prompt oil price ($/bbl) $33.92 $6.36 23.1% let’s follow ... · 5/26/2020 · week's change...
TRANSCRIPT
1
May 26, 2020
IndicatorCurrent
Value
Week's
Change
%
Change Direction
Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $33.92 $6.36 23.1%
Prompt Gas Price ($/mmbtu) $1.71 $0.03 1.7%
Wkly Trans. Value ($mm) -- ($125) (100%)
Wkly Trans. Count -- (2) (100%)
US Rig Count 318 (21) (6.2%)
US Oil Prod'n (mmbbl/d) 11.5 (0.1) (0.9%)
US Gas Prod'n (bcf/d)(1) 115.3 -- --
US Oil Storage (mmbbl) 526.5 (5.0) (0.9%)
US Gas Storage (tcf) 2.5 0.1 3.3%
$2.2
$8.0
$9.9 $10.7
$4.9
$15.8
$21.2 $21.9 $24.1
$17.0
$9.1 $9.2
$20.8
$8.2
$31.6
$19.5
$1.7
$17.0
$9.0
$0.9 $1.8
--
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
--
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20
61% 83% 74% 79% 39% 52% 62% 71% 93% 24% 68% 82% 91% 64% 46% 93% 51% 95% 74% 78% 67% 48%
Nu
mb
er
of
Tra
nsacti
on
s
Tra
nsacti
on
Va
lue (
$b
n)
Asset Corporate Number of Transactions
% Oil% Oil% Oil
$64.3
Total announced that it terminated the acquisition of
Occidental Petroleum’s Ghana assets as the purchase was
conditional on Total’s acquisition of Occidental’s Algeria
assets, which was blocked by Algerian authorities
With developments around COVID-19 in constant flux, BMO
Capital Markets has set up a dedicated page to provide
clients with the latest news and information, from the market
response to developments in the fight against the virus and
its spread – read more here
Debt
Markets
20 issuers priced 21 tranches for approximately $10.4 billion in proceeds last week
U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of $1.64 billion
ETFs reported an outflow of $665 million, while mutual funds reported an inflow of $2.29 billion
High yield index yield was 7.49%; high yield energy index yield was 12.07%
Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, EIA, PLS
Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.
1. EIA U.S. natural gas gross withdrawals and production reported monthly as of Feb 2020.
2. S&P E&P = S&P Oil & Gas E&P Select Industry, SPX = S&P 500 Index.
Key Industry Indicators
Quarterly Deal Activity
S&P E&P(2) outperformed last week 9.9% vs. SPX(2) 3.0%
The U.S. equity indexes mostly finished up last week. Real estate, industrials, consumer discretionary,
tech, materials, and financials finished up. Consumer staples and healthcare finished down
Equity
Markets
Oil ended last week up. Demand signals continued to trend positively, with China’s total oil demand
nearly back to the pre-COVID levels of 13.4 mmbbl/d. U.S. real-time mobility data indicated that driving
activity also recovered much of the April losses. Markets were also affected by greater than expected
Lower 48 shut-ins announced during earnings season. The jet fuel market remained extremely weak
though travel started to tick higher off historic lows. The near-term contract closed up $6.36, or 23.1%,
at $33.92
Gas ended last week up. The EIA announced a smaller than expected natural gas storage build. EQT
confirmed they had shut-in a large percentage of production due to pricing, with management noting that
sales were being deferred to take advantage of expected significant improvement in price in the coming
months. LNG cancellations continued. Temperatures across the southern states expected to increase.
The near-term contract closed up $0.03, or 1.7%, at $1.71
Commodities
Week in Review
Let’s follow these guidelines when sorting articles:
• First priority: Domestic A&D, ranked by size
• Next: Domestic M&A
• Then: US companies doing international deals (like
Noble’s Tamar)
• Then: Others (Cabot’s Lackawanna)
• Then: Prices, rig count, completions, etc.
To paste the arrows with colors,
• FactSet
• Settings
• Presentation Linking and Formatting
• Import
• Colors
• Change Color Font Covering the Week of May 15 to May 21, 2020
This is the final issue for 2018. The Market Monitor will
return on Monday, January 7th. Happy Holidays from the
BMO Capital Markets team!
BMO is marketing PayRock Energy’s divestiture of South
Texas Eagle Ford assets (see page [x])
The October issue of BMO Calgary’s A&D (Canadian) Market
Monitor went live last week – read more here
One E&P deal priced last week
WPX Energy (b1/BB-) priced $600 million of x% Senior
Notes due 2027
One E&P issuer priced last week
Noble Energy priced $500 million of 3.25% senior notes
due 2029 and $500 million of 4.20% senior notes due
2049. BMO Capital Markets acted as a Joint
Bookrunner on this transaction
All references to last week in the comments below are through Thursday
Better international/demand data and promise for strict quota adherence by Russia
Demand signals continue to trend positively, with China’s total oil demand is nearly back to the pre-COVID levels of 13.4MM. U.S. real-time
mobility data indicated that driving activity has also recovered much of the April losses. Markets were also affected by greater than expected
Lower 48 shut-ins announced during earnings season. Jet-fuel market remains extremely weak thought travel started to tick higher off historic
lows.
Fighting in Libya intensified
The EIA announced a smaller-than-expected natural gas storage build. EQT confirmed that they had shut-in a large percentage of production
due to pricing, with management noting that sales were being deferred to take advantage of an expected significant improvement in price in the
coming months. LNG cancellations continued. Temperatures across the southern states expected to increase.
