pope resources
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POPE RESOURCES. Poulsbo Investor Presentation January 2005. Safe Harbor. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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POPE RESOURCES
Poulsbo Investor PresentationJanuary 2005
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Safe Harbor This presentation contains forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and should not be relied upon as predictions of future events. Some of the forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking words such as believes, expects, may, will, should, seeks, approximately, intends, plans, estimates, projects, strategy or anticipates or the negative of those words or other comparable terminology. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. A number of important factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements. Some of these factors include, but are not limited to: changes in forestry, land use, environmental, and other governmental regulations; risk of losses from fires, floods, windstorms, and other natural disasters; risk of loss from insect infestations or tree diseases; changes in economic conditions and competition in our domestic and export markets; an unanticipated reduction in the demand for timber products and/or an unanticipated increase in the supply of timber products; and other factors described from time to time in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
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Pope Resources OverviewLast remaining timber MLPEstablished in 1985 as a spin-off from Pope & Talbot4.5 million units outstanding, with limited public float22% controlled by GPs and broader family ownership32% controlled by Private Capital ManagementLimited institutional ownershipOver one-third held by retail investorsThinly traded Market capitalization of $117 millionEnterprise value of approximately $150 millionYTD 2004 (thru Q3) revenues of $32 millionYTD 2004 (thru Q3) net income of $9.4 million or $2.04/unitYTD 2004 (thru Q3) EBITDDA of $15.8 millionUnit distribution of $0.15/quarter
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OwnershipGeneral PartnersTwo corporate GPs own collectively about 1.5% of Pope ResourcesEach of GPs owned 50/50 by Peter Pope and his cousin, Emily Andrews$150,000/year management fee, unchanged since spin-offSliding-scale profit-sharing interest in third-party service subsidiary
Limited PartnersPrivate Capital Management at 32% (initial stake in 1993)Family position at 22% (including GP interest)Limited other institutional ownershipOver one-third held by retail investors
Pie
28883
11450
1429240
165478
129500
105110
1652512
1016423
Rutabaga Cap. Mgt.2.9%
Summary
% "Votable" using different % of trading overlap in past 5 years
Current OwnershipPercentage OwnershipUnits not held for 5 yearsOther adjustments to ownershipUnits held for over 5 years% "Votable" Ownership20%30%40%50%60%70%
Units Outstanding4,518,095100.0%(1,200,000)0.0E3,118,695100.0%000000
000000
Andrews679,554#15.0%0.0679,55421.8%0.2178969088032013421.8%20.8%19.9%19.0%18.3%17.6%
000000
Pope276,869#6.1%0.0276,8698.9%0.088777196872409778.9%8.5%8.1%7.8%7.4%7.2%
000000
GP ownership (EGP, MGP)60,000*1.3%0.060,0001.9%0.0192388162356370231.9%1.8%1.8%1.7%1.6%1.6%
000000
Outside Directors11,450##0.3%(8,200)3,2500.1%0.00104210254609700530.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
000000
Management28,883##0.6%(28,383)5000.0%1.603234686303085E-40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
000000
Insider Subtotal1,056,75623.4%(36,583)1,020,17332.7%0.3271153479259754632.7%31.2%29.8%28.6%27.4%26.4%
000000
PCM ownership1,429,240**31.6%(392,247)0.01,036,99333.3%0.3325086294106990333.3%31.7%30.3%29.1%27.9%26.8%
000000
Mike Seaman211,950#4.7%(49,550)162,4005.2%0.05207306261112425.2%5.0%4.8%4.6%4.4%4.2%
000000
U.S. Trust165,478**3.7%(165,478)0.00.00.0%00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
000000
Rutabega129,5002.9%0.288302960052201328.8%32.1%35.1%37.8%40.3%42.6%
Royce33,0000.7%Combined GP Voting32.6%31.1%29.7%28.5%27.3%26.3%
Hollencrest21,5000.5%
White Mountains15,4000.3%Conclusion: If the trading in past 5 years has involved a high degree of churning (high overlap), then
this implies there are more votable units held outside both institutional & insider holders and thus GP's ability
Other Institutional ownership35,2100.8%(35,210)0.00.00.0%to successfully block a vote is diminished.
Conversely, a very low amount of churning improves the GP's ability to block a vote
All other unitholders1,420,06131.4%(520,932)899,12928.8%
The more the balance of the units are churned/traded, the greater chance the GP's have of blocking a vote
*2002 10-K as of 12/31/02Total trading volume in past 5 years1,500,000PCM may be doing a strategy of: if they're not a market maker, then less trading and if less
#2002 K-1trading then less churning and more votable units outside of insiders and greater chance of hitting 2/3 vote
**SEC 13-f ownership 7/31/03% overlap of past 5 years of trading20%
##SEC Form 4
Non-qualified units given assumed %
overlap of trading during past 5 years
% overlapNon-qualified unitsNon-qualified units
50%750,000
33%1,005,000
25%1,125,000
Management28,8830.6%
Outside Directors11,4500.3%
Private Cap. Mgt.1,429,24031.5%
U.S. Trust165,4783.6%
Rutabega Cap. Mgt.129,5002.9%
Other Inst.105,1102.3%
All Other1,652,51236.4%
GP Ownership1,016,42322.4%
4,538,596
&C&"Times New Roman,Bold"&16Pope Resources Ownership - Qualified Units - 6/30/03
&L&"Times New Roman,Regular"&D
Dave Nunes:Marco & Doug
Dave Nunes:Marco & Doug
Dave Nunes:Dave & Tom & Kevin
Dave Nunes:Tom only
Tom Ringo:hardcoded to mimic DLN's 070203 file
Insider detail
Andrews position:
sourcea =2002 K-1
Emily496,010ab =Dir/Ofcr s/s
Dolph1,090a
Gordon102,260a
Edith55,507a
Joe9,600b
Charles4,729a
Joseph III5,629a
Taylor4,729a
679,554
Pope position:
Peter200,015a
Josephine910a
Maria IRA220a
Maria Pope8,820a
Peter Beatty and Maria1,125a
Molly Pope8,820a
Adrianna Moffat Pope10,050a
Patricia Pope1,684a
Trust for Peter Jr 161-16218,820a
Trust for Peter Jr 161-16406,740a
Trust for Maria 161-16416,740a
Trust for Emily8,820a
Trust Emily (?) 161-16426,740a
Trust for Molly 161-16436,740a
Geo Pope Trust for Frederica125a
Geo Pope Trust for Guy Pope500a
276,869
Dir-officer
Pope Resources
Summary of Units Owned Positions by Directors, Officers and Senior Managers
Last Updated:1-Aug-03
CurrentOptionsTotal Owned
Units OwnedUnits Acq'dUnits Acq'dOwnedNumberNumberPlus
@ 12/31/02in 2003in 2004PositionVestedNon-VestedTotalVested Options
Peter Pope200,015200,01519,8469,45029,296219,861
Joe Tobin9,6009,60016,6019,45026,05126,201
Doug Norberg6,1503,85010,00036,8399,45046,28946,839
Marco Vitulli1,4501,45015,9899,45025,43917,439
Thurston Roach0.00.00.06,0006,0000.0
Dave Nunes13,0008,00321,00324,75042,00066,75045,753
Tom Ringo2,7807001,5004,98020,12522,75042,87525,105
John Shea2,4002,4003,40010,60014,0005,800
Jon Rose0.05,52511,47517,0005,525
Tom Kametz0.03,40010,60014,0003,400
Chris Daubenmire0.00.08,0008,0000.0
Kevin Bates2003005001,5004,5006,0002,000
233,19512,8533,900249,948147,975153,725301,700397,923
Mgt28,8830.6%635,426
Dir211,4654.7%4,652,230
5.3%5,287,656
GP's1,016,42322.5%22,361,306
Tom Ringo:200 on 2/14 @$10.00100 on 2/14 @$9.86100 on 2/14 @$9.87400 on 2/18 @$10.751000 on 2/18 @$10.67100 on 2/19 @$10.751950 on 4/24 @$9.75
Tom Ringo:103 on 2/13 @ $9.55900 on 2/13 @$9.85100 on 2/18 @$10.55500 on 2/20 @$11.002000 on 2/28 @$12.00400 on 2/28 @$12.25500 on 4/24 @$9.503500 on 5/5 @ $10.00
Tom Ringo:500 on 2/26 @$11.50100 on 5/6 @ $9.75100 on 5/9 @$9.50
Tom Ringo:300 on 4/24 @$9.50
Dave Nunes:exercise of options 3/15/04
Seaman
Detail per K-1's for 2002:Not owned
for 5 yrs
Michael Seaman12,80012,800
Geo Seaman Trust145,250
Phyllis Seaman34,60022,950
Sloane Seaman8,4002,900
Jordan Seaman UGMA5,0005,000
Kimberly Seaman5,9005,900
211,95049,550
PWC detail
Acquired since 1/1/95 and still held:
Negative Net Holdings
PCM(implies sales of pre 95 holdings)PopeAndrewsCannell
112/18/96175Henke168Samuel142312/27/95Taylor Andrews Tobin9657/1/99-300
24/1/975,500Popkin500Guy Ward19351/16/96Taylor Andrews Tobin8907/1/99-400
310/31/9722,000Eberhardt2,172Maria115Joseph Tobin60312/26/964500
41/1/965,000Stewart930Molly882012/27/95Joseph Tobin III96512/26/993500
53/29/961,000Glover312,293.001/16/96Joseph Tobin III890
66/7/9612,500Robertson801/26/99Edith Tobin-3000
711/22/961,500Suntzu bacchus5002/11/99Edith Tobin-10802
812/11/962,500Driscoll2,500-9489
93/26/9713,000Graf100
103/31/971,500McMahon105
114/15/9775Merck Will590same as 10/1/99 PCM
126/13/97200Berilla385
138/4/972,000Young500
149/16/97500Cynthia Cannell300Peter B. Cannell
1510/15/974,000William Cannell400Peter B. Cannell
1611/4/9715Cooperman400
171/23/982,000Budge100P&T BOD
187/23/9877Feroe1,000
1912/16/963,500Zamora16
2012/23/966,000Gladys215
213/15/991,000Holtcamp440
224/14/992,000Anderson4,000
2310/1/993,000Barto2,830
243/29/955,000Swan530
256/15/95270Mowery50
266/19/9510,000Odegard12
276/23/95250Willie3,750
2810/1/99(590)Judah2,096
293/22/961,500Follett1,000
305/13/961,000Lilly3,000
315/2/961,000Whitehead500
328/15/961,500James Miller50,000Jimmy Miller - bought 8,500 on 3/7/99, sold 58,500 on 10/27/99
333/27/96500Machala1,000
346/28/961,000Yturri1,090
351/10/961,500Fluhrer1,090
361/10/962,000Kelly1,685
378/14/961,500Miller1,000
384/14/975,000Benton315
393/28/96250Hart50
403/27/961,000Leventhal8,775
4110/24/962,500Jacob65
424/6/981,115Sutton340
438/8/971,000Sandoz95
449/30/971,000Bandoni20
459/30/971,000Gastroent1,500PCM 1/19/99
4612/9/971,000Horner530
472/27/975,000Margolies50
484/14/99(5,000)Escott310
493/6/98400St. Mark's Cathedral15
504/30/98700Arnold260
513/31/981,000Merck2,109PCM 10/1/99
526/9/99(1,000)Merck2,787PCM 10/1/99
537/31/9816,000Merck3,509PCM 10/1/99
544/8/991,600Merck1,764PCM 10/1/99
5510/1/993,000Merck180PCM 10/1/99
561/19/99(1,500)Merck4,589PCM 10/1/99
571/8/981,200Gayner500
5810/29/981,500State of CA220
5910/26/98500Eberhardt2,173
6010/26/98500Dahlgrin48
6110/26/98500FI AZ215
6210/26/981,000Wells320
639/2/981,600Lasher200
6410/1/99(2,109)State of Delaware5
6511/13/98500Edith Tobin13,802Andrews
6610/1/99(2,787)Droll200
6710/1/99(3,509)Blew76
6810/1/99(1,764)Demetris750
6910/1/99(180)Librach1,500
7010/1/99(4,589)Beers1,500
7112/28/981,792Green1,000
721/5/99500Blix770
7312/31/98500Birk200
743/23/993,500Omnibus600
754/14/993,000Hiatt1,000
765/13/994,200Cooper500
775/21/995Bartram110
787/15/99649Fleming110
7910/1/991,900Zamora16
8010/27/991,334Ringo2,875MEC Options
813/15/95280Sandoz95
823/16/952,720Blanda5
833/8/9515Shirk500
849/26/973,000Plumbers & Pipefitters10,000
851/5/982,000World asset Mgt.100
861/12/981,000Ford Master700
871/20/984,000Hillman1,000
881/23/987,500Bershad500
892/9/981,600Tingue500
902/17/981,000vanderbergh1,000
914/30/981,000Halpern265
9210/6/982,000Eplee50
9310/21/98500Egelhoff500
9410/28/98500Sylvia Sherman1,000PCM
9511/2/981,519Lippmann400
9611/4/98500Suozzo1,500
9712/24/964,750Blair1,200
988/8/97400Jenkins565
991/30/98500Saribeyoglu200
1009/3/99500Webb208
10110/1/991,600Choban5
1021/27/957,500Hillman1,000
1031/31/9530,000Cox1,200
1044/13/953,500Hensel1,000
1056/19/955,000Sivyer44
1066/29/954,000na250
1077/31/952,500Bissett400
1085/11/99200CEDE & CO???
