probabilistic fracture mechanics based design of seismic
TRANSCRIPT
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Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics Based Design of Seismic Column Splices
Amit Kanvinde
Kimberly Stillmaker (UC Davis)
Carmine Galasso
(University College London)
24th June, 2016 Hydra, Greece
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Acknowledgments
• Dimitrios!! • Sean Shaw (former PhD student) • American Institute of Steel
Construction • Jim Malley (Degenkolb) • Mark Saunders (Rutherford and
Chekene) • AISC Committee on Seismic Effects • Herrick Corporation
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Earthquake induced fracture in steel structures (Northridge)
Photo Acknowledgment - AISC
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4 Sharp crack like flaw – resulting in fracture
Earthquake induced fracture in steel structures (Northridge)
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Pre-Northridge column splices
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Partial Joint Penetration (PJP) welds
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Risk of fracture
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Elimination of notch (use only CJP)
Use of notch tough weld filler material and base metal
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2010 AISC Seismic Provisions
For Intermediate Moment Frames and Special Moment Frames “Where welds are used to make the splice, they shall be complete-joint-penetration groove welds.”
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Currently required
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Inconvenient field weld
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Inconvenient field weld
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Inconvenient field weld
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Inconvenient field weld
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Excellent performance of tough, PJP welded base plates and other details
Can we use PJPs in splices? If so, under what conditions?
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The aim – a safe and reliable PJP welded splice
Understanding of seismic stress demands and uncertainty
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The aim – a safe and reliable PJP welded splice
Understanding of seismic stress demands and uncertainty
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The aim – a safe and reliable PJP welded splice
Understanding of fracture stress capacity and uncertainty
Understanding of seismic stress demands and uncertainty
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Stress
Distance ahead of crack
Fracture occurs
if KI (which
characterizes
the stress field)
exceeds KIC
(a material
property)
High KI
Lower KI
To understand capacity, fracture mechanics is necessary
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What stress does the splice fracture at?
𝜎𝑓𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑒 = 𝑓( 𝐾𝐼𝐶, 𝑎, 𝑡𝑢𝑝𝑝𝑒𝑟 , 𝑡𝑙𝑜𝑤𝑒𝑟)
Conceptually
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What stress does the splice fracture at?
𝜎𝑓𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑒 = 𝑓( 𝐾𝐼𝐶, 𝑎, 𝑡𝑢𝑝𝑝𝑒𝑟 , 𝑡𝑙𝑜𝑤𝑒𝑟)
Conceptually
Material Toughness (CVN – KIC)
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What stress does the splice fracture at?
𝜎𝑓𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑒 = 𝑓( 𝐾𝐼𝐶, 𝑎, 𝑡𝑢𝑝𝑝𝑒𝑟 , 𝑡𝑙𝑜𝑤𝑒𝑟)
Conceptually
Material Toughness (CVN – KIC)
Crack Length
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What stress does the splice fracture at?
𝜎𝑓𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑒 = 𝑓( 𝐾𝐼𝐶, 𝑎, 𝑡𝑢𝑝𝑝𝑒𝑟 , 𝑡𝑙𝑜𝑤𝑒𝑟)
Conceptually
Material Toughness (CVN – KIC)
Crack Length
Geometry
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How to determine 𝜎𝑓𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑒 in a general
manner?
1. Experiments - Expensive - Limited data set in terms
of geometry, material properties
- 5 full scale experiments = 1 PhD + $200K
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How to determine 𝜎𝑓𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑒 in a general
manner?
2. Finite Element Simulations - Allow investigation of
many parameter sets But, - Not tests! - Still a bit expensive
25 simulations = 30-40 weeks
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How to determine 𝜎𝑓𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑒 in a general
manner?
2. Finite Element Simulations - Allow investigation of
many parameter sets But, - Not tests! - Still a bit expensive
25 simulations = 30-40 weeks
35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 8035
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
Str
ess f
rom
Full
Scale
Te
st at
Failu
re
Stress from FEM
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How to determine 𝜎𝑓𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑒 in a general
manner?
