presentation on german and indonesia business forum at bappenas, jakarta 11 february 2012

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    MP3EI: THE WAY WE ARE

    Presented In:

    German-Indonesia Business Meeting

    @Bappenas

    Jakarta, 11 Feburary 2013

    By: Eddy Satriya

    Head of International Cooperation Division

    Secretariat of KPE3

    COMMITTEE FOR ACCELERATION AND EXPANSION OF INDONESIA ECONOMICDEVELOPMENT

    KP3EI

    1

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    Before, Now, and Then!!!(China , German, America, and Indonesia)

    2

    China constructs Bridges

    What can Indonesia do???

    America exports Chopsticks

    German sets up automobile trend

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    Rich Natural Resourcesmost of them are still intact to be processed into higher VA products

    Natural Gas Thermal Coal Geothermal Palm Oil Cocoa Tin Nickel BauxiteFrequency

    Spectrum

    KeyMetrics

    About 165TCF of

    reserves atproductionrate 3 TCF

    pa

    Worldsecondlargest

    exporter

    Home of40% ofworlds

    resources(the largest

    in the

    world)

    Worldslargest

    exporter;>19 miltons per

    year

    At 770 thoutons/year,worlds 2nd

    largestproducer

    At 65 thoutons/year,worlds 2nd

    largestproducer

    Own 12%of worldsreserves

    (4th largest)

    Worlds 7thlargest

    reserves;worlds 4th

    largestproduction

    700 MHzoutside

    Java,Potential

    arrangement for Java

    area

    2300-2360MHz urbannationwide

    About 40% is assumedfeasible. Up to now, 1.200

    MW has been developed.

    Will be at least partiallyprocessed

    domestically by 2013(new mining law:4/2009)

    Abundant resources forgas-based energy and

    petrochemical industries Not including Non-

    Conventional Gases,from Coal Bed Methaneand Coal Gassification

    3

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    148

    10794

    57

    46

    37

    2826

    17

    Legislative

    Demokrat

    Golkar

    PDI-P

    PKS

    PAN

    PPP

    PKB

    Gerindra

    Political Stability: the worlds third largest democracy

    Appointed

    Appointed

    38%

    Directly

    elected

    Directly

    elected

    62%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    2002 2007 2009Source: World Bank, 2009

    % of appointed local government heads vs. directly elected

    In election year 2009, President wins

    more than 60% votes from 176 million

    registered voters

    (election year 2009)

    6

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    (New) DemocracyYES!

    7

    Just Recently (20 Sept2012)

    An humble Major from

    small city Solo in Central

    Java, JOKO WIDODO

    paired with AHOK from

    Belitung (Sumatera),

    unsurprisingly won the

    most prestigious position

    as DKI Jaya - Jakarta

    governors.Courtesy of Antara

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    Indonesia Economic Corridors: Masterplan

    Basically MP3EI is based on these strategicinitiatives:

    1. Encourage a large scale investment

    realization in 22 main economic

    activities

    2. Synchronization of national action plan

    to revitalize the real sector

    performance3. The development of center of

    excellence in 6 (six) economic corridors

    Main strategy of MP3EI:

    1. Economic potential development

    through economic corridor

    2. Strengthening the national connectivity3. Strengthening national human

    resources capability and science and

    technology

    8

    Perpres 32/2011 27 May 201

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    MP3EI aims at accelerating Indonesias economic transformation through

    cross-entity synergy and collaboration

    2010GDP ~ US$ 700 B

    GDP/c US$ 3,005

    17th major nation

    2014

    GDP: US$ ~ 1,2T

    GDP/c:

    US$ ~ 4.800

    14 major

    economy

    2025GDP: US$ 3,8

    4,5T

    GDP/c:

    13.000 16.100

    US$

    12 high income

    country

    1

    2

    3

    Developing economic potential through economic

    corridors

    Strengthening national human resources

    capability and science & technology

    Strengthening national connectivity

    Coordinating Ministry of Economic Affairs, National

    Development and Planning Agency, Ministry of Finance,

    Ministry of Public Works, Ministry of Transportation,

    Ministry of Forestry, Ministry of Energy and Mineral

    Resources (other relevant Ministries), Governors,

    Chamber of Commerce leaders, experts, business players

    9 Working Groups: 3 Cross-sector Working Groups

    (Regulation, Connectivity, HR & Tech) and 6 Working

    Groups of Economic Corridors)

