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Professor Adrian Beck University of Leicester, UK Total Retail Loss: Developing a Global Standard for Measuring Loss in Retail Organisations Project Update and Discussion

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Page 1: Professor Adrian Beck University of Leicester, UK Total Retail Loss: Developing a Global Standard for Measuring Loss in Retail Organisations Project Update

Professor Adrian Beck

University of Leicester, UK

Total Retail Loss: Developing a Global Standard for Measuring Loss in Retail Organisations

Project Update and Discussion

Page 2: Professor Adrian Beck University of Leicester, UK Total Retail Loss: Developing a Global Standard for Measuring Loss in Retail Organisations Project Update

BACKGROUND

• Little consensus on what constitutes retail ‘loss’.

• The term ‘Shrink’ is widely used across the world but no internationally agreed definition exists.

• Rapidly changing nature of retailing requires a reconceptualization of how retailing defines loss.

• Role of LP teams needs to change to reflect growing business complexity.

Page 3: Professor Adrian Beck University of Leicester, UK Total Retail Loss: Developing a Global Standard for Measuring Loss in Retail Organisations Project Update

Shrink definition varies enormously between companies, sectors and countries – it even varies within some companies!

What is included, excluded? Unknown loss? Known loss? Process errors? Cash Loss? Theft? Non Theft?

Also little agreement on how shrink is measured Retail? Cost? Cost Plus?

WHAT’S IN A NAME?

Mark downs? Vendor fraud? Losses from out of stocks? Damage? Wastage? Till errors?

On line frauds? Voucher scams? Counterfeit notes?? Missed returns? Customer compensation? In-store use?

Page 4: Professor Adrian Beck University of Leicester, UK Total Retail Loss: Developing a Global Standard for Measuring Loss in Retail Organisations Project Update

WHY IS THIS NEEDED?• This ambiguity of definition:

• Makes benchmarking unpredictable, unreliable and unhelpful

• Blurs boundaries of accountability

• Fragments control processes which provides opportunities for theft

• Can create a culture of ‘acceptable’ loss

• Growing retail complexity requires a radical review of what generates loss.

• Huge opportunity to identify the true cost of loss – realise the size of the profit growth opportunity ‘locked’ within the business.

• Growing budget pressure requires a better understanding of where to prioritise LP spend.

• Opportunity to make greater use across the business of the loss management expertise within LP teams.

Page 5: Professor Adrian Beck University of Leicester, UK Total Retail Loss: Developing a Global Standard for Measuring Loss in Retail Organisations Project Update

METHODOLOGY

• Review of existing literature.

• Meetings with retailers

• Electronic survey of retailers

• Retailer case studies to populate new model

Page 6: Professor Adrian Beck University of Leicester, UK Total Retail Loss: Developing a Global Standard for Measuring Loss in Retail Organisations Project Update

NEXT STEPS

• Roll out of project to US retailers – broaden buy in and improve applicability of model

• Write interim report to update European retail community

• Prepare for broader global survey of Total Retail Loss

Page 7: Professor Adrian Beck University of Leicester, UK Total Retail Loss: Developing a Global Standard for Measuring Loss in Retail Organisations Project Update

FEEDBACK AND QUESTIONS

• Key questions raised by electronic survey

• Opportunity for this group to contribute to the process

Page 8: Professor Adrian Beck University of Leicester, UK Total Retail Loss: Developing a Global Standard for Measuring Loss in Retail Organisations Project Update

External Theft

InternalTheft

Cash Loss

Counterfeit Notes

Voucher Scams

Staff Discount Abuse

Waste

Damage

Out of Stocks

Mark Downs

Pricing Errors

Customer Compensation

Missed Returns

In-store Use

Internal Theft

Vendor Fraud

3rd Party Logistics Theft

Waste

Damage

Product Contamination

Criminal Damage

Burglary

Bomb Threats

Natural Disasters

Health & Safety

Fire

Corporate Fraud

Currency Exchange

Losses

Demonstrations

Online Fraud

Customer Guarantees

Unplanned Sales

Total Retail Loss

Known Operational Losses

Unknown Operational Losses

Supply Chain Losses

Corporate Liabilities

Corporate Policy Losses

MaliciousNon-

maliciousMalicious

Non-malicious

Page 9: Professor Adrian Beck University of Leicester, UK Total Retail Loss: Developing a Global Standard for Measuring Loss in Retail Organisations Project Update

Total Retail Loss

How to measure loss?

