source: globaldata source: coindesk · 9/8/2017 · typical remodels. the retailer, based in...
TRANSCRIPT
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September8,2017
DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
ChartoftheWeekStatoftheWeek
Deborah Weinswig Managing Director
FGRT
US: 917.655.6790
HK: 852.6119.1779
CN: 86.186.1420.3016
September 8, 2017
1) Thisweek’snote“FromtheDeskofDeborahWeinswig”discussesAmazon’snewlylaunchedEuropeanprivate-labelapparelbrand,Find.
2) BestBuyandMacy’sareexpandingtheirsame-daydeliveryoffersastheytrytobemorecompetitivewithonlineleaderAmazon.BestBuywillexpandsame-daydeliveryto27metropolitanmarketsfrom13startingnextweekandMacy’swilloffersame-daydeliveryin15additionalmarkets,foratotalof33areas.
3) FrenchdepartmentstoreGaleriesLafayettehasannouncedplanstoacquirea51%stakeinmail-orderandonlineretailerLaRedoute.TheacquisitionwilltakeplacethroughGaleriesLafayette’sholdingcompany,Motier,andisexpectedtobecompletedoverthenextfewmonths.
4) GoGoVan,alogisticson-demandproviderthatconnectsvandriversandcustomersfortransportinggoods,isHongKong’sfirst$1billionstartup,followingamergerdealwith58Suyun,afellowlogisticson-demandplatformthatisfocusedonservingconsumers.
BitcoinPriceDropsFollowingChineseRegulators’MoveAsofSeptember5,thepriceofbitcoinhaddeclinedbyabout20%fromSeptember1,whenthecryptocurrencyapproached$5,000,accordingtospecialistnewswebsiteCoinDesk.com.ThedeclinefollowednewsreportsthatChina’sfinancialregulatorswouldban
initialcoinofferings(ICOs)—thesalesofnewcryptographictokens—whichareusedasafundraisingmechanismfornew
businessventures.
Source:CoinDesk.com
75.1%
Source:GlobalData
• ThetotalUKdiscountretailmarketgrewby75.1%between2012and2017,accordingtomarketresearchfirmGlobalData.Aldi,LidlandB&MBargainsaretheleadingbrandsinthecountry,withacombinedshareof70%ofthetotalUKdiscountretailmarket.
• Themarketcouldgrowby36.1%between2017and2022asdiscountersbecomemoreappealingdestinationsforconsumerslookingforbargains,accordingtoGlobalData.
Aug29 Aug30 Aug31 Sep1 Sep2 Sep3 Sep4 Sep5
$4,991.66
$4,241.69
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September8,2017
DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
FromtheDeskofDeborahWeinswig
AmazonPushesFurtherintoFashioninEuropeThisweek,AmazonofficiallylauncheditsfirstfashionprivatelabelthatisdesignedinEuropespecificallyforEuropeanshoppers.TheFindbrandlaunchedwithaflurryofpresscoverageaswellasanunusuallystylishsubsiteonAmazon.co.uk.Wenotetwocharacteristicsofthebrand:
1. Lowprices:Pricesarehighlyaffordable,withmostmen’sjeanspricedbetween£24and£30(US$31andUS$39)andwomen’sdressesstartingat£16(US$21).
2. Middleground:Inmenswearinparticular,theFindbrand’sstylinglooks“safe,”withlow-pricestaplesmixedwithsomewhatconservative,smart-casualfashionranges.Amazonappearstohavedroppedsomemorefashion-forwarditemsintothewomenswearranges.
Thecurrentrangelooksbroadlyakinto“supermarketfashion,”andsoappearstopresentlittlenear-termthreattospecialistretailers—eventhoseinthemidmarket—thatenjoystrongfashioncredentials.
WewonderifthispositioningispartlyduetothefactthatAmazonisstillfindingitsfeetinapparel.Theretailer’sultra-broadpositioninglikelymakesittoughformanagementtoknowtowhom,exactly,itshouldpitchitsinauguralfashionrange:Howdoesthe“everythingstore”successfullypositionacategoryasdiverseandsegmentedasfashion?
