peter jones, aurecon: project financing in a public sector environment
DESCRIPTION
Peter Jones, Global Competency Leader – Business and Infrastructure Advisory, Aurecon, delivered this presentation at the 2013 ADM Defence Support Services Conference. For more information about the event, please visit the conference website: http://www.admevents.com.au/defencesupport2013TRANSCRIPT
Agenda
This short presentation is intended to expand on two
potentially contradictory statements:
1. That PPP as a model has been effective in
delivering long term value; and
2. That the effectiveness of the model is diminishing
as a function of how PPP has come to be used
If we accept these two statements, the obvious
question is how can we leverage the benefits of PPP
without necessarily undertaking a full PPP process?
The Proposition
• The PPP model is fundamentally strong and
has a role to play in Defence.
• Globally the PPP model is under pressure to
reform as evidenced by the UK PFI and
Victorian PPP Lite
• The PPP model has struggled to get traction in
Defence. Why is this?
• Defence requirements for smart procurement to
delivery efficient assets and capability is not
likely to diminish
Declaring our interests
• South Australia New Prisons &
Secure Facilities PPP
• Ararat Prisons Victoria
• Partnerships Victoria in Schools PPP
• South Australia Schools PPP
• SEQ II Schools Due Diligence
• National Infrastructure Unit NZ
• Ministry of Education NZ
• Victorian Cancer Centre
• UK MOD Red Dragon
• Mexico City University PPP
• Advance Vehicle Training School
• Kiel Proton Therapy PPP
• Papworth NHS Trust PPP
• Corsham Deep Mines Project
• Secure Youth Training Centre PPP
• Glasgow Schools PPP
• Cross River Tram UK
Max
’Contractors Incentive (including innovation). Risk Transfer
Max
Min
Fle
xib
ilit
y t
o C
han
ge (
Co
ntr
ol)
/Tim
e t
o M
ark
et/
Pri
ce/C
ert
ain
ty
Design Construction Finance Maintain (DCFM)
–
Privitisation model inc full
operation and business
ownership risks
Risks
well
understood,
& regulated
Used on social
infrastructure
Performance based payments on availability of accommodation
Concession models including full operations, sometimes franchise arrangements or JV inc subsidy
Performance based payments but often incusage payment
Build – own – operate –transfer (BOOT)
Build – operate –transfer (BOT)
Build – operate –own (BOO)
Market based payment either “free” or “regulated” sometimes incup front payment to Govtor subsidy from Govt
Design Contract Maintain (DCM)
Service infrastructure model including transfer back to the State at the end of the contract for nil consideration. There are the typical model currently used under Govt PPP programme
Full market transfer exists under independent regulator (monopolistic industry such as power transmission or full market risk (e.g. energy retailers). Tends to be used for economic infrastructure like power, telcoms, water and transport
Risk well understood, defined & regulated. Can be used for social infrastructure, but tend to be used for economic infrastructure
Design Build Finance Operate (DBFO)
PPP Procurement Models
The Model
• The PPP model is global and with minor
variations widely adopted
• PPP is in classic economic theory a simple Buy
or Make procurement model
• It is seen as more efficient to “Buy” services and
assets rather than public sector “Making” those
services and assets:
– Better risk allocation allowing clients to concentrate on
Core Competencies
– Quality over the long term by linking asset performance
to financial investment
– Continuity of funding commitment to a defined service
level
When it works
• PPP can and does work in delivering
challenging projects. As a model it has the best
opportunity for success when:
– The nature of the project can be easily replicated in
contractual, commercial and technical scope and
structure
– The relationship between the service, or capability, and
asset design is clear and linear
– The number of parties involved in the transaction, and
impacted by the transaction, is small
– The project isn’t subject to rapid technological change,
significant obsolesce risk or platform evolution
Why is the PPP model under pressure?
• The PPP model has struggled to gain traction.
Why?
– Transaction Costs
– Projects lack flexibility
– Procurement process is to long
– PPP lacks predictability
– The Commercial Framework is challenging
Client
Private Sector Engaged
Private Sector
Client Shared PPP Contractors
Delivery R
esponsib
ility
Tim
e &
Cost
Ris
k
Operation and Maintenance
Concept Design & Statutory
Approvals
Package 1
Package 2
Package 3
Detailed Design
Construction & Commissioning
Feasibility
Is this the whole picture?
• The usual rationale for why PPP is struggling to
gain traction is unconvincing. Why?
– PPP is a procurement model aligned to construction as
shown by the Infrastructure Australia guidance
– A benefit of PPP is the ability to replicate previous
projects but this assumes significant demand for similar
projects
– A legacy of the GFC is a change in emphasis within
Government from what we can afford to build to what
we can afford to maintain. The debate is opex not
capex
What does this mean?
• PPP has a role to play. Capturing the value of
long term asset performance remains a critical
contribution but its application should be
carefully considered
– PPP was intended for reasonably simple asset heavy
projects. Have we distorted the model by using outside
of its design purpose?
– The model works well when simply replicated leading to
reduced transaction costs
– Through repetition, the model becomes less
contentious allowing for delegation of project decisions
The Challenge for PPP in Defence
• Whilst Defence has a large capital requirement,
its asset portfolio is reasonably stable
• Whilst a large entity, the ability for Defence to
develop a pipeline of duplicate projects is
limited
• Nature of capability lead requirement
increasingly divorced from asset design
• Defence is characterised by capability
requirements with an increasing pace of
evolution. Limits the attractiveness of long term
commitments
• Decision making protocols not aligned to wider
industry expectations
So what next?
• Not suggesting we have all the answers, but
some points worth considering:
– Explore use of DBOM contract form to supplement
traditional forms to capture long term performance of
assets
– Apply adapted Managing Contractor within capability
services to achieve risk transfer
– Consider consolidation and/or integration of existing
contractual arrangements to streamline on site
interfaces
– Apply the PPP model but used selectively
– Consider fast track approval protocols for low capital
value projects to generate market confidence and build
in house skills
– Consider how lifecycle and asset renewal investment
can be bundled to help standardise approach and
provide opex flexibility
Conclusion