schuetz proadm review cclm 2015
TRANSCRIPT
Clin Chem Lab Med 2015; 53(4): 521–539
Review
Philipp Schuetz*, Robert J. Marlowe and Beat Mueller
The prognostic blood biomarker proadrenomedullin for outcome prediction in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD): a qualitative clinical reviewDOI 10.1515/cclm-2014-0748Received July 20, 2014; accepted August 24, 2014; previously published online September 25, 2014
Abstract: Plasma proadrenomedullin (ProADM) is a blood biomarker that may aid in multidimensional risk assess-ment of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary dis-ease (COPD). Co-secreted 1:1 with adrenomedullin (ADM), ProADM is a less biologically active, more chemically stable surrogate for this pluripotent regulatory peptide, which due to biological and ex vivo physical character-istics is difficult to reliably directly quantify. Upregulated by hypoxia, inflammatory cytokines, bacterial products, and shear stress and expressed widely in pulmonary cells and ubiquitously throughout the body, ADM exerts or mediates vasodilatory, natriuretic, diuretic, antioxidative, anti-inflammatory, antimicrobial, and metabolic effects. Observational data from four separate studies totaling 1366 patients suggest that as a single factor, ProADM is a significant independent, and accurate, long-term all-cause mortality predictor in COPD. This body of work also suggests that combined with different groups of demo-graphic/clinical variables, ProADM provides significant incremental long-term mortality prediction power rela-tive to the groups of variables alone. Additionally, the lit-erature contains indications that ProADM may be a global cardiopulmonary stress marker, potentially supplying
prognostic information when cardiopulmonary exercise testing results such as 6-min walk distance are unavailable due to time or other resource constraints or to a patient’s advanced disease. Prospective, randomized, controlled interventional studies are needed to demonstrate whether ProADM use in risk-based guidance of site-of-care, moni-toring, and treatment decisions improves clinical, quality-of-life, or pharmacoeconomic outcomes in patients with COPD.
Keywords: 6-min walk test (6MWT); cardiopulmonary exercise testing; chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); risk stratification; mortality prediction; proadre-nomedullin (ProADM).
IntroductionIn patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), as in other medical settings, risk stratification helps caregivers to more appropriately direct diagnostic, monitoring, or therapeutic interventions. More person-alized, better-targeted health-care resource application offers opportunities to improve safety, efficacy, and cost-effectiveness of care, as well as quality of life of patients and their loved ones.
COPD’s complexity and heterogeneity have led the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) [1] and other groups, e.g., [2–5], to move beyond strictly spirometry-based prognostication to multidimen-sional risk assessment of patients with this condition. Considerable interest has arisen in using blood biomark-ers within this framework [6–9].
One such analyte that may have a role in COPD multidimensional risk assessment is plasma proadre-nomedullin (ProADM), a surrogate for the pluripotent reg-ulatory peptide adrenomedullin (ADM) [10]. There exists
*Corresponding author: Prof. Dr. med. Philipp Schuetz, MD, MPH, University Department of Medicine, Kantonsspital Aarau, Tellstr., 5001 Aarau, Switzerland, Phone: +41 62 838 4141, Fax: +41 62 838 4100, E-mail: [email protected]; and Division of General Internal and Emergency Medicine, Medical University Department, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, SwitzerlandBeat Mueller: Division of General Internal and Emergency Medicine, Medical University Department, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, SwitzerlandRobert J. Marlowe: Spencer-Fontayne Corporation, Jersey City, NJ, USA
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522 Schuetz et al.: ProADM in COPD
a substantial observational literature regarding ProADM use as an all-cause mortality predictor in patients with sepsis [11–19], in patients with a variety of underlying dis-eases presenting to the emergency department (ED) with acute dyspnea [20–26], and especially in patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) [13, 27–38].
Additionally, recent observational studies demon-strated that in patients during or just recovering from COPD exacerbation [39–41] or in patients with stable COPD [40, 42], ProADM is a powerful independent prog-nosticator of long-term non-survival [39–42]. Some of this work also shows that when combined with demographic and clinical variables, ProADM provides significant incremental mortality prediction accuracy [41, 42]. Addi-tional data [43–45] suggest that ProADM may be a global cardiopulmonary stress marker [45]. As such, this blood biomarker may supply prognostic information when cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) results such as 6-min walk distance (6MWD) are unavailable. Indeed, ProADM may even serve as a simpler, less “invasive” substitute for the 6-min walk test (6MWT) or other CPET in settings where time or other resource constraints or a patient’s advanced disease render such examinations infeasible, albeit this hypothesis awaits confirmation by prospective, randomized, controlled interventional studies.
Aims of the review and methodologyThe present review’s goal is to provide clinicians with an overview of ProADM in risk stratification of COPD patients. We begin by briefly describing ADM and explain-ing why ProADM serves as a surrogate for this regulatory peptide. Next, we summarize observational data regard-ing ProADM in risk stratification of COPD and other pulmonary diseases/disorders and the analyte’s rela-tionship with cardiopulmonary stress, exercise capacity, and physical activity. We conclude by outlining clinical considerations and future research directions regard-ing ProADM in patients with COPD. Literature discussed in this article was partly identified through a system-atic literature search of English-language publications indexed in PubMed through 12 May 2014 under the terms “adrenomedullin” or “proadrenomedullin” or “ProADM” together with each of the terms “lung”, “pulmonary”, “chronic obstructive pulmonary disease”, “COPD”, “exacerbation”, “dyspnea”, “emphysema”, “bronchitis”, “asthma”, “pneumonia”, “cardiac”, “cardiovascular”, or
“exercise”. Notwithstanding this formal methodology, the present paper is a qualitative rather than a systematic review.
ADM and ProADMFirst isolated in the early 1990s [46], ADM is a 52-amino acid ringed peptide with C-terminal amidation belonging to the calcitonin superfamily [47, 48]. ADM is ubiquitously expressed in pulmonary, cardiovascular, renal, gastroin-testinal, and endocrine tissue and by endothelial cells, vascular smooth muscle cells, cardiomyocytes, fibro-blasts, leukocytes, and placental trophoblast cells, among others [49–52]. In pulmonary tissue, ADM expression has been found in endothelial cells including type II pneumo-cytes, chondrocytes, smooth muscle cells, the columnar epithelium, alveolar macrophages, monocytes, T cells, and neurons of the pulmonary parasympathetic nervous system, as well as small-cell and non-small-cell neoplasia [42, 53].
ADM’s widespread expression throughout the body reflects this molecule’s great variety of biological activi-ties: the peptide seems to act as both a hormone and a cytokine and thus can be seen as a “hormokine”. It acts systemically and in autocrine and paracrine fashion [54, 55], exerting or mediating vasodilatory, natriuretic, diu-retic, antioxidative, anti-inflammatory, antimicrobial, and metabolic effects [42, 50, 56–58]. Upregulated by hypoxia, inflammatory cytokines, bacterial products, and shear stress, ADM has in preclinical and animal models been shown to reduce hypoxic pulmonary vascular structural remodeling and fibrosis and to inhibit bronchoconstric-tion; the molecule also has been shown to stabilize barrier function in the lungs by downregulating pro-inflammatory factors and reactive oxidative species [42, 50, 51, 59–62]. Circulating ADM elevation, e.g., in end-stage pulmonary disease [63], is believed to reflect “high demand” for these compensatory/counter-regulatory effects [28, 42].
Based on the hormone’s biological importance and effects, the utility of measuring ADM in blood seems evident; however, abundant binding to peripheral and local receptors, a short half-life, and ex vivo physical char-acteristics including instability and “stickiness” make cir-culating ADM difficult to reliably directly quantify [10, 64].
ADM, however, is only one of five peptides contained on the ADM precursor molecule (Figure 1). During ADM’s processing into mature hormone, it and an adjoining peptide, mid-regional proadrenomedullin (MR-ProADM; referred to here and elsewhere as ProADM), are cleaved
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Schuetz et al.: ProADM in COPD 523
off of the precursor in a 1:1 ratio. This stoichiometric secre-tion, the peptide’s apparently minimal if any biological activity, and hence binding, and considerable chemical stability render ProADM an easily and robustly quantifi-able surrogate biomarker for ADM [10, 65].