2
May 26, 2020
y = 22.205e-0.061x
R² = 0.2785
--
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
-- 5.0x 10.0x 15.0x 20.0x 25.0x 30.0x
Sa
les
Pri
ce
/ P
rove
d R
es
erv
es
($
/bo
e @
15
:1)
R / P
R / P
Sales Value /
Proved Reserves
(15:1)
(ratio) ($ / boe) ($ / mcfe)
8x $13.59 $0.91
10x $12.02 $0.80
15x $8.84 $0.59
20x $6.50 $0.43
$10.8 $21.3
$13.4 $5.2 $1.8
$4.4
$8.8
$10.2
$57.6
$0.9
$15.2
$30.1 $23.7
$62.8
$2.7
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
363 650 522 86 47
Asset Corporate
Deal Count
Public Company
46%
PE / PE-Backed
17%
Private10%
Other27%
LTM By Buyer Type
Ann'd
Date Buyer Seller Area Asset Description Value(1)
Proved
Multiple
Prod.
Multiple Net Acres
($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)
11-May-20 Diversified Gas & Oil EQT Marcellus/Utica Appalachia Basin asset in PA and WV $125 $2.60 $13,889 n.a.
04-May-20 National Fuel Gas Shell Marcellus/Utica 450,000 net acres in Appalachia $541 $4.57 $12,983 $1,202
14-Apr-20 Undisclosed Buyer Ring Energy Permian 19,998 net acres in Delaware Basin $32 $3.15 $34,615 $1,575
08-Apr-20 Diversified Gas & Oil Carbon Energy Corp (USA) Marcellus/Utica 1,553,754 net acres in Appalachia $110 $1.51 $11,111 $71
03-Apr-20 BCE-Mach III LLC Alta Mesa Resources Mid-Continent 130,000 net acres in STACK $160 $2.22 $5,317 $1,227
31-Mar-20 Brigham Minerals LLC Undisclosed Sellers Multi-Region 1,625 net royalty acres in multiple basins $25 n.a. n.a. nmf
31-Mar-20 Viper Energy Partners Undisclosed Sellers Permian 410 net royalty acres in Permian Basin $63 n.a. n.a. nmf
26-Feb-20 Undisclosed Buyer HighPoint Resources Multi-Region Multi-region non-op assets $27 n.a. $13,500 n.a.
21-Feb-20 Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp Undisclosed Seller Eagle Ford Non-op Eagle Ford assets $71 n.a. $39,176 n.a.
14-Feb-20 Undisclosed Buyer Lilis Energy Inc Permian 1,185 net acres in Delaware Basin $25 n.a. n.a. $21,013
Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services
Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services
Permian21%
Rockies (ex. Bakken)
8%
Bakken3%
Appalachia7%
Mid-Con13%
Eagle Ford6%
Ark-La-Tex5%
Gulf of Mexico7%
Other31%
LTM By Region
Oil48%
Gas52%
LTM By Commodity
The 10 Most Recent Asset Transactions Over $20 Million
A&D Valuation Trends(3)
Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, PLS
1. Represents total enterprise value. 2. Calculated as percentage of total LTM transaction count (number of transactions, not dollar value).
3. 68 transactions from January 2015 to 2019 with transaction value >$20mm. Adjusted for changes in price outlooks. Recalculated boe reserves are on a 15:1
(gas:oil) basis. Acreage transactions excluded by using deals with PDP of >= 40% of total proved.
4. Year-to-date data is through this week’s date for each respective year.
(2) (2) (2)
Confirm number of transactions weekly --->
Deal Activity – YTD ($bn)(4)
[TBU]
3
May 26, 2020
5/14/2020
Appalachia 3
Ark-La-Tex 1
Bakken 1
Eagle Ford 5
Mid-Con 2
Other 3
Permian 2
Rockies 2
19
Select Significant Deals on the Market
Disclaimer: The foregoing links are for convenience only and relate to materials that were not prepared or reviewed by BMO Capital Markets. BMO Capital Markets takes
no responsibility for and makes no representations with respect to the contents thereof. These materials may be inconsistent with the views of BMO Capital Markets.
Source of Select Significant Deals on the Market: BMO Transaction Database
Source of Headlines: Press releases
Industry Headlines
(Click headline to link to the full article)
M&A&D Headlines
Appalachia
3 Deals
Mid-Con
2 Deals
Eagle Ford
5 Deals
Permian
2 Deals
Other
3 Deals
Rockies
2 Deals
Bakken
1 Deal
Ark-La-Tex
1 Deal
BMO Deals (Status)
Siltstone Appalachia (In Market) – See page 6
Oil Jumps Above $30 for First Time in 2 Months
Global Oil Refining Could Rebound in June, but
Margins Weak
World Petroleum Congress Event in Houston Pushed
to 2021
Oil Highest Since March as Chinese Demand
Reaches 13 MMbpd
Key Global Markets' Physical Oil Prices Climbing as
OPEC+ Cuts Supply
Trump Administration Cuts Royalty Rates for Oil and
Gas
Google Plans to Stop Making A.I. Tools for Oil and
Gas Firms
Continental Resources Pushes for Regulatory Action
at North Dakota Hearing
The Man Who Bought 60,000 Oil and Gas Wells
Total Discontinues the Acquisition of Occidental
Petroleum’s Assets in Ghana
Centennial Resource Development Announces
Termination of Water Infrastructure Transaction
Talos Energy Announces Full Year 2019 Operating
and Financial Guidance (includes A&D
announcement)
+ the EQT mineral/JV Deal
+ Antero ORRI deal
4
May 26, 2020
Market Insight: Assessing the Impact on Form of M&A&D Transaction
Consideration from 1998 to Present
Source: FactSet
Note: The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is used as a proxy for equity volatility; ‘low volatility’ defined as periods with VIX levels below 20 and ‘high volatility’ defined as periods
with VIX levels above 20.
