progress icp vegetation 2014/15 icp vegetation 2014/15 harry harmens, gina mills, felicity hayes,...
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Progress ICP Vegetation 2014/15
Harry Harmens, Gina Mills, Felicity Hayes, Katrina Sharps
ICP Vegetation Programme Coordination Centre
Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Bangor, UK
* Supported by Defra (UK), NERC (UK) & UNECE
http://icpvegetation.ceh.ac.uk
28th Task Force meeting
3 – 5 February, Sapienza University, Rome, Italy
80 participants from 22 countries CCE, ICP Forests
Presentation achievements last year, new research and developments
Workplan 2016 – 2018
Joint session at CCE/ICP M&M meeting
29th Meeting, 29 Feb – 4 March 2016, Dubna, Russian Federation http://jinr.ru/news_article.asp?n_id=2686&language=eng
First Joint Session EMEP/WGE, 14 – 18 Sept. 2015, Geneva
Smart phone App (or online recording)
Recording presence/absence of leaf ozone injury
Location on interactive map
2014: Test phase successful, but limited submissions, due to e.g. low stomatal ozone fluxes (wet and cold, hot and dry – short growing season) 2015: Protocol developed for recording ozone injury http://icpvegetation.ceh.ac.uk/manuals/experimental_protocol.html
Records expected from ICP Forests ozone leaf injury survey
USA Ozone Bio-indicator Gardens
St. Louis University NASA Goddard Research Station, Maryland
Boulder, Colorado Penn State University
http://science-edu.larc.nasa.gov/ozonegarden/ pdf/Bio-guide-final-3_15_11.pdf
Species include: - Snap bean - Cutleaf coneflower - Common or Tall milkweed
ICP Vegetation protocol species: - Snap bean - White clover - Wheat - Local sensitive species
Further field-based evidence ozone impacts
Post 2006 data collected so far
Red dots: data ozone App 2014
Orange dots: data ozone biomonitoring experiments
Blue dots: data literature
2016: Update evidence report
Chapter 3 Mapping Manual
http://icpvegetation.ceh.ac.uk
Minor updates:
Update critical levels for tomato yield and quality (González-Fernández et al., 2014. Environmental Pollution).
Simple soil moisture index included in EMEP modelling and mapping (Simpson et al., 2012)
Autumn 2016, Spain: ozone CL workshop.
Five working groups to prepare background documents:
Methodology; Evidence; Crops; Trees; Grasslands
End November 2015: preparatory workshop
back to back with epidemiology workshop, Sweden
Wheat losses due to ozone
Annual economic loss (averaged for 2007 – 2011) for rain-fed wheat, based on POD3IAM
EMEP region EU28+CH+NO SEE EECCA
Total production loss (million t) 23.7 15.4 2.8 6.7
Economic loss (billion Euros) 4.6 3.0 0.5 1.3
Percentage yield loss 13.2 14.6 10.7 12.0
Changing ozone profiles (1999 – 2010)
Ozone concentration
European trend
Sites showing European trend
0-19 ppb Decline Tervuren (BE), Seibersdorf (AT)
20-39 ppb Increase Östad (SE), Ascot (GB), Tervuren (BE), Giessen (DE)
40-59 ppb None All, except increase in Seibersdorf (AT)
≥60 ppb Decline Ljubljana (SI)
Country Site 24 hr mean
Daylight mean
Night mean
Daily max
Daily min
AOT40a POD3 IAMb
Belgium Tervuren None None Increase None Increase None None
Slovenia Ljubljana None None None Decline None Decline None
European mean None None Increase None Increase None None
Few trends, longer time series needed (>20 years?)
Background concentrations rising, peak concentration declining (but site specific)
Abatement of precursors at global scale needed
No significant
trends in
reduced wheat
yield
(POD3IAM)*
* Assuming no soil
water limitation
EMEP stations (Torseth et al., 2012. Simpson et al., 2014)
Decrease highest ozone levels and a corresponding increase low levels in the UK, the Netherlands and some other sites
No trends in Switzerland or Austria
Cause rise background ozone not fully understood, neither is the lack of trends
Change mean annual percentiles 1990-1999 to 2000-2009
First Joint Session EMEP/WGE, 14 – 18 Sept. 2015, Geneva
N and CC as modifiers of ozone impacts
Key messages
• Climatic conditions, rising carbon dioxide and other pollutants modify the responses of vegetation to ozone.
