quarterly hogs and pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · quarterly hogs and pigs agricultural...

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Mt An 4 (6-10) Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Washington, D.C. Released June 25, 2010, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Quarterly Hogs and Pigs call Nick Streff at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. U.S. Hog Inventory down 4 Percent U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on June 1, 2010 was 64.4 million head. This was down 4 percent from June 1, 2009 but up 1 percent from March 1, 2010. Breeding inventory, at 5.79 million head, was down 3 percent from last year but up slightly from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 58.6 million head, was down 4 percent from last year but up 1 percent from last quarter. The March-May 2010 pig crop, at 28.2 million head, was down 3 percent from 2009 and down 2 percent from 2008. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.87 million head, down 5 percent from 2009 and down 6 percent from 2008. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 50 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high 9.81 for the March-May 2010 period, compared to 9.61 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.70 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 9.90 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory June 1 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Million Head

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Page 1: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Mt An 4 (6-10)

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs

Washington, D.C.

Released June 25, 2010, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of

Agriculture. For information on Quarterly Hogs and Pigs call Nick Streff at 202-720-3106, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

U.S. Hog Inventory down 4 Percent

U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on June 1, 2010 was 64.4 million head. This was down 4 percent

from June 1, 2009 but up 1 percent from March 1, 2010.

Breeding inventory, at 5.79 million head, was down 3 percent from last year but up slightly from the

previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 58.6 million head, was down 4 percent from last year but

up 1 percent from last quarter.

The March-May 2010 pig crop, at 28.2 million head, was down 3 percent from 2009 and down

2 percent from 2008. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.87 million head, down 5 percent from

2009 and down 6 percent from 2008. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 50 percent of

the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high 9.81 for the March-May 2010

period, compared to 9.61 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.70 for

operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 9.90 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs.

U.S. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory

June 1

56

58

60

62

64

66

68

70

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10

Million Head

Page 2: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 NASS, USDA

U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows farrow during the June-August 2010 quarter,

down 2 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2009 and down 6 percent from

2008. Intended farrowings for September-November 2010, at 2.90 million sows, are down 1 percent

from 2009 and down 4 percent from 2008.

The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by

contractees, accounted for 44 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, down from 46 percent last year.

Revisions

All inventory and pig crop estimates for June 2009 through March 2010 were reviewed using slaughter,

death loss and current import and export data. Based on this review, adjustments of less than one

percent were made to the December 2009 total inventory and March 2010 total inventory. An

adjustment of two percent was made to the September-November 2009 pig crop.

This report was approved on June 25, 2010.

Acting Secretary of

Agriculture

Joseph W. Glauber

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Hubert Hamer

Page 3: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 i NASS, USDA

Contents

Page

Quarterly U.S. Inventory by Class and Weight Group, 2009-2010 ..................................................... 1

Quarterly U.S. Sows Farrowed, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, 2008-2010 ......................................... 2

Quarterly U.S. Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation, 2009-2010 .......................................................... 2

Hogs and Pigs: Inventory by State and U.S., 2008-2010

March 1 .................................................................................................................................... 5

June 1 ....................................................................................................................................... 7

September 1 ............................................................................................................................. 9

December 1 ............................................................................................................................ 11

Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, Pig Crop by State and U.S.; 2008-2010

December-February ............................................................................................................... 13

March-May ............................................................................................................................ 14

June-August ........................................................................................................................... 15

September-November ............................................................................................................ 16

Monthly U.S. Farrowings, December-November 2009-2010 ............................................................ 17

Reliability Statement .......................................................................................................................... 18

Information Contacts .......................................................................................................................... 19

