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September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues • Sites Sensitivity of NuMI Off-axis Experiments

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Page 1: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam

• Physics Motivation• Off-axis NuMI Beam• Backgrounds and Detector Issues• Sites• Sensitivity of NuMI Off-axis Experiments

Page 2: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Three outstanding questions

1

2

3

e

sB B

B B B

B B B

• Neutrino mass pattern: This ? Or that?

• Electron component of 3 (sin2213)

• Complex phase of s CP violation in a neutrino sector (?) baryon number of the universe

Page 3: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Neutrino Propagation in Matter

• Matter effects reduce mass of e and increase mass ofe

• Matter effects increase m2

23 for normal hierarchy and reduce m2

23 for inverted hierarchy

Page 4: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

The key: e oscillation experiment

A. Cervera et al., Nuclear Physics B 579 (2000) 17 – 55, expansion to second order in

2

2 2 2131 23 13

22 2 212

2 23 12

13 13123

13 13124

sin sin sin2

cos sin sin2

cos sin sin2 2 2

sin sin sin2

cos

in2 2

s

B LP

B

ALP

A

L B LALP J

A B

L B LALP J

A B

2

13

13 12 13 23

;2

2 ;

;

cos sin 2 sin 2 sin 2

ijij

F e

m

E

A G n

B A

J

1 2 3 4( )eP P P P P

12 1213 12

23

, , , LA

Page 5: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Observations

• First 2 terms are independent of the CP violating parameter • The last term changes sign between and • If 13 is very small (≤ 1o) the second term (subdominant

oscillation) competes with 1st

• For small 13, the CP terms are proportional to 13; the first (non-CP term) to 13

2

• The CP violating terms grow with decreasing Efor a given L)

• CP violation is observable only if all angles ≠ 0 Two observables dependent on several physics parameters:

need measurements at different L and E ( see talk by K. Whisnant)

2 2 23 13

2213

1s

1siis

4i nnn 2

2e es U

Page 6: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Anatomy of Bi-probability ellipses

sin2213

~sin

~cos

Observables are:•P •PInterpretation in terms of sin2213, and sign ofm2

23 depends on the value of these parameters and on the conditions of the experiment: L and E

Minakata and Nunokawa, hep-ph/0108085

Page 7: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Oscillation probability vs physics parameters

Parameter correlation: even very precise determination of P leads to a large allowed range of sin2223 antineutrino beam is more important than improved statistics

Page 8: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Receipe for an e Appearance Experiment

• Large neutrino flux in a signal region• Small background• Efficient detector with good rejection against NC

background • Large detector

Lucky coincidences:

• distance to Soudan = 735 km, m2=0.025-0.035 eV2

• => ‘large’ cross section

• Below the tau threshold! (BR(->e)=17%)

2 21.27 2.541.6 2.2

2

m L m LE GeV

E

Page 9: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Two body decay kinematics

* * *

* *

( cos )

sin

L

T

p p E

p p

‘On axis’: E=0.43E

At this angle, 15 mrad, energy of produced neutrinos is 1.5-2 GeV for all pion energies very intense, narrow band beam

Page 10: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Off-axis ‘magic’ ( D.Beavis at al. BNL, E-889)

2

2

22 412

zA

Flux

1-3 GeV intense beams with well defined energy in a cone around the nominal beam direction

Page 11: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Medium Energy Beam: Off-axis detectors

Neutrino event spectra at putative detectors located at different locations

Neutrinos from K decays

Page 12: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

e Appearance Experiment: a Primer

# .

( ) ( ) ( ,100%)e

beame e

CC

of cand NCP

dE E E P E

90%

1.28

( ) ( ,100%( ) )e

beamesens

CL CCP

dE E

N

E P E

C

Systematics:•Know your expected flux•Know the beam contamination•Know the NC background*rejection power (Note: need to beat it down to the level of ne component of the beam only)•Know the electron ID efficiency

This determines sensitivity of the experiment

Page 13: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Beam Systematics: Predict the Far Spectrum

Event spectra at far detectors located at different positions derived from the single near detector spectrum using different particle production models.

Four different histograms superimposed

Total flux predictable to ~1-2 %.

