REDD‐ALERT 3rd Annual Project meetingProject meeting

28‐30 September 201128‐30 September, 2011Lam Dong, Vietnam

Stern ReviewStern Review

“Curbing deforestation is a highly cost‐effective way of reducing greenhouse gas emissions and has the potential to offer significant reductions fairly quickly. It also helps preservequickly. It also helps preserve biodiversity and protect soil and water quality. Encouraging new forests, and enhancing the potential of soils toenhancing the potential of soils to store carbon, offer further opportunities to reverse emissions f l d h ”from land use change.”

(Stern, 2006)

Reducing Emissions from Deforestation & Degradation (REDD)

COP9 (2003, Milan) – proposal for Compensated ReductionCOP11 (2005 Montreal) 2 year period of discussionCOP11 (2005, Montreal) – 2‐year period of discussionCOP13 (2007, Bali) – Bali Road Map – work towards data collection, emissions estimation, monitoring, institutionsCOP15 (2009, Copenhagen) – Not much progress, further negotiations deferredCOP16 (2010, Cancun) – establishment of a Green Climate Fund

Proposed REDD approachProposed REDD approach

from Moutinho (2007)

REDD mechanismsREDD mechanisms

Angelsen &Wertz‐Angelsen & WertzKanounnikoff, 2008

ChallengesChallenges

Additionality – making sure that it wouldn’t occur anyway Additionality – making sure that it wouldn t occur anyway

Leakage – avoiding displacing emissions elsewhere

Permanence – keeping the C locked up

Monitoring – degradation vs deforestationMonitoring degradation vs. deforestation

‘Hot air’ – surplus of cheap C credits flooding the market

Baseline determination

Quantification of uncertainties Quantification of uncertainties

Sovereignty

REDD‐ALERTEU‐FP7 ProjectREDD‐ALERT

Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation through Alternative Landuses in Rainforests of the Tropics

Macaulay Land Use Research Institute, United Kingdom

Université Catholique de Louvain, B l i

Centro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical, Columbia

Alternative Landuses in Rainforests of the Tropics

q ,Belgium

Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Netherlands

Georg August University of Göttingen, 

Indonesian Soils Research Institute, Indonesia

Research Centre for Forest Ecology and Environment VietnamGeorg August University of Göttingen, 

Germany

World Agroforestry Centre, Kenya

Centre for International Forestry Research, Indonesia

Environment, Vietnam

Institut de Recherche Agricole pour le Développement, Cameroon

Instituto Nacional de Investigacion yResearch, Indonesia

International Institute of Tropical Agriculture, Nigeria

Instituto Nacional de Investigacion y Extension Agraria, Peru

Linking global agreements to local actiong g gOverall goal: To contribute to the development and evaluation of mechanisms and the institutions needed at multiple levels for influencing stakeholder behaviour to l i l d f i d h d GHG i islow tropical deforestation rates and hence reduce GHG emissions

Project objectivesj j

Documenting the diversity in social, cultural, economic and ecological drivers of forest transition and conservation, and the consequences, in the contexts qof selected case study areas in Indonesia, Vietnam, Cameroon, and Peru as representative of different stages of forest transition in Southeast Asia, Africa and South America.

Quantifying rates of forest conversion and change in forest carbon stocks Quantifying rates of forest conversion and change in forest carbon stocksusing improved methods.

Improving accounting (methods, default values) of the consequences of land use change for GHG emissions in tropical forest margins including peatlands.

Identifying and assessing viable policy options addressing the drivers of deforestation and their consistency with policy approaches on avoided deforestation currently being discussed in UNFCCC and other relevant international processes.international processes.

Analysing scenarios in selected case study areas of the local impacts of potential international climate change policies on GHG emission reductions, land use and livelihoods.

Developing new negotiation support tools and using these with stakeholdersat international, national and local scales to explore a basket of options for incorporating REDD into post‐2012 climate agreements.

