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Projections and Characteristics of the 60+ Population
SHAHLA MEHDIZADEH, KARL CHOW, WENXUAN HUANG, SUZANNE KUNKEL,
JANE STRAKER, ANTHONY BARDO
Scripps Gerontology CenterAn Ohio Center of Excellence
Scripps Gerontology Center (2013). Projections and Characteristics of the 60+ Population. Scripps Gerontology Center,Miami University, Oxford, OH. Available at www.ohio-population.org
Wenxuan Huang, MGS
Suzanne R. Kunkel, Ph.D.
Jane K. Straker, Ph.D.
Antony Bardo, MGS
January 2014
Scripps Gerontology Center
Miami University
This research was funded as part of a grant from the Ohio General Assembly, through the Ohio Board of Regents to the Ohio Long-
Term Care Research Project. For additional information about this funding source see [email protected]; and for this report see
www.ohio-population.org or contact us at Scripps Gerontology Center, Miami University, Oxford, OH 45056; (513) 529-2914;
Projections and Characteristics of the 60+ Population
Ohio
Suggested citation:
Project Team:
Shahla A. Mehdizadeh, Ph.D.
Karl Chow, MBA
1 OhioCover.xls
2000 2010 U.S. (2010)
1,963,489 2,287,424 57,085,908
17.3 19.8 18.5
12.4 11.8 11.7
$15,400 $20,320 $20,152
89.7 88.7 78.7
58.3 57.5 57.7
68.54 79.34 79.7
3.47 3.61 5.43
10.2 10.4 8.8
This report describes the characteristics of Ohio’s 60-plus population in 2010, and changes in that population since 2000. This chart book also includes population characteristics such as education, income level, marital status, and living alone status, that have been shown to be associated with need for long-term care services and supports. There are also charts that compare the older population of Ohio with the U.S. as a whole.
In addition, the projected size of the 60+ population and those with physical and/or cognitive disability are included. These projections are intended to assist planners, decisions makers, and service providers in preparing for the aging population, particularly those with needs for assistance.
Percent of 65+ Medicaid Recipient
Ohio
Percent at or Below Poverty
Total Population
Percent of Population Age 60+
Median Income
Percent White
Percent Married
Profile of 60+ Population
Percent with High School Diploma Or Higher Education
Percent Having Grandchildren Living at Home
Source: United States Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. American Community Survey (ACS): Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS), 2006-2010.
1 OhioOverall.xls
Ohio Total Population (2010) 11,536,494
Ohio 60+ Population (2010) 2,287,414
Ohio Total Population (2000) 11,353,140
Ohio 60+ Population (2000) 1,963,489
U.S. Population (2010) 308,745,538
Ohio
United States Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. American Community Survey (ACS): Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS), 2006-2010. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000: Public Use Microdata Sample: 5-Percent.
4.0%
3.5% 3.4%
2.9%
1.9%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
5.8%
4.2%
3.2%
2.6%
2.1%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+
60+ Population as a Percentage of Total Population by Age Group, 2000 - 2010
2000 2010
5.8%
4.2%
3.2%
2.6%
2.1%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
5.4%
4.0%
3.0%
2.4%
1.9%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+
60+ Population as a Percentage of Total Population by Age Group for Ohio and U.S., 2010
Ohio U.S.
1 OhioAge.xls
1,963,489
2,287,414
57,085,908
Ohio
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000: Public Use Microdata Sample: 5-Percent.
Ohio 60+ Population (2000)
Ohio 60+ Population (2010)
U.S 60+ Population (2010)
United States Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. American Community Survey (ACS): Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS), 2006-2010.
3.5%
28.0%
38.7%
16.5%
7.9%
5.4%
2.5%
18.1%
41.0%
20.5%
10.2%
7.6%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
6th Gradeor Less
7th- 12th(No
Diploma)
HighSchool
Graduate
SomeCollege
Bachelor'sDegree
GraduateDegree
Distribution of 60+ Population by Education 2000 - 2010
2000 2010
2.5%
18.1%
41.0%
20.5%
10.2%
7.6% 5.5%
14.8%
32.8%
23.7%
12.9%
10.3%
6th Grade orLess
7th- 12th(No
Diploma)
High SchoolGraduate
SomeCollege
Bachelor'sDegree
GraduateDegree
Distribution of 60+ Population by Education Ohio and U.S., 2010
Ohio U.S.
2.7%
17.6%
36.3%
21.1%
12.0% 10.3%
2.4%
18.6%
44.7%
20.0%
8.8%
5.6%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
6th Grade orLess
7th- 12th (NoDiploma)
High SchoolGraduate
Some College Bachelor'sDegree
GraduateDegree
Distribution of 60+ Population by Education and Gender 2010
Men Women
1 OhioEducation.xls
188,192
149,302
845,303
802,374
11,536,494
2,287,414
1,963,4892,287,414
57,085,908
County Total Population (2000)
United States Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. American Community Survey (ACS): Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS), 2006-2010.
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000: Public Use Microdata Sample: 5-Percent.