1. Median of North American transactions over $50mm from 1998 to present.
2. Other category is comprised of all-stock transactions and mixed (cash and stock) consideration.
[TBU]
TRANSACTION CONSIDERATION(1)
Cash scarcity and absolute valuation issues lead to fewer all-cash transactions in periods of market
dislocation
--
25%
50%
75%
100%
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
All-Cash Transactions All Other Transactions Long-Term Average
Long-Term Average: 61%
(2)
Dot Com
Bubble
Financial
Crisis 9/11
Attack
OBSERVATIONS ALL-CASH DEALS(1)
The likelihood of an all-cash transaction is
negatively impacted by an increase in equity
volatility
All-cash transactions are less likely in a
volatile market, impacted in part by a greater
need for acquirers to preserve liquidity and
restricted access to debt and equity markets
In a distressed environment, target
shareholders may view a stock-based
transaction as more favorable due to relative
valuation considerations
Equity consideration may also alleviate Board
of Director fiduciary focus of maximizing
shareholder value at unsustainably low oil
prices
65%
53%
Low Volatility High Volatility
5
May 26, 2020
NYMEX WTI Futures as of 21-May-20 Close ($/bbl) NYMEX Gas Futures as of 21-May-20 Close ($/mmbtu)
Period(1) Current Last Wk. 6 Mo. Ago 1 Yr. Ago
12 Mo. Strip $35.68 $30.59 $56.47 $61.99
2020 $34.89 $29.31 $56.47 $60.43
2021 $37.03 $33.48 $53.33 $56.94
2022 $39.15 $36.72 $52.21 $54.78
2023 $41.26 $39.39 $52.01 $53.79
2024 $43.33 $41.80 $52.18 $53.62
NYMEX Gas Futures as of 21-May-20 Close ($/mmbtu)
Period(1) Current Last Wk. 6 Mo. Ago 1 Yr. Ago
12 Mo. Strip $2.36 $2.39 $2.43 $2.75
2020 $2.11 $2.14 $2.43 $2.73
2021 $2.64 $2.67 $2.46 $2.66
2022 $2.49 $2.49 $2.49 $2.66
2023 $2.41 $2.42 $2.54 $2.73
2024 $2.39 $2.39 $2.59 $2.84
25%
35%
45%
55%
65%
Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-20
% o
f W
TI
NGL as % of WTI
Historical Prices as of 21-May-20 Close ($/gal)
NGLs Current Last Wk. 6 Mo. Ago 1 Yr. Ago
Ethane $0.23 $0.23 $0.20 $0.23
Propane $0.48 $0.41 $0.56 $0.58
Butane $0.50 $0.35 $0.75 $0.53
Iso-butane $0.51 $0.41 $0.82 $0.62
Pentane+ $0.58 $0.48 $1.29 $1.26
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
May-19 Nov-19 May-20 Nov-20 May-21
($/b
bl)
$1
$2
$3
$4
$5
May-19 Nov-19 May-20 Nov-20 May-21
($/m
mb
tu)
NGL PRICING(2)
HENRY HUB NATURAL GAS (HISTORICAL / FORECAST)
Commodity Prices
Source: BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, FactSet
1. Future prices are calendar year average unless stated otherwise.
2. Assumes typical Gulf Coast barrel composition.
WTI OIL (HISTORICAL / FORECAST)
Links:
http://www.nasdaq.com/markets/crude-oil.aspx
http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/CL1:COM
http://www.nasdaq.com/markets/natural-gas.aspx
http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/NG1:COM
Link to Detailed
Futures Data
Link to Detailed
Historical Graph
Link to Detailed
Futures Data
Link to Detailed
Historical Graph
Historical Prices as of 21-May-20 Close ($/gal)NGLsCurrentLast Wk.6 Mo. Ago1 Yr. AgoEthane$0.23$0.23$0.20$0.23Propane$0.48$0.41$0.56$0.58Butane$0.50$0.35$0.75$0.53Iso-butane$0.51$0.41$0.82$0.62Pentane+$0.58$0.48$1.29$1.26
NYMEX Gas Futures as of 21-May-20 Close ($/mmbtu)Period(1)CurrentLast Wk.6 Mo. Ago1 Yr. Ago12 Mo. Strip$2.36$2.39$2.43$2.752020$2.11$2.14$2.43$2.732021$2.64$2.67$2.46$2.662022$2.49$2.49$2.49$2.662023$2.41$2.42$2.54$2.732024$2.39$2.39$2.59$2.84
NYMEX WTI Futures as of 21-May-20 Close ($/bbl)NYMEX Gas Futures as of 21-May-20 Close ($/mmbtu)Period(1)CurrentLast Wk.6 Mo. Ago1 Yr. Ago12 Mo. Strip$35.68$30.59$56.47$61.992020$34.89$29.31$56.47$60.432021$37.03$33.48$53.33$56.942022$39.15$36.72$52.21$54.782023$41.26$39.39$52.01$53.792024$43.33$41.80$52.18$53.62
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
Historical Prices as of 21-May-20 Close ($/gal)NGLsCurrentLast Wk.6 Mo. Ago1 Yr. AgoEthane$0.23$0.23$0.20$0.23Propane$0.48$0.41$0.56$0.58Butane$0.50$0.35$0.75$0.53Iso-butane$0.51$0.41$0.82$0.62Pentane+$0.58$0.48$1.29$1.26
NYMEX Gas Futures as of 21-May-20 Close ($/mmbtu)Period(1)CurrentLast Wk.6 Mo. Ago1 Yr. Ago12 Mo. Strip$2.36$2.39$2.43$2.752020$2.11$2.14$2.43$2.732021$2.64$2.67$2.46$2.662022$2.49$2.49$2.49$2.662023$2.41$2.42$2.54$2.732024$2.39$2.39$2.59$2.84
NYMEX WTI Futures as of 21-May-20 Close ($/bbl)NYMEX Gas Futures as of 21-May-20 Close ($/mmbtu)Period(1)CurrentLast Wk.6 Mo. Ago1 Yr. Ago12 Mo. Strip$35.68$30.59$56.47$61.992020$34.89$29.31$56.47$60.432021$37.03$33.48$53.33$56.942022$39.15$36.72$52.21$54.782023$41.26$39.39$52.01$53.792024$43.33$41.80$52.18$53.62
6
May 26, 2020
$33.92
$1.71
$0.53
Clearbrook
Midland
Cushing
St. James
(LLS)
East Coast
U.S. (Brent)
Midland Sweet-
Sour Spread
EMS
AECO
Northern
California
Sumas
Southern
California
El Paso - SJ
Waha
HSC
Henry Hub
Panhandle
CIG Chicago
Dominion
Transco
NATURAL GAS PRICING & DIFFERENTIALS TO HENRY HUB ($ / MMBTU) – AS OF 21-MAY-20
Commodity Prices (cont’d)
OIL PRICING & DIFFERENTIALS TO CUSHING WTI ($ / BBL) – AS OF 21-MAY-20
Legend
Price
Diff.
