problems in the comparability and harmonization of measures of community size in issp surveys

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Problems in the Comparability and Harmonization of Measures of Community Size in ISSP Surveys Michael L. Smith, Ph.D. Institute of Sociology, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic

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Problems in the Comparability and Harmonization of Measures of Community Size in ISSP Surveys. Michael L. Smith, Ph.D. Institute of Sociology, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic. Overview. URBRURAL and NAT_SIZE: what are they supposed to measure and why are they important? - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Problems in the Comparability and Harmonization of Measures

of Community Size in ISSP Surveys

Michael L. Smith, Ph.D.

Institute of Sociology,

Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic

Overview

• URBRURAL and NAT_SIZE: what are they supposed to measure and why are they important?

• Major problems in both questions• Cross-national analysis of association between

the variables: what can we learn?• Controlling for population composition, what

effect do they variables have on key dependent variables?

• Re-designing both questions: considerations for input and output harmonization

Variables in questionURBRURAL: Type of community

(self assessment)

E.g. (CZ): How would you describe the location you live in?

1 Urban, a big city2 Suburb, outskirt of a big city3 Town or small city4 Country village5 Farm or home in the country

NAT_SIZE: Size of community

E.g. (CZ): What size category does the community you live in belong to?

[response categories not determined by ISSP]

1 1.2 Mill. (Prague)2 100.000 inhabitants and more, city3 50.000 - 99.999 inhabitants4 10.000 - 49.999 inhabitants5 5.000 - 9.999 inhabitants6 2.000 - 4.999 inhabitants7 1.000 - 1.999 inhabitants8 Less than 1.000 inhabitants

Theoretical importance of variables

• Variables reflect the importance of urban-rural contextual differences in shaping individual attitudes and behaviors

• Lipset & Rokkan: Urban-rural cleavages emerged from the process of urban industrialization major impact on political behavior & party systems

• Impact of urban-rural cleavages continue to be a major research topic

• Urban-rural cleavage is arguably declining in relevance in West, but still very important in developing nations (i.e. new ISSP members)

Key differences in variables

URBRURAL

Question is about the form of community in which respondent lives

Question seen as “subjective”

Fixed response categories across countries some comparability

Problems: not all countries use all answer categories; concerns about translatability

NAT_SIZE

Question is about the size of the community; question is different for each country

Question seen as more “objective”

Response categories are determined by ISSP members basically no chance of output harmonization

Problems: major issues with definition of community; no standardized response, etc.

Different approaches to NAT_SIZE• Some countries did not ask NAT_SIZE: Chile &

Venezuela• Germany, Austria, USA and Philippines did not have

question, but used a coder to enter objective pop. size • Great Britain used administrative variable on population

density (1 = Less than 2.8028 persons per hectare, etc)• Switzerland used postal codes of respondents & official

data to construct CH_SIZE • Dominican Republic and Turkey have coder code for

“province” of interview• Australia used one question for both AU_SIZE and

URBRURAL• South Africa asked about “environmental milieu”: 1 =

Urban Settlement, 2 = Tribal Settlement, 3 = Small Holding, 4 = Informal Settlement, 5 = Hostel

Some countries also constructed URBRURAL from NAT_SIZE

Other countries also did that (e.g. Russia) even if it was not reported in ISSP

documentation

Debate in ISSP

• ISSP Demographics & Methods Group:– In 2008, DMG raised concerns that the questions are

too subjective, and do not adequately reflect the geographic / territorial context of respondents

– DMG raised concerns over the predictive value of the variables

– DMG suggested dropping both variables

• ISSP General Meeting, Vienna 2008:– Members voted 26 to 3 to keep URBRURAL– Members voted 18 to 11 to drop NAT_SIZE, and is

no longer a required demographics variable in ISSP

Assessing URBRURAL and NAT_SIZE from the bottom up

• Data and methods:

– Followed approach of Prof. Christof Wolf (GESIS) in his excellent analysis of the variables for Germany (prior to ISSP 2009 meeting) replication for other countries

– First, analysis of variance between URBRURAL and NAT_SIZE for each country: good measurement should lead to consistent associations between variables across years

