sit rep january 30 2011

8/6/2019 Sit Rep January 30 2011

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Confidential Weekly Edition

Pakistan Security and Political

Situation Report & ThreatAnalysis

2011 BrassTacks. All Rights Reserved

Date: January 30, 2011


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Confidential Material: Not for public distribution, circulation or sale outside the BrassTacks

authorized end users.

2008 BrassTacks. All rights reserved.

This document is protected by copyright. No part of it may be reproduced, or transmitted, inany form or by any means, electronic or otherwise, without the written permission of

BrassTacks.

The information in this document is furnished for informational use only. Great care has been

taken to maintain the accuracy of the information contained in this document. However,

neither BrassTacks nor the authors can be held responsible for errors or for any consequences

arising from the use of the information contained herein.

[email protected]
mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]


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Pakistan-India Relations, Kashmir and External Defense

Analysis.

Eastern Front:

This is interesting that even the most corrupt and compromised Interior Minister is also

forced to say that Afghanistan was used to orchestrate a sinister dismemberment plan

for Pakistan but the plan was foiled by the army.

-----------------------------------------------------------------

Conspiracy to break Pakistan foiled, says Malik-----------------------------------------------------------------

By Raja Asghar

ISLAMABAD, Jan 28: Interior Minister Rehman Malik told the National Assembly on

Friday the government was in possession of the blueprint of a conspiracy to break up

Pakistan, starting with Balochistan province, but that the plot was foiled by the countrysarmed forces. He did not say who hatched the conspiracy but offered an in-camera briefing to

the house after an opposition lawmaker from Balochistan complained of a continuous

lifting and extra-judicial killing of students in his troubled province that he said must bestopped...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/conspiracy-to-break-pakistan-foiled-says-malik.html

Last week, we had given the following assessment on the Indian strategy towards

Pakistan:

Indians are having a vice grip on Pakistan through Afghanistan, right under the US

patronage. It is so ironic that Pakistans arch enemy is the strategic ally of the Americans inAfghanistan to create the right chaos and anarchy in Pakistan through TTP to draw Pakistan

into an open war with the Afghan Taliban, especially in the North Waziristan. Not just on the

military axis on ground, Indians also control US aid into Pakistan! The director of US aid

controlling and setting conditions for aid to Pakistan is an Indian-American, using the

American money and the subsequent clout to expand the Indian agenda!!For now, it is the Indians who have an upper hand, thanks to their media and their presence in

Afghanistan which is allowing them to wage multiple insurgencies in FATA, Baluchistan and

Karachi

For the past 10 years particularly, India has been able to pull off audacious plans againstPakistan by fooling the Americans to believe that Pakistan is the epicenter of global terror

and thus US and India must work in closest cooperation in Afghanistan and in the 21 st

century to contain the Islamic threat. This can be graded as a spectacular success of Indian

foreign policy and diplomacy to dupe the Americans into following Indian foreign policy lineagainst Pakistan. Exploiting the American fears of Pakistani Islamic potential and Chinasfuture global leader status, Indians are now piggybacking on US strengths, technology and

global outreach to grab whatever regional and global role Delhi can grab. Americans are thus
http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/conspiracy-to-break-pakistan-foiled-says-malik.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/conspiracy-to-break-pakistan-foiled-says-malik.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/conspiracy-to-break-pakistan-foiled-says-malik.html


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creating a monster of Hindu terror which would threaten the regional as well as global peace

in not so far future. While India is the new strategic ally, Pakistan remains a threat despite thesuperficial faade of being ally in WOT.

----------------------------------------------------------------

US ends restrictions on defence exports to India

----------------------------------------------------------------By Anwar Iqbal

WASHINGTON, Jan 26: As US President Barack Obama on Wednesday praised Americasrelationship with India as one of the defining partnerships of the 21st century, a senior State

Department official announced ending export restrictions on Indian defence and space

industries. The United States had imposed these restrictions after 1998, when India tested itsnuclear devices triggering similar tests by Pakistan...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/us-ends-restrictions-on-defence-exports-to-india.html

----------------------------------------------------------------

US makes veiled attack on Pakistan

----------------------------------------------------------------GENEVA, Jan 27: The United States said on Thursday it wanted to revive global arms

control talks and no country had the right to block nuclear negotiations, in what diplomats

said was clear criticism of Pakistan. Rose Gottemoeller, Assistant US Secretary of State forarms control, verification and compliance said protracted deadlock at the Conference on

Disarmament (CD) could spell the end of its usefulness...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/us-makes-veiled-attack-on-pakistan.html

It is thus understandable that Indians would continue to bring Pakistan under pressure

over Mumbai and terrorism allegations. Indian media and perception managementteams have practically routed the Pakistani information ministry and foreign office.

----------------------------------------------------------------

Krishna again invites Qureshi----------------------------------------------------------------

ISLAMABAD, Jan 25: Indian External Affairs Minister S. M. Krishna renewed invitation to

Foreign Minister Shah Mehmood Qureshi on Tuesday to visit Delhi to carry forward thedialogue process that had been bogged down because of differences over how to deal with

gaping bilateral mistrust. Mr Qureshi rang up his Indian counterpart to felicitate him on the

occasion of Indias Republic Day (Jan 26). During the brief conversation, the two ministersexchanged views on bilateral relations.....

