reception and dinner for mike mcgavick

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  • 8/11/2019 Reception and Dinner for Mike McGavick

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    TE MM G VI K

    Cordially Invites You

    t

    a Reception

    and

    Dinner Honoring

    ike c avick

    u s Senate Candidate

    -

    Washington

    Wednesday, September 20, 2006

    RE EPTION

    -

    6:00p.m.

    -

    7:00p.m.

    National Republican Senatorial Committee 425

    d

    Street, NE

    INNER - 7:30p.m.

    Johnny s

    Half Shell (formerly

    La

    Colline)

    400 North Capitol Street N.W.

    Washington, DC

    RECEPTION and DINNER - 2,500 PAC

    or

    1,000 personal

    RECEPTION

    only

    at NRSC

    - 1,000 PAC

    or 500

    personal

    Yes

    will attend the September

    2 t h _

    reception and/or

    __

    dinner

    with

    Mike McGavick:

    2,500/ 1,000

    reception only)

    PAC or

    1,000/( 500 reception only)

    personal

    -:::--_ people will attend: Name(s) of attendeeIs: -,-::---:-_-::-:- _

    o am

    unable to attend

    the September 20th

    event, but

    am

    enclosing

    my

    contribution of

    Name:

    PLEASE

    MAKE CHECKS

    PAYABLE TO:

    Friends far Mike McGavick

    101 Constitution AveNW 900 West

    Washington, DC

    20001

    PLEASE RSVP TO:

    Laura Rizzo

    TEL: 202 742-4415

    EM: Irizzormfhot:lnHil.com

    Title: _

    Address: City: State: Zip:

    Occupation: Employer:

    Home Phone: Business Phone: _

    Email: Fax:

    --------------

    Contributions

    to

    Friends for Mike M6Gavick are

    not

    deductible for federal income tax purposes. Corporate

    a

    foreign natiorull contributions are

    not

    solicited and not permitted

    by

    law. Federal

    law

    requires political commit

    to report the name, address, occupation

    n

    employer for all contributors whose contributions exceed 200 pe

    calendar year. Individuals may contribute a maximum of 4,200 - 2,100 for primary election

    md

    2,100 fo

    general election. PACsmay give a maximum of 10,000 - 5,000 for primary and 5,000 for general election

    Paid for by Friends for Mike McGavick - P.O. Box 9247 Seattle, WA 98109

  • 8/11/2019 Reception and Dinner for Mike McGavick

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    Mike

    McGavl k

    us.

    SENATE G

    Why Mike McGavick

    Will Win

    Vulnerable

    Incumbent

    Independent Polls continue

    to

    show Democrat incumbent Maria Cantwell to be extremely vulnerable:

    Strategic Vision Poll (July 26 '06)

    Strategic Vision Poll J1 U1e

    30

    '06)

    Rasmussen Reports Poll (June

    13

    '06)

    ZogpylWSJ Poll J1 U1e 13-19 '06)

    Csntwe1l48

    Cantwell 47

    Cantwell 44

    Cantwell

    48

    McGavick 44

    McGavick 43

    McGavick

    40

    McGavick 43

    In

    their

    polling snalysis released on June 22,2006, the indepl hdent polling

    firm,

    Rasmussen Reports, states,

    ..... electoral support fo r Senator Maria Cantwell

    (D)

    has slipped

    once

    again -

    fo r

    the

    fifth survey in

    a

    : U .

    . .. an

    incre9Singly competitive U.S. Sellllte race, Senator Cantwell now leads fonner Safeco

    CEO

    Mike

    McGavick (R)

    44

    to 40 , a toss-up.

    In addition to the Rasmus.sen Reports poll,

    the

    latest ZogbyIWan Street Journal

    and

    Strategic Vision results

    released also show McGavickwithin just

    four

    points of Cantwell. It was

    the

    sixth consecutive Strategic

    Vision and second consecutive ZogbyIWall Street Journal poll that have shown Cantwell well below

    Why Those

    Poll

    Numbers Are Important

    As

    the race

    has

    tightened

    in

    recent polling, Senator Cantwell's low numbers draw a striking comparison

    to

    historical examples

    of

    polling numbers of statewide incumbents

    that

    lost re-election bids, One common trai

    of the following examples is that the incumbents who ended up losing consistently polled below 50 , where

    Sen, Cantwell currently sits.

