overview of wood energy supply and demand dynamics henry phillips (forecast project)
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Round Table Forum on Short Rotation Forestry. Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics Henry Phillips (FORECAST Project). Oak Park, Carlow 11 th February 2011. Outline. Potential Wood Supply Factors which influence supply + assumptions. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics
Henry Phillips (FORECAST Project)
Round Table Forum on Short Rotation Forestry
Oak Park, Carlow 11th February 2011
Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics
OutlineOutline
Potential Wood SupplyFactors which influence supply + assumptions
Estimate of Potential Wood Energy AvailabilityFactors which influence availability + assumptions
Estimated Demand for Wood EnergyFactors driving demand
Supply – Demand Balance
Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics
Potential Wood Supply – All Ireland
Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics
Potential Wood Supply (Net Realisable Volume)
Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics
Potential Wood Supply (Net Realisable Volume)
Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics
Potential Wood Supply
Factors Which Influence Supply
1. Price
2. Availability of support for road construction
3. Harvesting infrastructure
4. Owners’ intentions
5. Regulatory framework
Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics
Potential Wood Energy Availability
How to Define Wood Energy Assortment
1. Size category1. Tip – 7cm2. 7-13cm3. 14-19cm4. 20+ cm
2. Species
3. PCRW
4. Processing Residues (Co-products)
5. Harvesting lop and top
TraditionalMarkets
EnergyMarkets
Wood Volumes
Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics
Potential Wood Energy Availability (ROI)
Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics
Potential Wood Energy Availability
Factors Driving Demand
1. Global Energy Prices2. EU Renewables Energy Directive3. Government Response and Schemes
1. ReHeat programme2. Renewable Energy Feed-In Tariff (REFIT)
4. Societal Values
Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics
Supply – Demand Balance – Republic Only
Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics
Supply – Demand Balance (All Ireland)
Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics
Concluding Remarks
1) There is an increasing imbalance between supply and demand for Wood Energy
2) It will be extremely challenging to leverage supplies from the private sector
3) Coillte will remain the dominant supplier and user of small sized roundwood
4) Possible to 1) Import, 2) Increase SRC and 3) Create more enabling environment
5) No obvious solution – combination of initiatives but needs to be planned
Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics
Round Table Forum on Short Rotation Forestry
Thank You