sectoral systems of innovation and production in portugal: structural weakness?… cis ii - cis iii:...
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Manufacture
0%
10%
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40%
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60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Proportion of Enterprises w ith Innovating Activities involved in Cooperation (%)
Pro
port
ion o
f In
novating E
nte
rprises (
%)
Coke and Chemicals
Electrical and Optical Equipment
Machinery and Equiment non-NEC
Basic Metals and Fabricated Products
Rubber, Non-Mettalic
Food Product
s
Textiles and Leather
Manufacturing NEC and Recycling
Wood, Pulp, Publishing
Transport Equipment
Sectoral systems of Innovation and production in Portugal:
CIS II - CIS III: inter-firm cooperation continues too low: a structural weakness?…structural weakness?…
A análise ...1
“efeito de estrutura”• A composição sectorial da economia portuguesa tem evoluido no sentido de um peso maior do sector dos
serviços. • Contudo, o sector da indústria transformadora é ainda mais importante em relação a muitos países da
OCDE, e a distribuição do emprego pelos sectores produtivos portugueses permaneceu estável até ao início dos anos noventa, assim como fortemente dominada pelos sectores:– têxtil– calçado – produtos alimentares
A análise ...2
• “efeito de intensidade”
as deficiências que Portugal revela ao nível estrutural estão também a constrangir a inovação em muitas indústrias, devido sobretudo a: • baixa produtividade• baixo nível educacional da população activa• despesa reduzida em I&D • fraca ligação ás fontes de informação sobre novos conhecimentos
17%
19%
20%
23%
36%
45%
49%
Transport equipment andmanufacturing NEC
Basic metals and fabricatedmetal products
Food products; beveragesand tobacco;Textiles and
leather
Wood;pulp andpaper;publishing
Electricity; gas and waterdistribution
Coke;chemicals;rubber andplastic;other non-metallic
minerals
Machinery and equipmentNEC;Electrical and optical
equipment
Inovação em Portugal por sector industrial
A análise ...3
o “efeito de intensidade” tem revelado dominar em muitas situações, sendo particularmente influenciado pelo baixo nível educativo e de qualificação da população.
• O financiamento directo da I&D pela indústria, sendo reduzido, não tem tido impacto significativo: é sobretudo o resultado da ausência, no passado, de políticas integradoras de ciência e tecnologia
A análise ...5
Para além do capital individual ou mesmo agregado, o capital social, enquanto capacidade colectiva de aprendizagem , tem emergido como um conceito mais importante para o desenvolvimento socio-económico.
K DS&T System(box 1)
Economic and Social System
(box 2)
Inputs (of box 1)
Inputs(of box 2)
Outputs(of box 1)
Conceptualization of the Relationship between the S&T System and the Economic and Social System
‘K’ refers to knowledge, and ‘D’ refers to development
Outputs(of box 2)
TECHNOLOGY INTENSITYof INDUSTRIES
Concept:
–measures the effort put into R&D activities within each industry
method 1: Direct Technology Intensity:
–ratio between the expenses on R&D activities and a measure of output (typically gross output or value added)
TECHNOLOGY INTENSITYof INDUSTRIES
method 2: Considering second-round gains
–the R&D embodied in the output of an industry includes the R&D effort realized by that industry but also the R&D embodied in the intermediate goods it acquires from other industries
method 3: Taking into account the cumulative nature of R&D
–The technology intensity of an industry after several years is the sum of the technology intensity of that industry for the all the years considered
OECD INDUSTRIAL SECTORAL TAXONOMYACCORDING TO TECHNOLOGY INTENSITIES
The OECD (1996) suggests a breakdown of industries into four groups, according to their level of technology intensity:
—High Technology Intensity industries—Medium High Technology Intensity industries—Medium Low Technology Intensity industries—Low Technology Intensity industries
The classification of industries into these four groups is roughly the same for every OECD country using whichever measuring methodology.