ProADM in risk assessment of patients with COPDClinical research regarding plasma ProADM in patients with COPD, and particularly, regarding ProADM in risk assessment of such patients, was initially inspired by a study [63] showing significantly elevated ADM concentra-tions in patients with end-stage pulmonary diseases and a trend toward this finding in the COPD subgroup, rela-tive to controls [39]. As of May, 2014, observational data regarding ProADM in COPD have been published by four groups [39–42] (Table 1). Two of these teams, Stolz et al. at University Hospital Basel and Zuur-Telgen et al. at Medisch Spectrum Twente, Enschede, The Netherlands, reported single-center data; the other two, the Predicting Outcome Using Systemic Markers in Severe Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Study (PROM-ISE-COPD) investigators and the ProHOSP investigators, reported multicenter data. The PROMISE-COPD data derived from 11 centers in 8 European countries, and the ProHOSP data, from 6 Swiss centers. The University Hos-pital Basel and Enschede study samples were relatively small (n = 167 and n = 181, respectively); the multicenter samples were substantially larger, 549 (PROMISE-COPD) and 469 (ProHOSP). All cohorts comprised predominantly, or exclusively, patients with moderate to severe COPD. However, unlike the other samples, the ProHOSP patients with COPD lacked dedicated spirometric confirmation of this diagnosis because their baseline data derived from a secondary analysis of an antibiotic stewardship trial in patients with a mixed group of lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs) [41]. In all four of these studies, the
1Signal 21 45 92 95 146 Adrenotensin 185PAMP ADM
MR-proADM
Figure 1 Schematic representation of the ADM precursor molecule.The diagram illustrates that the precursor is occupied by five pep-tides including MR-ProADM, more commonly referred to as ProADM. When the molecule is processed, ProADM and ADM are co-secreted in a 1:1 ratio. The black numerals refer to the amino acids on the pre-cursor molecule. PAMP, proadrenomedullin N-terminal 20 peptide.
analyses evaluated the risk prediction power of single ProADM measurements in samples obtained when patients were in one or more of stable [40, 42], (severely) exacerbated [39, 40], or “recovery” states [39, 41]. In two of the studies [39, 41], ProADM was measured using a manual luminoimmunoassay [10], while in the other two studies [40, 42], the analyte was quantitated with an auto-mated homogeneous sandwich fluoroimmunoassay [70]. Because these two assays were shown to have a Spear-man correlation coefficient of r = 0.97, their results may be viewed as interchangeable [70].
Studies focusing on ProADM in COPD risk stratifica-tion have had very consistent results and, collectively, have had the following main findings (summarized in Supplemental Data, Panel 1). First, even in the stable state, COPD patients almost always have ProADM concen-trations elevated above healthy adult reference values. In the Basel study [39], ProADM levels exceeded a mean ref-erence value [10] in 98% of patients (163/167) at admission for COPD exacerbation resulting in median [interquartile range (IQR) 25th–75th percentile] hospitalization of 9 [1–15] days. The corresponding figures were 90% [140/156] at “recovery” 14–18 days post-admission and 79% [114/144] at “stable state” 6 months post-admission. The Enschede investigators reported that during the stable state, defined as freedom from COPD exacerbation, antibiotics, or pred-nisolone over the prior > 4 weeks, 99% of patients had elevation compared with healthy individuals [40].
Second, as suggested by the three serial measure-ments in the Basel investigation [39], ProADM values appear to be repeatable. That study’s median [IQR] “recovery” and “stable state” values, respectively, 0.72 [0.55–0.98] and 0.66 [0.49–0.95] nmol/L, did not differ (p = 0.350) [39]. Additionally, the Enschede investigators found exacerbated- and stable-state ProADM to be signifi-cantly correlated (r = 0.73, p < 0.001), another sign of inter-nal consistency among values of this biomarker. Further, measurements obtained within the exacerbated, recovery, or stable states seem to be comparable across studies and assays (Table 2).
Third, ProADM values are significantly higher in the exacerbated state vs. the stable state of COPD. For example, in the Basel study [39], median [IQR] ProADM concentration at admission, 0.84 [0.59–1.22] nmol/L, sig-nificantly exceeded that at “recovery” or “stable state” (p = 0.002).
Fourth, ProADM appears not to be associated with underlying COPD severity. In the Basel study [39], no cor-relation was seen between GOLD grade and ProADM con-centration at admission for severe exacerbation (r = –0.066, p = 0.406); indeed, GOLD grade IV patients had the lowest
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524 Schuetz et al.: ProADM in COPD
Tabl
e 1
Sum
mar
y of
sel
ecte
d lit
erat
ure
rele
vant
to P
roAD
M in
risk
stra
tific
atio
n of
pat
ient
s w
ith C
OPD.
Firs
t aut
hor,
year
Re
fere
nce
St
udy
type
(nam
e or
acr
onym
)
Patie
nts
Se
ttin
g
Key
findi
ngs
ADM
in e
nd-s
tage
COP
D an
d ot
her p
ulm
onar
y di
seas
es
Vizz
a, 2
005
[6
3]
Sing
le-c
ente
r, pr
ospe
ctiv
e,
obse
rvat
iona
l cas
e-co
ntro
l st
udy
56
pat
ient
s w
ith e
nd-s
tage
lung
dis
ease
ev
alua
ted
for l
ung
trans
plan
tatio
n, 1
1 (2
0%) w
ith C
OPD;
9 co
ntro
ls w
ith h
isto
ry o
f ex
cisi
on o
f one
ben
ign
lung
nod
ule
Ita
lian
acad
emic
ce
nter
–
Veno
us a
nd p
ulm
onar
y ar
teria
l pla
sma
ADM
co
ncen
tratio
n w
as h
ighe
r in
COPD
pat
ient
s vs
. con
trols
, tre
ndin
g to
war
d st
atis
tical
si
gnifi
canc
ePr
oADM
in ri
sk s
tratif
icat
ion,
focu
sing
on
patie
nts
with
COP
D
Stol
z, 2
008
[3
9]
Sing
le-c
ente
r, pr
ospe
ctiv
e ob
serv
atio
nal c
ohor
t stu
dy
(sub
stud
y of
an
antib
iotic
st
ewar
dshi
p tri
al [6
6])
16
7 pa
tient
s ho
spta
lized
for s
ever
e AE
COPD
Sw
iss
acad
emic
ce
nter
–
ProA
DM (d
urin
g AE
COPD
, at r
ecov
ery
or s
tabl
e st
ate
not r
epor
ted)
was
the
only
inde
pend
ent
2-ye
ar a
ll-ca
use
mor
talit
y pr
edic
tor (
HR 2
.368
, 95
% C
I 1.1
67–4
.803
, p = 0
.017
) in
mul
tivar
iate
an
alys
is in
clud
ing
11 o
ther
dem
ogra
phic
, cl
inic
al, s
piro
met
ric, a
nd la
bora
tory
var
iabl
es
– M
edia
n Pr
oADM
was
sig
nific
antly
hig
her
(p = 0
.002
) dur
ing
AECO
PD th
an a
fter r
ecov
ery
or in
sta
ble
stat
e, b
ut th
e re
cove
ry a
nd s
tabl
e st
ate
mea
sure
men
ts w
ere
sim
ilar (
p = 0.
350)
Zu
ur-T
elge
n,
2013
[4
0]
Sing
le-c
ente
r, pr
ospe
ctiv
e ob
serv
atio
nal c
ohor
t stu
dy
(COM
IC s
ubst
udy)
18
1 w
ith p
aire
d m
easu
rem
ents
dur
ing
exac
erba
ted
and
stab
le s
tate
s
Dutc
h ac
adem
ic
cent
er
– As
sin
gle
fact
or, P
roAD
M in
sta
ble
stat
e w
as
mod
erat
ely
pred
ictiv
e (c
sta
tistic
0.7
6) o
f al
l-cau
se m
orta
lity
with
a 2
9-m
onth
med
ian
follo
w-u
p
– Pr
oADM
was
sig
nific
antly
hig
her i
n no
n-su
rviv
ors
than
in s
urvi
vors
in b
oth
exac
erba
ted-
and
sta
ble-
stat
e m
easu
rem
ents
(p
< 0.0
01 fo
r eac
h co
mpa
rison
)
Stol
z, 2
014
[4
2]
Mul
ticen
ter,
mul
tinat
iona
l, pr
ospe
ctiv
e, o
bser
vatio
nal
coho
rt st
udy
(PRO
MIS
E-CO
PD)
54
9 pa
tient
s w
ith a
vaila
ble
biom
arke
r and
BO
DE d
ata
in s
tabl
e st
ate
11
hos
pita
l pn
eum
olog
y de
partm
ents
in
8 E
urop
ean
coun
tries
–
Addi
ng P
roAD
M to
BOD
E pr
ovid
ed s
igni
fican
t in
crem
enta
l pre
dict
ive
accu
racy
com
pare
d w
ith u
sing
BOD
E al
one
for b
oth
1- a
nd 2
-yea
r al
l-cau
se m
orta
lity:
resp
ectiv
e c s
tatis
tics
0.81
8 vs
. 0.7
45, 0
.750
vs.
0.6
79, b
oth
p < 0.
001
–
In m
ultiv
aria
te a
naly
sis
also
incl
udin
g th
e fo
ur
BODE
com
pone
nts,
Pro
ADM
inde
pend
ently
pr
edic
ted
2-ye
ar a
ll-ca
use
mor
talit
y: H
R 1.
77,
95%
CI 1
.30–
2.42
, lik
elih
ood
ratio
χ2 1
3.0,
p <
0.00
1
Grol
imun
d,
2014
[4
1]
Mul
ticen
ter,
pros
pect
ive
obse
rvat
iona
l coh
ort s
tudy
/se
cond
ary
char
t ana
lysi
s (P
roHO
SP [6
7] s
ubgr
oup
with
CO
PD a
s co
mor
bidi
ty)
46
9 pa
tient
s at
dis
char
ge fr
om
hosp
italiz
atio
n fo
r pne
umon
ic o
r sev
ere
non-
pneu
mon
ic A
ECOP
D
6
Swis
s ho
spita
ls
– In
mul
tivar
iate
ana
lysi
s, co
mpa
red
with
six
de
mog
raph
ic/c
linic
al v
aria
bles
alo
ne, a
ddin
g Pr
oADM
pro
vide
d si
gnifi
cant
incr
emen
tal
pred
ictiv
e ac
cura
cy fo
r 1-,
3-, a
nd 5
- to
7-ye
ar
all-c
ause
mor
talit
y: re
spec
tive
AUC
0.75
9 vs
. 0.