WhoIsBehindtheFindRange?AmazonrecruitedexperiencednamesfromUKmass-marketretailerstodevelopitsfashionoffering.In2016,ithiredformerMarks&SpencerheadofwomenswearFrancesRussell.In2017,AmazonpoachedKarenPeacock,formerlytheheadofdesignforwomenswearandaccessoriesatMarks&Spencer,andGlenGeorge,formerlythedirectorofbuyingformenswearatPrimark.
MovingAmazonfromOff-PricetoOn-TrendWehavelongviewedAmazonasadefactooff-pricefashionretailer.OnecompetingInternetretailerrecentlycharacterizedAmazon’sfashionofferingtousasconsistingof“95%pastseasons’ranges.”
Gettingbrandsonboardtosupplyin-seasonproductdirectlyisonewaytochallengethisoff-priceimage.Butofferingprivatelabelsismoreimportant,becausearetailerdoesnotestablishfashioncredentialsinitsownrightsimplybysellingothercompanies’brands.
WethinkthereisscopeforAmazontooffermorefashionableprivate-labelranges,andinthecomingyears,weexpecttoseetheretailerusedataasthespringboardforitsoffering.Inparticular,weexpecttoseeAmazonmakeuseofthekindoftest-and-repeatmodelthatpure-playnamessuchasBoohoo.comusetodeveloptheirofferings—withthatmodel,theretailertestsproductsonitssiteandthenorderslargervolumesforthoseitemsthatprovepopularwithcustomers.
TheFindbrandhomepageSource:Amazon.co.uk
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DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
USRETAILEARNINGS
Company
Revenues(USDMil.)
YoY%Change GrossMargin(%)
Change(bps)
NetIncome(USDMil.)
YoY%Change StoreFleetEOP
Period TY LY
TY LY
TY LY
TY LY
Chico’sFAS 2Q17 579 636 (9.0) 36.1 37.9 (170) 23 23 (1.4) 1,575 1,595
DollarGeneral 2Q17 5,828 5,392 8.1 30.7 31.2 (45) 295 307 (3.8) 13,865 12,967
FiveBelow 2Q17 283 220 28.7 34.8 33.3 145 17 10 70.7 584 491
LululemonAthletica 2Q17 581 515 12.9 51.2 49.4 180 49 54 (9.2) 421 379
VeraBradley 2Q18 112 119 (5.7) 56.3 57.4 (105) 2 5 (57.1) 162 156
Source:Companyreports
USRETAIL&TECHHEADLINESBestBuy’sDigitalResurgenceContinueswithRecordOnlineRevenue,FueledbySeattleOffice(August29)GeekWire.com• BestBuyjusthitarevenuerecord,andtheonce-strugglingelectronicsretailercontinuesto
flourishthankstoapushtouniteitsin-storeandonlineexperiences.Inthelastquarter,BestBuyreported$1.1billioninUSonlinerevenue,acompanyrecordforanon-holidayquarter,anda31%year-over-yearincrease.ThisisthesecondtimeinarowthatBestBuyhasachievedmorethan$1billioninonlinerevenueinanon-holidayquarter.
• OnBestBuy’srecentearningscall,CEOHubertJolysaidthatdigitalwillcontinuetobeaninvestmentpriorityforthecompany.“Somuchofthecustomerexperiencehasbeenstartingonline,”hesaid.“Sowhatwe’reseeingtodayisthecontinuedeffectofthecumulativeinvestmentswe’vemadeinsimplifyingandstreamliningthecustomerexperience.There’salotofdetailsthatyoudototweakandeliminatethefrictionsinlog-in,incheckout,everystepinthejourney.”