1098/30/955,000Dalzell600
1101/20/984,500Daubenspeck500
1111/23/987,500Denver & Co45
1122/9/981,600State of CA25
1132/12/98750First Manhattan107,500
1144/30/981,000Goldman Sachs4,160
1155/21/982,965Freed Taylor192
1167/28/983,285Hutsell200
1179/1/981,500Lowe105
1185/10/96535Lera500
11912/28/983,400Moore8,820
1202/25/99(3,400)Nelson300
12112/16/962,000Riddle82
12211/22/9515,000Rodakowski588
1231/18/951,250Klaische1,020
1241/27/951,750289,814total of negative holdings
1251/31/952,5002,372,967Total Units outstanding 12/31/99 that were acquired since 1/1/95
1268/21/963,0002,662,781
12712/3/982,000
1281/18/951,2504,528,019
1291/27/951,7502,155,0521,865,238implied units outstanding 12/31/99 that were acquired prior to 1/1/95
1301/31/955,000
1318/21/963,00018,028PCM negative positions
13212/3/982,1003,090PCM negative positions
1331/31/952,50014,938
1348/8/951,971
13510/5/9590
13610/9/951,000
13710/11/95500
13810/16/951,215
13910/18/95330
14010/26/951,500
14110/30/9565
14211/21/954,430
1435/20/9612,500
1446/25/962,360
1459/3/98500
1469/10/98676
1479/15/98241
1489/17/982,000
1499/18/982,300
1509/21/98100
15110/9/981,888
15210/26/98600
15311/5/984,500
15412/15/986,800
15512/22/98100
15612/23/983,500
15712/31/988,000
1581/19/992,500
1591/28/992,060
1603/12/992,600
1613/31/993,710
1624/23/992,000
1635/3/99987
1645/20/99400
16510/8/9910,000
16610/11/99403
16710/14/991,500
16810/20/991,000
16911/19/993,000
1707/20/951,625
1716/3/9625
17212/3/981,495
1731/31/955,000
1741/31/957,500
1755/15/951,500
1761/24/952,500
1776/15/952,500
1788/12/982,000
1797/5/953,500
1809/26/95500
1817/13/951,500
18212/31/961,000
438,569
PCM sort by date
1231/18/951,250
1281/18/951,250
1761/24/952,500
1021/27/957,500
1241/27/951,750
1291/27/951,750
1031/31/9530,000
1251/31/952,500
1301/31/955,000
1331/31/952,500
1731/31/955,000
1741/31/957,500
833/8/9515
813/15/95280
823/16/952,720
243/29/955,000
1044/13/953,500
1755/15/951,500
256/15/95270
1776/15/952,500
266/19/9510,000
1056/19/955,000
276/23/95250
1066/29/954,000
1797/5/953,500
1817/13/951,500
1707/20/951,625
1077/31/952,500
1348/8/951,971
1098/30/955,000
1809/26/95500
13510/5/9590
13610/9/951,000
13710/11/95500
13810/16/951,215
13910/18/95330
14010/26/951,500
14110/30/9565
14211/21/954,430
12211/22/9515,000
41/1/965,000
351/10/961,500
361/10/962,000
293/22/961,500
333/27/96500
403/27/961,000
393/28/96250
53/29/961,000
315/2/961,000
1185/10/96535
305/13/961,000
1435/20/9612,500
1716/3/9625
66/7/9612,500
1446/25/962,360
346/28/961,000
378/14/961,500
328/15/961,500
1268/21/963,000
1318/21/963,000
4110/24/962,500
711/22/961,500
812/11/962,500
1912/16/963,500
12112/16/962,000
112/18/96175
2012/23/966,000
9712/24/964,750
18212/31/961,000
472/27/975,000
93/26/9713,000
103/31/971,500
24/1/975,500
384/14/975,000
114/15/9775
126/13/97200
138/4/972,000
438/8/971,000
988/8/97400
149/16/97500
849/26/973,000
449/30/971,000
459/30/971,000
1510/15/974,000
310/31/9722,000
1611/4/9715
4612/9/971,000
851/5/982,000
571/8/981,200
861/12/981,000
871/20/984,000
1101/20/984,500
171/23/982,000
881/23/987,500
1111/23/987,500
991/30/98500
892/9/981,600
1122/9/981,600
1132/12/98750
902/17/981,000
493/6/98400
513/31/981,000
424/6/981,115
504/30/98700
914/30/981,000
1144/30/981,000
1155/21/982,965
187/23/9877
1167/28/983,285
537/31/9816,000
1788/12/982,000
1179/1/981,500
639/2/981,600
1459/3/98500
1469/10/98676
1479/15/98241
1489/17/982,000
1499/18/982,300
1509/21/98100
9210/6/982,000
15110/9/981,888
9310/21/98500
5910/26/98500
6010/26/98500
6110/26/98500
6210/26/981,000
15210/26/98600
9410/28/98500
5810/29/981,500
9511/2/981,519
9611/4/98500
15311/5/984,500
6511/13/98500
12712/3/982,000
13212/3/982,100
17212/3/981,495
15412/15/986,800
15512/22/98100
15612/23/983,500
7112/28/981,792
11912/28/983,400
7312/31/98500
15712/31/988,000
721/5/99500
561/19/99(1,500)
1581/19/992,500
1591/28/992,060
1202/25/99(3,400)
1603/12/992,600
213/15/991,000
743/23/993,500
1613/31/993,710
544/8/991,600
224/14/992,000
484/14/99(5,000)
754/14/993,000
1624/23/992,000
1635/3/99987
1085/11/99200
765/13/994,200
1645/20/99400
775/21/995
526/9/99(1,000)
787/15/99649
1009/3/99500
2310/1/993,000
2810/1/99(590)
5510/1/993,000
6410/1/99(2,109)
6610/1/99(2,787)
6710/1/99(3,509)
6810/1/99(1,764)
6910/1/99(180)
7010/1/99(4,589)
7910/1/991,900
10110/1/991,600
16510/8/9910,000
16610/11/99403
16710/14/991,500
16810/20/991,000
8010/27/991,334
16911/19/993,00011,209net new units since 9/30/99 filing
26,737purchases
15,528sales
11,209
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Pope Resources Business SegmentsFee Timber116,000 acres of timberland in western Washington Producing 61 MMBF of annual log harvest volume in 20042004 log production includes 14 MMBF attributable to recent acquisitionsFuture growth will be primarily through co-investment with ORM Timber Funds
Timberland Management & Consulting Olympic Resource Management (ORM) subsidiary provides third-party timberland management services to other owners of timber, leveraging off our timberland management expertise and providing additional economies of scaleNew contract to manage 522,000 acres for Cascade Timberlands LLCLaunch of $50 million private equity fund, ORM Timber Fund IDuring past six years, ORM managed 1 million acres of industrial timberland in the Western U.S. for Hancock Timber Resource Group and Pioneer Resources
Real Estate2,400 acres of higher and better use properties near population centersSeeking development entitlements to add value to landPrimary role is as a master developer, selling lands to other developers following entitlement processOwnership and management of historic mill town of Port Gamble
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Pope Resources Growth StrategyFree cash flow, after debt service and distributions, of $3 to $5 million per year, depending on log prices Used for co-investment in ORM Timber FundsOpportunistically pursue fee (owned) timberland acquisitionsWhere appropriate, invest in real estate projectsPotential to increase unit distribution with excess cashGrowth CapitalNo current expectation for secondary offering of unitsCurrency too cheap to issue new units (currently at $25/unit, down from high of $35/unit in 1999)Debt capacityBetween $50 and $80 million of incremental debt capacity, depending upon the value of Units and cash flowsDebt to total capitalization covenant of 50% (currently 24% - market equity)Near-term growth fueled primarily by organic cash flow generationMaintain modest unit distribution Current distribution is $0.60/unit per year, or a yield of 2.4%
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Fee Timber StrategyAcquisition of Columbia tree farm in 2001 from Plum Creek filled age-class gap and leveled off age classes older than 30 yearsRecent acquisitions will push 2005 harvest to 79 MMBF Addition of 12 MMBF in each of years 2004 and 2005 as result of January 2004 acquisitionAddition of 21 MMBF in 2005 as result of November 2004 acquisitionBeginning in 2006, base non-declining harvest level of 53 MMBF for subsequent decade, before gradual increasing over ensuing decades (reaching 65 MMBF eventually)Look to add to fee (owned) timberland baseAcquisitions involving debt likely to be dilutive to earnings initially Opportunistic/contrarian approach to timber acquisitionsMuch of fee timber growth will come through co-investment in new ORM Timber FundsWill allow Pope Resources to participate in acquisition economies associated with larger transactions
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Productive Acres & Inventory by Age Class (1/1/05)
AgeClass
1213.1243552044753.2189491955
5904.18363519942381.486441422
11265.68233948333190.2866824462
1710.20054217432466.274795058
7388.30411806248526.2323421008
10737.28468432625373.5818416227
5419.96280168025437.0119674014
2300.68698000912670.3480737567
1657.58730772673539.2721467344
1154.38177752372973.7743575087
767.77243000081396.3280985765
1328.8391828105257.0946430961
3632.625741807817.5839345753
3884.3265387609523.3189723836
4147.9546614132494.8292205632
Hood Canal 62,513 acres
Columbia 40,001 acres
Total Productive Acres 102,514 acres
1 acres
Hood Canal
Columbia
Total Fee Productive Acres 1/1/05
MBF
20734.852682673443070.5734930554
16949.461968707747027.0512042069
9460.570206664625884.762718094
25773.78503839427304.0080995426
82036.1222152416294.7001682608
91250.557303390612844.2436381745
109349.00215857215442.9518901242
Hood Canal Tree Farm 369,777 MBF
Columbia Tree Farm 157,943 MBF
Total Merchantable Inventory 527,720 MBF
Hood Canal
Columbia
Age Class
MBF
Total Merchantable Inventory (35+ year old) 1/1/05
acres inv overlay
1966.3433043999Clearcut
8285.67007662140 - 4
14455.96902192955 - 9
4176.475337232310 - 14
15914.536460163115 - 19
16110.866525948820 - 24
10856.974769081525 - 29