Retail Prices 1Cost 2Cost Plus 0Both (Retail and Cost) 2

Should the word ‘retail’ appear?

Page 10: Professor Adrian Beck University of Leicester, UK Total Retail Loss: Developing a Global Standard for Measuring Loss in Retail Organisations Project Update

Total Retail Loss

Known Operational Losses

Unknown Operational Losses

Supply Chain Losses

Corporate Liabilities

Corporate Policy Losses

I would go for Corporate Liabilities, Corporate Policy Losses, Supply Chain Loss and Store Loss.

Split Store loss into Malicious, Non-Malicious, Unknown.

Page 11: Professor Adrian Beck University of Leicester, UK Total Retail Loss: Developing a Global Standard for Measuring Loss in Retail Organisations Project Update

External Theft

InternalTheft

Cash Loss

Counterfeit Notes

Voucher Scams

Staff Disc/Loyalty Card Abuse

Waste

Damage

Out of Stocks

Mark Downs

Pricing Errors

Customer Compensation

Missed Returns

In-store Use

Total Retail Loss

Known Operational Losses

Unknown Operational Losses

Supply Chain Losses

Corporate Liabilities

Corporate Policy Losses

MaliciousNon-

malicious

We make an assumption here that the offending staff member has not been caught during their first offence. We assume they make up some of our Unknown Losses. “Loss Value of Incident” *15 [The average amount of times they have committed the same offence without being caught]

Counterfeit Vouchers?Voucher & Coupon Scams?

Food Surplus - A few other retailers that, like us, provide food that would be waste to charities (who sell the food on at a reduced rate to the poor for want of a better word). Whilst this is a loss, I believe it should come under a separate section to waste as although it is actual loss it is also Brand enhancing.

How do we make this comparable?

100 100

100 100

100 100

88 100

100

100

88

90

75

75

100

100

100

100

100

90

90

100

100

90

75

100

88

88

Should we be including non malicious cash loss?

Page 12: Professor Adrian Beck University of Leicester, UK Total Retail Loss: Developing a Global Standard for Measuring Loss in Retail Organisations Project Update

Internal Theft

Vendor Fraud

3rd Party Logistics Theft

Waste

Damage

Total Retail Loss

Known Operational Losses

Unknown Operational Losses

Supply Chain Losses

Corporate Liabilities

Corporate Policy Losses

MaliciousNon-

malicious

62100

62100

88 62

100 100

100 100

I am confused as to why this is called out as separate line

Feels like there should be more here....one I can think of would be shortage claims / credits given to the stores. Some retailers don't allow for this but if a pallet does not arrive, and the DC cannot find, then the store has to be credited and the retailer needs to guess what happened to that pallet.

Do we need to capture unknown loss here as well?

Page 13: Professor Adrian Beck University of Leicester, UK Total Retail Loss: Developing a Global Standard for Measuring Loss in Retail Organisations Project Update

Product Contamination

Criminal Damage

Burglary

Bomb Threats

Natural Disasters

Health & Safety

Fire

Corporate Fraud

Currency Exchange

Losses

Demonstrations

Online Fraud

Total Retail Loss

Known Operational Losses

Unknown Operational Losses

Supply Chain Losses

Corporate Liabilities

Corporate Policy Losses

100

90

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

90

100

88

100

100

100

100

100

81

50

88

88

Include counterfeit in this category

Is criminal damage the same as vandalism?

Should it be trying to measure reputational damage costs?

Page 14: Professor Adrian Beck University of Leicester, UK Total Retail Loss: Developing a Global Standard for Measuring Loss in Retail Organisations Project Update

Customer Guarantees

Unplanned Sales

Total Retail Loss

Known Operational Losses

Unknown Operational Losses

Supply Chain Losses

Corporate Liabilities

Corporate Policy Losses

80 62

80 50

Not relevant to us; moving to measure these

Page 15: Professor Adrian Beck University of Leicester, UK Total Retail Loss: Developing a Global Standard for Measuring Loss in Retail Organisations Project Update

DISCUSSION POINTS

• How does this fit with your organisation’s current thinking on measuring loss?

• How measurable is this typology in your organisation?

• In what ways can it be further improved?