    In creating economic transformation for Indonesia,

    MP3EI employs three pillars

    and revolves in the cross-entity efforts to ensure

    sound projects coordination, consisting of:

    Chairman : President

    Vice Chairman: Vice President

    DAILY IMPLEMENTATION TEAM

    Chairman: Coordinating Minister of Economic Affair

    Vice Chairman 1: Minister of National Dev Planning Agency

    Vice Chairman 2: Chairman of National Economic Committee

    SECRETARIAT

    Java

    EC

    Team

    Sumatr

    a

    EC*

    Team

    Sulawe

    si

    EC

    Team

    Kalimant

    an

    EC

    Team

    Bali-NT

    EC

    Team

    Papua-

    Kep.Maluku

    EC Team

    REGULATION

    Working Group

    CONNECTIVITY

    Working GroupHR & TECH

    Working Group

    Note

    *EC

    Economic

    Corridor

    9

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    MP3EI infrastructure project offers potential opportunity of

    ~USD 64 billion for private sector participation

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    0,3

    Jawa

    48,4

    50,5

    0,1

    170,7

    19,40,1

    Sumatera

    15,5

    47,2

    61,3

    35,0

    4,8 0,0

    2,6

    56,9

    0,0

    1,7 0,00,2

    0,3

    Bali-NT

    0,512,1

    0,1

    2,4

    9,7

    0,1

    Sulawesi

    4,6

    0,0

    1,0

    19,8

    0,2

    Kalimantan

    7,7

    30,0

    6,9

    11,9

    Papua-

    Kep.Maluku

    Funding Gap

    599

    (28%)

    APBN

    152

    (7%)

    PPP

    400

    (19%)

    SOE

    536

    (25%)

    27%

    8%

    Funding Gap (614)

    41%

    Mixed Fund (358)

    24%

    Private (402)

    SOE (16)

    1%APBN (121)

    Seaport

    Railway

    Road & Bridges

    Energy

    Airport

    Water, logistic

    Funding gap calculation based on:

    MP3EI Database per 31 August 2012 (477 Projects)

    Funding gap formula: Investment value (allocated budget from APBN + SOE). Private sector funded projects are assumed 100% fully covered.

    ICT sector is not included in the calculation as the projects list still under progress of validation

    Energy funding gap requires further validation with PLN

    MP3EI Infastructure Project

    Funding Source (Rp Trilion*): MP3EI Infrastructure Project Funding Gap Identified (IDR Trillion)

    10

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    Project/ Investor Bottleneck issues

    Sei Mangkei Industrial Estate Delay in land acquisition process dueto delay in the issuance of Provincial

    Spatial Planning State Law (Perda

    RTRWP)

    Infrastructure availability in time of

    the investment (Kuala Tanjung

    seaport expansion, road, railway and

    Kuala Namu airport)

    Central Java IPP

    Location permit has not been issuedby local government due to different

    interpretations of the power plant

    Requires acceleration for land

    acquisition and certification

    Bangko Tengah Railway for

    coal transportation

    Railway area overlaps with forest

    area

    Delay in issuance of IPPKH (Forest

    land area use permit)

    PTPN III

    Debottlenecking effort and result

    Enhance coordination between line

    ministries/agencies, other government

    entities and stakeholders, which resulted in

    acceleration of RTRW finalization

    KP3EI ensures additional budget is provided

    and allocated to support infrastructure

    projects implementation in timely manner

    The location permit that was stuck for 20 months waunlocked in 3 months following KP3EI involvement