CalvinKleinTestsItsLuxuryLine’sStayingPower(September3)TheWallStreetJournal• OnopeningnightofNewYorkFashionWeek,CalvinKleinishopingtoprovethatitsmuch-
laudednewluxurylineismorethanjustaone-hitwonder.ThecompanyhiredacclaimedfashiondesignerRafSimonslastyeartoleadwhatCEOSteveShiffmancallsa“creativerevolution,”overhaulingeverythingfromitsclothestoitslogo,nowofficiallyinallcapsandinanewcustomfontcalled“Klein.”
• Thedesigner’sdebutrunwayshowforthebrand’shighest-endready-to-wearcollectioninFebruarydrewwidespreadravesfromcriticsandretailers.Whilethebulkofsalesgrowthwillcontinuetocomefromthecompany’smidpricejeansandunderwear,whichSimonsdescribedas“incrediblyimportant”tothebrand,heenvisionsmoresalescomingfromthehigher-endcollectionthaninthepast.
WEINSWIG’SWATCHING
Thisweek,membersoftheFGRTteamattendedtheGoldmanSachs24thAnnualGlobalRetailingConferenceinNewYorkandtheBigData&AnalyticsInnovationSummitandChiefInnovationOfficerSummitinShanghai.Nextweek,teammemberswillattendtheTech.poweredbyRetailWeekconferenceinLondon.
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DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
Sources:DepartmentStoreOperatorBon-TonTurnstoTurnaroundAdvisors(August31)Reuters.com• USdepartmentstorechainBon-TonStoresishiringadvisorstohelpitturnaroundits
businessandslashitsdebtloadasitstrugglestocopewiththesector’sdownturn,accordingtopeoplefamiliarwiththematter.Themoveunderscoresthewoesofthebrick-and-mortarretailsector,whichhasbeenplaguedbynumerousbankruptciesthisyearasconsumersincreasinglymovetheirspendingtoe-commercecompaniessuchasAmazon.com.
• Bon-TonhastappedadvisoryfirmAlixPartnerstoprovideoperationaladviceonitsturnaroundeffortsandisalsointerviewingbankstoappointanadvisortoreviewstrategicoptionsthatincludedebtrestructuring,thesourcessaidthisweek.
Produce-FocusedRemodelsShowPromiseatDollarGeneral(August31)SupermarketNews.com• DollarGeneralsaidThursdaythatfood-focusedstoreremodels—includingsomethat
introducefreshproduceassortments—aregeneratingthreetofourtimesthesalesresultsoftypicalremodels.Theretailer,basedinGoodlettsville,TN,saidithadcompletedapproximately185storeremodels,aroundathirdofwhichincludeatestoffreshproduce,throughtheendofitsfiscalsecondquarter.
• Inkeepingwiththechain’semphasisonconsumablesasadriveroftrafficandlargerbaskets,CEOToddVasossaidthattheremodelinghasbeenfocusedonolderstoreswithfewerthan10coolerdoors,addinganaverageofaroundsevennewdoorsperlocation.“Webelievethat,overall,thiscouldbearealwinforDollarGeneralandforourconsumers,becausewhatitdoes[isoffer]ourconsumersitemssuchasproduce,expandedfresh,frozenanddairy-typeproducts,aswellasexpandedareasofdrygrocery[and]someofournonconsumableareas,”Vasossaid.
Macy’s,BestBuyExpandingSame-DayDeliveryService(August31)St.LouisPost-Dispatch• Macy’sandBestBuyareexpandingtheirsame-daydeliveryoffersastheytrytobemore
competitivewithonlineleaderAmazon.BestBuy,thenation’slargestconsumerelectronicschain,saidthatitwillexpandto27metropolitanmarketsfrom13startingnextweek.Thatnumbershouldreachnearly40citiesbythewinterholidays.Inaseparateannouncement,Macy’ssaidthatitwilloffersame-daydeliveryin15additionalmarkets,foratotalof33areas.
