role of the world economic forum°œ표자료_세계경제포럼_ppt_영문.pdf · eti framework...
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Role of the World Economic Forum
The World Economic Forum is the International
Organization for Public-Private Cooperation.
Our mission is to improve the state of the world.
Our purpose is to bring together stakeholders
from all sectors of society to shape the future.
Governments, businesses or civil society alone
cannot sustainably address the economic,
technological, environmental and social
challenges of an increasingly complex,
interdependent and fast-transforming world.
Instead, they need to work together via a trusted
global platform for informed collaboration and
cooperation.
Over the past 50 years, the World Economic
Forum has earned the trust to build and curate
impartial and independent platforms.
Shaping the Future of Energy and Materials: Portfolio of initiatives
• COVID-19 Platform for
Energy and Materials
• Systems of Cyber
Resilience*
• Financial Resilience: ESG*
• Human Capital Resilience:
Future of Work*
Country Transition and
Benchmarking
Innovation and Clean
EnergySystemic Efficiency 53 4
Approach
Foster effective energy
transition by increasing
the speed of adoption
and scale of effective
policies and corporate
decisions as well as
collaboration across the
energy ecosystem.
Approach
Enable collaborative
action to accelerate
innovation and
deployment of clean
energy solutions and
strategic insights on new
innovations frontiers.
Approach
The optimization of energy to
create a zero-carbon future.
Bringing together
stakeholders on maximizing
effectiveness and
efficiencies at the
intersection of energy,
industry, buildings, and
transport.
Materials Value and
Productivity2
Approach
Catalyze collective action to
increase the net social,
economic and environmental
value delivered by materials
through the creation of an
enabling environment for
their responsible, innovative
and productive use across
their entire lifecycle.
• Global Energy Transition
Index
• Country energy dialogue
series
• Thought leadership
• Mission Innovation
• New Carbon Economy*
• Alliance for Clean Air
• Clean Hydrogen
• Framework paper
• Policy and Ideas*
• Dialogue*
• Energy Technologies 2030
• Mining & Metals Blockchain*
• Collaborative Innovation for
Low-Carbon-Emitting
Technologies*
• Aluminium for Climate
initiative*
• Net-Zero Steel initiative*
Energy and Materials
Business Resilience1
Approach
Enable a rapid and
substantial sectoral response
to the COVID-19 virus and
increase structural resilience
of business, critical
infrastructure and systems.
Linked to our Platform
• Mission Possible Platform
• Global Battery Alliance
Climate change likely to have extreme impacts on the
world with interconnected and hard to predict effects
… requiring transformative action across different
sectors to limit the CO2 emissions
Bill
ions o
f Tonnes
of C
O2
-eq.)
Remaining
CO2 budget
for 2 degrees
Annual Emissions 2018: 38 GT
6
Source: IEA WEO 2018, various
France Suspends Fuel Tax Increase That
Spurred Violent Protests
December 4, 2018
Sharp Rise in Petrol Prices Sparks
Protests Across Iran
November 16, 2019
India Opposition Block Roads, Offices
Shut in Fuel Price Protests
September 10, 2018
Clashes Erupt in Ecuador Fuel Price
Protests
October 8, 2019
Haiti Suspends Fuel Price Hike After
Deadly Protests
July 8, 2018
Brazil Fuel Protests: Temer Cuts Diesel
Price in Bid to End Strike
May 28, 2018
Egypt Lowers Fuel Prices After Protests
October 4, 2019
Tunisia: Protests After Raising Fuel Prices
for Sixth Time
April 3, 2019
Violent Protests in Zimbabwe After Major
Hike in Petrol Prices
January 16, 2019
Planned Fuel Protests Could Disrupt SA’s
Election Next Week
April 30, 2019
Global Fossil Fuel Consumption Subsidies
Fossil fuel subsidies remain high, while affordability is an obstacle for reforms to
phase them out
Public backlash against fuel price rationalization and subsidy removal across countries
7
Carriers
Markets and
demand
sectors
“Physical”
Civil
society
Govern-
ment
“Social”
“Boundary
constraints”
Energy
sources
Industry
Economic Development and
Growth
Energy Access and
Security
Environmental
Sustainability
Narrative for Energy Transition
The objective of the
energy system is to
deliver across the three
corners of the energy
triangle, under
consideration of
country-specific
constraints
Energy system benchmarking at World Economic Forum
Launch of
Energy
Architecture
Performance
Index
Case studies
on challenges
for key
regions
Energy reforms
in major
energy
consuming
economies
Deep dive on
“Energy
Access and
Security”
Deep dive on
“Energy
Sector
Governance”
Revised
methodology
element,
launched
Energy
Transition Index
Regional
energy
transition
challenges
focus, coverage
on speed and
complexity
115 90% 93% 98%CountriesOf global
population
Of global
Total primary
energy supply
Of global
GDP (nominal)
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
ENERGY ARCHITECTURE PERFORMANCE INDEX ENERGY TRANSITION INDEX (ETI)
Imperatives for
Energy
Transition post
COVID-19
20202012
ETI Framework (1/2) – System Performance
Economic development
and growth
Security
and access
Environmental
sustainability
Energy
triangle
ETI Framework (2/2) – Transition Readiness
Infrastructure and
innovative
business
environment