Page 4: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 1 NASS, USDA

Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group,

and Quarter, United States, 2009-2010

Item 2009 2010

2010

as a %

2009

1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent

March 1 Inventory 1

All Hogs and Pigs

Kept for Breeding

Market

Market Hogs and Pigs

by Weight Groups

Under 50 Pounds

50-119 Pounds

120-179 Pounds

180 Pounds and Over

June 1 Inventory 1

All Hogs and Pigs

Kept for Breeding

Market

Market Hogs and Pigs

by Weight Groups

Under 50 Pounds

50-119 Pounds

120-179 Pounds

180 Pounds and Over

September 1 Inventory 1

All Hogs and Pigs

Kept for Breeding

Market

Market Hogs and Pigs

by Weight Groups

Under 50 Pounds

50-119 Pounds

120-179 Pounds

180 Pounds and Over

December 1 Inventory 1

All Hogs and Pigs

Kept for Breeding

Market

Market Hogs and Pigs

by Weight Groups

Under 50 Pounds

50-119 Pounds

120-179 Pounds

180 Pounds and Over

65,819

5,992

59,828

19,809

16,426

12,732

10,862

66,809

5,968

60,842

19,554

17,838

12,604

10,847

66,716

5,875

60,842

19,758

17,148

12,684

11,253

64,887

5,850

59,037

18,705

16,782

12,299

11,252

63,818

5,760

58,058

19,017

15,993

12,307

10,742

64,400

5,788

58,612

18,879

16,877

12,279

10,578

97

96

97

96

97

97

99

96

97

96

97

95

97

98

1 May not add due to rounding.

Page 5: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 2 NASS, USDA

Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter,

United States, 2008-2010

Item 2008 2009 2010 2010 as % of

2008 2009

1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent Percent

Sows Farrowing

Dec-Feb 1

Mar-May

Dec-May 1 2

Jun-Aug 3

Sep-Nov 3

Jun-Nov 2 3

Pig Crop

Dec-Feb 1

Mar-May

Dec-May 1 2

Jun-Aug

Sep-Nov

Jun-Nov 2

3,071

3,052

6,123

3,075

3,028

6,103

28,388

28,631

57,019

29,240

28,771

58,011

3,011

3,018

6,029

2,959

2,915

5,874

28,552

29,012

57,564

28,718

28,260

56,978

2,901

2,875

5,776

2,890

2,899

5,790

27,873

28,199

56,072

94

94

94

94

96

95

98

98

98

96

95

96

98

99

99

98

97

97

Number Number Number Percent Percent

Pigs per Litter

Dec-Feb 1

Mar-May

Dec-May 1

Jun-Aug

Sep-Nov

Jun-Nov

9.24

9.38

9.31

9.51

9.50

9.51

9.48

9.61

9.55

9.70

9.70

9.70

9.61

9.81

9.71

104

105

104

101

102

102

1 December preceding year.

2 May not add due to rounding.

3 Intentions for 2010.

Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2009-2010

Pig Crop

Pigs per Litter on Operations Having 1

1-99

Head

100-499

Head

500-999

Head

1,000-1,999

Head

2,000-4,999

Head

5,000+

Head

Number Number Number Number Number Number

2009

Dec-Feb 2

Mar-May

Jun-Aug

Sep-Nov

2010

Dec-Feb 2

Mar-May

Jun-Aug

Sep-Nov

7.30

7.40

7.40

7.40

7.40

7.70

8.10

8.10

8.20

8.10

8.10

8.40

8.40

8.50

8.60

8.50

8.50

8.60

9.00

9.10

9.10

9.20

9.20

9.40

9.40

9.60

9.60

9.60

9.60

9.70

9.50

9.70

9.80

9.80

9.70

9.90

1 Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth.