• Macy’sisworkingwithstartupDeliv,basedinMenloPark,CA,backedbyUPS,whileBestBuyisnowworkingwithtwocompaniestohandledeliveries,includingitsoriginalpartner,Deliv.BestBuydeclinedtonameitsnewpartnersinceitisstillfinalizingthedeal.Macy’swillchargean$8feefortheservice,whileBestBuyhascutitsfeeto$5.99perorderfrom$14.99.
USSecond-QuarterGDPGrowthRevisedUpto3%(August30)FoxBusiness.com• TheUSeconomygrewfasterthaninitiallythoughtinthesecondquarter,notchingits
quickestpaceofgrowthinmorethantwoyears,andtherearesignsthatthemomentumwassustainedatthestartofthethirdquarter.
• Theupwardrevisionfromthe2.6%pacereportedlastmonthreflectedrobustconsumerspendingaswellasstrongbusinessinvestment.Retailsalesandbusinessspendingdatasofarsuggestthattheeconomymaintaineditsstaminaearlyinthethirdquarter.
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DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
EUROPERETAILHEADLINESNonfoodDrivesUKRetailSalesGrowthinAugust(September5)Retail-Week.com• RetailsalesintheUKincreasedby2.4%inAugust,upfrom1.4%recordedinJuly.
Comparablesalesgrewby1.3%,aboveJuly’s0.9%rise,drivenbygrowthinnonfoodcategories,particularlyhomewares,autumnclothingrangesandschoolitems,accordingtotheBritishRetailConsortium(BRC).
• HelenDickinson,ChiefExecutiveoftheBRC,cautionedthatalthough“Augustprovidedawelcomepickupinretailsalesacrosschannels,”nonfoodsaleshaveonlyjustrecoveredtothelevelsseentwoyearsagoandstronggrowthinfoodismainlyduetorisingpricesratherthanvolumegrowth.
ASOSUnveilsOwn-BrandBeautyRange(September5)DrapersOnline.com• BritishonlinefashionpureplayASOShasunveileditsfirstown-brandbeautyrangeinapush
togrowmarketshareinthecategory.Theretaileralreadysellsthird-partybeautyproducts.• The46-piecemakeuprange,calledFaceandBody,includeseyeshadows,lipsticks,contouring
palettes,bronzersandhighlighters.Pricesrangefrom£5–£12(US$7–US$16).AuchanHoldingReports2.1%RevenueGrowthin1H17(September4)Companypressrelease• FrenchretailgroupAuchanreportedrevenuegrowthof2.1%(0.2%atconstantcurrency)
andprofitgrowthof23.2%(17.2%atconstantcurrency)forthefirsthalfof2017,endedJune30.
• Amongthecompany’ssegments,AuchanRetailreported2.1%revenuegrowth(0.1%atconstantcurrency)andshoppingcenterbusinessImmochan’srevenuegrewby5.1%(4.4%atconstantexchangerates).BankingbusinessOneysawincomeriseby9.1%.
GaleriesLafayettetoAcquireStakeinLaRedoute(August31)FashionNetwork.com• FrenchdepartmentstoreGaleriesLafayetteannouncedplanstoacquirea51%stakeinmail-
orderandonlineretailerLaRedoute,withtheremainingstakeexpectedtobeacquiredatalaterstage.
• TheacquisitionwilltakeplacethroughGaleriesLafayette’sholdingcompany,Motier,andisexpectedtobecompletedoverthenextfewmonths,subjecttoregulatoryapproval.
EldercareTechStartupAiflooRaises€5.1Million(September5)TechCrunch.com• SwedishstartupAifloo,whichcreatessmartwristbandstohelpcareforseniorconsumers,
hasraised€5.1million(US$6.1million)inseriesAfunding.ThefundingroundwasledbySwedishventurecapitalfirmEQTVentures.
• HenrikLandgren,EQT’sanalyticspartner,saidthatthee-healthstartupwasuniting“vastamountsofdataandmodernAI”tohelpolderpeopleliveindependentlyforlongerandthattheteamandtechnologywerethekeyreasonstoinvestinAifloo.
