performance & financial results
TRANSCRIPT
PERFORMANCE & FINANCIAL RESULTS – 9M10November 11, 2010
Performance & Financial Results – 9M10
1
Overview of Turkish Capital Markets
Our Performance
Financial Results
Expectations for the Rest of the Year
Overview of Turkish Capital Markets 2
Equity Market Volume (In TL Billion)*
Source: ISE
665 681
965906
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
2008 2009/9 2009 2010/9
* Market Transactions by Members
33%
416478
668627
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2008 2009/9 2009 2010/9
Overview of Turkish Capital Markets 3
Derivatives Market Volume (In TL Billion)*
Source: TurkDEX
* Market Transactions by Members
31%
2,802 2,667
4,105
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
2007 2008 2009
3,168
4,135
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
2009/9 2010/9
Overview of Turkish Capital Markets 4
Source: ISE Settlement and Custody Bank Inc.
* Market Transactions by Members
Securities Lending/Borrowing Market (In TL Million)*
Overview of Turkish Capital Markets 5
Source: CMB & IS Asset Management
Pension Funds grew 29% with respect to the same period of 2009
Asset Management (In TL Billion)
8.511.0
29.8
30.3
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2009/9 2010/9
Mutual Funds*
Pension Funds
*A Type, B Type Funds and ETFs.
4.6 6.09.1
26.4 24.0
29.6
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2007 2008 2009
Mutual Funds*
Pension Funds
Performance & Financial Results – 9M10
6
Overview of Turkish Capital Markets
Our Performance
Financial Results
Expectations for the Rest of the Year
41.849.1
44.0
76.6
6.4 6.36.6
7.9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2006 2007 2008 2009
Volume (TL Bn) Market Share (% - Right Axis)
55.962.8
8.2
6.9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2009/9 2010/9
Volume (TL Bn) Market Share (% - Right axis)
Equity Market Volume and Market Share
Our Performance 7
Source: ISE
IS Investment 6.9%
Broker 1 6.1%
Broker 2 5.9%
Broker 3 4.8%
Broker 4 3.9%
#1IS Investment 7.9%
Broker 1 6.4%
Broker 2 6.0%
Broker 3 5.2%
Broker 4 4.4%
#1
1 1 1 1
Derivatives Market Volume and Market Share
Our Performance 8
IS Investment 13.2%
Broker 1 6.7%
Broker 2 6.2%
Broker 3 5.8%
Broker 4 5.3%
#1
Source: TurkDEX
IS Investment 10.9%
Broker 1 7.0%
Broker 2 6.9%
Broker 3 5.7%
Broker 4 5.3%
#1
1.5 9.0 40.0 56.9 88.4
25.2 25.3
16.9
13.7 13.2
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Volume (TL Bn) Market Share (% - Right Axis)
64.5 68.3
13.5
10.9
0
3
6
9
12
15
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2009/9 2010/9
Volume (TL Bn) Market Share (% - Right Axis)
1 1 1 1 1
324
719
1,555
11.5
26.9
37.9
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2007 2008 2009
Volume (TL Mn) Market Share (% - Right axis)
Securities Lending/Borrowing Market Volume and Market Share
Our Performance 9
The most active investment house despite the volatile equity market trading volumes
Source: ISE Settlement and Custody Bank Inc.& IS Investment
2 1 1
698
917
22.0 22.2
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2009/9 2010/9
Volume (TL Mn) Market Share (% - Right axis)
36.9
81.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2009/9 2010/9
Our Performance 10
Margin Trading Volume (In TL Million)
Source: IS Investment
Margin trading volume beat the increase in the equity market
44.8
34.4
64.1
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2007 2008 2009
Our Performance 11
International Capital Markets (In $ Million)
2,2082,076
655426
498
632
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2009/9 2010/9
Th
ou
san
ds
Fixed Income Equity # Der. Contracts (Right Axis)
Source: IS Investment
2,904
18,145
26,773
2,733
517 882 885 78071
391
707
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
2006 2007 2008 2009
Th
ou
san
ds
Fixed Income Equity # Der. Contracts (Right Axis)
Our Performance
AuM size reached TL 10.5 billion surging by 6% on annual basis, while pension funds registered 29% growth rate and mutual funds
contracted by 4%
12
Source: IS Investment & IS Asset Management
Pension Funds portfolio size
represents 20% of the total
pension funds
AuM – IS Asset Management & IS Investment (In TL Billion)*
* Other Funds: Portfolio size of TL 1,218 mn and TL 1,637 mn for other funds for 2009/9 and 2010/9 respectively.
