romanian agricultural sector overview bucharest, october 2015

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Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview Bucharest, October 2015

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Page 1: Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview Bucharest, October 2015

Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview

Bucharest, October 2015

Page 2: Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview Bucharest, October 2015

Hungary

Serbia

Bulgaria

Moldova

UkraineLocation: South-East of Europe

Area: 238.391 sq km

Language: Romanian

Currency: RON (Romanian Leu):

EX Rate:

1 EUR = = 4.5 RON;

Population: 20.02 million

Romania joined EU in January 2007 and NATO in 2004

General Information

Page 3: Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview Bucharest, October 2015

Political outlook

– The legislative body of Romania, elected by popular vote every four years, consists of two chambers:

• The Senate - with 176 members;• The Chamber of Deputies - with 410 members.

– The President is also elected through popular vote, every five years.– The President appoints the Prime Minister, who heads the

Government and appoints its members. – The judicial power belongs to The High Court of Justice and

Cassation.

Page 4: Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview Bucharest, October 2015

Nominal GDP (current prices): 151.3 billion EURGDP growth rate: 2% (1.3% in EU-28)GDP/capita (at PPP): 14 674 EUR (54% of the EU-28

average) Inflation rate (consumer prices): 1.5%Unemployment rate (year-end): 7% Share of agriculture in the Romanian economy:

-in GDP: 6.6% ( 1.7% in EU-28)

-in total employment: 32.6% (5.3% in EU-28)

Macroeconomics: key data(2014)

Page 5: Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview Bucharest, October 2015

• Rural population accounts for 45% of Romanian’s population (vs. an EU average of 26%).

• Population employed in agriculture accounts for 32% of total labor force (aprox. 6 times the EU-27 average).

• 14.3 million hectares agricultural land of which 8.3 million hectares arable land (cereals 63%, oilseeds 18%).

• Average yields with 3.0 to/ha in wheat and corn or 2-2.5 to/ha in sunflower are well below the EU average levels.

Romania’s Agriculture

Page 6: Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview Bucharest, October 2015

Output components: 2009-2013 average

In 2014, crop production (in value terms) accounted for 74%, while livestock production for 26% (crop prod. in Bulgaria 70%, in Hungary 63.5%, France 60%, Germany 50%)

Page 7: Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview Bucharest, October 2015

Evolution of agri-food trade

The trade deficit decreasing after 2008. High dependence on EU trading partners (the commautary preference principle): imports: from 38% in 2002 to 80% after 2011; exports: from 51% in 2002 to 60% in 2013 (with a peak of 72% in 2011).

Page 8: Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview Bucharest, October 2015

The same structure has been prevailing even after the EU integration in Romania’s agri trade flows:

• About 70% of the total export value are raw materials or primarily processed products (live animals, cereals, oilseeds, tobacco, fats and vegetable oils).

• The bulk of imports consists of meat, milk and cheeses, various preparations, vegetable protein (soybeans), animal feed, alcoholic drinks, coffee , sugar, cocoa, fruits and vegetables.

(high value final products make up for 52% of Hungary’s exports, respectively 82% of Poland’s ones)

Structure of ag trade by product category and by destination/origin

Page 9: Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview Bucharest, October 2015

Structure of ag trade by product category and by destination/origin

Page 10: Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview Bucharest, October 2015

• the Romanian agricultural sector is characterised by a strongly polarised farm structure and severe land fragmentation, with a few very large holdings and a large number of very small farms;

• the majority of small farms rely mainly on unpaid labor and they are poorly equipped with machinery, with very little produced to be sold on the markets

Romanian farm structure: subsistence vs. commercial farms

Page 11: Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview Bucharest, October 2015

Individual versus legal person agricultural holdings (2010 Ag Census data)

Number (thou)

UAA ( thou ha)

Average size (ha/farm)

Total farms of which:

3859 13306 3.45

1. Individual farms

3828 7450 1.95

2. Legal entities

31 5856 190.8

Page 12: Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview Bucharest, October 2015

Key–measures of land policy during transition

• Restitution of agricultural land – Law 18/1991: limitation to 10 ha per family– Law 1/2000 and Law 247/2005: full restitution

• Agricultural associations– Law 36/1991: private agricultural associations

• Legal circulation of land– Law 54/1998: limit of land owned by a family 200 ha; legal entities registered

in Romania can buy land – Law 247/2005 : pre-emption right eliminated; limit of property abolished

• Land lease– Law 16/1994: 5-year minimum land lease period – Amendments: no minimum period for land lease (1998); tenants may be

Romanian or foreign citizens (2005); tenant has the pre-emption right (2006)• State farms privatization

– Ordinance (1999) and Law 268/2001: establishment of the Agency of State Domains; concession of state land (for 49 years)

Page 13: Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview Bucharest, October 2015

Land market development before and after EU accession

Out-of-town land transactions in Romaniasource of data: 1999-2005 Ministry of Agriculture; 2009-2012 Cadastre Agency