Ohio 60+ Population (2010)
Ohio Total Population (2010)
Ohio
Ohio 60+ Population (2000)
Ohio 60+ Population (2010)
U.S. 60+ Population (2010)
County 60+ Population (2000)
County Total Population (2010)
County 60+ population (2010)
White Non-Hispanic, 88.7%
Black Non-Hispanic, 8.6%
Other Races Non-Hispanic,
1.6% Hispanic, 1.1%
Ohio 60+ Population by Race, 2010
White Non-Hispanic, 78.7%
Black Non-Hispanic, 8.9%
Other Races Non-Hispanic, 5.1%
Hispanic, 7.3%
U.S. 60+ Population by Race, 2010
White Non-Hispanic, 89.7%
Black Non-Hispanic, 8.4%
Other Races Non-Hispanic, 1.2%
Hispanic, 0.7%
Ohio 60+ Population by Race, 2000
1 OhioRace-Pie.xls
Ohio 60+ Population (2000) 1,963,489
Ohio 60+ Population (2010) 2,287,414
Ohio 60+ Population (Men) in 2010 1,005,859
Ohio 60+ Population (Women) in 2010 1,281,555
U.S. 60+ Population (2010) 57,085,908
Ohio
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000: Public Use Microdata Sample: 5-Percent.United States Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. American Community Survey (ACS): Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS), 2006-2010.
57.5%
37.6%
4.9%
57.7%
36.9%
5.5%
Married W/D/S Never Married
Distribution of 60+ Population by Marital Status Ohio and U.S., 2010
W/D/S = Widowed/Divorced/Separated
Ohio U.S.
71.8%
23.3%
5.0%
46.4% 48.8%
4.9%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Married W/D/S Never Married
Marital Status
Distribution of 60+ Population by Marital Status and Gender, 2010
W/D/S = Widowed/Divorced/Separated
Men Women
58.3%
37.6%
4.1%
57.5%
37.6%
4.9%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Married W/D/S Never Married
Distribution of 60+ Population by Marital Status 2000 - 2010
W/D/S = Widowed/Divorced/Separated 2000 2010
67.5% 66.0%
61.0%
54.6%
43.4%
30.6%
14.2%
26.4% 29.1%
34.8%
41.2%
52.3%
65.2%
81.4%
6.1% 4.9% 4.2% 4.2% 4.3% 4.2% 4.4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+
Age Group (Population)
Distribution of 60+ Population by Marital Status and Age Group, 2010
Married
Widowed/Divorced/Separated
Never Married
1 OhioMarita.xls
Ohio 60+ Population (2000) 1,963,489
Ohio 60+ Population (2010) 2,287,414
Ohio 60+ Population (Men) in 2010 1,005,859
Ohio 60+ Population (Women) in 2010 1,281,555
U.S. 60+ Population (2010) 57,085,908
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000: Public Use Microdata Sample: 5-Percent.
United States Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. American Community Survey (ACS): Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS), 2006-2010.
Ohio
32.1%
27.8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
2000 2010
Proportion of 60+ Population Who Live Alone, 2000 - 2010
27.8%
25.6%
Ohio U.S.
Proportion of 60+ Population Who Live Alone Ohio and U.S., 2010
16.9% 16.4% 17.0% 19.4%
26.1%
30.6%
45.1%
22.3%
26.6%
33.5%
40.1%
49.8%
58.8%
64.1%
60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+
Age Group (Population)
Proportion of 60+ Population Who Live Alone by Gender and Age Group, 2010
Men Women
19.7% 22.0%
26.1%
31.2%
40.1%
48.8%
58.8%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+
Age Group
Proportion of 60+ Population Who Live Alone by Age Group, 2010
1 OhioLiving.xls
Persons in family
Poverty
Guideline (65
and older)
Poverty
Guideline
(Younger than
65)
1 11,344.00$ 10,458.00$
2 14,676.00$ 13,194.00$ Ohio 60+ Population (2000) 1,963,4893 17,374.00$ 17,374.00$ Ohio 60+ Population (2010) 2,287,4144 22,314.00$ 22,314.00$ Ohio 60+ Population (Men) in 2010 1,005,8595 26,439.00$ 26,439.00$ Ohio 60+ Population (Women) in 2010 1,281,5556 29,897.00$ 29,897.00$ U.S. 60+ Population (2010) 57,085,908
http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/poverty/data/threshld/index.html.
Federal Poverty Threshold in 2010*
Ohio
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000: Public Use Microdata Sample: 5-Percent.United States Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. American Community Survey (ACS): Public Use Microdata Sample
(PUMS), 2006-2010.
*U.S. Census Bureau. Poverty thresholds by Size of Family and Number
of Children. Retrieved August 5, 2013 from
12.4%
18.7% 20.0%
15.9%
33.0%
11.8%
19.9% 20.1%
15.5%
32.8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Less than 1.00 1.00-1.99 2.00-2.99 3.00-3.99 4 or moreIncome-to-Poverty-Threshold Ratio
Distribution of 60+ Population by Income-to-Poverty-Threshold Ratio, 2000 and 2010
2000 2010
11.8%
19.9% 20.1%
15.5%
32.8%
11.7%
19.5%
17.6%
13.8%
37.4%
Less than 1.00 1.00-1.99 2.00-2.99 3.00-3.99 4 or moreIncome-to-Poverty-Threshold Ratio
Distribution of 60+ Population by Income-to Poverty-Threshold Ratio, 2010
Ohio U.S.