TECHNOLOGY INTENSITIES of INDUSTRIES- USA -USA
0
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Year
Tech
no
log
y In
ten
sit
y
Aircraft
Office &computing machinery
Radio, TV &Communication Equipment
Drugs & Medicines
TECHNOLOGY INTENSITIES of INDUSTRIES- SWEDEN -SWEDEN
0
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Year
Tech
nlo
gy In
ten
sit
y
Drugs & Medicines
Radio, TV &Communication Equipment
Aircraft
Office &computing machinery
TECHNOLOGY INTENSITIES of INDUSTRIES- GERMANY -GERMANY
0
0.1
0.2
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0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993
Year
Tech
no
log
y In
ten
sit
y
Aircraft
Drugs & Medicines
TECHNOLOGY INTENSITIES of INDUSTRIES- FRANCE -FRANCE
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
Year
Tech
no
log
y In
ten
sit
y
Aircraft
Drugs & Medicines
Radio, TV &Communication Equipment
TECHNOLOGY INTENSITIES of INDUSTRIES- FINLAND -FINLAND
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
0.5
Year
Tech
no
log
y In
ten
sit
y
Radio, TV &Communication Equipment
Drugs & Medicines
Office &Computing machinery
TECHNOLOGY INTENSITIES of INDUSTRIES- ITALY -ITALY
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
Year
Tech
no
log
y In
ten
sit
y
Aircraft
Drugs & MedicinesOffice &
Computing machinery
Radio, TV &Communication Equipment
TECHNOLOGY INTENSITIES of INDUSTRIES- SPAIN -SPAIN
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
Year
Tech
no
log
y In
ten
sit
y
Aircraft
Office &Computing machinery
Radio, TV &Communication Equipment
Purpose: to describe and explain sectoral patterns of technical change Data: UK firms between 1945 & 1979
Concept: Technological knowledge is specific to firms and applications, cumulative in development and varied amongst sectors.
Original Neoclassical formulation Pavitt´s formulation
• New technology instantly diffuses across capital.
• Make exogenous the production of technology and innovations.
• Do not reflect the variety of the sources.
• Three part taxonomy based on firms:a) Supplier dominatedb) Production intensivec) Science based
•Make endogenous the production of technology and innovations.
•Technical change is largely a cumulative process specific to firms.
Pavitt´s formulation
Institutional sources of main knowledge inputsInstitutional sources of main knowledge inputs
7% Public technological infrastructure
34% Other industrial firms
59% Within the innovating firms themselves
Analysis of PAVITT´s dataAnalysis of PAVITT´s dataCompare sectors in terms of:The sectoral sources of technology used in a sector;The importance of intramural and extramural knowledge sources, and of product and process innovation (institutional sources and nature of the technology);The characteristics of innovating firms: their size and principal activity.
Most of the knowledge applied by firms in innovations is not general purpose and easily transmitted and reproduced, but appropriate for specific applications and appropriated by specific firms.
Characteristics of innovating firms: size, technological Characteristics of innovating firms: size, technological diversification, patterns of production and use of innovationsdiversification, patterns of production and use of innovations
Innovating firms principally in electronic and chemicals, are relatively big, and they develop innovations over a wide range of specific product groups within their principal sector, but relatively few outside.
Firms principally in mechanical and instrument engineering are relatively small and specialized, and they exist in symbiosis with large firms, in scale intensive sectors like metal manufacture and vehicles, who make a significant contribution to their own process technology.
In textile firms, on the other hand, most process innovations come from suppliers.
Analysis based on the innovating firm: Analysis based on the innovating firm:
Pavitt´s taxonomyPavitt´s taxonomyDifferent sectoral technological trajectories:Supplier dominatedProduction intensiveScience-based
Sectoral differences :Sources of technologyUser needsMeans of appropriating benefits
Sectoral technological trajectoriesSectoral technological trajectories
Supplier dominated firmsSupplier dominated firms
Characteristics:Mainly small;Weak in-house R&D and engineering capability;Appropriate less on the basis of technological advantage;Based mainly on professional skills, aesthetic design, trademarks and advertising;Technological trajectories defined in terms of cutting costs;Most innovations come from suppliers of equipment and materials.
Manufacturing
Agriculture
Many kindsof
Services
House building
Informalhousehold
Production intensive firmsProduction intensive firms
Steel
Glass
Instruments
Food
Machinery
Characteristics:Small (Instruments and Machinery) or large;Some kind of in-house R&D and strong engineering capability;Based mainly on process secrecy and know-how, technical lags, patents, dynamic learning economies, design know-how;Technological trajectories defined in terms of cutting costs or product design;Produces high portion of their own process technology.
Science-based firmsScience-based firms
Electronics/Electrical Chemicals
Characteristics:Mainly large;Strong in-house R&D and engineering capability;Based mainly on R&D know-how, patents, process secrecy and know-how, dynamic learning economies;Mixed technological trajectories;Produces high portion of their own process technology.