Legend
Price
Diff.
$36.06
$2.14
$2.45
$0.74$1.62
($0.09)
$1.49
($0.22)$1.66
($0.05)
$1.48
($0.23)
$1.30
($0.41)
$29.42
($4.50)
$1.47
($0.24)
$1.45
($0.26)
$35.37
$1.45
Source: BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg
Note: Prices and differentials are for prompt month futures except for Clearbrook which is based on spot prices.
MAPS IN
MASTER VIEW
$34.29
$0.37
$1.47
($0.24)
$1.68
($0.03)
$1.46
($0.25)
$1.42
($0.29)
[TBU]
$34.42
$0.50
[TBU]
[TBU]
7
May 26, 2020
Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week
Rig Count 162 (13) 175 Oil Differential ($0.10) ($1.75) $1.65
Permitting Activity 48 (17) 65 Gas Differential ($0.28) ($0.06) ($0.22)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
--
100
200
300
400
500
Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
H V+D % of Total Rigs
-$4.80
-$3.20
-$1.60
$0.00
$1.60
Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
-$18.00
-$12.00
-$6.00
$0.00
$6.00
$ /
mm
btu
$ /
bb
l
Midland Waha
1,256
900784 753
596
851744
803966
843706
543
196
May-19 Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20
H V+D
4,000
8,000
12,000
16,000
20,000
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19
mm
cf/
d
mb
bl/
d
Oil Gas4,663
16,498
--
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
2Q
18
3Q
18
4Q
18
1Q
19
2Q
19
3Q
19
4Q
19
1Q
20
2Q
20
1 2 8 8 6 6 121315 7 2 2 7 2 5 4 1 2 0 3 0 2
$ /
acre
# Deals
$23,957
--
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
2Q
18
3Q
18
4Q
18
1Q
19
2Q
19
3Q
19
4Q
19
1Q
20
2Q
20
1 2 6 9 5 7 11 9 9 6 1 0 7 2 5 4 1 2 4 3 0 1
$ /
bo
e/d
# Deals
$86,402
Ann'd
Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)
Proved
Multiple
Prod.
Multiple Net Acres
($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)(2)
14-Apr-20 Undisclosed Buyer Ring Energy 19,998 net acres in Delaware Basin $32 $3.15 $34,615 $1,575
31-Mar-20 Viper Energy Partners Undisclosed Sellers 410 net royalty acres in Permian Basin $63 n.a. n.a. nmf
14-Feb-20 Undisclosed Buyer Lilis Energy Inc 1,185 net acres in Delaware Basin $25 n.a. n.a. $21,013
12-Feb-20 Laredo Petroleum Inc Undisclosed Seller 1,100 net acres in Midland Basin $23 n.a. n.a. $20,455
09-Dec-19 Laredo Petroleum Inc Undisclosed Seller 4,475 net acres in Midland Basin $65 n.a. $46,429 $14,525
Mean $41 $3.15 $40,522 $14,392
Median $32 $3.15 $40,522 $17,490
Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services
Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services
TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)
TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)
PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH
DIFFERENTIALS
Permian Snapshot
RIG COUNT
Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS
Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.
1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.
3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.
4. Production valued at $45,000/boepd in 2014, $30,000/boepd in 2015, $35,000/boepd in 2016 & 2017, $40,000/boepd in 2018 & 2019, and $30,000/boepd in 2020.
GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-JAN-20)
[TBU]
8
May 26, 2020
Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week
Rig Count 25 (2) 27 Oil Differential $1.05 ($1.30) $2.35
Permitting Activity 2 (20) 22 Gas Differential ($0.02) $0.01 ($0.04)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
--
100
200
300
Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
H V+D % of Total Rigs
-$0.30
-$0.20
-$0.10
$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
$0.50
Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
-$6.00
-$4.00
-$2.00
$0.00
$2.00
$4.00
$6.00
$8.00
$10.00
$ /
mm
btu
$ /
bb
l
MEH HSC
401
222173 201 192 221 204
204
302
170 180
7835
May-19 Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20
H V+D
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
8,000
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19
mm
cf/
d
mb
bl/
d
Oil Gas
1,411
7,383
Ann'd
Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)
Proved
Multiple
Prod.
Multiple Net Acres
($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)(2)
21-Feb-20 Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp Undisclosed Seller Non-op Eagle Ford assets $71 n.a. $39,176 n.a.