715,
p = 0
.045
, 0.7
07 v
s. 0
.674
, p = 0
.037
, 0.
742
vs. 0
.725
, p = 0
.049
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Schuetz et al.: ProADM in COPD 525
Firs
t aut
hor,
year
Re
fere
nce
St
udy
type
(nam
e or
acr
onym
)
Patie
nts
Se
ttin
g
Key
findi
ngs
ProA
DM in
risk
stra
tific
atio
n in
oth
er p
ulm
onar
y co
nditi
ons,
incl
udin
g su
bsta
ntia
l pro
port
ions
of p
atie
nts
with
COP
D
Mai
sel,
2011
[2
3]
Mul
ticen
ter,
mul
tinat
iona
l, pr
ospe
ctiv
e, o
bser
vatio
nal
coho
rt st
udy
(BAC
H)
16
41 p
atie
nts
pres
entin
g to
ED
with
ac
ute
dysp
nea,
∼29
.5%
with
COP
D as
co
mor
bidi
ty
15
cent
ers
in
6 Eu
rope
an
coun
tries
, USA
, an
d Ne
w Z
eala
nd
–
ProA
DM w
as s
igni
fican
tly s
uper
ior t
o ca
rdia
c tro
poni
n or
BNP
in p
redi
ctin
g 90
-day
all-
caus
e m
orta
lity,
resp
ectiv
e c i
ndic
es: 0
.755
vs.
0.
655
vs. 0
.691
, p < 0
.000
1
Chris
t-Cra
in,
2006
[2
7]
Sing
le-c
ente
r, pr
ospe
ctiv
e,
obse
rvat
iona
l coh
ort s
tudy
30
2 pa
tient
s ad
mitt
ed to
ED
with
CAP
, 25
.2%
with
COP
D as
com
orbi
dity
Sw
iss
acad
emic
ce
nter
–
In th
is fi
rst p
ublis
hed
stud
y in
CAP
, Pro
ADM
as
sin
gle
fact
or a
ccur
atel
y pr
edic
ted
appr
oxim
atel
y 6-
wee
k al
l-cau
se m
orta
lity:
AUC
0.
76 (9
5% C
I 0.7
1–0.
81)
Be
llo, 2
012
[3
3]
Sing
le-c
ente
r, pr
ospe
ctiv
e,
obse
rvat
iona
l stu
dy
228
patie
nts
with
CAP
, 31.
6% w
ith C
OPD
as
com
orbi
dity
Sp
anis
h ac
adem
ic ce
nter
–
In m
ultiv
aria
te a
naly
sis,
Pro
ADM
was
a s
trong
, si
gnifi
cant
pre
dict
or o
f 30-
, 90-
, and
180
-day
an
d 1-
year
all-
caus
e m
orta
lity:
resp
ectiv
e AU
C 0.
859,
0.8
25, 0
.792
, 0.8
03, a
ll p <
0.00
01
– M
edia
n Pr
oADM
conc
entra
tion
did
not d
iffer
am
ong
patie
nts
with
bac
teria
l, vi
ral/
atyp
ical
, or
mix
ed C
AP e
tiolo
gy: 0
.909
vs.
0.8
75 v
s.
0.94
9 nm
ol/L
, all
com
paris
ons
p > 0.
05Pr
oADM
as
a ca
rdio
pulm
onar
y st
ress
mar
ker
St
olz,
201
4
[42]
M
ultic
ente
r, m
ultin
atio
nal,
pros
pect
ive,
obs
erva
tiona
l co
hort
stud
y (P
ROM
ISE-
COPD
)
54
9 pa
tient
s w
ith a
vaila
ble
biom
arke
r and
BO
DE d
ata
in s
tabl
e st
ate
11
hos
pita
l pn
eum
olog
y de
partm
ents
in
8 E
urop
ean
coun
tries
–
Sugg
estin
g th
at P
roAD
M co
uld
subs
titut
e fo
r the
6M
WT
if ne
eded
, Pro
ADM
plu
s “B
OD”
was
mor
e pr
edic
tive
of 1
- or 2
-yea
r all-
caus
e m
orta
lity
than
was
the
orig
inal
BOD
E,
incl
udin
g 6M
WD:
resp
ectiv
e c s
tatis
tics:
0.8
15
vs. 0
.759
, 0.7
64 v
s. 0
.711
Je
hn, 2
013
[4
3]
Mul
ticen
ter,
mul
tinat
iona
l, pr
ospe
ctiv
e, o
bser
vatio
nal
coho
rt st
udy
(PRO
MIS
E-CO
PD
subs
tudy
)
10
5 pa
tient
s w
ith s
tabl
e CO
PD
Swis
s ac
adem
ic
cent
er
– In
sep
arat
e st
epw
ise
mul
tivar
iate
regr
essi
on
anal
yses
, eac
h in
clud
ing
one
acce
lom
etry
va
riabl
e pl
us p
atie
nt a
ge, a
ge-a
djus
ted
Char
lson
com
orbi
dity
sco
re, m
MRC
dys
pnea
sc
ore,
and
St.
Geor
ge’s
Res
pira
tory
Qu
estio
nnai
re s
core
, acc
elom
etric
ally
de
term
ined
tota
l wal
king
min
utes
/day
or s
teps
w
alke
d/da
y w
ere
sole
fact
ors
inde
pend
ently
as
soci
ated
with
Pro
ADM
conc
entra
tion:
re
gres
sion
coef
ficie
nts
–0.0
004
(95%
CI
–0.0
007
to –
0.00
02) a
nd –
0.00
04 (9
5% C
I –0
.000
6 to
–0.
0001
), bo
th p
< 0.0
001
St
olz,
201
4
[44]
M
ultic
ente
r, m
ultin
atio
nal,
pros
pect
ive,
obs
erva
tiona
l co
hort
stud
y (P
ROM
ISE-
COPD
)
54
9 pa
tient
s w
ith a
vaila
ble
biom
arke
r and
BO
DE d
ata
in s
tabl
e st
ate
11
hos
pita
l pn
eum
olog
y de
partm
ents
in
8 E
urop
ean
coun
tries
–
Mul
tivar
iabl
e lin
ear l
ogis
tic re
gres
sion
an
alys
is o
f 123
3 6M
WTs
per
form
ed o
ver
2 ye
ars
by 5
74 P
ROM
ISE-
COPD
par
ticip
ants
w
ith s
tabl
e CO
PD, f
ound
Pro
ADM
in
depe
nden
tly p
redi
cted
exe
rtio
nal
(Tab
le 1
Cont
inue
d)
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526 Schuetz et al.: ProADM in COPD
Firs
t aut
hor,
year
Re
fere
nce
St
udy
type
(nam
e or
acr
onym
)
Patie
nts
Se
ttin
g
Key
findi
ngs
h
ypox
emia
, def
ined
as
nadi
r arte
rial o
xyge
n sa
tura
tion
< 88%
on
cont
inuo
us tr
ansc
utan
eous
pu
lse
oxim
etry
: HR
6.85
(95%
CI 2
.91–
16.0
8)
per l
ogar
ithm
ic ch
ange
, p < 0
.001
–
This
ass
ocia
tion
pers
iste
d ev
en a
fter i
nclu
sion
in
to m
ultiv
aria
te m
odel
ing
of th
e an
nual
CO
PD e
xace
rbat
ion
rate
plu
s the
age
-adj
uste
d Ch
arls
on co
mor
bidi
ty sc
ore,
or o
f any
or a
ll of
co
nges
tive
hear
t fai
lure
, cor
onar
y arte
ry d
isea
se,
or h
isto
ry o
f acu
te m
yoca
rdia
l inf
arct
ion
Zu
rek,
201
4
[45]
Si
ngle
-cen
ter p
rosp
ectiv
e ob
serv
atio
nal s
tudy
16
2 co
nsec
utiv
e el
igib
le p
atie
nts
with
m
ixed
card
iac o
r pul
mon
ary
cond
ition
s un
derg
oing
CPE
T to
ass
ess
subj
ectiv
e ch
roni
c exe
rcis
e in
tole
ranc
e, a
ppro
xim
atel
y 24
% w
ith C
OPD
as co
mor
bidi
ty
Sw
iss
acad
emic
ce
nter
–
Pre-
exer
cise
Pro
ADM
was
sig
nific
antly
as
soci
ated
with
impa
ired
peak
oxy
gen
cons
umpt
ion
( < 14
mL/
min
/kg)
– in
clud
ing
afte
r mul
tivar
iabl
e ad
just
men
t for
fact
ors
incl
udin
g ag
e, B
MI,
and
FEV 1
–
ProA
DM w
as co
nsis
tent
ly s
igni
fican
tly
asso
ciat
ed w
ith o
ther
var
iabl
es re
flect
ing
impa
ired
card
iac o
utpu
t res
erve
, ven
tilat
ory
effic
ienc
y, a
nd d
iffus
ion
capa
city
Aven
ues
for f
utur
e re
sear
ch o
n Pr
oADM
in C
OPD
M
aise
l, 20
11
[23]
M
ultic
ente
r, m
ultin
atio
nal,
pros
pect
ive,
obs
erva
tiona
l co
hort
stud
y (B
ACH)
16
41 p
atie
nts
pres
entin
g to
ED
with
acu
te
dysp
nea,
app
roxi
mat
ely
29.5
% w
ith C
OPD
as co
mor
bidi
ty
15
cent
ers
in
6 Eu
rope
an
coun
tries
, USA
, an
d Ne
w Z
eala
nd
–
In th
e su
bgro
up w
ith P
roAD
M m
easu
rem
ents
at
adm
issi
on a
nd d
isch
arge
(n = 9
64),
Kapl
an-
Mei
er a
naly
sis
of 9
0-da
y su
rviv
al s
how
ed th
at
com
bine
d “l
ow”
or “
high
” Pr
oADM
(cut
off
1.98
5 nm
ol/L
) at a
dmis
sion
and
dis
char
ge
esse
ntia
lly d
elin
eate
d th
ree
dist
inct
sur
viva
l cu
rves
, sug
gest
ing
addi
tiona
l inf
orm
ativ
enes
s fo
r ser
ial v
s. s
ingl
e Pr
oADM
mea
sure
men
ts
Hartm
ann,
20
12
[34]
Se
cond
ary
anal
ysis
of a
Pr
oHOS
P su
bstu
dy [3
0, 6
7]
1303
pat
ient
s w
ith a
cute
LRT
I (∼3
9%
with
COP
D as
com
orbi
dity
) with
ava
ilabl
e ba
selin
e Pr
oADM
val
ues
6
Swis
s ho
spita
ls
– In
nes
ted
time-
depe
nden
t Cox
regr
essi
on
anal
ysis
, whe
n co
mbi
ned
with
bas
elin
e Pr
oADM
val
ues,
eac
h of
inpa
tient
day
3,
5, o
r 7 m
easu
rem
ents
alo
ne, o
r the
thre
e m
easu
rem
ents
toge
ther
, add
ed s
igni
fican
t pr
edic
tive
valu
e: re
spec
tive
adde
d lik
elih
ood
ratio
χ2 : 1
4.3,
14.