1 OhioPoverty.xls
Source: United States Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. American Community Survey (ACS): Public Use Microdata
Sample (PUMS), 2006-2010.
In 2010, about 12% of the 60+ population in Ohio had an annual income at or below the poverty level (about
$11,000 for an individual 65 and older). Nearly 20% lived between poverty and two times the poverty income
level (between $11,344 and about $22,700). Compared to the U.S. as a whole, a higher percentage of Ohio’s
60+ population had incomes below three times the poverty threshold (51.8% v. 48.8%), and a lower percentage
of its older population had incomes in the highest category of at least four times the poverty threshold (32.8%
v. 37.4%). Poverty is more prevalent among older women in Ohio: Within all age groups, the percentage of
older women in poverty exceeds that of men. On the other hand, a lower percentage of women had income
four of more times poverty threshold income at every age compared to men.
Ohio
9.2%
6.9% 7.1% 9.0%
10.9%
15.8%
20.4%
10.4% 8.9%
11.6%
14.0%
19.5%
23.0%
35.8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
60 - 64 65 - 69 70 - 74 75 - 79 80 - 84 85 - 89 90+
Age Group
Proportion 60+ Population at or Below Poverty Threshold Income by Gender and Age Group, 2010
Men Women
47.7%
43.4%
35.0%
27.6%
23.7% 22.8% 21.1%
42.6%
34.9%
25.0%
20.4%
17.1% 15.4% 15.1%
60 - 64 65 - 69 70 - 74 75 - 79 80 - 84 85 - 89 90+
Age Group
Proportion of 60+ Population at 4 or More Times Poverty Threshold Income by Gender and Age
Group, 2010
Men Women
2 OhioPoverty.xls
YearTotal 60+
Population
NumberPercentage of 60+
PopulationNumber
Percentage of 60+ Population
2010 2,287,414 150,696 6.6% 77,476 3.4%
2015 2,600,352 166,342 6.4% 86,022 3.3%
2020 2,952,661 184,718 6.3% 96,591 3.3%
2025 3,227,543 208,313 6.5% 107,634 3.3%
2030 3,371,907 236,043 7.0% 116,970 3.5%
Severe Physical and/or Cognitive Disability
Ohio
Projected 60+ Population with Physical and/or Cognitive Disability, 2010-2030
Moderate Physical and/or Cognitive Disability
Source: Scripps Gerontology Center. (2013). Projections of Ohio's Population with a Disability 2010-2030 . Oxford, OH: Scripps Gerontology
Center, Miami University.
Source: Scripps Gerontology Center. (2013). Projections of Ohio's Population with a Disability 2010-2030 . Oxford, OH: Scripps Gerontology
Center, Miami University.
18.5%
20.8%
23.1%
24.9% 25.7%
19.8%
22.3%
25.2%
27.5% 28.7%
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Year
Projections of 60+ Population as a Percentage of Total Population for Ohio and U.S., 2010-2030
US Ohio
1 OhioDisability 2.xls
Click on: Estimating Prevalence of Disability
Source: Scripps Gerontology Center. (2013). Projections of Ohio's Population with a Disability 2010-2030 . Oxford, OH: Scripps Gerontology
Center, Miami University.
Source: Scripps Gerontology Center. (2013). Projections of Ohio's Population with a Disability 2010-2030 . Oxford, OH: Scripps Gerontology
Center, Miami University.
Ohio
For Prevalence of Disability Estimation Methodology:
Click on: Population Projection Methodology
For projection methodology see ohio-population.org/DataDownload
24,157 29,448 32,848 34,260 31,823
39,233 43,036
52,384
64,224
72,288
62,252 62,618 63,466
71,639
89,656
25,054
31,240
36,020 38,190
42,276
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Year
Projections of the Number of People Age 60+ with Severe Physical and/or Cognitive Disability, 2010 to 2030, by Age
60-69 70-79 80-89 90+
167,670
183,315
203,613
231,748
263,797
53,258 57,965 64,093
72,652 82,390
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Year
Projections of the Number of People Age 60+ with Severe Physical and/or Cognitive Disability Who Have Income Below 200% of Poverty, 2010 to 2030
Severe Disability Medicaid eligible
2 OhioDisability 2.xls
This presentation of state population trends reveals important indicators of current and
future need for long-term care services and supports. Ohio is aging; the share of the
population that is 60 years and older will continue to grow over the next 20 years. A
higher proportion of the older population experiences poverty, compared to other
adults. In addition, those at very advanced ages are mostly women who have outlived
their spouses and most likely live alone. The combination of lower income, living alone
and higher prevalence of disability among older women are all contributors to the need
for long-term care services and supports.
Summary
Scripps Gerontology Center (2013). Projections and Characteristics of the 60+ Population . Scripps Gerontology
Center, Miami University, Oxford, OH. Available at www.ohio-population.org
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