skf q4 results 2019the demand for skf’s products and services is expected to be lower for the...

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SKF Q4 results 2019 Alrik Danielson, President and CEO

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Page 1: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

SKF Q4 results 2019

Alrik Danielson, President and CEO

Page 2: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

▪ Net sales of 21,208 M, organic growth -2.9%

▪ Underlying operating profit 2,181 M (2,197)Reported operating profit SEK 1,910 M (2,902)

▪ Underlying operating margin of 10.3% (10.4)Reported operating margin 9.0% (13.7)

▪ Investments 3.4 billion (2.6)

▪ Proposed dividend SEK 6.25 (6.00)

Q4 – strong performance on lower sales

3.4 bnInvestments

-2.9% Organic sales growth

2,181 MUnderlying operating profit

Page 3: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

Industrial - Good operational performance on lower sales 13.3% operating margin* (12.9), despite 1.2% drop in organic sales. Volumes significantly higher in Asia, relatively unchanged in Europe and significantly lower in North America

* Underlying operating margin

Page 4: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

Automotive - 7% drop in organic sales, good order intakeSignificantly lower sales volumes North America and Europe, lower sales volumes in Asia and significantly higher sales in Latin America. Operating margin* of 2.4%.

* Underlying operating margin

Page 5: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

© SKF Group

Europe

-3.0%

Asia/Pacific

+4.3%

Latin

America

+8.2%

North

America

-15.9%

Growth in Asia, slowing demand in North AmericaOrganic growth in local currency Q4 2019 vs Q4 2018

Page 6: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

Fee-based contract with Gerdau to improve productivity of Brazilian steel millsFee-based agreement aimed at increasing productivity and reducing unplanned downtime at Gerdau’s Charqueadas and Araçariguama steel mills in Brazil.

Page 7: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

Extending bearing life with the SKF Sensor roller systemThe sensor roller technology of load sensing allows SKF to measure bearing life – an important input for performance based contracts

Page 8: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

Q4 results – the detailsNiclas Rosenlew, CFO

Page 9: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

© SKF Group

Sales developmentSlowing organic growth, offset by currency impact

2018 2019

Percent y-o-y Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Organic +5.0 +0.3 -1.6 -3.0 -2.9

Structure -1.0 -2.5 -2.6 -2.6 -1.8

Currency +4.8 +5.7 +3.5 +4.2 +4.8

Net sales +8.8 +3.5 -0.7 -1.4 +0.1

Page 10: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

© SKF Group

Stable operating profit on lower sales

Page 11: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

© SKF Group

Operating profitContinued strong performance on cost savings

Page 12: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

© SKF Group

Industrial

▪ Net sales 15,362 M

▪ Organic sales -1.2%

▪ Underlying operating margin 13.3%, (12.9)Reported operating margin 12.4%, (18.3)

Automotive

▪ Net sales 5,847 M

▪ Organic sales -7.3%

▪ Underlying operating margin 2.4%, (3.8)

Reported operating margin 0.2%, (1.8)

Performance by customer group

* Underlying operating margin

Page 13: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

© SKF Group

Cash flow after investments before financing*

Strong cash flow despite increased investments

Accelerating

investments in

manufacturing

▪ 2016 1.9 billion

▪ 2017 2.2 billion

▪ 2018 2.6 billion

▪ 2019 3.4 billion

▪ 2020e 3.3 billion

Page 14: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

© SKF Group

Net working capital

Page 15: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

© SKF Group

Net debt/equity ratioStrong balance sheet positions us for the future

Page 16: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

© SKF Group

GFF launched in Oct 2019

First Green Bond launched in November

▪ Among the first issued by an industrial

company

▪ Very well received in the market

▪ 10 year maturity, 300 M EUR @ a record

low interest rate

Green Finance Framework (GFF): connecting funding strategy with climate objectives

SKF’s Green finance framework can be found at: https://www.skf.com/group/investors/green-finance-framework

Page 17: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

© SKF Group

Accelerating the ERP implementation

▪ Quicker roll-out; implementation in

stages during 2020-2025

▪ Fit-for-purpose approach to solutions

for sales, finance, logistics and

manufacturing

▪ Lower cost, expected annual spend

about 400-500 M

New structure for support functions

▪ Regional centres of excellence for HR,

communications and finance

▪ More efficient working practices through

digitalization

▪ Being implemented during 2020-2021

Continued operational improvements

Page 18: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

© SKF Group

Demand compared to the first quarter 2019

The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group,

including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive.

Demand is expected to be slightly higher in Asia, lower in Europe, significantly lower

in North America and significantly higher in Latin America.

February 2020: SKF demand outlook Q1 2020

Page 19: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

© SKF Group

Q1 2020:

▪ Financial net: around -225 million

▪ Currency impact on the operating profit is expected to be positive by 60 million

compared with 2018, based on exchange rates per 31 December, 2019.

2020:

▪ Tax level: around 28% for 2020, excluding effects from divestments.

▪ Additions to property, plant and equipment: around 3,300 million for

2020.

Guidance for 2020*

* Guidance is approximate and based on current assumptions and exchange rates.

Page 20: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

© SKF Group

Delivering solid results despite softer markets:

▪ Stable underlying operating margin

▪ Cost savings continue to offset cost inflation

We are investing for the future:

▪ Record levels of investments in our factories

Looking into Q1:

▪ Strong financial position; increased proposed dividend

▪ Expect lower volumes; uncertainty driven in part by impact from Coronavirus

Q4 2019: continued strong performance on lower sales

Page 21: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

SKF Q4 results 2019Q & A

Page 22: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

© SKF Group

Financial calendar

Q4 report 4 February

Stockholm Roadshow 4-5 February

US Roadshow 24-28 February

Annual report 4 March

Carnegie Conference Stockholm 6 March

BAML London Conference March

Annual General Meeting 26 March

Q1 report 23 April

Page 23: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive

© SKF Group

This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are based on the current expectations of the

management of SKF.

Although management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are

reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct.

Accordingly, results could differ materially from those implied in the forward-looking statements as a

result of, among other factors, changes in economic, market and competitive conditions, changes in the

regulatory environment and other government actions, fluctuations in exchange rates and other factors

mentioned in SKF's latest annual report (available on www.skf.com) under the Administration Report;

“Risk management at SKF" and "Sensitivity analysis”.

Cautionary statement

Page 24: SKF Q4 results 2019The demand for SKF’s products and services is expected to be lower for the Group, including slightly lower demand for Industrial and lower demand for Automotive