presentation on and five year plan...
TRANSCRIPT
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1
Presentation onAnnual Plan 2012-13
andFive Year Plan 2012-17
Planning Department,Government of Maharashtra
29th May, 2012
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Title Slide No.State Economy 3-7State Public Finance 8-12Annual Plan 2012-13 13-16Agriculture & Allied Services 17-19Irrigation 20MG-NREGA 21Power 22-26Roads/ Rural Roads 27-28Railway, Ports & Airports 29-31Industry 32-34Textile 35Housing 36-37Health, Women & Child Development 38-39Water Supply & Sanitation 40Education 41-42Regional Imbalance 43Human Development Index 44Urban Infrastructure 45-47Strategy for XII FYP & Expectations from Planning Commission 48-51
Structure of Presentation
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State Economy
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GSDP
*Advance estimates $ Projected4
(Rs. lakh crore)
13.4
8.7
12.5
10.7
8.7
7.56.8 8.1
7.46.7
6.15.9
456789
1011121314
2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 * 2011-12 $ 2012-13
GSDP
At current prices
At constant prices
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11.3
2.6
11.3
8.5
6.9
9.2
8.4
8.49.3
6.7
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 *
Per cent
GSDP & GDP : Growth rates (XI FYP)
* Advance estimates 5LinkLink
GSDP
GDP
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0
20000
40000
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6
Per Capita Income : Maharashtra & Selected States
* (2010-11)Link
(Rs.)
1,01,314
49,831
60,972
31,206
Per capita National Income (2011-12)
Per capita National Income (2006-07)
Per capita State Income (2011-12)
Per capita State Income (2006-07)
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State Growth Rate(XI FYP)
Per capita income (Rs.)
(2011-12)
Share in GDP (2011-12)
Andhra Pradesh 8.3 71,540 7.8Gujarat* 9.6 75,115 7.5Haryana 9.1 1,09,227 3.4Karnataka 8.0 69,493 5.7Kerala 8.0 83,725 4.0Maharashtra 8.6 1,01,314 15.4Punjab 6.9 78,171 3.0Tamil Nadu 8.3 84,058 8.2West Bengal 7.3 55,864 6.5GDP 7.9 60,972 -
Growth Rates, Share in GDP : Maharahshtra & Selected States
* 2010-11 Note : In 2006-07, Maharashtra’s share in GDP was 15%
(Per cent)
Link
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State Public Finance
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OWN TAX REVENUE : Growth Rates (X & XI FYP)
Particulars X Plan XI Plan
Sales Tax 15.7 16.9
Stamps & Registration Fees 22.8 13.1
State Excise Duty 14.2 21.0
Electricity Duty 8.2 13.2
Tax on Vehicles 18.3 16.9
Total Own Tax Revenue 15.1 16.1
(Per cent)
Link 9Graph
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Taxation Measures
Rationalisation of stamp duties
Special provision for part payment in appeals
Provision for tax collection at source for evasion prone
items
System for online verification of Input Tax Credit is
planned
VAT on LPG, Bidis
Motor vehicle tax (Diesel Passenger vehicles) increased
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Revenue Expenditure : Composition (XI FYP)
2007-08 2011-12 (RE)
Salary & Wages
35%
Pension7%Interest
Payments20%
Subsidies8%
Others30%
Salary & Wages
37%
Pension10%
Interest Payments
14%
Subsidies9%
Others30%
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State’s Debt Stock
Year GSDP (at current
prices)
Debt stock
Debt stock
to GSDP (%)
Interest Pay-
ments
Interest Payments to
Revenue Receipts (%)
Fiscal deficit to
GSDP (%)
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (8)
2009-10 8,67,866 1,81,447 20.9 (27.1) 14,838 17.1 3.0 (2.8)
2010-11 10,68,327 2,03,097 19.0 (26.6) 15,648 14.8 1.8 (2.6)
2011-12 (RE) 12,48,453* 2,28,590 18.3
(26.1) 17,311 13.8 1.7 (2.5)
2012-13 (BE) 13,43,268 2,53,085 18.8
(25.5) 18,523 13.6 1.7 (2.5)
(Rs. crore)
Note : Figures in brackets indicate Consolidated Fiscal Reforms Path as recommended by 13th F.C. * Advance estimates Link LinkGraph
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1313
Annual Plan 2012-13
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Sectorwise XII FYP and Annual Plan 2012-13 (Proposed)
Sector XII FYP Proposed Annual Plan 2012-13
Agriculture and Allied Services
21,917 3,258
Rural Development 9,089 1,504
Irrigation and Flood Control
47,990 7,614