4971.035053765830 - 34
5196.859454461266.3576432228
4128.156135032366.5355736998
2164.100528577336.7591462417
1585.933825906634.4009048635
3650.209676383285.6240552788
4407.6455111444108.2585929792
4642.7838819763129.7836322106
Total Productive Acres102,514 Acres
Total Merchantable Inventory528 MMBF
Acres
Inventory
Productive Acres by Age Class
MMBF Inventory by Age Class
Data
Hood CanalHood Canal Grown
AgeClassNetAcInop AcRd AcRMZ AcWa AcDFMBFWHMBFRCMBFOCMBFRAMBFOHMBFTotalMBFS12+S8+CNSPulpAgeClassNetAcInop AcRd AcRMZ AcWa AcDFMBFWHMBFRCMBFOCMBFRAMBFOHMBFTotalMBFS12+S8+CNSPulp
Clearcut1,2130.042230Clearcut1,2130.042230
0 - 45,9040.02196610 - 45,9040.0219661
5 - 911,2660.04249975 - 911,2660.0424997
10 - 141,7100.073120.010 - 141,7100.073120.0
15 - 197,3880.029370115 - 197,3880.0293701
20 - 2410,7370.043191620 - 2410,7370.0431916
25 - 295,4200.022243025 - 295,4200.0222430
30 - 342,3010.0101160.030 - 342,3010.0101160.0
35 - 391,6580.07316412,8352,1702,1782442,79351520,7354,0596,3017,3802,99535 - 391,6580.07316413,3492,2572,2652542,90453621,5644,2216,5537,6763,115
40 - 441,1540.04212111,0541,3091,6006711,99631916,9493,5945,2095,6922,45540 - 441,1540.04212111,4971,3621,6646982,07633117,6273,7385,4185,9192,553
45 - 497680.022250.05,4241,1496702647561,1999,4613,5342,6331,9171,37645 - 497680.022250.05,6411,1956972747861,2469,8393,6762,7391,9941,431
50 - 541,3290.04036219,8532,3851,3195131,33137425,77410,1108,7024,4272,53550 - 541,3290.04036220,6472,4801,3725331,38438926,80510,5159,0504,6042,637
55 - 593,6330.011489165,3826,3082,7031,2825,81354882,03632,10129,57313,1227,04355 - 593,6330.011489167,9976,5602,8111,3336,04657085,31833,38530,75613,6477,324
60 - 643,8840.011191469,5846,8483,8701,2998,69195891,25137,03232,16714,5257,52760 - 643,8840.011191472,3677,1224,0251,3519,03899794,90138,51333,45415,1067,828
65+4,1480.097951072,69314,9268,9531,0809,5292,169109,34948,52034,79315,0868,62465+4,1480.097951075,60115,5239,3111,1239,9102,255113,72350,46136,18515,6908,969
62,513355,55462,513369,777
ColumbiaColumbia Grown
AgeClassNetAcInop AcRd AcRMZ AcWa AcDFMBFWHMBFRCMBFOCMBFRAMBFOHMBFTotalMBFS12+S8+CNSPulpAgeClassNetAcInop AcRd AcRMZ AcWa AcDFMBFWHMBFRCMBFOCMBFRAMBFOHMBFTotalMBFS12+S8+CNSPulp
Clearcut75343680.0Clearcut75343680.0
0 - 42,38119114290.00 - 42,38119114290.0
5 - 93,19025149310.05 - 93,19025149310.0
10 - 142,46673128500.010 - 142,46673128500.0
15 - 198,526419421209115 - 198,5264194212091
20 - 245,37431625288220 - 245,374316252882
25 - 295,437121257760.025 - 295,437121257760.0
30 - 342,6701191271020.030 - 342,6701191271020.0
35 - 393,53913155500.029,8438,5416026293,00844743,0715,18318,06312,5026,98935 - 393,53913155500.031,0378,8836276543,12846544,7935,39018,78613,0027,269
40 - 442,97413128891233,5147,7269238543,22278847,0277,32020,16011,9137,56840 - 442,97413128891234,8558,0359608883,35182048,9087,61320,96712,3897,871
45 - 491,3964469213,1916,1006998903,9101,09425,8855,75210,4796,1563,49845 - 491,3964469213,7196,3447279254,0661,13826,9205,98210,8986,4023,638
50 - 5425721210.04,8111,621462554041677,3043,1792,49295068350 - 5425721210.05,0031,686482654201747,5963,3062,592988711
55 - 59180.000.00.02252112291629511090524355 - 59180.000.00.023422123017306114935445
60 - 6452317920.04,8793,7509235172,17460112,8445,1504,5082,1041,08260 - 6452317920.05,0743,9009605382,26162513,3585,3564,6882,1891,126
65+4950.06130.010,3892,2624203841,66532315,4438,4853,8132,14899765+4950.06130.010,8052,3534374001,73233616,0618,8253,9652,2341,037
40,001151,86840,001157,943
Pope TotalPope Total Grown
AgeClassNetAcInop AcRd AcRMZ AcWa AcDFMBFWHMBFRCMBFOCMBFRAMBFOHMBFTotalMBFS12+S8+CNSPulpAgeClassNetAcInop AcRd AcRMZ AcWa AcDFMBFWHMBFRCMBFOCMBFRAMBFOHMBFTotalMBFS12+S8+CNSPulp
Clearcut1,9664783100.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0Clearcut1,9664783100.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
0 - 48,286193339510.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00 - 48,286193339510.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
5 - 914,4562557413070.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.05 - 914,4562557413070.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
10 - 144,17673201620.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.010 - 144,17673201620.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
15 - 1915,91541971427920.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.015 - 1915,91541971427920.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20 - 2416,11131668317990.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.020 - 2416,11131668317990.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
25 - 2910,85712147911900.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.025 - 2910,85712147911900.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
30 - 344,9711192281180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.030 - 344,9711192281180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
35 - 395,1971322866442,67810,7112,7808735,801962649,24224,36419,8839,98435 - 395,1971322866444,38611,1392,8919086,0331,001669,61125,33820,67810,383
40 - 444,128131701011344,5699,0352,5231,5255,2181,1076410,91425,36917,60510,02340 - 444,128131701011346,3519,3972,6241,5865,4271,1516711,35026,38418,30910,424
45 - 492,16446834218,6157,2491,3691,1544,6662,293359,28713,1128,0734,87445 - 492,16446834219,3607,5391,4241,2004,8522,384379,65813,6378,3965,069
50 - 541,58625237224,6644,0061,3667681,7345413313,28911,1945,3773,21950 - 541,58625237225,6504,1661,4207981,8045623413,82011,6425,5923,347
55 - 593,6500.011489165,6076,3292,7041,2845,8425658232,21129,66313,1747,08655 - 593,6500.011489168,2326,5822,8121,3356,0765878633,49930,85013,7017,370
60 - 644,4081711993474,46310,5984,7931,81610,8651,55910442,18136,67516,6298,60960 - 644,4081711993477,44111,0224,9851,88911,3001,62210843,86938,14217,2958,953
65+4,6430.01031081083,08317,1889,3721,46411,1942,49112557,00638,60617,2349,62165+4,6430.01031081086,40617,8769,7471,52211,6422,59113059,28640,15017,92410,006
102,514507102,514528
-
Log Markets and Harvest Mix
Chart2
474302136
531383136
590426159
606401155
774501205
1049706227
1031701199
1059700277
1003670127
895680131
749555169
767603157
837577149
733541111
65555094
616550103
Source: RISI, Log Lines
Douglas-fir Export Sawlogs
Douglas-fir Domestic Sawlogs
Douglas-fir Pulpwood
$/MBF
Harvest Mix
Hood Canal Tree FarmTotal Pope Resources
2003 Budget2003 Budget
SalesMBF$/MBF% TotalSalesMBF$/MBF% Total
DF-Ex$4,642,2757,912$587638.9%DF-Ex$6,057,12110,327$58723.3%
DF-D$7,502,18414,767$5081192.6%DF-D$9,740,98919,024$51242.8%
DF-P$195,0021,300$150105.0%DF-P$235,0831,524$1543.4%
WW-EX$10,56431$3402.5%WW-EX$150,832429$3511.0%
WW-D$557,6021,676$333135.4%WW-D$1,805,2785,419$33312.2%
WW-P$262,3561,543$170124.6%WW-P$305,0381,794$1704.0%
HW-D$636,7341,592$400128.6%HW-D$754,6381,810$4174.1%
HW-P$432,0422,214$195178.8%HW-P$530,4822,706$1966.1%
RC-D$1,386,1581,235$1,12299.7%RC-D$1,513,1581,362$1,1113.1%
RC-P$1,2386$2060.5%RC-P$1,2386$2060.0%
Total:$15,626,15532,277$484100.0%Total:$21,093,85844,402$475100.0%
Variance Species GroupingsVariance Species Groupings
DF$12,339,46123,979$5151936.5%DF$16,033,19430,875$51969.5%
WW$830,5233,251$255262.5%WW$2,261,1497,643$29617.2%
HW$1,068,7753,806$281307.4%HW$1,285,1204,516$28510.2%
RC$1,387,3961,241$1,118100.2%RC$1,514,3961,368$1,1073.1%
Columbia Tree Farm
2003 Budget
SalesMBF$/MBF% Total
Data for Pie Chart
DF-Ex$1,414,8462,416$586195.1%Export Sawlogs10,757
DF-D$2,238,8054,257$526343.8%Domestic Sawlogs27,615
DF-P$40,081224$17918.1%Pulpwood6,030
WW-EX$140,268398$35232.2%44,402check
WW-D$1,247,6763,743$333302.2%
WW-P$42,682251$17020.3%
HW-D$117,904218$54117.6%
HW-P$98,440492$20039.7%
RC-D$127,000127$1,00010.3%
RC-P0.00.00.00.0%
Total:$5,467,70312,125$451100.0%
Variance Species Groupings
DF$3,693,7336,896$536556.9%
WW$1,430,6264,392$326354.7%
HW$216,344710$30557.3%
RC$127,000127$1,00010.3%
Prices
89-present Log Lines, Puget Sound, DF, 2S, High: History RISI IFA
Log Lines/RISI IFA, DF, 2S HighPNW Export Douglas-firLog Lines, DF, Pulp
88302474136
89383531136
90426590159
91401606155
92501774205
937061049227
947011031199
957001059277
966701003127
97680895131
98555749169
99603767157
00577837149
01541733111
0255065594
03550616103
2003LL, DF,#2, puget, high
jan550
feb550
mar550
apr550
may550
Charts
Charts
10756.57708
27614.65912
6030.39375
2003 Total Harvest44.4 Million Board Feet (MMBF)
Estimated2003 Harvest Mix
474302136
531383136
590426159
606401155
774501205
1049706227
1031701199
1059700277
1003670127
895680131
749555169
767603157
837577149
733541111
65555094
616550103
Source: RISI, Log Lines
Douglas-fir Export Sawlogs
Douglas-fir Domestic Sawlogs
Douglas-fir Pulpwood
$/MBF
Chart1
14
72
14
2003 Total Harvest45 Million Board Feet (MMBF)
2003 Harvest Mix
Harvest Mix
Hood Canal Tree FarmTotal Pope Resources