• As well as directly impacting on plant growth, these modifiers influence the amount of ozone flux into the leaf by causing changes in the opening or closing of leaf pores.
• In so doing, the Phytotoxic Ozone Dose (POD) is altered leading to changes in the magnitude of effects on growth, crop yield and ecosystem services.
• Responses to gradual long-term changes in background ozone, reactive nitrogen and climate will differ from responses to extreme pollution and climate events, likely to become more frequent in the coming decades.
Mills et al., submitted. Environmental Pollution.
First Joint Session EMEP/WGE, 14 – 18 Sept. 2015, Geneva
N and ozone interactions in changing climate
O3 alters N cycling (e.g. higher N leaf litter)
Growth stimulating effect N lost at higher O3
Combined effect of O3 and N on ecosystems cannot simply be predicted by the sum of the two effects
Aerosols damage stomatal functioning
Climate change will modify stomatal uptake of O3,
thereby changing the magnitude of effect
Climate change and O3 modify release VOCs from vegetation, with implications for air quality
Models now being developed that can predict combined impacts
0
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0 20 40 60 80 100
Ro
ot b
iom
ass
(g)
Ozone - 24 hr mean (ppb)
Low nitrogen
High nitrogen
Modified from Wyness et al., 2011.
y = -0.0077x + 1R² = 0.76
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
0 20 40 60 80
Rel
ativ
e N
re
sorp
tio
n
Daylight mean ozone, ppb
Uddling et al, 2006
solardomes, ECLAIRE
Lindroth et al., 2001
N resorption leaves prior to leaf fall (Karlsson, Hayes et al., unpublished)
Cooperation outside region
Asian Air Pollution workshop, Tokyo, Japan, 31 Oct – 2 Nov 2015
Contribution to Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report (TOAR): Global metrics for climate change, human health and crop/ ecosystem research’ http://www.igacproject.org/TOAR - International Global Atmospheric Chemistry Project (IGAC) - Goals: i) Produce first TOAR (peer-reviewed literature, new analysis); ii) At hundreds of measurement sites around the world (urban and non-urban) generate freely accessible ozone metrics (including ozone flux)
First Joint Session EMEP/WGE, 14 – 18 Sept. 2015, Geneva
Participation moss survey 2015/16
EECCA SEE
Azerbaijan Albania N
Belarus Bulgaria N
Georgia Croatia N
Kazakhstan Greece
Moldova Macedonia N
Russian Federation Romania N
Uzbekistan SerbiaPOPs
Confirmed participation:
HM: 40 countries
N: nitrogen – 15 countries
POPs: POPs – 4 countries
Several countries will also conduct radionuclide analyses in collaboration with Moss Survey Coordination Centre
EECCA: Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia SEE: South-eastern Europe
First Joint Session EMEP/WGE, 14 – 18 Sept. 2015, Geneva
Moss Survey Coordination Centre, JINR, Dubna, Russian Federation Head: Marina Frontasyeva
Rest Europe Rest Europe Asia + Africa
Austria N Norway N, POPs China
Czech Republic Poland N India
Denmark (Faroer Isl.) Slovakia N Mongolia
Estonia N Spain N Pakistan
Hungary Sweden South Korea
Ireland N, POPs Switzerland N, POPs Thailand
Iceland Turkey Vietnam
Italy N Ukraine
Latvia N UK (London area) South Africa
Participation moss survey 2015/16
Negotiations ongoing in for example Germany to participate in 2016
First Joint Session EMEP/WGE, 14 – 18 Sept. 2015, Geneva
Medium-term workplan (2016 – 2018)
Ongoing annual activities – report on:
Supporting evidence for ozone impacts on vegetation
Progress with the moss survey 2015/16
Contribute to common workplan items WGE
Specific activities – Report on:
2016: - Updated report on field-based evidence of ozone impacts on vegetation
- Ozone impacts on biodiversity
- Ozone critical levels workshop (November 2016, Spain)
2017: - Revised ozone risk assessment methodologies
- Revision Chapter 3 of Modelling and Mapping Manual
2018: - Report European moss survey 2015/16
First Joint Session EMEP/WGE, 14 – 18 Sept. 2015, Geneva
Thank you very much
for your attention!
http://icpvegetation.ceh.ac.uk
First Joint Session EMEP/WGE, 14 – 18 Sept. 2015, Geneva