Technological linkages and changing trajectoriesTechnological linkages and changing trajectories
SupplierDemanded
firm
Scale-intensivefirms
Science-basedfirms
SpecializedEquipmentsuppliers
A revised A revised Pavitt´s Pavitt´s taxonomytaxonomy
Different sectoral technological trajectories:Supplier dominatedScale- intensiveInformation-intensiveScience-basedSpecialiuzed suppliers
Sectoral differences :Size of firms (big in chemicals, aircraft, electronic; small in machinery, software)Type of product (price sensitive vs performance sensitive)Objectives of Innovation (product vs porcess vs both)Sources of innovation (suppliers; customers; in-housse; basic research)Locus of own innovation (R&D labs in Chemicals and electronics; engineering dept in automotive; system dept in services)
Supplier-dominated
Scale -intensive
Information-intensive
Science-based Specialized suppliers
Core sectors
Agriculture Services Traditional
manufacture
Bulk materials
Civil engng.
Finance Retailing Publishing travel
Electronics chemicals
Machinery Instruments software
Sources of technology
Suppliers Production learning
Production engng.
Production learning
Design offices
Specialized suppliers
Software & system Dept.
Specialized suppliers
R&D Basic
Research
Design Advanced
users
Technology strategy
Technology from elsewhere
Incremenstal integration of chnges
Diffusion of best practices
Information processinh systems
Exploit basic R&D
Complex products
Integrate technology incrementally
ÍNDICES DE ACUMULAÇÃO ÍNDICES DE ACUMULAÇÃO TECNOLÓGICATECNOLÓGICA
Or ientation-basedindustry groups
USA Germany
1970 1993 1970 1993
Resour ce-intensive 0,83 0,87 0,54 0,77
Labour-int ensive 0,49 0,68 0,95 0,98
Scale-intensive 0,85 0,81 1,13 1,10
Special ised-suppl ier 1,23 1,13 1,32 1,10
Science-based 2,14 1,70 0,88 0,79
Sweden Nether lands Spain Portugal
1970 1993 1970 1993 1970 1993 1970 19931,22 1,26 1,82 1,96 1,91 1,29 1,60 1,240,60 0,60 1,01 0,89 1,43 1,14 2,69 3,911,10 1,04 0,74 0,80 0,76 1,30 0,59 0,591,09 1,06 0,72 0,64 0,56 0,59 0,34 0,580,58 0,76 0.75 1,01 0,27 0,51 0,28 0,15
O Processo de Mudança O Processo de Mudança TecnológicaTecnológica
CapacidadeTecnológica
AcumulaçãoTecnológica
(aprendizagem)
As bases necessárias para gerar e gerir a mudança tecnológica
(1) Conhecimento, “skills” e experiência
(2) Instituições e ligações intra e inter-empresas
MudançaTecnológica
(a) Introdução de tecnologia “embodied” em novos produtos e/ou novos processos.
(b) Adaptação e optimização da capacidade produtiva existente
Capacidadede Inovação
Componentes de sistema de produção:
• capital
• “know-how” e “skills” da força de trabalho
• Input specs
• Organização e procedimentos de produção
OutputIndustrial
Indicators such as R&D intensity or patent-counting fail to appreciate the innovative capability of most traditional industries: technological change in fact is mainly based upon learning-by-doing and tacit knowledge rather than conventional R&D activities.
Traditional Industries
High-Tech Industries
vs.
Accumulation of technological knowledge
Technological change is intense and rapid
European industries seems to fall into the new category of skill-intensive industries (Pavitt -1987).
Skill-intensive industries (SII) characteristics are:-Small size firms
-High levels of regional concentration
-High levels of wages
-Low levels of capital intensity
-Tight web of cooperative agreements among firms
-High rates of Total Factor Productivity Growth (TFP)
-Specific nature of technological change
Aspects that play a major role in SII as source of technological change:-Internal organization of companies
-Structure of internal labor markets
-The close interaction between changes in process and products in terms of design.
- The creation process of firms and the accumulation of tacit knowledge.
The dynamics of technological changes of skill-
intensive industries are based upon localized technological knowledge.
-Relies upon a continuum of specifications of different forms of knowledge:
► Generic and Scientific Knowledge (public good)
► Tacit Knowledge (result of lengthy learning processes, highly idiosyncratic and specific to the business of the firm)
- It is costly to use elsewhere (switching costs) - Highly impure public good
Technological knowledge :
Tends to be highly localized
WHY ?
Why is this Tacit Knowledge so firm specific ?
The traditional distinction between new technologies and existing technologies appears much weaker (relevant search costs)
The generation of technological knowledge is the result of a mix of production, learning and communicating, of which R&D is only a part
Technological knowledge is embedded in the “circumstances” in witch the firm operates
Experiment, learning-by-doing, learning-by-using.