    KP3EI continues support of de-bottlenecking for land

    acquisition process to reach financial close by Oct

    2013

    Coordination is conducted up to Ministrial level,

    resulted in clearance of dispute settlement

    KP3EI facilitated the provision of ~9.881 ha forest

    area to be used by PT Bukit Asam

    Jakarta MRT Jakarta MRT project has beendiscussed for ~20 years with no

    significant progress, while financial

    loss due to traffic has reached IDR

    12.8 T in 2012

    GOI encouraged Local Government to proceed

    with the plan as per initial timeline

    The recent development is that Central

    Government accelerating their support and plans

    to increase Central Government funding portion

    from the current 42% to >48% for MRT project

    Samples of top down initiatives to debottleneck MP3EI infrastructure development

    facilitated by KP3EI (Secretariat of MP3EI program)

    11

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    In addition to debottlenecking initiatives, KP3EI is currently leading the MP3EI priority

    project screening initiative by emphasizing on enablers for production centers development

    SUMATERA

    Production center of natural resource and

    national energy source

    KALIMANTANProduction center of mining and national

    energy source

    SULAWESIProduction center of agriculture, plantation and

    fisheries

    JAWA

    Industrial and services

    BALI-NUSA TENGGARA

    Tourism and livestock

    PAPUA KEP. MALUKU

    Natural resources

    Karawang Industrial Area

    More than 7 industrial areas exporting 65% out

    of Indonesias total export. Lorealhas invested

    USD $ 1 billion, PT Toyota Astra Motor is in the

    middle of Rp 15 Trillions worth of plant

    construction.

    Special Economic Zone Bitung and Palu

    Estimated investment interest of Rp 1.7

    Trillion with potential GDP of Rp 13 Trillion

    Nickel industry in Halmahera

    3 companies interested in

    investing Rp 96.6 Trillions

    CPO industry di East Kalimantan

    Existing 200 palm plantation

    companies and 42 CPO industries

    in East KalimantanINTERNATIONAL HUBPORT WEST INTERNATIONAL HUB

    PORT EAST

    CPO industry in Sei Mangke

    PT Unilever Indonesia and PT

    Feroostat are investing USD $ 1

    billions.

    Tourism Industry in Lombok

    Number of tourists to Lombok increased 35% per year from

    2010 to 2012. Mandalika potentially attract Rp 3 Trillions of

    investment and Sengigi attracts many foreign investors

    Agricultural Industry in Papua

    (MIFEE)Potential investment of Rp 57

    Trillions. Sugar industry is

    almost ready for operation in

    Merauke.

    Coal industry in Central Kalimantan

    Potential production of USD $4.5

    billion/year, existing production is USD

    $750 millions

    Energy Intensive Industry in Nabire

    Potential PLTA Membramo of 14,000

    MW is suitable to be the center of

    energy intensive industry, such as

    smelter, etc

    Coal Industry in Southern Sumatera

    39% national coal reserve is in southern

    Sumatera, with estimated 18,13 billion

    tons stock.

    Production centers with high investment readiness require commitment from government in the form of infrastructure

    accelleration.

    12

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    Top 38 MP3EI Priority Projects with Groundbreaking target (max) in 2014

    Road and Toll Road

    Project Title

    Investment Value

    (IDR Bio) Target GB

    1. The Brigde of Balang Island 1,572 2014

    Water and Sanitation

    Project TitleInvestment Value

    (IDR Bio)Target GB

    2. SPAM Jatiluhur 1,890 2014

    3. Jakarta Sewerage System 4,319 2014

    4. DAM Raknamo and DAM Kolhua 1000 2014

    5. SPAM Umbulan 2,042 2014

    Seaport

    Project TitleInvestment Value

    (IDR Bio)Target GB

    6. Makassar New Port N/A 2014

    7. Kuala Tanjung Seaport 7,700 2014

    8. Maloy Seaport 4,800 2014

    9. Lembar Bay Seaport 390 2014

    10. Sorong Seaport N/A 2014

    Airport

    Project TitleInvestment Value

    (IDR Bio) Target GB

    11. Construction of Kertajati Airport 1,125 2014

    Railway

    Project TitleInvestment Value

    (IDR Bio)Target GB

    12. Solo - Madiun Double Track Railway 1,800 2014

    13. Medan Kualanamu Double Track 980 2014

    ICT

    Project TitleInvestment Value

    (IDR Bio)Target GB

    14. Palapa Ring 2,800 2014

    Energy

    Project TitleInvestment Value

    (IDR Bio)Target GB

    15. PLTU Pangkalan Susu 2 x 200 MW 4,300 201416. PLTU Takalar 2 x 100 MW 2,800 2014

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    Top 38 MP3EI Priority Projects with Groundbreaking target (max) in 2017

