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  • 8/7/2019 PrintArticleTerrorThreatCouldDwarf9-11

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    TERROR THREAT COULD DWARF 9-11

    Engineer Expert Reveals Grave Vulnerability

    It would start simultaneously at four locations on the San Andreas Fault plus oneeach on the Puente Hills Thrust Fault (which runs under the skyscrapers ofdowntown Los Angeles) and the Hayward Fault in the San Francisco Bay area.Earthquakes are naturally occurring events. So, is this the smiting of us sinnersthat fundamentalist Christians have long prophesized? An act of God ofunparalleled ferocity?

    But, what if it wasnt? What if the state-wide quakes and conflagration weretriggered events by terrorists intent on inflicting death and destruction ofunimagined proportions?Thats what Tolman Geffs, an ex-missile engineer (BS, MS, PE), successfulentrepreneur (Harvard MBA, 21 years as CEO), and author of the novel beingreleased this May, The Unsung Patriots, from Trabuco Press(www.theunsungpatriots.com ), believescould happen.On November 13, 2008, the United States Geological Survey (USGS) held the

    cautionary ShakeOut Scenario earthquake drill in Southern California. TheSouthern section of the San Andreas Fault is overdue for a major seismic eventby a factor of more than 2. Mere nudges could break it and the other faults free.

    The scenario in his book details how those nudges can be delivered and bemade to appear to be acts of God. The key is the use of small diameter,tactical A-bombs (equivalent to the U.S.s now retired 40 kiloton yield W-33) notas weapons, but as energy sources to create massive steam explosions deepwithin faults thus triggering the release of orders of magnitude greater naturalforces that have been quietly accumulating for centuries.

    Six deep wells will be sunken (8 inch inside diameter oil well casings) and thenflooded for up to a year. Two bombs will then be inserted in each. Uponsimultaneous detonation, the upper and lower blast fronts will collide producinghorizontal pressure waves (ultra high-pressure steam and vaporized rock)propagating in opposite directions. As the pressure waves pass they will reducethe force pressing the opposing faces of the fault together, thus causing thelockups to rupture which will trigger a multi-epicenter series of earthquakes.Although, not of greater magnitude than naturally occurring quakes, the

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    prolonged duration will multiply the destruction. Mr. Geffs explains.

    Unfortunately, there is an unrelated hazard also possessing the potential forgreat carnage. It is the surreptitious oxygenation and subsequent detonation ofthe abandoned, early oil fields underlying downtown Los Angeles, Beverly Hills,

    the Port of Los Angeles, and numerous other communities. When these shallowwells were abandoned, the oil-string casings were not pulled up; the well headswere simply cut off and caps welded on. Oxygenation of these fields will turn thehydrocarbon gases in the voids and the substantial remaining oil into bombs.

    To maximize carnage, these events will be initiated simultaneously during peaktraffic at the onset of a major Santa Ana wind event. Flames from thesubterranean explosions will shoot from newly opened fissures. That whichwasnt obliterated will be incinerated in the following hurricane forceconflagration. As was the case following September 11th, fundamentalistChristians will proclaim the devastation to be their long predicted wrath of an

    infuriated God, and the flames shooting from the ground will be their irrefutableproof. That this was an act of war can never be proven to those who choose tobelieve otherwise. Being aware of these views, those fanatical Islamic leaderswho believe the USA to be The Great Satan may convince themselves that theycan get away with such an attack. What theybelieve is the crucial factor.

    What I am seeking is the unbiased, independent analysis of the threatsdelineated. This will require the cooperative efforts of scientists from severaldisciplines and extensive computer simulations. If the hazards are validated,protective measures must be adopted.

    Mr. Geffs concluded, Unfortunately, there is a near universal flaw in the humanpsyche; we do not take threats seriouslyuntilafterthey have occurred. My questis to ensure that Im never the in position to say, I told you so. Meanwhile, weremain a nation of sitting ducks.

    About Tolman F. Geffs

    September 11, 2001 ended his retirementthe time had come to reveal a threathe had first deduced in 1959. He chose to do so in a novel believing that onlypublic pressure will result in the enactment of the relatively inexpensive requisiteprotective measures. Physically active, he paddles outrigger canoes, single-hands a 69 foot ultra-light displacement sailboat, and skis. He and his wife Jillenjoy ballroom dancing and travel extensively. They reside in SouthernCalifornia