Localized Knowledge
Taci
t K
now
ledge
Deduction from general principles
Generi
c K
now
ledge
Codified Knowledge
Firms rely upon varying mixes of tacit and generic knowledge in order to generate localized technological innovations.
But more on tacit k. or more on generic k.?
Depends …
-The amount of resources devoted to implementing the accumulation of tacit knowledge by each agent in the system
-Its receptivity to technological knowledge generated by third parties
-The properties of the system in terms of connectivity and distribution of receptive agents
New technological change emerges also from the daily interaction of learning firms among themselves and with other scientific institutions
What are the main incentives to investon learning-by-doing or R&D activities?
“Firms are pushed to introduce technological innovations by pressure of demand” (Rosenberg, 1974)
Increase rate of growth of output
Investment on learning-by-doing and R&D activities
Technological Innovation
Growth of labor productivity
Lower average unit costs
Path Dependen
t
Validating Previous Hypotheses: mechanical engineering industry
-relevance of learning processes-creative recombination of existing knowledge-standard R&D activities
TechnologicalChange
-136 manufacturing firms-Time span of six years (1988-1994)-In these years, the industry recovered from the crises of the late 1980s and experienced a fast growth fueled by the demand for capital goods after 1991, with an increase in added value and TFP
Data set
Empirical Evidence
The larger are thestimulations to
capitalize on acquiredtacit knowledge
The Faster is the output growth
The faster is the rateof introduction of
localized technologicalinnovations
Generation of new localized technological
change
Increase TFP
Increase market share and output
Reduce market prices
Makes possibleHence
AndRecursive cycle
of growth
THE INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURETHE INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURE
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1983 1987 1991 1995
YEARFood, beverages & tobaccoTextiles, apparel & leatherWood products & furniturePaper, paper products & printingChemical productsNon-metallic mineral productsBasic metal industriesFabricated metal productsOther manufacturing, nec
EU-13
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1983 1987 1991 1995YEAR
Portugal
How far Industrial structure affects innovation?
0,06
0,07
0,08
0,09
0,1
0,11
0,12
0,13
0,14
0,15
0,16
0,17
0,18
1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992
Australia
Austria
Belgium
Canada
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Italy
Japan
Korea
Mexico
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Portugal
Spain
Sweden
UK
USA
HIPÓTESES : : Perspectivas para a “mudança”Perspectivas para a “mudança”
•A noção de mudança tecnológica localizada:
•A base cientifica e tecnológica nacional
• um processo conjunto de produçãp, aprendizagem e comunicação
• um processo endógeneo, envolvendo especialização e diversificação
• a importancia do mercado, apesar da relevancia das politicas públicas
• baseado num “mix” de conhecimento genérico e tácito
…”foresight should be resisted. …the aim of policy should be to create a broad and productive science base, closely linked to higher education…”, Pavitt (1998)
CONTENTS SERVICESE-TAILERS
“THE INTERNET”
ALTERNATIVE MEDIAE-CHANNELS
Software Solutions
Develop software solutions Designed to enhance the Internet experience for both Consumers and business
Enabling Technologies
Create hardware/software solutions which enable the efficient operation of the internet
ACCESS PROVIDERS
CONSUMERCONSUMER
INTERNET SERVICES
BUSINESSBUSINESS
um caso de estudo – o sector da internetum caso de estudo – o sector da internet
Business/Customer SupportOn-line Products and Services
TraditionalCorporations
Content Services•THE GLOBE.COM•THE MOTLEY FOOL•BROADCAST.COM•MPATH•MONSTER.COM•NETCENTIVES
AlternativeMedia•ESPN•CNN•Wall St.Journal
•YAHOO
•MSN
•EARTHWEB
•VERTICALNET
•BABY CENTER•DELL•BARNES & NOBLE•CHARLES SCHWAB•CITIBANK•MACY’S
E-CHANNELS
•AMAZON.COM
•E*TRADE
•BEYOND.COM
•EBAY
•BUY.COME-tailers
Access Providers
•EARTHLINK•MINDSPRING
•AOL•EXCITE@HOME
•VERIO•COMPUSERVE•NETCOM
Service Providers
•AT&TWorldNet•Ameritech
•DOUBLECLICK•USWEB/CKS•IXL•MEDIA TRIX•RAZORFISH•ABOVENET
Software solutions•NetObjects•Real Networks•Egain•Netscape•Marimba•Inktomi•Sitara Networks•Resonate