2003 Budget2003 Budget
SalesMBF$/MBF% TotalSalesMBF$/MBF% Total
DF-Ex$4,642,2757,912$587638.9%DF-Ex$6,057,12110,327$58723.3%
DF-D$7,502,18414,767$5081192.6%DF-D$9,740,98919,024$51242.8%
DF-P$195,0021,300$150105.0%DF-P$235,0831,524$1543.4%
WW-EX$10,56431$3402.5%WW-EX$150,832429$3511.0%
WW-D$557,6021,676$333135.4%WW-D$1,805,2785,419$33312.2%
WW-P$262,3561,543$170124.6%WW-P$305,0381,794$1704.0%
HW-D$636,7341,592$400128.6%HW-D$754,6381,810$4174.1%
HW-P$432,0422,214$195178.8%HW-P$530,4822,706$1966.1%
RC-D$1,386,1581,235$1,12299.7%RC-D$1,513,1581,362$1,1113.1%
RC-P$1,2386$2060.5%RC-P$1,2386$2060.0%
Total:$15,626,15532,277$484100.0%Total:$21,093,85844,402$475100.0%
Variance Species GroupingsVariance Species Groupings
DF$12,339,46123,979$5151936.5%DF$16,033,19430,875$51969.5%
WW$830,5233,251$255262.5%WW$2,261,1497,643$29617.2%
HW$1,068,7753,806$281307.4%HW$1,285,1204,516$28510.2%
RC$1,387,3961,241$1,118100.2%RC$1,514,3961,368$1,1073.1%
Columbia Tree Farm
2003 Budget
SalesMBF$/MBF% Total
Data for Pie Chart
DF-Ex$1,414,8462,416$586195.1%Export Sawlogs10,757
DF-D$2,238,8054,257$526343.8%Domestic Sawlogs27,615
DF-P$40,081224$17918.1%Pulpwood6,030
WW-EX$140,268398$35232.2%44,402check
WW-D$1,247,6763,743$333302.2%
WW-P$42,682251$17020.3%
HW-D$117,904218$54117.6%
HW-P$98,440492$20039.7%24%14
RC-D$127,000127$1,00010.3%62%72
RC-P0.00.00.00.0%14%14
Total:$5,467,70312,125$451100.0%100
Variance Species Groupings
DF$3,693,7336,896$536556.9%
WW$1,430,6264,392$326354.7%
HW$216,344710$30557.3%
RC$127,000127$1,00010.3%
Prices
89-present Log Lines, Puget Sound, DF, 2S, High: History RISI IFA
Log Lines/RISI IFA, DF, 2S HighPNW Export Douglas-firLog Lines, DF, Pulp
1988302474136
1989383531136
1990426590159
1991401606155
1992501774205
19937061049227
19947011031199
19957001059277
19966701003127
1997680895131
1998555749169
1999603767157
2000577837149
2001541733111
200255065594
2003550616103
2003LL, DF,#2, puget, high
jan550
feb550
mar550
apr550
may550
Charts
Charts
14
72
14
2003 Total Harvest44.4 Million Board Feet (MMBF)
Estimated2003 Harvest Mix
474302136
531383136
590426159
606401155
774501205
1049706227
1031701199
1059700277
1003670127
895680131
749555169
767603157
837577149
733541111
65555094
616550103
Source: RISI, Log Lines
Douglas-fir Export Sawlogs
Douglas-fir Domestic Sawlogs
Douglas-fir Pulpwood
$/MBF
-
Timberland Management & Consulting StrategyManage timberlands for third-party clientsFull-service management, selected forestry consulting services, workout specialistFocus development of expert processes/tools, and market presenceAncillary benefits accrue to fee timber properties through management expertise and economies of scaleFit with broad ownership trends in industryRaise capital for investing in timberlands: ORM Timber Fund I, L.P.$50 million of equity capital10% co-investment by Pope Resources and affiliatesORMLLC will serve as GP
-
Real Estate Strategy Push real estate properties through entitlement and permitting pipelineTo point where sale opportunity is optimal May retain selected properties where management is passive and income stream is steady with upsideMajor early-stage entitlement projectsGig Harbor - 320 acre mixed-use project within city limitsCommercial rezone effort enables future sale to Costco, Walgreens, YMCANew Tacoma Narrows bridge impactBremerton - 230 acre mixed-use project with 15 year development agreementKingston - 710 acre project subject to urban growth boundary determination
Port Gamble historic mill town is a many-faceted, long-term projectRural historic town designation under States Growth Management ActWater rights recently securedEnvironmental cleanup completeSewer system expansion needed for build-out of town siteLong term: development of former mill site and remaining portion of town site
-
Financial Performance Eleven-Year Summary
10 yr
(All amounts in $ millions, except per unit data)
Q3
199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004
Revenues:
Fee Timber25.719.126.621.819.721.023.521.425.023.322.928.0
Timberland Mgmnt & Consulting8.911.711.09.77.32.41.0
Real Estate8.611.09.611.210.413.115.718.213.11.61.72.7
Total Revenues34.330.136.233.030.143.050.950.647.832.227.031.7
Net Income/(Loss)14.88.913.18.33.58.85.1(6.3)(0.4)3.33.59.4
Net Income/(Loss) per Unit$3.00$1.93$2.90$1.84$0.78$1.94$1.11$(1.38)$(0.10)$0.74$0.78$2.04
EBITDDA18.311.716.010.96.211.99.0(3.0)10.69.310.115.8
Operating Cash Flow20.17.417.012.35.89.28.310.011.29.08.614.3
Timberland Harvest (MMBF)36.329.737.931.633.238.942.037.336.345.145.051.2
Unitholder Distributions per Unit$1.20$0.72$1.06$0.82$0.49$0.40$0.40$0.400.0$0.10$0.24$0.29
Unit Trading Prices:
High$16.40$18.80$21.80$23.40$31.00$32.50$35.00$29.25$24.50$15.50$15.99$24.00
Low$9.60$14.40$15.25$15.80$17.40$24.06$27.88$19.00$14.00$9.30$7.00$15.00
Bal Sht
(in $millions)
31-Mar-0431-Dec-03
Assets
Cash3.410.4
Other Current Assets3.52.4
Properties and Equipment79.872.1
Other Assets1.41.4
Total Assets88.186.3
Liabilities & Equity
Current Liabilities (excl. Current Debt)1.92.2
Total Debt36.237.7
Other Liabilities0.30.4
Total Liabilities38.440.3
Equity49.746.0
Total Liabilities & Equity88.186.3
Tax yield
ABC
Pope Res 1065Resultant
AggregatePerApplicableTax (Liab)/
AmountsUnitTaxBenefitTax "Yield" at Various Unit Prices
ReportedAmountsRate$10.00$14.00$18.00$22.00
New Tax Rates:
K-1 Taxable Income1,500,000$0.33
631(a) amount15,045,000$3.33
Depletion(3,300,000)(0.73)
1231 gain11,700,000$2.5915.0%$(0.39)
Int income300,0000.0735.0%(0.02)
Ord loss(10,500,000)(2.32)35.0%0.81
1,500,000$0.33$0.404.0%2.9%2.2%1.8%
Note: Income amounts provided are representative examples only and should not be interpreted as pro forma results.
4518095
Debt Capacity
ProIf unit price is
ActualForma$15.00$17.50$21.00
Current debt ($000's)36,20085,70067,70078,70094,700
Current unit price$19.00
Units outstanding (000's)4,522
Market cap85,91685,91667,82979,13394,960
Total capitalization122,116171,616135,529157,833189,660
Debt to total cap ratio29.64%49.94%49.95%49.86%49.93%
Incremental debt capacity49,500315004250058500
Imputed values
Timber value per acre
HBU = $5KHBU = $10K
Today's unit price$19.00$19.00
Number of units4,5204,520
Market cap85,88085,880
Plus: debt36,20036,200
Less HBU value
At $5K per acre2500(12,500)
At $10K per acre2500(25,000)
109,58097,080
Fee Timber acres115,000115,000
Value per acre of fee timber953844
Enterprise value to EBITDDA
Enterprise Value
at 12/31/03at 5/31/04
Market Cap calc
Units45184522
Price$15.43$19.00
Market Cap69,71385,918
Plus debt3768836,200
Less cash-10361-6700
Enterprise value97,040115,418
Average enterprise value106,229
Trailing EBITDDA:
Q1 20033009
Q2 20032972
Q3 20032573
Q4 20031535
Q1 2004638713467
Enterprise value divided by trailing EBITDDA7.89
Trailing earnings$000'sPer unit
Q1 20031,2914518$0.29
Q2 20031,2964518$0.29
Q3 20039414518$0.21
Q4 20030.045180.0
Q1 20043,9984518$0.88$1.38
Unit price/trailing earnings13.77
-
Investment Grade Balance Sheet
10 yr
(All amounts in $ millions, except per unit data)
Q3
199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004
Revenues:
Fee Timber25.719.126.621.819.721.023.521.425.023.322.928.0
Timberland Mgmnt & Consulting8.911.711.09.77.32.41.0
Real Estate8.611.09.611.210.413.115.718.213.11.61.72.7
Total Revenues34.330.136.233.030.143.050.950.647.832.227.031.7
Net Income/(Loss)14.88.913.18.33.58.85.1(6.3)(0.4)3.33.59.4
Net Income/(Loss) per Unit$3.00$1.93$2.90$1.84$0.78$1.94$1.11$(1.38)$(0.10)$0.74$0.78$2.04
EBITDDA18.311.716.010.96.211.99.0(3.0)10.69.310.115.8
Operating Cash Flow20.17.417.012.35.89.28.310.011.29.08.614.3
Timberland Harvest (MMBF)36.329.737.931.633.238.942.037.336.345.145.051.2
Unitholder Distributions per Unit$1.20$0.72$1.06$0.82$0.49$0.40$0.40$0.400.0$0.10$0.24$0.29
Unit Trading Prices:
High$16.40$18.80$21.80$23.40$31.00$32.50$35.00$29.25$24.50$15.50$15.99$24.00
Low$9.60$14.40$15.25$15.80$17.40$24.06$27.88$19.00$14.00$9.30$7.00$15.00
Bal Sht
(in $millions)
30-Sep-0431-Dec-03
Assets
Cash10.110.4
Other Current Assets2.72.4
Properties and Equipment79.172.1
Other Assets1.31.4
Total Assets93.286.3
Liabilities & Equity
Current Liabilities (excl. Current Debt)3.22.2
Total Debt35.737.7
Other Liabilities0.20.4
Total Liabilities39.140.3
Equity54.146.0
Total Liabilities & Equity93.286.3
Tax yield
ABC
Pope Res 1065Resultant
AggregatePerApplicableTax (Liab)/
AmountsUnitTaxBenefitTax "Yield" at Various Unit Prices
ReportedAmountsRate$10.00$14.00$18.00$22.00
New Tax Rates:
K-1 Taxable Income1,500,000$0.33
631(a) amount15,045,000$3.33
Depletion(3,300,000)(0.73)
1231 gain11,700,000$2.5915.0%$(0.39)
Int income300,0000.0735.0%(0.02)
Ord loss(10,500,000)(2.32)35.0%0.81
1,500,000$0.33$0.404.0%2.9%2.2%1.8%
Note: Income amounts provided are representative examples only and should not be interpreted as pro forma results.