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/krishna-again-invites-qureshi.html

----------------------------------------------------------------

Detente hinges on Mumbai attacks trial: Krishna----------------------------------------------------------------

By Khawar Ghumman

NEW DELHI, Jan 26: India is ready to talk on all outstanding issues with Pakistan, including

Jammu and Kashmir, but it needs a firm reassurance that perpetrators of the Mumbai attackswill be brought to justice because the trial of the alleged terrorists appears to be going
http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/us-ends-restrictions-on-defence-exports-to-india.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/us-ends-restrictions-on-defence-exports-to-india.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/us-makes-veiled-attack-on-pakistan.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/us-makes-veiled-attack-on-pakistan.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/krishna-again-invites-qureshi.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/krishna-again-invites-qureshi.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/us-makes-veiled-attack-on-pakistan.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/us-ends-restrictions-on-defence-exports-to-india.html


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nowhere, according to Indian Foreign Minister S.M. Krishna. Prior to the Mumbai attacks,

things were really moving in the right direction, but that episode put the clock back and we,being a democratic country, could not remain oblivious to the feelings of our people. It was

shocking for us to know that Pakistanis were involved in those attacks, Mr Krishna told agroup of Pakistani journalists here on Wednesday...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/detente-hinges-on-mumbai-attacks-trial-krishna.html

There is no doubt that Pakistan will have to launch media and information war as ruthlesslyas diplomatic and political offensive if Islamabad wants to block Indian offensive, both on

ground and in the international arena. Indian stakes are heavily placed on US presence in

Afghanistan. If the US is evacuated or Pakistan gets a role in Afghan peace process, theentire Indian investment would come to naught. There is a reason why Indians are so nervous

about any role to Pakistan in Afghanistan.

----------------------------------------------------------------

Pakistan gets role in Afghan peace talks ------------------------------------------------------------------

By Baqir Sajjad SyedISLAMABAD, Jan 27: Pakistan and Afghanistan agreed on Thursday to set up a joint

commission for reaching out to Afghan Taliban, implying that Kabul has finally assigned a

formal role to Islamabad in the reconciliation processeven though only that of afacilitator. Both sides agreed on the creation and operationalisation of a two-tier joint body

headed by foreign ministers and deputy foreign minister/foreign secretary to support the

peace and reconciliation process, said a joint statement at the end of Pak-Afghan foreign

ministers talks...http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/pakistan-gets-role-in-afghan-peace-talks.html

It is the total and complete failure of Pakistan leadership that they have not been able to exert

themselves in Afghanistan nor have exploited the US dependence upon Pakistan. It has

become clear now that Pakistans national security policy has to start from clearing andeliminating Indian influence in Afghanistan. For now, Indians remain strong there, stabbing

Pakistan in the back at will.

Western Theatre:

Pakistan and US are now passing through a period of high friction and hostility. There are

multiple thorny issues which are now reaching the limits of a genuine crisis. Latest being thekilling of Pakistani citizens at the hands of CIA agents. US is now bearing down all the

political, diplomatic and financial pressure on Pakistan government to get their man released

who is now at the centre of a legal battle. There is a serious chance that this crisis may get outof hand as emotions are high in Pakistan and government is too weak to face the wrath of the

people. US is in a panic mode here. This is an unprecedented crisis and has brought the role

of CIA in Pakistan into media limelight in Pakistan. This is one publicity US never wanted

and now is fiercely in damage control mode. The fallouts of this crisis are going to be farreaching and multifaceted in bilateral Pak-US relations.
http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/detente-hinges-on-mumbai-attacks-trial-krishna.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/detente-hinges-on-mumbai-attacks-trial-krishna.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/pakistan-gets-role-in-afghan-peace-talks.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/pakistan-gets-role-in-afghan-peace-talks.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/pakistan-gets-role-in-afghan-peace-talks.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/detente-hinges-on-mumbai-attacks-trial-krishna.html


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----------------------------------------------------------------

Another man run over by Americans car: US official guns down two motorcyclists ----------------------------------------------------------------

By Asif Chaudhry

LAHORE, Jan 27: A US Consulate employee allegedly shot at and killed two youngmotorcyclists here on Thursday, while another motorcyclist was run over by his colleagues

riding another car, police and witnesses said. Raymond David told police that he had openedfire in self-defence.

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/us-official-guns-down-two-motorcyclists-in-lahore.html

----------------------------------------------------------------

Murder case registered: US consulate worker remanded in custody----------------------------------------------------------------

Dawn Report

LAHORE, Jan 28: The US consulate employee who shot dead two citizens here on Thursday

was remanded in police custody for six days on Friday.Raymond Davis was produced before a Cantonment area magistrate amid tight security,

where he pleaded that he had killed the two youths in self-defence...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/murder-case-registered-us-consulate-worker-remanded-in-custody.html

----------------------------------------------------------------

US activates diplomatic channel for immunity----------------------------------------------------------------

By Baqir Sajjad SyedISLAMABAD: The United States launched on Friday a flurry of diplomatic activity both in

Washington and Islamabad to seek diplomatic immunity for its Lahore Consulate employeeinvolved in self-defence killings. The meetings of top US diplomats with Pakistani officialscame as the accused, identified by local authorities as Raymond Davis, was produced before

a magistrate in Lahore...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/us-activates-diplomatic-channel-for-immunity.html

----------------------------------------------------------------

US seeks release of suspect; FO says law to take its own course ------------------------------------------------------------------

By Baqir Sajjad Syed

ISLAMABAD, Jan 29: In a clear about-turn on the status of the American charged with

murder of two motorcyclists in Lahore, the United States on Saturday claimed that theaccused was a diplomat and demanded his immediate release. The diplomat, assigned to theUS Embassy in Islamabad, has a US diplomatic passport and Pakistani visa valid until June