12-Nov-19 Kimbell Royalty Partners Buckhorn Resources 400 net royalty acres in Eagle Ford $32 n.a. $117,752 nmf
07-Nov-19 Repsol Equinor 100% ownership in former Eagle Ford JV $325 n.a. $9,559 $7,476
06-Nov-19 Marathon Rocky Creek & Delago 18,000 net acres in Eagle Ford $185 n.a. $26,429 $10,278
17-Jul-19 Undisclosed Buyer Sundance Energy 6,100 net acres in Dimmit County $30 n.a. $28,069 $4,836
Mean $129 n.a. $44,197 $7,530
Median $71 n.a. $28,069 $7,476
Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services
Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services
--$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000$50,000$60,000
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
2Q
18
3Q
18
4Q
18
1Q
19
2Q
19
3Q
19
4Q
19
1Q
20
0 1 2 1 2 2 0 4 2 3 1 2 4 2 1 3 0 0 0 0 0
$ /
acre
# Deals
$8,045
--
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
2Q
18
3Q
18
4Q
18
1Q
19
2Q
19
3Q
19
4Q
19
1Q
20
1 1 3 1 2 2 2 4 4 3 1 2 7 2 0 3 0 0 1 3 1
$ /
bo
e/d
# Deals
$64,626
Eagle Ford Snapshot
TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)
PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH
DIFFERENTIALS RIG COUNT
Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS
Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.
1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.
3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.
4. Production valued at $45,000/boepd in 2014, $30,000/boepd in 2015, $35,000/boepd in 2016 & 2017, $40,000/boepd in 2018 & 2019, and $30,000/boepd in 2020.
TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-JAN-20)
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
9
May 26, 2020
Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week
Rig Count 32 -- 32 Oil Differential $1.75 ($1.10) $2.85
Permitting Activity 8 2 6 Gas Differential -- -- --
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
--
20
40
60
80
Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
H V+D % of Total Rigs
-$10.00
-$5.00
$0.00
$5.00
$10.00
Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
-$10.00
-$5.00
$0.00
$5.00
$10.00
$ /
mm
btu
$ /
bb
l
LLS Henry Hub
132
96112
199219
98
164
79 79 77 6838
23
May-19 Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20
H V+D
5,000
6,500
8,000
9,500
11,000
12,500
14,000
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19
mm
cf/
d
mb
bl/
d
Oil Gas
72
12,657
Ann'd
Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)
Proved
Multiple
Prod.
Multiple Net Acres
($mm) ($/mcfe) ($/mcfe/d) ($/acre)(2)
20-Dec-19 Undisclosed Buyer Riviera Operating LLC 75,873 net acres in East Texas $34 $0.17 $1,213 $448
29-Jul-19 Osaka Gas Sabine Oil & Gas Corp 175,000 net acres in East TX $610 n.a. $2,905 $9,136
19-Dec-18 Comstock Shelby Shale LLC 6,023 net acres in Haynesville $21 n.a. n.a. $3,404
19-Nov-18 Aethon III QEP Resources Inc 49,700 net acres in Haynesville $735 $0.77 $2,475 $14,789
05-Sep-18 Viking Energy Group Multiple Sellers Texas and Louisiana assets $100 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Mean $300 $0.47 $2,198 $6,944
Median $100 $0.47 $2,475 $6,270
Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services
Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services
--
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
2Q
18
3Q
18
4Q
18
1Q
19
2Q
19
3Q
19
4Q
19
1Q
20
0 0 3 1 1 2 1 3 0 1 2 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0
$ /
acre
# Deals
$3,180
--$2,000$4,000$6,000$8,000
$10,000$12,000
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
2Q
18
3Q
18
4Q
18
1Q
19
2Q
19
3Q
19
4Q
19
1Q
20
0 0 5 1 1 3 2 3 0 2 2 0 1 1 2 1 0 1 1 1 0
$ /
mcfe
/d
# Deals
$3,983
Ark-La-Tex Snapshot
TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)
PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH
DIFFERENTIALS RIG COUNT
Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS
Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.
1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.
3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.
4. Production valued at $3,000/mcfepd in 2014, and $2,000/mcfepd in 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020.
TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)
GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-JAN-20)
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
10
May 26, 2020
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
--
50
100
150
Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
H V+D % of Total Rigs
Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week
Rig Count 38 -- 38 Oil Differential $1.89 ($1.68) $3.57
Permitting Activity 4 (25) 29 Gas Differential ($0.42) $0.25 ($0.67)
-$3.00
-$2.00
-$1.00
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
-$15.00
-$10.00
-$5.00
$0.00
$5.00
$10.00
$15.00
$ /
mm
btu
$ /
bb
l
Brent Dominion
384335 348
302 295258
232188
157
226253
175
55
May-19 Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20
H V+D
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
80
100
120
140
160
Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19
mm
cf/
d
mb
bl/
d
Oil Gas
149
33,271
Ann'd
Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)
Proved
Multiple
Prod.
Multiple Net Acres
($mm) ($/mcfe) ($/mcfe/d) ($/acre)(2)
11-May-20 Diversified Gas & Oil EQT Appalachia Basin asset in PA and WV $125 $0.43 $2,315 n.a.