Energy 20,695 3,063
Industry and Minerals 2,175 353
Transport 33,855 5,575
Social and Community Services
1,19,700 20,406
Other Programmes 19,580 3,228
Total 2,75,000 45,000
(Rs. crore)
Link Link Link
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Financing of XII FYP & Annual Plan 2012-13 (Proposed)
Source of Funds XII FYP AP 2012-13
State’s Own Resources 1,03,260(38%)
14,102(32%)
State’s Borrowings 1,21,425(44%)
22,651(50%)
Central Assistance 50,315(18%)
8,247(18%)
Total 2,75,000 45,000
(Rs. crore)
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Sector National Target (Planning
Commission)
State Target
(As presented to NDC)
Revised State
Targets
Agriculture 4.0 5.0 4.0
Industry 11.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 12.0 11.0
Services 10.0 12.0 11.0
Total 9.0 - 9.5 11.2 10.5
Growth Targets Proposed for XII FYP
16
(Per cent)
Link
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Sectoral Issues
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Agriculture : Area, Production & Yield of Major Crops (XI FYP)
Crop Item 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 Require- ment *
Cereals
Area (lakh ha.) 91.3 83.3 87.4 89.9 74.8 .Production (lakh MT) 124.6 95.2 102.2 123.2 96.9 131.90
Yield (kg./ha.) 1,366 1,144 1,170 1,371 1,296 .
Pulses
Area (lakh ha.) 40.6 30.9 33.8 40.4 31.6 .
Production (lakh MT) 30.2 16.6 23.7 31.0 21.2 12.32
Yield (kg./ha.) 745 537 702 767 672 .
FoodgrainsLink
Area (lakh ha.) 131.8 114.2 121.1 130.3 106.4 .
Production (lakh MT) 154.9 111.9 125.9 154.2 118.1 144.22
Yield (kg./ha.) 1,175 980 1,040 1,184 1,110 .
18Source : Commissionerate of Agriculture, GoM * - Based on estimates of NSS 66 th round and 2011 population Link
Yield
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FYPFYP YearYear Milk (lakh MT) Eggs (crore) Meat (lakh MT)
Target Achieve- ment
Target Achieve- ment
Target Achieve- ment
X
2002-03 62.35 62.51 329 329 2.20 2.19
2006-07 69.76 69.78 367 340 2.51 2.43
XI2007-08 72.97 72.10 347 346 2.50 5.25
2011-12* 84.50 84.34 436 430 5.75 5.70
ADF
* Expected
Source: ADF, GoM19
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Irrigation Potential - Created and Utilised
Source : Water Resources Dept., GoM
(Lakh Ha.)
Link Link
63.7
26.7
8.5
28.5
35.4
19.3
4.5
11.6
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
Total Major Medium Minor
Created up to 30.6.2011 Utilised during 2010-11
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MGNREGA : Performance (XI FYP)
Particulars 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12
Total Expenditure incurred (Rs. crore)
189 362 321 346 1,587
Number of works completed 4,778 5,928 5,837 6,979 7,479
Person (Employment) Days (crore) 1.9 3.2 2.7 1.9 6.5
Average Employment per household (days)
39 46 46 41 47
Share of SCs in Employment ( per cent)
18.4 16.5 25.6 22.0 23.1
Share of STs in Employment ( per cent)
38.5 44.2 33.2 25.6 17.3
Share of women in Employment ( per cent)
40.0 46.2 33.7 45.9 46.0
Cost of generating one day of employment (Rs.)
102 112 117 179 244
Source – EGS & Water Conservation Dept., GOM
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Power : Installed Capacity
Link
Particulars Installed Capacity *
State 10,246 (41%)
Central 6,365 (25%)
Private 8,554 (34%)
Total 25,175
(MW)
Type Installed Capacity *
Thermal 14,242 (57%)
Hydro 3,568 (14%)
Non-conventional 3,456 (14%)
Other Sources 3,909 (15%)
Total 25,175
Link* As on 31.3.2012
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11776
12304 12433
13175
9435
10060
10663
11687
9000
9500
10000
10500
11000
11500
12000
12500
13000
13500
2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12
23
Power : Average Demand & Supply (MSEDCL)
Demand (MW)
Availability (MW)
MOU FSA GasCoal
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Power : Load Shedding Scenario
Greater Mumbai : No load shedding
Rest of Maharashtra : No load shedding in
• Industrial feeders
• Waterworks
• IT Parks
• Utilities on express feeder
• In 94 out of 142 divisions having DCL below 34%
Rest of Maharashtra : Agriculture
• Assured 3 phase supply to pumps in rotation either
o 10 hrs. (night) or
o 8 hrs. (day)Link
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Item 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12(up to Dec.)
