oil & gas communications brazil 2013 rio de janeiro - april 16 …2... · mobility market...
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Oil & Gas Communications Brazil 2013
Rio de Janeiro - April 16-17, 2013
Apr 2013
Satellite Connectivity Enables New
Applications for the Mobility Industry
Mobile market – Merchant Shipping
2
Maritime Telecom Solutions by Satellite---Global Market Analysis & Forecasts© Euroconsult 2012 – Unauthorized Reproduction is a copyright violation
Strategic Issues and
Forecast
WORLD MERCHANT SHIPPING FLEET BY OWNERSHIP (>1,000GT SHIPS)*
* Source: IHS Fairplay
14,000 merchant
vessels3,000merchant
vessels
14,100merchant
vessels
2,000merchant
vessels
2,100merchant
vessels
Americas
Europe
Middle East
Russia & CIS
Asia
Source: Euroconsult 2012, Maritime Telecom Solutions by Satellite
Oil & Gas
3
Maritime Telecom Solutions by Satellite---Global Market Analysis & Forecasts© Euroconsult 2012 – Unauthorized Reproduction is a copyright violation
ACTIVE RIGS & FPSO ASSETS DISTRIBUTION WORLDWIDE
60 rigs
80 rigs 37 rigs
27 rigs
8 rigs
16 rigs10 rigs
157 rigs
28 rigs
83 rigs
9 rigs
5 rigs
30 rigs
84rigs
0 rigs
10 rigs
83 rigs
23 rigs
1 rigs
*Active rigs fleet in February 2012**Active FPSO in August 2012
3 units
3 units
31 units
25 units
12 units
4 units
23 units
7 units
17 units
6 units
15 units
7 units
Represents <3 FPSO units
Source: Euroconsult 2012, Maritime Telecom Solutions by Satellite
Maritime Shipping Routes
4
Applications
• Voice, Data and Internet communications
• Video communications and surveillance
• Remote Monitoring of oilfield production and infrastructure
• Corporate network connectivity
• Telemedicine
• Real-time international distribution of high bandwidth 3 and 4D seismic survey data
• Maritime Communications
• Emergency Communications
• Asset menagement
• Corporate education
How these demands are met
Satellite Markets – FSS & MSS
FSS MSS
Mobile FSS
Fixed FSS
DTH Mass Market
Enterprise,
Government, Military
Mass Market MSS
Traditional MSS
Land Maritime Aero
above 3 GHz below 3 GHz
Maritime, Aero
Maritime
Aero
Land
hispamar
Satellite fleet in 2013
SES-6
ASTRA 2A, 2B, 2D,1D ,1N
95ºE
72ºW
81ºW
83ºW 85ºW 87ºW
105ºW
103ºW 101ºW
183ºE
108.2ºE
67ºW
SES 1 SES 3, AMC 1
AMC 15, AMC 18
AMC 21 Ciel 2
AMC 11
AMC 10
AMC 7 AMC 8
NSS 11,
SES 7
NSS-12
ASTRA 1G
ASTRA 3A, 3B
ASTRA 1H, 1KR, 1L, 1M, 2C, AMC 2
ASTRA
4A,1E
SES-5
NSS 7
NSS 10
NSS 806
AMC 6
AMC 5
AMC 9 AMC 16
SES 2
AMC 3, AMC 4
NSS 703
ASTRA 1C
Sirius 3
Astra 1F
77ºW Quetzsat 1
Yahsat 1A
NSS-5
Astra 2E,F,G
NSS 6
SES-9
SES-8
NSS 9
SES-4
Fleet Expansion in Latin America
C-band Hemi Beam
Replacement and expansion
of NSS-806
Launch: 1H 2013
Reach: 22m homes
Transponders: 43 C-Band, 48
Ku-Band 2 C-Band beams (connected)
3 steerable Ku-Band beams
2 maritime Ku-Band beams
SES-6 at 319.5°E Ku band Coverage
9
Maritime Shipping Routes
10
SES Coverage to Serve those Needs
11
SES extensive Ku-band coverage in the fleet today
addresses most Maritime major routes and Oil & Gas
SES Coverage
▲NSS-6 ▲SES-7 ▲SES-1 ▲SES-4 ▲SES-6
ATL ▲AMC-9 ▲AMC-21 ▲NSS7
▲ASTRA
3B
▲ SES extensive Ku-band coverage in the fleet today can address major aviation routes
– North Atlantic, Asia Pacific, Europe, Middle East
▲ Given the speed of development and the application demand/requirements, a new
innovative designs could be considered to offer affordable broadband speeds
Pipelines are where the units are, but
mostly a play for hardware providers.