Mutual Funds portfolio size represents
21.9% of the market
**A Type, B Type Funds and ETFs.
1.72.2
7.06.7
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2009/9 2010/9
Mutual Funds**
Pension Funds
0.8 1.21.8
5.85.5
7.0
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2007 2008 2009
Mutual Funds**
Pension Funds
Performance & Financial Results – 9M10
13
Overview of Turkish Capital Markets
Our Performance
Financial Results
Expectations for the Rest of the Year
Despite extremely low activity in the markets, profit generation continues
Financial Results Profit Generation 14
*Consolidated
IS Investment* TL (000) 9M09 9M10 YoY
Total Assets 2,182,590 3,280,609 50%
Shareholders' Equity 321,008 361,067 12%
Net Profit 55,356 46,209 -17%
146198
258294 303
341
10.8%
19.4%
17.3%
21.5%22.6%
17.4%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2006 2007 2008 2009/9 2009 2010/9
TL M
illi
on
ROAE
Average Shareholders' Equity ROE (Right Axis)
Net Profit in TL 9M09 9M10 YoY
IS Investment Only* 34,812,973 42,109,021 21%
Consolidation Effect 20,542,942 4,100,204 -80%
Subsidiaries 21,734,745 13,367,120
Elimination (1,191,803) (9,266,916)**
Consolidated Net Profit 55,355,915 46,209,225 -17%
Lower consolidation effect due to the volatility in the markets and high amount of dividend elimination decreased the consolidated net profit
Financial Results Consolidation Effect 15
** Dividend and revenue elimination with subsidiaries
34.8
42.1
20.5
4.10
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
9M09 9M10 9M09 9M10
TL M
illi
on
Net Profit - IS Investment Only
Consolidation Effect
* IS Private Equity has been consolidated with equity pick-up method
Interest and Trading Income64%
Commission Income36%
Financial Results Breakdown of Operating Revenues 16
Breakdown of Revenues (TL 000) 9M09 9M10 YoY
Interest and Trading Income 102,585 65,460 -36%
Commission Revenues 57,627 74,469 29%
Total Operating Revenues 160,212 139,929 -13%
Operating Revenues – 9M09
Interest and Trading Income47%
Commission Income53%
Operating Revenues – 9M10
TL 160.2mn TL 139.9mn
Healthy Progress - Commission income has taken larger portion
Brokerage 67%Corporate
Finance10%
Asset Management
22%
Other Commissions
1%
Brokerage 70%
Corporate Finance
2%
Asset Management
28%
Other Commissions
0%
Financial Results Breakdown of Commissions 17
Commission Revenues(TL 000) 9M09 9M10 YoY
Brokerage 40,045 49,759 24%
Corporate Finance 1,029 7,445 623%
Asset Management 16,285 16,738 3%
Other Commissions 268 527 97%
Total 57,627 74,469 29%
TL 57.6mn
Commission Income – 9M09
TL 74.5mn
Commission Income – 9M10
Marketing, Sales and
Distribution Expenses
15%
General Adminisrative
Expenses85%
Marketing, Sales and
Distribution Expenses
19%
General Adminisrative
Expenses81%
Financial Results Breakdown of Operating Expenses 18
Operating Expenses(TL 000) 9M09 9M10 YoY
Marketing, Sales and Distribution Expenses 13,106 11,754 -10%
General Adminisrative Expenses 56,158 68,890 23%
Total 69,264 80,644 16%
TL 69.3mn
Operating Expenses – 9M09
TL 80.6mn
Operating Expenses – 9M10
382
82
353
458
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
39220 39772 40178 4026718/05/2007 20/11/2008 31/12/2009 09/11/2010
Financial Results Price Performance 19
ISMEN Performance
09/11/2009 31/12/2009 09/11/2010
P/E 4.50 5.16 7.19
P/BV 0.92 1.06 1.34
Share price increased 36% in 2010 in parallel with the equity market performance and 423% from the beginning of 2009
Market Capitalisation (In TL Million)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
ISMEN ISE 100
