presentation on german and indonesia business forum at bappenas, jakarta 11 february 2012
TRANSCRIPT
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MP3EI: THE WAY WE ARE
Presented In:
German-Indonesia Business Meeting
@Bappenas
Jakarta, 11 Feburary 2013
By: Eddy Satriya
Head of International Cooperation Division
Secretariat of KPE3
COMMITTEE FOR ACCELERATION AND EXPANSION OF INDONESIA ECONOMICDEVELOPMENT
KP3EI
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Before, Now, and Then!!!(China , German, America, and Indonesia)
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China constructs Bridges
What can Indonesia do???
America exports Chopsticks
German sets up automobile trend
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Rich Natural Resourcesmost of them are still intact to be processed into higher VA products
Natural Gas Thermal Coal Geothermal Palm Oil Cocoa Tin Nickel BauxiteFrequency
Spectrum
KeyMetrics
About 165TCF of
reserves atproductionrate 3 TCF
pa
Worldsecondlargest
exporter
Home of40% ofworlds
resources(the largest
in the
world)
Worldslargest
exporter;>19 miltons per
year
At 770 thoutons/year,worlds 2nd
largestproducer
At 65 thoutons/year,worlds 2nd
largestproducer
Own 12%of worldsreserves
(4th largest)
Worlds 7thlargest
reserves;worlds 4th
largestproduction
700 MHzoutside
Java,Potential
arrangement for Java
area
2300-2360MHz urbannationwide
About 40% is assumedfeasible. Up to now, 1.200
MW has been developed.
Will be at least partiallyprocessed
domestically by 2013(new mining law:4/2009)
Abundant resources forgas-based energy and
petrochemical industries Not including Non-
Conventional Gases,from Coal Bed Methaneand Coal Gassification
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148
10794
57
46
37
2826
17
Legislative
Demokrat
Golkar
PDI-P
PKS
PAN
PPP
PKB
Gerindra
Political Stability: the worlds third largest democracy
Appointed
Appointed
38%
Directly
elected
Directly
elected
62%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2002 2007 2009Source: World Bank, 2009
% of appointed local government heads vs. directly elected
In election year 2009, President wins
more than 60% votes from 176 million
registered voters
(election year 2009)
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(New) DemocracyYES!
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Just Recently (20 Sept2012)
An humble Major from
small city Solo in Central
Java, JOKO WIDODO
paired with AHOK from
Belitung (Sumatera),
unsurprisingly won the
most prestigious position
as DKI Jaya - Jakarta
governors.Courtesy of Antara
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Indonesia Economic Corridors: Masterplan
Basically MP3EI is based on these strategicinitiatives:
1. Encourage a large scale investment
realization in 22 main economic
activities
2. Synchronization of national action plan
to revitalize the real sector
performance3. The development of center of
excellence in 6 (six) economic corridors
Main strategy of MP3EI:
1. Economic potential development
through economic corridor
2. Strengthening the national connectivity3. Strengthening national human
resources capability and science and
technology
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Perpres 32/2011 27 May 201
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MP3EI aims at accelerating Indonesias economic transformation through
cross-entity synergy and collaboration
2010GDP ~ US$ 700 B
GDP/c US$ 3,005
17th major nation
2014
GDP: US$ ~ 1,2T
GDP/c:
US$ ~ 4.800
14 major
economy
2025GDP: US$ 3,8
4,5T
GDP/c:
13.000 16.100
US$
12 high income
country
1
2
3
Developing economic potential through economic
corridors
Strengthening national human resources
capability and science & technology
Strengthening national connectivity
Coordinating Ministry of Economic Affairs, National
Development and Planning Agency, Ministry of Finance,
Ministry of Public Works, Ministry of Transportation,
Ministry of Forestry, Ministry of Energy and Mineral
Resources (other relevant Ministries), Governors,
Chamber of Commerce leaders, experts, business players
9 Working Groups: 3 Cross-sector Working Groups
(Regulation, Connectivity, HR & Tech) and 6 Working
Groups of Economic Corridors)
In creating economic transformation for Indonesia,
MP3EI employs three pillars
and revolves in the cross-entity efforts to ensure
sound projects coordination, consisting of:
Chairman : President
Vice Chairman: Vice President
DAILY IMPLEMENTATION TEAM
Chairman: Coordinating Minister of Economic Affair
Vice Chairman 1: Minister of National Dev Planning Agency
Vice Chairman 2: Chairman of National Economic Committee
SECRETARIAT
Java
EC
Team
Sumatr
a
EC*
Team
Sulawe
si
EC
Team
Kalimant
an
EC
Team
Bali-NT
EC
Team
Papua-
Kep.Maluku
EC Team
REGULATION
Working Group
CONNECTIVITY
Working GroupHR & TECH
Working Group
Note
*EC
Economic
Corridor
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MP3EI infrastructure project offers potential opportunity of
~USD 64 billion for private sector participation
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0,3
Jawa
48,4
50,5
0,1
170,7
19,40,1
Sumatera
15,5
47,2
61,3
35,0
4,8 0,0
2,6
56,9
0,0
1,7 0,00,2
0,3
Bali-NT
0,512,1
0,1
2,4
9,7
0,1
Sulawesi
4,6
0,0
1,0
19,8
0,2
Kalimantan
7,7
30,0
6,9
11,9
Papua-
Kep.Maluku
Funding Gap
599
(28%)
APBN
152
(7%)
PPP
400
(19%)
SOE
536
(25%)
27%
8%
Funding Gap (614)
41%
Mixed Fund (358)
24%
Private (402)
SOE (16)
1%APBN (121)
Seaport
Railway
Road & Bridges
Energy
Airport
Water, logistic
Funding gap calculation based on:
MP3EI Database per 31 August 2012 (477 Projects)
Funding gap formula: Investment value (allocated budget from APBN + SOE). Private sector funded projects are assumed 100% fully covered.
