rd march 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

64
2005 Preliminary Results Presentation 23 rd March 2006

Upload: others

Post on 19-May-2022

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

2005 Preliminary Results Presentation 23rd March 2006

Page 2: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 2 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Forward looking statements

This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future events and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties.

A number of factors could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by

these forward-looking statements.

Page 3: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 3 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Preliminary results presentation

Strategy & Outlook Simon Lockett

Projects Update Robin Allan

Financial Highlights Tony Durrant

Page 4: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 4 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Strategy & outlook

Page 5: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 5 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Premier’s business strategy

• Targeting 50,000 boepd in medium term

• Reorganised business

• Build on quality prospect inventory for 2007 and beyond

• Minimum of 4 high impact wells per annum within disciplined spend

Strategy

• Acquisitions focus on core areas

• Exciting 2006 exploration programme, already delivering results

• Portfolio of new and incremental development projects

• Rising production in 2006

Progress

Page 6: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 6 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Asia – building on our Natuna Sea position

20004000

8000

Asia Production(boepd)

0

6000

1000012000

18000

2006 2007 2008 2009

1400016000

Potential new projectsBooked reserves

• Use technical and commercial expertise from operations in the Natuna Sea to deliver new exploration opportunities and production projects across the region.

2005 2006• Vietnam prospect delivery • Lembu-Peteng and Macan Tutul• Indonesia HSE performance • Vietnam high-impact wells• West Lobe project progress • Singapore gas sales progressing

• Ratna

Page 7: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 7 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

West Africa – building a new core business

• Develop a pipeline of high impact drillable prospects and capitalise on Mauritania position

2005 2006• Congo and SADR acreage acquisitions • Guinea Bissau drilling• Chinguetti development complete • Chinguetti Phase 2• Tiof, Tevet and Banda appraised • Tiof development decision

• Progress Government of Mauritania issues

2000

3000

5000

West Africa Production(boepd)

0

Potential new projectsBooked reserves

4000

7000

2006 2007 2008 2009

6000

1000

Page 8: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 8 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

North Sea – returning to growth

2000

4000

8000

North Sea Production(boepd)

0

6000

16000

2006 2007 2008 2009

14000

10000

12000

Potential new projectsBooked reserves

• Build on Norway position by seeking out high impact exploration opportunities and maximise the value from existing UK producing assets

2005 2006• Norway acreage additions • UK exploration - Peveril• Kyle offtake reconfiguration • Frøy development progress• Wytch Farm infill drilling • Wytch Farm EOR

Page 9: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 9 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Middle East & Pakistan –enhancing the Pakistan gas business

20004000

8000

Pakistan Production(boepd)

0

6000

1000012000

18000

2006 2007 2008 2009

Potential new projectsBooked reserves

1400016000

• Capitalise on a leading position in Pakistan’s rapidly growing gas market, and build a position in Egypt & the Middle East

2005 2006• Al Amir discovery • Al Amir appraisal• Zamzama 2 sanction • Indus E exploration (Anne)• Bhit/Qadirpur additional sales progress • Bhit/Qadirpur plant upgrades

Page 10: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 10 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

5 Year production potential

Production Profile by Region(boepd)

2006

60000

0

70000

2007 2008 2009 2010

50000

40000

30000

20000

10000

South AsiaM/East & PakistanWest AfricaNorth Sea

Production Profile(boepd)

2006

60000

0

70000

2007 2008 2009 2010

50000

40000

30000

20000

10000

(NB: Only includes discovered hydrocarbons (no exploration success assumed or acquisitions))

Potential new projectsBooked reserves

Page 11: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 11 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Operational highlights

• Production ahead of budget at 33,300 boepd

• Developments on track in 2006

• Further gas sales progressed

• Resource base increased to 232 mmboe

• Successful exploration and appraisal year

• World class HSE performance

Strong gas demand in Pakistan, Indonesia offsets UK decline. Rising profile in 2006.

West Natuna (West Lobe) expected 3Q 2006Chinguetti onstream in February 2006.

Zamzama phase 2 signed.Good progress in Pakistan and West Natuna.

Net additions from discoveries and new licence awards.New acreage added for future exploration.

5 successes from 10 wells in 2005.Excellent start to 2006 in 2 operated wells.

