planning for sustainable long term care - hospital authority · 2015. 6. 5. · physical function...
TRANSCRIPT
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Gateway Geriatric
Education Center
Saint Louis University
Division of Geriatric Medicine
Planning for Sustainable
Long Term Care
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1.Monaco
89.6
2.Macau
84.6
3.Japan
83.9
4.Singapore
83.7
8.Hong Kong
82.2
9.Australia
81.9
15.Spain
81.2 51.USA
78.5
96.China
74.8
220. South Africa
49.0
221.Chad
48
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The Hospital is a
Place
Creditor, Ann Int Med, 1993
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HOME
Nursing Home
Hospital
Group Home
Alzheimer’s Village
Subacute Care
(Geriatric Hospital)
DayCare
ED
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Models of Care around the World
• Social 14
• Nurse 14
• Physician 8
In 6 countries 2 models predominated
DEMENTIA VILLAGE
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FRAILTY DEFINITIONS
“Occurs when under stressful conditions the person has
diminished ability to carry out important practiced
social activities of daily living.It needs to be distinguished
from disability”
Renoir, 1915
Blonde a la rosa
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0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Age (years)
Co
gn
itiv
e R
eser
ve
VO
2 m
ax
Car
dia
c o
utp
ut
Bal
ance
Mu
scle
str
eng
th
Frailty
Threshold
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Frailty Cascade PSYCHOLOGICAL
Depression
Cognition
Anxiety
Fear of Falling
Fatigue
Health Perception
SOCIAL
Environment
Income
Support System
Health Literacy
Activity
BIOLOGICAL
Genetics
Muscle
Hormones
Cytokines
Disease
Deficits
FRAILTY
Functional Deficit
(IADLs/ADLs)
Hospitalisation
Nursing Home
Death
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Importance of cognitive assessment as part of the “Kihon Checklist” developed by the
Japanese Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare for prediction of frailty at a 2‐year follow
up
Geriatrics & Gerontology International
pages n/a-n/a, 22 NOV 2012 DOI: 10.1111/j.1447-0594.2012.00959.x
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1447-0594.2012.00959.x/full#ggi959-fig-0002
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Fatigue
Resistance (Climb 1 flight stairs)
Aerobic (Walk one block)
Illnesses
Loss of weight
FRAILTY (IANA)
FIVE VALIDATIONS Australia(2) Hong Kong St Louis Europe
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9-year OR of ADL deficit or Mortality
in persons not lacking ADLs ADLs
PreFra
il
Frail p
FRAIL 2.74 20.76 .001
SOF 3.09 3.48 .001
CHS 2.40 6.47 .001
Rockwood 2.36 5.65 .001
MORTALITY
PreFrail Frail p
1.58 3.99 .001
1.47 1.40 NS
1.35 2.42 .01
2.50 2.66 .001
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Specificity of Scales in
Hong Kong Study
MALE MALE FEMALE FEMALE
MORTALITY Physical Limit MORTALITY Physical Limit
Rockwood 96.4% 98.4% 93.8% 98%
CHS 99.2% 100% 99.4% 99.9%
FRAIL 99.1% 99.4% 99.9% 100%
Hubbard 98% 99.6% 96.1% 95.1%
All had poor Sensitivity
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SARC-F
• Strength: difficulty in lifting or carrying 10 lbs
• Assistance with walking
• Rise from a chair
• Climb stairs
• Falls
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St Louis SARC-F Longitudinal
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SARC-F in Baltimore Longitudinal Study
60+ years
Odds Ratio
P-value
Gait Speed <0.8 m/s
9.41(2.51-35.27)
0.001
Mortality
3.07(1.60-5.73)
0.001
SARC-F
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Physical function as independent predictors of SARC-F ≥ 4 in multiple binary
logistic regression analysis
n B S.E. P OR 95% C.I. for OR
4m walking speed 202 -4.913 .851 .000 .007 0.001-0.039
TUG* completed 76 -4.018 .781 .000 .018 0.004-0.083
TUG time 25 .071 .022 .001 1.074 1.029-1.121
SPPB#
76 -.572 .084 .000 .565 0.479-0.665
Grip strength 28 -.139 .025 .000 .870 0.828-0.915
SARC-F CHENGDU
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SARC-F: Hong Kong
Sarcopenia classified using the SARC-F, EWSOP,
IWGS and AWGS all increased the risk of physical
limitation, and poor performance measures at
follow-up in men and women.