    Road and Toll Road

    Project TitleInvestment

    Value (IDR Bio)Target GB

    1. Palu Parigi Hub 1,000 2017

    2. Balikpapan Samarinda Toll Road 11,400 2017

    3. Manado - Bitung Toll Road 3,152 2017

    4. Medan Binjai Toll Road 2,560 2017

    5. Palembang Indralaya Toll Road 910 2017

    6. Pekanbaru - Kandis Dumai Toll Road 16,279 2017

    7. Bakauheni - Terbanggi Besar Toll Road 8,447 2017

    8. Tebing Tinggi - Kisaran - Rantau Prapat

    Toll Road

    33,170 2017

    9. Panimbang Serang Toll Road 9,579 2016

    10. Enarotali - Tiom Road 1,680 2016

    11. Access Road for Purwakarta Industrial

    Area688 2015

    12. Lubuk Pakam Tebing Tinggi Toll

    Road3,541 2015

    Water and Sanitation

    Project Title InvestmentValue (IDR Bio) Target GB

    13. SPAM Bali Selatan 2,727

    2013 (SPAM

    Penet)

    2016 (SPAM

    Ayung)

    Seaport

    Project TitleInvestment

    Value (IDR Bio)

    Target GB

    14.Kuala Tanjung International Hub Port 60,000 2017

    15. Bitung International Hub Port In calculation 2017

    16. Cilamaya Port and Access Road 40,303 2017

    Airport

    Project TitleInvestment

    Value (IDR Bio)Target GB

    17. Construction of Karawang Airport and

    Access Road35,361 2017

    Railway

    Project TitleInvestment

    Value (IDR Bio)Target GB

    18. Madiun - Surabaya Double Track

    Railway3,300 2017

    19. Construction of Railway Lane in

    Purukcahu-Bangkuang/Mangkatip-

    Batanjung, Central Kalimantan

    20,000 2017

    20. Makassar - Pare-Pare Railway 5,250 2017

    Energy

    Project TitleInvestment

    Value (IDR Bio)Target GB

    21. PLTU Indramayu 4 (1 x 1000 MW) 16,500 2015

    22. PLTU Asamasam 5-6 (2 x 100 MW) 3,200 2015

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    REPUBLIC Of INDONESIA

    COORDINATING MINISTRY FOR ECONOMIC AFFAIRS

    Eddy SatriyaHead ofInternational Cooperation Division,

    Secretariat of KP3EI

    Jalan Medan Merdeka Barat No. 7,

    Jakarta Pusat - Indonesia

    Phone: +62 21 34832611; Fax: +62 21 34832609

    email: [email protected] @EddySatriya

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    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    Recent publications are available on:eddysatriya.wordpress.com

    kolom.pacific.net.id

    Eddy Satriya 1989 :Graduated from Bandung Institute of Technology

    (Telecommunication Engineering)

    1997 :Graduated from University of Connecticut (MA in Economics)

    1989-90: Program Management Consultancy (PMC-IV) forTelecommunication Development

    1990-2005: Working in Bappenas (The National Development PlanningAgency).

    1995 : Secretary to Board of Commissioners of PT.Telkomsel

    1997- present: Visiting Lecturer in University of Indonesia, University ofPelita Harapan, and ITB

    2002-present : Actively writes various article and column in nationalpapers and magazines.

    2005 (Dec)-present: Working in Coordinating Ministry forEconomics Affairs

    2011 - Present: Head of International Cooperation Division,

    Secretariat of KP3EI

    Contact:

    [email protected]

    62.21.3511466 t

    62.21.3511464 f

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