2 December preceding year.

Page 6: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 3 NASS, USDA

U.S. Quarterly Litter Rate

March-May

8.60

8.80

9.00

9.20

9.40

9.60

9.80

10.00

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10

Number Head

U.S. Pigs per Litter

By Size of Operation, March-May 2010

9.909.709.81

7.70

8.40

9.40

8.60

7.00

7.50

8.00

8.50

9.00

9.50

10.00

10.50

All 1-99 100-499 500-999 1,000-1,999 2,000-4,999 5,000+

Number Head

Page 7: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 4 NASS, USDA

U.S. Quarterly Sows Farrowed

March-May

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.2

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10

Million Head

U.S. Quarterly Pig Crop

March-May

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10

Million Head

Page 8: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 5 NASS, USDA

Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory

by State and United States, March 1, 2009-2010

State

Breeding Market Total

2009

2010

2009

2010

2009

2010

Number as % of

2009 Number

as % of

2009 Number

as % of

2009

1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 1

US 2

150

480

270

1,040

165

110

580

365

385

980

170

400

90

150

95

75

487

5,992

150

480

290

1,010

180

110

550

355

365

880

170

410

95

150

55

75

435

5,760

100

100

107

97

109

100

95

97

95

90

100

103

106

100

58

100

89

96

590

3,820

3,280

18,460

1,655

930

6,820

2,585

2,815

8,420

1,810

1,940

1,020

1,160

995

625

2,903

59,828

580

3,870

3,260

17,790

1,620

960

6,650

2,645

2,635

8,220

1,870

1,870

1,025

1,030

595

625

2,813

58,058

98

101

99

96

98

103

98

102

94

98

103

96

100

89

60

100

97

97

740

4,300

3,550

19,500

1,820

1,040

7,400

2,950

3,200

9,400

1,980

2,340

1,110

1,310

1,090

700

3,389

65,819

730

4,350

3,550

18,800

1,800

1,070

7,200

3,000

3,000

9,100

2,040

2,280

1,120

1,180

650

700

3,248

63,818

99

101

100

96

99

103

97

102

94

97

103

97

101

90

60

100

96

97 1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

2 May not add due to rounding.

U.S. Hog Inventory & Market Hogs

March 1

46485052545658606264666870

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10

Million Head

Inventory Market

Page 9: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 6 NASS, USDA

Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group,

State, and United States, March 1, 2009-2010

State

Under

50 Lbs.

50-119

Lbs.

120-179

Lbs.

180 Lbs.

and Over

2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010

1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 1

US 2

290

1,350

1,140

4,840

520

315

2,460

1,135

960

3,080

650

810

320

410

280

250

999

19,809

270

1,240

1,140

4,540

490

320

2,320

1,180

900

3,050

680

810

295

350

145

260

1,027

19,017

105

1,100

940

5,560

320

265

1,930

585

820

2,160

500

420

305

290

230

145

751

16,426

115

1,170

900

5,460

325

250

2,010

590

800

1,950

545

360

320

260

150

130

658

15,993

70

770

620

4,690

290

160

1,390

465

610

1,710

390

210

200

245

200

120

592

12,732

80

770

620

4,440

270

185

1,330

465

560

1,720

405

220

200

215

140

120

567

12,307

125

600

580

3,370

525

190

1,040

400

425

1,470

270

500

195

215

285

110

562

10,862

115

690

600

3,350

535

205

990

410

375

1,500

240

480

210

205

160

115

562

10,742 1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

2 Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding.

Page 10: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 7 NASS, USDA

Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory

by State and United States, June 1, 2009-2010

State

Breeding Market Total

2009

2010

2009

2010

2009

2010

Number as % of

2009 Number

as % of

2009 Number

as % of

2009

1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 1

US 2

150

480

270

1,020

170

110

580

345

390

990

170

400

90

155

95

75

478

5,968

150

490

290

1,010

185

110

550

350

370

880

165

410

100

160

55

80

433

5,788

100

102

107

99

109

100

95

101

95

89

97

103

111

103

58

107

91

97

590

3,870

3,330

18,780

1,620

950

6,920

2,705

2,910

8,710

1,840

1,890

1,060

1,135

925

645

2,962

60,842

590

3,910

3,310

17,890

1,605

950

6,950

2,650

2,730

8,020

1,925

1,910

1,050

1,040

605

650

2,827

58,612

100

101

99

95

99

100

100

98

94

92

105

101

99

92

65

101

95

96

740

4,350

3,600

19,800

1,790

1,060

7,500

3,050

3,300

9,700

2,010

2,290

1,150

1,290

1,020

720

3,439

66,809

740

4,400

3,600

18,900

1,790

1,060

7,500

3,000

3,100

8,900

2,090

2,320

1,150

1,200

660

730

3,260

64,400

100

101

100

95

100

100

100

98

94

92

104

101

100

93

65

101

95

96 1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

2 May not add due to rounding.

U.S. Hog Inventory & Market Hogs

June 1

46485052545658606264666870

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10

Million Head

Inventory Market

Page 11: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 8 NASS, USDA

Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group,

State, and United States, June 1, 2009-2010

State

Under

50 Lbs.

50-119

Lbs.