•NetworksAssociates•WebOrder•Vignette•Ariba
IBM•Cisco IOS•Hewlett-Packard•Sun
•Cisco•Lucent/Ascend•Nortel/Bay Networks•Nexabit•Netopia•Broadcom•Verifone
Enabling Technologies
Technological Innovation
Um caso de estudo: o modelo de negócios da internetUm caso de estudo: o modelo de negócios da internet
Source: joint Venture – Sillicon Valley Network, 1999Source: joint Venture – Sillicon Valley Network, 1999
um caso de estudo – a industria de internet
•It is unlikely that technological clusters aimed at supporting service integration will emerge, unless incentives exist to integrate elements in the value chain... Hawkins (1997)
•It is unlikely that technological clusters aimed at supporting service integration will emerge, unless incentives exist to integrate elements in the value chain... Hawkins (1997)
•Evolucão contínua para uma “nova” cadeia de valor
•A necessidade de extender a análise ao contexto:
-Communidades de utilizadores
-Contexto regional/local
•Evolucão contínua para uma “nova” cadeia de valor
•A necessidade de extender a análise ao contexto:
-Communidades de utilizadores
-Contexto regional/local
•Internet business models: creative destruction, as usual !! (McKnigth et al, 2000)•Internet business models: creative destruction, as usual !! (McKnigth et al, 2000)
Promover o Capital Social num contexto de base tecnológica caso de estudo: A diversidade regional na EU
Source: Sixth Periodic Report DG XVI, 1998
análise: sistemas regionais fragmentados
RegionalGovernment
BusinessServices
SMEs
SMEs
Chamber ofCommerce
SMEs
SMEs
Largefirms
SMEs
Universities
TechnologyCenters
SectoralAssociations
SMEsSMEs
SMEs
SMEs
Largefirms
SMEs
SMEs
SMEs
SMEs
SMEs
SMEs
SMEs
SMEs
SMEs
SMEs
SMEs
SMEs
SMEs
SMEs
SMEs
TechnologyConsultants
SMEs
SMEs
Largefirms
SMEs
SMEs
Regional economy
A learning region: um sistema de inovacão regional
Regionalgovernment
Businessservices &tech. con-sultants
SMEs SMEs
Businessintermediaries:
Cham. of Comm.;Local Agencies
BICs
SMEs
Large firms;Tech. Centers;Sect. Associa-
tions
SMEs
SMEs
SMEs
Cluster
Science base:Universities;Public R&D;Laboratories
TechnologyCenters
SectoralAssociations
SMEs
SMEs
SMEs
SMEs
Largefirms
SMEsSMEs
SMEsValorisation of R&D and Tech. Transfer Office
SMEs
Global econom
y
SMEs
SMEs
SMEs
SMEs
SMEsSMEs
SMEs
SMEs
SMEsSMEs
SMEs SMEs
SMEs
SMEs
Op
en g
ate:
In
tern
atio
nal
tec
hn
olog
y tr
ansf
er
net
wor
ks
Op
en gate: In
ternation
al value ch
ains
Open gate: International business consultants & specialized business services
Open gate: International R&D/academic excellence networks
SMEs
SMEs
Regionaleconomy
Estratégias de Inovacão RegionalLandabaso et al. (1999)
– Internal coherence of the regional innovation system by connecting its different key elements: R&TDI supply with well identified Demand and business needs, from SMEs in particular.
– Increase the amount and, more importantly the quality of innovation public spending through innovation projects (bigger and better spending in this field through regional policy).
– Rationalise the regional innovation support system by raising awareness, eliminating duplications, filling gaps and promoting synergies.
Successful stories: The Regional Technology Plans
Wales (UK), Limburg (Netherlands), Lorraine (France) and Leipzig-Halle-Dessau (Germany), Central Macedonia (Greece), Castilla Y Leon (Spain) and Abruzzo (Italy).
Successful stories: The Regional Technology Plans
Wales (UK), Limburg (Netherlands), Lorraine (France) and Leipzig-Halle-Dessau (Germany), Central Macedonia (Greece), Castilla Y Leon (Spain) and Abruzzo (Italy).
O argumento…
•“With some notable exceptions, the regional developmment debate in Europe has been dominated by exogeneous models to such an extent that development tends to be conceived as something that is introduced to, or visited upon, less favoured regions, LFRs, from external doors…
• …this kind of regional policy did little or nothing to stimulate localised learning, innovation and indigeneous development within LFRs”,
Henderson & Morgan (1999)
•“With some notable exceptions, the regional developmment debate in Europe has been dominated by exogeneous models to such an extent that development tends to be conceived as something that is introduced to, or visited upon, less favoured regions, LFRs, from external doors…
• …this kind of regional policy did little or nothing to stimulate localised learning, innovation and indigeneous development within LFRs”,
Henderson & Morgan (1999)