– Second, multiple classification analyses of URBRURAL and NAT_SIZE on a range of dependent variables in ISSP 2008 and ISSP 2007 in different countries (also controlling for education, sex and age), as a way to assess the significance of the variables across countries

Association of URBRURAL and NAT_SIZE for countries that use self-assessment for the latter

2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 Mean Hi-Lo

Czech Republic

Cramer’s V .607 .587 .605 .632 .577 .602 .055

Gamma .952 .893 .958 .964 .943

Denmark Cramer's V .485 .460 .488 .471 .476 .028

Gamma .812 .758 .797 .776

France Cramer's V .536 .511 .530 .534 .656 .553 .145

Gamma .853 .842 .848 .856 .874

Hungary Cramer's V .604 .866 .634 .701 .262

Gamma .935 .993 .968

Japan Cramer's V .414 .416 .437 .456 .457 .436 .043

Gamma .629 .689 .710 .715 .742

South Korea

Cramer's V .452 .333 .396 .453 .422 .411 .120

Gamma .754 .665 .765 .704 .699

New Zealand

Cramer's V .607 .614 .615 .644 .625 .621 .037

Gamma .867 .852 .844 .881 .885

Slovenia Cramer's V .569 .605 .665 .633 .618 .096

Gamma .927 .869 .967 .872

Association of URBRURAL and NAT_SIZE for countries that treat the latter as an administrative variable

2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 Mean Hi-Lo

Finland Cramer’s V .440 .460 .458 .467 .437 .452 .030

Gamma .769 .793 .796 .777 .736

Germany Cramer's V .541 .533 .561 .544 .493 .534 .068

Gamma .868 .878 .877 .843 .818

Ireland Cramer's V .696   .763   .761 .740 .067

Gamma .904   .904   .925

Mexico Cramer's V .478 .420 .492 .463 .072

Gamma .753 .771 .799

Norway Cramer's V .491 .487 .492 .473 .477 .484 .019

Gamma .821 .807 .826 .791 .783

Sweden Cramer's V .398 .403 .409 .409 .411 .406 .013

Gamma .611 .634 .619 .625 .625

Taiwan Cramer's V .466 .444 .504 .419 .445 .456 .085

Gamma .776 .778 .819 .773 .806

USA Cramer's V .535 .528 .542   .537 .536 .014

Gamma .739 .726 .737   .703

Key lesson from the analysis

• On the whole, ISSP members that treat NAT_SIZE as an administrative variable have more consistent data in terms of the association between NAT_SIZE and URBRURAL over time.

• ISSP members using self-assessment for NAT_SIZE tend to have higher degrees of association between the variables, probably due to bias of question order and suggestively phrased response categories. CZ case: – 1 = 1.200.000 inhabitants (Prague)– 2 = City with 100.000 inhabitants and more– 3 = 50.000-99.999 inhabitants, large city– 4 = 10.000-49.999 inhabitants, larger town– 5 = 5.000-9.999 inhabitants, small town– 6 = 2.000-4.999 inhabitants, larger village– 7 = 1.000-1.999 inhabitants, village– 8 = Village with less than 1.000 inhabitants

ISSP 2008: Results of multiple classification analyses: gross and net effects of URBRURAL and NAT_SIZE

V7 – Sex before marriage

V10 – Abortion if birth defect

V12 – Husband works, wife at home

URBRUR SIZE URBRUR SIZE URBRUR SIZE

Czech Republic

.033

.048.054.081

.043

.040.123**.117

.110**

.094.171***.142

Dominican Republic

.098***

.093.155***.147

.084**

.075.146***.140

.154***

.107.115***.067

France .061*.042

.105***

.080.058.046

.071

.064.054.032

.063

.033

Japan .098*.054

.064

.042.031.029

.069

.067.110**.077

.037

.041

South Korea .125***.037

.079*

.029.139***.111

.085*

.070.122***.048

.081*

.031

South Africa .022.031

.035

.035.140***.116

.148***

.125.084***.053

.107***

.080

ISSP 2008: Results of multiple classification analyses: gross and net effects of URBRURAL and NAT_SIZE