8, 1
5.3,
17.
2, p
≤ 0.
0006
Al
bric
h, 2
013
[6
8]
Pros
pect
ive,
rand
omiz
ed,
cont
rolle
d in
terv
entio
nal t
rial
31
3 pa
tient
s w
ith m
ixed
LRT
I, ap
prox
imat
ely
14%
with
AEC
OPD
3
Swis
s ce
nter
s
– Ov
eral
l and
in te
sted
sub
grou
ps, s
ite-o
f-tre
atm
ent a
ssig
nmen
t gui
ded
by d
ynam
ic
inte
rpro
fess
iona
l ris
k as
sess
men
t inc
ludi
ng
ProA
DM d
ata
cons
iste
ntly
redu
ced
hosp
ital
leng
th-o
f-sta
y rel
ativ
e to
the
sam
e as
sess
men
t w
ithou
t Pro
ADM
dat
a
(Tab
le 1
Cont
inue
d)
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Schuetz et al.: ProADM in COPD 527
Firs
t aut
hor,
year
Re
fere
nce
St
udy
type
(nam
e or
acr
onym
)
Patie
nts
Se
ttin
g
Key
findi
ngs
–
How
ever
, diff
eren
ces
did
not a
ttain
si
gnifi
canc
e
Möc
kel,
2013
[6
9]
Suba
naly
sis
of m
ultic
ente
r, m
ultin
atio
nal,
pros
pect
ive,
ob
serv
atio
nal c
ohor
t stu
dy
(BAC
H), c
ompa
ring
actu
al
site
-of-c
are
assi
gnm
ent w
ith a
hy
poth
etic
al a
ssig
nmen
t bas
ed
sole
ly o
n Pr
oADM
cuto
ffs
83
1 US
pat
ient
s an
d 72
6 Eu
rope
an p
atie
nts
pres
entin
g to
ED
with
acu
te d
yspn
ea,
appr
oxim
atel
y 11
% d
ue to
COP
D
8
US ce
nter
s,
6 Eu
rope
an
cent
ers
–
Usin
g Pr
oADM
cuto
ffs w
ould
hav
e in
crea
sed
num
ber o
f dis
char
ged
patie
nts
by 1
6.7%
in
the
US (3
84 v
s. 3
29) a
nd 1
5.9%
in E
urop
e (2
19 v
s. 1
89)
– Ov
eral
l, th
e th
eore
tical
NRI
was
12.
0% (9
5%
CI 5
.7%
–18.
4%) f
or th
e US
and
16%
(95%
CI
8.2%
–23.
9%) f
or E
urop
e
–
9.7%
(81/
831)
of U
S pa
tient
s an
d 9.
9%
(72/
726)
of E
urop
ean
patie
nts
wou
ld h
ave
chan
ged
site
of c
are
6MW
D, 6
-min
wal
k di
stan
ce; 6
MW
T, 6
-min
wal
k te
st; A
ECOP
D, a
cute
exa
cerb
atio
ns o
f chr
onic
obs
truct
ive
pulm
onar
y di
seas
e; A
UC, a
rea
unde
r the
rece
iver
ope
ratin
g ch
arac
teris
tics
curv
e;
BACH
, Bio
mar
kers
in A
cute
Hea
rt Fa
ilure
Stu
dy; B
NP, B
-type
nat
riure
tic p
eptid
e; B
OD, b
ody
mas
s in
dex,
obs
truct
ion,
dys
pnea
, ris
k pr
edic
tion
scor
e; B
ODE,
bod
y m
ass
inde
x, o
bstru
ctio
n,
dysp
nea,
exe
rcis
e ris
k pr
edic
tion
scor
e; C
AP, c
omm
unity
-acq
uire
d pn
eum
onia
; CI,
conf
iden
ce in
terv
al; C
OMIC
, Coh
ort o
f Mor
talit
y an
d In
flam
mat
ion
in C
OPD;
COP
D, ch
roni
c obs
truct
ive
pulm
o-na
ry d
isea
se; C
PET,
card
iopu
lmon
ary
exer
cise
test
ing;
ED,
em
erge
ncy
depa
rtmen
t; FE
V 1, fix
ed e
xpira
tory
vol
ume
in 1
s; G
OLD,
Glo
bal I
nitia
tive
for O
bstru
ctiv
e Lu
ng D
isea
se; H
R, h
azar
d ra
tio;
LRTI
, low
er re
spira
tory
trac
t inf
ectio
n; m
MRC
, mod
ified
Med
ical
Res
earc
h Co
unci
l (dy
spne
a qu
estio
nnai
re);
ProA
DM, p
road
reno
med
ullin
; PRO
MIS
E-CO
PD, P
redi
ctin
g Ou
tcom
e Us
ing
Syst
emic
M
arke
rs in
Sev
ere
Exac
erba
tions
of C
hron
ic O
bstru
ctiv
e Pu
lmon
ary
Dise
ase
Stud
y.
(Tab
le 1
Cont
inue
d)
median ProADM levels (Table 2). This observation aligned with findings in another study [72] that in 85 patients with lung diseases (46% of whom had COPD), ProADM values did not differ between patients with FEV1 /forced vital capac-ity < 0.7 vs. ≥ 0.7: median [IQR] concentration 0.62 [0.46–0.78] nmol/L (n = 40) vs. 0.54 [0.47–0.75] nmol/L (n = 45), p = 0.38.
Also in the Basel study [39], ProADM values did not dis-tinguish among Anthonisen exacerbation types (Table 2).
Fifth, ProADM levels are significantly higher in non-survivors than in survivors (Table 2). This finding pertained to all-cause death, the mortality end point in all published studies, and was consistent across follow-up periods, including the hospital stay [39], 1 year [42], 2 years [39, 42], respective medians of 29 and 35 months post-stable-state measurement and post-exacerbated-state measurement [40], and 5–7 years [41].
Sixth, as a single factor, ProADM is a statistically signif-icant, independent, and accurate long-term all-cause mor-tality predictor in patients with COPD. In the Basel study [73], multivariate Cox regression showed ProADM above the study exacerbated-state median, 0.84 nmol/L, to be the only independent 2-year mortality predictor, with a 2.368 (1.167–4.803) hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval, CI), p = 0.017. None of the other 11 clinical, spirometric, or laboratory variables considered in the multivariate model was independently predictive; these variables included
– Two of four components of the body mass, airflow obstruction, dyspnea, and exercise capacity index (BODE) [2], a frequently used multidimensional assessment tool: body mass index (BMI) and fixed expiratory volume in 1-s percentage of the predicted value (FEV1% predicted)
– Four other blood biomarkers: white blood cell count (WBC), C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), and pro-endothelin 1 (ProET-1)
– Age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity score [74] – Age – Partial pressure of oxygen in arterial blood (PaO2) or
partial pressure of carbon dioxide in arterial blood – Presence of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH)
(n = 123)
Additionally, the Enschede investigators found that after adjustment for age, sex, BMI, and GOLD grade, stable-state ProADM elevated above their 0.71-nmol/L study median remained associated with long-term mortality: corrected HR (95% CI) 2.98 (1.51–5.90).
