q3 2011 sales presentation uklast - carrefour · pdf filerobust supermarket growth ex‐petrol...
TRANSCRIPT
Flat Q3 sales in a tougher environment
2
Flat sales in Q3:– Decrease in ex‐petrol LFL adjusted for calendar: ‐0.6%
– Including +1.1% impact from new sqm, sales ex‐petrol at constant exchange rates adjusted for calendar were up 0.5% …
– … and down ‐0.8% including a ‐1.3% impact from currencies
France: deterioration in LFL sales largely due to new commercial mix in
hypermarkets
Western Europe: Resilient performance in a negative context: ‐2.2% LFL ex‐
petrol adjusted for calendar in Q3 vs. ‐2.5% in H1
Emerging markets: Continued growth supported by solid performance in Brazil
and expansion in China
3
100
1.1 (1.3)(0.7)
99.2
100.5
Q3 2010sq.m &
acquisitionsLike
for like
Calendarimpact
adjustmentFx impact
Q3 2011const. FXadj. for calendar impact
Q3 2011current FXadj. forcalendarimpact
0.1
Change in Q3 2011 sales, excluding petrol
(Index Q3 2010 = 100; % change)
Slight constant‐currency sales growth driven by expansion
99.4
Q3 2011LfL
adj. for calendar impact
(0.6)
+0.5
(0.8)
4
France
Europe
Latin America
Change in sales excluding petrol adjusted for calendar impact (%)
Asia
0.2
Q1 2011
7.3
2.1
(3.0)
6.4
Q2 2011
(3.0)
(1.0)0.2
13.4
(4.1)
11.0
(3.8)
(0.6)
LFLTotal (constant exchange rates)
7.95.3 (0.3)
Reset in France, resilience in Europe, ongoing growth in Latam, slowdown in Asia
(2.3)(1.9)
(2.6)(3.1)
6.99.9
4.0 (1.9)
Q3 2011
555
Ex‐petrol, ex‐calendar LFL sales down 2.3% with continued outperformance from smaller formats:
– Hypermarkets: Ex‐petrol, ex‐calendar LFL sales down ‐4.4% vs. ‐3.3% in Q2
– Carrefour Market: Ex‐petrol, ex‐calendar LFL sales down ‐0.6% vs +1.3% in Q2
– Convenience stores: 4.3% LFL increase overall with continued excellent performance of stores converted under Carrefour banners (double digit growth)
Action plan underway: progressive commercial mix realignment, reduced out‐of‐stocks, rollout of Carrefour branded products
Q3 2010
1000.4(2.3)
98.1
Change in Q3 2011 sales, ex‐petrol(index Q3 2010 = 100; % change)
Calendarimpact
sqm &acquisitions
Likefor like
Q3 2011adj. for calendar
France: LFL sales deteriorate as action plan launched
097.7
Q3 2011LFL adj. for calendar
666
Resilient performance in a difficult environment
– Hypermarkets ex‐petrol ex calendar Q3 LFL: ‐3.7% improving on ‐4.9% reported in Q2
– Supermarkets ex‐petrol ex calendar Q3 LFL: ‐1.6%, vs. ‐1.3% in Q2
Resilience in food with flat LFL, weak performance in non‐food as discretionary spending continues to be impacted
100 1.2(4.1)97.90.8
Change in Q3 2011 sales, excluding petrol (index Q3 2010 = 100; % change)
Q3 2010 Calendarimpact
sqm &acquisitions
Likefor like
Q3 2011adj. for calendar
Spain: Resilient performance in a tough context
96.7
Q3 2011LFL adj. for calendar
777
100(2.1)
(4.2)
94.3
0.6
Overall performance of ‐6.3% with LFL ex‐petrol ex‐calendar of ‐3.6%
– Hypermarkets ex‐petrol ex‐calendar Q3 LFL: ‐4.3% vs. ‐8.0% in Q2
– Supermarkets ex‐petrol ex‐calendar Q3 LFL: ‐5.1% vs. ‐3.2% in Q2
Persistently difficult economic and competitive environment
Q3 2010 Calendarimpact
sqm &acquisitions
Likefor like
Q3 2011adj. for calendar
Change in Q3 2011 sales, excluding petrol(index Q3 2010 = 100; % change)
Italy: Continued underperformance
96.4
Q3 2011LFL adj. for calendar
888
100
(3.8)2.7
98.8
(0.1)
Growth in LFL sales (+2.6% ex petrol adjusted for calendar)
Overall sales slightly negative due to the impact of store closures (‐3.8%)
Encouraging growth in hypermarkets: +1.9% ex petrol and adjusted for calendar
Robust supermarket growth ex‐petrol LFL adjusted for calendar: +3.1% vs. +4.0% in Q2
Q3 2010 Calendarimpact
sqm &acquisitions
Likefor like
Q3 2011adj. for calendar
Change in Q3 2011 sales, excluding petrol (index Q3 2010 = 100; % change)
Belgium: Further evidence of turnaround
102.6
Q3 2011LFL adj. for calendar
999
Hypermarket action plan delivery underway: growth in LFL adjusted for calendar (+3.7%) with overall performance weighed down by 5 store closures and the transfer of 6 stores to the Atacadao format in Q3
Continued strong performance by Atacadao (+13.2%) with 4 new stores opened in Q3
100
5.1
107.5
(0.5)
Change in Q3 2011 sales, excluding petrol, at constant exchange rates
(index Q3 2010 = 100; % change)
2.8
100
5.0
113.2
0.0
Q32010 Calendarimpact
sqm &acquisitions
Likefor like
Q3 2011adj. for calendar
Atacadao
Hypers
100
4.6
101
(0.9)
Q32010 Calendarimpact
sqm &acquisitions
Likefor like
Q3 2011adj. for calendar
8.2
Q3 2010 Calendarimpact
sqm &acquisitions
Likefor like
Q3 2011adj. for calendar
(2.7)
Brazil: Continued growth, supported by improvement in hypermarkets
104.7
Q3 2011LFL adj. for calendar
103.7
Q3 2011LFL adj. for calendar
105
Q3 2011LFL adj. for calendar
101010
• Significant drop in non food sales (‐11.2%) due to the effect of inflation on discretionary spending, new regulation prohibiting markdowns and a strong comparable base
• Food sales up 1.8%
• Expansion on track with 5 store openings in Q3 2011 of 23 planned for the full year
100
8.5
(1.7)
106.4
Q3 2010 sqm &acquisitions
Likefor like
Q3 2011adj. for calendar
Change in Q3 2011 sales, excluding petrol, at constant exchange rates (index Q3 2010 = 100; % change)
China: Expansion offsets decline in non‐food sales
97.9
Q3 2011LFL adj. for calendar
(0.4)
Calendarimpact
111111
Carrefour Planet: Rollout on track
50 Carrefour Planet at end Sept. 2011– France: 15
– Spain: 27
– Belgium: 6
– Italy: 1
– Greece: 1
On track to operate 82 Carrefour Planet in Europe at year‐end
12
Outlook
Macroeconomic conditions likely to remain challenging in the coming months within an increasingly uncertain environment
Unchanged priorities:
– Specific Action Plan in France
– Adapting to the new context in Southern Europe
– Transformation Plan and cost cutting delivery
– Pursue growth ambitions in key emerging markets, rollout of Carrefour Planet and Carrefour‐branded products
2011 Current Operating Income guidance broadened to a range of ‐15% to ‐20% vs. restated 2010, ex DIA