The magnitude of the relative risk were similar for
all criteria involving measurements (ranging from
1.6 to 3.6)
Those for the SARC-F were much higher (ranging
from 5.6-18.6
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Families and physicians fail to recognize
dementia.
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Mini-Mental Status Examination Folstein et al. 1975
1. Educationally dependent
2. Both false positives and false negatives
3. Minimal testing of visuospatial system
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ROCs For SLUMS &MMSE for
MCI > HS Education
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
1-Specificity
Sen
siti
vity
Area Under Curve = 94.1%
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
1-Specificity
Sen
siti
vit
y
Area Under Curve = 64.3%
SLUMS MMSE
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Rapid Cognitive Screen and MCI (5 words, clock, story with country)
RCS vs MiniCog RCS
2.5 minutes to complete
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Jean Woo , Ruby Yu , Moses Wong , Fannie Yeung , Martin Wong , Christopher Lum
Frailty Screening in the Community Using the FRAIL Scale
Elderly Centers in the New Territories East Region of Hong Kong SAR China.
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Frailty Screening in the Community Using the FRAIL Scale
The prevalence of pre-frailty and frailty were 52.4% and 12.5%, respectively. The prevalence for frailty increasing with age from 5.1% for those aged 65–69 years to 16.8% for those ≥75, being greater in women compared with men (13.9% vs 4.2%). Of those who were pre-frail or frail (n = 529), 42.5% had sarcopenia and 60.7% had mild cognitive impairment. Among those who were frail (n = 102), 63.7% had both sarcopenia and mild cognitive impairment, and only 8.8% had neither.
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Fatigue
Resistance (Climb 1 flight
stairs)
Aerobic (Walk one block)
Illnesses
Loss of weight
FRAILTY
(IANA)
Fatigue Syndrome (CFS; myalgic
encephalitis)
Anemia
Treatment excess eg hypotension,
chemotherapy
Illnesses eg vitamin B12 deficiency,
heart failure, renal failure, cancer
Gulf War Syndrome (? toxin
exposure)
Unhappy (Depression)
Endocrine (Hypothyroid, Addison’s,
Diabetes mellitus)
Sleep Disorders (Sleep apnea, restless
legs, insomnia)
Resistance and balance
exercises
And protein
Aerobic Exercise
And protein
Reduce polypharmacy
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Medications
Emotional (depression)
Alcoholism,anorexia tardive, abuse (elder)
Late life paranoia
Swallowing problems
Oral problems
Nosocomial infections,no money (poverty)
Wandering/dementia
Hyperthyroidism,hypercalcemia,hypoadrenalism
Enteric problems (malabsorption)
Eating problems (eg. Tremor)
Low salt, low cholesterol diet
Shopping and meal preparation problems, Stones (cholecystitis)
Causes of Weight Loss
Morley JE, Silver AJ. Ann Intern Med 1995;123:850-859.
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? PsycoSocial Frailty ?
