petrobras 2012-2016 business and management plan … - paulo alonso… · and management plan &...
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Petrobras 2012 -2016 Business and Management Plan
&Brazilian Local Content
Regulation
Rio de Janeiro11th March 2013
Investments in the Country driven to the Shipbuildi ng and Offshore Industry: US$ 107.6 billion
Refining, Transportation and CommercializationUS$ 71.6 billion
Biofuels
Petrochemicals
Expansion of FleetExpansion of Refining Park
Allocation of National Oil
Compliance with Internal Market
Operational improvement
Infrastructure and Support
Exploration
Production Development
Exploration and ProductionUS$ 131.5 billion
15.2(21%)
31.2(44%)
12.1(17%)
2.9(4%)
3.5(5%)
1.0(1%)
16.3(12%)
5.6(8%)
25.4(19%)
89.9(68%)
US$ 107.6 bi83.6
(64%)
21.1(16%)
Petrobras 2012-2016 Business and Management Plan
4.200
2.500
2,022
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Construction of 132 Units: Drilling Rigs, Stationary Production Units (SPU) and Tankers
Oil
and
NG
L P
rod
uct
ion
Cu
rve
(mb
pd
)Priority: OIL PRODUCTION, Brazil: 2.022 – 4.200 mbpd
38 SPU by 2020: 65% < Local Content < 80%45 Rigs by 2020: 15 without local content
30 with 55% < Local Content < 70% 49 Tankers by 2020: 65% < Local Content < 74%
�1 Tanker
�2/2SPU
�10/10�4/4�2/2Rigs
�3/3Tankers
1/5SPU
1/1Rig
3Tankers
4SPU
8Tankers
1SPU
8Tankers
7SPU
7Rigs
8Tankers
7SPU
7Rigs
5Tankers
7SPU
5Rigs
2Tankers
3SPU
7Rigs
5Tankers
2SPU
2Rigs
6Tankers
(1 unitdelivered) (9) (12) (9) (23) (20) (15) (17) (10)
(21 units delivered)
(2 units delivered
and 7 to be delivered)
4.200
2.500
2,022
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 202010101010
Cid. São Paulo
(Piloto de Sapinhoá)
Cid. Paraty
(Piloto de Lula NE)
P-61 P-63
(Papa-Terra) P-55
(Roncador mod. III)
Cid. Anchieta(Baleia Azul)
Cid. Itajaí(Baúna e Piracaba)
Z1Iracema
Norte
Espadarte IIICO9
(Florim)
MarombaBonito
CO8(Entorno de Iara)
19 by 201638 by 2020
P-58 (Norte Pq. Baleias)
P-62(Roncador mod. IV)
Cid. Ilhabela
(Sapinhoá Norte)Cid.
Mangara-tiba
(Iracema Sul)
P-66(Lula Alto)
P-67(Lula
Central)P-68
(Lula Sul)P-74
(Franco 1)Z2
(Carioca)P-69(Lula Norte)P-75
(Franco 2)
P-70(Lula Ext.