4518095
Debt Capacity
ProIf unit price is
ActualForma$15.00$17.50$21.00
Current debt ($000's)35,70085,20067,20078,20094,200
Current unit price$19.00
Units outstanding (000's)4,522
Market cap85,91685,91667,82979,13394,960
Total capitalization121,616171,116135,029157,333189,160
Debt to total cap ratio29.35%49.79%49.77%49.70%49.80%
Incremental debt capacity49,500315004250058500
Imputed values
Timber value per acre
HBU = $5KHBU = $10K
Today's unit price$19.00$19.00
Number of units4,5204,520
Market cap85,88085,880
Plus: debt35,70035,700
Less HBU value
At $5K per acre2500(12,500)
At $10K per acre2500(25,000)
109,08096,580
Fee Timber acres115,000115,000
Value per acre of fee timber949840
Enterprise value to EBITDDA
Enterprise Value
at 12/31/03at 5/31/04
Market Cap calc
Units45184522
Price$15.43$19.00
Market Cap69,71385,918
Plus debt3768835,700
Less cash-10361-6700
Enterprise value97,040114,918
Average enterprise value105,979
Trailing EBITDDA:
Q1 20033009
Q2 20032972
Q3 20032573
Q4 20031535
Q1 2004638713467
Enterprise value divided by trailing EBITDDA7.87
Trailing earnings$000'sPer unit
Q1 20031,2914518$0.29
Q2 20031,2964518$0.29
Q3 20039414518$0.21
Q4 20030.045180.0
Q1 20043,9984518$0.88$1.38
Unit price/trailing earnings13.77
-
Pope Resources - Summary of Investment OpportunityStill a deep discount to NAV in spite of 2004 rise in unit priceImputed value of fee timberlands of between $1,050 and $1,200 per acre, depending on assumptions made for value of HBU lands ($5-$10K/acre)Enterprise value to EBITDDA multiple of 7Trading at 12 times trailing 12-month earningsHighly tax-efficient vehicle for investing in timberland asset classPositive tax yieldModest distribution yieldCompelling diversification benefits of timberland asset classAdding value through use of free cash flow Co-investment in ORM Timber Fund I, L.P.Opportunistic acquisitionsIncreases in distribution levelImproved alignment with insider buying in past few yearsFavorable liquidity trends
-
Pope Resources Unit Price vs. Douglas-Fir Log Prices (98-03)
Chart1
2950026.97700560
2757525.11720618.5
2850026.17700560
27.1249025.35670544
27.7558526.07680613.5
28.555026.78675587.5
28.2558026.54720622
2862526.31730656.5
27.8757826.31740626.6
2862526.43720653.5
2961027.51700637
32.560030.83725637.5
28.7560027.27720636
2962027.51700644
3070028.6700700
3167529.55725690
3565033.5675657.5
3258030.63710619
32.2563530.87710657.5
31.8764030.6690655
31.6267530.36690679.5
31.1265029.88720671
29.8763528.78730663.5
29.2561028.18770658
2570024.08810733
2170020.32810733
23.2570022.5810733
2065019.36800695
21.567520.81810715.5
2060019.36810663
20.557519.84815647
19.555018.97820631
2152520.43850622.5
2262521.4820683.5
2258021.5820652
24.558023.94820652
2258021.5820652
2156520.52700605.5
2057319.54675603.6
1958018.57650601
19.962519.44690644.5
1962518.57690644.5
18.562518.08710650.5
2062519.54710650.5
1858017.59650601
15.5558015.19645599.5
15.7652515.4625555
14.7553514.41620560.5
13.9852513.66640559.5
1355012.7630574
13.2555012.95630574
13.4557013.14600579
12.7557012.46600579
12.555012.21580559
12.557012.21600579
12.254011.97580552
1254511.77630570.5
105309.81630560
9.455509.32625572.5
10.115509.97625572.5
10.2555010.11620571
12.2555012.08620571
9.55509.41620571
9.55509.41600565
11.3855011.32600565
11.9154011.84610561
12.2554012.18610561
13.2655013.26610568
13.757013.7610582
13.657013.6640591
14.356014.23650587
15.4355015.43660583
15.5355515.53660586.5
17.5165038019630644
17.7358538047630598.5
17.7560038078670621
19.5462038110660632
18.9869038139670684
19.8869038169670684
Pope Resources Unit Price
DF Export
DF 2Saw
Source: Log LinesDF Export = C12H, Puget Sound, HighDF 2Saw = 2S, Puget Sound, High
POPEZ Close
DF 2Saw
POPEZ Adj. Close*
DF Export
DF Composite (30% Export)
Pope Resources Unit Price
$/MBF
New
29500
27575
28500
27.12490
27.75585
28.5550
28.25580
28625
27.87578
28625
29610
32.5600
28.75600
29620
30700
31675
35650
32580
32.25635
31.87640
31.62675
31.12650
29.87635
29.25610
25700
21700
23.25700
20650
21.5675
20600
20.5575
19.5550
21525
22625
22580
24.5580
22580
21565
20573
19580
19.9625
19625
18.5625
20625
18580
15.55580
15.76525
14.75535
13.98525
13550
13.25550
13.45570
12.75570
12.5550
12.5570
12.2540
12545
10530
9.45550
10.11550
10.25550
12.25550
9.5550
9.5550
11.38550
11.91540
12.25540
13.26550
13.7570
13.6570
14.3560
15.43550
15.53555
17.51650
17.73585
17.75600
19.54620
18.98690
19.88690
Pope Resources Unit Price
Douglas-fir Domestic 2Saw
POPEZ Close
DF 2Saw
Pope Resources Unit Price
Log Price ($/MBF)
Sheet1
data
DateOpenHighLowPOPEZ CloseVolumePOPEZ Adj. Close*DateOpenHighLowTIMBZ CloseVolumeTIMBZ Adj. Close*DateOpenHighLowCRPP CloseVolumeCRPP Adj. Close*DateOpenHighLowPCL CloseVolumePCL Adj. Close*SourceRegionSpeciesYearMonthSortDF 2SawNotesHALYearMonthDF ExportPriceDF Composite (30% Export)DF
2-Jan-9828.252924.0629499026.9717326.75732-Jan-9825.0427.4924.9927.076786516.651LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199812S500High19981C12H7005601998555
2-Feb-9829292527117825.1127226.0625722-Feb-9827.2829.0527.0428.465004717.862LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199822S575High19982C12H720618.51999603
2-Mar-98272926.6228177726.1737125712-Mar-9828.7829.2627.327.944595417.523LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199832S500High19983C12H7005602000577
1-Apr-98282826.6227.12287625.3547026.8125701-Apr-9828.4128.9926.8827.095323316.994LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199842S490High19984C12H6705442001541
1-May-9827.12312727.75184026.0756925.5691-May-9827.0428.3625.8526.286956016.835LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199852S585High19985C12H680613.52002550
1-Jun-9827.7530.6927.7528.5155426.7866825.4375681-Jun-9826.3927.3624.2925.99837716.596LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199862S550High19986C12H675587.52003552
1-Jul-982829.252828.25220426.5476724.9375671-Jul-9826.2226.8223.123.267946314.97LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199872S580High19987C12H720622
3-Aug-9828.2528.872828189526.3186621.125663-Aug-9823.124.1520.6321.5710950914.168LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199882S625High19988C12H730656.5
1-Sep-982829.527.8727.87111426.3196523.25651-Sep-9821.9525.0921.5724.656838016.199LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199892S578High19989C12H740626.6
1-Oct-9827.8728.527.6228137226.43106424.6875641-Oct-9824.8725.3122.0124.655974016.1910LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir1998102S625High199810C12H720653.5
2-Nov-98282927.7529308027.51116321.9375632-Nov-9824.5425.5324.0324.486116516.4511LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir1998112S610High199811C12H700637
1-Dec-982932.52932.5536330.83126221.25621-Dec-9824.4824.5422.2923.427211815.7412LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir1998122S600High199812C12H725637.5
4-Jan-993133.3828.7528.75216327.27136122.125614-Jan-9923.4224.9323.0224.035571516.1513LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199912S600High19991C12H720636
1-Feb-9928.8730.2527.8729335727.51146020.25601-Feb-9924.2625.4723.4624.386324216.7814LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199922S620High19992C12H700644
1-Mar-99293127.8730414728.6155920.9375591-Mar-9924.2727.0223.426.165844718.0115LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199932S700High19993C12H700700
1-Apr-993034.8829.7531232329.55165822.375581-Apr-9926.2226.6223.6326.568742318.2816LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199942S675High19994C12H725690
3-May-9931353135101033.5175722.5625573-May-9926.7927.6126.1626.795442518.8317LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199952S650High19995C12H675657.5
1-Jun-99353531.623295430.63185622.5561-Jun-9926.7930.0626.2629.195058120.5218LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199962S580High19996C12H710619
1-Jul-9931.623431.6232.2583830.87195524551-Jul-9929.629.8327.6127.615472319.4119LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199972S635High19997C12H710657.5
2-Aug-9932.2532.2531.6231.87141330.6205422.375542-Aug-9927.7828.3125.625.64800018.3920LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199982S640High19998C12H690655
1-Sep-9931.873231.6231.62242330.36215320.9375531-Sep-9925.629.9624.9429.968345221.5221LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199992S675High19999C12H690679.5
1-Oct-9931.7534.8831.1231.12395229.88225222.5521-Oct-99292924.5925.064279611822LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir1999102S650High199910C12H720671
1-Nov-9931.1231.1229.8729.87291928.78235119.5625511-Nov-9925.1825.6624.424.5218470918.0323LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir1999112S635High199911C12H730663.5
1-Dec-9929.8729.8729.2529.2551328.18245017.875501-Dec-9924.4625.0122.5724.413483617.9424LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir1999122S610High199912C12H770658
3-Jan-0029.2529.2524.1225317524.08254919.5493-Jan-0024.3425.1320.9922.0815943516.2325LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200012S700High20001C12H810733
1-Feb-00252519.2521381020.32264818.9375481-Feb-0022.4523.692222.2512813116.7726LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200022S700High20002C12H810733
1-Mar-0022.2523.517.2523.25509522.5274721.5471-Mar-0022.525.6322.1224.6215896918.5627LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200032S700High20003C12H810733
3-Apr-0023.252519.62201215719.36284622.625463-Apr-0024.8825.1223.1224.449066318.4128LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200042S650High20004C12H800695
1-May-0019.7521.519.7521.5181320.81294521.1875451-May-0024.6226.52426.317927220.2729LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200052S675High20005C12H810715.5
1-Jun-0021.52319.1220125419.36304419441-Jun-0026.3129.8125.7525.9114663519.9630LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200062S600High20006C12H810663
3-Jul-002021.8718.1220.597519.84314320.8125433-Jul-0026.0628.9425.1926.2522981520.2231LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200172S575High20007C12H815647
