products with better energy efficiency
TRANSCRIPT
18.10.2017 natural gas conference Barcelona 1
Products with better Energy Efficiency
EE, renewables and the consumers’ new role
Barcelona, 24 October 2017
Dr h.c. Walter R. Stahel Full Member of the Club of Rome,
Visiting Professor, Fac of Engineering, University of Surrey
www.product-life.org, [email protected]
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ECOLOGIC ECONOMIC
SOCIAL
natural
capital
human & cultural
capital
manufactured
& financial capital
SUSTAINABILIY
CIRCULAR
ECONOMY
OBJECTIF:
HAPPINESS
OBJECTIF:
MANAGING
CAPITALS
PHYSICAL
WORLD
QUALITATIVE
WORLD
SITUATING SOCIETY, SUSTAINABILITY AND A CIRCULAR INDUTRIAL ECONOMY
Example: Celebrating Christmas
and building an efficient economy:
• preventing waste (all waste is man-made)
• maintaining value
• preserving
resource stocks,
resource security
• creating jobs
• Let us look at
Christmas trees 18.10.2017 natural gas conference Barcelona 3
Waste management
solution: incineration.
• economic value lost,
• resource stock lost,
• small labour input,
• some waste produced
(ashes and heat)
If burnt in a co-gen heat and
power plant, some energy
may be recovered.
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Value preserving solution:
reuse of goods and materials Christmas tree dismantled for ‘reuse’
• highest value preservation,
• labour intensive,
• zero waste, high resource security.
18.10.2017 natural gas conference Barcelona 5 Source: Wehrli, Ursus. Die Kunst aufzuräumen.
pre-decorated folding
Christmas tree that
collapses after use
economic value and
resource stock preserved,
small labour input,
minimal waste,
high resource security.
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source http://christmas.lovetoknow.com/image/135788~DecoratedChristmasTree.jpg
Serial sharing economy
Photo Rent-a-Christmas-tree San Francisco 18.10.2017 natural gas conference Barcelona 7
Value preserving solution
reuse of Christmas tree
• high value preservation,
• labour intensive,
• zero waste,
• high resource security.
rent-a-tree
Sharing public society
Photo cvjm hochdorf.de
sharing the
. event,
. trees,
. candles,
. people,
. emotions,
. music
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EE and renewables – comparing what?
• What borders of reference?
• What energy: grey energy-or energy in use?
• What energy efficiency (more wealth from
less kWh, tons of oil) - or low / zero carbon?
• What renewables (hydro, wind, solar, human
labour, biomass, marine energy, animals)?
• What role consumers (of food, water, energy),
what role users (of built & manufactured objects)?
• What preference for national resources?
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Borders of reference of energy production
ecologic footprint - crude oil to consumer
18.10.2017 natural gas conference Barcelona 11 Source: Figure taken from ‘Energeia’, no. 5, Sept 2017, OFEN Bern
marine pollution
Borders of overall energy efficiency:
grey energy versus energy in use (1)
You have a car and decide to replace it with
a new, more use-energy efficient one.
• What is the real use-energy consumption
in L/100km of the old car? of the new car?
• What is the mileage of your ‘old’ car?
• Is it road-worthy, well maintained? If not, at
what energy cost can it be repaired?
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Borders of overall energy efficiency:
grey energy versus energy in use (2)
The energy needed to produce a modern
car is about four tons of oil equivalent, equal
to 5’000 litres of gasoline.*
• If your new car saves 1 L/100 km, you will
reach energy breakeven after 500’000 km.
If 2 L/100 km, it will be after 250’000 km.
* this calculation neglects the energy consumed in the
waste management of the ‘old’ car.
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What energy efficiency? of three product types
LED
lamps
White goods:
fridge, kettle,
clothes wash
IT, telecom:
laptop,
smartphone
Total energy 102 kWh 3600 kWh 3600 kWh
Grey energy 2 kWh
2%
600 kWh
17%
3000 kWh
83%
Service life 10 years 15 years 3 years
Energy
consumed
100 kWh
98%
3000 kWh
83%
600 kWh
17%
Dominant life
phase
use use, user manufactur?
IoT ?
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Data source: EU research quoted in ‘Energeia’, Bern, no. 5, Sept 2017
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3 4
What? increase grey energy efficiency
How? service life extension & circular
Grey energy & long life: by doubling products’
service-lives, we double the grey energy
efficiency per year of use (and half waste).
• Key consumer strategies: caring, reuse,
repair cafés, ‘teddy bears’, social innovation.
• Key industrial strategies: remarket, upgrade,
repair, remanufacture, technical innovation.
• Limits: 2nd law of thermodynamics, nanotech, ...
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How? consumer
drivers – CARING,
a stewardship with
goods = personal
value, producing
collectors’ items.
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and social groups:
repair cafés, DIY,
barter trades, eBay,
lending & sharing.
Long-life
means YOU !
How ?
technical innovation to Space X’s reusable
rocket Falcon
Part of a trend to dematerialised
durable reusable technology:
also electric motors replacing
combustion engines. propulsive rocket landing
From NASA’s space shuttle
How? reusable packaging: stainless steel
cans, staple-able with unified double lid. Inventors Petra Mangold and Holger Jahn.
Source: Proceedings of the International Design Forum
Ulm 1992, published in:
IFG (ed.) (1993), Gemeinsam nutzen statt einzeln
verbrauchen, eine neue Beziehung zu den Dingen.
Anabas Verlag Giessen.