Page 14: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Sources of the e background

At low energies the dominant background is from +e+

+e+ decay, hence

K production spectrum is not a major source of systematics

e background directly related to the spectrum at the near detector

AllK decays

e/ ~0.5%

Page 15: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Background rejection: beam + detector issue

e background

NC (visible energy), no rejection

spectrum

Spectrum mismatch: These neutrinos contribute to background, but no signale (|Ue3|2 = 0.01)

NuMI low energy beam

NuMI off-axis beam

These neutrinos contribute to background, but not to the signal

Page 16: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Fighting NC background:the Energy Resolution

Cut around the expected signal region to improve signal/background ratio

Page 17: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Sensitivity: eefficiency and NC rejection

Major improvement of sensitivity by improving ID efficiency up to ~50%

Factor of ~ 100 rejection (attainable) power against NC sufficient

NC background not a major source of the error, but a near detector probably desirable to measure it

Page 18: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

NuMI Beam Layout

Carrier Tunnel(10Õ x 10Õ)

Target Hall(25ÕW x 30-60ÕH x 175ÕL)

Decay Tunnel(21Õ6ÓD + 4Õwalkway) Beam Absorber

Muon Detectors

MINOSService Bldg .

MINOS Hall(35ÕW x 32ÕH x 150ÕL)

MINOS Near Detector

MINOS Hall Tunnel

Target Shaft Area MINOS Shaft Area

600ft 225ft 2,200ft 1,100ft

Extraction Hall

Target Service

EAV -2&3EAV -1EAV -4

Target ServiceMINOS Service Bldg .

Beam Absorber Access Tunnel

Near off-axis detector

Page 19: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Antineutrinos are very importantAntineutrinos are crucial to understanding:

• Mass hierarchy• CP violation• CPT violation

High energy beams experience: antineutrinos are ‘expensive’. For the same number of POT

Ingredients: (+)~3(-) (large x)

NuMI ME beam energies:

(+)~1.15(-) (charge conservation!)

Neutrino/antineutrino events/proton ~ 3

Backgrounds very similar to the neutrino case (smaller NC background)

(no Pauli exclusion ~25% at 0.7 GeV)

Page 20: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Detector(s) Challenge• Surface (or light overburden)

High rate of cosmic ’s Cosmic-induced neutrons

• But: Duty cycle 0.5x10-5

Known direction Observed energy > 1 GeV

Principal focus: electron neutrinos identification

• Good sampling (in terms of radiation/Moliere length)

Large mass:

• maximize mass/radiation length

• cheap

Page 21: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

NuMI Off-axis Detector

• Different detector possibilities are currently being studied (D. Harris’ talk)

• The goal is an eventual 20 kt fiducial volume detector

• The possibilities are:• Low Z imaging calorimeter with RPC’s, drift

tubes or scintillator• Liquid Argon (a large version of ICARUS)• Water Cherenkov counter

Page 22: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Backgrounds Summary

e component of the beam– Constrained by interactions observed in the near MINOS detector

()– Constrained by interactions observed in the near MINOS detector

()– Constrained by pion production data (MIPP)

NC events passing the final analysis cuts (0?)– Constrained by neutrino data from K2K near detector– Constrained by the measurement of EM ‘objects’ as a function of

Ehad in the dedicated near detector Cosmics

– Cosmic muon induced ‘stuff’ overlapped with the beam-induced neutrino event

– (undetected) cosmic muon induced which mimics the 2 GeV electron neutrino interaction in the direction from Fermilab within 10 sec beam gate

• Expected to be very small

• Measured in a dedicated setup (under construction)

Page 23: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

NuMI Beam: wide range of possible sites

•Collection of possible sites, baselines, beam energies•Physcis/results driven experiment optimization•Complementarity with other measurements (Cluster of detectors? JHF? => K. Whisnant’s talk)

Page 24: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Two Most Attractive Sites

• Closer site, in Minnesota– About 711 km from Fermilab– Close to Soudan Laboratory– Unused former mine– Utilities available– Flexible regarding exact location– CNA study

• Further site, in Canada, along Trans-Canada highway– About 985 km from Fermilab– There are two possibilities:

• About 3 km to the west, south of Stewart Lodge• About 2 km to the east, at the gravel pit site, near compressor

station

Page 25: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Two phase program

Phase I (~ $50 M, running 2007 – 2014)• 20 kton (fiducial) detector with ~35-40%• 4x1020 protons per year

• 1.5 years neutrino (2400 CC, 70-80% ‘oscillated’)

• 5 years antineutrino (2600 CC, 70-80% ‘oscillated’)

Phase II (~ $500M, running 2014-2020)• 100 kton (fiducial) detector with ~35-40%• 20x1020 protons per year• 1.5 years neutrino (60000 CC, 70-80% ‘oscillated’)

• 5 years antineutrino (65000 CC, 70-80% ‘oscillated’)

Page 26: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Expected precision of Phase I and II (statistical)

Phase II:

