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Bir El Afou Prefeasibility Study Presentation Planning Phosphate Production in 3 years” November 2011

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Page 1: Presentation Planning Phosphate Production in 3 years”celaminnl.com.au/pdfs/2011-11-23-07114420111108_Celamin... · Presentation “Planning Phosphate Production in 3 years

Bir El Afou Prefeasibility Study Presentation

“Planning Phosphate Production in 3 years”

November 2011

Page 2: Presentation Planning Phosphate Production in 3 years”celaminnl.com.au/pdfs/2011-11-23-07114420111108_Celamin... · Presentation “Planning Phosphate Production in 3 years

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1 Important Information and DisclaimerDi l i

CELA

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be Disclaimer

This presentation is not a prospectus nor an offer of securities in any jurisdiction nor a securities recommendation. The information in this presentation is an overview and does not contain all information necessary for investment decisions. In making investment decisions in connection with any acquisition of securities, investors should rely on their own

C

g y q yexamination of Celamin Ltd and consult their own legal, business and/or financial advisers.

The information contained in this presentation has been prepared in good faith by Celamin Ltd, however no representation or warranty expressed or implied is made as to the accuracy, correctness, completeness or adequacy of any statements, estimates, options, or other information contained in this presentation. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Celamin Ltd, its Directors, officers, employees and agents disclaim liability for any loss or damage which may be suffered by any person through the use of reliance on anything contained in or omitted from this presentation.

Certain information in this presentation refers to the intentions of Celamin Ltd, but these are not intended to be forecasts,forward looking statements or statements about the future matters for the purposes of the Corporations Act or any other applicable law. The occurrence of the events in the future are subject to risk, uncertainties and other actions that may cause Celamin Ltd’s actual results, performance or achievements to differ from those referred to in this presentation. Accordingly Celamin Ltd, its Directors, officers, employees and agents do not vie any assurance or guarantee that the occurrence of these events referred to in the presentation will actually occur as contemplated.

Competent Person’s Statement

Information in this presentation that relates to Exploration Results and Mineral Resources is based on information compiled by Mr Ralph Stagg, who is a member of the Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy. Mr Ralph Stagg is a director of Celamin Ltd and has sufficient experience undertaken which is relevant to the style of mineralisation and typesdirector of Celamin Ltd and has sufficient experience undertaken which is relevant to the style of mineralisation and types of deposit under consideration and to the activities to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2004 Edition of the “Australian Code for Reporting of Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves:. Mr Ralph Stagg consents to the inclusion in this presentation of the matters based on information in the format and context in which it appears.

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Page 3: Presentation Planning Phosphate Production in 3 years”celaminnl.com.au/pdfs/2011-11-23-07114420111108_Celamin... · Presentation “Planning Phosphate Production in 3 years

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1 Overview Planning phosphate production in three years

CELA

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bePlanning phosphate production in three years

• Two flagship phosphate projects.

1 Bir El Afou (BEA) prefeasibility studyC 1. Bir El Afou (BEA) – prefeasibility study.

2. Chaketma – mineralisation delineation.

• Prefeasibility showing no fatal flaws.

• Positive Government and community support at all levels.

• Access to existing infrastructure and services.

• High grade concentrate of 30% P205 achievable. g g 2 5

• Inferred resource: 29Mt at 11.1% P205 at 7.5% P205 cutoff grade.

• Less than 5% of BEA permit area drilled or explored• Less than 5% of BEA permit area drilled or explored.

• Attractive investment terms (5 year tax holiday).

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1 Bir El Afou ‐ prefeasibility study completed Results

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• No fatal flaws.

• All elements of phosphate rock business confirmedC All elements of phosphate rock business confirmed.

• Go forward recommendations:

1 I t i d li ti h1. Interim delineation phase.

2. Engineering feasibility study.

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1 InfrastructureRail

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be Rail

• Capacity exists and offered for 1.5Mtpa BEA mine to port 220km.

C • Need short siding at mine site.

• New wagons can be manufactured in Tunisia.

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1 InfrastructureCELA

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Port

• 24,000 m2 site at Port of Tunis. C ,

• Existing wharf, shed and siding for unloading.

• Capacity for expansion or multiple projects• Capacity for expansion or multiple projects.

• 30,000 DWT vessel capacity.

