©pritchard management associates, 2014 titanic risks – 102 years later, and it still matters carl...

©Pritchard Management Associates, 2014

Titanic Risks – 102 Years Later, and it STILL Matters

Carl Pritchard, PMP, PMI-RMP, EVP


What Could Have Been…


So Why…?

Why?

• The Crystal Ball Effect…

• Interactive Risks…

• Over-Acceptance…

• And…

• Just plain miserable communications, on a variety of fronts!



The Crystal Ball Effect

Trust, but Verify…

• Not setting speed records…

• More important to get people there than to get them there to meet their drivers…

• Not going to ignore warnings from “lesser” vessels

In our world? We have limits. Period


Interactive Risks…


Interactive Risk


Interactive Risk


20, not 32 Even then, 1178, rather than 705

A Second Look at the Risk List and Sources

Speed Engines Structure

Speed

Engines WORSE

Structure WORSE WORSE


Bruce Weeks, PMI Virtual Library – Risk Determination in Highly Interactive Environments

Over-Acceptance


After the collision, John assured me that it didn’t appear serious, but he helped me on with my life jacket anyway.̶̶̶::: Attributed to Madeleine Astor

BE JOHN ASTOR!!

…but he helped me on with my life jacket anyway.



Just Plain Bad Communications

Pull and Push…and PRIORITIZE!

• After 11:30…

• Open channels…

• Keep sending…

• LISTEN…and Prioritize LISTENING!!There’s an Iceberg pack! Yes, but we’re trying to

arrange carriages in New York! Get off the wireless!


Why?


7 of 1517

Who?


So what do we do?

• What went wrong? (Many courtesy of Bruce Weeks, PE, PMP)

– Misunderstood parameters (bulkheads)– Misunderstood turning capacity (rudder)– Misunderstood engine capability (reverse?)– Misunderstood orders (SOS v. CQD)– Misunderstood report (Lookouts)– Misunderstood needs (lifeboats)


What Are Our Action Items?• Don’t trust a vision. VERIFY.• Document the sources and their interactions • When we accept, ask if it makes long-term sense• And when voices suggest nothing can go

wrong…– And a slave stood behind the conqueror holding a

golden crown and whispering in his ear a warning: that all glory is fleeting. – Quo Vadis



Thanks so much! Have a GREAT Fall!!

• To contact me:

Carl Pritchard, PMP, PMI-RMP, EVP

[email protected]

301-606-6519

www.carlpritchard.com

©pritchard management associates, 2014 titanic risks – 102 years later, and it still matters carl...

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