right horizons research services - review 2013
TRANSCRIPT
YOUR LOGO
Right Horizons Research ServicesDeep understanding, Better results.
RH Research −−−− Thorough, incisive & effective
� Global Reach: RH Research Services have been on global information platforms
- Bloomberg – Wire Code: RHZ
- www.capitalIQ.com
- www.researchbytes.com
- FactSet
� Consistent: Our reports have logged in over 60% unique hits received for content hosted inthe past 12 months
� Coverage depth:
YOUR LOGOPage � 2
� Coverage depth: Over 250 earnings reports and 33 initiating coverage in the past 18months.
� Diverse viewership: On average, over 50% of the total hits have come in frominternational locations, predominantly developed markets.
� Thoroughness: Our research reports have called for accuracy over 80% of the time.Whether we made BUY recommendations or SELL.
� Effective: Research services have provided for outperformance on portfolios; deliveredsuperior performance against benchmarks and competition over the past 18 months.
66 66
75
50
60
70
80Initiating Coverage Earning Reports
RH Research is consitently expanding coverages on value stocks
+13%
YOUR LOGOPage � 3
813
90
10
20
30
40
H1-FY13 H2-FY13 H1-FY14
Total and Unique hits in past 12 months
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
63%
65%
67%
69%
Unique to Total Hits Share of International Hits
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25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
57%
59%
61%
63%
Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13
Top 10 hits in past 18 months
45
44
42
41
40
BNP PARIBAS
BANK OF AMERICA
MORGAN STANLEY & CO. LLC
HSBC BANK PLC
STANDARD CHARTERED BANK
YOUR LOGOPage � 5
70
57
56
49
47
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
J.P. MORGAN CHASE & CO.
JM FINANCIAL INST SEC PVT LTD
ICICI SECURITIES LTD
EDELWEISS SECURITIES LIMITED
DEUTSCHE BANK AG, LONDON
Our competitors are consistently following our research…
YOUR LOGOPage � 6
… and so are Global Asset Managers, obviously.
Partial list of our multi-bagger recommendations
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
400%
PVR vs CNX Nifty
PVRL NIFTY
BUYBUY
BUY
BUY
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
1-Mar-12 1-Sep-12 1-Mar-13 1-Sep-13
Godrej Consumer vs CNX Nifty
GCPL NIFTY
BUY
HOLD
ACCUMULATE
We realized potential of PVR when it was at it was amicro cap and used to trade at 140. Over the time wepublished several reports and it has grown 6 times
FMCG is a defensive segment, but GCPL has potentialto sustain aggression, which has made it a perfect
YOUR LOGO
-50%1-Mar-12 1-Sep-12 1-Mar-13 1-Sep-13
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
1-Mar-12 1-Sep-12 1-Mar-13 1-Sep-13
MRF vs CNX Nifty
MRF NIFTY
BUY
BUY
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
1-Mar-12 1-Sep-12 1-Mar-13 1-Sep-13
Amara Raja Batteries vs CNX Nifty
AMRJ NIFTY
BUY
BUYBUY
We caught MRF on falling rubber prices. Stock
performed well even at muted revenue growth.
to sustain aggression, which has made it a perfect
value stock
Ability to sustain YoY growth of >20% in each qtr andduopoly in segment are triggers for AMRJ
We spotted falling knifes too – 100% record in SELL reco.
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
1-Mar-12 1-Sep-12 1-Mar-13 1-Sep-13
BJE vs CNX Nifty
BJE NIFTY
SELL
-100%
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
1-Mar-12 1-Sep-12 1-Mar-13 1-Sep-13
SNTX vs CNX Nifty
SNTX NIFTY
SELL
YOUR LOGOPage � 8
� This remains a partial list. Several of our recommendations have outperformed significantly ahead of themain indices. The gains on these names under coverage range from 25%-60% and we do continuingcoverage on them.
� We also provide estimates to Bloomberg and other global information platforms during the pre earningseason and majority of the estimates matched actual results published by the companies under coverage.
-25% -100%
Decline in discretionary spending reduced sales volumeof BJE and heightened competition in segmentimpacted margins. We published this commentary inour SELL report
We observed stagnant revenue performance andincreasing pressure of borrowings on financials. That’swhy predicted value erosion of the stock.
Our HIT Rate - 80%. Targets are either achieved or near to target
Company Recom. PDP Target CMP Status
Apollo Hospital Enterprises Ltd BUY 640 935 832 Achieved
Godrej Consumer Product Ltd BUY 480 925 812 Achieved
PVR Ltd BUY 140 460 580 Achieved
Amara Raja Batteries Ltd BUY 147 365 352 Near
India Infoline Ltd BUY 67 110 60 Broken
TVS Motors Ltd BUY 41 51 54 Achieved
Emami Ltd BUY 268 540 464 Far
Britannia Industries Ltd BUY 593 875 880 Achieved
Bajaj Finserv Ltd BUY 611 1370 694 Far
Havells India Ltd BUY 572 750 731 Near
5%, Broken
15%, Far
45%, Near
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Havells India Ltd BUY 572 750 731 Near
GSK Consumer Healthcare Ltd BUY 2747 3540 4570 Achieved
Mahindra Financial Services Ltd BUY 135 300 301 Achieved
Dabur India Ltd BUY 106 195 166 Near
MRF Ltd BUY 9890 17500 19345 Achieved
Jubilant Foodworks Ltd BUY 1162 1350 1304 Near
Akzo Noble India Ltd BUY 807 1350 819 Far
BASF India Ltd BUY 503 660 622 Near
Va Tech Wabag Ltd BUY 428 560 530 Near
Bajaj Electricals Ltd SELL 195 170 178 Near
Sintex Industries Ltd SELL 86 50 32 Achieved
35%, Achieved
Recom. – Recommendation, PDP – Published Date Price, CMP – Current Market Price
Request for information
YOUR LOGOPage � 10
Contact: Tushar Pendharkar+ 91 22 4100 [email protected]
Right Horizons Research#4B21 Highland Corporate CenterKapurbavdi Junction, Majhiwade, Thane (W) 400 607