13
Global Oil & Gas Market: Where is the
demand?
Source: NSR
Source: NSR
On which frequency? Where is the
revenue?
Mobility
15
DVB-S2
TDM / Spread
Spectrum
Outbound
MF-TDMA
Return
Sat HUB
Ku band
and/or
(optional C or Ka)
Ku band
▲Vessel Terminals
▲( antennas typically 1m,
and in some cases 0.6m)
▲Direct to Ship
Internet POP
Ku band –
IP TV Receive
Only
▲Vessel Terminals
▲( antennas typically 1m,
and in some cases 0.6m)
▲Direct to Planes
Mini-VSAT
(Ku-band)
Ku-band C-band
Data Rate 128/128 kbps –
2,000/512 kbps
up to
4 Mbps
/1Mbps
up to
5 Mbps
/2Mbps
Antenna Size
(diameter) ~ 60 cm
~ 1.2m –
1.5m
~ 1.8 –
2.5m
Major Antenna
Manufacturers Intellian, KVH, SeaTel, KNS,C2Sat, Orbit Marine
Major Modem
Manufacturers iDirect, Comtech, ViaSat
Cloud
Computing
Mobility Market Forecast Overview – FSS & MSS
Source: Euroconsult 2012, Maritime Telecom Solutions by Satellite
▲ Significant growth in Commercial Mobility in the next decade
• Growth in MSS is Aero. Maritime MSS (L-Band) will remain relatively flat
• Aero (12.5% CAGR) / Maritime (1.5% CAGR)
• Growth in FSS is split between Maritime and Aero
• Maritime taking the lion share of revenues (16% CAGR)
• Aero has a higher speed of growth (31% CAGR)
Infrastructure Revenues Only:
Retail Revenues average (2x to 4x
Infrastructure)
Segment 2012
Transponders (36
MHz)
2012
Revenues
(US$ Million)
2020
Transponders
(36 MHz)
2020
Revenues
(US$ Million)
FSS 100 200 300 700*
MSS - 650 - 1,200
UAV 100 885** 220 1709**
*. Includes HTS Ka-Band Revenue
**. Retail Services Revenues (Ku band is 90% of Revenue)
Maritime Mobility
Oil & Gas Communications Brazil 2013
Rio de Janeiro - April 16-17, 2013
Maritime Forecast Overview – FSS
Maritime Telecom Solutions by Satellite---Global Market Analysis & Forecasts© Euroconsult 2012 – Unauthorized Reproduction is a copyright violation
Number of active maritime VSAT terminals by frequency band (2008-2021)
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Number of terminals
C-band
Ku-band
Ka-band
FORECAST
Maritime Telecom Solutions by Satellite---Global Market Analysis & Forecasts© Euroconsult 2012 – Unauthorized Reproduction is a copyright violation
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Million dollars
Maritime FSS capacity revenues for VSAT by frequency band (2008-2021)
C-band
Ka-band
Ku-band
FORECAST
Strong growth in Ku-band revenues Strong growth in Ku, Ka-band only
FSS in 2012 Revenues:
US$ 200 M
Terminals:
~ 10,000
FSS Terminals FSS Revenues
FSS in 2020 Revenues:
US$ 630 M
Terminals:
~ 20,000
Source: Euroconsult 2012, Maritime Telecom Solutions by Satellite
Strong growth in $Revenue/Terminal
~85 TPES
C + Ku
~300 TPES
C + Ku
Maritime Forecast Overview – MSS
Strong growth in broadband revenues Strong growth in M2M applications
MSS in 2012 Revenues:
US$ 450 M
Terminals:
~ 200,000
MSS in 2020 Revenues:
US$ 500 M
Terminals:
~ 580,000
Maritime Telecom Solutions by Satellite---Global Market Analysis & Forecasts© Euroconsult 2012 – Unauthorized Reproduction is a copyright violation
Number of active maritime MSS terminals by application (2008-2021)