5 years of continuous improvement as an Operator

Page 12: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 12 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Projects update

Page 13: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 13 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Asia – building on our Natuna Sea position

• Indonesia drilling update

• Singapore gas sales & associated development

• Vietnam high-impact wells

• Ratna progress

20004000

8000

Asia Production(boepd)

0

6000

18000

2006 2007 2008 2009

14000

1000012000

Potential new projectsBooked reserves

16000

Page 14: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 14 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Indonesia drilling update

Page 15: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 15 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Macan Tutul-1

Indonesia drilling update

Natuna Sea Block A PSC

2006 success in - Macan Tutul-1- Lembu Peteng-1

Page 16: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 16 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Lembu Peteng-1

Indonesia drilling update

Page 17: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 17 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Lembu Peteng-1Ibu Lembu-1

Indonesia drilling update

Page 18: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 18 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Singapore gas sales & associated development

Page 19: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 19 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Singapore gas sales & associated development

Gas Sales• Excellent demand in 2005• Progressing GSA2 negotiations

Anoa West Lobe• On schedule and on budget• First gas in Q3 2006

Page 20: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 20 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Vietnam high-impact wells

Page 21: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 21 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Blocks 12E & W Operator – Premier• Dua• Blackbird• Swan • Falcon, Peacock and Quit:

follow-on prospects

Dua Structure

Proposed12E-CS-1X

Blackbird Structure

Quit

Peacock

Falcon

Swan

Dua

Blackbird

Vietnam high-impact wells

Page 22: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 22 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Existing Well 12E-LX-1Xoff-structure

Premier 12E-CS-1XPlanned at crest

12E-LX-1XThick sands with residual oil;

drilled close to mapped contact

Oil Water Contact

Blackbird Prospect

Vietnam high-impact wells

Page 23: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 23 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Dua-1X

12-A-1X

Dua-1XDiscovery

Dua-2X

PremierDua-4X

Dua-1X (1974)Flowed 1500 bopd from (damaged)

Lower Miocene ‘Dua’ Sands

5km

Confirming Dua oil

Vietnam high-impact wells

Page 24: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 24 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Ratna progress

Page 25: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 25 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Ratna progress

Page 26: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 26 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

West Africa

Page 27: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 27 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

West Africa – building a new core business

2000

3000

5000

West Africa Production(boepd)

0

Potential new projectsBooked reserves

4000

7000

2006 2007 2008 2009

6000

1000

• Congo high impact exploration

• S.A.D.R. high impact exploration

• Guinea Bissau high-impact wells

• Mauritania – Chinguetti onstream, next steps

Page 28: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 28 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Congo high impact exploration

Page 29: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 29 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Block Marine IX

Highly prospective block, with significant reserve potential.

Premier 58.5% – Operator

Frida ProspectFrida Prospect

Kitina150 m bbls

Moho110 m bbls

N’Kossa280 m bbls

Congo high impact exploration

Page 30: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 30 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Top Lower Albiandepth map with

Miocene channeldepth overlay

Tertiary Channel

2.0

1.0

3.0

4.0

Frida Prospect

Congo high impact exploration

Page 31: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 31 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

S.A.D.R. high impact exploration

Page 32: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 32 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

S.A.D.R. high impact exploration

Page 33: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 33 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Guinea Bissau high-impact wells

Page 34: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 34 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Total mean un-risked reservesin the top prospects is

>1.5 billion barrels (gross)

A $50/bbl oil price economics generates $7 NPV/bbl 135 mbbls

100 mbbls

180 mbbls

80 mbbls

151 mbbls

Espinafre70 mbbls

Sinapa-1 Sinapa-2,2z175 mbbls

30 mbbls 230 mbbls

110 mmbbls

Eirozes250m bbls

300 mmbbls

190 mbbls

Guinea Bissau high-impact wells

Page 35: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 35 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

North

Eirozes-1Proposed Well

(WD= 120 metres)

Eirozes Prospect: mean reserves 250 MM bbls

TopAlbianSand

Salt

South

Guinea Bissau high-impact wells

Page 36: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 36 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Espinafre Prospect: mean reserves 70 MM bbls

North

Top Albian Sand

Salt

South

Espinafre-1Proposed Well

(WD= 34 metres)

Guinea Bissau high-impact wells

Page 37: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 37 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Mauritania – Chinguetti onstream, next steps

Page 38: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 38 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Mauritania – Chinguetti onstream, next steps

Page 39: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 39 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Mauritania – Chinguetti onstream, next steps