Further, in PROMISE-COPD, multivariate Cox regres-sion modeling involving ProADM together with the four BODE components, BMI, FEV1% predicted, modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) dyspnea score, and
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528 Schuetz et al.: ProADM in COPD
Table 2 ProADM in risk stratification of COPD patients: key values.
Group/subgroup Values, nmol/L
Healthy adult volunteers Manual luminoimmunoassay [10] (n = 264; n = 117 men and 147 women) Mean ± SD 0.33 ± 0.07a
Minimum–maximum 0.10–0.64a
99th percentile 0.52a
Automated homogeneous sandwich fluoroimmunoassay [70] (n = 144) Mean ± SD 0.37 ± 0.09b
Minimum–maximum 0.10–0.72b
99th percentile 0.60b
Community-based sample of adults [71] (n = 2532; men and 2448 women) Median [IQR] 0.44 [0.38–0.52]a
Subgroup without apparent cardiovascular disease or risk factors, 50th–99th percentile
Men (n = 374) 0.41–0.67a
Women (n = 557) 0.41–0.68a
GOLD stage (during severe exacerbation), median [IQR] (Basel study) [39] I 0.76 [0.55–0.98]a
II 0.97 [0.65–1.22]a
III 0.85 [0.59–1.33]a
IV 0.74 [0.51–1.14]a
COPD patients with severe exacerbation Basel study [39], median [IQR] (n = 167) 0.84 [0.59–1.22]a
Enschede [40], median (n = 181) 0.79b,c
ProHOSP [41], median [IQR] Overall (n = 469) 1.09 [0.74–1.58]a
Pneumonic exacerbation (n = 252) 1.27 [0.86–2.06]a
Non-pneumonic exacerbation (n = 217) 0.90 [0.65–1.31]a
Potocki study [20], patients presenting with acute dyspnea due to severe COPD exacerbation (n = 57), median [IQR]
0.8 [0.6–1.1]a
COPD patients after recovery from exacerbation, median [IQR] Basel study (n = 156) 0.72 [0.55–0.98]a
COPD patients in stable state Basel study [39], median [IQR] (n = 144) 0.66 [0.49–0.95]a
Enschede study [40], median (n = 181) 0.71b,c
PROMISE-COPD [42], median [IQR] (n = 549) 0.60 [0.48–0.79]b
Patients with FEV1/FVC < 0.7 Maeder et al. [72], median [IQR] 0.62 [0.46–0.78]a
Non-survivors vs. survivors In-hospital, median [IQR] Basel study [39] (n = 5 vs. n = 162) 1.07 [0.95–2.80] vs. 0.82 [0.58–1.22], p = 0.049a
2 Years, median [IQR] Severely exacerbated (Basel study) [39] (n = 37 vs. n = 130) 1.14 [0.80–1.56] vs. 0.76 [0.55–1.05], p < 0.0001a
Stable state (PROMISE-COPD) [42] (n = 43 vs. n = 506) 0.78 [0.51–1.20] vs. 0.59 [0.48–0.78], p = 0.006b
2–3 Years,c mean ± SD [40] (n = 78 vs. n = 103) Stable state 0.94 ± 0.41 vs. 0.72 ± 0.25, p < 0.001b
Severely exacerbated 1.08 ± 0.50 vs. 0.78 ± 0.27, p < 0.001b
5–7 Years, median [IQR] [41] (n = 213 vs. n = 256) Initial 1.25 [0.85–1.87] vs. 0.92 [0.68–1.34], p < 0.001a
Discharge 0.97 [0.71–1.34] vs. 0.71 [0.59–0.93], p < 0.001a
Suggested cutoffs “CURB65-A” [32] Intermediate-risk vs. low-risk category ≥ 0.75a
High-risk vs. intermediate-risk category ≥ 1.5a
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Schuetz et al.: ProADM in COPD 529
Group/subgroup Values, nmol/L
“High ProADM” Patients with mixed LRTI including COPD (n = 1303) [34] ≥ 1.5a
Patients with acute dyspnea due to COPD or other causes (n = 981) [23] ≥ 1.985b
COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CURB65-A, new-onset confusion, urea > 7 mmol/L, respiratory rate ≥ 30 breaths per minute, systolic or diastolic blood pressure < 90 or ≤ 60 mmHg, respectively, age ≥ 65 years (pneumonia/LRTI risk scoring system), ProADM value; FEV1, fixed expiratory volume in 1 s; FVC, forced vital capacity; IQR, interquartile range (25th–75th percentiles); ProADM, proadrenomedul-lin; PROMISE-COPD, Predicting Outcome Using Systemic Markers in Severe Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Study; SD, standard deviation. aMeasured using a manual luminoimmunoassay. bMeasured using an automated homogeneous sandwich fluoroim-munoassay, which had a Spearman correlation coefficient of r = 0.97 with the manual luminoassay [70]. cIn the Enschede study [40], median follow-up was 29 months post-stable-state measurement and 35 months post-exacerbated-state measurement, respectively. dValues at discharge from index hospitalization.
(Table 2 Continued)
6MWD, showed ProADM to be one of three significant independent 2-year all-cause mortality predictors: HR (95% CI) per one-quartile concentration change 1.77 (1.30–2.42), p < 0.001; the other two independent predictors were BMI and 6MWD. Based on the likelihood ratio χ2 (13.0 vs. 8.5 and 7.5, respectively), ProADM was the strongest of these three prognostic factors.
Studies of potential adverse outcome predictors typically measure predictive accuracy using one or more among a number of variables. These variables, described in Appendix 1, include sensitivity, specificity, positive
predictive value, negative predictive value, area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC of the ROC curve), or its equivalent, the c index or c statistic, or net reclassification improvement (NRI) or the integrated dis-crimination improvement index (IDI) [75]. Findings for ProADM as a single factor to foretell non-survival are sum-marized in Table 3; observational data thus far suggest that this blood biomarker alone has moderate mortality prediction accuracy, even beyond a half decade of follow-up. Unsurprisingly, ProADM mortality prediction accu-racy tends to decrease as follow-up time increases.
Table 3 ProADM as a single variable in long-term all-cause mortality prediction in patients with COPD.
Study
Follow-up period
1 Year 2 Years 2–3 Yearsa 5–7 Years
Enschede [40] (n = 181) Death rate, % Stable 10.0 22.7 43.1 AECOPD 6.5 19.8 Survivors/non-survivors Stable-state measurement 18/180 40/176 78/181 AECOPD measurement 11/170 32/162 AUC (95% CI) or c statistic, mortality prediction Stable-state measurement 0.83 (0.74–0.92) 0.76 AECOPD measurement 0.78 (0.66–0.91) 0.74 PROMISE-COPD [42] (n = 549) Death rate, % 4.7 7.8 Non-survivors/survivors 26/549 43/549 c statistic (stable-state measurement) 0.691 0.635 ProHOSP (n = 469) [41] Death rate, % 16% 35% 55% AUC (95% CI) value at recovery from AECOPD 0.709 (0.644–0.775) 0.663 (0.611–0.716) 0.685 (0.637–0.733)
Please refer to Appendix 1 for explanation of AUC and c statistic. AECOPD, acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CI, confidence interval; ProADM, proadrenomedullin; PROMISE-COPD, Predicting Outcome Using Systemic Markers in Severe Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Study. aMedian follow-up in the Enschede study was 35 months after the AECOPD measurement and 29 months after the stable-state measurement.
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Seventh, combined with different groups of demo-graphic/clinical variables, ProADM provides significant incremental mortality prediction power (Table 4). In PROMISE-COPD, combining stable-state ProADM con-centration with BODE significantly improved predictive power for 1- or 2-year all-cause mortality compared with using BODE alone [42]. In the ProHOSP study’s COPD sub-group, adding ProADM levels at discharge after severe exacerbation to a demographic/clinical model provided significant incremental predictive power for 1-, 3-, and 5- to 7-year all-cause mortality [41]. The model included age, smoking status, BMI, New York Heart Association (NYHA) dyspnea class, presence/absence of important comorbidi-ties such as chronic renal failure, cancer, coronary artery disease, diabetes mellitus, or chronic heart failure, and exacerbation type (pneumonic vs. non-pneumonic).
Eighth, there are suggestions that ProADM may have a role in predicting adverse outcomes besides death in COPD patients. In the Basel study [39], ProADM levels sig-nificantly correlated with hospital length of stay (r = 0.274, p < 0.0001) (n = 167) and trended toward correlation with intensive care unit (ICU) length of stay (r = 0.151, p = 0.051) (n = 16). Additionally, median [IQR] ProADM levels were higher in patients needing vs. not needing ICU admission, a difference approaching significance: 1.23 [0.61–2.14] vs. 0.83 [0.59–1.14] nmol/L, p = 0.057.