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1 Infrastructure cont’d CELA

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Electricity & Gas

C • Société Tunisienne de l'Electricité et du Gaz– supply for construction and

operation phase confirmed: 7MW – 15 MW / 70 GJ/hr – 140GJ/hr.

• Major reticulation network nearby.

Water

• Dedicated source of water allocated.

• Supply of water exceeds demand by 10 timesSupply of water exceeds demand by 10 times.

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1 EnvironmentalPFS environmental study identified:

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• No impediments to development.

C

• Environmental Impact Study scope for feasibility phase.

• Regulatory permits required for development phaseRegulatory permits required for development phase.

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1 ResourceResource estimate

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All Blocks Cutoff Grade P205% Tonnes P205%

C Category Inferred 0 80,800,000 5.75 42,000,000 9.6

7 5 29 000 000 11 17.5 29,000,000 11.110 17,700,000 12.6

12.5 6,000,000 15.5

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1 Drilling and TrenchingProgram

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beProgram

• 66 diamond core drill holes and 229m of trenching.

C • 5,360.35 meters + trenching (December 2010 to August 2011).

• 3.2km² of 84km² drilled (less than 5%).

Issue: Drilling Progress

• Solutions identified and being addressed in new I.D. phase.

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1 Mine Plan And Resource Not optimised

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beNot optimised

• Base case ore mining rate 2.7 Mtpa.

C

• Base case average head grade is 11.6% P205.

• Base case product 0 75Mtpa at 30% P205Base case product 0.75Mtpa at 30% P205.

• Prefeasibility Study strip-ratio and grade not optimised.

Th f l t d OPEX t ti i d• Therefore plant and OPEX not optimised.

• Optimal resource to be delineated during Interim Delineation Phase.

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1 Process and Metallurgical Test WorkCELA

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• Core samples - Ammtec for tests.

Fl i i T i i b i d d di / b iC • Flotation tests in Tunisia by experts - independent audit/observation.

• Results can produce 30% P205 concentrate grade at acceptable recovery.

• Clean product with acceptable product specs.

• “Metsim” model for plant and equipment estimates.

• Base case process plant at 0.75Mtpa capacity and

upgradeable 1.50Mtpa at a later stage.g g

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Phosphate Rock MarketCELA

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R k Ph h t M thl P i $ USD t i T

Phosphate rock (Morocco), 70% BPL, contract, f.a.s. CasablancaC

500

Rock Phosphate Monthly Price $ USD per metric Tonne

350

400

450

Price, 197.5250

300

US$

100

150

200

0

50

p‐06

ov‐06

n‐07

ar‐07

ay‐07

ul‐07

p‐07

ov‐07

n‐08

ar‐08

ay‐08

ul‐08

p‐08

ov‐08

n‐09

ar‐09

ay‐09

ul‐09

p‐09

ov‐09

n‐10

ar‐10

ay‐10

ul‐10

p‐10

ov‐10

n‐11

ar‐11

ay‐11

ul‐11

p‐11

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Se No Ja Ma

Ma Ju Se No Ja Ma

Ma Ju Se No Ja Ma

Ma Ju Se No Ja Ma

Ma Ju Se No Ja Ma

Ma Ju Se

Source: World Bank

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1 Phosphate Rock OutlookCELA

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be “In the medium term, the positive agricultural outlook is expected tostimulate fertilizer demand. .....corresponding to an average annual growthrate ....for Phosphate of 3.1%”.

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(source: IFA: Fertilizer Outlook 2011-2015)

Year Global P O Demand (Mt)Year Global P2O5 Demand (Mt)

2008-2009 33.6

2009 2010 38 32009-2010 38.3

2010-2011 (e) 40.9

2011-2012(f) 41 72011-2012(f) 41.7

2015-2016(f) 45.2

Average Annual Growth Rate 3.1%Average Annual Growth Rate 3.1%

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(e) estimated, (f) forecastSource: Heffer, IFA, May 2011

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1 Prefeasibility Study RecommendationProceed to feasibility study in two steps

CELA

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beProceed to feasibility study in two steps

1C 1. Interim delineation phase.

2. Engineering feasibility study.

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1 Interim Delineation PhaseBir El Afou Implementation (October 2011 – June 2012)

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beBir El Afou Implementation (October 2011 June 2012)

Target: 40Mt at 14% P205 with 8:1 strip ratio

C

• Appoint resident project manager in first quarter of 2012.