04-May-20 National Fuel Gas Shell 450,000 net acres in Appalachia $541 $0.76 $2,164 $1,202
08-Apr-20 Diversified Gas & Oil Carbon Energy Corp (USA) 1,553,754 net acres in Appalachia $110 $0.25 $1,852 $71
24-Jan-20 KeyBank EdgeMarc Energy Holdings 32,217 net acres in Pennsylvania $70 $0.09 $801 $2,163
19-Dec-19 Undisclosed Buyer Gulfport Energy Corp Non-op Utica assets $29 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Mean $175 $0.38 $1,783 $1,145
Median $110 $0.34 $2,008 $1,202
Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services
Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services
--$5,000
$10,000$15,000$20,000$25,000$30,000
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
2Q
18
3Q
18
4Q
18
1Q
19
2Q
19
3Q
19
4Q
19
1Q
20
2Q
20
0 1 0 0 1 2 2 3 2 5 1 4 3 4 3 1 1 0 2 1 1 3
$ /
mcfe
/d
# Deals
$4,722
--$2,000$4,000$6,000$8,000
$10,000$12,000
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
2Q
18
3Q
18
4Q
18
1Q
19
2Q
19
3Q
19
4Q
19
1Q
20
2Q
20
0 1 0 0 1 2 2 4 2 4 1 3 1 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
$ /
acre
# Deals
$497
Appalachia Snapshot
TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)
PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH
DIFFERENTIALS RIG COUNT
Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS
Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.
1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.
3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.
4. Production valued at $3,000/mcfepd in 2014, and $2,000/mcfepd in 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020.
TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-DEC-19)
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
11
May 26, 2020
Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week
Rig Count 14 (2) 16 Oil Differential $0.50 ($0.50) $1.00
Permitting Activity 9 (4) 13 Gas Differential ($0.24) ($0.07) ($0.17)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
--
50
100
150
200
Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
H V+D % of Total Rigs
-$1.00
-$0.50
$0.00
$0.50
Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
-$20.00
-$10.00
$0.00
$10.00
$ /
mm
btu
$ /
bb
l
Clearbrook CIG
145 144 154138
110
157
83 80 7867 76 67
42
May-19 Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20
H V+D
1,500
1,800
2,100
2,400
2,700
3,000
3,300
3,600
900
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
1,500
1,600
Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19
mm
cf/
d
mb
bl/
d
Oil Gas 1,421
3,066
Ann'd
Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)
Proved
Multiple
Prod.
Multiple Net Acres
($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)(2)
22-Apr-19 Northern Oil and Gas Flywheel Energy LLC 18,000 net acres in Williston Basin $310 n.a. $47,014 $17,238
31-Jul-18 Northern Oil and Gas W Energy Partners 10,600 net acres in Williston Basin $288 n.a. $42,708 $27,196
18-Jul-18 Northern Oil and Gas Pivotal Petroleum Partners LP Producing assets in Williston Basin $152 n.a. $37,032 n.a.
12-Jul-18 PetroShale Inc Slawson Exploration Co 1,981 net acres in Williston Basin $55 $6.04 $100,000 $27,764
06-Jul-18 Energy Resources 12 LP Bruin E&P Partners LLC 2.8% non-operated WI in Bakken assets $83 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Mean $178 $6.04 $56,688 $24,066
Median $152 $6.04 $44,861 $27,196
Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services
Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services
--
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
2Q
18
3Q
18
4Q
18
1Q
19
2Q
19
3Q
19
4Q
19
1Q
20
0 1 1 4 0 2 3 3 0 1 3 3 0 6 3 0 0 1 0 0 0
$ /
bo
e/d
# Deals
$45,752
--
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
2Q
18
3Q
18
4Q
18
1Q
19
2Q
19
3Q
19
4Q
19
1Q
20
0 0 1 2 0 0 2 3 1 0 3 2 0 5 2 0 0 1 0 0 0
$ /
acre
# Deals
$1,751
Bakken Snapshot
TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)
PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH
DIFFERENTIALS RIG COUNT
Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS
Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.
1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.
3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.
4. Production valued at $45,000/boepd in 2014, $30,000/boepd in 2015, $35,000/boepd in 2016 & 2017, $40,000/boepd in 2018 & 2019, and $30,000/boepd in 2020.
TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-JAN-20)
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
12
May 26, 2020
Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week
Rig Count 8 (4) 12 Oil Differential $0.50 ($0.50) $1.00
Permitting Activity 33 12 21 Gas Differential ($0.24) ($0.07) ($0.17)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
--
50
100
150
Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
H V+D % of Total Rigs
-$1.00
-$0.50
$0.00
$0.50
Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
-$20.00
-$10.00
$0.00
$10.00
$ /
mm
btu
$ /
bb
l
Clearbrook CIG
164
306 286
434
327297
168213
268
197
286
210
101
May-19 Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20
H V+D
13,000
13,500
14,000
14,500
15,000
15,500
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19
mm
cf/
d
mb
bl/
d
Oil Gas940
13,833
Ann'd
Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)
Proved
Multiple
Prod.
Multiple Net Acres
($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)(2)
31-Jan-20 Undisclosed Buyer ConocoPhillips 98,000 net acres in DJ Basin $380 $27.14 $34,545 $3,878
09-Dec-19 YTEF Drilling Capital LLC Bayswater E&P LLC DJ Basin JV $125 n.a. n.a. n.a.
03-Sep-19 Undisclosed Buyer Crescent Point 224,000 net undeveloped acres in Uinta $525 n.a. $32,051 $2,344
14-Feb-19 Undisclosed Buyer Harvest Oil & Gas Corp San Juan Basin assets $43 $1.57 $10,835 n.a.
31-Jan-19 Undisclosed Buyer Extraction Oil & Gas 5,000 net acres in Powder River $22 n.a. n.a. $4,480
Mean $219 $14.36 $25,811 $3,567
Median $125 $14.36 $32,051 $3,878
Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services
Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services
--
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
2Q
18
3Q
18
4Q
18
1Q
19
2Q
19
3Q
19
4Q
19
1Q
20
0 0 3 3 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 5 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1
$ /
acre
# Deals
$2,069
--$20,000$40,000$60,000$80,000
$100,000$120,000
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
2Q
18
3Q
18
4Q
18
1Q
19
2Q
19
3Q
19
4Q
19
1Q
20
2 0 4 4 1 6 2 0 1 6 3 9 3 1 3 1 1 0 2 0 1
$ /
bo
e/d
# Deals
$36,112
TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)
PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH
DIFFERENTIALS
Rockies (excl. Bakken) Snapshot
RIG COUNT
Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS
Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.