Lastly, and unsurprisingly, based on literature regard-ing ADM or ProADM in cardiovascular and malignant disease [48, 76–80], ProADM levels appear to be associ-ated with certain comorbidities in COPD patients. In the Basel study [39], median values were significantly higher in patients with vs. without cancer: 1.225 [0.718–1.770] nmol/L (n = 24) vs. 0.810 [0.571–1.100] nmol/L (n = 143), p = 0.008. Median values also were significantly elevated in those with PAH vs. with normal pulmonary pressures: 1.06 [0.76–1.63] nmol/L (n = 28) vs. 0.82 [0.61–1.23] nmol/L (n = 95), p = 0.031. ProADM concentrations correlated sig-nificantly with left ventricular ejection fraction (r = –0.222, p = 0.014), but did not differentiate between the subgroups below vs. at or above a cutoff of < 40% for this variable. The Enschede investigators reported correlation between ProADM levels and heart failure or myocardial infarction in their COPD patients [40].
ProADM in the risk assessment of patients with other pulmonary diseases/disordersAs noted earlier, there also exists a substantial observa-tional literature regarding ProADM use as an all-cause
Table 4 ProADM adds significant incremental prognostic power to demographic/clinical variables in long-term all-cause mortality predic-tion in COPD patients.
Predictive factorStudy name
c statistic or AUC (95% CI) by follow-up
1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 6 Years
PROMISE-COPD [42] ProADM alonea 0.691 0.635 BODE alone 0.745 0.679 ProADM+BODE 0.818 0.750 p, ProADM+BODE vs. BODE alone < 0.001 < 0.001 NRI (95% CI), ProADM+BODE vs. BODE
alone, p 25.1% (2.0%–
48.2%), 0.003 12.3% (–4.1%–
28.8%), 0.14
ProHOSP [41] ProADM aloneb 0.709 (0.644–0.775) 0.663 (0.611–0.716) 0.685 (0.637–0.733) Demographic/clinical modelc 0.731 (0.676–0.786) 0.673 (0.623–0.722) 0.727 (0.681–0.772) ProADM+demographic/clinical modelc 0.771 (0.715–0.827) 0.709 (0.660–0.758) 0.745 (0.701–0.789) p, ProADM+demographic/clinical
modelc vs. modelc alone 0.032 0.022 0.043
p-Values in boldface are statistically significant at p < 0.05. Please refer to Appendix 1 for explanation of c statistic, AUC, and NRI. AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristics curve; BODE, body mass, airflow obstruction, dyspnea, and exercise capacity index; CI, con-fidence interval; NRI, net reclassification improvement; NYHA, New York Heart Association; ProADM, proadrenomedullin; PROMISE-COPD, Predicting Outcome Using Systemic Markers in Severe Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Study. aProADM measured in COPD stable state. bProADM measured at discharge from hospitalization for severe (pneumonic or non-pneumonic) COPD exacerbation. cDemographic/clinical model included age, smoking status, BMI ( ≤ 21 vs. > 21 kg/m2), NYHA dyspnea class (I vs. II vs. III vs. IV), presence or absence of individual comorbidities (chronic renal failure, neoplastic disease, coronary artery disease, diabetes mellitus, or chronic heart failure), and exacerbation type (pneumonic vs. non-pneumonic).
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mortality predictor in patients with a variety of underly-ing diseases presenting to the ED with acute dyspnea [20–26] and, especially, in patients with CAP [13, 27–38]; key studies are summarized in Table 1. Many of the dyspnea and CAP studies [20–23, 25–27, 29–31] had cohorts com-prising > 25% of patients with COPD as a cormorbidity. Collectively, the published studies in these settings have had more ethnically and, particularly, geographically diverse samples than did the published ProADM studies focusing on COPD; whereas the latter have taken place overwhelmingly in Caucasian patients and exclusively in Europe, the dyspnea and CAP investigation has in aggre-gate included more non-white individuals, and in some cases, occurred partly or entirely in North America [21, 23, 24, 28], Asia [25], or Oceania [21, 23]. Vital status follow-up durations in these studies ranged from the hospital stay to 4 years. As with the COPD-focused studies, the CAP- and dyspnea-focused body of work has, albeit with limited exceptions [22, 36], shown ProADM to be a strong, independent mortality predictor in multivariate analysis. Where combining ProADM with clinical/demographic/other laboratory variables has been studied in dyspnea or CAP [23, 24, 32, 35], the biomarker has provided sig-nificant incremental prognostic power. Most published ProADM studies in dyspnea or CAP evaluated predic-tive accuracy of single measurements of this analyte; however, the two published studies to address the issue [23, 34] suggested that serial ProADM measurement may add predictive information.
ProADM and cardiopulmonary reserve/exercise capacity/physical activityThree papers from PROMISE-COPD [42–44] and one from a single-center study at University Hospital Basel [45] (summarized in Tables 1 and 5) collectively show strong links between ProADM and cardiopulmonary reserve/exercise capacity/physical activity in patients with COPD. This work also suggests that this analyte may be a global cardiopulmonary stress marker that is able to supplement or even substitute for CPET in assessing this health dimen-sion. In the COPD setting, replacing the 6MWT with a simple and almost universally applicable blood test could have two main benefits. First, doing so could increase the availability of exercise capacity-related data, which is hampered by both resource constraints and patient limi-tations. The resource constraints, particularly relevant to primary care, stem from the relatively complex, time-consuming nature of, e.g., the 6MWT, as well as that test’s requirements for a 30-m track, an examiner certified in cardiopulmonary resuscitation with at least one American Health Association-approved course in basic life support, and supplies and facilities for rapid medical emergency response [42, 81]. The patient limitations, which affect an appreciable portion of the population with more advanced COPD, include frailty, peripheral arterial disease, or mus-culoskeletal or neuromuscular impairments. Notably,
Table 5 ProADM as a global cardiopulmonary stress marker in 162 patients with pulmonary or cardiac conditions including COPD (n = 39, 24.1%) undergoing CPET [45]: correlation of resting ProADM concentration with key CPET variables.
Variable Description of variable Pearson correlation coefficient
p-Value
Peak oxygen consumption –0.57 < 0.001Peak oxygen pulse Absolute oxygen consumption/heart rate at peak exercise, a
composite measure of stroke volume and peripheral oxygen extraction that provides information on cardiac and muscular function
–0.20 0.01
Percent predicted heart rate –0.32 < 0.001Minute ventilation/carbon dioxide production at peak exercise
Measure of ventilatory efficiency indicating disease severity in patients with both pulmonary and cardiac disease
0.36 < 0.001
Breathing reserve Estimated maximum voluntary ventilation minus minute ventilation at peak exercise: a measure of ventilatory capacity; lower values indicate more severe ventilatory limitation
–0.17 0.04
Physiological dead space/tidal volume at peak exercise
Marker of dead space ventilation and thus ventilatory inefficiency; higher values are more abnormal
0.35 < 0.001
Alveolo-arterial oxygen gradient at peak exercise Measure of diffusion capacity based on blood gas results 0.24 0.003
Patients underwent symptom-limited upright cycle exercise tests using ramp protocols with continuous monitoring of the electrocardio-gram and non-invasive blood pressure measurement every second minute. Peak exercise was defined as peak ventilation-to-carbon dioxide production ratio.
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even though these latter impairments were among the PROMISE-COPD exclusion criteria, 8% (51/638) of that study’s sample had unavailable 6MWD. Interestingly, absence of 6MWD data was associated with a statistically significant almost tripling of the 2-year death rate relative to that of patients with such data (n = 549): 21.6% vs. 7.8%, p = 0.003 [42].
A second potential benefit of replacing the 6MWT with a blood biomarker test might be cost savings: the cost of the former was estimated to approach 40 euros in Switzerland, whereas the cost of a ProADM measurement was estimated at 15–20 euros [42]. Importantly, however, any benefits of using a “ProADM instead of 6MWT or other CPET” strategy must be verified through prospective, ran-domized, controlled interventional study.
The apparent strong links between ProADM and car-diopulmonary stress/exercise capacity in patients with COPD involve walking distance, exertional hypoxia, and CPET variables. For example, a PROMISE-COPD substudy in. 105 patients with stable COPD from Uni-versity Hospital Basel examined the association with ProADM levels of daily walking activity measured over 6 consecutive days by accelometry [43]. In two separate stepwise multivariate regression analyses, each includ-ing one accelometry variable plus patient age, age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity score, mMRC dyspnea score, and St. George’s Respiratory Questionnaire score, total walking minutes/day or steps walked/day were the sole factors independently associated with ProADM concentration (regression coefficient –0.0004, 95% CI –0.0007 to –0.0002; regression coefficient –0.0004, 95% CI –0.0006 to –0.0001; both p < 0.0001). However, fast walk (min/day walking 5 km/h or 81–115 m/min) was not significantly associated with that dependent variable.
More notably, in 549 PROMISE-COPD participants with available ProADM and BODE data, Cox regression modeling demonstrated that ProADM plus “BOD”, i.e., the non-6MWD BODE components, namely, BMI, FEV1% predicted, and mMRC dyspnea score, had higher prog-nostic accuracy for 1- or 2-year all-cause mortality than did BODE: c statistics 0.800 vs. 0.745 for 1-year mortal-ity, 0.738 vs. 0.679 for 2-year mortality [42]. These obser-vations held up in post hoc sensitivity analyses adding in the 45 patients with ProADM and only “BOD” data, whether using Hotdeck imputation in this subgroup or assigning those patients the worst possible BODE score, 3 points, for 6MWD. Compared with using “BOD” alone, combining ProADM with “BOD” achieved an NRI of 41.2% (95% CI 15.6%–66.8%) of patients for 1-year mortality risk and of 8.8% (95% CI –10.6%–28.3%) for 2-year mortality
prediction. The NRI for 1-year mortality was significant (p = 0.0016), although that for 2-year mortality was not (p = 0.37).