ICT sector is not included in the calculation as the projects list still under progress of validation
Energy funding gap requires further validation with PLN
MP3EI Infastructure Project
Funding Source (Rp Trilion*): MP3EI Infrastructure Project Funding Gap Identified (IDR Trillion)
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Project/ Investor Bottleneck issues
Sei Mangkei Industrial Estate Delay in land acquisition process dueto delay in the issuance of Provincial
Spatial Planning State Law (Perda
RTRWP)
Infrastructure availability in time of
the investment (Kuala Tanjung
seaport expansion, road, railway and
Kuala Namu airport)
Central Java IPP
Location permit has not been issuedby local government due to different
interpretations of the power plant
Requires acceleration for land
acquisition and certification
Bangko Tengah Railway for
coal transportation
Railway area overlaps with forest
area
Delay in issuance of IPPKH (Forest
land area use permit)
PTPN III
Debottlenecking effort and result
Enhance coordination between line
ministries/agencies, other government
entities and stakeholders, which resulted in
acceleration of RTRW finalization
KP3EI ensures additional budget is provided
and allocated to support infrastructure
projects implementation in timely manner
The location permit that was stuck for 20 months waunlocked in 3 months following KP3EI involvement
KP3EI continues support of de-bottlenecking for land
acquisition process to reach financial close by Oct
2013
Coordination is conducted up to Ministrial level,
resulted in clearance of dispute settlement
KP3EI facilitated the provision of ~9.881 ha forest
area to be used by PT Bukit Asam
Jakarta MRT Jakarta MRT project has beendiscussed for ~20 years with no
significant progress, while financial
loss due to traffic has reached IDR
12.8 T in 2012
GOI encouraged Local Government to proceed
with the plan as per initial timeline
The recent development is that Central
Government accelerating their support and plans
to increase Central Government funding portion
from the current 42% to >48% for MRT project
Samples of top down initiatives to debottleneck MP3EI infrastructure development
facilitated by KP3EI (Secretariat of MP3EI program)
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In addition to debottlenecking initiatives, KP3EI is currently leading the MP3EI priority
project screening initiative by emphasizing on enablers for production centers development
SUMATERA
Production center of natural resource and
national energy source
KALIMANTANProduction center of mining and national
energy source
SULAWESIProduction center of agriculture, plantation and
fisheries
JAWA
Industrial and services
BALI-NUSA TENGGARA
Tourism and livestock
PAPUA KEP. MALUKU
Natural resources
Karawang Industrial Area
More than 7 industrial areas exporting 65% out
of Indonesias total export. Lorealhas invested
USD $ 1 billion, PT Toyota Astra Motor is in the
middle of Rp 15 Trillions worth of plant
construction.
Special Economic Zone Bitung and Palu
Estimated investment interest of Rp 1.7
Trillion with potential GDP of Rp 13 Trillion
Nickel industry in Halmahera
3 companies interested in
investing Rp 96.6 Trillions
CPO industry di East Kalimantan
Existing 200 palm plantation
companies and 42 CPO industries
in East KalimantanINTERNATIONAL HUBPORT WEST INTERNATIONAL HUB
PORT EAST
CPO industry in Sei Mangke
PT Unilever Indonesia and PT
Feroostat are investing USD $ 1
billions.
Tourism Industry in Lombok
Number of tourists to Lombok increased 35% per year from
2010 to 2012. Mandalika potentially attract Rp 3 Trillions of
investment and Sengigi attracts many foreign investors
Agricultural Industry in Papua
(MIFEE)Potential investment of Rp 57
Trillions. Sugar industry is
almost ready for operation in
Merauke.
Coal industry in Central Kalimantan
Potential production of USD $4.5
billion/year, existing production is USD
$750 millions
Energy Intensive Industry in Nabire
Potential PLTA Membramo of 14,000
MW is suitable to be the center of
energy intensive industry, such as
smelter, etc
Coal Industry in Southern Sumatera
39% national coal reserve is in southern
Sumatera, with estimated 18,13 billion
tons stock.