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design innovation
Why? societal benefits of circular economy in comparison to the present economy (12 countries) Sweden
macro-economic I/O Study by Skanberg-Wijkman 2016.
circular energy material combined
scenario efficiency scenario
GHG — 50,1% — 28% — 5% — 66%
additional + 4%
jobs + 100’000 + 200’000 +>300’000 +>500’000
trade + 0.4% + 0.4% + 0,2% + 0,25%
balance of GDP of GDP of GDP of GDP
In effect, a substitution of manpower for energy.
http://www.clubofrome.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/The-Circular-Economy-and-Benefits-for-Society.pdf
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Limits: re-use or loose? The curse of nanotech,
embodied or grey energy is lost with resource loss
• the number of
elements in an
INTEL microchip
has increased
from 12 in 1980,
to 16 in 1990,
to 44 in 2000.
• Resources are
lost in recycling
• Reprogrammable
microchips
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Engineering
innovation
Limits equal R&D challenges
in the era of ‘D’
• e.g. delaminating carbon-fibre laminates (in cars, aircraft, windmill blades)
renewable energy today is not recyclable, hence un-sustainable.
19/10/2017 Circular Economy - Luxembourg Green
Business Summit 2017 21
What? sharing society and IoT,
How? create clear liabilities
Energy efficiency in systems like Internet
and Internet of Things (IoT) depends on
systems optimisation,
• the role of consumers is limited,
• legislation & statistics are running behind
market developments.
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Why: system-boundaries of smartphones (CO2)
Source: CES (centre for environmental strategy), University of Surrey
What? use dominates energy,
How? shift from consumer to user
More intensive use and longer service-life.
Individuals and fleet managers cooperate in a
shared use of goods (sharing economy),
• Buying goods as a service: Laundromats,
car sharing, rent-a-tree, rental cars &
apartments, taxis, hotel rooms,
• Sharing the use of goods: public transport,
• Drivers: convenience, function, flexibility.
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How? social system design innovation
Laundromats need to be combined with animation
(dancings, internet cafés) to make them attractive
for single clients; kindergarten playgrounds.
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Social
innovation
needed
Why? Household versus Laundromat
Washing
machine
Household
stand alone
Laundromat
semi-commercial
Wash cycles 2-3’000 15-30’000
Service life 10 years 10 years
Hot water energy
coldzymes !!!
electricity gas, reuse of hot
rinsing water
Drying energy electricity waste heat from
gas water heater
Resource efficie. 1 x 10
Energy efficiency low (electric-water) high (gas-water &
heat recovery)
Water efficiency low, single use high, partial reuse
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Coldzymes
• Enzymes, which come from Antarctica and
the Alps; they do not require to heat the water
to wash garments.
• Coldzymes are on sale from many detergent
manufacturers, but many washing machines
do not enable users to switch off the water
heater; and many customers believe hot
water is more efficient or even a necessity.
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What? improving high efficiency,
How? selling performance, results.
Performance Economy: economic actors
retain the ownership of goods and embodied
resources, internalise all costs & liabilities:
• Systems solutions (lighthouses, taxis, GPS)
• Phillips (light as a service, pay per lux),
• Sufficiency (natural meadows replace lawn)
Public green procurement:
• Private Finance Initiatives (infrastructure).
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Why? Societal benefits
through systems
solutions,
and low grey energy
through ‘eternal life’
Lighthouses have
done more for the
safety of shipping than
any improvement to
ships.
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GPS as a tool for farmers:
innovations are present
in all steps of the
crop growth cycle:
5 precision
harvesting
2 precision soil
preparation
4 precision crop
management
3 precision
seeding
data analysis
and evaluation
e.g. solar
weeding
robots
(factor 20)
producing
more food with
less (chemicals,
water, energy)
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Function over fashion & wishes:
as much light as needed where needed.
higher profits achieved with higher efficiency.
Philips pay-per-lux
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• waterless urinals,
• plus-energy buildings,
• ploughing by night,
• accessibility instead of
mobility.
refill packaging
How? user sufficiency:
understanding the underlying issues - science and tradition
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Example:
Private Finance
Initiatives (PFI) Le Viaduc de Millau,
a 2001 78-year
contract to
design, finance,
build and operate
the bridge till
2079, with a
maintenance
contract until
2121 Le pont de Millau, France 34 18.10.2017 natural gas conference Barcelona
Public procurement
Who is in control of Energy Efficiency?
• Service-life extension: product owner is in
control, drivers are cost & caring for nature.
• Sharing society: nobody is in overall control,
risk of abuse, tragedy of the Commons.
• Intensive use: fleet managers, driven by profit
and caring for nature (responsible users).
• Performance economy: producer-managers
control both grey- and use- energy; drivers are
efficiency, function and systems cost reductions
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Examples of preferred primary energy and industrial policy for the future
• Finland: biomass and wood, nuclear,
• Norway: hydro-electricity (aluminium, steel
recycling, hydrogen-mobility),
• Japan: hydrogen-mobility, nuclear,
• Germany: solar, wind, coal, nuclear,
• Saudi Arabia: oil, solar hydrogen?,
• PRoChina: nuclear, hydro, solar, coal,
• Switzerland: solar, hydro, wood (buildings)
• EU: what happened to hydrogen highway? 18.10.2017 natural gas conference Barcelona 36
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Thank you for listening
Dr h.c. Walter R. Stahel, Visiting Professor, University of Surrey
Founder-Director, The Product-Life Institute, Geneva
www.product-life.org, [email protected]
18.10.2017 natural gas conference Barcelona