Additionally, a multivariable linear logistic regres-sion analysis of 1233 6MWTs performed over 2 years by 574 PROMISE-COPD participants with stable COPD found that ProADM as well as post-bronchodilator FEV1% predicted each independently foretold exertional hypoxemia: respectively, HR 6.85 (95% CI 2.91–16.08) per logarithmic change and HR 0.76 (95% CI 0.72–0.88) per 10% increase, both p < 0.001 [44]. Exertional hypoxemia was defined as nadir arterial oxygen saturation < 88% on continuous transcutaneous pulse oximetry. As with that of FEV1% predicted, the significant independent asso-ciation with exertional hypoxemia of ProADM persisted even after inclusion into multivariate modeling of the annual COPD exacerbation rate plus the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity score, or of any or all of conges-tive heart failure, coronary artery disease, or history of acute myocardial infarction. Moreover, adding ProADM to FEV1% predicted to foretell exertional desaturation provided a significant NRI of 7.4% (95% CI 1.3%–13.6%) (p = 0.0184) of patients relative to using the spirometric variable alone.
Another study from University Hospital Basel [45] found pre-exercise ProADM to be significantly associated with impaired peak oxygen consumption, defined as such consumption < 14 mL/min/kg – including after multivari-able adjustment for factors including age, BMI, and FEV1 (Table 5). Additionally, ProADM was consistently signifi-cantly associated with other variables reflecting impaired cardiac output reserve, ventilatory efficiency, and diffu-sion capacity (Table 5), and hence, global cardiopulmo-nary stress.
The investigators found these associations to be at least as strong as those of at-rest B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), an established cardiac stress blood biomarker that they also measured. According to the authors, these observations suggested that ProADM was a more universal cardiopulmonary stress marker than was the more “cardiac-specific” BNP. Notably, unlike BNP, ProADM did not rise significantly from before to imme-diately after a maximal exercise test, which the authors noted “may be an advantage of [ProADM] as a robust clinical marker”. The study involved 162 consecutive eligible patients (mean age 56 ± 16 years, 58.6% [95/162] male) with a gamut of cardiac and pulmonary conditions who underwent CPET to assess subjective chronic exer-cise intolerance. Histories including COPD, other lung conditions, or cardiac disease respectively were present in 39 (24.1%), 70 (43.2%), and 51 (31.5%) patients. The
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CPET comprised symptom-limited upright cycle exercise tests employing ramp protocols, with continuous electro-cardiogram monitoring and non-invasive blood pressure measurement every second minute. Blood biomarkers were quantified in samples obtained at rest and 1 min after peak exercise, defined as peak minute ventilation/carbon dioxide output ratio [45].
Clinical considerationsConfounding factors do not seem to be a major issue with ProADM measurement. Some potential factors have been identified in healthy volunteer, community-based, or general population studies [10, 58, 71, 82, 83], or COPD risk stratification studies, perhaps most notably age [10, 71, 83, 84], which correlates positively with this analyte. However, likely due to disparate study sample character-istics (e.g., age, comorbidity profile) [71], the literature conflicts regarding whether some factors, e.g., gender [58, 71, 83, 84], indeed are confounders. Moreover, multivari-ate analyses in some of the COPD-focused studies [39–42] have suggested that many of the potential confounders, namely, age, sex, age-adjusted Charlton comorbidity score, BMI, PaO2, mMRC dyspnea score, and levels of PCT, CRP, or ProET-1, indeed do not affect ProADM’s mortality prediction ability in that setting. Additionally, exclusion of patients with known cardiovascular disease or risk factors from a large population-based sample seemed not to markedly alter ProADM values (Table 2) [71]. Lastly, neither circadian variation nor prandial status appears to affect ProADM measurements [10].
The consensus favoring multidimensional assessment of COPD [1, 2, 85–87], experience with blood biomarkers and risk scoring systems in other pulmonary disease set-tings [32, 88, 89], and literature focused on ProADM in COPD [42, 90] appear to support three concepts in clini-cal application of ProADM (Supplemental Data, Panel 2). First, the use of this analyte in conjunction with a limited number of demographic and clinical, and possibly other laboratory, variables may be a practical and effective approach. This approach conforms to the widely accepted adage that biomarker values should be interpreted within the comprehensive context of each particular case rather than in isolation [91].
Second, to increase ease of application and mitigate any effects of confounding factors, risk scoring systems incorporating ProADM should use a very small number of relatively widely spaced cutoff values for this blood bio-marker. An example of ProADM use in a multidimensional
framework are Stolz et al.’s proposal of “BODE-A” or “BOD-A” risk scoring systems. These classification methods combine ProADM, BMI, FEV1% predicted, and mMRC dyspnea score, respectively with or without 6MWD [42]. In another example, the ProHOSP investigators evaluated a model combining ProADM with patient age, smoking status, BMI, NYHA dyspnea class, exacerbation type (pneumonic vs. non-pneumonic), and comorbidities (chronic renal failure, neoplastic disease, coronary artery disease, chronic heart failure, and diabetes mellitus) [41]. An embodiment of applying few, widely spaced ProADM cutoffs is the ProHOSP investigators’ proposed CURB65-A score for patients with LRTIs including COPD exacerba-tion [32] (Table 2). The CURB65-A score combines the five CURB65 criteria, developed for pneumonia severity/risk classification [92], with two ProADM cutoffs, 0.75 and 1.5 nmol/L, to create three risk categories, low, intermedi-ate, and high. The CURB65 criteria comprise new onset confusion, urea > 7 mmol/L, respiratory rate ≥ 30 breaths per minute, systolic or diastolic blood pressure < 90 or ≤ 60 mmHg, respectively, and age ≥ 65 years. Tripartite risk stratification is desirable if a biomarker or score seeks to identify both patients who should receive less intense intervention(s) and those who should receive more intense intervention(s) [23] rather than only one of these subgroups.
Third, as should be the case with cutoffs for all mul-tidimensional scoring system components [89], ProADM cutoffs should be calibrated to local conditions, e.g., EDs treating large numbers of COPD patients for acute dyspnea or pneumonic exacerbations probably need higher cutoffs than would outpatient clinics primarily seeing patients in the COPD stable state.
Future research directionsFuture research on ProADM in risk stratification of patients with COPD should take a number of different directions (Supplemental Data, Panel 3). First, additional obser-vational data should be gathered regarding non-white patients and never-smokers, two groups mostly absent from studies published to date focusing on ProADM in COPD [39–42].
Second, observational studies should further assess whether serial ProADM measurements offer additional prognostic power. Two published studies in the acute LRTI [34] or acute dyspnea [23] settings have suggested informativeness of moves between “low” and “high” ProADM categories every 2–4 days [34] or from
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admission to discharge (median [IQR] interval: 7 [3–12] days) [23]. These studies each had approximately 30% or more patients with COPD as a comorbidity and used respective cutoffs of 1.5 [34] or 1.985 nmol/L [23] for the “high” ProADM classification (Table 2). Besides further evaluating this serial measurement strategy, future analyses should assess the incremental prognostic value of absolute or relative, i.e., percentage ProADM changes.
Third, future studies should compare the mortality prediction accuracy of ProADM vs. other blood biomark-ers as single factors or in various combinations. Published multivariate or ROC curve analyses have suggested that in the COPD setting, ProADM may provide superior dis-crimination of non-survival to that of CRP [39, 41], WBC [39, 41], ProET-1 [39], PCT [39–42], copeptin [42], or pro-atrial natriuretic peptide [42] as single factors. Addition-ally, PROMISE-COPD noted that combinations of ProADM and one or more of the latter three other analytes offered no incremental accuracy over that of ProADM alone [42]. However, these comparisons have been relatively few and studies have not always reported statistical significance data. Further, no comparisons yet have been published of ProADM vs. fibrinogen, interleukins 6 or 8, surfactant protein D, or neutrophil count, blood biomarkers that also have shown accuracy in long-term mortality predic-tion in patients with COPD [8, 87, 93].
Fourth, interventional studies should be undertaken to demonstrate whether ProADM use in risk-based guid-ance of monitoring/treatment decisions improves clini-cal, quality-of-life, or pharmacoeconomic outcomes in patients with COPD. Published research on such topics [68, 69] has been very preliminary. OPTIMA II, a pro-spective, multicenter, randomized, controlled proof-of-concept study [68] compared hospital length-of-stay in patients with acute LRTIs assigned 1:1 to interprofessional medical and nursing risk assessment with vs. without use of ProADM data. The study involved 313 enrollees, of whom 43 (13.7%) had COPD exacerbation. These patients were treated at any of one acute-care hospital or two post-acute-care centers in Switzerland. The interprofessional risk assessment included CURB65 scoring at admission, medical stability evaluation during hospitalization, and functional and biopsychosocial assessment, respec-tively using the Self-Care Index and Post-Acute Care Dis-charge Score at both times. In the ProADM arm, ProADM levels of 0.75 and 1.5 nmol/L helped delimit “low-risk”, “intermediate-risk”, and “high-risk” categories, which in the control arm were determined only by the inter-professional assessment. In both study arms, patient site-of-care assignments were based on an algorithm
incorporating the risk category at the given assessment time. However, for any individual case, treating physi-cians could override algorithm recommendations for a variety of pre-specified medical, psychosocial, or admin-istrative/logistical reasons.