V7 – Sex before marriage

V10 – Abortion if birth defect

V12 – Husband works, wife at home

URBRUR SIZE URBRUR SIZE URBRUR SIZE

Germany .066.065

.069

.067.058.051

.083

.082.062.043

.099**

.111

Finland .091.059

.113**

.076.059.054

.107*

.095.108**.070

.136***

.098

Mexico .190***.152

.289***

.273.150***.126

.236***

.222.141***.115

.117**

.094

Norway .081.071

.093*

.089.073.070

.041

.037.111*.061

.088*

.063

Taiwan .096***.052

.116***

.083.102**.065

.146***

.127.161***.069

.157***

.095

USA .078*.053

.109*

.084.050.029

.126**

.111.077*.038

.108**

.092

ISSP 2008: Results of multiple classification analyses: gross and net effects of URBRURAL and NAT_SIZE

V13 – People can be trusted

V44 – Life meaningful because God exists

V60 – Church attendance

URBRUR SIZE URBRUR SIZE URBRUR SIZE

Czech Republic

.130***

.135.172***.174

.105**

.092.116**.126

.102**

.110.150***.167

Dominican Republic

.076**

.079.110**.109

.072*

.074.046.047

.069*

.078.132***.132

France .096***.051

.089**

.040.027.013

.067

.050.043.040

.060

.060

Japan .081.057

.016

.030.118**.072

.106*

.088.211***.181

.106**

.091

South Korea .075.051

.050

.055.064.120

.036

.055.107*.086

.039

.039

South Africa .031.036

.039

.041.072**.069

.091***

.085.114***.087

.119***

.094

ISSP 2008: Results of multiple classification analyses: gross and net effects of URBRURAL and NAT_SIZE

V13 – People can be trusted

V44 – Life meaningful because God exists

V60 – Church attendance

URBRUR SIZE URBRUR SIZE URBRUR SIZE

Germany .081*.049

.099**

.076.077*.076

.107**

.099.097**.112

.093*

.099

Finland .037.044

.062

.070.162***.103

.190***

.136.080.073

.125**

.124

Mexico .134***.129

.215***

.209.261***.265

.312***

.291.253***.232

.269***

.263

Norway .089.054

.045

.019.103*.072

.092*

.085.069.075

.091*

.104

Taiwan .116***.052

.120***

.052.086**.063

.115***

.092.061.067

.064

.068

USA .055.019

.123**

.097.075*.052

.134***

.106.042.051

.026

.027

ISSP 2007: Results of multiple classification analyses: gross and net effects of URBRURAL and NAT_SIZE

V6 – Freq, Watch TV V9 – Freq, Read book V10 – Freq, Go to cultural events

URBRUR SIZE URBRUR SIZE URBRUR SIZE

Czech Republic

.064

.094.109*.119

.136***

.116.125**.099

.188***

.130.203***.146

Dominican Republic

.059*

.052.084**.075

.041

.034.056.040

.013

.011.058.063

France .084*.080

.094*

.097.108***.049

.133***

.069.177***.122

.201***

.143

Japan .042.050

.078

.080.176***.110

.136***

.094.072.030

.087*

.073

South Korea .049.021

.073

.062.214***.031

.079*

.042.240***.084

.082**

.017

South Africa .415***.385

.418***

.390.200***.119

.202***

.122.098***.081

.099***

.082

ISSP 2007: Results of multiple classification analyses: gross and net effects of URBRURAL and NAT_SIZE

V6 – Freq, Watch TV V9 – Freq, Read book V10 – Freq, Go to cultural events

URBRUR SIZE URBRUR SIZE URBRUR SIZE

Germany .081*.066

.071

.054.090**.053

.101**

.059.064.056

.037

.035

Finland .041.046

.046

.044.089*.088

.140

.116.149***.132

.184***

.153

Mexico .115**.117

.083

.090.098**.074

.121**

.067.119***.070

.147***

.073

Norway .091.087

.066

.061.153***.084

.160***

.096.179***.124

.128***

.066

Taiwan .037.038

.118***

.116.297***.108

.277***

.119.228***.098

.190***

.094

USA .043.048

.066

.071.092**.053

.109**

.080.211***.162

.209***

.164

ISSP 2007: Results of multiple classification analyses: gross and net effects of URBRURAL and NAT_SIZE

