richard jones ventura team

10
turning knowledge into action FTTX Conference Richard Jones [email protected]

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turning knowledge into action

FTTX

Conference

Richard Jones

[email protected]

Copyright Ventura Team LLP 2008 - 2011 – Page 2 [email protected]

You need to be right...or as near to right as makes sense

Copyright Ventura Team LLP 2008 - 2011 – Page 3 [email protected]

It is important to face the truth of a situation…

Copyright Ventura Team LLP 2008 - 2011 – Page 4 [email protected]

…even if people don’t want to know

Copyright Ventura Team LLP 2008 - 2011 – Page 5 [email protected]

Technologies can rarely be considered in isolation

How do companies commit to a network to compete with their challengers…

3G

WiMAX

LTE

FTTX

Source: Alcatel-Lucent

Copyright Ventura Team LLP 2008 - 2011 – Page 6 [email protected]

..and even the simplest deployments can be very complex – particularly for incumbents

Source: BT

Copyright Ventura Team LLP 2008 - 2011 – Page 7 [email protected]

We could start at a very detailed level but we need to understand the different building blocks…

Copyright Ventura Team LLP 2008 - 2011 – Page 8 [email protected]

Getting the scenario right for any deployment is very complex – small changes create huge impacts on results

This fictional example inspired by a real case shows different availability & competition scenarios (defined on the left) and resulting peak funding (PFR) and rate of return (IRR) and also takes into

account the cross-impacts on mobile broadband

Copyright Ventura Team LLP 2008 - 2011 – Page 9 [email protected]

So what?

Cost of being two months late Cost of chossing the wrong areas first Negotiating better with vendors Getting the way you pay the capex right

£30 million in lost revenues 3% of returns A few million pounds +13% on returns

Copyright Ventura Team LLP 2008 - 2011 – Page 10 [email protected]

Ok – let’s start …