    Polling

    from the

    3 Senate incumbentswho were defeated

    in

    Washington

    in

    the last 26

    years:

    2000-

    Maria Cantwell

    defeats Senator Slade

    Gorton

    July

    2000 (Research 2000) Gorton

    45

    October 2000 (Zogby) Gorton 49

    1986

    - Brock

    Adams

    defeats Senator Slade Gorton

    June 1986 (Cooper&Secrest) Gorton 48

    October 1986 (KIRO TV) Gorton 46

    1980 - Slade

    Gorton

    defeats Senator Warren Magnuson

    September 1980

    Magnuson

    45

    OCtober 1980

    Magnuson

    49 6

    Cantwell

    36

    Cantwell 43

    Adams 26

    Adams 42

    Gorton 43

    Gorton 42

    Republicans Can

    Win

    Washington

    State

    n

    the 2004 race for Governor, after 2 controversial re-counts, Republican Dino Rossi came within 129

    votes

    of

    victory after trailing 46 -17 at the beginning of the race.

    This

    despite the fact that John Kerry

    cwried Washington 53 vs 46 . Approximately 136,000 Kerry voters also voted for Republican Dino

    Rossi.

    Republicans

    won

    2 competitive open seat Congressional races in Washington in 2004, Dave Reichert in the

    8' CongressionalDistrict and Cathy McMorris in the

    Congressional District

    Despite Jolm Kerry's victory, RepublicanAttorney General Candidate Rob McKenna

    won

    statewide 53

    43 over a well-funded Democratic opponent, who had the backing

    of

    the trial lawyers.

    I Paid for

    by riends

    for Mike

    Mc avick

  • 8/11/2019 Reception and Dinner for Mike McGavick

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    Strong

    Fundraising

    With currently over

    4.4

    million raised for the campaign, McGavick

    is

    among the top fundraising

    cllilliengers in the nation. McGavick continues to set a strong fundraising pace for a statewide challenger

    with over

    1.

    7 million raised in the 2

    nd

    Quarter and a strong base

    of

    contributors rom all over

    Washington State.

    No dher political challenger in the

    history

    of Washington State has ever raised more donations from

    fellow citizens through this point

    of

    their campaign than McGavick.

    In

    addition, McGavick has

    collected nearly

    70 /0

    of his donations

    from

    Washington residents, while Senator Cantwell, on the other

    hand, has only raised 42%

    of

    her donations

    rom

    Washingtonians.

    What Others are Saying about

    Mike

    McGavick

    f

    Washington's u.s. Senate campaign were a boxing match, the

    early

    rounds ar e going to

    Republican

    Mike McGavick.

    He is behaving like a well-organized, aggressive challenger.

    Who is

    running

    the

    better campaign? The

    edge goes to McGavick.

    -Editorial

    The

    Seattle

    Times, July

    16,

    2006

    The open seat in Minnesota

    and

    Maria Cantwell's seat in Washington State are the Democrat's biggest

    vulnerabilities.

    .. .

    But Cantwell is beginning to look more vulnerable than she'd ever expected to be,

    Holding her seat may bemore difficult for Democrats than holding their open seat in Minnesota,., ,

    - Charlie Cook,

    National

    Journal, July

    11 2006

    n

    many levels, freshman Democratic

    SelL

    Maria Cantwell

    may

    be

    the

    party'.

    moot vulnerable

    incumbent.

    Cantwell

    wJII face a

    very

    strong opponent in former Safeco

    CEO

    Mike McGavick.

    if there is any race in the Lean Democratic column that seems destined for Toss Up, it is

    this

    one.

    -

    Jennifer DuffY

    Cook Political

    Report

    U e

    8

    2 6

    .... ,to

    the

    slightly

    improved

    climate benefiting

    the GOP's best

    Senate challenger

    in

    the

    country

    (Mike McGavick), there's reason for renewed optimism

    among

    Republicans With

    the

    climate

    improving ever-so-slightly for the GOP, and with Cantwell unable to capitalize on voter angst over Iraq,

    McGavick's chances get a slight boost But right now, we can 't imagine ever viewing any other

    Democratic incumbent as more vulnerable than Cantwell.