V15 – Freq, Sports V64 – Happiness V65 – Health status

URBRUR SIZE URBRUR SIZE URBRUR SIZE

Czech Republic

.140***

.107.166***.156

.050

.078.073.100

.086**

.047.105**.077

Dominican Republic

.013

.004.064.055

.006

.006.090**.089

.020

.027.056.049

France .099**.090

.089*

.078.040.036

.089*

.082.085**.059

.095**

.053

Japan .098*.104

.072

.071.056.044

.035

.036.075.041

.104**

.108

South Korea .209***.117

.061

.025.055.036

.056

.074.241***.094

.070*

.034

South Africa .097***.084

.091***

.081.194***.160

.208***

.177.134***.122

.139***

.128

ISSP 2007: Results of multiple classification analyses: gross and net effects of URBRURAL and NAT_SIZE

V15 – Freq, Sports V64 – Happiness V65 – Health status

URBRUR SIZE URBRUR SIZE URBRUR SIZE

Germany .033.017

.049

.053.077*.080

.080

.090.065.052

.094**

.082

Finland .018.011

.064

.064.086.080

.020

.032.147***.079

.119***

.076

Mexico .109**.076

.136***

.100.078.083

.102*

.098.077*.057

.072

.093

Norway .117**.057

.058

.019.076.071

.026

.022.176***.096

.134***

.084

Taiwan .118***.096

.145***

.124.048.052

.066

.072.045.076

.083*

.079

USA .120***.081

.116**

.085.047.056

.049

.053.065*.026

.056

.045

Key lessons from the analysis

• Across a range of dependent variables, the urban-rural cleavage tends to be strongest in developing countries (Mexico, South Africa, Taiwan) and weakest in some of the Western countries

• In most cases examined, control variables reduce the effect of URBRURAL and NAT_SIZE on the margin, but do not eliminate their importance as explanatory variables

• Overall, the analysis has shown that these two variables continue to show strong effects in ISSP countries, and should remain in the ISSP demographics module.

Considerations for harmonization: URBRURAL

• There are many opportunities for cross-national analyses of urban-rural cleavages. But for those analyses to work, ISSP members must implement the full set of response categories (i.e. not reduce them)

• The question MUST be based on respondent self-assessment in all countries, without undue interference of the interviewer (the question should be “subjective” in all countries)

• The practice of computing responses based on NAT_SIZE (and vice-versa) must stop.

Considerations for harmonization:NAT_SIZE

• For the variable to be reintroduced into ISSP, it should be decided whether the question should be a demographic (respondent assessment) or an administrative variable

• The analysis above provides stronger support to the administrative variable option:– It is easier to monitor how the data is measured– It removes the “subjective” dimension of the question,

making it a pure objective demographic characteristic– It avoids potential problems 1) in bias due to question

order and 2) suggestive questions.

Considerations for harmonization:NAT_SIZE

• Some ISSP members will complain of the difficulty of collecting the data but in most cases, the fielding agency should be able to identify community size during the sampling frame

• To avoid problems in the identification of specific municipalities, response categories should still be used– Those response categories should be broad so that

they are appropriate for both countries with many small villages (France, Czech Rep.) but also for those with highly urban populations (Taiwan, Korea).

Considerations for harmonization:NAT_SIZE

• Lastly, we need to have a debate about what should be measured by NAT_SIZE:– The population of the territory of the local government

(municipality, commune, etc)? Or,– The population of the smallest distinct ‘settlement’ of

the respondent, regardless of whether or not it belongs to a larger political-administrative unit

• I personally believe the second option is far superior, as it avoids problems when municipalities encompass very large territorial areas (as in Poland, Italy, etc). However, a feasibility analysis needs to conducted about whether data is attainable on sub-municipal units in ISSP countries.