OPTIMA II found that the ProADM group had a shorter mean length of stay did the controls, 6.3 (95% CI 5.4–7.2) days vs. 6.8 (95% CI 5.7–7.9) days. The difference favoring the ProADM group held true after adjustment for age, gender, LRTI type, and CURB65 score. Moreover, the differences consistently favored the ProADM arm in sub-group analyses, including those involving inpatients with a ≥ 1-day stay, men and women, patients with or without CAP, older or younger patients, patients with greater or lesser comorbidity burden, or CURB65 classes I, II, or III. However, in no case did the difference attain statisti-cal significance; the authors attributed this observation to the relatively small sample size, the great influence of logistical/administrative factors on site-of-care deci-sions, and the fact that the study centers had for years prior to OPTIMA II strongly emphasized minimizing length of stay [94].
The Biomarkers in Acute Heart Failure study (BACH) investigators conducted separate subanalyses of their American patients (n = 831) and European patients (n = 726) with acute dyspnea – stemming from COPD in just over 11% of each subgroup – comparing the actual distribution of site-of-care assignments vs. a hypotheti-cal distribution guided by ProADM values [69]. This analysis should be regarded as hypothesis-generating because it used ProADM values in isolation. For the US analysis, sites of care were divided into four levels, dis-charge, general ward, cardiac care or monitoring unit, and ICU, whereas for the European analysis, sites of care were divided into three levels because the cardiac care unit and ICU were considered as a single level. For both analyses, baseline ProADM ≥ 5.0 nmol/L would have led to the site of care being stepped up by one level. Values ≤ 0.50 nmol/L would have led to the site of care being stepped down by one level, except that in the European analysis, stepping down from the cardiac care unit/ICU to the general ward could occur if the ProADM was < 1.0 nmol/L. The investigators found that using such ProADM-guided assignment theoretically would have increased the number of discharged patients by 16.7% in the US (384 vs. 329) and 15.9% in Europe (219 vs. 189); notably, the very small number of discharged 90-day decedents (4 for both analyses) would not have increased. Overall, the theoretical NRI was 12.0% (95% CI 5.7%–18.4%) for the US and 16% (95% CI 8.2%–23.9%) for Europe, and 9.7% (81/831) of US patients and 9.9%
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(72/726) of European patients would have changed site of care.
ConclusionsObservational studies to date show that plasma ProADM, the stable surrogate blood biomarker for the pluripotent regulatory peptide, ADM, is, as a single factor, a strong independent predictor of in-hospital to long-term all-cause mortality in patients with COPD. Additionally, the litera-ture suggests that when combined with demographic and clinical factors, this analyte provides significant incre-mental prognostic accuracy regarding this end point. This ability may derive from ProADM being a multidimensional marker of cardiopulmonary stress, exercise capacity, and physical activity. ProADM appears to merit further clinical investigation in COPD. This research should take the form of observational studies examining the analyte’s mortal-ity prediction power in never-smokers and non-white patients, its ability to foretell adverse outcomes other than mortality, and its comparison and combination with other biomarkers such as fibrinogen and interleukins 6 and 8, which have shown survival prediction accuracy. In addi-tion, interventional trials should test whether ProADM can improve clinical outcomes by helping guide interven-tion and monitoring and can save costs by substituting for the 6MWT and other CPET in patients with COPD.
Author contributions: All the authors have accepted responsibility for the entire content of this submitted manuscript and approved submission.Financial support: P.S. and B.M. have received support to fulfill speaking engagements and travel to medical meet-ings from Thermo Scientific Biomarkers, Hennigsdorf, Germany, the developer/manufacturer of the ProADM assay; Thermo Scientific Biomarkers also has provided monetary support and reagents to the Kantonsspital Aarau research fund. R.J.M. received support to fulfill speaking engagements and travel to medical meetings from Thermo Scientific Biomarkers.Employment or leadership: B.M. has served as a consultant to Thermo Scientific Biomarkers. R.J.M. has served/is serving as a paid consultant to Thermo Scientific Biomarkers and holds shares in Thermo Fisher Scientific, Inc., the publicly traded parent company of Thermo Scientific Biomarkers.Honorarium: None declared.Competing interests: The funding organization(s) played no role in the study design; in the collection, analysis, and interpretation of data; in the writing of the report; or in the decision to submit the report for publication.
Appendix 1
Common measures of discriminative ( predictive) performance in risk stratification studies
Sensitivity: Number of patients that a potential predictor forecasts will have an adverse outcome/number patients actually having the outcome.
Specificity: Number of patients that a potential predictor forecasts will not have an adverse outcome/patients actu-ally not having the outcome.
Positive predictive value: Number of patients that a poten-tial predictor correctly forecasts will have an outcome/number of patients that the potential predictor correctly or incorrectly forecasts will have the outcome.
Negative predictive value: Number of patients that a poten-tial predictor correctly forecasts will not have an outcome/number of patients that the potential predictor correctly or incorrectly forecasts will not have the outcome.
AUC of the ROC: A potential predictor’s probability of cor-rectly categorizing an individual regarding outcome, e.g., as a non-survivor. Higher AUC reflects greater accuracy: 0.5, the null value, indicates “coin-toss accuracy”; 1.0, the maximum value, indicates infallibility. AUC is deter-mined by plotting the potential predictor’s true-positive rate (sensitivity) against its false-positive rate (1–specific-ity). The c statistic or c index is equivalent to the AUC, but adapted for censored data.
NRI [75, 95]: Percentage of patients correctly moving to lower- or higher-risk categories minus the percentage incor-rectly changing risk categories, when a potential predictor vs. an existing predictor is used. IDI is a similar measure to NRI, except that probability is used rather than categories.
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Supplemental Material: The online version of this article (DOI: 10.1515/cclm-2014-0748) offers supplementary material, available to authorized users.
BionotesProf. Dr. med. Philipp SchuetzUniversity Department of Medicine, Kantonsspital Aarau, Tellstrasse, 5001 Aarau, Switzerland, Phone: +41 62 838 4141, Fax: +41 62 838 4100; and Division of General Internal and Emergency Medicine, Medical University Department, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, [email protected]
Philipp Schuetz is Professor of Endocrinology and Medicine at the University of Basel in Switzerland and works as an endocrinologist and internist at the University Department of the Kantonsspital Aarau. There, a substantial part of his practice involves patients with underlying COPD. He has broad clinical and research inter-ests, focusing on applying new developments in critical illness, infectious diseases, endocrinology, and general and personalized medicine. Prof. Schuetz has done extensive research on hormones and other biomarkers, among them procalcitonin and proadre-nomedullin, for better diagnostic and prognostic workup of patients with lower respiratory tract illness, including acute non-pneumonic and pneumonic exacerbations of COPD. As part of this work, he served as the principal investigator of the ProHOSP randomized, controlled, clinical trial of procalcitonin for antibiotic stewardship and of a variety of substudies and secondary analyses involving procalcitonin, proadrenomedullin, and other novel blood biomark-ers. Additionally, Prof. Schuetz earned a master of public health (MPH) degree at the Harvard School of Public Health in Boston, where he trained for 2 years at the Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center (BIDMC). He has applied this training to perform and co-author several individual patient data and other meta-analyses regarding blood biomarkers and has co-authored eight published original reports regarding proadrenomedullin.
Robert J. MarloweSpencer-Fontayne Corporation, Jersey City, NJ, USA
Robert J. Marlowe has been an independent medical writer and editor working with academic, industry, clinical, and basic science researchers worldwide since 1986. During that time, he has co-authored nearly 20 papers published in peer-reviewed medical jour-nals. Topics of these papers have included blood biomarkers, risk stratification in pulmonary, cardiac, and malignant disease, person-alized medicine, and COPD. Mr. Marlowe also has edited some 150 other published scientific papers regarding these and other medical topics. Additionally, he has delivered scientific presentations before members of the COPD Biomarkers Qualification Consortium and at the 2010 Annual Congress of the Society of Nuclear Medicine. Mr. Marlowe holds an AB degree from Columbia College, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.
Beat MuellerDivision of General Internal and Emergency Medicine, Medical University Department, Kantonsspital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland
Beat Müller is Medical Director of the University Department, Kantonsspital, Aarau AG, Switzerland, and Full Professor of Internal Medicine and Endocrinology of the Medical Faculty of the Univer-sity of Basel. He studied Medicine in Berne, Switzerland, and in South Africa and did his postdoctoral at the Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA. His broad clini-cal and research interests focus on pragmatic outcome and quality control studies using hormonal biomarkers in general medicine, endocrinology, infectious diseases, critical illness, and pulmonol-ogy. He masterminded several intervention trials enrolling > 4000 patients to validate his concept of a safe and more targeted anti-biotic stewardship using procalcitonin as biomarker in respiratory tract infections. He identified proadrenomedullin as a prognostic hormokine, unraveled its physiopathological regulation, and evalu-ated its clinical use to guide risk-adapted length of hospitalization.
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