Transit Assistance Program 220,000 220,000 - 0.0% 222,000 222,000 - 0.0% 223,000 223,000 - 0.0%5329 State Safety Oversight Program 559,000 559,000 - 0.0% 562,000 562,000 - 0.0% 566,000 566,000 - 0.0%5339 Bus and Bus Facilities Program 1,639,000 1,639,000 - 0.0% 1,650,000 1,650,000 - 0.0% 1,661,000 1,661,000 - 0.0%

Totals 19,752,000$ 19,755,000$ (3,000)$ 0.0% 19,879,000$ 19,878,000$ 1,000$ 0.0% 20,012,000$ 20,010,000$ 2,000$ 0.0%

2024 2024 2025 2025 2026 2026Sep-17 Jun-17 Value Percent Sep-17 Jun-17 Value Percent Sep-17 Jun-17 Value Percent

Program Program Name5304 Statewide Planning Program 540,000$ 540,000$ -$ 0.0% 543,000$ 543,000$ -$ 0.0% 545,000$ 545,000$ -$ 0.0%5310 Enhanced Mobility for Elderly and Persons with Disabilities 3,022,000 3,022,000 - 0.0% 3,037,000 3,036,000 1,000 0.0% 3,047,000 3,047,000 - 0.0%5311(a) Nonurbanized Area Formula Program 14,090,000 14,089,000 1,000 0.0% 14,159,000 14,158,000 1,000 0.0% 14,206,000 14,205,000 1,000 0.0%5311(b) Rural Transit Assistance Program 224,000 224,000 - 0.0% 225,000 225,000 - 0.0% 226,000 226,000 - 0.0%5329 State Safety Oversight Program 569,000 569,000 - 0.0% 572,000 572,000 - 0.0% 574,000 574,000 - 0.0%5339 Bus and Bus Facilities Program 1,669,000 1,669,000 - 0.0% 1,677,000 1,677,000 - 0.0% 1,683,000 1,683,000 - 0.0%

Totals 20,114,000$ 20,113,000$ 1,000$ 0.0% 20,213,000$ 20,211,000$ 2,000$ 0.0% 20,281,000$ 20,280,000$ 1,000$ 0.0%

2027 2027 2028 2028 2029 2029Sep-17 Jun-17 Value Percent Sep-17 Jun-17 Value Percent Sep-17 Jun-17 Value Percent

Program Program Name5304 Statewide Planning Program 546,000$ 546,000$ -$ 0.0% 547,000$ 547,000$ -$ 0.0% 548,000$ 548,000$ -$ 0.0%5310 Enhanced Mobility for Elderly and Persons with Disabilities 3,052,000 3,052,000 - 0.0% 3,057,000 3,057,000 - 0.0% 3,062,000 3,062,000 - 0.0%5311(a) Nonurbanized Area Formula Program 14,231,000 14,230,000 1,000 0.0% 14,255,000 14,254,000 1,000 0.0% 14,279,000 14,278,000 1,000 0.0%5311(b) Rural Transit Assistance Program 227,000 226,000 1,000 0.4% 227,000 227,000 - 0.0% 227,000 227,000 - 0.0%5329 State Safety Oversight Program 575,000 575,000 - 0.0% 576,000 576,000 - 0.0% 577,000 576,000 1,000 0.0%5339 Bus and Bus Facilities Program 1,686,000 1,686,000 - 0.0% 1,689,000 1,689,000 - 0.0% 1,692,000 1,692,000 - 0.0%

Totals 20,317,000$ 20,315,000$ 2,000$ 0.0% 20,351,000$ 20,350,000$ 1,000$ 0.0% 20,385,000$ 20,383,000$ 2,000$ 0.0%

Difference Difference Difference

Difference Difference Difference

Difference Difference Difference

Difference Difference Difference

Difference Difference DifferenceCurrent Biennium

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-94 11/28/2017

Page 95: Transportation Revenue Forecast Council November 2017 Transportation Economic and ... · 2019-12-11 · Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Revenue Forecast November 2017 Contact: Brian Calkins,

Transportation Revenue Forecast CouncilTable G. 4. Formula Federal Funds Forecast - FTAFederal Fiscal Year ComparisonNovember 2017

Federal Transit Administration (FTA) Forecast - Washington State Ferries

2015 2015 Difference Difference 2016 2016 Difference Difference Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent

5307 Urbanized Area Formula Program Grants ( 5,722,236$ 5,722,236$ -$ 0.0% 5,206,791$ 5,206,791$ -$ 0.0%5337 State of Good Repair Grants (High Intensity 5,862,301 5,862,301 -$ 0.0% 6,780,870 6,780,870 -$ 0.0%

Totals 9,529,500 9,529,500 0.0%Totals 11,584,537$ 11,584,537$ -$ 0.0% 21,517,161$ 21,517,161$ -$ 0.0%

2017 2017 Difference Difference 2018 2018 Difference Difference Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent

5307 Urbanized Area Formula Program Grants ( 5,206,792$ 5,206,792$ -$ 0.0% 5,206,793$ 5,206,793 -$ 0.0%5337 State of Good Repair Grants (High Intensity 6,896,204 6,896,204 -$ 0.0% 7,013,500 7,013,500 - 0.0%

Totals 10,000,000 10,000,000 Totals 22,102,996$ 22,102,996$ -$ 0.0% 12,220,293$ 12,220,293$ -$ 0.0%

2019 2019 Difference Difference 2020 2020 Difference Difference Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent

5307 Urbanized Area Formula Program Grants ( 5,206,794$ 5,206,794$ -$ 0.0% 5,206,795$ 5,206,795$ -$ 0.0%5337 State of Good Repair Grants (High Intensity 7,132,791 7,132,791 -$ 0.0% 7,254,110 7,254,110 - 0.0%

TotalsTotals 12,339,585$ 12,339,585$ -$ 0.0% 12,460,905$ 12,460,905$ -$ 0.0%

2021 2021 Difference Difference 2022 2022 Difference Difference Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent

5307 Urbanized Area Formula Program Grants ( 5,239,270$ 5,239,924$ (654)$ 0.0% 5,272,826$ 5,272,388$ 438$ 0.0%5337 State of Good Repair Grants (High Intensity 7,299,355 7,300,266 (911) 0.0% 7,346,104 7,345,494 610 0.0%

TotalsTotals 12,538,626$ 12,540,190$ (1,564)$ 0.0% 12,618,930$ 12,617,882$ 1,048$ 0.0%

2023 2023 Difference Difference 2024 2024 Difference Difference Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent

5307 Urbanized Area Formula Program Grants ( 5,308,126$ 5,307,720$ 406$ 0.0% 5,335,338$ 5,335,083$ 255$ 0.0%5337 State of Good Repair Grants (High Intensity 7,395,285 7,394,719 566 0.0% 7,433,197 7,432,841 356 0.0%

TotalsTotals 12,703,410$ 12,702,438$ 972$ 0.0% 12,768,535$ 12,767,924$ 611$ 0.0%

2025 2025 Difference Difference 2026 2026 Difference Difference Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent

5307 Urbanized Area Formula Program Grants ( 5,361,326$ 5,360,982$ 343$ 0.0% 5,379,290$ 5,378,883$ 407$ 0.0%5337 State of Good Repair Grants (High Intensity 7,469,402 7,468,924 478 0.0% 7,494,430 7,493,863 567 0.0%

TotalsTotals 12,830,728$ 12,829,906$ 822$ 0.0% 12,873,720$ 12,872,746$ 975$ 0.0%

2027 2027 Difference Difference 2028 2028 Difference Difference Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent

5307 Urbanized Area Formula Program Grants ( 5,388,687$ 5,388,237$ 451$ 0.0% 5,397,928$ 5,397,470$ 458$ 0.0%5337 State of Good Repair Grants (High Intensity 7,507,523 7,506,895 628 0.0% 7,520,396$ 7,519,759 638 0.0%

TotalsTotals 12,896,210$ 12,895,132$ 1,079$ 0.0% 12,918,324$ 12,917,228$ 1,096$ 0.0%

2029 2029 Difference Nov-17 Sep-17 Value Percent

5307 Urbanized Area Formula Program Grants ( 5,406,904$ 5,406,602$ 302$ 0.0%5337 State of Good Repair Grants (High Intensity 7,532,902$ 7,532,482 421 0.0%

TotalsTotals 12,939,806$ 12,939,084$ 722$ 0.0%

* Discretionary and Allocated Programs include competitive grants, TIGER Grants, emergency relief dollars and other non-formula money.

Adopted 11/20/17 Corrected 11/28/17 II-95 11/28/2017