2012, a terse statement by the embassy said.http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/us-seeks-release-of-suspect-fo-says-law-to-take-its-own-

course.html
http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/us-official-guns-down-two-motorcyclists-in-lahore.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/us-official-guns-down-two-motorcyclists-in-lahore.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/murder-case-registered-us-consulate-worker-remanded-in-custody.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/murder-case-registered-us-consulate-worker-remanded-in-custody.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/murder-case-registered-us-consulate-worker-remanded-in-custody.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/us-activates-diplomatic-channel-for-immunity.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/us-activates-diplomatic-channel-for-immunity.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/us-seeks-release-of-suspect-fo-says-law-to-take-its-own-course.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/us-seeks-release-of-suspect-fo-says-law-to-take-its-own-course.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/us-seeks-release-of-suspect-fo-says-law-to-take-its-own-course.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/us-seeks-release-of-suspect-fo-says-law-to-take-its-own-course.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/us-seeks-release-of-suspect-fo-says-law-to-take-its-own-course.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/us-activates-diplomatic-channel-for-immunity.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/murder-case-registered-us-consulate-worker-remanded-in-custody.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/murder-case-registered-us-consulate-worker-remanded-in-custody.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/us-official-guns-down-two-motorcyclists-in-lahore.html


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----------------------------------------------------------------

Munter phones Nawaz----------------------------------------------------------------

LAHORE: Cameron Munter, the US Ambassador to Pakistan, rang up Nawaz Sharif, chief of

the PML-N, on Saturday and expressed regret over the death of three Pakistanis in the Lahore

incident. About Mr Davis, the ambassador contended that the US Embassy official be given

in the Americans custody since he enjoyed diplomatic immunity. But Mr Sharif politelyturned down the plea, saying that the matter was sub judice...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/munter-phones-nawaz-regrets-lahore-incident.html

Last week, we had given a detailed assessment of the Afghanistan war which has alsocreated a serious crisis for Pakistan and is causing heated friction between Pakistan and

US now. The size and nature of the Afghan army was one of the contentious issues. We

had written:

Afghan army consists of 2, 40,000 soldiers approximately, with hardly 30,000

Pashtuns as its members and that too in the lower cadre. The entire US strategy is to

strengthen the Tajiks, Uzbeks and Hazara groups against Pashtuns. This is creating astrong sense of anger and alienation within the majority of the Pashtuns and Taliban

are exploiting this sense of anger and insecurity to gather more volunteers to the

cause.US is now waging a ruthless war in Pashtun regions to crush the Pashtun resistance

which is now genuinely under pressure as villages after villages are beingdemolished. US have not used this brutal strategy till now and this new ruthless war

against the local population is crushing the Taliban

Pakistan has raised the issue of Afghan army which the US has rejected. US does not

want to make it easy for Pakistan in the future. Even if the US decide to reduce thenumber of its troops as Obama is promising, the dominantly Tajik and Uzbek Afghan

army trained by Indian officers and academies would remain hostile towards Pakistan.

----------------------------------------------------------------

US ignores Pakistans concerns on Afghan army ----------------------------------------------------------------

By Our Correspondent

WASHINGTON, Jan 25: The United States has decided to induct almost half a million troopsin the Afghan national security forces, overruling Pakistans concern that such a large

military on its western border will heighten its own security concerns, a senior US lawmaker

said on Tuesday. Senate Armed Services Committee Chairman Carl Levin told a briefing in

Washington that the Obama administration had decided to expand Afghan security forces byroughly 70,000 over the current target of training and arming 306,000 Afghan military by

2012......

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/us-ignores-pakistans-concerns-on-afghan-army.html
http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/munter-phones-nawaz-regrets-lahore-incident.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/munter-phones-nawaz-regrets-lahore-incident.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/us-ignores-pakistans-concerns-on-afghan-army.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/us-ignores-pakistans-concerns-on-afghan-army.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/munter-phones-nawaz-regrets-lahore-incident.html


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----------------------------------------------------------------

Obama reviews troop pullout plan----------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON, Jan 28: US President Barack Obama and aides have discussed their goals

for Afghanistan and Pakistan for this year, which includes a gradual withdrawal of US troops

from July, the White House says. Mr Obama chaired the national security meeting which

began at 11am on Thursday and ended late in the afternoon...http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/obama-reviews-troop-pullout-plan.html

As we wrote last week also, Karzai is visibly nervous also and now fears for his ownfuture under growing non-Pashtun influence in the armed forces. He has been outspokenlately against western presence in Afghanistan also signaling his weakening position and

growing frictions between him and his patrons.

----------------------------------------------------------------

Karzai opens parliament----------------------------------------------------------------

KABUL, Jan 26: Afghan President Hamid Karzai inaugurated parliament on Wednesday,ending weeks of political infighting, but took a dig at the West saying foreign

interference had been a serious problem.Western diplomats called the event a big dayfor Afghanistan, but the comments exposed the often frayed ties between Mr Karzai and hisUS-led western backers and in private officials warned of a bigger battle ahead between the

president and his new parliament...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/karzai-opens-parliament.html

But while US plans to leave and Karzai battles for his own future against growing threat from

his own allies, the real threat to US and foreign forces lurks somewhere else as Talibanresistance continues to get more and more ruthless and effective despite taking losses in the

brutal war being waged by the US in the South of the country against Pashtun resistance.

----------------------------------------------------------------

Suicide bomber kills Kandahar deputy governor----------------------------------------------------------------

KANDAHAR, Jan 29: The deputy governor of Afghanistans southern province of Kandahar,the spiritual home of the Taliban, was killed by a suicide bomber on Saturday, the provincial

chief said. Deputy Governor Abdul Latif Ashna had just left his home and was on his way tohis office when a suicide bomber on a motorcycle blew himself up near his vehicle, said

Governor Tooryalai Wesa...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/suicide-bomber-kills-kandahar-deputy-governor.html

As we wrote last week, Afghan war has entered a decisive phase for all parties having

their stakes in the decade long conflict. It is going to be a ruthless game of cut throat

geo-politics in the coming months:

2011 is the critical decisive year for all factions in the Afghan conflict, including Pakistan. If

the Pashtun resistance is crushed, Pakistan would be the net loser in the entire equation.Pakistan will have to take sides or at least get aggressively involved in the Afghan peace
http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/obama-reviews-troop-pullout-plan.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/obama-reviews-troop-pullout-plan.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/karzai-opens-parliament.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/karzai-opens-parliament.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/suicide-bomber-kills-kandahar-deputy-governor.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/suicide-bomber-kills-kandahar-deputy-governor.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/suicide-bomber-kills-kandahar-deputy-governor.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/karzai-opens-parliament.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/obama-reviews-troop-pullout-plan.html


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solutions. Foreign forces are creating anarchy. Muslim peace keeping forces could be the

alternate. Pakistan will have to take the initiative and the lead in bringing the warring Afghansides together and to ensure elimination of all terrorism in the region, either by local terrorists

or by their extra regional sponsors. Till now, Pakistan has not decided which side to take.