1-Aug-0020.520.519.2519.5175618.97324218.875421-Aug-0026.1226.523.8124.2518663819.132LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200082S550High20008C12H820631
1-Sep-0019.52119.252195020.43334117.375411-Sep-0024.1224.3121.8822.3119976517.5833LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200092S525High20009C12H850622.5
2-Oct-00212219.122251321.4344018.625402-Oct-0022.3826.9421.8125.9416240420.4334LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2000102S625High200010C12H820683.5
1-Nov-0021.524.2521.52296621.5353915.6875391-Nov-0025.9426.3123.8824.259928019.5435LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2000112S580High200011C12H820652
1-Dec-002225.52224.5171023.9436388.9375381-Dec-0024.1226.6223.752615736520.9536LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2000122S580High200012C12H820652
2-Jan-0124.524.5222254721.537377.76372-Jan-01262724.5626.814395721.5937LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200112S580High20011C12H820652
1-Feb-01222220.122152120.5238366.93361-Feb-0126.627.324.525.9321791521.3438LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200122S565High20012C12H700605.5
1-Mar-01212119.520202719.5439357.7351-Mar-0125.9525.9523.324.221004019.9239LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200232S573High20013C12H675603.6
2-Apr-012020181988518.5740348.2342-Apr-0124.225.623.3824.5918191020.2440LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200142S580High20014C12H650601
1-May-01192016.519.938619.4441339.35331-May-0125.2427.9525.2127.5835219523.241LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200152S625High20015C12H690644.5
1-Jun-0119.7919.7917.751944718.5742328.17321-Jun-0127.85292728.1332140423.6642LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200162S625High20016C12H690644.5
2-Jul-011919.218.1518.545718.0843317.35312-Jul-0128.1328.8527.0527.4627749523.143LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200172S625High20017C12H710650.5
1-Aug-0118.52016.7520128619.5444307.9301-Aug-0127.53027.329.5353900025.3244LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200182S625High20018C12H710650.5
4-Sep-01202015.51850017.5945296.5294-Sep-0129.529.923.5626.7148540022.945LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200192S580High20019C12H650601
1-Oct-01181815.1515.55217815.1946284.91281-Oct-0126.7328.9823.727.6398135623.6946LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2001102S580High200110C12H645599.5
1-Nov-0115.5516.211515.7676115.447274.75271-Nov-0127.7528.7427.7528.3794676624.8247LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2001112S525High200111C12H625555
3-Dec-0115.2515.91314.75153514.4148265.94263-Dec-0128.428.9927.7528.3564923525.3148LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2001122S535High200112C12H620560.5
2-Jan-0214.7515.512.513.9874713.6649256.21252-Jan-0228.4931.1928.230.2228137626.9649LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200212S525High20021C12H640559.5
1-Feb-0213.9814.2610.513111512.750246.27244-Feb-0230.5531.9829.730.9575169427.6350LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200222S550High20022C12H630574
1-Mar-0213.9815.011213.25132012.9551236.32231-Mar-0231.131.229.2729.7162546526.5251LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200232S550High20023C12H630574
1-Apr-0212.611511.713.451061313.1452225.08221-Apr-0229.8530.5929.3130.4559372327.1852LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200242S570High20024C12H600579
1-May-0214.5514.61212.75182212.4653215.16211-May-0230.4831.2529.9830.3755692227.6353LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200252S570High20025C12H600579
3-Jun-0212.961312.3512.5168012.2154204.85203-Jun-0230.4830.9529.6830.774725027.9354LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200262S550High20026C12H580559
1-Jul-0212.513.2412.1612.564512.2155193.3191-Jul-0230.4530.524.9728.594883125.9355LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200272S570High20027C12H600579
1-Aug-0212.512.991212.255411.9756183.8181-Aug-0228.5229.1924.7325.7492005423.9556LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200282S540High20028C12H580552
3-Sep-0212.212.2511.5512124011.7757172.76173-Sep-0225.7425.7521.822.6183133021.0457LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200282S545High20029C12H630570.5
1-Oct-0211.811.89.61012829.8158161.78161-Oct-0222.8123.218.9222.61102559521.0458LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2002102S530High200210C12H630560
1-Nov-021010.59.459.4522459.3259151.99151-Nov-0222.424.522.324.356076102359LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2002112S550High200211C12H625572.5
2-Dec-029.4910.189.310.1110289.9760141.79142-Dec-0224.4224.4522.5723.679076622.2960LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2002122S550High200212C12H625572.5
2-Jan-0310.110.259.810.2512810.1161131.63132-Jan-0323.8524.2921.1521.8273469520.6161LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200312S550High20031C12H620571
3-Feb-0310.1112.57.2512.25197312.0862120.74123-Feb-0321.922.421.0221.755885220.8362LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200322S550High20032C12H620571
3-Mar-0312.2512.2579.57149.4163110.15113-Mar-0321.7523.420.8821.5970620020.7363LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200332S550High20033C12H620571
1-Apr-039.51199.510239.4164100.17101-Apr-0321.723.6721.523.2674690022.3364LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200342S550High20034C12H600565
1-May-039.511.88.9511.38147111.326590.391-May-0323.2526.492326.491664725.7165LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200352S550High20035C12H600565
2-Jun-031112.410.3611.91159511.846680.1882-Jun-0326.3527.325.8525.9569670025.2766LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200362S540High20036C12H610561
1-Jul-03121311.712.25134512.186770.1271-Jul-0325.727.4725.4227.1659502226.4567LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200372S540High20037C12H610561
1-Aug-0312.6513.2611.8513.26105213.266860.1261-Aug-0326.8227.1425.626.1553758025.868LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200382S550High20038C12H610568
2-Sep-0313.7614.6512.4913.7210913.76950.1252-Sep-0326.3826.7824.8325.4472757125.169LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200392S570High20039C12H610582
1-Oct-0313.714.512.5613.6106013.67040.0941-Oct-0325.6727.4425.2826.356589172670LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2003102S570High200310C12H640591
3-Nov-0313.615.9913.214.344714.237130.0733-Nov-0326.4826.9925.4226.6347134726.6371LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2003112S560High200311C12H650587
1-Dec-0314.2515.6114.1715.4392215.437220.0521-Dec-0326.5930.7526.5630.4566146330.4572LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2003122S550High200312C12H660583
2-Jan-0415161515.53690015.537310.0712-Jan-0430.4530.6529.930.05107902530.0573LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200412S555High20041C12H660586.5
2-Feb-0417.51LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200422S650High20042C12H630644
1-Mar-0417.73LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200432S585High20043C12H630598.5
1-Apr-0417.75LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200442S600High20044C12H670621
3-May-0419.54LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200452S620High20045C12H660632
1-Jun-0418.98LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200462S690High20046C12H670684
1-Jul-0419.88LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200472S690High20047C12H670684
2-Aug-0419.55
MBD003C7108.xls
Chart1
29500
27575
28500
27.12490
27.75585
28.5550
28.25580
28625
27.87578
28625
29610
32.5600
28.75600
29620
30700
31675
35650
32580
32.25635
31.87640
31.62675
31.12650
29.87635
29.25610
25700
21700
23.25700
20650
21.5675
20600
20.5575
19.5550
21525
22625
22580
24.5580
22580
21565
20573
19580
19.9625
19625
18.5625
20625
18580
15.55580
15.76525
14.75535
13.98525
13550
13.25550
13.45570
12.75570
12.5550
12.5570
12.2540
12545
10530
9.45550
10.11550
10.25550
12.25550
9.5550
9.5550
11.38550
11.91540
12.25540
13.26550
13.7570
13.6570
13.237928
Pope Resources Unit Price
Douglas-Fir Domestic 2Saw
POPEZ Close
DF 2Saw
Pope Resources Unit Price
$/MBF
data
DateOpenHighLowPOPEZ CloseVolumePOPEZ Adj. Close*SourceRegionSpeciesYearMonthSortDF 2SawNotesHALYearMonthDF ExportPriceDF Composite (30% Export)DF
2-Jan-9828.252924.0629499026.971LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199812S500High19981C12H7005601.01.01.01998555
2-Feb-9829292527117825.112LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199822S575High19982C12H720618.51.20.90.91999603
2-Mar-98272926.6228177726.173LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199832S500High19983C12H7005601.01.01.02000577
1-Apr-98282826.6227.12287625.354LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199842S490High19984C12H6705441.00.90.92001541
1-May-9827.12312727.75184026.075LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199852S585High19985C12H680613.51.21.01.02002550
1-Jun-9827.7530.6927.7528.5155426.786LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199862S550High19986C12H675587.51.11.01.02003552
1-Jul-982829.252828.25220426.547LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199872S580High19987C12H7206221.21.01.0
3-Aug-9828.2528.872828189526.318LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199882S625High19988C12H730656.51.31.01.0
1-Sep-982829.527.8727.87111426.319LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199892S578High19989C12H740626.61.21.01.0
1-Oct-9827.8728.527.6228137226.4310LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir1998102S625High199810C12H720653.51.31.01.0
2-Nov-98282927.7529308027.5111LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir1998112S610High199811C12H7006371.21.01.0
1-Dec-982932.52932.5536330.8312LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir1998122S600High199812C12H725637.51.21.11.1
4-Jan-993133.3828.7528.75216327.2713LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199912S600High19991C12H7206361.21.01.0
1-Feb-9928.8730.2527.8729335727.5114LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199922S620High19992C12H7006441.21.01.0