120-179

Lbs.

180 Lbs.

and Over

2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010

1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 1

US 2

280

1,220

1,100

4,850

465

325

2,370

1,205

980

3,090

640

770

320

390

265

250

1,034

19,554

280

1,180

1,060

4,490

495

300

2,360

1,135

910

3,070

700

790

295

360

150

280

1,024

18,879

125

1,220

1,040

5,980

380

285

2,140

630

880

2,350

535

400

350

305

255

155

808

17,838

100

1,230

1,000

5,710

400

270

2,150

615

870

1,940

565

420

360

305

135

135

672

16,877

70

790

630

4,530

285

160

1,380

455

630

1,740

395

210

205

225

205

120

574

12,604

85

800

630

4,440

230

190

1,420

465

550

1,600

410

230

195

200

140

120

574

12,279

115

640

560

3,420

490

180

1,030

415

420

1,530

270

510

185

215

200

120

547

10,847

125

700

620

3,250

480

190

1,020

435

400

1,410

250

470

200

175

180

115

558

10,578 1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

2 Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding.

Page 12: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 9 NASS, USDA

Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory

by State and United States, September 1, 2008-2009

State

Breeding Market Total

2008

2009

2008

2009

2008

2009

Number as % of

2008 Number

as % of

2008 Number

as % of

2008

1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 1

US 2

150

470

280

1,070

170

100

570

375

375

1,000

165

400

85

150

105

85

511

6,061

150

470

280

1,010

160

110

560

350

380

980

160

410

90

150

70

80

465

5,875

100

100

100

94

94

110

98

93

101

98

97

103

106

100

67

94

91

97

600

3,930

3,320

18,730

1,640

950

7,030

2,775

2,925

9,300

1,755

2,060

1,035

1,210

1,015

715

3,145

62,135

580

3,780

3,320

18,690

1,600

950

6,740

2,700

2,920

9,020

1,890

1,950

1,030

1,130

930

680

2,932

60,842

97

96

100

100

98

100

96

97

100

97

108

95

100

93

92

95

93

98

750

4,400

3,600

19,800

1,810

1,050

7,600

3,150

3,300

10,300

1,920

2,460

1,120

1,360

1,120

800

3,656

68,196

730

4,250

3,600

19,700

1,760

1,060

7,300

3,050

3,300

10,000

2,050

2,360

1,120

1,280

1,000

760

3,396

66,716

97

97

100

99

97

101

96

97

100

97

107

96

100

94

89

95

93

98 1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

2 May not add due to rounding.

U.S. Hog Inventory & Market Hogs

September 1

46485052545658606264666870

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09

Million Head

Inventory Market

Page 13: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 10 NASS, USDA

Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group,

State, and United States, September 1, 2008-2009

State

Under

50 Lbs.

50-119

Lbs.

120-179

Lbs.

180 Lbs.

and Over

2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009

1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 1

US 2

280

1,290

1,090

5,110

520

325

2,570

1,230

990

3,370

595

890

290

415

295

270

1,113

20,643

285

1,240

1,140

4,840

505

330

2,420

1,150

960

3,200

675

830

285

370

260

265

1,003

19,758

135

1,140

1,000

5,680

350

270

2,070

685

880

2,380

515

410

335

325

280

170

812

17,437

120

1,130

970

5,760

330

265

2,010

635

860

2,390

540

380

310

300

230

155

763

17,148

70

840

620

4,460

275

185

1,400

495

610

1,860

400

240

215

240

205

145

595

12,855

55

770

600

4,600

290

160

1,280

470

650

1,790

410

250

210

230

200

130

589

12,684

115

660

610

3,480

495

170

990

365

445

1,690

245

520

195

230

235

130

626

11,201

120

640

610

3,490

475

195

1,030

445

450

1,640

265

490

225

230

240

130

578

11,253 1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

2 Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding.