Distribution losses 24.1 22.0 20.6 17.3 15.5
Transmission losses 4.7 4.9 4.6 4.3 4.0
Total T&D losses 28.8 26.9 25.2 21.6 19.5
Collection efficiency 97.4 96.6 99.0 98.6 98.6
AT&C losses 31.0 29.6 25.9 22.3 19.5
Power : Losses (XI FYP)(Per cent)
Source: Energy Dept., GoM
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Power : Non-Conventional Energy (XI FYP)
1,627
3,227
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2007 2012
MW1,627
3,227
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2007 2012
MW
MW
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Roads : Road Length in Selected States
State Area (lakh sq.km.)
Road Length(lakh km.)
Road Length per 100 sq. km.
area (km.)Andhra Pradesh 2.75 2.03 74Gujarat 1.96 1.15 58Haryana 0.44 0.24 55Karnataka 1.92 2.10 110Kerala 0.39 1.55 400Maharashtra 3.08 2.37 77Punjab 0.50 0.55 109Tamil Nadu 1.30 1.94 149
27
Source : Indian Infra Roads & Bridges Directory and Year Book 2011 (As on 31st March, 2011)
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Roads : Rural Connectivity (PMGSY)
RegionRoad length (km.)
Sanctioned Completed Balance
Konkan 1,667 1,507 160
Pune 4,700 4,361 339
Nashik 4,332 4,057 275
Aurangabad 4,944 4,670 274
Amravati 2,996 2,941 55
Nagpur 4,569 3,800 769
Total 23,208 21,336 1,872
28Source : RDD, GoM (Upto 31st Mar., 2012)
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Railways : Projects with State Contribution
Project name Estimated cost
(Rs. crore)
State Contribution (Rs. crore)
Projects SanctionedAhmednagar-Beed-Parli Vaijnath 1,039 520 (50%)Wardha-Nanded-Yavatmal-Pusad 1,605 642 (40%)Approvals awaited from GoIManmad-Indore-Malegaon-Shirpur- Shendna 1,751 876 (50%)
Wadsa Desaiganj-Gadchiroli 232 116 (50%)
Manikgarh-Nanded-Adilabad 300 150 (50%)
Pune-Nashik 1,900 950 (50%)Karad-Chiplun 928 464 (50%)Total 7,755 3,718
29
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Ports
Revised Port Policy declared in 2010
Development on “Build, Own, Operate, Share & Transfer (BOOST)” basis
Agreements signed :
Ratnagiri District - Dhamankhol-Jaigad & Angre
Raigad District - Rewas-Aware & Dighi
Sindhudurg District - Vijaydurg & Redi
Proposed investment of Rs.14,200 crore; already invested Rs. 3,500 crore.
Cargo handling : 20 MTPA to 170 MTPA by 2020.
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Airports : Fund Requirement (XII FYP)
Airport (District) Total Project Cost
(Land+Const.)
Projected Expenditure
(2012-17)International
Nagpur 7,574 3,530Rajgurunagar (Pune) 5,494 2,699
DomesticAmravati 409 351Phaltan (Satara) 66 33Chandrapur 375 188Dhule 373 187Gadchiroli 278 139Karad (Satara) 96 96Boramani (Solapur) 383 334Shirdi (Ahmednagar) 347 269Total 15,395 7,825
31
(Rs. crore)
Link
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Industry : State’s Contribution
FDI since 2000 – 33.4%
Industrial output – 16.7%
Employment – 12.8%
MSME output – Rs. 1.1 lakh crore
Mega projects approved - 324 (75% in backward talukas) with Rs. 2.7 lakh crore investment & 3 lakh employment generation
SEZs – 63 notified (24 operational with Rs. 17,830 crore investment & 86,000 employment generation)
Link
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0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12
Andhra Pradesh Gujarat KarnatakaMaharashtra Tamil Nadu
Industry : FDI in Selected States (XI FYP)
Source: “FDI Statistics," February 2012, . DIPP website
Maharashtra
33
(US$ Million)
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Industry : IEMs Signed in Selected States
Source: "SIA Statistics," February 2012, DIPP website 34Link Link
86
56
19
87
27
86
50
22
120
28
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Kar
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Mah
aras
htra
Tam
il N
adu
2010 2011
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Textiles
2nd largest producer of cotton (about 70 lakh bales)
Mainly produced in backward regions of Vidarbha, Marathwada & North Maharashtra
Only 20% of produce processed in the State
New Textile Policy recently announced
Investment of Rs. 40,000 crore with 11 lakh employment generation expected
Programmes under the policy linked to restructured TUF Scheme
Restructured TUF Scheme should continue in the XII Five Year Plan – without any change
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Housing : JNNURM
Sub-Mission Approved Dwelling
Units (DUs)
Project Cost (Rs.