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Number of terminals
Narrowband
Broadband
M2M
FORECAST
Maritime Telecom Solutions by Satellite---Global Market Analysis & Forecasts© Euroconsult 2012 – Unauthorized Reproduction is a copyright violation
Maritime MSS wholesale revenues by application (2008-2021)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Million dollars
Narrowband
Broadband
M2M
FORECASTMSS Terminals MSS Revenues
Source: Euroconsult 2012, Maritime Telecom Solutions by Satellite
Maritime Growth –FSS & MSS
FSS Growth
2011 - 2021
Revenues:
US$ 50 M
Terminals:
~ 380,000
Revenues:
US$ 450 M
Terminals:
~ 10,000
Maritime Telecom Solutions by Satellite---Global Market Analysis & Forecasts© Euroconsult 2012 – Unauthorized Reproduction is a copyright violation
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Million dollars
Maritime satellite capacity revenues by technology (2008-2021)
MSS
VSAT
FORECAST
FSS
MSS MSS Growth
2011 - 2021
Source: Euroconsult 2012, Maritime Telecom Solutions by Satellite Maritime Telecom Solutions by Satellite---Global Market Analysis & Forecasts© Euroconsult 2012 – Unauthorized Reproduction is a copyright violation
Number of active maritime satellite terminals by segment (2008-2021)
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Number of terminals
Merchant shipping
Fishing
Passenger ship
Leisure vessel
Offshore
GovernmentFORECAST
---
–
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Number of 36Mhz eq. transponders
C - band
Ku - band
C - & Ku - band
FORECAST
SES- Maritime Initiatives
21
Aero Mobility
Oil & Gas Communications Brazil 2013
Rio de Janeiro - April 16-17, 2013
Aero Market Overview –FSS & MSS
Major Commercial Routes Total Aeronautical Addressable Market
▲ Total addressable market for commercial and general aviation estimated to be 19,000
and 31,000 respectively (with another 16,000 government aircraft)
▲ INMARSAT/IRIDIUM L-Band installed base approx. 39,000 units generating around
130 – 150M$ wholesale revenue (2011, all segments combined, source: TMF
Associates March 2012)
▲ Commercial aviation market expected to double over next 10 – 20 years, with
strongest growth in Asia and Middle East
Aero Market Forecast –FSS & MSS
Aero in 2012 Revenues:
L-band:
US$ 208 M
VSAT:
US$ 12 M
Aero in 2020 Revenues:
L-band:
US$ 675 M
VSAT:
US$ 160 M
▲ Aero mobile broadband still in early days, but is expected to have fast growth in the next decade
▲ VSAT aero market currently mostly UAV
Wholesale revenues ($M) Global MSS Aeronautical Units by Region
HTS -Concept
▲0
▲10
▲20
▲0
▲10
▲20
▲0
▲10
▲20
▲35 ▲30 ▲25
▲45 ▲40
Ku-band “High Throughput Satellite” concept to lower effective cost per bit
Carrier EIRP and receive G/T levels greater than typical CONUS beam levels (e.g., 50 dBW)
Uses existing Ku-band ground infrastructure
Designed for hub/spoke network architectures
Thank you!
Rubens Vituli
Sales Director, Latin America & Caribbean
Av. das Nações Unidas, 12.551, 9º andar • São Paulo, SP • Brazil
Tel +55 11 3443 7554 • +55 11 9 8196-3055 (mobile)
Fax +55 11 3443 7602 • [email protected] • www.ses.com