Page 14: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 11 NASS, USDA

Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory

by State and United States, December 1, 2008-2009

State

Breeding Market Total

2008

2009

2008

2009

2008

2009

Number as % of

2008 Number

as % of

2008 Number

as % of

2008

1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 1

US 2

150

490

280

1,070

165

110

580

370

380

980

170

400

90

155

100

75

497

6,062

150

480

280

1,020

180

110

560

360

370

930

165

410

100

145

60

75

455

5,850

100

98

100

95

109

100

97

97

97

95

97

103

111

94

60

100

92

97

580

3,860

3,270

18,830

1,575

920

6,920

2,780

2,970

8,720

1,770

2,000

1,030

1,125

1,020

665

3,052

61,087

560

3,770

3,320

17,980

1,630

970

6,640

2,740

2,730

8,670

1,845

1,880

1,040

1,045

700

655

2,862

59,037

97

98

102

95

103

105

96

99

92

99

104

94

101

93

69

98

94

97

730

4,350

3,550

19,900

1,740

1,030

7,500

3,150

3,350

9,700

1,940

2,400

1,120

1,280

1,120

740

3,548

67,148

710

4,250

3,600

19,000

1,810

1,080

7,200

3,100

3,100

9,600

2,010

2,290

1,140

1,190

760

730

3,317

64,887

97

98

101

95

104

105

96

98

93

99

104

95

102

93

68

99

93

97 1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

2 May not add due to rounding.

U.S. Hog Inventory & Market Hogs

December 1

46485052545658606264666870

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09

Million Head

Inventory Market

Page 15: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 12 NASS, USDA

Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group,

State, and United States, December 1, 2008-2009

State

Under

50 Lbs.

50-119

Lbs.

120-179

Lbs.

180 Lbs.

and Over

2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009

1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 1

US 2

285

1,270

1,090

4,730

475

290

2,420

1,200

1,010

3,020

600

830

285

390

285

235

1,013

19,428

270

1,200

1,080

4,430

480

335

2,350

1,160

880

3,090

635

780

280

335

145

260

995

18,705

100

1,140

960

5,880

360

270

2,050

700

880

2,290

515

420

335

270

235

170

821

17,396

115

1,150

970

5,700

335

270

2,010

655

850

2,200

540

380

330

280

160

135

702

16,782

70

800

610

4,500

245

175

1,360

490

630

1,770

400

260

215

240

205

140

621

12,731

50

730

640

4,430

295

165

1,230

465

600

1,760

395

240

220

220

160

130

569

12,299

125

650

610

3,720

495

185

1,090

390

450

1,640

255

490

195

225

295

120

598

11,533

125

690

630

3,420

520

200

1,050

460

400

1,620

275

480

210

210

235

130

597

11,252 1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

2 Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding.

Page 16: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 13 NASS, USDA

Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop

by State and United States, December-February 2009-2010

State

Sows Farrowing 1 Pigs

per Litter 1

Pig Crop 1 2

2009

2010

2009

2010

Number as % of

2009 2009 2010 Number

as % of

2009

1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent Number Number 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 3

US 4

75

250

140

500

81

53

285

190

185

530

88

190

40

83

46

42

233

3,011

71

265

140

475

83

54

270

195

175

490

90

190

47

79

31

40

206

2,901

95

106

100

95

102

102

95

103

95

92

102

100

118

95

67

95

88

96

8.60

9.50

9.30

9.60

9.10

9.70

9.75

9.35

9.75

9.55

9.40

8.90

9.75

9.85

9.65

9.70

9.36

9.48

9.60

9.40

9.40

9.75

9.35

9.80

9.90

9.50

10.00

9.50

9.35

9.45

9.70

10.20

8.70

9.80

9.50

9.61

645

2,375

1,302

4,800

737

514

2,779

1,777

1,804

5,062

827

1,691

390

818

444

407

2,180

28,552

682

2,491

1,316

4,631

776

529

2,673

1,853

1,750

4,655

842

1,796

456

806

270

392

1,955

27,873

106

105

101

96

105

103

96

104

97

92

102

106

117

99

61

96

90

98 1 December preceding year.

2 Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold.