This is the reason why we see this anarchy and war inside Pakistan. History tells us that

being enemy of US is dangerous but being its ally is suicidal. It is time Pakistan learns from

its own history

Political / Economic Axis:

The political, economic and administrative circus is now ridiculously silly to the point of

creating a national meltdown. We dont see a single sign to suggest any positive development

on any axis of crisis. Cabinet is being revamped, corruption is rampant, IMF is pressing hard

for privatization of national assets, opposition is threatening resistance, crushing taxes arebeing imposed, fuel prices are being hikes and inflation is in double digits.Supreme Court is

almost overwhelmed with the cases and there is total and complete governance failure at all

levels. The parliament and the government are on a fast track plan to create total andcomplete social, provincial and economic anarchy in the country. Much of their acts are

through sheer incompetence but much more is deliberate designs to create chaos.

-----------------------------------------------------------------

Awans premature disclosure on cabinet cut angers PPP-----------------------------------------------------------------

By Amir WasimISLAMABAD, Jan 23: The premature announcement on Saturday by Law Minister Babar

Awan about the governments plan to rightsize the federal cabinet has annoyed the top

party leadership, besides putting pressure on Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani to go fordissolution of the whole cabinet before nominating a new, trimmed team of ministers.

Sources told Dawn the PPP leadership was now giving a serious thought to the proposed plan

to dissolve the cabinet in a move to avoid possible embarrassment for those ministers who

would face the axe...http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/24/awans-disclosure-on-cabinet-cut-angers-ppp.html

----------------------------------------------------------------

NA bill proposes eight national languages----------------------------------------------------------------

By Raja AsgharISLAMABAD, Jan 25: Pakistan will have up to eight national languages not just Urdu

if a private bill introduced in the National Assembly on Tuesday without any government

objection is passed by parliament as a constitutional amendment.

The introduction of the long-pending and potentially divisive bill came after the governmentsaid it had no objection to the process, but there was no immediate indication if the ruling

Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) would actually back the draft, most of whose 22 authors are itsmembers, with Nawab Mohammad Yusuf Talpur on the top of the list, along with some well-

known members of the opposition Pakistan Muslim League-Q....

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/na-bill-proposes-eight-national-languages.html
http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/24/awans-disclosure-on-cabinet-cut-angers-ppp.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/na-bill-proposes-eight-national-languages.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/na-bill-proposes-eight-national-languages.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/na-bill-proposes-eight-national-languages.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/24/awans-disclosure-on-cabinet-cut-angers-ppp.html


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Last week, we had given the following assessment of the anarchy.

The government is in real crisis now. In a desperate attempt to salvage whatever is left of

its political or moral credibility, the federal cabinet is either being dissolved or being

radically revamped to bring some new faces to take the heat off the corrupt and incompetent

ministers in the government.The artificial crisis of gas and energy has crippled the national economy and the lame stooge

PM is desperately trying to balance his survival skills. IMF is also cracking down upon thegovernment to implement the secret terms of taxation and privatization which this

government is unable to do. This government does not have any revenue generation plan

except to take more loans and thus pledge the country against loans, interests and corruption.The pressure is now cracking up the government as they plan a cabinet overhaul.

This government is a national security disaster. It is illegal, immoral, unconstitutional,

corrupt and incompetent. SC has the duty and the legal authority to dissolve it. If the SC does

not do its duty, the street anarchy would sweep away all laws, rules and the government.Then the army would be forced to step in to try to stabilize the situation. It seems that SC is

still reluctant to remove the government on corruption and bad governance and the situation

would continue to deteriorate. Army will have to move in sooner than later it seems. Thesituation is simply untenable

MQM leader is one of the most sinister gangster in Pakistani politics. Protected by British

intelligence, he enjoys the perks in London and works feverishly to create environment for

dismemberment of Pakistani state and society. PML(N) remains an incompetent and corrupt

party though not as violent as MQM.

----------------------------------------------------------------

Altaf calls for martial law in Punjab----------------------------------------------------------------

By Shamim-ur-RahmanKARACHI, Jan 24: Muttahida Qaumi Movement chief Altaf Hussain said on Monday that

martial law should be imposed in Punjab since crimes against women and kidnappings forransom were rife in the province. He appealed to the people and students of Punjab to support

his partys demand. Those who impose martial law every now and then, why are they not

coming forward to end the curse of extortion, killings and other crimes, he wondered... http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/25/altaf-calls-for-martial-law-in-punjab-2.html

----------------------------------------------------------------

PML-N, MQM trade barbs in NA----------------------------------------------------------------

ISLAMABAD, Jan 25: The Pakistan Muslim League (Nawaz) and the Muttahida Qaumi

Movement indulged in a nasty blame game in the National Assembly on Tuesday as the twoparties accused each other of point-scoring in the wake of fragile law and order situation.

Legislators of both parties erupted in a cacophony after PML-N leader Ahsan Iqbal said that

MQMs London-based leader was a foreign national, but was talking of military coup inPakistan....

