rand water tariff consultation process 10 th october 2011 1
TRANSCRIPT
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Rand Water
TARIFF CONSULTATION PROCESS
10TH OCTOBER 2011
1
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• DWA / TCTA raw water pricing6th Oct 2011
• Customer consultation10th Oct 2011
• Customer notification30th Nov 2011
• Submission to DWA 10th Dec 2011
• Parliamentary approval15th Mar 2012
• Customer Notification of Parliamentary Approval 15th April 2012
PROCESS AND IMPORTANT TIMELINES
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DRIVERS
• Municipal Finance Management Act: 6 months advance notice
• National Treasury & SALGA: 40 days for consideration
• Bulk Water Supply Contract: prior consultation and information sharing
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Rationale for tariff increment
• Rand Water has followed a consistent rationale for increasing its tariff over the years.
• This rationale has been based on assessing the Rand Water internal rate of inflation.
• This is a projection of the expected increase in total costs.
• A breakdown of the total costs and their overall expected rate of price increase is then proposed as the proposed tariff increment.
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2011 2011 20124.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
9.0%
5.7%
5.3%
5.0%
4.5%
5.6%
8.3%
14.1%
12.9%
Historical Tariff Increments
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Raw Water Tariff Increment
2012/2013 % ChangeBeginning of the year tariff 39.698ROA (PPI - April) 18.41 0.89%Depreciation 11.02 5.15%Non-pumping O&M (incl. functional support) 6.86 1.78%Pumping 4.71 112.16%Functional Support 2.14 6.47%Total DWA unit cost 43.14 8.67%
DWA Raw Water Charge (cents / m3)
• In previous years, lower tariff increments have been followed by high tariff increments, as shown above.
• This makes the exercise of multi-year tariffs difficult to achieve.
Year 2004/5 2005/6 2006/7 2007/8 2008/9 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
Tariff (cents / m3) 28.34 26.82 26.82 27.81 32.16 41.36 52.356 39.698 43.14% Increase -5.30% 0% 3.10% 15.70% 28.60% 6.50% -24.18% 8.67%
History of DWA Raw Water Tariff Increments
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Consumer Price Index (CPI) Adjustment - Phase 1 • This covers the outstanding debt of Phase 1 of
the Lesotho Highlands Water Project (LHWP). This increased by 4.60 per cent (8.95 cents / m3). This increase coincides with the May 2011 CPI figure, as formulated by the TCTA model.
Phase 2 – Lesotho Highlands Water Project (LHWP)• This relates to the second phase of the LHWP.
Therefore, the tariff overlaps the two phases.
2012/2013 % ChangeBeginning of the year tariff 194.52CPI adjustment (CPI - May) 8.94792 4.60%LHWP - Phase 2 in Portion 1 of 6 3.86 1.98%Total TCTA unit cost 207.328 6.58%
TCTA Raw Water Charge (cents / m3)
Trans – Caledonia Tunnel Authority (TCTA)
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3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
4.2%
3.7%
3.5%3.2%
3.4%
3.6%3.5%
3.7%3.7%
4.1%4.2%
4.6%
5.0%
5.3% 5.3%
5.2%
5.9%
5.4%
6.2%
5.7%
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
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2012 2013 2014 20155.0%
5.2%
5.4%
5.6%
5.8%
6.0%
6.2%
5.7%
5.4%
5.6%
5.5%
5.9%
5.4%
6.2%
5.7%
Comparison of BER Projections Between 2010 and 2011
BER PROJECTIONS IN 2010
BER PROJECTIONS IN 2011
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Energy Costs
Rand Water has to take into consideration tariff increments of 24.8 per cent : 201125.2 per cent : 201226.1 per cent : 2013 This is a huge imposition on Rand Water input costs which many customers struggle to understand.
Rand Water receives its energy from Eskom as well as three other municipalities. Therefore Rand Water still has to pay an additional energy tariff increment from the three municipalities over and above the 26.1 per cent energy tariff increment. A historical trend analysis shows that these municipalities have increased an additional 12.5 per cent over the tariff imposed by Eskom.
In addition, this is an increment to an already higher tariff.
Eskom - R0.4752 per kWhRange of municipal tariffs - R0.6211 - R0.7782 per kWh
oEkurhuleni ~ R0.8923 88%oCity Power – Joburg ~ R0.9813 107%oEmfuleni ~ R0.7832 65% R 2,009.00 R 2,010.00 R 2,012.00 R 2,013.00
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
22.0%
9.5%
14.3%
17.9%
21.6%Composition of Energy In
Total Costs
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Energy management
Energy Efficiency improvement
Energy Efficiency improvement
CogenerationCogeneration OtherOther
Security of supplySecurity of supply Tariff minimizationTariff minimization
Energy Cost optimization Energy Cost optimization
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 -
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Cost of energy
c/kWh % growth yoy
c/k
Wh
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 440
445
450
455
460
465
470
475
480
485
-6%
-5%
-4%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
Energy usage
kWh/ml % growth yoy
kW
h/m
l
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Chemical Costs
• An important component of chemical costs is that some of the chemicals are imported.