Enabling
dimensions
Institutions
and governance
Regulation
and political
commitment
Capital
and investment
Human capital
and consumer
participation
Energy system
structure
Enabling business
environment
• Manageable risk
• Increased transparency
• Ease of doing business
Regulatory framework• Regulatory stability and
commitment
• Policy and regulatory support
Innovation and
infrastructure
• Trade logistics
• Transportation infrastructure
• Innovative Business Environment
Human capital and
consumer
participation
• Skilled workforce
• Quality of education
Energy System
Structure
• Economic structure
• Path dependency from legacy
infrastructure
Capital and
investment
• Access to capital
• Investment in energy efficiency
• Investment in renewables
Key leversReadiness Dimension
74.2%
73.4%
72.4%
72.2%
72.2%
70.5%
69.9%
68.7%
68.0%
67.3%
Sweden
Switzerland
Finland
Denmark
Norway
Austria
United Kingdom
France
Netherlands
Iceland
79.3%
77.0%
70.7%
68.9%
81.1%
70.2%
71.9%
73.9%
68.4%
74.0%
69.1%
69.8%
74.1%
75.6%
63.3%
70.8%
67.9%
63.5%
67.6%
60.7%
0.8%
1.6%
2.9%1.7%
2.0%
2.0%3.3%
1.8%
ET
I 2
01
5 A
ve
rage
Sco
reC
ha
nge
fro
m 2
01
5 -
20
20
78 32 80 22
20 47
5086
7
8
48
28
7074
67
26
36 56
106
• Strong political commitment: Rapid evolution in policy landscape, gradual implementation of
carbon pricing mechanisms
• Better access to capital: Emergence of new asset classes and financial instruments,
mainstreaming of ESG metrics
• Improving energy intensity through automation, digitalization, and energy efficient alternatives
• Pursing breakthrough innovative solutions for large scale impact (as opposed to incremental
progress)
• Decouple economic growth from energy consumption through diversification to high value add
and economically complex sectors
• Broaden scope of net zero targets to include small and medium sized organizations, in hard to
abate sectors, with less end-consumer facing business models
• Mobilize public engagement through access to easily relatable information on carbon
footprints
Gap between scores of net energy importing and exporting countries is
widening
82% of the countries improving on the ETI targeted energy subsidies
reduction
Household electricity tariffs are significant share of household final
consumption expenditure, especially in developed countries
Natural gas emerging as a key fuel in energy transition, methane
emissions are an emerging concern
Need for energy access 2.0: access to diverse forms of energy, for
household, community, and industrial applications
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
SWE
CHE
FIN
DNK
NOR
AUT
GBR
FRA
NLD
ISL
IRL
URY
KOR
•
•
•
•
•
Syste
m P
erf
orm
ance (
%)
Transition Readiness (%)
Potential Challenges Leading Countries
Emerging Countries Leapfrog Countries
Economic
Growth
Affordability
Investments
Renewable
energy
Emissions
Consumer
Aptitude
OPPORTUNITIES CHALLENGES
Economic stimulus measures with green strings
attached
Loss of jobs from production cuts and industrial
slowdown
Energy prices are low due to demand erosion Governments are increasing fuel taxes to
finance fiscal stimulus
Public investment in infrastructure development
to accelerate recovery
Low risk appetite and higher cost of capital in
private investments
Supply chain issues to affect renewable energy
projects, delays in constructionShare of renewable energy in electricity mix is
at an all time high in multiple countries
Unprecedented decline in emissions, air quality
at all time high in many cities
Few countries are relaxing emission control and
energy intensity targets
Less use of public transportation and ride
sharing to minimize risk of infectionIncrease in remote work arrangements, decline
in air travel
Appendix
Measuring output oriented observational
data or best available proxy
Output variables
Sourced from renowned institutions
Reliability
Maintain same data partners on regular
basis, for annual updates
Reusability
Adequate global and temporal coverage
Completeness
Represents best available measures,
given constraints
Quality
ETIscore
System Performance score
50%
Transition Readiness score
50%
Economic Development &
Growth
Environmental Sustainability
Security & AccessCapital &
investment
Regulation & Political
Commitment
Energy System Structure
Institutions & Governance
Infrastructure & Innovative Business
EnvironmentHuman Capital
Ind
ustry co
mp
etitiveness
Fossil fu
el sub
sidies
Affo
rdab
ility
Co
st of extern
alities
GD
P co
ntrib
utio
n
Air p
ollu
tion
Energy in
tensity
Carb
on
inten
sity
Carb
on
emissio
ns p
er capita
Energy access
Qu
ality of su
pp
ly
Secu
rity of su
pp
ly
Acce
ss to cap
ital
Recen
t investm
ent in
to EE
Re
cen
t inve
stmen
t into
RES
Ab
ility to in
vest
Co
mm
itmen
t to in
tl. agree
men
ts
Stable p
olicy
Re
gulatio
n to
sup
po
rt EE, RES,
Acce
ss
Transp
arency &
po
litical stab
ility
Ru
le of Law
Stable fin
ances
Trade lo
gistics
Transp
ortatio
n in
frastructu
re
Availab
ility of tech
no
logy*
Inn
ovative b
usin
ess en
viron
men
t
Job
s in ren
ewab
le energy
sector
Qu
ality of ed
ucatio
n
Energy d
eman
d gro
wth
Electricity energy m
ix
Fossil fu
el dep
end
ency
33% 33% 33% 17% 17% 17% 17% 17% 17%
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
25%
25%
25%
25%
33%
33%
33%
25%
25%
25%
25%
33%
33%
33%
33%
33%
33%
33%
33% 0
33%
50
%
50
%
33
%
33
%
33%