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DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
ASIATECHHEADLINESGoGoVanBecomesHongKong’sFirst$1BillionStartupFollowingMergerDeal(September1)TechCrunch.com• GoGoVan,alogisticson-demandproviderthatconnectsvandriversandcustomersfor
transportinggoods,isHongKong’sfirst$1billionstartup,followingamergerdealwith58Suyun,afellowlogisticson-demandplatformthatisfocusedonservingconsumers.
• 58Suyun,whichisownedbyonlineclassifiedsgiant58.com,ispresentinover100citiesinChinaandhas1.2millionregistereddrivers,whileGoGoVanispresentineightcitiesinChinaaswellasinTaiwan,Singapore,SouthKoreaandIndia.
India’sTreeboRaises$34MillionforItsBudgetHotelNetwork(August31)TechCrunch.com• TreeboHotels,India’slargestbudgethotelnetwork,hascloseda$34millionseriesCround
offunding.ThedealwasledbynewbackersWardFerryManagementandKarstPeakCapital,twoHongKongprivateequityfirms,withparticipationfromexistinginvestorsSAIFPartners,MatrixPartnersIndiaandBertelsmannIndiaInvestments.
• StartupssuchasTreeboandOYOhavesprouteduptoofferatech-enabledresponsetotheproblemofvastlydifferinghotelqualityacrossIndia.Theyproposeabasestandardforgueststhatincludescleanlinens,bedding,freeWi-Fiandmore,forapricerangeof1,000–3,000INR,orroughlyUS$15–US$50,pernight.Inaddition,theyuseamobileappasavirtualconciergeservicetohelpwithcheck-inandordersandtoanswerquestions.
Thailand’sKasikornBankBacksCloudAccountingStartupinFirstDealfor$30MillionFund(August30)TechCrunch.com• KasikornBank(KBank)hasmadethefirstinvestmentfromits$30millionfund—a$1.15
millionroundforBangkok-basedFlowAccount.ThebankwasjoinedintheroundbyJapan-basedconglomerateSBIGroup,andFlowAccount’sseedinvestors,500StartupsandGoldenGateVentures.
• FlowAccountisacloud-basedplatformforbusinessaccounting.Itplanstousethesenewfundstogrowitsteamof20anddevelopnewproductsthatextenditsreachfromcloud-basedaccountingsystemsintootherservicesforsmallandmedium-sizedenterprises.Thisweek,itlaunchedasolutionforaccountingfirmsthemselves,anditisplanningpayrollandotherHRservicesforsmallbusinesses.
CryptocurrenciesHaveCrashed20%inTwoDaysAfterChina’sICOBan(September4)TechCrunch.com• AnoticefromacommitteeledbyChina’scentralbankannouncedanimmediatebanon
initialcoinoffering(ICO)funding,whichhas“seriouslydisruptedtheeconomicandfinancialorder.”FinancialnewssiteCaixinreportedthatthecommitteehaspreparedalistof60exchangesthatwillbesubjecttoinspectionandareport.Inthemeantime,therewillbeanICOfreezeinChina.
• ICOsinvolveraisingfundingbycreatingandsellingnewcryptotokens—commonlybasedonEthereum—toinvestors.Thathasledtocomparisonswithsecurities,withmuchspeculationoverwhetherfinancialregulatorswilllooktoregulatethespace.TheChinesecommitteevoicedconcernthatsomeICOsarefinancialscamsandpyramidschemes.
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DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
LATAMRETAILANDTECHHEADLINESBrazilDebatesSharingEconomyRegulations(September4)ZDNet.com• TheBraziliangovernmentislookingtofindwaystoregulatenewservicescomingupunder
thecollaborativeeconomyumbrella.GiventheimpactontraditionalservicescausedbyalternativessuchasUberandAirbnb,thelowerhouseofthecongresscreatedaspecialgrouptodiscussthecreationofalegalframeworkforthenewservices.