• New resident regional technical Director in placeNew resident regional technical Director in place.

• New R/C rig.

• New analysis options.

• Tunis office fully operational.

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1 Interim Delineation Phase (BEA)cont’dResource map

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Target: 40Mt at 14% P205 with 8:1 strip ratio

• O l 3 2k 2 f 84k 2 l d (<5% f t t l)C • Only 3.2km2 of 84km2 explored (<5% of total)

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1 Interim Delineation Phase cont’d Bir El Afou(October 2011 – June 2012)

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beBir El Afou(October 2011 June 2012)

Target: 40Mt at 14% P205 with 8:1 strip ratio

C • Mapping remainder of BEA permit.

• Structural and sedimentological studies.

• Shallow seismic to be trialled.

• Reconnaissance drilling.Reconnaissance drilling.

• Promising prospects – systematic delineation program.

Fl t ti t t k i i t• Flotation testwork – ongoing in country.

• Finalise resource and mine plan.

• Final mine plan and development scope for engineering F.S.

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1 Financial Analysis CELA

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Unoptimised base case

• 29 Mt at 11 1% P205C 29 Mt at 11.1% P205.

• 0.75Mtpa at 30% P205.

N ti NPV• Negative NPV.

Target case for ID phase

• 40Mt at 14% P205.

• 1.5Mtpa at 30% P205.

• Positive NPV and 27.5% IRR.

SensitivitiesSensitivities

• Sensitive to changes in strip ratio and grade.

L iti t it l

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• Less sensitive to capital.

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1 Interim Delineation PhaseChaketma

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beChaketma

• Initial twelve hole program and trenches.

C

• Quality indication.

• Continue with drilling and trenchingContinue with drilling and trenching.

• Preliminary metallurgical and process testing.

P t ti l t b fi t j t• Potential to be first project.

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1 Celamin/CNL TransactionUpdate

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• Prefeasibility study completed.

C

• Resource delivered.

“F i d R bl ” t b i d• “Fair and Reasonable” report being prepared.

• E.G.M. to approve acquisition set for Monday 6, February 2012.

• Complete acquisition of Celamin Limited (90% outstanding).

• Allocate CNL shares to Celamin Limited shareholdersAllocate CNL shares to Celamin Limited shareholders.

• Appoint new Board of Directors.

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1 Celamin/CNL Transaction Cont’dCELA

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Tranche 1 Tranche 2

C

Celamin Holdings Celamin Ltd Celamin Holdings Celamin LtdCelamin Ltd

90% Equity15 million securities$3 million dollars

10% Equity 72.5 million shares$10 million dollars

90% Equity 90% Equity

Completed Subject to shareholder vote on the 6th of February 2012

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6th of February 2012

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1 Celamin Holdings NLMarket Capitalisation

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be Market Capitalisation C (Millions) Shares Options (1) Partly Paid (2) Total

Current 47.2 25.4 17.5 90.1

Celamin Tranche 2 (3) 72.5 72.5

TOTAL 119 7 25 4 17 5 162 6TOTAL 119.7 25.4 17.5 162.6

Market Capitalisation (Fully Diluted) at $0.40 = A$65.1 million.

(1) Options expire 31 March, 2014. $0.20 exercise price.(2) Partly Paid Shares. $0.10 to pay. First payment due December 2012.

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(2) Partly Paid Shares. $0.10 to pay. First payment due December 2012.(3) Forecast to be issued at planned EGM.

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1 TunisiaElections on 23 October, 2011

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beElections on 23 October, 2011

• 90% of eligible voters participated.

P f l d i l iC • Peaceful and patient elections.

• New assembly short lived.

• To write new Constitution followed by

elections.

• Appoint an interim government.

• Al-Nahda

• Largest number of votes.

• Based on Turkish A.K.P. Party.

• Coalition most likely outcome

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• Coalition most likely outcome.

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1 Celamin LimitedManagement and Senior Advisors

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beManagement and Senior Advisors

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Ralph StaggDirector

Taoufik MansouriDirector – General

Tunisian Mining Services

David ReganDirector Tim Regan

DirectorNadir SekfaliSenior Advisor

Kevin NicholDirector

The Honourable Andrew ThomsonAndrew Thomson

Director

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The People

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INCELA

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