Jalakk

Tiof SW

N’Dor

Bogue S

Fantar SW

Kibaro

Awatt

Colin

EquivalentNorth Sea block

Tevet-2 / Tevet Deep 2005 Cretaceous discovery

Labeidna 2005 Miocene discovery

Page 40: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 40 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

North Sea – returning to growth

Page 41: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 41 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

North Sea – returning to growth

20004000

8000

North Sea Production(boepd)

0

6000

16000

2006 2007 2008 2009

14000

1000012000

Potential new projectsBooked reserves

• Norway acreage additions

• Frøy development progress

• UK progress – Wytch Farm & Kyle

Page 42: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 42 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Norway acreage additions

Reprocessing 3D34/2, 34/5 – 15%

Reprocess 3D34/4 (N) – 30%

Reprocess 3D35/12, 36/10 – 40%

Reprocess 3D16/1 (E), 16/4- 30%

100 sq.km 3D aqFrøy Area – 50%

2005 APA Round: Awarded 5 E&P

Work programme commitment level low, ALL work programmes targeting 2007 drilling.

Page 43: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 43 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Frøy development progress

• STOIIP 239 MMstb

• Historical Production38 MMstb

• Future resources20-40 m bbls

• Target development approval – early 2007

• Planned first oilmid-2009

Frøy Field

Page 44: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 44 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Kyle• Offtake reconfigured to a single FPSO• Targeting un-tapped Palaeocene reserves

UK progress – Wytch Farm & Kyle

Wytch Farm• Infill drilling continues• Key projects are:

– Low-salinity water injection EOR– 98/7 development

Page 45: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 45 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Middle East & Pakistan

• Bhit & Zamzama progress

• Qadirpur & Kadanwari progress

• Egypt - Al Amir appraisal

• Pakistan – Anne high impact exploration

20004000

8000

Production(boepd)

0

6000

18000

2006 2007 2008 2009

14000

1000012000

Potential new projectsBooked reserves

16000

Page 46: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 46 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Pakistan – Bhit & Zamzama progress

Page 47: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 47 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Zamzama• Phase 2 approved in 2005 – work in progressBhit - Badhra• GSA to increase rates close to completion• Seismic recently acquired to evaluate Badhra upside

Pakistan – Bhit & Zamzama progress

Page 48: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 48 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Kadanwari• High gas prices and strong offtake• 2006 drilling to exploit reservoir upside

and utilise plant capacity

Qadirpur• Further plant expansion to proceed• GSA to increase rates being negotiated• Possible power plant to sell further gas• Deeper reservoir to be drilled

Pakistan – Qadirpur & Kadanwari progress

Page 49: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 49 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Egypt - Al Amir appraisal

Page 50: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 50 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

South Gharib Fm

Al Amir-2

Egypt - Al Amir appraisal

Zone-1 top oil

Zone-2

Zone-3 Zone-4

Page 51: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 51 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Pakistan – Anne high impact exploration

Page 52: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 52 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Pakistan – Anne high impact exploration

The Anne well is being drilled down-flank to target best channel

package and to confirm an economic

oil volume.

(i.e. attic likely to besub-commercial)

Anne-1 EW

Page 53: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 53 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Exploration – 2006 exploration well plans

Guinea Bissau: Eirozes-1Espinafre-1

Mauritania : Dore-1 (dry): Colin-1: Kibaro-1

Gabon : Themis-1

Egypt : Al Amir-2 AppraisalPakistan : Anne-1

Indonesia : Tupai-1 : Ganesha-1: Macan Tutul (gas discovery): Lembu Peteng-1: Lukah-1

Vietnam : Blackbird-1 : Dua

India : Masimpur-3

UK : Peveril

West Africa 2006JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

Asia

North Sea

M/East & Pakistan

Appraisal wells

Exploration wells

Rigs contracted for all wells except marked

High impact wells

Page 54: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 54 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

2005 Financial Highlights

Page 55: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 55 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Financial highlights

• Operating profit up 112%

• Profit after tax up 75%

• Healthy cashflow

• Strong balance sheet

• Share buy back initiated

$125.7m(2004: $59.3m)

$38.6m(2004: $22.1m)

$118.9m(2004: $109.6m)

Net debt $26.2m

£10 million programme

Rising oil and gas prices, stable production

Rising profits offset by higher taxation charge

Cashflow covers all operating and capital expenditures at current prices

Significant cash inflow in January 2006

Average purchase cost of £5.55 per share

Page 56: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 56 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Income Statement