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/pml-n-mqm-trade-barbs-in-na.html
http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/25/altaf-calls-for-martial-law-in-punjab-2.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/pml-n-mqm-trade-barbs-in-na.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/pml-n-mqm-trade-barbs-in-na.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/pml-n-mqm-trade-barbs-in-na.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/25/altaf-calls-for-martial-law-in-punjab-2.html


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----------------------------------------------------------------

Deadline wont be extended: Nawaz----------------------------------------------------------------

By Amir Wasim

ISLAMABAD, Jan 27: The leadership of the Pakistan Muslim League-N is dissatisfied over

inaction on the part of the government in implementing the partys 10-point reforms agendaand says that its 45-day deadline will not be extended. The agenda must be implemented

within 45 days at all costs because extending the date will not be in national interest, PML -N chief Nawaz Sharif said at a meeting of his partys senior leaders here on Thursday...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/deadline-wont-be-extended-nawaz.html

The panicking PPP government resorts to threats and blackmail to subdue the opposition.

Reviving the corruption cases is an old tactic to bring hostile opposition in line.

----------------------------------------------------------------

NABs move to review old cases angers PML-N

----------------------------------------------------------------By Our Staff Reporter

ISLAMABAD, Jan 29: The Pakistan Muslim League-N is dismayed over the National

Accountability Bureaus decision to review the pending references filed before 2005, fearingthat the exercise is being carried out to close down corruption cases against President Asif

Zardari and others, including some ministers. This decision appears to have been made witha mala fide intention by a handpicked NAB chairman at a time when the PPP and the PML-N

are discussing the future of the bureau at a committee level, PML -N spokesman Ahsan Iqbalsaid while talking to Dawn on Saturday...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/nabs-move-to-review-old-cases-angers-pml-n.html

Corruption has brought the entire national infrastructure at the risk of collapse. At

every levels, the government and the ministers are minting money as if there is notomorrow.

----------------------------------------------------------------

Power firms hit out at PSO, threaten to invoke guarantees ----------------------------------------------------------------

By Khaleeq KianiISLAMABAD, Jan 23: With energy sector in serious liquidity crisis, the power companies

are threatening to invoke sovereign guarantees provided on behalf of public sector

companies, posing a serious threat to the countrys image, a senior water and power ministry

official said. The official said the power ministry had conveyed the situation to the ministryof finance and the prime minister because they had to take remedial measures. The official

shared with Dawn a summary sent to the economic coordination committee of the cabinet

which said because of the previous years subsidy overhang and non-payment by provincesand KESC, Pepco has not been able to fulfil contractual commitments to suppliers...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/24/power-firms-hit-out-at-pso-threaten-to-invoke-

guarantees.html
http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/deadline-wont-be-extended-nawaz.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/deadline-wont-be-extended-nawaz.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/nabs-move-to-review-old-cases-angers-pml-n.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/nabs-move-to-review-old-cases-angers-pml-n.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/24/power-firms-hit-out-at-pso-threaten-to-invoke-guarantees.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/24/power-firms-hit-out-at-pso-threaten-to-invoke-guarantees.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/24/power-firms-hit-out-at-pso-threaten-to-invoke-guarantees.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/24/power-firms-hit-out-at-pso-threaten-to-invoke-guarantees.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/nabs-move-to-review-old-cases-angers-pml-n.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/deadline-wont-be-extended-nawaz.html


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-----------------------------------------------------------------

Kazmis bank accounts frozen-----------------------------------------------------------------

ISLAMABAD, Jan 24: In a fresh development in the Haj scam, the Federal Investigation

Agency (FIA) on Monday froze three foreign bank accounts of former religious affairs

minister Hamid Saeed Kazmi in Multan, a senior official of the agency said.The tracing and freezing of Mr Kazmis foreign currency accounts (FCAs) may create further

trouble for him as he has already been accused of involvement in the fraud...http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/25/kazmis-bank-accounts-frozen.html

----------------------------------------------------------------

NICL, PSM scams: SC vows to punish the corrupt----------------------------------------------------------------

By Nasir IqbalISLAMABAD, Jan 24: In a loud and clear warning to all and sundry, the Supreme Court

reiterated on Monday that it would not tolerate corruption and said it had the constitutional

mandate and the executive and judicial authority to enforce this decision.There will be no compromise in future on corruption cases. Do whatever you can, said

Chief Justice Iftikhar Mohammad Chaudhry while heading a three-member bench hearing

cases relating to alleged corruption in the affairs of National Insurance Company Limited(NICL) and Pakistan Steel Mills (PSM)...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/25/nicl-psm-scams-sc-vows-to-punish-the-corrupt-2.html

----------------------------------------------------------------

Moonis Ellahi among NICL scam beneficiaries: SC orders action if FIA DG protects

accused----------------------------------------------------------------

By Nasir IqbalISLAMABAD, Jan 25: The Supreme Court bench hearing a case related to alleged corruption

in the National Insurance Company was informed on Tuesday that Moonis Ellahi, the son offormer Punjab chief minister Pervaiz Ellahi, was among the beneficiaries of the scam

involving payment of Rs220 million in bribes.

The case pertains to procurement of land on exorbitant by the NICLs former chairman, AyazKhan Niazi, which caused a huge loss to the national exchequer....