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Environment Modulates Longevity
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After the fall of the Berlin Wall
East Germans rapidly developed a
survival equivalent to West Germans
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Stressful Social Events increase
Mortality in oldest-old males
in Hong Kong
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Outcomes in Nonagerians after Earthquake
in Wenchuan, May 12 2008
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SOCIAL Sadness
Outside activity
Cognition
Income adequacy
Attachment to neighborhood
Lethargy
Univariate Analysis of Variance*
Mean+Standad Deviation P-Value
Variables Robust (0-
1)
Pre-Frail (2-
3)
Frail (4-6)
ADL disabilities 0.58+1.5 1.00+1.9 1.86+2.5 <.001b,d
IADL disabilities 0.77+1.6 1.26+2.0 2.64+2.7 <.001b,d
Short Physical Performance Battery 8.44+2.8 7.28+3.2 5.53+4.03 <.001a,d
Lower Body Functional Limitations 1.51+1.7 2.30+1.9 3.46+1.7 <.001a,d
One-Leg Stand 17.90+11.6 11.91+10.7 11.79+10.1 <.001a,d
Grip Strength 33.41+12.2 29.11+10.7 27.85+10.0 .015a,d
Binary Logistic Regression
Odds Ratio
95% CI
P-Value
Mortality
Robust
Pre-frail
Frail
Ref
2.30
2.46
1.57-3.37
1.14-5.30
<.001
.022
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SOCIAL overlap with FRAIL and CHS
Social
3.0%
FRAIL
9.2% 1.9%
SOCIAL 47/955 (4.9%)
FRAIL 106/955 (11.1%)
SOCIAL 36/872 (4.1%)
CHS 93/872 (10.7%)
Social
2.8%
CHS
9.3%
1.4%
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Effects of Exercise in the Frail
Theo et al, J Aging Res 2011
• Increase functional performance
• Increase walking speed
• Increase chair stand
• Increase stair climbing
• Increase balance
• Decrease depression
• Decrease fear of falling
Studies mostly 3 months
Need at least 45 to 60 mins
3x a week
80% of 1 repetition maximum
with 3 sets of 8
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Effects of High-Intensity Progressive Resistance Training and Targeted Multidisciplinary Treatment of Frailty on Mortality and Nursing Home Admissions after Hip Fracture: A Randomized Controlled Trial
Nalin A. Singh MBBSa, Susan Quine PhDb, Lindy M. Clemson PhDc, Elodie J. Williams BApplScd, Dominique A. Williamson BApplScd, Theodora M. Stavrinosd, Jodie N. Grady BApplScd, Tania J. Perry BApplScOTd, Bradley D. Lloyd
MScd, Emma U.R. Smith PhDd, Maria A. Fiatarone Singh MDe, ,
• Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment and 12 months resistance training twice weekly
• Mortality OR 0.19 (0.04 – 0.91)
• Nursing Home OR 0.16 (0.04 – 0.64)
• ADL’s p <0.02
• Assistive Device p<0.01
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Cochrane Review 2012 Woods, Aguirre, Orrell, Spector
15 trials, 407 treatment and 311
controls participants
Length of intervention varied: 1 to 24
months
MMSE difference at follow up = 1.74
points (Z = 5.57, p < 0.00001)
Holden Communication Scale SMD
= 0.47 (Z = 3.22, p = 0.001)
Wellbeing/QoL SMD = 0.38 (Z =
2.76, p = 0.006)
Depression (GDS) SMD = 0.34 (Z =
1.88, p = 0.06)
No benefits to ADL, behaviour, or
carers measures
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Numbers needed to treat for cognition = 6
CST trial: Other results
Cost-effectiveness (Knapp et al.,
2006)
CST is more cost-effective than usual activities
using both outcome measures:
• Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio: £75.32
per additional point on MMSE (111 euros),
£22.82 per point on QoL-AD (33.2 euros)
• Donepezil had considerably larger cost per
incremental outcome gain (AD2000, 2004)
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Cognitive Stimulation Therapy : NHC Nursing Home
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
SLUMS BIMS
Mental Status
PRE POST
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USA Nursing Home Trends
• Decreased movement to nursing homes (Assisted Living, Greenhouses, Home Care)
• MDS 3.0……PHQ-9 • Decreased Transitions • Hospice (end of Life) care • Increased person center
care • Increased dependence on
technology for care • Enhanced rehabilitation
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“The Cloud”—improving diagnosis and drug monitoring
• Sleep monitors
• Monitor for sleep apnea
• Monitor for hypo/hypertension
• Monitor for falls
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Exoskeleton : Paraplegia
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The Companionable project
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Is it time for geriatricians to teach about Robo
Sapiens ?
Harry
Health Assistant Robot
for Rich Years
Paro
Aibo
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Are Nursebots the Future ?
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Comprehensive
Geriatric Assessment
• GEMU 1.68 (1.17 - 2.41)
• Hospital 1.49 (1.12-1.98)
• Home assessment 1.20 (1.05 – 1.37)
Comprehensive geriatric assessment: a meta-analysis of controlled trials
Stuck et al, Lancet 342:1032, 1993
LIVING AT HOME
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Sustainable Long Term Care
• Focus on keeping seniors at home
• Screen regularly for FRAILTY (Physical, Cognitive, Social)
• Focus on preventing disability in this group (Exercise, CST, Geriatric Assessment)
• FUTURE: Introduction of ROBOTIC Care?
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