Financial Results Foreign Investors Shares 20
Foreign Investors Shares/ Free Float
48.0%
66.8%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2007/5 2010/11
The increase in the portion of foreign investors’ share in the free float attracted the attention of media
Performance & Financial Results – 9M10
21
Overview of Turkish Capital Markets
Our Performance
Financial Results
Expectations for the Rest of the Year
Expectations for the Rest of the Year 22
Corporate finance business has begun to up and run.
IPOs; Have a market share of 56% with TL 762.3 million total IPO size (Koza Gold-TL 662.4mn and Akfen Holding-TL 99.9mn) in
9M10.
– REIT; The IPO of Torunlar REIT, one of the largest ones in the sector, was performed in October intermediating 55% of total
IPO size.
– Aviation; Pegasus Airlines, which would be the first private IPO of the sector is planned to be performed in the first quarter of
2011.
– Port; Global Ports IPO is in the pipeline.
– Catering; European Stock Exchange quoted international catering firm, Do&Co’s domestic IPO is expected to be realized at the
end of November.
Corporate bonds; Have a market share of 44% for corporate bond issuances with TL 230.5mn total nominal value (Akfen Holding,
Creditwest Factoring, Merinos and Bimeks) in 9M10. Besides, the issuance of Bankpozitif’s bonds with a nominal value TL 100mn
was realized in October.
– Creditwest Factoring; Nominal TL 50mn bond issuance (second tranche of its TL 100mn bond) is planned to be launched in
4Q10.
M&A; Have a market share of 12% with 8 transactions worth USD 1.3 billion in 9M10.
IS Investment Warrants are currently traded on the stock exchange.
We applied to establish a new asset management company that specializes in managing banks’ NPLs.
Continue to actively provide prime brokerage services and the established funds have already been offered to investors.
We see higher trading volumes in the markets in 4Q10 which is in line with our expectation and budget.
Investor Relations 23
Mr. Mert Erdoğmuş
Assistant General Manager
Phone : +90 0212 350 24 12
Fax : +90 0212 350 20 01
E-mail : [email protected]
Mr. Ozan Altan
Vice President
Phone : +90 0212 350 28 72
Fax : +90 0212 350 20 01
E-mail : [email protected]
The Investor Relations Department is responsible for the timely
communication of necessary, accurate, complete,
comprehensible and easily accessible information and
explanations, which are not considered to be trade secrets to its
shareholders and stakeholders.
http://www.isinvestment.com/wwa_ir.aspx
Disclaimer
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Information, opinions and comments contained in this material are not under the scope of investment advisory services. Investment
advisory services are given according to the investment advisory contract, signed between the intermediary institutions, portfolio
management companies, investment banks and the clients. Opinions and comments contained in this report reflect the personal views of
the analysts who supplied them. The investments discussed or recommended in this report may involve significant risk, may be illiquid
and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, making decisions with respect to the information in this report cause inappropriate
results.
All prices, data and other information are not warranted as to completeness or accuracy and are subject to change without notice. Any
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24
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PERFORMANCE & FINANCIAL RESULTS – 9M10November 11, 2010