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/moonis-ellahi-among-nicl-scam-beneficiaries-sc-orders-

action-if-fia-dg-protects-accused.html

----------------------------------------------------------------

SC seeks record of Reko Diq deal----------------------------------------------------------------

By Our Staff Reporter

ISLAMABAD, Jan 26: The Supreme Court has summoned the complete record of anagreement signed by the Balochistan government with a foreign firm in 1992 for exploration

of copper and gold reserves in Reko Diq. A bench hearing petitions against the award of a

mining contract to the TCC --- a Canadian and Chilean consortium of Barrick Gold andAntofagasta Minerals --- ordered Balochistan Additional Advocate General Attaullah Mengal
http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/25/kazmis-bank-accounts-frozen.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/25/kazmis-bank-accounts-frozen.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/25/nicl-psm-scams-sc-vows-to-punish-the-corrupt-2.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/moonis-ellahi-among-nicl-scam-beneficiaries-sc-orders-action-if-fia-dg-protects-accused.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/moonis-ellahi-among-nicl-scam-beneficiaries-sc-orders-action-if-fia-dg-protects-accused.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/moonis-ellahi-among-nicl-scam-beneficiaries-sc-orders-action-if-fia-dg-protects-accused.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/moonis-ellahi-among-nicl-scam-beneficiaries-sc-orders-action-if-fia-dg-protects-accused.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/25/nicl-psm-scams-sc-vows-to-punish-the-corrupt-2.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/25/kazmis-bank-accounts-frozen.html


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on Wednesday to ask the serving and former chief secretaries to appear on Thursday with the

record of the agreement signed in 1992 with the BHP. It said representatives of the provinceshould attend the proceedings...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/sc-seeks-record-of-reko-diq-deal.html

With no revenue generation strategy other than taking loans, the government has

quickly reached its borrowing limits and still continues to print bank notes causingdangerous 2 digit inflation.

----------------------------------------------------------------

Govt has crossed borrowing limit, say senators----------------------------------------------------------------

By Iftikhar A. Khan

ISLAMABAD, Jan 28: The government has crossed the borrowing limit prescribed under theFiscal Responsibility and Debt Limitation Act, 2005. During the question hour in the Senate

on Friday, Senators Haroon Akhtar and Prof Khursheed Ahmed said that under the law, the

public debt must not exceed 60 per cent of the GDP. But a recent briefing given to a Senatepanel by the State Bank clearly indicated that borrowing had gone up to about 64 per cent of

the GDP...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/govt-has-crossed-borrowing-limit-say-senators.html

----------------------------------------------------------------

SBP keeps interest rate unchanged, sees inflation at 16pc----------------------------------------------------------------

By Shahid Iqbal

KARACHI, Jan 29: The State Bank kept the policy interest rate for February and Marchunchanged at 14 per cent on Saturday, citing some positive economic indicators like lower

government borrowings and current account surplus, but said inflation could be as high as 16per cent during the current financial year. Unveiling the monetary policy at a press

conference, SBP Governor Shahid H. Kardar said the discount rate would remain at 14 percent, despite serious challenges to the monetary system and economy...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/sbp-keeps-interest-rate-unchanged-sees-inflation-at-

16pc.html

----------------------------------------------------------------

Customs dept on verge of collapse, FBR chief tells SC -----------------------------------------------------------------

By Our Staff Reporter

ISLAMABAD, Jan 27: The chairman of Federal Bureau of Revenue bemoaned before theSupreme Court here on Thursday that the customs department was dying in consequence of

the culture of tax avoidance. The tax gap in the United Kingdom is nine per cent and 22 percent in the USA, but in Pakistan it is 79 per cent. The greatest gap is in the corporate sector

because of which the customs department is dying, FBR Chairman Salman Siddiq saidbefore a bench comprising Chief Justice Iftikhar Mohammad Chaudhry, Justice Mohammd

Sair Ali, Justice Ghulam Rabbani and Justice Khalilur Rehman Ramday...http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/customs-dept-on-verge-of-collapse-fbr-chief-tells-sc.html
http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/sc-seeks-record-of-reko-diq-deal.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/sc-seeks-record-of-reko-diq-deal.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/govt-has-crossed-borrowing-limit-say-senators.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/govt-has-crossed-borrowing-limit-say-senators.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/sbp-keeps-interest-rate-unchanged-sees-inflation-at-16pc.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/sbp-keeps-interest-rate-unchanged-sees-inflation-at-16pc.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/sbp-keeps-interest-rate-unchanged-sees-inflation-at-16pc.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/customs-dept-on-verge-of-collapse-fbr-chief-tells-sc.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/customs-dept-on-verge-of-collapse-fbr-chief-tells-sc.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/customs-dept-on-verge-of-collapse-fbr-chief-tells-sc.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/sbp-keeps-interest-rate-unchanged-sees-inflation-at-16pc.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/sbp-keeps-interest-rate-unchanged-sees-inflation-at-16pc.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/govt-has-crossed-borrowing-limit-say-senators.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/sc-seeks-record-of-reko-diq-deal.html


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As a result, the poorest of the poor are now facing famine like crisis in many parts of thecountry but the government continues to impose more taxes and raise prices creating an

inferno which may dwarf Egypt and Tunisia. IMF has demanded privatization of major

national corporations and thus showing them in loss and dysfunctional remains a

deliberate strategy.

-----------------------------------------------------------------

Sindh faces Chad-like hunger, says Unicef-----------------------------------------------------------------

ISLAMABAD, Jan 26: The Sindh province, hit hard by last years floods, is suffering levelsof malnutrition almost as critical as Chad and Niger, with hundreds of thousands of children

at risk, Unicef said on Wednesday. A survey conducted by the provincial government and the

UN Childrens Fund revealed malnutrition rates of 23.1 per cent in northern Sindh and 21 .2per cent in the south...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/sindh-faces-chad-like-hunger-says-unicef.html

----------------------------------------------------------------Millions of flood-hit still struggle for food

----------------------------------------------------------------

By A ReporterISLAMABAD, Jan 26: Six months after devastating floods hit Pakistan, millions of people

are still in dire need of essential items and the crisis, which is far from over, could get worse,

an Oxfam report says. The report, Six months into the floods, said that although the aid

effort had reached millions, it had struggled to match the immense scale of human need...http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/millions-of-flood-hit-still-struggle-for-food.html