Sul)P-71
(Iara Horst)P-76
(NE Tupi)Afretada(Carimbé)Aruanã
P-72(Iara NW)
P-77(Franco 3)
CO5(Franco 4)
CO6(Sul de Guará)Júpiter
P-73(Carcará)Sul Pq. Baleias
CO7(Franco 5)Espadarte
I
38 Stationary Production Units (SPU): 2012 - 2020
Oil Production, Brazil: 2.022 – 4.200 mbpdO
il an
d N
GL
Pro
du
ctio
n C
urv
e (m
bp
d)
SPU Construction
4.200
2.500
2,022
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 202011111111
Laguna Star(CO PAD Franco)
Arpoador(Lula Norte)Copacabana(Franco NE)Urca(Franco Leste)Guarapari(NE de Tupi)Ondina(Iara Horst)Cassino(Lula Norte)Grumari(Carcará 1)
Frade(Júpiter)Camburi(Sul de Guará)Pituba(Iara NW)Ipanema(Júpiter)Bracuhy(Carcará)Itaoca(Iara NW)Curumim(Exploration)
Leblon(Franco Leste)Portogalo(Entorno de Iara)Salinas(Exploration)Boipeba(Exploration)Leme(Franco Leste)
Mangaratiba(Florim)Itaunas(Exploration)Interlagos(Exploration)Marambaia(Entorno de Iara)Botinas(Florim)Itapema(Iara NW)Siri(Exploration)
Comandatuba(Exploration)Sahy(Exploration)
* Being negotiated; ** P-59 and P-60 were constructed in Brazil
Drillship (33)
Semi Submersible(10)
Self Lift (2)
Oil Production, Brazil: 2.022 – 4.200 mbpd
45 New Drilling Rigs: 2012 - 2020
Oil
and
NG
L P
rod
uct
ion
Cu
rve
(mb
pd
)
Rigs Construction
25 by 201645 by 2020
Pacific Mistral(PAD Iracema Norte)Schahin Amazonia(Perfuração Iguape)Schahin Cerrado(PAD Júpiter Nordeste)Ocean Rig Mykonos(ADR LL Central)Etesco Takatsugu J(Franco SW)P-59**(Peroá)Ocean RigCorcovado(Iracema Alto)Deepsea Metro II(Farfan Bloco BM-SEAL-11)Schaihn Sertão(Roncador)Sevan Brasil(Sagitário)Odn Delba III(PAD Trachemys –Quelônio)P-60**(Bloco BM-C-27)Amaralina Star(CO Sul de Tupi)Odn I - Norbe X(CO PAD Franco)
Odn II - Norbe XI(CO Florim)Odn Tay IV(RF de Albacora)
4.200
2.500
2,022
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Zumbi dos Palmares(Suezmax
2/10)EAS
José Alencar(Products 4/4)
EISA Mauá
Suezmax 3/10EAS
João Cândido(Suezmax 1/10)
EAS
Sérgio Buarque de
Holnda(Products 2/4)
EISA Mauá
Rômulo Almeida
(Products 3/4)EISA Mauá
Suezmax 4/10EAS
Panamax 1/4EISA Mauá
Panamax 2/4EISA Mauá
Suezmax 5/10EAS
Gaseiro 1/8Promar
Panamax 3/4EISA Mauá
Suezmax 6/10EAS
Gaseiro 2/8Promar
Suezmax 7/10EAS
Panamax 4/4EISA Mauá
Gaseiro 3/8Promar
Suezmax 8/10EAS
Produtos 1/3EISA Mauá
Gaseiros 4/8Promar
Produtos 2/3EISA Mauá
Gaseiros 5/8Promar
Gaseiro 6/8Promar
Suezmax 9/10EAS
Products 3/3EISA Mauá
Gaseiro 7/8Promar
Products 1/5EISA Mauá
Suezmax 10/10EAS
Gaseiro 8/8Promar
Products 2/5EISA Mauá
Aframax 1/5EAS
Products 3/5EISA Mauá
Products 4/5EISA Mauá
Aframax 2/5EAS
Products 5/5EISA Mauá
Aframax 3/5EAS
Aframax 4/5EAS
Aframax 5/5EAS
Suezmax DP 1/4
EAS
Suezmax DP 2/4
EAS
Suezmax DP 3/4
EAS
Bunker 1/3Superpesa
Suezmax DP 4/4
EAS
Bunker 2/3Superpesa
Aframax DP 1/3
EAS
Aframax DP 2/3
EAS
Bunker 3/3Superpesa
Aframax DP 3/3
EAS
49 Tankers: 2012 - 2020
Oil
and
NG
L P
rod
uct
ion
Cu
rve
(mb
pd
)
Oil Production, Brazil: 2.022 – 4.200 mbpd
12121212
Celso Furtado(Products 1/4)
EISA Mauá
Tankers Construction31 by 201649 by 2020
Petrobras 2012-2016 Business and Management Plan
Northeast Refinery (RNEST): Construction of a new refinery in the Suape industrial complex, in the Pernambuco State, to process 230 kbpd of oil. RNEST will be the operational unit with the greatest conversion rate of crude oil into diesel (70%)
LOCAL CONTENTTarget: 75%Actual: 90%
Northeast Refinery (RNEST): 1st Phase in November/14
Petrobras 2012-2016 Business and Management Plan
� Capacity: 165 thousand bpd
� Solomon Complexity: 11,2
� Diesel 10 ppm Yeld: 43%
� QAV Yeld: 16%
� Physical Progress Achieved: 35%
� Start Date (1st Train): April of 2015
Why Local Content?