3 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

4 May not add due to rounding.

Page 17: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 14 NASS, USDA

Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop

by State and United States, March-May 2009-2010

State

Sows Farrowing Pigs

per Litter

Pig Crop 1

2009

2010

2009

2010

Number as % of

2009 2009 2010 Number

as % of

2009

1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent Number Number 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 2

US 3

72

250

135

495

81

54

285

185

190

540

88

185

42

86

48

43

239

3,018

71

265

140

460

83

52

275

185

175

475

88

190

48

86

31

41

210

2,875

99

106

104

93

102

96

96

100

92

88

100

103

114

100

65

95

88

95

9.00

9.50

9.40

9.65

9.40

9.65

9.95

9.80

9.90

9.70

9.50

9.00

9.75

10.10

9.70

9.90

9.28

9.61

9.90

9.50

9.60

9.95

9.35

9.70

10.15

10.05

10.15

9.70

9.50

9.75

9.80

10.30

8.50

10.00

9.64

9.81

648

2,375

1,269

4,777

761

521

2,836

1,813

1,881

5,238

836

1,665

410

869

466

426

2,221

29,012

703

2,518

1,344

4,577

776

504

2,791

1,859

1,776

4,608

836

1,853

470

886

264

410

2,024

28,199

108

106

106

96

102

97

98

103

94

88

100

111

115

102

57

96

91

97 1 Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold.

2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

3 May not add due to rounding.

Page 18: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 15 NASS, USDA

Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop

by State and United States, June-August 2008-2010

State

Sows Farrowing Pigs

per Litter

Pig Crop 1

2008 2009

2010 2

2008

2009

Number as % of

2009 2008 2009 Number

as % of

2008

1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent Number Number 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 3

US 4

76

240

145

510

81

53

285

195

185

560

89

195

38

82

52

43

246

3,075

72

245

135

475

80

56

275

185

185

540

86

190

42

82

44

42

225

2,959

74

270

145

470

83

56

285

180

180

470

83

185

49

82

29

41

208

2,890

103

110

107

99

104

100

104

97

97

87

97

97

117

100

66

98

92

98

8.90

9.45

9.25

9.40

9.15

9.25

9.80

9.70

9.70

9.65

9.50

9.35

9.60

9.80

8.55

9.90

9.50

9.51

9.50

9.50

9.50

9.75

9.25

9.60

10.00

10.00

10.05

9.70

9.60

9.50

10.00

10.00

9.00

10.00

9.45

9.70

676

2,268

1,341

4,794

741

490

2,793

1,892

1,795

5,404

846

1,823

365

804

445

426

2,337

29,240

684

2,328

1,283

4,631

740

538

2,750

1,850

1,859

5,238

826

1,805

420

820

396

420

2,130

28,718

101

103

96

97

100

110

98

98

104

97

98

99

115

102

89

99

91

98 1 Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold.

2 Intentions.

3 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

4 May not add due to rounding.

Page 19: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 16 NASS, USDA

Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop

by State and United States, September-November 2008-2010

State

Sows Farrowing Pigs

Per Litter

Pig Crop 1

2008 2009

2010 2

2008

2009

Number as % of

2009 2008 2009 Number

as % of

2008

1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent Number Number 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Percent

CO

IL

IN

IA

KS

MI

MN

MO

NE

NC

OH

OK

PA

SD

TX

UT

Oth

Sts 3

US 4

71

255

140

510

76

53

285

200

185

520

89

185

40

84

50

40

245

3,028

69

255

135

480

84

56

275

190

175

510

87

185

46

80

30

40

218

2,915

73

270

150

475

83

55

290

190

180

460

85

185

49

83

28

40

203

2,899

106

106

111

99

99

98

105

100

103

90

98

100

107

104

93

100

93

99

8.80

9.40

9.20

9.50

9.40

9.65

9.85

9.65

9.80

9.55

9.00

9.20

9.35

9.80

9.55

10.00

9.37

9.50

9.50

9.45

9.55

9.80

9.35

9.80

10.05

9.90

10.00

9.60

9.40

9.50

9.90

10.10

9.35

9.80

9.47

9.70

625

2,397

1,288

4,845

714

512

2,807

1,930

1,813

4,966

801

1,702

374

823

478

400

2,296

28,771

656

2,410

1,289

4,704

785

549

2,764

1,881

1,750

4,896

818

1,758

455

808

281

392

2,064

28,260

105

101

100

97

110

107

98

97

97

99

102

103

122

98

59

98

90

98 1 Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold.