• Measure 0.01 probability to 5% ()

• Measure 0.02 probability to 20% ()

Phase I:

• Measure 0.01 probability to 25% ()

Page 27: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Sensitivity of the off-axis experiment

Sensitivity to ‘nominal’ |Ue3|2 (I.e. neglecting CP phase ) at the level 0.001 (phase I) and 0.0002 (phase II)

Page 28: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Important Reminder

• Experiment measures oscillation probability. It is not unambigously related to fundamental parameters, 13 or

Ue32

• At low values of sin2213 (~0.01), the uncertainty could

be as much as a factor of 4 due to matter and CP effects

• Measurement precision of fundamental parameters can be optimized by a judicious choice of running time between and

Page 29: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

NuMI Of-axis Sensitivity for Phases I and II

We take the Phase II to have 25 times higher POT x Detector mass

Neutrino energy and detector distance remainthe same

Page 30: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Result-driven program: L, E flexibility

Phase I: run at 712 km, oscillation maximum

Where to locate Phase II detector?

Matter effects amplify the effect: increase statistics at this location

Osc. Maximum induces =0/ ambiguity move to lower/higher energy

Matter induces /2 vs ambiguity move to the second maximum

Page 31: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Modular, transportable detector

Super-superbeam somewhere? Here we come!

Sin2213=0.05

Page 32: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Determination of mass hierarchy

Matter effects can amplify theeffect, [sgn(m2

13=+1), =3/2], or reduce the effect [sgn(m2

13=-1), =/2], and induce the degeneracy at smaller values of sin2213.

In the latter case a measurement at the location where matter effects are small (even with neutrinos only!) breaks the degeneracy and extends the hierarchy determination to lower values of sin2213. complementarity of NuMI and JHF

Page 33: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Beam-Detector Interactions

• Optimizing beam can improve signal• Optimizing beam can reduce NC backgrounds

• Optimizing beam can reduce intrinsic e

background– Easier experimental challenge, simpler

detectors• # of events ~ proton intensity x detector mass

– Split the money to maximize the product, rather than individual components

Page 34: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

A Quest for NuMI Proton Intensity1998 Letter from "Now" 2005 2005 2008 2010 2010+John Peoples "current plan" possible possible Recycler Proton

Stacking LinacProtons per Booster batch 7.00E+12 4.50E+12 5.00E+12 5.50E+12 6.00E+12 6.50E+12Batches available for MINOS 5 5 5 10 10 10Relative Efficiency per batch 1 1 1 0.7 0.9 0.95Protons per MI Cycle 3.50E+13 2.25E+13 2.50E+13 3.85E+13 5.40E+13 6.18E+13 1.00E+14

MI Cycle Period (seconds) 1.9 2.5 1.9 2.22 1.72 1 1Beam Power (MW) 0.35 0.17 0.25 0.33 0.60 1.17 1.90NuMI Running time per year (seconds) 2.00E+07 1.50E+07 1.80E+07 1.80E+07 2.00E+07 2.00E+07 2.00E+07

Protons per year 3.68E+20 1.35E+20 2.37E+20 3.12E+20 6.28E+20 1.24E+21 2.00E+21

Nominal “NuMI year”NuMI Intensity Working Group,D. Michael/P. Martin

Page 35: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

What if?

Solar neutrinos NOT in LMA (m212<<10-5 eV2)

– CP not measurable in terrestial experiments– Measure sin2213 (no ambiquities!)– Determine mass hierarchy

sin2213<<<1– Mesure m2

12 if m212 > 10-4 eV2

There are no -> e oscillations– Set a limit at the level P ~ 10-4

– Determine sin2223 to better than 1% (systematics limited, off-axis beam being a major factor in reducing the systematic error)

Page 36: September 20, 2002 NeSS 2002 Adam Para, Fermilab Physics Opportunities with NuMI Beam Physics Motivation Off-axis NuMI Beam Backgrounds and Detector Issues

September 20, 2002

NeSS 2002Adam Para, Fermilab

Conclusions

-> e oscillations provide a powerful tool to determine fundamental parameters of the neutrino sector

NuMI neutrino beam offers an unique laboratory for an optimal -> e oscillation experiment:

Matter effects L/E optimization

Off-axis detector(s) in combination with a realistic upgrades of the Fermilab proton intensity will improve our sensitivity by two orders of magnitude over the CHOOZ limit

Determination of the mass hierarchy and a discovery of the CP violation in the neutrino sector may be well within our reach

Neutrino beam will start in 2004. Large affordable detector(s) can be constructed in 4-5 years. Let’s do it!