1-Mar-99293127.8730414728.615LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199932S700High19993C12H7007001.41.01.1
1-Apr-993034.8829.7531232329.5516LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199942S675High19994C12H7256901.41.11.1
3-May-9931353135101033.517LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199952S650High19995C12H675657.51.31.21.2
1-Jun-99353531.623295430.6318LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199962S580High19996C12H7106191.21.11.1
1-Jul-9931.623431.6232.2583830.8719LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199972S635High19997C12H710657.51.31.11.1
2-Aug-9932.2532.2531.6231.87141330.620LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199982S640High19998C12H6906551.31.11.1
1-Sep-9931.873231.6231.62242330.3621LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir199992S675High19999C12H690679.51.41.11.1
1-Oct-9931.7534.8831.1231.12395229.8822LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir1999102S650High199910C12H7206711.31.11.1
1-Nov-9931.1231.1229.8729.87291928.7823LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir1999112S635High199911C12H730663.51.31.01.1
1-Dec-9929.8729.8729.2529.2551328.1824LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir1999122S610High199912C12H7706581.21.01.0
3-Jan-0029.2529.2524.1225317524.0825LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200012S700High20001C12H8107331.40.90.9
1-Feb-00252519.2521381020.3226LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200022S700High20002C12H8107331.40.70.8
1-Mar-0022.2523.517.2523.25509522.527LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200032S700High20003C12H8107331.40.80.8
3-Apr-0023.252519.62201215719.3628LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200042S650High20004C12H8006951.30.70.7
1-May-0019.7521.519.7521.5181320.8129LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200052S675High20005C12H810715.51.40.70.8
1-Jun-0021.52319.1220125419.3630LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200062S600High20006C12H8106631.20.70.7
3-Jul-002021.8718.1220.597519.8431LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200172S575High20007C12H8156471.20.70.7
1-Aug-0020.520.519.2519.5175618.9732LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200082S550High20008C12H8206311.10.70.7
1-Sep-0019.52119.252195020.4333LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200092S525High20009C12H850622.51.10.70.8
2-Oct-00212219.122251321.434LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2000102S625High200010C12H820683.51.30.80.8
1-Nov-0021.524.2521.52296621.535LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2000112S580High200011C12H8206521.20.80.8
1-Dec-002225.52224.5171023.9436LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2000122S580High200012C12H8206521.20.80.9
2-Jan-0124.524.5222254721.537LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200112S580High20011C12H8206521.20.80.8
1-Feb-01222220.122152120.5238LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200122S565High20012C12H700605.51.10.70.8
1-Mar-01212119.520202719.5439LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200232S573High20013C12H675603.61.10.70.7
2-Apr-012020181988518.5740LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200142S580High20014C12H6506011.20.70.7
1-May-01192016.519.938619.4441LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200152S625High20015C12H690644.51.30.70.7
1-Jun-0119.7919.7917.751944718.5742LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200162S625High20016C12H690644.51.30.70.7
2-Jul-011919.218.1518.545718.0843LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200172S625High20017C12H710650.51.30.60.7
1-Aug-0118.52016.7520128619.5444LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200182S625High20018C12H710650.51.30.70.7
4-Sep-01202015.51850017.5945LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200192S580High20019C12H6506011.20.60.7
1-Oct-01181815.1515.55217815.1946LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2001102S580High200110C12H645599.51.20.50.6
1-Nov-0115.5516.211515.7676115.447LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2001112S525High200111C12H6255551.10.50.6
3-Dec-0115.2515.91314.75153514.4148LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2001122S535High200112C12H620560.51.10.50.5
2-Jan-0214.7515.512.513.9874713.6649LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200212S525High20021C12H640559.51.10.50.5
1-Feb-0213.9814.2610.513111512.750LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200222S550High20022C12H6305741.10.40.5
1-Mar-0213.9815.011213.25132012.9551LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200232S550High20023C12H6305741.10.50.5
1-Apr-0212.611511.713.451061313.1452LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200242S570High20024C12H6005791.10.50.5
1-May-0214.5514.61212.75182212.4653LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200252S570High20025C12H6005791.10.40.5
3-Jun-0212.961312.3512.5168012.2154LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200262S550High20026C12H5805591.10.40.5
1-Jul-0212.513.2412.1612.564512.2155LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200272S570High20027C12H6005791.10.40.5
1-Aug-0212.512.991212.255411.9756LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200282S540High20028C12H5805521.10.40.4
3-Sep-0212.212.2511.5512124011.7757LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200282S545High20029C12H630570.51.10.40.4
1-Oct-0211.811.89.61012829.8158LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2002102S530High200210C12H6305601.10.30.4
1-Nov-021010.59.459.4522459.3259LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2002112S550High200211C12H625572.51.10.30.3
2-Dec-029.4910.189.310.1110289.9760LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2002122S550High200212C12H625572.51.10.30.4
2-Jan-0310.110.259.810.2512810.1161LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200312S550High20031C12H6205711.10.40.4
3-Feb-0310.1112.57.2512.25197312.0862LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200322S550High20032C12H6205711.10.40.4
3-Mar-0312.2512.2579.57149.4163LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200332S550High20033C12H6205711.10.30.3
1-Apr-039.51199.510239.4164LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200342S550High20034C12H6005651.10.30.3
1-May-039.511.88.9511.38147111.3265LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200352S550High20035C12H6005651.10.40.4
2-Jun-031112.410.3611.91159511.8466LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200362S540High20036C12H6105611.10.40.4
1-Jul-03121311.712.25134512.1867LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200372S540High20037C12H6105611.10.40.5
1-Aug-0312.6513.2611.8513.26105213.2668LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200382S550High20038C12H6105681.10.50.5
2-Sep-0313.7614.6512.4913.7210913.769LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir200392S570High20039C12H6105821.10.50.5
1-Oct-0313.714.512.5613.6106013.670LogLinesPuget SoundDouglas-fir2003102S570High200310C12H6405911.10.50.5
3-Nov-0313.613.613.213.217513.271
-
Unit Price as Multiple of Trailing Cash Flows** Trailing Cash Flow defined as EBITDDA for POPEZ and as either EBITDDA or cash flow from operations for other 3 firms.
price to cash mult
14.586564983499.47.29568125445.2525669643
12.587862043100.16.51410531983.8396624473
12.81729078018.17771191146.26799445813.0394839719
15.95962910017.79125509995.02459726142.7537593985
12.13343499959.37242562526.74575246252.8076868829
11.3877630759.13872010346.27933997653.4330839568
10.008604990110.76608079028.61185004743.365942029
7.99977473939.7320094428.71329713623.0314606742
5.627113168112.37567982217.90327577824.1676300578
5.236137387415.52690512258.41257875534.4886267902
4.606916347216.99187722769.4413205454.977710233
4.694937651512.22391728116.40778585513.96875
4.266175441311.88971040189.80803290024.1324200913
3.504973256611.73279491719.47151976914.1244867589
4.776787523312.507708325710.21970278743.2273794564
5.639899908912.973552292910.11608401214.6102152873
6.91540579815.17218914388.06650974485.8071014785
6.037991684610.40679743879.27240849756.3939052813
Pope Resources asset impairment charges reversed
Pope Resources
Plum Creek
Deltic
Rayonier
Ratio of Price to Cash Flow per Share .
POPEZ multiples
99.199.199.130
99.299.299.232
99.399.399.331.625
24.063239042120.052699201816.042159361429.25
22.164208587918.470173823314.776139058623.25
18.724705877115.603921564312.483137251420
15.789840629713.158200524810.526560419821
24.23056620120.192138500916.153710800724.5
21.075254061717.562711718114.050169374520
22.780397490518.983664575415.186931660419
27.000760276222.500633563518.000506850818
31.45484988726.212374905820.969899924614.75
30.365895360825.304912800620.243930240513.25
32.55974033327.133116944221.706493555412.5
30.671333825425.559444854520.447555883612
28.437649053423.698040877818.958432702310.11
32.525212506627.104343755521.68347500449.5
29.919689603724.933074669719.946459735811.91
29.149453475424.291211229519.432968983613.7
26.77500141122.312501175817.850000940715.43
35.773484178629.811236815523.848989452418
36.314737021830.262280851524.2098246812
43.336456715636.113713929628.8909711437
40.813194474334.010995395327.2087963162
Unit Price at 12x
Unit Price at 10x
Unit Price at 8x
Actual Unit Price
Pope Resources Unit Price
Pope Resources Unit Price at Different Cash Flow Multiples
EBITDDA cht
9.06
9.123
11.843
10.707
10.081
15.369472
2005
EBITDDA
EBITDDA (millions)
Annual Cash Flow Generation (EBITDDA)
FCF cht
3.595
4.119
3.838
5.497
4.681
2004
2005
Historic FCF
Free Cash Flow ($ MM)
Cash Flow Generation (Free Cash Flow)
FCF2 cht
3.5951999199919991999
4.1192000200020002000
3.8382001200120012001
5.4972002200220022002
4.6812003200320032003
20043.5200420042004
20053.50.7520052005
20063.50.7687520062006
20073.50.787968751.252007
20083.50.80766796881.281252008
20093.50.8278596681.313281251.25
Historic FCF
Base Business
Timber Fund #1
Timber Fund #2
Timber Fund #3
Free Cash Flow ($MM)
Pope Resources Free Cash Flow Generation
Summary