----------------------------------------------------------------

13pc increase in oil prices likely----------------------------------------------------------------

By Khaleeq KianiISLAMABAD, Jan 27: With the PPP-led government estimating about 13 per cent increase

in petroleum prices on Jan 31, all other parliamentary parties on Thursday opposed passing

on the raise to consumers. At a meeting of the parliamentary committee on oil pricing, led byPetroleum Minister Naveed Qamar, officials of the Ministry of Finance and Petroleum said

the government had set a revenue target of Rs300 billion for the current year...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/oil-prices-likely-to-increase-by-13pc.html

-----------------------------------------------------------------Railways fares go up by 10-20pc

-----------------------------------------------------------------

By Our Staff ReporterLAHORE, Jan 29: Following a green signal by the federal cabinet, the Pakistan Railways

decided on Saturday to raise passenger fares and freight charges by margins ranging between

10 and 20 per cent. The fares for short distance and shuttle passenger trains will go up by 10
http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/sindh-faces-chad-like-hunger-says-unicef.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/sindh-faces-chad-like-hunger-says-unicef.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/millions-of-flood-hit-still-struggle-for-food.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/millions-of-flood-hit-still-struggle-for-food.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/oil-prices-likely-to-increase-by-13pc.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/oil-prices-likely-to-increase-by-13pc.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/oil-prices-likely-to-increase-by-13pc.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/millions-of-flood-hit-still-struggle-for-food.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/27/sindh-faces-chad-like-hunger-says-unicef.html


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15

per cent, inter-city, mail and express by 15pc, non-stop by 20pc and freight charges by

20pc.The minimum distance limit has been increased from 20 kilometres to 40kms...http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/railways-fares-go-up-by-10-20pc.html

----------------------------------------------------------------

Reform in PR proposed before privatisation-----------------------------------------------------------------

By Amin AhmedISLAMABAD, Jan 29: The Planning Commission has said Pakistan Railways should be

reformed before its privatisation in phases. In a new report, the commission has said the

railways should outsource management of stations, allowing companies to run their owncontainer and other trains...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/reform-in-pr-proposed-before-privatisation.html

Pakistan is now also on the verge of an Egypt and Tunisia styled rebellions. Everyone

can see it but leaders of this corrupt regime remain in delusional denial. If the people

come out on the streets against this government, one can be sure that army would not beconfronting the people but would remove the government instead. The time for this

seems near.

Now we move on to internal security issues.
http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/railways-fares-go-up-by-10-20pc.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/railways-fares-go-up-by-10-20pc.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/reform-in-pr-proposed-before-privatisation.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/reform-in-pr-proposed-before-privatisation.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/reform-in-pr-proposed-before-privatisation.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/railways-fares-go-up-by-10-20pc.html


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There is still some confusion about Col Imam but as we wrote last week, TTP seems to

have assassinated the kidnapped former ISI official Col Imam as the government hadrefused to release captured terrorists. It is a ruthless war and would take some time to

subside though its intensity has come down considerably. The main region of violence is

NWFP.

----------------------------------------------------------------

Ex-ISI official Col Imam is now feared dead ----------------------------------------------------------------

By Pazeer Gul

MIRAMSHAH, Jan 23: A former official of the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), Sultan

Amir Tarar alias Col Imam, has been killed by his kidnappers in North Waziristan afterremaining in their captivity for about 10 months. According to sources, the killers were

keeping the body at an unknown place and demanding the release of their five associates who

are under detention for involvement in terrorist activities...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/24/ex-isi-official-col-imam-is-now-feared-dead.html

----------------------------------------------------------------

Mystery shrouds Col Imams death----------------------------------------------------------------

MIRAMSHAH, Jan 24: Mystery shrouded the death of Sultan Amir Tarar alias ColonelImam, a former ISI official, amid conflicting reports about the cause. According to some

reports, he was shot dead by his kidnappers while some sources put down the death to a heart

attack. Colonel Imam was seized by militants last March with another ex-spy and a British

journalist in North Waziristan...http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/25/mystery-shrouds-col-imams-death.html
http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/24/ex-isi-official-col-imam-is-now-feared-dead.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/25/mystery-shrouds-col-imams-death.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/25/mystery-shrouds-col-imams-death.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/24/ex-isi-official-col-imam-is-now-feared-dead.html


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CIA continues its drone strikes which are expected to grow rapidly this year evenexpanding into Baluchistan as it seems.

----------------------------------------------------------------

Three drone attacks kill 13

----------------------------------------------------------------By Our Correspondent

MIRAMSHAH, Jan 23: Thirteen people were killed and three others injured when US dronescarried out three attacks in North Waziristan on Sunday. Sources said that a drone fired two

missiles on a car in Asar Ismailkhel area of Dattakhel tehsil, 45km west of here, killing four

people travelling in it...http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/24/three-drone-attacks-kill-13.html

TTP had been ruthless this week, making multiple strikes at various places in the

country:

----------------------------------------------------------------ANP leaders guard killed

----------------------------------------------------------------

By Our CorrespondentTIMERGARA, Jan 25: A guard of ANP leader Senator Zahid Khan was killed and his

brother injured when some people attacked his hujra (guest house) in Odigram, Lower Dir

district, on Tuesday evening. Police said gunmen stormed the hujra and opened fire on people

sitting there....http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/anp-leaders-guard-killed.html

----------------------------------------------------------------

Blast kills three near Kohat Tunnel------------------------------------------------------------------

Dawn ReportKOHAT, Jan 28: At least three people were killed and several others injured in an explosion

near the Kohat Tunnel on Friday night. According to TV reports, the tunnel was closed after

the incident...http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/blast-kills-three-near-kohat-tunnel.html

----------------------------------------------------------------

3 traders shot dead in Bara

----------------------------------------------------------------By Our Correspondent

