Real Sector Statistics Division

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October 2012

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Real sales in October 2012 slightly decelerated from the previous month, while in annual, the index moved higher. Real sales index dropped 0.4% from the previous month, attributable by lowering sales on the group commodity of cultural and recreation; food, beverages & tobacco and automotive fuels.

Respondents expected a stable tend to decrease pressure on prices, as reflected by the price expectation index in the next 3 and 6 months that predicted will change insignificantly.

Discount program on welcoming year end celebration, and religious festival holidays has contributed positively to the increasing retail sales in November 2012 by 1.7% from the previous month. Sales will be enhancing most at the commodities group of other household equipments; information and communication equipments, as well as food, beverages & tobacco.

Real Retail Sales

Methodology

Retail sales survey (RSS) is conducted to obtain prompt information about moving trend ofGDP from private consumption side. RSS is a monthly survey that applied since September 1999. As of January 2012, survey was carried out by purposive sampling which cover around 600 retailers

as respondents in 10 cities i.e.: Jakarta, Semarang, Bandung, Surabaya, Medan,Purwokerto, Makassar, Manado, Banjarmasin and Denpasar. The index is calculated using commodity weight and city weight, while commodity weight refer to input-output table, and city weight is according to the share of household consumption in Regional Gross Domestic Product to household consumption in Gross Domestic Product. Respondents are panel and classified into 7group based on The Indonesian Classification by Sectors (KBLI) 2009. The result is presented in real index with 2010=100 (2000=100 in previous). Price expectation is calculated by balance score method (net balance + 100) weighted by city as it weight according to cost living survey of 2007 published by Statistics Bureau (BPS).

Real Sector Statistics Division

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Expectation on Sales

Real Sector Statistics Division

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Expectation on Loan Interest Rates

Expectation on Prices

Real Sector Statistics Division

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Retail Sales in Regions

Real Sector Statistics Division

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Real Sales Expectation in November 2012