    -

    Chuck Todd Race RQnkings NationaIJourna/.com June

    8

    2 j06

    Headline: Cantwell s Lead over McGavick Nearly Gone. Dwindling voter support for U.S. Sen.

    Maria Cantwell's re-election bid

    hIlS

    put her

    in

    a statistical toss-up with her Republican Opponent.

    -

    The

    SeattlePost-lntelligencer,

    June

    22,

    2006

    McGavick

    is

    now within five percentage points of Cantwell in Washington, with momentum clearly on

    is

    side. His campaign has garnered increased attention nationwide among Republicans, with donors

    paying

    close attention to the race.

    -

    The American Spectator, May 22 2006

    Four candidate. in particular have caught our attention: Mike McGavick

    in

    Washington, Mike

    Bouchard in Michigan, Pete Ricketts in Nebraska

    and John

    Raese

    in

    West Virginia.

    The cream of

    this

    crop is McGavick. He's

    got a pragmatic streak

    in him

    that suits

    him

    well for the Senate, .. ,

    we'd pu t

    our moneyon McGavick

    - Chuck Todd, On the Trail, NationalJournal.com,

    April 2006

    Former

    Safeco CE.O

    Mike

    McGavick

    is

    the Republicans' best

    hope

    in

    six

    years

    to

    grab

    a U.S.

    Senate

    seat

    in Democratic-leaningWashington state.

    -

    The

    Seattle Times, February 26, 2006

    .. . McGavick

    is a

    leader who

    understands the politIcal process.

    He

    is also extremelypersonable ,a

    2006 Senate race between McGavick and Cantwell

    hIlS

    the potential to be extremelycompetitive, ..

    - Walla Walla Union-Bulletin,

    OctoberS 2005

    Paid for by

    riends

    for Mike

    McGavick

  • 8/11/2019 Reception and Dinner for Mike McGavick

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    TE M MeG VICK

    with

    Senator Bill Frist,MD.

    Senator Lamar Alexander

    Senator Wayne Allard

    Senator George Allen

    Senator Robert Bennett

    Senator Sam Brownback

    Senator Jim Bunning

    Senator Conrad Bums

    Senator Richard Burr

    Senator Lincoln Chafee

    Senator Saxby Chambliss

    Senator Tom Coburn

    Senator Thad Cochran

    SenatorNonn Coleman

    Senator John Comyn

    Senator Larry Craig

    Senator :Mike Crapo

    Senator Jim DeMint

    Senator Mike DeWine

    Senator Elizabeth Dole

    Senator John Ensign

    Senator Lindsey Graham

    Senator Chuck Grassley

    Senator ChuckHagel

    Senator Orrin Hatch

    Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison

    Senator Jim Inhofe

    Senator Johnny Isakson

    Senator Trent Lott

    Senator Richard Lugar

    Senator John McCain

    Senator Mitch McConnell

    Senator Mel Marlinez

    Senator Lisa Murkowski

    Senator Rick Santorum

    Senator Richard Shelby

    Senator Gordon Smith

    Senator Ted Stevens

    Senator John Sununu

    Senator John Thune

    Senator David Vitter

    Senator John Warner

    Cordially Invite You To AReception Honoring

    MIKE

    Me

    VICK

    u

    SEN TE C NDID TE W SHINGTON

    Wednesday, September 20,2006

    6:00 p.m. - 7:00 p.m.

    National Republican Senatorial Committee

    4 5:zOO

    Street, NE - Washington, DC

    1,000 PAC - 500 Personal

    RSVP to Laura Rizzo - 202) 742-4415 [email protected]

    Contributions to Friends for Mike McGavick are

    not

    deductible for federal income x purposes. Corporate and fore

    national contributions are

    not

    solicited and

    not

    permitted

    by

    law. Federal law requires political committees to report

    name, address, occupation

    and

    employer for all contributors whose contributions exceed 200

    per

    calendar year.

    Individuals

    IIlIy

    contribute a maximum

    of 4 200

    -

    2 100

    for primary election and 2,100 for general election. PA

    IIlIy give a maximum ofSl 0,000 -

    SS

    fur primary and 5,000 for general elections.

    Paid

    for

    by

    Friends

    f lr

    Mike McGavick - P.O. Box

    9247 -

    Seattle WA 98109