Price of agricultural land

• Period 1998-2005 (official data from MARD)

– Average price of agricultural land

• 1999: 443 euro/ha• 2005: 884 euro/ha

• Period 2006-2013 (no official data)

– Average of minimum prices from real estate lawyers’ evaluation

• 2008: 1303 euro/ha• 2012: 1021 euro/ha

– Range of prices for large area transactions from real estate agencies

• Low prices in 2013:• 1500-1800 euro/ha• High prices in 2013:• 3800-4200 euro/ha

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006-8

2009 2010 2011 20120

50

100

150

200

250

300

31.921.8

28.7

159.8

86.4

108.5

63.9

206.1

166.4

212.4

245.6

thou

ha

Page 14: Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview Bucharest, October 2015

Farm concentration and land consolidation

Utilised agricultural area (ha) by legal status of holding and by agricultural size of farm in 2010

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

Less than 2

ha

From 2 to 4.9

ha

From 5 to 9.9

ha

From 10 to 19.9

ha

From 20 to 29.9

ha

From 30 to 49.9

ha

From 50 to 99.9

ha

100 ha or over

Legal person

Natural person

Number of holdings by legal status and by agricultural size of farm in 2010

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

Zero ha

Less than 2

ha

From 2 to 4.9

ha

From 5 to 9.9

ha

From 10 to 19.9 ha

From 20 to 29.9 ha

From 30 to 49.9 ha

From 50 to 99.9 ha

100 ha or over

Legal person

Natural person

Page 15: Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview Bucharest, October 2015

Polarized farm structure: “the missing middle”

• 94% of total ag holdings have < 2 ESU and operate 50% of country’s agricultural area (30% of ag area in Lithuania and Latvia, 20% in Poland, 9% in Bulgaria, 6% in Hungary, 3% in Slovakia).

• 4660 commercial farms of over 40 ESU, (13,5% of total ag holdings) farm 27% of the ag area (comparable to other Member States).

Page 16: Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview Bucharest, October 2015

Acquisition of agricultural land by foreigners

• Law on the legal circulation of the land (no. 54/1998)– Foreign citizens and foreign legal persons cannot acquire land in Romania– Romanian legal entity, yet with foreign capital, can buy agricultural land

• Law on acquiring the private land ownership right by the foreign citizens and by the foreign legal entities (no. 312/2005)

– The citizen or legal entity of a EU Member State can acquire the agricultural land after 7 years from the date of accession (January 1, 2014: end of transitional restriction)

– Restriction is not applied to the farmers who are self-employed and who establish their residence in Romania

• Law no.17/2014 regarding certain measures for the regulation of the sale-purchase of agricultural land areas located outside towns

– Introduction of the pre-emption right of co-owners, lessees, neighbour owners, as well as of the Romanian State, through the State Domain Agency

– The final notification necessary for signing the selling contract is issued by MARD

Page 17: Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview Bucharest, October 2015

Measures for farm structure adjustment

• Agricultural life annuity program (Law 247/2005)• Beneficiaries: the natural persons aged over 62 years who had agricultural

land up to 10 hectares into ownership• Get until the end of their lives an amount of money, if they sell or lease out

their agricultural land – 100 euro/ha/year, in the case of sale– 50 euro/ha/year, in the case of land lease

• Government’s Emergency Ordinance no. 43/2013 on certain measures for the development and support of family farms– Credit guarantee (50% of the value of the loan) for:

• Purchase from the owner of the leased agricultural land by the lessee, legal entity or natural person, up to a ceiling of maximum 1,000 ha under ownership

• Purchase of agricultural land areas by the natural persons or legal entities operating agricultural land, having in view the increase of the farmed area in order to establish/render profitable the family farms (2-50 ESU)

Page 18: Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview Bucharest, October 2015

Current issues in land policy

Government programs measures related to agricultural land

2009 2010 2012 2013 2014

Land consolidation

X X X X X

Diminishing the number of the farms

X X

Land transaction incentives

X X

Facilitation of cadastre development

X X

Proposed solutions:

• Cadastre project (ERDF)– The free tabulation of lands with

European funds (300 million euros) through the Regional Operational Program 2014 - 2020

• Sub measure 6.5 - transfer payment (EAFRD)

– Proposal for exit compensation payments (100 million euros) through Rural Development Program 2014-2020

Page 19: Romanian Agricultural Sector Overview Bucharest, October 2015

Land policy strategic directions for period 2020-2030

National Strategic Rural Framework (Presidential Commission for agriculture, 2013)

• Organizing a system of monitoring the prices of agricultural land transactions

• Subsidizing the cost of the first land registration records

• Establishment of a land management agency

Agri-Food Sector Strategy of MARD (World Bank advisory services, 2013-2014)

• Ensuring a smooth transfer of farm assets

• Expanding opportunities for in-coming farm managers

• Safeguarding viable and equitable solutions for exiting farmers