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Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity, Preferences, and Gender Thomas Dohmen and Armin Falk American Economic Review 101 (April 2011): 556–590 Experimental and Behavioral Economics SS2015

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Page 1: Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity ... · Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity, Preferences, and Gender Thomas Dohmen and Armin Falk

Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting:

Productivity, Preferences, and Gender

Thomas Dohmen and Armin Falk

American Economic Review 101 (April 2011): 556–590

Experimental and Behavioral Economics SS2015

Page 2: Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity ... · Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity, Preferences, and Gender Thomas Dohmen and Armin Falk

Objective

• Measure the impact of incentives on worker self-selection in a controlled laboratory experiment (different incentive schemes systematically attract individuals with different attitudes, willingness to take risks, relative self-assessment as well as gender);

• Which personal characteristics beyond individual productivity differences provoke workers to self-select into variable instead of fixed-pay contracts?

• How do relevant characteristics like risk aversion, relative self-assessment, social preferences, gender, or personality shape the selection process?

• How does the composition of the workforce differ when firms offer either fixed wages or variable payments in the form of piece rates, tournaments, or revenue sharing?

Page 3: Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity ... · Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity, Preferences, and Gender Thomas Dohmen and Armin Falk

Experiment – Work Task

The work task implemented consists of multiplying one-digit numbers by two-digit numbers, distinguish between five different degrees of difficulty.

All problems were presented to subjects on computer screens. They had to type their answer into a box and confirm it by clicking an “OK” button with their mouse. Having entered the answer, a subject was informed whether or not the solution was correct. If it was correct, a new problem appeared instantaneously on the screen , if the answer was wrong, subjects had to tackle the same problem again until the correct solution was entered (forced subjects to solve a problem before a new question appeared on the screen in order to prevent subjects from guessing and searching for “easy” problems).

Page 4: Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity ... · Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity, Preferences, and Gender Thomas Dohmen and Armin Falk

Experiment - Procedural

• The experiment was computerized using the software z-Tree and all of the interaction was anonymous;

• Subjects were told that no aid was allowed for answering the problems and that we would check this throughout the experiment;

• 18 sessions, 90 minutes each, six sessions in each of the three treatments;

• A total of 360 students from the University of Bonn participated. (same number of females and males in each session);

• Average earnings: 21.20 euros (10 points = 0.17 euros).

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Experiment - Framework

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Experiment - Steps

1. Calculate one multiplication problem as fast as possible, no payment was involved;

2. The same as the first, except that this time subjects were paid for being fast (start with 150 points; 5 points deduction each second);

3. Working for five minutes for a piece rate of 10 points per correct answer;

4. Subjectively evaluate how hard they had worked in Step 3 (effort, stressed and exhausted on a seven-point scale);

5. Ranking their performance in step 3 relative to the performance of the other 19 participants in their session (correct answer 100 points, +/- one position 50 points, and 0 points otherwise);

Page 7: Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity ... · Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity, Preferences, and Gender Thomas Dohmen and Armin Falk

Experiment - Steps

6. Sorting decision: choose between a variable-pay (VP) contract and a fixed-payment (FP) contract:

• FP: payment of 400 points independent of output x;

• VP piece-rate: 10 points per correct answer;

• VP tournament : compete in a two-person tournament (1st 1300 points, 2nd 0 points);

• VP revenue- sharing: two-person team received a piece rate of 10 points for each correctly answered problem and the team’s revenue was divided equally;

7. Answer how they would have decided if the fixed payment had been different (50, 100, 150, … , 800 points);

8. Ten minutes working time, during which subjects worked under their preferred contractual terms and at the end they are notified about their earnings;

Page 8: Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity ... · Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity, Preferences, and Gender Thomas Dohmen and Armin Falk

Experiment - Steps

9. Inform about effort, stress, and exhaustion (exactly as step 4);

10. Social preferences: Trust-Game (A can transfer any amount to B, the transfer amount is tripled and B can then send back any amount to A);

11. Risk preferences: Lottery choices (15 rows that they have to decide whether they preferred a safe option or playing a lottery);

12. Risk attitudes: asking individuals to indicate their willingness to take risks in general on an 11-point scale.

They also gathered data on socioeconomic characteristics (including gender, age, nationality, marital status, and parents’ education) and educational achievement.

Page 9: Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity ... · Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity, Preferences, and Gender Thomas Dohmen and Armin Falk

Results

• In all three treatments the output distribution in the variable-pay condition statistically dominates the output distribution in the respective fixed-payment condition.

Output differences between fixed- and variable-pay schemes in all treatments are statistically significant at any conventional level (Wilcoxon rank-sum test, p-value<0.0001).

Variable Payment

Variable Payment Fixed Payment

Average Problems

Standard Deviation

Average Problems

Standard Deviation

Piece Rate 60,59 21,81 29,51 14,22

Tournament 61,08 22,34 36,08 18,81

Revenue Sharing 57,93 28,02 33,75 16,93

Page 10: Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity ... · Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity, Preferences, and Gender Thomas Dohmen and Armin Falk

Results

Page 11: Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity ... · Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity, Preferences, and Gender Thomas Dohmen and Armin Falk

Results

Page 12: Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity ... · Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity, Preferences, and Gender Thomas Dohmen and Armin Falk

Results

• The results confirm systematic productivity sorting in all treatments: the more productive a worker, the more likely he self-selects into the variable-pay scheme.

• Choose between fixed-payment and piece-rate it is straightforward to show that subjects whose productivity exceeds a certain value optimally opt for the piece-rate contract. This productivity threshold increases in the level of the fixed payment, and it decreases in the attractiveness of the piece rate.

• In the tournament, a similar productivity sorting pattern is plausible but not as obvious as in the piece-rate treatment, because the sorting decision does not only depend on own productivity but also on the expected productivity of the other player who has sorted into the tournament.

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Results

Chart (a) clearly confirms that those workers who self-select into the piece rate are more productive. Charts (b)

and (c) show the same finding for the tournament and the revenue-sharing treatments, respectively. Wilcoxon

rank-sum tests verify that the productivity differences are statistically significant in all treatments (p-

values<0.0001)

Page 14: Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity ... · Performance Pay and Multidimensional Sorting: Productivity, Preferences, and Gender Thomas Dohmen and Armin Falk

Results

The correlation between individual productivity and the lowest fixed wage a subject just prefers over the variable payment is positive and highly significant (Spearman rank correlations; p-values <0.001 in all treatments).

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Results

• Using multiple regression approach to determine factors as risk attitudes, relative self-assessment, social preferences, and gender affect the self-selection decision.

• Risk attitudes is particularly strong in the tournament treatment since earnings uncertainty is most pronounced in this condition for two reasons: the spread of potential earnings is higher and the contestant’s ability is not known.

• Risk-averse workers are less likely to self-select into piece rates and tournaments, while no such effect is observed for the revenue-sharing treatment.

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Results

• Using multiple regression approach to determine factors as risk attitudes, relative self-assessment, social preferences, and gender affect the self-selection decision

• Subjects are more likely to select into the variable-payment schemes the more productive they believe they are relative to other participants.

• The impact of self-assessment on the sorting decision is significant in the tournament schemes (p-value <0.076), but is insignificant in the piece-rate treatment (p-value <0.835) and the revenue-sharing treatment (p-value <0.162).

• Overconfident (underconfident) subjects in step 5 (self ranking) are more (less) likely to select into tournaments.

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Results

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Results

• For all treatments there are no statistically significant differences in effort, stress, and exhaustion between the two subgroups (variable and fixed) refer to the five-minute work period.

• Things change completely, however, when subjects work in their preferred incentive scheme during the ten-minute work task. In all treatments, subjects with a variable-compensation contract provide significantly more effort and feel significantly more stressed than subjects in the fixed-payment scheme. The difference is highly statistically significant (Wilcoxon tests).

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Results

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Results

• In the piece-rate treatment, 64 of the 73 individuals (87.7 percent) who opted for the piece rate earned more than 400 points, and nine individuals earned less.

• In the revenue-sharing treatment, 60 of the 76 subjects (78.9 percent) who opted for the revenue-sharing contract end up with a payoff of more than 400 points.

• Respective median response times for the piece-rate, tournament, and revenue-sharing treatment are 34.5 seconds, 72 seconds, and 116 seconds, respectively. Therefore the decision between revenue-sharing and fixed wages is quite complex and definitely more difficult than, for example, between a fixed payment and a piece rate.

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Conclusions

• Productive workers are more likely to self-select into variable-payment schemes when offered a fixed-payment scheme as an alternative. This holds for piece-rate, tournament, as well as revenue-sharing schemes.

• Workers reports higher effort levels in pay for performance schemes than in fixed-payment schemes. Moreover, they report higher levels of stress and exhaustion.

• Workers are more likely to prefer a fixed-payment scheme the more risk averse they are, especially when the choice is between piece rate or tournaments and fixed wages.

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Conclusions

• Tournaments attract workers who believe their performance is high, relative to other workers. (this effect plays no role in piece rates)

• Variable-payment schemes generally attract fewer women, an effect that is partly driven by an underlying gender difference in risk attitudes and productivity. The effect is strongest in the most competitive scheme, the tournament.

• Comparing sorting pattern observed in the lab to labor markets outside the lab (German labor market by analyzing data from the German Socio-Economic Panel Study) the results are quite similar.

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Conclusions

The results indicate that organizations should, in addition, take into account the interaction of incentives and multidimensional sorting when deciding on the design of the incentive system. The authors suggest that firms may use incentive schemes as screening devices to attract particular types of workers.

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Questions?

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Thank You!

Presentation by Patrick Braga Experimental and Behavioral Economics SS2015