ownership, governance and reform doug andrew [email protected]

8
Ownership, governance and reform Doug Andrew [email protected]

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Page 1: Ownership, governance and reform Doug Andrew douglasandrew@btinternet.com

Ownership, governance and reform

Doug [email protected]

Page 2: Ownership, governance and reform Doug Andrew douglasandrew@btinternet.com

My experience

NZ SOE policy UK CAA regulating Government-owned Manchester

airport 50:50 air traffic control PPP Privately owned BAA London airports

Page 3: Ownership, governance and reform Doug Andrew douglasandrew@btinternet.com

Key messages RG objective Suggest 1. adoption of an economic

efficiency objective, given efficiency/fiscal trade-off

2. Develop/implement SOE policy 3. Consider PSP to maintain & boost

efficiency and improve government BS But reforms usually driven by fiscal rather

than efficiency imperatives

Page 4: Ownership, governance and reform Doug Andrew douglasandrew@btinternet.com

Efficiency objective

Productive: least cost Allocative: value-for-money Dynamic: profitable investment De-regulation, industry structure,

competition, CP and regulation =>better allocative efficiency

Ownership, using governance, key for PE and DE

Page 5: Ownership, governance and reform Doug Andrew douglasandrew@btinternet.com

An SOE policy Clear core SOE commercial objective Competitive neutrality SOE autonomy and accountability Appropriate incentives SOE mission, max. gearing, dividend policy Need hard budget constraint Role of board versus Role of government e.g. owner,

policymaker

Page 6: Ownership, governance and reform Doug Andrew douglasandrew@btinternet.com

PSP Given SOE policy, why “hold” or why “sell”? SOE policy implementable/sustainable? Broader government management issue PSP superior? Empirical evidence Fiscal benefits? Evidence => NPV(PSP)>NPV(SOE)? Government share of increment?

Page 7: Ownership, governance and reform Doug Andrew douglasandrew@btinternet.com

PSP part 2 Credible policy environment necessary Range of options and degrees Polar position, sell all SOE shares to highest

bidder via open sound process (FDI) Capture any control premium Necessary to capture expected efficiency

gains and improve government BS Intermediate options => smaller BS gains Risks: govt. process, winner’s curse, excess

leverage

Page 8: Ownership, governance and reform Doug Andrew douglasandrew@btinternet.com

Conclusion

Ownership/governance important for efficiency

Sound policy/regulatory environment MoF-led SOE policy necessary PSP via sound process, with OK

political economy, offers gains Communication important