Working Interest Production (mboepd)Entitlement Interest Production (mboepd)Realised oil price ($/bbl)Realised gas price ($/mcf)

Sales and other operating revenuesCost of salesExploration expensePre licence exploration costsGeneral and administration costsOperating profit Interest income and exchange gainsInterest and other finance expenseProfit before taxationTaxationProfit after tax

Earnings per share - basic (cents)Earnings per share - diluted (cents)

Prepared in accordance with IFRS

Year to31 Dec 2005

Year to31 Dec 2004

33.328.7

48.383.82

$m359

(176)(21)(17)(20)126

6(7)

125(86)

39

47.046.6

34.731.5

29.923.24

$m252

(135)(28)(13)(17)

592

(8)54

(32)22

26.826.1

Highlights

Underlying operating costs steady at <US$6 per barrelReduced dry hole costs

Low interest charges with strong balance sheetFull year of profit oil and gas in IndonesiaFull utilisation of past losses in Pakistan

Based on 82.1million shares

Includes one-off costs of US$3 million

Rising gas prices (especially in Singapore)

Full benefit of current high prices in 2006

Targeting 10% increase by year-end 2006

Page 57: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 57 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Cashflow

Net cash flow from operationsNet interest TaxationOperating cash flowCapital expenditurePre licence exploration costsNet share issues/(purchases)Other movementsMovement in net cash

Opening net cash/(debt)Closing net cash/(debt)

Prepared in accordance with IFRS

Year to31 Dec 2004

$m

Year to31 Dec 2005

$m

207(2)

(86)119

(133)(17)(20)

6(45)

19(26)

165-

(55)110(92)(12)

2(2)6

1319

Exploration spend covered 2.3 X

Buy back of ordinary shares (£10 million) and purchase of shares for ESOP trust

2005 2004

Development

133 92

Exploration 51 46

82 34Acquisitions 13

Page 58: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 58 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Gas pricing – improving economics

Brent & HSFO Prices(Index)

90

210

190

170

150

130

110

2004 2005 ‘06

PKP Gas Prices($/mmbtu)

150

7

25 40 60

5

4

3

2

1

6

5510 20 30 35 45 50

KadanwariBhitQadirpurZamzamaPKP

BrentHSFO

2005: US$7.90 per mscf (2004: US$4.96 per mscf)2005: US$2.20 per mscf (2004: US$2.13 per mscf)

Page 59: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 59 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

10% Increase in Total Resources

100

140

Reserves/Resources(mmboe)

Openingreserves/resources

Production Net Revisions Resourceadditions

Closingreserves/resources

80

0

Unbooked resources movementBooked reserves movementUnbooked resourcesBooked reserves

120

180160

200

• Booked reserves independently reviewed• Resource additions include Dua & Froy. • No resources yet booked for Banda or Swan discoveries

Divestment

220240

604020

210

232

Page 60: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 60 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Future Field Capex by Region($ million)

140

0

180

100

80

60

40

20

West AfricaSouth AsiaM. East & PakistanNorth Sea

120

160

Future Field Capex($ million)

2006

140

0

180

2007 2008 2009

100

80

60

40

20

120

160Potential new projectsBooked reserves

Potential future field Capex

2006 2007 2008 2009

Page 61: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 61 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Exploration spend

• Targeted at around $50m per annum

• Pre-licence exploration costs estimated at additional $10m per annum

• Will require active portfolio management in current environment to meet target– Attractive farm-in offers under consideration

10

20

40

Exploration Spend($M)

0

30

60

2003 2004 2005 2006 E

50

Page 62: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 62 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Financial outlook

• Balance sheet effectively ungeared

• Strong and stable cashflows will fund planned capital programme at $50/bbl– including annual exploration spend at $50m

• Hedging programme through 2010 with floors around $40/bbl protects downside

• Corporate credit facility of $275m largely undrawn

• Financially strong to fund new development projects and acquisitions

Page 63: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 63 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentation

Summary

• Exciting year ahead

• Close out gas sales contracts in Indonesia/Pakistan

• Actively target acquisitions in core areas

• High impact exploration in Guinea Bissau & Vietnam

Page 64: rd March 2006 - premieroil.prod-mid-euw3.investis.com

Page 64 | 2005 Preliminary Results Presentationwww.premier-oil.com March 2006