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1 Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon Kim Andrus, MD Executive Vice President Director, Vaccine Advocacy and Education Sabin Vaccine Institute

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Page 1: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon

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Perspectives on the evolution of

immunization policy in developing

countries

Melbourne, Australia, September 2016

Jon Kim Andrus, MD

Executive Vice President

Director, Vaccine Advocacy and Education

Sabin Vaccine Institute

Page 2: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon

Pro-Vac Workshop, September 2006

Page 3: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon

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Page 6: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon

Origins of Modern

Immunization

Smallpox Eradication Program

Showed we could reach everyone on earth

The greatest achievement in public health

The birth of the EPI in 1977

5% coverage in early 1970’s

The great achievements of Jenner, Pasteur, etc benefited those lucky enough to live in industrial countries

UIP targeted 80% coverage by 1990 with 6 EPI antigens

Polio Eradication Inititative

Country successes in the Latin America

Page 7: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon
Page 8: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon

Poliomyelitis, Cuba, 1946-1980

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

19621952 1972

Source: PAHO & MOH

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Poliomyelitis, Costa Rica,

1950-1980

0

50

100

150

200

250

Campaign OPV

Routine OPV

1952 19781965

Source: PAHO & MOH

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9 key areas of polio expertise

Policy & strategy development

Planning

Management & oversight

Implementation & service delivery

Monitoring & evaluation

Communications & community engagement

Disease surveillance and data analysis

Partnerships & coordination

Capacity building

Page 13: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon

Measles

13

Page 14: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon

Congenital Rubella Syndrome

Page 15: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon

Rubella Project for Multihandicapped; Bellevue Hospital – 1968

Courtesy Dr. L. Cooper

Autistic boy

Autistic

Deaf-blind, retarded

Spastic, deaf

High morbidity rationale for immunization interventions

Page 16: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon

Catch up campaign

* MMR in children 1 year of age by vaccine introduction

Follow-up campaigns

% V

ac

cin

atio

n c

ove

rag

eC

on

firm

ed

cases

Speed up campaigns

Source: Country reports to FGL-IM/PAHO

* Data as of February 25, 2013

Last endemic

measles caseLast endemic

rubella case

Measles Vaccination Coverage among Children <1 Year of Age* and

Reported Measles and Rubella Cases, the Americas 1980-2013*

Catch up

(<15years)

Follow-up

(1-4 years)

Speed-up

(adol/adult)

140 million 80 million 260 million

Page 17: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon

Number of childhood vaccines routinely

used industrialized countries and in

Latin America and the Caribbean, 1975-2010

5

7

9

11

13

15

17

19

1975 1980 1985 1990 1991-

1995

1996-

2000

2001-

2005

2006-

2010

Industrialized countries

Latin America and the Caribbean

Current GAP

HPV

Varicela

Hepatitis A

Meningococcal

Seasonal flu - 2006

Rotavirus - 2006

Pneumococcal- 2006

Measles, DPT

Poliomyelitis, BCG

Haemophilus Influenzae b

Rubella

Mumps

Hepatitis B**

Page 18: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon

Applying Success Factors to New ChallengesExample of HPV vaccine and cervical cancer

Source: IARC 2002 estimates

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0-14 15-44 45-54 55-64 65+

AGE GROUP [years]

AG

E S

PE

CIF

IC M

OR

TA

LIT

Y R

AT

ES

N. America

Cen. America

Caribbean

So. America

Cervical

Cancer Disease

Burden

• Taking advantage of new

technologies while

enhancing approaches to

screening to reduce

mortality of this disease of

poverty

• Reducing the developing

country uptake time lag >2

decades

• Expanding fiscal space

77,291 new cases each year

30,570 deaths each year

Page 19: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon

Considerations for new vaccine policymaking at country-level

Source: Andrus, JK., Toscano, CM., Lewis, M., Oliveira, L. , et al. 2007, “A model for enhancing evidence-based capacity to make informed policy decisions on the introduction of new vaccines in the Americas: PAHO’s ProVacInitiative”, Public Health Reports, 122(6): 811-816.

Technical

SocialOperational &Programmatic

EVIDENCEPACKAGE

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ProVac’s objectives• Strengthen infrastructure for decision-

making (National Immunization Technical Advisory Groups)

• Develop tools for economic analysis and provide training to national multidisciplinary teams

• Collect data, conduct analysis, and gather framework of evidence

• Advocate for evidence-based decisions

• Effectively plan for vaccine introduction when evidence supports it

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Countries have requested technical support from PAHO to help integrate

economic studies into the national decision-making process for

immunization - 2006 Directing Council resolution (CD47.R10)

NationalAdvisory

Committee

ProVac at PAHO (Washington DC)

ProVac Centersof Excellence

Ministry of Health

National level Regional level

ProVac National

Team

EPI ManagerSurveill.

Officers

Clinician

Health Economist

PAHO CountryOffice

Nat’l Consultant

ProVac’s technical cooperation

Page 22: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon

Considerations for new vaccine policymaking at country-level

Source: Andrus, JK., Toscano, CM., Lewis, M., Oliveira, L. , et al. 2007, “A model for enhancing evidence-based capacity to make informed policy decisions on the introduction of new vaccines in the Americas: PAHO’s ProVacInitiative”, Public Health Reports, 122(6): 811-816.

SocialOperational &Programmatic

EVIDENCEPACKAGE

Disease burdenVaccine characteristics• Immunogenicity• Efficacy/effectiveness• Duration of protection• Type-specific protection• DosageSafety and adverse events (harms)Cost-effectiveness

Technical

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Page 24: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon

Considerations for new vaccine policymaking at country-level

Source: Andrus, JK., Toscano, CM., Lewis, M., Oliveira, L. , et al. 2007, “A model for enhancing evidence-based capacity to make informed policy decisions on the introduction of new vaccines in the Americas: PAHO’s ProVacInitiative”, Public Health Reports, 122(6): 811-816.

SocialOperational &Programmatic

EVIDENCEPACKAGE

Vaccine supplyLogistics & operational issuesFinancing strategiesPartnerships

Technical

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Logistical Issues

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Page 27: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon

Considerations for new vaccine policymaking at country-level

Source: Andrus, JK., Toscano, CM., Lewis, M., Oliveira, L. , et al. 2007, “A model for enhancing evidence-based capacity to make informed policy decisions on the introduction of new vaccines in the Americas: PAHO’s ProVacInitiative”, Public Health Reports, 122(6): 811-816.

Technical

SocialOperational &Programmatic

EVIDENCEPACKAGE

AcceptabilityPerception of risk

Political willEquity

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Perception of Risk

Page 29: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon

MoH-led CEA/impact

(ProVac)

(PCV in Argentina)

Agency-led

CEA/impact

(Hib vaccine in India)

– TRIVAC model used

– Outside agency

presented to NITAG

– Outside agency led

publication of results

– No MoH training

– GAVI finance

available but

significant delays in

adoption

29

CEA/impact not

considered

(political decision)

Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3

– TRIVAC model used

– MoH presented to

NITAG

– MoH-led publication of

results

– MoH trained and led

subsequent CEA of

RV/HPV

– PCV quickly

financed/adopted

Slide courtesy of Andrew Clark, ProVac Modeller

Page 30: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon

LEGISLATIVE IMPACTS:

30

Since 2014, the SIF Program has helped guide three

countries to enact legislation guaranteeing public

immunization financing.

Nigeria | December 2014

Law established Public Health Fund. Nigeria is working to create external public-private partnership Immunization Financing Trust Fund to complement it.

Uganda | December 2015

Law creates an earmarked immunization fund, and the country is now working on regulations for the law’s full implementation.

Nepal | January 2016

Law includes provisions for an immunization trust fund; both this and a public-private immunization fund are under development.

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Conclusion: Vaccine policy has

evolved from a globally driven top

down process, to a regional

process, to what is now a much

more country driven and country

owned process with substantial

gains in country ownership and

sustainability

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Disease anywhere is disease everywhere

Page 36: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon

Declaration of

Mexico City on the

prevention of

rotavirus

July 9, 2004

“Urge PAHO and the Revolving Fund to acquire

Rotavirus vaccines by working with other organizations

like GAVI and the manufacturers and to assist their

introduction when available at prices accessible to countries

in the region”

Page 37: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon

“The Americas could

be the first region of

the world to prevent

Rotavirus diarrhea

through the use

of vaccines !”

Page 38: Sabin Vaccine Institute - Perspectives on the evolution of ...Perspectives on the evolution of immunization policy in developing countries Melbourne, Australia, September 2016 Jon

Urged Member States to:

Expand legal and fiscal space

and identify new revenue

sources to sustainably finance

the introduction of new vaccines

against rotavirus,

pneumococcus, and

human papillomavirus;

Support the mortality reduction

targets, consistent with GIVS and

the MDGs, for HPV, RV, influenza,

and pneumo associated disease;

Utilize the PAHO Revolving Fund

for Vaccine procurement to

purchase new and underutilized

vaccines

47th Directing Council,

September 2006