• Accordingtotheleaderofthespecialgroup,CongressmanThiagoPeixoto,thegoalistocomeupwithrecommendationstoproposeregulationsacrossthevarioussegmentsofthesharingeconomy—fromridesharingtocrowdfunding—thatwillnotrestrictnewbusinessestoomuch,butalsonotimpactthetraditionaleconomy.
BrazilianMobileMarketShowsSignsofRecovery(September1)ZDNet.com• MobilephonesalesinBrazilhavebeenshowingsignsofrecoveryin2017followingadecline
thatresultedfromtheeconomicslowdown,accordingtoanewstudybyanalysisfirmIDC.Some12.8milliondevicesweresoldinthesecondquarter,up5.9%fromthesameperiodin2016.Thenumberisinlinewithfirst-quarterfigures,whichshowedthatmobilesalesgrewby3.7%yearoveryear,with12.3milliondevicessold.
• “Themobilemarkethasreturnedtoveryexpressivenumbers,mainlybecauseBrazilians[are]replacinghandsetsboughtatleastthreeyearsago,sincethishasbeentheaveragelifespanofthebatteryandscreen,”saysLeonardoMunin,IDCresearchanalystfortheLatinAmericanmobilemarket.
TimidGrowthPredictedforITSpendinginBrazil(August31)ZDNet.com• BudgetsfortechnologyinBrazilwillnotseeasubstantialincreasethisyear,andpredictions
for2018arenotallthatdifferent,accordingtoanewtrendsstudy,theBrazilITSnapshot,byLogicalis.ITbudgetswillgrowbyabout3%thisyearandtheforecastisaboutthesamefor2018,whichmayevenseeadecrease,accordingtothestudy.
• Some71%ofthosepolledsaidthatITbudgetsin2016weremostlyspentonrunningexistingestates,while41%ofCIOssurveyedsaidthattherehasbeenadecreaseininnovationinvestments.Conversely,about82%oftherespondentssaidthattheyhadmadesomekindofcloudcomputinginvestment,thehighestpercentageseensince2013.Ofthattotal,40%haveusedahybridapproach,while35%haveusedprivatecloudsand7%publicclouds.
HijackingsPushBrazilianRetailerViaVarejotoOverhaulLogistics(September4)Reuters.com• Facedwithasurgeincargohijackings,BrazilianfurnitureandhomeelectronicsretailerVia
Varejohasinvestedinsecurity,drawnno-gozonesfordeliveriesandbeefedupin-storepickupservices.Thecompanyhasalsobegunusingitsowntruckstostock80storesinthestatesofSãoPauloandRiodeJaneiro,anditintendstoreachall730storesinthosestatesbytheendoftheyear.
• Thecompany’slogisticsunit,VVLog,whichwascreatedaftertheconsolidationofCNova(ane-commerceunitofcontrollingownerGroupeCasino),hasreducedcostsby20%forin-storepickupcomparedwithhomedelivery.ThelogisticsoverhaulhighlightshowariseincrimetiedtoBrazil’sworstrecessioninoveracenturyisforcingcompaniestoreconsidereventhemostbasicservices.
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DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
MACROUPDATEKeypointsfromglobalmacroindicatorsreleasedAugust30–September6,2017:
1) US:RealpersonalspendingtickedupinJuly,whiletheinflationratemoderated.InAugust,thenonfarmpayrollsfigurecameinweakerthanexpectedandtheunemploymentratetickedupslightly.TheISMManufacturingIndexreadingforAugustpointedtoanexpansioninthemanufacturingsector.
2) Europe:Intheeurozone,theunemploymentratestayedat9.1%inJuly.Retailsalesintheeurozonedroppedby0.3%monthovermonthandincreasedby2.6%yearoveryearinJuly;themetricsforbothtimeperiodswereinlinewithconsensusestimates.
3) Asia-Pacific:InChina,theCaixinManufacturingPurchasingManagers’Index(PMI)tickedupto51.6inAugust,whichwasbetterthantheconsensushadestimated.TheCaixinServicesPMIreadingalsopointedtoanexpansion,tickingupto52.7inAugustfrom51.5inJuly.