• Therefore, it is important to take note of the current weakening of the Rand.
• Taking into consideration the rising CPI, chemical costs are expected to increase by 12.5 per cent.
6.00
6.50
7.00
7.50
8.00
8.50
9.00
9.50
7.68
7.35
7.31
6.96
6.98
7.11
6.64
7.19
7.006.85
6.60
6.926.85
6.67
7.09
8.03
8.108.03
8.45
8.89
9.18
R / US$ EXCHANGE RATE
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Chemical costs analysis
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Budget Budget 2012 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Budget Budget 2012
% growth in chemi-cal costs yoy
0.168655529037391
0.147719537100069
-0.420041518
386714
0.280954377639829
0.363216849097427
0.431357505549147
0.202945990180033
R'000/mgl/d
42.49 45.89 26.77 33.18 45.90 63.27 76.07
-45%-35%-25%-15%-5%5%
15%25%35%45%
5
15
25
35
45
55
65
75
42.49 45.89
26.77 33.18
45.90
63.27 76.07
% growth in chemical costs yoy R'000/mgl/d
R,00
0
Water volume increases
Chemical prices increases
Treatment option (organic coagulants or hydrated lime and activated silica)
Required chemical dosage increased
Turbidity deteriorated over the period
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• Revenue increased driven by a 4% increase in volumes compared to 2009/10.
• Normal growth in volumes of 2% projected going forward.
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for the year ended 30 JuneActual
2009/10Budget2010/11
Budget2011/12
Income statement
Revenue 4 960 5 866 6 699
Cost of Sales (2 435) (2 702) (3 031)
Gross Profit 2 525 3 165 3 669
Financial Performance
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for the year ended 30 JuneActual
2009/10Budget2010/11
Budget2011/12
Income statement
Gross Profit 2 525 3 165 3 669
Other operating income 48 91 81
Staff costs (934) (978) (1 093)
Energy (688) (900) (1 164)
Chemicals (170) (244) (294)
Other operating expenses (289) (347) (328)
EBITDA 492 751 871
Depreciation and amortisation (167) (178) (192)
Income from operations 325 572 679
Financial Performance
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Funding Sources for Capex
2010 2011 20120
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
935 1013
481
963
External funding
Internally generated
R’m
• Capex funding released from the redemption reserve of RW02 bond which was switched to RW21 amounting to R468m.
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for Financial Year Ending 30th June 2013
Price Forecast Percent WeightedYear-End ~ 30 June increase 2013 of total
% R m % %
TCTA 8.18% 2888 40.7% 3.5%DWA 10.3% 590 8.3% 0.7%Raw Water 8.5% 3478 48.9% 4.2%Energy - Eskom 26.1% 808 11.4% 3.0%Energy - Municipalities 38.6% 726 10.2% 3.9%Chemicals 12.5% 330 4.7% 0.6%Multi-Partnered Uncontrollable Costs 5342 75.2% 11.7%Labour 8.2% 1165 16.4% 1.3%
Other 5.4% 598 8.4% 0.5%Total 7105 100.0% 13.5%
Target bulk tariff increase 13.5%
Bond Raised (R m) 1151
Rand Water Tariff = Rand Water Internal Inflation
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Thank You
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Cost Comparison
Previous Year Current YearRaw Water 7.4% 8.5%Energy - Eskom 25.2% 26.1%Energy - Municipalities 37.7% 38.6%Chemicals 10.0% 12.5%Labour 9.8% 8.2%Other 11.6% 5.4%
RAND WATER INTERNAL INFLATION PROJECTIONS
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Energy Costs
Rand Water has to take into consideration tariff increments of 24.8 per cent : 201125.2 per cent : 201226.1 per cent : 2013 This is a huge imposition on Rand Water input costs which many customers struggle to understand.
Rand Water receives its energy from Eskom as well as three other municipalities. Therefore Rand Water still has to pay an additional energy tariff increment from the three municipalities over and above the 26.1 per cent energy tariff increment. A historical trend analysis shows that these municipalities have increased an additional 12.5 per cent over the tariff imposed by Eskom.
In addition, this is an increment to an already higher tariff.
Eskom - R0.4752 per kWhRange of municipal tariffs - R0.6211 - R0.7782 per kWh
R 2,009.00 R 2,010.00 R 2,012.00 R 2,013.008.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
22.0%
9.5%
14.3%
17.9%
21.6%Composition of Energy In
Total Costs