Potential GainsFor the Country For the Oil Companies
Local Economy Diversification
Sustainable Economic Growth
Increase Country´s Attractiveness for Investors
Local Productive Capacity Development
Proximity between Suppliers and the Operation
Reduced Dependence on Expatriated Workforce
Suppliers Innovation Capacity Increased
Logistic Risks Reduction
Operating Costs ReductionEmployment and Income Generation
Local Technical Assistance Availability
Tax Revenue Increase
Local Content
Brazilian Local Content RegulationRequirement in the Concession - Agreement with ANP
1 2 3 4 5 8
ANP Oil Field Concession Bidding Rounds
6 7
Before 1998 – Petrobras Monopoly
1998 – Round zero, no Local Content Commitment
0 109
1st to 4th Round:
• Minimum Local Content
requirements determined by ANP;
• Proof of local content by Declaration
of Origin and Invoice;
7th to 10th Round:
• Minimum and Maximum Local Content
requirements determined by ANP,
according to phase and block type;
o Detailed requirements (by
system, equipment and service);
• Change of methodology for local
content measurement (Local Content
Booklet) ;
• Mandatory Local content Certification
by third part entity;
5th and 6th Rounds:
• Minimum Local Content
requirements determined by ANP,
according to:
o phase (exploration /
development)
o block type (deep water,
shallow water, onshore);
• Proof of local content by Declaration
of Origin and Invoice;
1999 20052003
� ANP – National Petroleum Agency (linked to Mines and Energy Ministry)
� ANP´s role – Regulate Brazilian Oil Industry, including
� Managing Oil Field Bidding Rounds;
� Managing local content (minimum requirements, monitoring, auditing and penalties application)
1 2 3 4 5 8
ANP Oil Field Concession Bidding Rounds
6 7
Before 1998 – Petrobras Monopoly
1998 – Round zero, no Local Content Commitment
0 109
1st to 4th Round:
• Minimum Local Content
requirements determined by ANP;
• Proof of local content by Declaration
of Origin and Invoice;
7th to 10th Round:
• Minimum and Maximum Local Content
requirements determined by ANP,
according to phase and block type;
o Detailed requirements (by
system, equipment and service);
• Change of methodology for local
content measurement (Local Content
Booklet) ;
• Mandatory Local content Certification
by third part entity;
5th and 6th Rounds:
• Minimum Local Content
requirements determined by ANP,
according to:
o phase (exploration /
development)
o block type (deep water,
shallow water, onshore);
• Proof of local content by Declaration
of Origin and Invoice;
1999 20052003
� ANP – National Petroleum Agency (linked to Mines and Energy Ministry)
� ANP´s role – Regulate Brazilian Oil Industry, including
� Managing Oil Field Bidding Rounds;
� Managing local content (minimum requirements, monitoring, auditing and penalties application)
Petrobras criteria for measuring and
requiring local content for all contracts
(E&P, Downstrean, Gas & Energy)
independent of obligation with ANP
Brazilian Local Content RegulationRequirement in the Concession - Agreement with ANP
Source: ANP
Example of Local Content requirements by item and subitem
Specific and challenging local content requirements for equipment such as christmas tree, manifolds,
valves, pumps, compressors, heat exchangers, filters, pressure vessels, flare system, automation &
instrumentation, ...