4) LatinAmerica:InBrazil,GDPinthesecondquarterincreasedby0.2%quarteroverquarterandby0.3%yearoveryear,exceedingthemarket’szero-growthexpectation.TheunemploymentrateinBraziledgeddownto12.8%inJuly.
Country/Region Indicator Period Actual Survey Prior Impacton
Economy*
US RealPersonalSpending(MoM) Jul 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% –
US PCEDeflator(MoM) Jul 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% –
US PCEDeflator(YoY) Jul 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% –
US CorePCEDeflator(YoY) Jul 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% –
US PendingHomeSales(MoM) Jul (0.8)% 0.3% 1.3% –
US PendingHomeSales(NSA,YoY) Jul (0.5)% 0.5% 0.4% –
US ChangeinNonfarmPayrolls(Thous.) Aug 156 180 189 –
US UnemploymentRate Aug 4.4% 4.3% 4.3% –
US LaborForceParticipationRate Aug 62.9% – 62.9% =
US ISMManufacturingIndex Aug 58.8 56.5 56.3 +
EZ UnemploymentRate Jul 9.1% 9.1% 9.1% =
EZ RetailSales(MoM) Jul (0.3)% (0.3)% 0.6% =
EZ RetailSales(YoY) Jul 2.6% 2.6% 3.3% =
CN CaixinChinaManufacturingPMI Aug 51.6 51.0 51.1 +
CN CaixinChinaCompositePMI Aug 52.4 – 51.9 +
CN CaixinChinaServicesPMI Aug 52.7 – 51.5 +
BZ GDP(QoQ) 2Q 0.2% 0.0% 1.0% +
BZ GDP(YoY) 2Q 0.3% 0.0% (0.4)% +
BZ UnemploymentRate Jul 12.8% 13.0% 13.0% +*FGRT’sevaluationoftheactualfigure’simpactontheeconomyrelativetohistoricalbenchmarksandthecurrentmacroeconomicenvironment:+indicatesapositivesignalforthecountry’seconomy,–indicatesanegativesignaland=indicatesanegligibleormixedimpact.Source:USBureauofEconomicAnalysis/NationalAssociationofRealtors/USBureauofLaborStatistics/InstituteforSupplyManagement/Eurostat/Markit/InstitutoBrasileirodeGeografiaeEstatística/FGRT
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DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
EARNINGSCALENDAR
Sales(Mil.) EPS
Company
EarningsReleasePeriod Date
ConsensusTY LYActual
ConsensusTY LYActual Currency
Prada(1913.HK) 1H17 Sep8 1,528 1,554 0.06 0.06 EUR
Kroger(KR) 2Q18 Sep8 27,475 26,565 0.39 0.48 USD
Morrisons(MRW.L) 1H18 Sep14 8,404 8,032 0.06 0.05 GBP
Next(NXT.L) 1H18 Sep14 1,902 1,940 1.62 1.87 GBP
AscenaRetailGroup(ASNA) 4Q17 Sep18(E) 1,575 1,812 (0.03) 0.17 USD
EspritHoldings(330.HK) FY17 Sep20 16,358 17,788 0.04 (0.25) HKD
Inditex(ITX.MC) 1H17 Sep20 11,747 10,466 0.46 0.41 EUR
Kingfisher(KGF.L) 1H18 Sep20 6,009 5,749 0.14 0.14 GBP
FinishLine(FINL) 2Q18 Sep22 477 509 0.38 0.53 USD
Nike(NKE) 1Q18 Sep26(E) 9,100 9,061 0.49 0.73 USD
Boohoo.com(BOO.L) 1H17 Sep27 264 127 0.02 0.01 GBP
H&M(HM-B.ST) 3Q17 Sep28 53,678 48,982 3.10 2.91 SEK
RiteAid(RAD) 2Q18 Sep28 7,836 8,030 0.00 0.02 USD
Tesco(TSCO.L) 1H18 Oct4 27,997 27,338 0.04 0.01 GBP
