right horizons research services - review 2013

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YOUR LOGO Right Horizons Research Services Deep understanding, Better results.

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Page 1: Right Horizons Research Services - Review 2013

YOUR LOGO

Right Horizons Research ServicesDeep understanding, Better results.

Page 2: Right Horizons Research Services - Review 2013

RH Research −−−− Thorough, incisive & effective

� Global Reach: RH Research Services have been on global information platforms

- Bloomberg – Wire Code: RHZ

- www.capitalIQ.com

- www.researchbytes.com

- FactSet

� Consistent: Our reports have logged in over 60% unique hits received for content hosted inthe past 12 months

� Coverage depth:

YOUR LOGOPage � 2

� Coverage depth: Over 250 earnings reports and 33 initiating coverage in the past 18months.

� Diverse viewership: On average, over 50% of the total hits have come in frominternational locations, predominantly developed markets.

� Thoroughness: Our research reports have called for accuracy over 80% of the time.Whether we made BUY recommendations or SELL.

� Effective: Research services have provided for outperformance on portfolios; deliveredsuperior performance against benchmarks and competition over the past 18 months.

Page 3: Right Horizons Research Services - Review 2013

66 66

75

50

60

70

80Initiating Coverage Earning Reports

RH Research is consitently expanding coverages on value stocks

+13%

YOUR LOGOPage � 3

813

90

10

20

30

40

H1-FY13 H2-FY13 H1-FY14

Page 4: Right Horizons Research Services - Review 2013

Total and Unique hits in past 12 months

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

63%

65%

67%

69%

Unique to Total Hits Share of International Hits

YOUR LOGOPage � 4

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

57%

59%

61%

63%

Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13

Page 5: Right Horizons Research Services - Review 2013

Top 10 hits in past 18 months

45

44

42

41

40

BNP PARIBAS

BANK OF AMERICA

MORGAN STANLEY & CO. LLC

HSBC BANK PLC

STANDARD CHARTERED BANK

YOUR LOGOPage � 5

70

57

56

49

47

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

J.P. MORGAN CHASE & CO.

JM FINANCIAL INST SEC PVT LTD

ICICI SECURITIES LTD

EDELWEISS SECURITIES LIMITED

DEUTSCHE BANK AG, LONDON

Page 6: Right Horizons Research Services - Review 2013

Our competitors are consistently following our research…

YOUR LOGOPage � 6

… and so are Global Asset Managers, obviously.

Page 7: Right Horizons Research Services - Review 2013

Partial list of our multi-bagger recommendations

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

250%

300%

350%

400%

PVR vs CNX Nifty

PVRL NIFTY

BUYBUY

BUY

BUY

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

1-Mar-12 1-Sep-12 1-Mar-13 1-Sep-13

Godrej Consumer vs CNX Nifty

GCPL NIFTY

BUY

HOLD

ACCUMULATE

We realized potential of PVR when it was at it was amicro cap and used to trade at 140. Over the time wepublished several reports and it has grown 6 times

FMCG is a defensive segment, but GCPL has potentialto sustain aggression, which has made it a perfect

YOUR LOGO

-50%1-Mar-12 1-Sep-12 1-Mar-13 1-Sep-13

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

1-Mar-12 1-Sep-12 1-Mar-13 1-Sep-13

MRF vs CNX Nifty

MRF NIFTY

BUY

BUY

-50%

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

1-Mar-12 1-Sep-12 1-Mar-13 1-Sep-13

Amara Raja Batteries vs CNX Nifty

AMRJ NIFTY

BUY

BUYBUY

We caught MRF on falling rubber prices. Stock

performed well even at muted revenue growth.

to sustain aggression, which has made it a perfect

value stock

Ability to sustain YoY growth of >20% in each qtr andduopoly in segment are triggers for AMRJ

Page 8: Right Horizons Research Services - Review 2013

We spotted falling knifes too – 100% record in SELL reco.

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

1-Mar-12 1-Sep-12 1-Mar-13 1-Sep-13

BJE vs CNX Nifty

BJE NIFTY

SELL

-100%

-80%

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

1-Mar-12 1-Sep-12 1-Mar-13 1-Sep-13

SNTX vs CNX Nifty

SNTX NIFTY

SELL

YOUR LOGOPage � 8

� This remains a partial list. Several of our recommendations have outperformed significantly ahead of themain indices. The gains on these names under coverage range from 25%-60% and we do continuingcoverage on them.

� We also provide estimates to Bloomberg and other global information platforms during the pre earningseason and majority of the estimates matched actual results published by the companies under coverage.

-25% -100%

Decline in discretionary spending reduced sales volumeof BJE and heightened competition in segmentimpacted margins. We published this commentary inour SELL report

We observed stagnant revenue performance andincreasing pressure of borrowings on financials. That’swhy predicted value erosion of the stock.

Page 9: Right Horizons Research Services - Review 2013

Our HIT Rate - 80%. Targets are either achieved or near to target

Company Recom. PDP Target CMP Status

Apollo Hospital Enterprises Ltd BUY 640 935 832 Achieved

Godrej Consumer Product Ltd BUY 480 925 812 Achieved

PVR Ltd BUY 140 460 580 Achieved

Amara Raja Batteries Ltd BUY 147 365 352 Near

India Infoline Ltd BUY 67 110 60 Broken

TVS Motors Ltd BUY 41 51 54 Achieved

Emami Ltd BUY 268 540 464 Far

Britannia Industries Ltd BUY 593 875 880 Achieved

Bajaj Finserv Ltd BUY 611 1370 694 Far

Havells India Ltd BUY 572 750 731 Near

5%, Broken

15%, Far

45%, Near

YOUR LOGOPage � 9

Havells India Ltd BUY 572 750 731 Near

GSK Consumer Healthcare Ltd BUY 2747 3540 4570 Achieved

Mahindra Financial Services Ltd BUY 135 300 301 Achieved

Dabur India Ltd BUY 106 195 166 Near

MRF Ltd BUY 9890 17500 19345 Achieved

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd BUY 1162 1350 1304 Near

Akzo Noble India Ltd BUY 807 1350 819 Far

BASF India Ltd BUY 503 660 622 Near

Va Tech Wabag Ltd BUY 428 560 530 Near

Bajaj Electricals Ltd SELL 195 170 178 Near

Sintex Industries Ltd SELL 86 50 32 Achieved

35%, Achieved

Recom. – Recommendation, PDP – Published Date Price, CMP – Current Market Price

Page 10: Right Horizons Research Services - Review 2013

Request for information

YOUR LOGOPage � 10

Contact: Tushar Pendharkar+ 91 22 4100 [email protected]

Right Horizons Research#4B21 Highland Corporate CenterKapurbavdi Junction, Majhiwade, Thane (W) 400 607