Brazilian Local Content RegulationDetailed Local Content Requirements
Subsystem Item Subitem % LC
I .1 Dri l l ing Rig Chartering 50
I.2 Dri l l ing + Completion 49
I.2.1 Wel lhead 60
I.2.2 Cas ing 50
I.2.3 Production Tube 50
I.2.4 Wel l equipment 50
I.2.5 Dri l l 5
I.3 Auxi l iary Systems 40
I.3.1 Electric Sys tem 60
I.3.2 Automation Sys tem 60
I.3.3 Telecommunication Sys tem 40
I.3.4 Fis ca l Measurement System 60
I.3.5 Field Ins trumentation 40
I.4 Logis tic Support 50
I.5 Chris tmas Tree 70
I - Drilling,
Assessment and
Completion
Subsystem Item Subitem % LC
I I .1 Umbi l ica ls 55
II.2 Mani folds 70
II.3 Flexible Production/Injection Lines 56
II.4 Rigid Production/Injection Lines 50
II.5 Flowl ines 100
II.6 Underwater Control System 0
II .7 Bas ic Engineering 50
II.8 Detai led Engineering 95
II.9 Management, Cons truction and As sembly 80
II – Production
Collection System
Subsystem Item Subitem % LC
II I .1 Bas ic Engineering 65
II I .2 Deta i led Engineering 65
II I .3 Management, Construction and Assembly 65
II I .4 Hul l 70
II I .5 Jacket n/d
II I .6 Naval Systems 65
II I .7 Simple Anchoring Systems 65
II I .8 Mul tiple Anchoring Systems 65
II I .9 Modules Integration 65
II I .10 Pre-Insta l lation and Hook-up of Anchoring Li nes 65
II I .11 Plants - Bas ic Engineering 65
II I .12 Plants - Deta i led Engineering 65
II I .13 Plants - Service Management 65
II I .14 Plants - Equipment and Materia ls 71
II I.11.4.1 Pressure Vessels 85
II I.11.4.2 Forges 80
II I.11.4.3 Tanks 90
II I.11.4.4 Process Towers 85
II I.11.4.5 Cool ing Towers 85
II I.11.4.6 Hea t Excha ngers 15
II I.11.4.7 Pumps 70
II I.11.4.8 Steam Turbines 80
II I.11.4.9 Rotary Screw Air Compressors 70
II I.11.4.1 Al terna tive Compressors 70
II I.11.4.11 Diesel Engines (up to 6 HP) 80
II I.11.4.12 Valves (Up to 24") 90
II I.11.4.13 Fi l ters 85
II I.11.4.14 Flare System 80
II I.11.4.15 Cathodic Protection 90
II I.11.4.16 Electri c System 60
II I.11.4.17 Automation System 60
II I.11.4.18 Telecommunication System 40
II I.11.4.19 Fi sca l Mea surement System 60
II I.11.4.20 Field Instrumentation 40
II I .15 Plants - Construction and Assembly 65
III - SPU
• The “Cartilha” (booklet) is the official methodology for measuring local
content, published by the ANP in 2005;
• It aims to identify the source of manufacture of components that make
up each piece of equipment and service;
• The calculation is separated into:
• Local Content of goods
• Local Content of Services
• Local Content of goods for temporal use,
• Local Content of systems and sub -systems
• For the booklet, an item is not simply "national“, but has "x%" Local
Content.