CostcoWholesale(COST) 4Q17 Oct5 41,532 36,560 2.01 1.77 USD
SuperValu(SVU) 2Q18 Oct11(E) 3,792 3,865 0.37 1.03 USD
FastRetailing(9983.JP) FY17 Oct12 1,861 1,787 1,104 648 JPY
ASOS(ASC.L) FY17 Oct17 1,936 1,445 0.76 0.63 GBP
eBay(EBAY) 3Q17 Oct18(E) 2,367 2,217 0.48 0.36 USD
Skechers(SKX) 3Q17 Oct19(E) 1,069 942 0.44 0.42 USD
WalgreensBootsAlliance(WBA) 4Q17 Oct19(E) 29,988 28,636 1.21 1.18 USD
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DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
EVENTCALENDAR
Event Location Date(s)
FungGlobalPresenting/Attending
EnterWorksEngage2017UserConference Nashville,TN Sep11–13 ICSCPA/NJ/DEConference&DealMaking AtlanticCity,NJ Sep11–13 EmergingApplicationsofBlockchainforSupplyChains Cambridge,MA Sep12 Tech.PoweredbyRetailWeek London,UK Sep13–14 √XRCLabsDemoDay NewYork,NY Sep15 HOMIMilano Milan,Italy Sep15–18 SmartSummit London,UK Sep19–20 √WWDDigitalForum NewYork,NY Sep19–20 Shop.org:ThisIsDigital LosAngeles,CA Sep25–27 √NRFProtect LosAngeles,CA Sep25–27 √eCommerceExpo London,UK Sep27–28 FashionTechForum2017:WestCoastDebut LosAngeles,CA Oct6 ShoptalkEurope Copenhagen,
Denmark Oct9–11 √RetailCongressAsiaPacific HongKong Oct10–11 2017TechstarsDemoDay Minneapolis,MN Oct11 REConLatinAmerica&Caribbean SanJuan,PR Oct15–17 SourcingJournalSummit2017 NewYork,NY Oct17 ExclusiveExecutiveConference Orlando,FL Oct17–19 ICSCResearchConnectionsConference Toronto,Canada Oct22–24 BackEndofInnovation Orlando,FL Oct22–25 RetailWestSummit SanFrancisco,CA Oct24 WWDApparel&RetailCEOSummit NewYork,NY Oct24–25 √X5RetailGroupCapitalMarketsDay Moscow,Russia Oct26 AAFAExecutiveThinkTank HongKong Oct26 √FIT’sFashionistas&Financiers NewYork,NY Nov1 IDTechExShow:WearableUSAandPrintedElectronicsUSA SantaClara,CA Nov15–16 LBrandsAnnualInvestorMeeting Columbus,OH Nov22 Asia-GlobalDialogue2017 HongKong Nov22 HomeDepotInvestor/AnalystDay Boston,MA Dec6–7 ICSCNewYorkDealMaking NewYork,NY Dec6–7 FortuneGlobalForum Guangzhou,China Dec6–8 √
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September8,2017
DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.
DeborahWeinswig,CPAManagingDirectorFGRTNewYork:917.655.6790HongKong:852.6119.1779China:86.186.1420.3016deborahweinswig@fung1937.comKirilPopovSeniorAnalyst
JohnHarmon,CFASeniorAnalyst
JohnMercerSeniorAnalyst
StevenWinnickResearchAssociate
CharliePoonResearchAssistant
HongKong:2ndFloor,HongKongSpinnersIndustrialBuildingPhase1&2800CheungShaWanRoad,KowloonHongKongTel:85223004406London:242-246MaryleboneRoadLondon,NW16JQUnitedKingdomTel:44(0)2076168988NewYork:1359Broadway,18thFloorNewYork,NY10018Tel:6468397017
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