crore)
Expenditur e incurred(Rs. crore)
DUs completed
as on 30.4.2012
BSUP (62 DPRs) 1,52,223 6,241 2,797 54,557
IHSDP (128 DPRs) 1,16,668 2,672 324 16,788
Total 2,68,891 8,913 3,121 71,345
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Housing : Indira Awas Yojana
Year Target Houses Completed
Percentage to the target
2007-08 1,15,879 1,25,241 108
2008-09 1,15,869 1,13,945 98
2009-10 2,23,653 2,05,862 92
2010-11 1,55,052 1,58,027 102
2011-12 1,51,063 1,53,185 101
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* Source - RGI + NFHS-III (2005-06) @ Family welfare Statistics in India, 2011
Item Unit Target for XI FYP
Present status
National Rank
IMR (2010) Per thousand live births
17 28* 3
MMR (2007-09) Per lakh live births
50 104* 3
TFR (2009) Children / woman
2.1 1.9* 3
Institutional Deliveries ( 2009)
Per cent - 81.9@ 5
Malnutrition of Children (0- 3 years)
Per cent 24.8 41.6+ -
Anaemia among women (15-49 years)
Per cent 24.3 48.4+ 3
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Health : Indicators
Link
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Health : Normal Children (No Malnutrition)(Per cent)
Source : Women & Child Development Deptt., GoM
43.9
84.5
010
2030
4050
6070
8090
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
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Water Supply & Sanitation
Financial support requested for bulk & retail water meters
Integrated Low Cost Sanitation Scheme may be re-introduced in XII FYP
For cleaner environment in rural & urban areas Rs. 500 crore is requested.
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Education : Enrollment upto Junior College (12th Std.)
Type Enrollment
2010-11 2011-12
Primary 106.3 107.3
Secondary 56.0 56.6
Higher secondary 42.9 43.3
Junior college 8.2 8.2
(Lakh)
Link Link
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4242
Education : Enrollment in Higher & Technical
Stream Enrollment
2010-11 2011-12
General Education 17.84 17.69
Technical Education 7.77 9.09
Medical Education 0.17 0.17
Veterinary and Fishery Science 0.02 0.02
Agriculture 0.10 0.11
Total 25.89 27.08
(Lakh)
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Wardha61391
Hingoli49470
Nanded44978
Yavatmal63469
Chandrapur67641
Gadchiroli43058
Gondiya50042
Nandurbar52923
Nagpur96458
Aurangabad84295
Amravati63270
Washim52075
Akola58627Buldana
45699
Jalgaon68900
Dhule58575
Bhandara57094
Ahmadnagar71054
Kolhapur84095
Sindhudurg69552
Ratnagiri66921
Satara67134
Solapur70465
Osmanabad48887
Parbhani50716
Beed52177
Jalna50262
Pune127176
Raigad96468
Mumbai141138
Mumbai (Suburban)
Thane125562
Nashik84982
Sangli71196
Latur81557
District Income
Less than per capita National Income 53,331 (11 districts)
Above Per capita National income butbelow per capita State income (18 districts)
More than per capita State Income 87,686 (6 districts)
Per Capita Income : Districts (2010-11)
Link Link 43
(Rs.)
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Human Development Index
44
State 2001 2011
Andhra Pradesh 0.368 0.473Gujarat 0.466 0.527Haryana 0.501 0.552Karnataka 0.432 0.519Kerala 0.677 0.790Maharashtra 0.501 0.572
Punjab 0.543 0.605Tamil Nadu 0.480 0.570West Bengal 0.422 0.492India 0.387 0.467
Source: IHDR, 2011
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Urban Development - JNNURM
Sr. No.