2 Intentions.

3 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

4 May not add due to rounding.

Page 20: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 17 NASS, USDA

Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop,

United States, December-November 2009-2010

Month Sows Farrowing

1 Pigs per Litter Pig Crop

1

2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010

1,000 Head 1,000 Head Number Number 1,000 Head 1,000 Head

Dec 2

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Total

997

1,013

1,001

1,009

1,003

1,006

996

986

978

994

965

956

11,904

980

970

952

972

950

953

9.50

9.45

9.49

9.56

9.61

9.66

9.71

9.70

9.69

9.71

9.70

9.68

9.62

9.62

9.58

9.62

9.76

9.84

9.82

9,475

9,576

9,501

9,650

9,644

9,718

9,673

9,567

9,478

9,647

9,364

9,249

114,542

9,425

9,292

9,156

9,486

9,350

9,363

1 Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding.

2 December preceding year.

Page 21: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 18 NASS, USDA

Reliability of June 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates

Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 8,800 U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data

for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a

chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations.

During the first half of June 2010, data were collected from about 7,200 operations, 82 percent of the

total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and

face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report

inventories as of June 1, 2010.

Estimation Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board

after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State

survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using

a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of

births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending

inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness.

Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships.

Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In

December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are

primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data

from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be

made after that date.

Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are

subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as

omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of

these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data

collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square

Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a

statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and

final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is

1.6 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the

current estimate of 64.4 million head by more than 1.6 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the

difference will not exceed 2.8 percent.

Page 22: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board

June 2010 19 NASS, USDA

Reliability of June 1 Hog Estimates

Item

Root

Mean

Square

Error

90%

Confidence

Level

Difference Between

First and Latest

Estimates

Quarters

First

Above

Latest

First

Below

Latest Average Smallest Largest

Percent Percent 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head 1,000 Head Number Number

All Hogs &

Pigs

Pig Crop

Expected

Farrowings

Next

Quarter

Following

Quarter

1.6

2.0

2.4

2.6

2.8

3.5

4.1

4.5

1,803

987

119

130

738

393

47

52

67

0

3

3

3,067

1,644

216

220

5

5

5

5

15

14

15

15

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural

Statistics Service to contact for additional information.

Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch ........................................................................ (202) 720-3570

Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section ........................................................................... (202) 690-2424

Jim Collom – Dairy Products ............................................................................ (202) 690-3236

Joe Gaynor – Dairy Products Prices ................................................................. (202) 690-2168

Jason Hardegree – Cattle, Cattle on Feed ......................................................... (202) 720-3040

Sherry Bertramsen – Livestock Slaughter ........................................................ (515) 284-4340

Everett Olbert – Sheep and Goats ..................................................................... (202) 720-4751

Mike Miller – Milk Production and Milk Cows ............................................... (202) 720-3278

Nick Streff – Hogs and Pigs .............................................................................. (202) 720-3106

Page 23: Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 06/25/2010 · 6/25/2010  · Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Agricultural Statistics Board June 2010 NASS, USDA U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.89 million sows

ACCESS TO REPORTS!!

For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services:

INTERNET ACCESS

All NASS reports are available free of charge. For free access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS

Home Page at: www.nass.usda.gov.

E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION

All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. Starting with

the NASS Home Page at www.nass.usda.gov, under the right navigation, Receive reports by Email, click on

National or State. Follow the instructions on the screen.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

PRINTED REPORTS OR DATA PRODUCTS

CALL OUR TOLL-FREE ORDER DESK: 800-999-6779 (U.S. and Canada)

Other areas, please call 703-605-6220 FAX: 703-605-6880

(Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order acceptable for payment.)

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ASSISTANCE

For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or

services, contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail:

[email protected].

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and activities on

the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, and where applicable, sex, marital status, familial

status, parental status, religion, sexual orientation, genetic information, political beliefs, reprisal, or because

all or a part of an individual’s income is derived from any public assistance program. (Not all prohibited

bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of

program information (Braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact USDA’s TARGET Center at

(202) 720-2600 (voice and TDD).

To file a complaint of discrimination, write to USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, 1400 Independence

Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, or call (800) 795-3272 (voice) or (202) 720-6382 (TDD).

USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer.