safe harbour statement - unilever global harbour statement ... securities and exchange commission,...
TRANSCRIPT
Lehman Back to School Conference3 September 2008
Jim LawrenceChief Financial Officer
Safe Harbour Statement
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements, including 'forward-looking statements' within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as 'expects', 'anticipates', 'intends' or the negative of these terms and other similar expressions of future performance or results, including financial objectives to 2010, and
their negatives are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based upon current expectations and assumptions regarding anticipated
developments and other factors affecting the Group. They are not historical facts, nor are they guarantees of future performance. Because these forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, there are important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from
those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements, including, among others, competitive pricing and activities, consumption levels, costs, the ability to maintain and manage key customer relationships and supply chain sources, currency values, interest rates, the ability to integrate acquisitions and complete planned divestitures, physical risks, environmental risks,
the ability to manage regulatory, tax and legal matters and resolve pending matters within current estimates, legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments, political, economic and social
conditions in the geographic markets where the Group operates and new or changed priorities of the Boards. Further details of potential risks and uncertainties affecting the Group are described
in the Group's filings with the London Stock Exchange, Euronext Amsterdam and the US Securities and Exchange Commission, including the Annual Report & Accounts on Form 20-F.
These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation
Agenda
• Our Mission and Strategic Priorities
• First Half Business Performance
• The Journey to a New Unilever
• Developing & Emerging Markets
To make cleanliness commonplace, to lessen the work for women; to foster health and contribute to personal attractiveness that life may be more enjoyable and rewarding for the people who use our products.
William Hesketh Lever, 1890
In the days before mission statements William Hesketh Lever had a vision…..
120 years later our purpose is remarkably unchanged
Unilever’s mission is to add Vitality to life. We meet everyday needs
of nutrition, hygiene and personal care with brands that
help people feel good, look good and get more out of life.
And Our Mission Guides our Strategic Priorities
VitalityDeveloping & Emerging Markets
(D&E)
Personal Care
Developing & Emerging Markets
• 50% of the business by 2010
• Rooted in local communities
• Outstanding category leadership positions
• Highly profitable and fast growing
Personal Care
• World No. 1 positions in deodorants and mass skin
• World No. 2 position in daily hair care
• 5 ‘billion dollar’ brands – Rexona, Axe, Sunsilk, Lux, Dove
• High margin categories
People will use more…..
…..more people will use
Vitality
• Vitality underpins everything that we do….
• Healthy eating
• Beauty
• Cleanliness
• Environmentally friendly
Agenda
• Our Mission and Strategic Priorities
• First Half Business Performance
• The Journey to a New Unilever
• Developing & Emerging Markets
Key Financials
€0.79
0.9%
16.0%
€19.9bn
H1 2008
+6%Earnings per share
+7.0%Underlying sales growth(6.2)Exchange rates(0.9)Acquisition / Disposal
+40bpsUnderlying margin change+190bpsIncluding RDI*
+230bpsOperating Margin
(0.5)%Turnover
Change
* Restructuring, Disposals and one-off Items
0%1%2%3%4%5%6%7%8%
Q2 2
005
Q3 2
005
Q4 2
005*
Q1 2
006
Q2 2
006
Q3 2
006
Q4 2
006
Q1 2
007
Q2 2
007
Q3 2
007
Q4 2
007
Q1 2
008
Q2 2
008
Increasing Organic Growth
* days adjusted
Underlying sales growth
Annualised growth rate
Strong Contribution from Price
0.8%Volume
6.1%Price
7.0%
H1
Underlying sales growth
(40)bps(40)bps
Includes:
Systems changes
Lower ice-cream volumes
Spreads in Western Europe
America
USG
USG
• €2bn turnover, 15% of Unilever in Western Europe
• Very profitable
• Unilever market share > 50%
• Edible oil costs nearly doubled over 18 months
• Prices increases > 10%, volume -5%
Spreads in EuropeValue added innovation and campaigns
America
USG
USG
Family Goodness - Rama
Fat Reduction &
Improved Nutrition
Communicate health benefits
#1 product to reduce cholesterol
Goodness of Margarine Campaign
Becel/Flora pro.activ
Desirability vs Perceived PriceExample: Spreads in Netherlands
Des
irabi
lity
Inde
x
Equ
ity
Perceived PricePerceived Relative Price Index
Poor valueMore vulnerable/Less likely to grow
80 90 100 110 120
90
100
110
120
Becel
Becel pro activ
Bertolli
Blue band
Good valueMore resilient/
More likely to grow
UnileverOther local/brandedPrivate Label
Growth vs Market
10%
Growthvs Market
MarketGrowth**
Unilever Growth*
** Source: Nielsen, IRI* H1 USG, adjusted for systems pull-forward
14%D&E
3%2%W Europe
3%4%US
Increased Investment in Advertising
• Advertising up 5%
• Share of voice at least maintained
• Promotional spending held constantas price increases taken
• A&P as % of sales lower because of effect of price increases on the ratio
*Constant currency
€bn at constant exchange rates
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
+€100m, +5%
Advertising Promotions
H1 2008
+190 bps0.9%(1.0)%Including RDIs*
+40 bpsA&PSavingsCost/price/mix
Key drivers:
+40 bpsUnderlying change
+230 bps
(230) bps
+230 bps16.0%13.7%Operating margin
ChangeH1 2008H1 2007
* Restructuring, disposals and one-off items
H1 Operating Margin Development
H1 Drivers of Operating Profit*
Price
A&PSavings Programme
Volume/ Mix
Commodity costs
Other Costs
UnderlyingProfit
Increase
€bn
*Excluding RDIs, constant currency, before acq/disp
H1 Drivers of EPS Growth
* Restructuring, disposals and one-off items
Key drivers (%):
Underlying sales growth 7Underlying margin growth 3
RDIs* 8 Currency (6)Tax rate (6)Share buy-back 2Other (minorities etc) (2)TOTAL 6
2008 Change2007
EPS (€) 0.75 0.79 6%
Includes RDI’s*, after tax 0.01 0.07
Returning Cash to Shareholders
• Strong track record of cash generation
• Increase in working capital in H1 2008 – expected to improve in H2
• Dividend payout ratio > 50% since 2000
• Share buy-back of at least €1.5bn in 2008 - €1.5bn completed to date
0
0,5
1
1,5
2
2,5
3
3,5
4
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 20070
5
10
15
20
25
30
Cas
h to
sha
reho
lder
s (€
bn)
Net D
ebt (€bn)
Dividends One-off dividend Share buy back Net debt
Agenda
• Our Mission and Strategic Priorities
• First Half Business Performance
• The Journey to a New Unilever
• Developing & Emerging Markets
The Journey to a New Unilever
• Raising the bar on innovation
• Shaping the portfolio
• A leaner and more profitable business
• One year ago we announced our accelerated change programme
Raising the Bar on Innovation
• One global category leader
• New chief R&D officer on executive team
• Bigger, faster innovation
• Average project value increased 5x
• c. 30% of turnover from last 2 years innovation
• c. 40% developed collaboratively with external partners
Lipton Green Tea
Lipton’s unique combination of health
benefitswith antioxidants to fight
free radicals
Pond’s Age Miracle
Skin that looks and feels younger
A revolutionary range of anti-ageing products designed specifically for the needs of Asian skin
Axe Chocolate
As Irresistible As Chocolate
Rolled out across Europe, Asia and Latin America
Now shipping in the US
Already No.1 Axe variant in key markets
Rexona in China
Don’t let body odour ruin the good impression you make. Always start your day with
Rexona!
Brilliant Advertising
The Journey to a New Unilever
• Raising the bar on innovation
• Shaping the portfolio
• A leaner and more profitable business
Shaping the Portfolio Progress to Date
Italy
Acquisitions Indonesia
Fruit Drinks
Russia
Ice Cream
Cote d’Ivoire
Soaps
• Disposals at average 1.8x Sales Multiple
Global
RTD Tea
Global
Disposals completed/announced
BrazilSpreads
USSeasonings
TurkeyOlive Oil
FranceCheese
Olive & Seed Oil Olive Oil North America
LaundryPalm OilCote d’Ivoire
Total Turnover €1.5bn
JV Extended
The Journey to a New Unilever
• Raising the bar on innovation
• Shaping the portfolio
• A leaner and more profitable business
A Global Management Team
Group Chief Executive
PresidentAsia Africa &
CE Europe
PresidentFoods, Home
& Personal Care
President Americas
CHRO CFO
Non-Executive Chairman
M. Polk H. Manwani V. Banga S. Ogg J. Lawrence
P. Cescau M. Treschow
President Western Europe
D. Baillie
Chief R&DOfficer
G. Berger
Blend of experience:
• Geographic background
• 4 internal, 5 external
Streamlined Management
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2005 2007VP and above
Management headcount reduced by 40%
Transformation Progress
Largelycompleted29From 100 units
to 20-25 MCOsMulti-country organisations
40%€1.2 bn€3 bnRestructuring costs
30%€0.45 bn€1.5 bnSavings (reduction in annual cost base)
30%6,00020,000Headcount reduction
> 20%14Completed
> 80%51Announced
50 - 60Factory closures / streamlining
% to dateActualto datePlan
Agenda
• Our Mission and Strategic Priorities
• First Half Business Performance
• The Journey to a New Unilever
• Developing & Emerging Markets
The Consumer Pyramid…Rapidly evolving into a diamond
Have lots
Haves
Not yets
2008 2018 Change
+ 0.4
+ 0.6
- 0.4
3.2
2.2
0.9
Source: Unilever estimates
2.6
2.6
0.5
Billions of people
Annual per capita consumption (US$)
Source: Euromonitor 2007
Detergents Shampoo
Opportunities to Increase Per Capita Consumption
1.5 2.5 1.9
13.1
22.3
India China Indonesia Brazil US
0.31.3 1.3
7.76.7
India China Indonesia Brazil US
Sustained growth in D&E
Since 1990…• Underlying sales growth 9% pa on average• Volume growth 5% pa on average• Volume and value growth in every year
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Volume growth Price growth
H1
*1990-2002 LATAM and Asia all D&E countries. From 2003, D&E, all countries excl NA, WE, Japan and Australia.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
India China Indonesia SouthAfrica
Turkey Brazil Mexico Russia
Volume Price
D&E: Continued strong momentum
Total D&E H1
5%
9%
14%
Volume
Price
USG %
Products at Different Income Levels
LOW
HIGH
INDIA BRAZIL
Income Levels
+27%
+21%
+26%
+10%
flat
+13%
Our laundry brands cater to various income levels
Developed D&E D&E excl.Russia & China
Unileveraverage
D&E Growth is Profitable
2007 Operating margin before RDIs*
* Restructuring, disposals and one-off items
Conclusion
• First half performance on track
• Continued strong growth in D&E countries
• Determined pricing action to recover cost increases
• Transformation programme delivering benefits
• On course to deliver outlook
Outlook
2008 to mark a further step towards our 2010 goals
• 2010 goals– Operating margin > 15%– Consistent, competitive growth at 3-5% p.a.
• 2008 Outlook– Underlying sales growth expected to exceed 3-5% range– Underlying improvement in operating margin
Further information and contact details
The IR team can be contacted by telephone as follows:
+ 44 (0) 20 7822 6830
Or by e-mail at:[email protected]
The shareholder centre at www.unilever.com gives information on how to purchase Unilever stock.
More information on Unilever is available at www.unilever.com