Goods (%) = 1- cost imported inputs x 100
selling price of good without taxes
Services (%) = cost of skilled local labor force x 100
total cost of manpower
*Source: Cartilha de Conteúdo Local - 2005
Brazilian Local Content RegulationLocal Content Booklet (“Cartilha”) – Main Concept
Platform
Goods
Vapor Recovery
Unit
Injection Gas
Compression Unit
Filters
Package
Compressor
Motocompressor
Panel
LC= 34,2%
Brazilian Local Content RegulationCertification Process
ILLUSTRATIVE
Suppliers EPCSub-Suppliers
INV+
LCC
INV+
LCC
INV+
LCC
INV+
LCC
INV+
LCC
INV+
LCC
INVOICE + LOCAL CONTENT CERTIFICATEINV
+
LCC
� The percentage of local content is calculated based on the imported quota of the item;
� Thus, it is not necessary that the suppliers/EPC in form their profit margin;
� Moreover, there are confidentiality clauses between the certifying entity and suppliers/EPC
Certification required throughout the supply chain
Contribution Margin = Equipment Price / Unit Total Price
Price: US$ 10 MM
LC=30% -> Local Parcel: US$ 10 MM * 30% = U$ 3 MM
Contribution Margin: 10 MM/19 MM = 53%
Price: US$ 2 MM
LC=70% -> LP: US$ 1.4 MM
CM=10%
Price: US$ 7 MM
LC=30% -> LP: US$ 2.1 MM
CM=37%
Unit Total Price = US$ 19 MM
Local Parcel Total = US 6.5 MM Unit LC: Local Parcel Total / Unit Total Price = 6.5/19 = 34,2%
Petrobras Local Content Policy
PETROBRAS LOCAL CONTENT POLICY
The projects and acquisitions for Petrobras must support the challenges of Company’s Strategic Plan and
therefore maximize local content based on competitive and sustainable basis, accelerating the development of
markets where it operates, guided by ethics and generating continued innovation.
December 22nd, 2011
� Ensure adherence to capital discipline, assuring the competitiveness of procurement and reducing financial and logistical risks in implementation and operation of projects.
Capital Discipline
� Execute procurement in a coordinated manner for the items of common use.
Integration of Supply
� Uniform criteria for measuring and requiring local content in Petrobras acquisitions.
Local Content Standardization
in Petrobras
� Encourage the development of local markets in a sustainable manner.Local Suppliers
� Prioritize supplies with local engineering development.National Engineering
� Encourage the development of the local market to overcome technology gaps.
Technology Gaps
DR
IVE
RS
26262626
Petrobras Local Content Policy
Petrobras Local Content Policy
Upstream
Local content requirements
established in oil field concession contracts
Upstream
Local content requirements
established in oil field concession contracts
Refining
Local content requirements set by
Petrobras according to the list of goods and
services demanded by investments project and local industry capacity to
provide them
Refining
Local content requirements set by
Petrobras according to the list of goods and
services demanded by investments project and local industry capacity to
provide them
Gas & Energy
Local content requirements set by
Petrobras according to the list of goods and
services demanded by investments project and local industry capacity to
provide them
Gas & Energy
Local content requirements set by
Petrobras according to the list of goods and
services demanded by investments project and local industry capacity to
provide them
Petrobras Local Content Policy determines that all business
areas must achieve minimum local content on its activities
Contract Requirement
with ANP
ProminpO&G Brazilian Industry Mobilization Program
www.prominp.com.br
“Maximize goods and services national industry content,
within competitive and sustainable bases, in the
implementation of oil and gas projects in Brazil and
abroad.”
PROMINP – “O&G Brazilian Industry Mobilization Program”
Objective
Technological Center of
Shipbuilding and Industrial
Assembly
aware of the
problems and
possible solutions
solutions
incorporation by companies
What exists?
Industry Challenges
Implementation
Instrument of
mapped solutions in
companies
What we
need?
Technological Center Objectives
1. Prospect, generate and provide
technological solutions in the state
of the art
2. Provide technological services to
companies in the implementation of
solutions available
3. Be the repository of knowledge
and experience accumulated
4. Qualificate professionals
specialized in technological
solutions available
ProminpO&G Brazilian Industry Mobilization Program
Technological Center of Shipbuilding and Industrial Assembly