Project componentsProject components

WP1: Understanding the drivers of

WP3: Quantifying

GHG emissions

WP2: Quantifying

and monitoring

WP4: Policy options

addressing

WP1: Understanding the drivers of

WP3: Quantifying

GHG emissions

WP2: Quantifying

and monitoring

WP4: Policy options

addressing

WP1: Understanding the drivers of

WP3: Quantifying

GHG emissions

WP2: Quantifying

and monitoring

WP4: Policy options

addressingthe drivers of land use change

GHG emissions from land use

change

and monitoring land use change

addressing tropical

deforestation

the drivers of land use change

GHG emissions from land use

change

and monitoring land use change

addressing tropical

deforestation

the drivers of land use change

GHG emissions from land use

change

and monitoring land use change

addressing tropical

deforestation

WP5: Integration and modellingWP5: Integration and modellingWP5: Integration and modelling

WP6: Development of REDD Negotiation Support SystemWP6: Development of REDD Negotiation Support SystemWP6: Development of REDD Negotiation Support System

WP7: Overall project managementWP7: Overall project management

Pert diagramPert diagramWP1: Mapping forest cover change

WP1: Econometric model of LUC WP2: Spatial C stocks

WP1: Mapping forest cover change

WP1: Econometric model of LUC WP2: Spatial C stocksWP1: Econometric model of LUC drivers

WP2: Spatial C stocks analysis

WP3: Soil organic C measurements

WP3: Biomass C measurements WP5: IPCC AFOLU Tier 3 model

WP1: Econometric model of LUC drivers

WP2: Spatial C stocks analysis

WP3: Soil organic C measurements

WP3: Biomass C measurements WP5: IPCC AFOLU Tier 3 model

WP2: Cost/benefit analysis of national monitoring systems

WP3: GHG flux measurements

WP4 Gl b l li d l

WP2: Cost/benefit analysis of national monitoring systems

WP3: GHG flux measurements

WP4 Gl b l li d lWP4: Global policy model

WP4: Multi-level policy instruments

WP5: Development of coupled-human-

environment model

WP4: Global policy model

WP4: Multi-level policy instruments

WP5: Development of coupled-human-

environment model

WP2: Abatement cost analysis

WP5: Evaluation of policy instrumentsWP6: Synthesis of local

perceptions of d f t ti li i

WP6: Local stakeholder Negotiation Support

System

WP2: Abatement cost analysis

WP5: Evaluation of policy instrumentsWP6: Synthesis of local

perceptions of d f t ti li i

WP6: Local stakeholder Negotiation Support

System

deforestation policies

WP6: National Representative

Negotiation Support System

WP6: Testing stakeholder perceptions of

deforestation policies

deforestation policies

WP6: National Representative

Negotiation Support System

WP6: Testing stakeholder perceptions of

deforestation policies

Site locationsSite locations

Ucayali, Peru Southern Cameroon Indonesia Vietnam

Previous meetingsPrevious meetings Indonesia, May 2009: Kickoff meeting, planning of work, field 

t i th h S ttrip through Sumatra

Washington, Sept 2009: Work‐package Coordinators’ meeting

Amsterdam, April 2010: Work‐package Coordinators’ meeting

Peru, Oct 2010: 2nd Annual Project Meeting, linking field workPeru, Oct 2010: 2 Annual Project Meeting, linking field work to work‐package deliverables

Amsterdam April 2011: Work‐package Coordinators’ meeting Amsterdam, April 2011: Work package Coordinators  meeting, followed by modelling workshop

Vietnam Sept 2011: 3rd Annual Project Meeting Linking the Vietnam, Sept 2011: 3rd Annual Project Meeting, Linking the work together, planning outputs.

Annual Project MeetingAnnual Project Meeting

Starting to try and draw things together:g y g g

Theme 1: What is happening at the national/local scale?

Theme 2: REDD+ options to address the drivers

Theme 3: Impacts of REDD+ optionsp p

Theme 4: Improved estimates and modelling of C stocks and GHG fluxes from land use change:and GHG fluxes from land use change: 

Mineral soils

Organic soils