LANDI KOTAL, Jan 29: Three shopkeepers were killed and six others injured when security

forces opened fire after a rocket attack at Bara Bazaar in Khyber Agency on SaturdayLocal people said that rockets fired from unknown location landed near the main tehsil office

and the press club, injuring a security man...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/3-traders-shot-dead-in-bara.html
http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/24/three-drone-attacks-kill-13.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/anp-leaders-guard-killed.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/blast-kills-three-near-kohat-tunnel.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/blast-kills-three-near-kohat-tunnel.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/3-traders-shot-dead-in-bara.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/3-traders-shot-dead-in-bara.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/30/3-traders-shot-dead-in-bara.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/29/blast-kills-three-near-kohat-tunnel.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/anp-leaders-guard-killed.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/24/three-drone-attacks-kill-13.html


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18

-----------------------------------------------------------------

Terrorists strike double blow-----------------------------------------------------------------

Dawn Report

Two terror strikes within two hours shook Lahore and Karachi on Tuesday despite a

heightened security alert on account of Chehlum, leaving 15 people dead and wounding morethan 70. A teenager blew himself up in Lahore near a Chehlum procession, killing 11 people.

The Pakistani Taliban claimed responsibility for the attack, saying they had targeted police....http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/terrorists-strike-double-blow.html

----------------------------------------------------------------

Teenager kills 11 in Lahore----------------------------------------------------------------

By Asif ChaudhryLAHORE, Jan 25: At least 11 people were killed and 71 injured when a suicide bomber blew

himself up at a security picket at the Urdu Bazaar intersection on Circular Road on Tuesday.

The bomber, described by police officers to be in his early teens, was apparently seeking toget through to one of the two big congregations taking place in the city on the day....

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/teenager-kills-11-in-lahore.html

----------------------------------------------------------------

4 die in Karachi----------------------------------------------------------------

By S. Raza Hassan

KARACHI, Jan 25: At least four people, including three policemen and a passerby, were

killed and four others wounded after a bomb rigged to a motorcycle went off in Malir onTuesday. The blast took place near a medical centre in Darakhshan Society on the Sharea

Faisal, between Malir Halt and Malir 15, at a time when mourners were returning to theirhomes in Malir after taking part in a Chehlum procession....

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/4-die-in-karachi.html

In Baluchistan, the BLA is getting more and more ruthless as their leaders are arrestedand cadre targeted by the forces. Baluchistans crisiss centre of gravity also lies in

Afghanistan. The weak PPP government is so focused on day to day survival and corruption

that they have no time for resolving national issues.

----------------------------------------------------------------

Shahzain barred from leaving Quetta to thwart long march

----------------------------------------------------------------By Saleem Shahid

QUETTA, Jan 27: The government of Balochistan restricted on Thursday the movement of

Nawabzada Shahzain Bugti to Quetta for 90 days. The action was taken on the eve of a longmarch to Dera Bugti slated to begin on Friday...

http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/shahzain-barred-from-leaving-quetta-to-thwart-long-

march.html
http://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/terrorists-strike-double-blow.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/teenager-kills-11-in-lahore.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/4-die-in-karachi.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/shahzain-barred-from-leaving-quetta-to-thwart-long-march.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/shahzain-barred-from-leaving-quetta-to-thwart-long-march.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/shahzain-barred-from-leaving-quetta-to-thwart-long-march.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/shahzain-barred-from-leaving-quetta-to-thwart-long-march.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/28/shahzain-barred-from-leaving-quetta-to-thwart-long-march.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/4-die-in-karachi.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/teenager-kills-11-in-lahore.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/01/26/terrorists-strike-double-blow.html


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20

3.4 Peshawar / NWFP / Baluchistan / Northern Areas and AJK

Analysis:

This week in Peshawar, Threat levels are at 3.

Threat levels in other NWFP cities and towns like Kohat,

Dera Ismail, Mardan, would be 3 for the next week also.Swat, Dir and Malakand region as well as Buner is level 3.

Threat levels are at level 3 in Quetta, level 3 in tribal and interiorregions.

Kashmir is ok for now. Northern regions of Gilgit / Sakardu are tense but better at 3.

3.5 Current Terrorism / Security Threat Levels.

City / Region Threat Level

Islamabad Level 2

Karachi Level 3

Lahore Level 2

Punjab Level 2

NWFP* Level 4

PeshawarSwat, Buner, Malakand

Level 3Level 3

Quetta Level 3

Central Baluchistan / Kohlu /

Dera Bugti etc.

Level 3

Upper / Rural Sindh Level 3

Gilgit / SakarduKashmir

Level 3Level 2

*(Tribal areas, Parachinar, Miranshah and regions close to Afghan border)


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4.1 Threat Level Reference

Threat Level 1

No threat at all to expats, families and interests, except isolated possibilities of

muggings, petty thefts and stealing. No special precaution is required in traveling.

Threat Level 2

General Law and order problem in parts of the country. Basic precaution required in

traveling outstation. Caution and observation required against particular threatsbuilding up. No particular threat to families.

Threat Level 3

Serious law and order problems building up in some parts of the country. Travelrestrictions may be imposed. Families to remain within Islamabad or within homes

unless extremely necessary to travel. Evacuation plans may be made ready. Still

livable but high degree of caution is required all the time.

Threat Level 4

Threat of Limited war, social chaos and collapse of civil administration happening orexpected in certain parts of the country. Complete travel ban to be imposed towards

troubled regions. All staff, families and personal to remain restricted within

Islamabad or indoors. Evacuation of families and extra staff from the troubled

regions can begin; keeping only a rear guard team may be kept to look after interests.

Threat Level 5

Full blown war, civil war, total collapse of law and order, invasion/occupation of the

country. The rearguard team to get into their embassy and try to get out of the

country.


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4.2 Map of Pakistan

sit rep january 30 2011

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