Production centers with high investment readiness require commitment from government in the form of infrastructure
accelleration.
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Top 38 MP3EI Priority Projects with Groundbreaking target (max) in 2014
Road and Toll Road
Project Title
Investment Value
(IDR Bio) Target GB
1. The Brigde of Balang Island 1,572 2014
Water and Sanitation
Project TitleInvestment Value
(IDR Bio)Target GB
2. SPAM Jatiluhur 1,890 2014
3. Jakarta Sewerage System 4,319 2014
4. DAM Raknamo and DAM Kolhua 1000 2014
5. SPAM Umbulan 2,042 2014
Seaport
Project TitleInvestment Value
(IDR Bio)Target GB
6. Makassar New Port N/A 2014
7. Kuala Tanjung Seaport 7,700 2014
8. Maloy Seaport 4,800 2014
9. Lembar Bay Seaport 390 2014
10. Sorong Seaport N/A 2014
Airport
Project TitleInvestment Value
(IDR Bio) Target GB
11. Construction of Kertajati Airport 1,125 2014
Railway
Project TitleInvestment Value
(IDR Bio)Target GB
12. Solo - Madiun Double Track Railway 1,800 2014
13. Medan Kualanamu Double Track 980 2014
ICT
Project TitleInvestment Value
(IDR Bio)Target GB
14. Palapa Ring 2,800 2014
Energy
Project TitleInvestment Value
(IDR Bio)Target GB
15. PLTU Pangkalan Susu 2 x 200 MW 4,300 201416. PLTU Takalar 2 x 100 MW 2,800 2014
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Top 38 MP3EI Priority Projects with Groundbreaking target (max) in 2017
Road and Toll Road
Project TitleInvestment
Value (IDR Bio)Target GB
1. Palu Parigi Hub 1,000 2017
2. Balikpapan Samarinda Toll Road 11,400 2017
3. Manado - Bitung Toll Road 3,152 2017
4. Medan Binjai Toll Road 2,560 2017
5. Palembang Indralaya Toll Road 910 2017
6. Pekanbaru - Kandis Dumai Toll Road 16,279 2017
7. Bakauheni - Terbanggi Besar Toll Road 8,447 2017
8. Tebing Tinggi - Kisaran - Rantau Prapat
Toll Road
33,170 2017
9. Panimbang Serang Toll Road 9,579 2016
10. Enarotali - Tiom Road 1,680 2016
11. Access Road for Purwakarta Industrial
Area688 2015
12. Lubuk Pakam Tebing Tinggi Toll
Road3,541 2015
Water and Sanitation
Project Title InvestmentValue (IDR Bio) Target GB
13. SPAM Bali Selatan 2,727
2013 (SPAM
Penet)
2016 (SPAM
Ayung)
Seaport
Project TitleInvestment
Value (IDR Bio)
Target GB
14.Kuala Tanjung International Hub Port 60,000 2017
15. Bitung International Hub Port In calculation 2017
16. Cilamaya Port and Access Road 40,303 2017
Airport
Project TitleInvestment
Value (IDR Bio)Target GB
17. Construction of Karawang Airport and
Access Road35,361 2017
Railway
Project TitleInvestment
Value (IDR Bio)Target GB
18. Madiun - Surabaya Double Track
Railway3,300 2017
19. Construction of Railway Lane in
Purukcahu-Bangkuang/Mangkatip-
Batanjung, Central Kalimantan
20,000 2017
20. Makassar - Pare-Pare Railway 5,250 2017
Energy
Project TitleInvestment
Value (IDR Bio)Target GB
21. PLTU Indramayu 4 (1 x 1000 MW) 16,500 2015
22. PLTU Asamasam 5-6 (2 x 100 MW) 3,200 2015
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REPUBLIC Of INDONESIA
COORDINATING MINISTRY FOR ECONOMIC AFFAIRS
Eddy SatriyaHead ofInternational Cooperation Division,
Secretariat of KP3EI
Jalan Medan Merdeka Barat No. 7,
Jakarta Pusat - Indonesia
Phone: +62 21 34832611; Fax: +62 21 34832609
email: [email protected] @EddySatriya
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Recent publications are available on:eddysatriya.wordpress.com
kolom.pacific.net.id
Eddy Satriya 1989 :Graduated from Bandung Institute of Technology
(Telecommunication Engineering)
1997 :Graduated from University of Connecticut (MA in Economics)
1989-90: Program Management Consultancy (PMC-IV) forTelecommunication Development
1990-2005: Working in Bappenas (The National Development PlanningAgency).
1995 : Secretary to Board of Commissioners of PT.Telkomsel
1997- present: Visiting Lecturer in University of Indonesia, University ofPelita Harapan, and ITB
2002-present : Actively writes various article and column in nationalpapers and magazines.
2005 (Dec)-present: Working in Coordinating Ministry forEconomics Affairs
2011 - Present: Head of International Cooperation Division,
Secretariat of KP3EI
Contact:
62.21.3511466 t
62.21.3511464 f
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