Particulars UIG+ Bus+ e-
Governance
UIDSSMT
1 Number of urban agglomerations where Projects are approved 5 5
2 Number of Projects Approved 94 92
3 Total Approved Cost (Rs. crore) 12,366 2,760
4 Government of India share committed (Rs. crore) 5,493 2,208
5 Government of India Share released to PIA (Rs. crore) 4,134 1,851
Link Link
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Urban Development - JNNURM
Upto 2011-12, 28 projects completed, 105 projects
halfway through
Remaining projects to be completed in 2 years
JNNURM may be continued
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Development of Mumbai
Development of Mumbai as an IFC should be a specific goal under the
XII FYP, considering its importance in the context of national economy
Projects like
• MTHL (Rs. 9,600 crore)
• Vasai-Alibag Multi Modal Corridor (Rs. 9,300 crore)
• Mumbai Coastal Road (Rs. 6,000 crore)
• Navi Mumbai Airport (Rs. 14,000 crore)
• Dhamanganga-Pinjal River Linking Project (Rs. 3,500 crore)
should be treated as National Projects & should receive separate
targeted support – both financial & policy level, from GoI
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Strategy for XII FYP
Proposed outlay - Rs. 2,75,000 croreSectors which will contribute to higher GSDP –
• Water Conservation• Completion of irrigation projects• Manufacturing• Port, Rail & Air connectivity• Quality urban infrastructure for growth of
industry & service sector
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Strategy for XII FYP (contd...)
Rainfed ‘Agriculture & Allied Sector’• Interventions to protect dry land farming• Consistent & predictable policy regime for pricing,
marketing & exportTransformation of Mumbai Metropolitan Region into world class urban agglomerateSpecial window for mega cities to upgrade transport, housing & environment infrastructureInclusion of Pune & Nagpur region in mega cities infrastructure development
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We expect….
Financial support for dry land farming Timely release of AIBP fundsCentral participation (or increased participation) in • Rail projects• Civil aviation projects • Non-major port connectivity• State sponsored Rajiv Gandhi Jeevandayee Yojana
PMGSY - 2 for upgradation of rural roads
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JNNURM – 2 for other cities & semi-urban townsLow cost sanitation scheme in Total Sanitation Campaign for rural & urban areasContinuation of TUF for textile sectorIncreased central share in Indira Awas YojanaIntroduction of ‘National Projects for Mega Cities’‘Green Bonus’ for forest areas
We expect……
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Thank You
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We welcome the Chief Minister of Maharashtra and his delegation to the Annual Plan 2012-13 Discussions
29 May 2012 Government of India, Planning Commission
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DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS Maharashtra India
Overall Sex Ratio (2011) 925 940
Maternal Mortality Ratio (2007-09) 104 212
Neonatal Mortality Rate (2010) 22 33
Infant Mortality Rate (2010) 28 47Child Mortality Rate (U5MR) (2010)FemaleMale
333531
596455
Sex Ratio at Birth (2008-10) 895 905
Child Sex Ratio (0-6 years) 20112001
883913
914927
Lowest Child Sex Ratio (2011)Steepest fall in CSR (2001-2011)
801 (Bid)93 (Bid)
774 Jhajhar210 Pulwama
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3
Our Census, Our Future
Child Sex Ratio in Age Group 0-6 years2001 2011
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Action Points -
2
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Child Sex Ratio Trends -
Maharashtra
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• 12.8 million children under 6 years (2011) in Maharashtra – 6.8 m are boys – Only 6 m are girls
• Child Sex Ratio falls from 913 to 883 (2001- 2011)
• Fall in child sex ratio by 30 points- steepest after J&K (82), Dadra NH (55 ) and Lakshadweep (51)
• Reduction in Child Sex Ratio in 31 districts– By 50-99 points: 7 districts– By 30-50 points: 10 districts – By 9-30 points: 13 districts
• Child Sex Ratio (2011) Urban : 888 Rural: 880
• Increase in Sex Ratio at Birth in Maharashtra From 879 in 2004-06 to 895 in 2008-10 (SRS 2010)
Child Sex Ratio (0-6 yrs) -Maharashtra
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Child Sex Ratio 2001-2011: Maharashtra Districts
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http://planningcommission.gov.inPlanning Commission