199920002001200220032004
Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4
Pope Resources
AQuarter end unit price$30.00$32.00$31.63$29.25$23.25$20.00$21.00$24.50$20.00$19.00$18.00$14.75$13.25$12.50$12.00$10.11$9.50$11.91$13.70$15.43$18.00
Quarterly EBITDDA per basic unit$0.84$0.84$0.68$(0.35)$0.68$0.55$0.44$0.35$0.41$0.69$0.79$0.72$0.32$0.88$0.63$0.54$0.66$0.66$0.57$0.34$1.41$0.70$1.15$0.13
BRolling 4-quarter per unit cash flow$2.01$1.85$1.56$1.32$2.02$1.76$1.90$2.25$2.62$2.53$2.71$2.56$2.37$2.71$2.49$2.43$2.23$2.98$3.03$3.61$3.40
Unit price divided by trailing 4-qtr cash flow (A/B)14.612.612.816.012.111.410.08.05.65.24.64.74.33.54.85.66.96.0
Plum Creek
AQuarter end unit price$28.50$31.19$28.38$24.69$24.63$29.50$23.13$26.00$24.20$28.13$26.71$28.35$29.71$30.70$22.61$23.60$21.59$25.95$25.44$30.45$31.98
Quarterly Cash Flows$1.17$0.85$0.90$0.69$0.53$0.65$0.77$0.66$0.66$0.20$0.39$0.55$0.71$0.33$0.25$0.78$0.59$0.38$1.32
BRolling 4-quarter per unit cash flow$3.61$2.97$2.77$2.65$2.61$2.74$2.29$1.91$1.81$1.85$1.98$1.84$2.07$1.96$2.01$3.07
Unit price divided by trailing 4-qtr cash flow (A/B)8.27.89.49.110.89.712.415.517.012.211.911.712.513.015.210.4
Rayonier
AQuarter end unit price$40.06$50.38$38.31$47.06$45.50$38.88$36.63$39.81$41.30$46.45$40.47$50.47$53.28$49.13$41.91$45.25$44.06$33.00$40.60$41.51$42.22
Quarterly EBITDDA per basic unit$2.10$2.03$2.14$2.69$4.99$2.97$2.65$3.57$2.84$4.74$2.20$2.33$2.60$2.74$2.89$2.72$2.33$2.28$1.47$1.06$1.79
BRolling 4-quarter per unit cash flow$8.96$11.85$12.79$13.30$14.18$12.03$13.80$13.35$12.11$11.87$9.87$10.56$10.95$10.68$10.23$8.81$7.15$6.60
Unit price divided by trailing 4-qtr cash flow (A/B)5.33.83.02.82.83.43.43.04.24.55.04.04.14.13.24.65.86.4
Deltic
AQuarter end unit price$23.75$27.19$22.38$21.56$22.38$20.56$18.00$23.88$20.25$28.80$25.30$27.40$30.25$34.48$21.98$26.70$23.90$28.45$28.92$30.40$33.55
Quarterly Cash Flows$0.60$0.66$0.87$0.82$1.08$0.51$1.18$0.78$0.76$0.63$0.74$1.34$0.89$0.68$0.51$0.63$0.69$0.94$0.59$1.54$0.54
BRolling 4-quarter per unit cash flow$2.96$3.43$3.28$3.58$3.54$3.22$3.34$2.90$3.47$3.60$3.65$3.43$2.72$2.52$2.78$2.86$3.77$3.62
Unit price divided by trailing 4-qtr cash flow (A/B)7.36.56.35.06.76.38.68.77.98.49.46.49.89.510.210.18.19.3
99.400.100.200.300.401.101.201.301.402.102.202.302.403.103.203.303.404.1
Pope Resources1513131612111086555445676
Plum Creek8899111012161712121213131510
Rayonier543333334454443566
Deltic776576998896109101089
99.199.299.399.400.100.200.300.401.101.201.301.402.102.202.302.403.103.203.303.404.104.204.304.4
Actual Unit Price$30$32$32$29$23$20$21$25$20$19$18$15$13$13$12$10$10$12$14$15$18
Unit Price at 8x$16$15$12$11$16$14$15$18$21$20$22$20$19$22$20$19$18$24$24$29$27
Unit Price at 10x$20$18$16$13$20$18$19$23$26$25$27$26$24$27$25$24$22$30$30$36$34
Unit Price at 12x$24$22$19$16$24$21$23$27$31$30$33$31$28$33$30$29$27$36$36$43$41
1999200020012002200320042005200620072008
EBITDDA$9$9$12$11$10$15
19992000200120022003200420052006200720082009
Historic FCF$4$4$4$5$5
Base Business3.53.53.53.53.53.5
Timber Fund #10.750.768750.787968750.80766796880.827859668
Timber Fund #21.251.281251.31328125
Timber Fund #31.25
Tom Ringo:PCL converted to a REIT on July 1, 1999. Data for Q's 1 and 2 in year of conversion are omitted. Cash flow measures reported over time have varied. EBITDDA is presented from Q3 99 through Q3 2001. Thereafter, the measure used is Net Cash Flow from Operations
Tom Ringo:Merger with The Timber Company completed 10/6/01
Tom Ringo:Used Deltic's reported Net Cash Flows from Operations (EBITDDA not consistently reported)
EBITDDA
Normalized net income by adding back asset impairment charges
Quarterly EBITDDA calc's ($millions):
199920002001200220032004
Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4
Pope Resources
Net income (loss)2.572.492.09(2.06)2.371.460.871.160.830.621.41(2.05)0.012.461.061.201.291.300.940.04.00
Int income(0.03)(0.06)(0.08)(0.10)(0.09)(0.07)(0.16)(0.26)(0.15)(0.07)(0.11)(0.15)(0.11)(0.13)(0.09)(0.11)(0.08)(0.08)(0.07)(0.06)(0.02)
Int expense0.320.330.320.330.310.340.290.340.301.190.980.980.850.810.820.840.790.770.760.770.77
Taxes0.120.12(0.02)0.04(0.11)0.000.05(0.26)0.220.030.20(0.10)(0.02)(0.43)0.06(0.41)(0.01)0.010.00.240.0
Deprec/Depl0.800.900.780.210.590.760.940.620.661.351.094.600.721.241.000.901.000.970.950.591.64
Amortbudget for Q2-Q4 2004
EBITDDA per quarter3.773.783.09(1.59)3.062.491.991.591.873.133.573.271.463.962.862.433.002.972.571.546.393.185.220.59
Units outstanding - basic4.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.524.524.52
EBITDDA per basic unit$0.84$0.84$0.68$(0.35)$0.68$0.55$0.44$0.35$0.41$0.69$0.79$0.72$0.32$0.88$0.63$0.54$0.66$0.66$0.57$0.34$1.41$0.70$1.15$0.13
Rolling 4 qtr EBITDDA9.068.357.055.959.127.948.5810.1711.8411.4312.2611.5510.7112.2511.2710.9810.0813.4713.6716.3215.37
Plum Creek
EBITDDA per quarter74.357.062.147.936.845.253.445.546.036.073.0102.0131.062.046.0144.0109.070.0242.0
Shares outstanding- diluted63.4667.2969.2169.2169.2369.2169.2469.2769.35180.60185.30185.40185.50185.30184.60183.50184.00183.90184.00
Cash flow per unit$1.17$0.85$0.90$0.69$0.53$0.65$0.77$0.66$0.66$0.20$0.39$0.55$0.71$0.33$0.25$0.78$0.59$0.38$1.32
Rolling 4 qtr EBITDDA241.30203.80192.00183.30180.90190.10180.90200.50257.00342.00368.00341.00383.00361.00369.00565.00421.00312.00242.00
Rayonier
Cash flow from op's82.00
Rolling 4 qtr EBITDDA0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.039.300.00.035.4082.0082.0082.0082.00
Deltic
Cash flow from op's7.648.2110.810.213.46.214.19.39.17.58.715.910.68.26.17.58.311.27.018.56.5
Shares outstanding12.7512.3912.3912.3912.3712.1912.0011.9411.9211.8911.8911.8911.9111.9511.9211.9211.9011.9011.9711.9712.02
Cash flow per unit$0.60$0.66$0.87$0.82$1.08$0.51$1.18$0.78$0.76$0.63$0.74$1.34$0.89$0.68$0.51$0.63$0.69$0.94$0.59$1.54$0.54
Rolling 4 qtr Op Cash Flow36.8442.5540.5443.8142.9238.6839.9534.5841.2442.7643.4740.8532.4530.0833.1534.0744.9943.27
Pope Resources - units o/s
Basic4.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.5184.518
Diluted4.5194.5194.5194.5194.5194.5194.5194.5194.5194.5194.5194.5194.534.524.5184.5194.5184.5194.5244.5444.575
Shares outstanding (millions):
Rayonier
Basic27.75342827.71745827.78085941.79677642.13341343.42443649.341
Diluted28.20128628.07636328.13565942.51650842.96335244.55664750.776
Tom Ringo:Includes 114 million from sales of "non-strategic" lands
Tom Ringo:Basic and diluted amounts not materially different
Tom Ringo:REIT conversion effective 1/1/04
Tom Ringo:3 for 2 split on June 12
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Pope Resources Trading Volume
non-block trading
349021497
206193472
325812740
281998832
4458901457
Annual Non-Block Trading Volume (left axis)
Number ofNon-Block Trades (right axis)
Total Volume
# of Trades
Trading Volume
Non-block Trades
data
All POPEZ Volume
Total Volume# of TradesAvg. Trade Size
2000512,3985021,021
2001216,193473457
2002508,836746682
2003281,998832339
2004708,6901,464484
Non-Block Volume
Total Volume# of TradesAvg. Trade Size
2000349,021497702
2001206,193472437
2002325,812740440
2003281,998832339
2004445,8901,457306
Block Volume
Total Volume# of TradesAvg. Trade Size
2000163,377532,675
200110,000110,000
2002183,024630,504
20030.00.0N/A
2004262,800737,543
Sheet2
Sheet3
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Tax Advantages of Investing in Pope Resources Units
10 yr
(All amounts in $ millions, except per unit data)
Q3
199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004
Revenues:
Fee Timber25.719.126.621.819.721.023.521.425.023.322.911.4
Timberland Mgmnt & Consulting8.911.711.09.77.32.40.1
Real Estate8.611.09.611.210.413.115.718.213.11.61.70.2
Total Revenues34.330.136.233.030.143.050.950.647.832.227.011.7
Net Income/(Loss)14.88.913.18.33.58.85.1(6.3)(0.4)3.33.54.0
Net Income/(Loss) per Unit$3.00$1.93$2.90$1.84$0.78$1.94$1.11$(1.38)$(0.10)$0.74$0.78$0.87
EBITDDA18.311.716.010.96.211.99.0(3.0)10.69.310.16.4
Operating Cash Flow20.17.417.012.35.89.28.310.011.29.08.64.2
Timberland Harvest (MMBF)36.329.737.931.633.238.942.037.336.345.145.020.3
Unitholder Distributions per Unit$1.20$0.72$1.06$0.82$0.49$0.40$0.40$0.400.0$0.10$0.24$0.07
Unit Trading Prices:
High$16.40$18.80$21.80$23.40$31.00$32.50$35.00$29.25$24.50$15.50$15.99$21.00
Low$9.60$14.40$15.25$15.80$17.40$24.06$27.88$19.00$14.00$9.30$7.00$15.00
Bal Sht
(in $millions)
31-Mar-0431-Dec-03
Assets
Cash3.410.4
Other Current Assets3.52.4
Properties and Equipment79.872.1
Other Assets1.41.4
Total Assets88.186.3
Liabilities & Equity
Current Liabilities (excl. Current Debt)1.92.2
Total Debt36.237.7
Other Liabilities0.30.4
Total Liabilities38.440.3
Equity49.746.0
Total Liabilities & Equity88.186.3
Tax yield
ABC
Pope Res 1065Resultant
AggregatePerApplicableTax (Liab)/
AmountsUnitTaxBenefitTax "Yield" at Various Unit Prices
ReportedAmountsRate(B times -C)$15.00$18.00$22.00$25.00
New Tax Rates:
K-1 Taxable Income1,500,000$0.33
631(a) amount15,045,000$3.33
Depletion(3,300,000)(0.73)
1231 gain11,700,000$2.5915.0%$(0.39)
Int income300,0000.0735.0%(0.02)
Ord loss(10,500,000)(2.32)35.0%0.81
1,500,000$0.33$0.402.7%2.2%1.8%1.6%
Note: Income amounts provided are representative examples only and should not be interpreted as pro forma results.
4518095
Debt Capacity
Current debt
Current unit price
Units outstanding
Sheet3
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Why Invest in POPEZ?Pope Resources represents compelling value playDiscount to liquidation value by any measureTarred unfairly by problems faced by two former timber publicly traded partnerships Great time to invest in timber asset classPortfolio diversification benefitsStrong asset class track recordAsset values have fallen substantiallyTax attributes meaningful to sophisticated individual investorsYield component associated with arbitrage between tax rate applicable to capital gains and ordinary incomeGrowing value, not necessarily near-term earnings Cash flow engine cranked upBest suited to long-term holderIdeal for long-term wealth accumulation or for passing wealth to future generationsModest distribution yield
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POPE RESOURCES