1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.
3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.
4. Production valued at $45,000/boepd in 2014, $30,000/boepd in 2015, $35,000/boepd in 2016 & 2017, $40,000/boepd in 2018 & 2019, and $30,000/boepd in 2020.
TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-JAN-20)
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
13
May 26, 2020
Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week
Rig Count 14 -- 14 Oil Differential -- -- --
Permitting Activity 25 13 12 Gas Differential ($0.22) ($0.08) ($0.15)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
--
100
200
300
400
Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
H V+D % of Total Rigs
-$1.00
-$0.75
-$0.50
-$0.25
$0.00
$0.25
Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
-$1.00
-$0.75
-$0.50
-$0.25
$0.00
$0.25
$ /
mm
btu
$ /
bb
l
Cushing Panhandle
298
374 354327 348 344 347
296 284251
193
73 56
May-19 Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20
H V+D
12,000
13,200
14,400
15,600
16,800
18,000
600
650
700
750
800
850
Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19
mm
cf/
d
mb
bl/
d
Oil Gas778
13,949
Ann'd
Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)
Proved
Multiple
Prod.
Multiple Net Acres
($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)(2)
03-Apr-20 BCE-Mach III LLC Alta Mesa Resources 130,000 net acres in STACK $160 $2.22 $5,317 $1,227
10-Dec-19 Dow Devon Energy STACK Basin JV $100 n.a. n.a. n.a.
27-Sep-19 Contango White Star Petroleum LLC 314,800 net acres in Mid-Con $133 $1.57 $8,833 $421
12-Sep-19 Contango Will Energy Corporation TX Panhandle, W. Anadarko, and N.LA $23 n.a. $16,429 $144
28-Aug-19 Scout Energy Partners Riviera Resources Inc Hugoton Basin assets $295 $2.30 $17,020 $295
Mean $142 $2.03 $11,900 $522
Median $133 $2.22 $12,631 $358
Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services
Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services
--
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
2Q
18
3Q
18
4Q
18
1Q
19
2Q
19
3Q
19
4Q
19
1Q
20
2Q
20
1 4 1 3 1 6 3 1 4 2 4 5 2 2 5 4 2 0 4 2 0 1
$ /
bo
e/d
# Deals
$18,742
--
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
2Q
18
3Q
18
4Q
18
1Q
19
2Q
19
3Q
19
4Q
19
1Q
20
1 3 1 2 0 3 3 2 4 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
$ /
acre
# Deals
$4,284
Mid-Continent Snapshot
TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)
PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH
DIFFERENTIALS RIG COUNT
Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS
Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.
1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.
3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.
4. Production valued at $45,000/boepd in 2014, $30,000/boepd in 2015, $35,000/boepd in 2016 & 2017, $40,000/boepd in 2018 & 2019, and $30,000/boepd in 2020.
TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-DEC-19)
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
14
May 26, 2020
Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week
Rig Count 12 -- 12 Oil Differential $1.75 ($1.10) $2.85
Permitting Activity 11 3 8 Gas Differential -- -- --
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
--
10
20
30
40
Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
Deep Water Shelf % of Total Rigs
-$10.00
-$5.00
$0.00
$5.00
$10.00
Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20
-$10.00
-$5.00
$0.00
$5.00
$10.00
$ /
mm
btu
$ /
bb
l
LLS Henry Hub
26 2730
28
21 22 21
16
22 22 22
11
23
May-19 Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20
Ann'd
Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(2)
Proved
Multiple
Prod.
Multiple Net Acres
($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)(3)
12-Dec-19 W&T Offshore ConocoPhillips Deepwater GOM assets $20 $4.88 $8,696 n.a.
10-Dec-19 Talos Energy Multiple GOM assets and exploration prospects $640 $14.71 $33,684 n.a.
27-Jun-19 W&T Offshore ExxonMobil Mobile Bay assets $200 $2.70 $10,101 n.a.
13-May-19 Equinor Shell 22.45% WI in Caesar-Tonga Field $965 n.a. $60,313 n.a.
23-Apr-19 Murphy LLOG Bluewater LLC Mississippi Canyon & Green Canyon $1,375 $20.83 $36,184 n.a.
Mean $640 $10.78 $29,796 n.a.
Median $640 $9.79 $33,684 n.a.
Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services
Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services
--
$10
$20
$30
$40
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
2Q
18
3Q
18
4Q
18
1Q
19
2Q
19
3Q
19
4Q
19
1Q
20
0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 1 1 2 0 2 0
$ /
bo
e
# Deals
$15.86
--
$15,000
$30,000
$45,000
$60,000
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
2Q
18
3Q
18
4Q
18
1Q
19
2Q
19
3Q
19
4Q
19
1Q
20
0 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 1 1 3 0 2 0
$ /
bo
e/d
# Deals
$30,696
Gulf of Mexico Snapshot
PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH(1)
DIFFERENTIALS RIG COUNT
Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS
Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.
1. Permits include directional and unidentified drilling permits. 2. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million.
3. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.
4. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.
GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-JAN-20)
TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)
TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(4) TRANSACTION PROVED RESERVE MULTIPLES(4)
[TBU]
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2,200
Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19
mm
cf/
d
mb
bl/
d
Oil Gas
1,932
2,889
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
[TBU]
15
May 26, 2020
Upcoming Industry Events
Disclaimer: The foregoing links are for convenience only and relate to materials that were not prepared or reviewed by BMO Capital Markets. BMO Capital Markets takes
no responsibility for and makes no representations with respect to the contents thereof. These materials may be inconsistent with the views of BMO Capital Markets.
Click event to open
2021
November 2020 Nov 3-4 Executive Oil Conference & Exhibition (Midland)
Nov 11 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon
Nov 17 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon
Nov 20 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon
April 2021 Apr 14 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon
Apr 16 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon
Apr 19-21 DUG Permian (Fort Worth)
Apr 20 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon
June 2020 Jun 9 179th OPEC Meeting
Jun 16 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon
Jun 19 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon
July 2020 Jul 21 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon
Jul 20-22 SPE Unconventional Resources Technology
August 2020 Aug 10-11 Mineral & Royalty Conference
Aug 11-27 Summer NAPE (virtual)
Aug 16-19 Enercom Oil & Gas Conference
Aug 18 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon
Aug 21 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon
September 2020 Sep 1 DUG Energy ESG Conference
Sep 9 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon
Sep 8-10 DUG Permian Basin & Eagle Ford (San Antonio)
Sep 15 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon
Sep 18 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon
Sep 22-24 DUG Midcontinent (Oklahoma City)
October 2020 Oct 12-15 API Storage Tank Conference & EXPO
Oct 13-14 DUG Haynesville (Shreveport)
Oct 14 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon
Oct 14-15 OilComm Conference & Exposition
Oct 16 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon
Oct 20 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon
Oct 27-28 A&D Strategies and Opportunities Conference
December 2020 Dec 1-3 DUG East (Pittsburgh)
Dec 3 IPAA Texas Hold'Em Tournament
Dec 9 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon
Dec 15 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon
January 2021 Jan 13 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon
Jan 15 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon
Jan 18-22 API E&P Winter Standards Meeting
Jan 19 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon
February 2021 Feb 8-12 NAPE Summit
Feb 10 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon
Feb 16 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon
Feb 19 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon
March 2021 Mar 10 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon
Mar 16 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon
Mar 19 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon
Mar 25-26 DUG Bakken and Rockies (Denver)
May 2021 May 12 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon
May 18 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon
May 21 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon
May 26-27 DUG Haynesville (Shreveport)
16
May 26, 2020
SCOOP/STACK/Merge
DJ-Niobrara
Eagle Ford
Haynesville
Granite Wash
GOM
Permian
Marcellus
Utica
Williston
Gulf Coast Onshore
Piceance
Powder River Green River
Legend
Current
Change
This material is prepared by the BMO Capital Markets’ Investment and Corporate Banking Department, for distribution to BMO Capital Markets’ clientele. It is not a product of
BMO Capital Markets’ Research Department. The views of the Investment and Corporate Banking Department may differ from those of the Research Department. No part of this
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by any means by any third parties, except with the prior written permission of BMO Capital Markets.
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by the Central Bank of Ireland) in Europe and BMO Capital Markets Limited (authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority) in the UK and Australia. “Nesbitt Burns” is a
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Bank of Montreal or its subsidiaries (“BMO Financial Group”) has lending arrangements with, or provide other remunerated services to, many issuers covered by BMO Capital Markets.
The opinions, estimates and projections contained in this report are those of BMO Capital Markets as of the date of this report and are subject to change without notice. BMO Capital
Markets endeavors to ensure that the contents have been compiled or derived from sources that we believe are reliable and contain information and opinions that are accurate and
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the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. BMO Capital Markets or its affiliates will buy from or sell to customers the securities of issuers mentioned in this report on a principal basis.
BMO Capital Markets or its affiliates, officers, directors or employees have a long or short position in many of the securities discussed herein, related securities or in options, futures or
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Source of rig count stats: Baker Hughes
Rig Count Summary MAPS IN
MASTER VIEW
Contacts
Disclaimer
Jason Martinez
MD & Head of U.S. A&D
713-546-9771
Howard Barnwell
MD & Transactions Mgr.
713-546-9767
Rob Priske
MD & Transactions Mgr.
713-546-9727
Dan Schockling
MD & Head of Commercial
713-518-1223
Michael Hackett
Vice President
Marian Yu
Associate
Aaron Moeller
Associate
BMO uses updated basin outlines, and the resulting rig counts, to more accurately represent current basin knowledge. The data below reflect these changes
and is different than those shown by Baker Hughes. The totals are the same.
162
(13)
14
(2)
8
--
30
--5
(2)
12
--
2
--7
--
32
--
25
(2)
3
--
1
--
2
(2)--
--
Michelle Tankimovich
Analyst
This
Week Change
Last
Week
Last
Year
Total Rigs 318 (21) 339 983
Oil 237 (21) 258 797
Gas 79 -- 79 186
Miscellaneous 2 -- 2 --
Directional 25 3 22 69
Horizontal 285 (22) 307 863
Vertical 8 (2) 10 51
Basin
Permian 162 (13) 175 451
SCOOP/STACK/Merge 7 -- 7 81
Granite Wash 2 -- 2 10
Eagle Ford 25 (2) 27 90
Haynesville 32 -- 32 58
Marcellus 30 -- 30 62
Utica 8 -- 8 19
Williston 14 (2) 16 57
DJ-Niobrara 5 (2) 7 29
Green River -- -- -- 17
Powder River 2 (2) 4 19
Piceance 1 -- 1 4
Gulf Coast Onshore 3 -- 3 22
GOM 12 -- 12 22
Alaska 3 -- 3 7
Other 12 -- 12 35
Mid-Con 5 -- 5 15
Rockies -- -- -- 2
Western 6 -- 6 18
Eastern 1 -- 1 --