- Can characterize any
configuration - Introduces additional
error
s capacity,estimate
flange =KIC
p ´ (h / 2x )´ tupper
´1
x a ´ f1(h)´ f2(x )´ g1(h)´ g2(x )
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 700
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Str
ess fro
m F
EM
Stress from Formula
3. Semi-analytical regressed expressions
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Monte Carlo simulations to characterize capacity
s capacity,estimate
flange =KIC
p ´ (h / 2x )´ tupper
´1
x a ´ f1(h)´ f2(x )´ g1(h)´ g2(x )
Sources of uncertainty (simulated as RVs):
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Monte Carlo simulations to characterize capacity
s capacity,estimate
flange =KIC
p ´ (h / 2x )´ tupper
´1
x a ´ f1(h)´ f2(x )´ g1(h)´ g2(x )
Sources of uncertainty (simulated as RVs):
Material toughness
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Monte Carlo simulations to characterize capacity
s capacity,estimate
flange =KIC
p ´ (h / 2x )´ tupper
´1
x a ´ f1(h)´ f2(x )´ g1(h)´ g2(x )
Sources of uncertainty (simulated as RVs):
Material toughness
CVN is random
CVN KIC conversion error
![Page 31: Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics Based Design of Seismic](https://reader030.vdocuments.net/reader030/viewer/2022012805/61bd37d961276e740b108707/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
Monte Carlo simulations to characterize capacity
s capacity,estimate
flange =KIC
p ´ (h / 2x )´ tupper
´1
x a ´ f1(h)´ f2(x )´ g1(h)´ g2(x )
Sources of uncertainty (simulated as RVs):
Material toughness
CVN is random
CVN KIC conversion error
Geometry
![Page 32: Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics Based Design of Seismic](https://reader030.vdocuments.net/reader030/viewer/2022012805/61bd37d961276e740b108707/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
Monte Carlo simulations to characterize capacity
s capacity,estimate
flange =KIC
p ´ (h / 2x )´ tupper
´1
x a ´ f1(h)´ f2(x )´ g1(h)´ g2(x )
flange
estimatecapacityflange
estimatecapacity
flange
FEMcapacity
flange
FEMcapacity
flange
truecapacityflange
truecapacity ,
,
,
,
,
,
Sources of uncertainty (simulated as RVs):
Material toughness
CVN is random
CVN KIC conversion error
Geometry
35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 8035
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
Str
ess f
rom
Full
Scale
Te
st at
Failu
re
Stress from FEM
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 700
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Str
ess fro
m F
EM
Stress from Formula
Errors in FE and semi-analytical
relationship
![Page 33: Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics Based Design of Seismic](https://reader030.vdocuments.net/reader030/viewer/2022012805/61bd37d961276e740b108707/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
Monte Carlo simulations to characterize capacity
s capacity,estimate
flange =KIC
p ´ (h / 2x )´ tupper
´1
x a ´ f1(h)´ f2(x )´ g1(h)´ g2(x )
flange
estimatecapacityflange
estimatecapacity
flange
FEMcapacity
flange
FEMcapacity
flange
truecapacityflange
truecapacity ,
,
,
,
,
,
Sources of uncertainty (simulated as RVs):
Material toughness
CVN is random
CVN KIC conversion error
Geometry
35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 8035
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
Str
ess f
rom
Full
Scale
Te
st at
Failu
re
Stress from FEM
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 700
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Str
ess fro
m F
EM
Stress from Formula
Errors in FE and semi-analytical
relationship
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Application
s capacity,estimate
flange =KIC
p ´ (h / 2x )´ tupper
´1
x a ´ f1(h)´ f2(x )´ g1(h)´ g2(x )
Toughness
Geometry f
capacity
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Is this Pf acceptable?
Application
s capacity,estimate
flange =KIC
p ´ (h / 2x )´ tupper
´1
x a ´ f1(h)´ f2(x )´ g1(h)´ g2(x )
capacity
f
demand
Toughness
Geometry
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Assessment of splice safety
f
Pf is acceptable if - 85% Penetration is maintained - Thicker flange is 15% thicker than
thinner flange - Some other detailing considerations
demand
Is this Pf acceptable?
capacity
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Summary • NLTHA to determine demands • Full scale experiments • Fracture mechanics simulations • Reliability analysis • Determination of acceptable geometries • For the first time since 1994, cracks are explicitly
allowed in demand critical welds in seismic steel structures in the USA
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Thank you for your attention!